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Probability 1 PDF
Probability 1 PDF
This section combines the counting skills we learned in the last two sections with the
probability skills we learned earlier in the chapter. This section can be really tricky if you don’t
completely understand everything we have done in the chapter so far. If you don’t feel
comfortable with something we did earlier in the chapter visit me to get things straight before
proceeding.
Here is a probability formula that we used earlier in this chapter. The formula isn’t new, but in
this section the numbers that we put in the numerator as well as the number we put in the
denominator will contain combinations.
Example: A club consists of four men and five women. Three members are to be selected at
random to form a committee. What is the probability that the committee will consist of three
women? (Write your answer as a percent and round to 1 decimal.)
The order in which the three members are selected is not important (since we are not attaching
labels like President, Vice-President and Secretary) so we may use combinations.
P(committee consists of three women) = Number of possible committees with three women
Total number of 3 member committees
I need any 3 of the 9 club members for the denominator. The denominator will be 9C3.
5C3 10
= 84 = 11.9%
9C3
So the probability of the three person committee that is randomly selected from a club of four
men and five women being composed of only women is about 11.9 %.
Answer: 11.9%
Example: 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are
both red? (Write your answer as a percent and round to 1 decimal.)
For numerator I need 2 of the 26 red cards in a deck. The numerator will be 26C2.
For the denominator I can get any 2 of the 52 cards in a deck. The denominator will be 52C2.
1) A class consists of 19 girls and 15 boys. If 5 of the students are to be selected at random,
determine the probability they are all girls.
2) A club has 8 boys and 5 girls. 3 members are selected at random, determine the probability
they are all boys.
3) Of 35 people attending a dance 28 have a college degree. If 4 people at the dance are
selected at random, find the probability each has a college degree.
4) Of 50 people attending a concert 30 have seen the group before. If 8 people at the concert
are selected at random, find the probability each has seen the group before.
5) A class of 16 people contains 4 people whose birthday is in October. If 3 people from the
class are selected at random, find the probability that none of those selected has an October
birthday.
6) A class of 25 people contains 5 Gemini’s. If 4 people from the class are selected at random,
find the probability that none of those selected are Gemini’s.
9) Anthony’s wallet contains 8 bills of the following denominations, four $5 bills, two $10 bills,
one $20 bill and one $50 bill. If he selects two bills at random, determine the probability that
he selects 2 $5 bills.
10) Anthony’s wallet contains 8 bills of the following denominations, four $5 bills, two $10 bills,
one $20 bill and one $50 bill. If he selects two bills at random, determine the probability that
he selects 2 tens.
11) 3 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are all
hearts?
12) 4 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are all
clubs?
13) 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are both
red?
14) 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are both
black?
15) 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are all
queens?
16) 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are all jacks?
Let’s do a more complicated example before getting to the next group of problems.
Example: A class consists of 10 girls and 9 boys. If 5 of the students are to be selected at
random, determine the probability that 3 boys and 2 girls are selected.
Answer: 32.5%
Homework #17-32 (Write your answer as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)
17) A class consists of 19 girls and 15 boys. If 12 of the students are to be selected at random,
determine the probability that 4 boys and 8 girls are selected.
18) A club has 8 boys and 5 girls. 3 members are selected at random, determine the
probability that 2 boys and 1 girl is selected.
19) Of 35 people attending a dance 28 have a college degree. If 4 people at the dance are
selected at random, find the probability 3 have a college degree and 1 does not.
20) Of 50 people attending a concert 30 have seen the group before. If 8 people at the concert
are selected at random, find the probability that 6 have seen the group before and 2 have not.
21) A class of 16 people contains 4 people whose birthday is in October. If 3 people from the
class are selected at random, find the probability that 2 have a birthday in October and 1
doesn’t.
22) A class of 25 people contains 5 Gemini’s. If 4 people from the class are selected at random,
find the probability that 1 Gemini and 3 people that are not Gemini’s are selected.
25) Anthony’s wallet contains 11 bills of the following denominations, four $5 bills, five $10
bills, one $20 bill and one $50 bill. If he selects five bills at random, determine the probability
that he selects 2 $5 bills and 3 tens.
26) Anthony’s wallet contains 10 bills of the following denominations, four $5 bills, two $10
bills, three $20 bill and one $50 bill. If he selects 3 bills at random, determine the probability
that he selects 2 tens and a five.
27) 3 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are two
hearts and 1 spade?
28) 4 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are 2 clubs
and 2 diamonds?
29) 2 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are 1 red
and 1 black?
30) 5 cards are drawn from a standard deck of cards. What is the probability they are 3 black
and 2 red?
Answers: 1) 19C5 / 34C5 = .0417 4.2% 3) 28C4 / 35C4 = .391 = 39.1%
5) 4C3 / 16C3 = .007 = 0.7% 7) 8C4 / 15C4 = .051 = 5.1% 9) 4C2 / 8C2 = .214 = 21.4%
11) 13C3 / 52C3 =.013 = 1.3% 13) 26C2 / 52C2 = .245 = 24.5%
15) 4C2 / 52C2 = .0045 = .5%
17) (15C4 * 19C8) / 34C12 = .188 = 18.8%
19) (28C3 * 7C1)/35C4 = .438 = 43.8%
21) (4C2 * 12C1) / 16C3 = .129 = 12.9%
23) (8C3 * 7C1) / 15C4 = .287 = 28.7%
25) (4C2 * 5C3) / 11C5 = .1298 = 13%
27) (13C2 * 13C1) / (52C3) = .046 = 4.6%
29) (26C1 * 26C1) / 52C2 = .5098 = 51%