Kuartal Aktual MA 2 bulan MA 3 Bulan Error 2 Bulan Error 3 Bulan (

1 12 NA NA 10 10
2 8 NA NA 9 9
3 13 10 NA 3 11
4 9 10.5 11 1.5 2
5 7 11 10 4 3
6 11 8 9.67 3 1.33
7 12 9 9.00 3 3.00
8 20 11.5 10.00 8.50 10.00
9 13 16 14.33 3 1.33
10 11 16.5 15 5.5 4
11 13 12 15 1 2
12 17 12 12.33 5 4.67
13 15 14
Σ 56.50 61.00
𝞢𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 2 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛 56,50
MAD= = = 5.65
𝑛 10

𝞢𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 3 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛 61
MAD= = = 6.78
𝑛 9

Σ(𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 2 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛)2 363.75

MSE= = = 36.375
𝑛 10

Σ(𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 3 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛)2 468.11

MSE= = = 52.01
𝑛 9

𝞢 (𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 2 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑏𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑡) 497.67

MAD= = = 49.767
𝑛 10

𝞢(𝐸𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 3 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑏𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑡) 519.4

MAD= = = 57.74
𝑛 9
(𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫 𝟐 𝐛𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐧)𝟐 (𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫 𝟑 𝐛𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐧)𝟐 Error Absolut (%) Error Absolut (%)
100 100 83.33 83.33
81 81 112.50 112.50
9 121 23.08 84.62
2.25 4 16.67 22.22
16 9 57.14 42.86
9 1.78 27.27 12.12
9 9 25.00 25.00
72.25 100 42.50 50.00
9 1.778 23.08 10.26
30.25 16 50.00 36.36
1 3 7.69 12.82
25 21.78 29.41 27.45

363.75 468.11 497.67 519.54

Pergerakan rata2 bobot Pergerakan rata2 bobot
NA NA
NA NA
9.33 NA
11.33 11.17
10.33 10.17
7.67 8.67
9.67 9.33
11.67 10.83
17.33 15.83
15.33 15.17
11.67 13.17
12.33 12.33