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F9 Keynote Revision Content (Printable)
F9 Keynote Revision Content (Printable)
- Mock exam
Full 3 hour past paper
You try under timed conditions
Then go through the recorded answers with me
F9 Exam Te c h n i q u e
Investments
Yr 1 Yr 2
Dividends 5c 6c
Share Price $1.50 $2.00
Shareholder Wealth Increase Per Share Share Price Growth + Dividends Paid
6c / 150c = 4%
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
June 2010 Q4 a)
Di v i d e n d Po l i c y
Investors like...
Constant Dividend 200
Inflation Linked 150
Choice Growing
100
50
None 0
07 08 09 10
Choice
Rational Investors
Assumptions No Transaction Costs
No Tax difference
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
June 10 Q4 (c)
S o u rc e s o f F i n a n c e
Expensive, risk of failure & diluting
Initial Pubic Offering Exit method for owners
Share Issue
Rights Issue Cheaper & keep current shareholders
Things to consider...
Risk
Debt
Gearing Bonds/Debentures
Available?
Pe r f o r m a n c e A n a l y s i s
Current Assets
Gross/Net/Operating Profit Current
Margins Current Liabilities
Revenue Current Assets - Inv
PBIT Quick
Current Liabilities
Profitability ROCE Capital Employed Liquidity & Inventory
Efficiency Inv. Days x 365
Calculate ROE
PAT COS
Receivables
Ratios First Ord. Shares + Reserves Rec. Days x 365
Credit Sales
Check how many Payables
marks available.
Divs Per Share Pay. Days x 365
Div Yield COS
1.8 minutes per mark Share Price
Then move on to PAT Long Term Debt
discussion
Shareholders Div Cover Capital
Div Paid Gearing Equity
Share Price
Gearing PBIT
P/E Ratio Int. Cover
EPS Interest
June 2011 Q3
R igh t s I s s u e & T H E R P
Theoretical Ex Rights Price (THERP) Lower Share Price After Rights Issue
ABC Ltd. has decided to raise Amount of Capital to raise $5m
capital via a rights issue.
No. of shares issued (6.25m / 5) 1.25m
The share price is currently $5.50 Share issue price ($5m / 1.25m) $4
and ABC intends to raise $5m. Number of Shares Share Price Total
There are currently 6.25m shares 5 $5.50 (5 x 5.50) = 27.5
in issue and ABC is offering a 1 for 1 $4 (1 x 4) = 4
5 rights issue.
6 31.5
Calculate the Theoretical Ex-Rights We now have 6 shares in issue at total value of $31.5 so the THERP is
Price. (31.5 / 6) = $5.25
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
Current Assets
Current Inventory Bal X
Current Liabilities
Receivables Bal X
Current Assets - Inv Payables Bal (X)
Quick
Current Liabilities
Required X
Cycle
Overtrading = Lack of Cash
Inventory Days X
Receivables Days X Signs
Deteriorating Current/Quick Ratio
Payables Days (X)
Inventory Days Up
Cycle X Receivables Days Up
Payables Days Down
Wo r k i n g C a p i t a l I l l u s t r a t i o n
1,200 3
Current
400
500
Quick 1.25
400
Sales 3,000
COS 2,000 700
Inventory 700 Inventory x 365 128
2,000
Receivables 500
Payables 400 500
Receivables x 365 61
3,000
400
Payables x 365 (73)
2,000
Cycle 116
Wo r k i n g C a p i t a l I l l u s t r a t i o n
Number of Days
Inventory 80 Inventory 2000 / 365 x 80 438
Receivables 60
Payables 40 Receivables 3000 / 365 x 60 493
Dec 2009 Q4 b)
Wo r k i n g C a p i t a l F i n a n c i n g
Short Term
Finance
Inexpensive
80
Current Assets
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
June 2008 Q3 d)
R e c e i v a b l e s
Offer Discount?
Discounts
Cost Discount Discount % x Sales x % Take up
Interest
Policy Change in receivables
Collection Saving x Overdraft %
Clear Policy
Cost 2% x (36,500 x 30%) 219
Current Policy 60 days New Receivables
Receivables 6,000 (36,500 / 365 x 40 x 0.3) 1,200
Sales 36,500 (36,500 / 365 x 60 x 0.7) 4,200
Overdraft Cost 7%
Total 5,400
NEW
Old Receivables 6,000
2% Discount if paid in 40 days
Difference 600
30% expected to take discount 42
Saving 600 x 0.07
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
Dec 2010 Q3
Cash M a n a g e me n t
F = Cost
Baumol Model C= 2xFxT T = Total Demand
Amount of Cash to
Move
i i = Interest
T
Moving Costs xF
C
C= 2 x 20 x2,000,000
Holding Costs C = 31,622
xi
2 0.08
2m
Moving 31,622 x 20 = 1,265
Example
F = 20, T = 2 million, i= 8% Holding 31,622 x 0.08 = 1,265
2
M i l l e r O r r
80 Upper Limit
Buy Securities
60
Return Point
40 Sell Securities
20 Lower Limit
0
1/3
Spread 3( 0.75 x T x Var )
Daily interest
Variation Standard Deviation x Standard Deviation
Return Point Lower limit + 1/3 x Spread
T Transaction Cost
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
Pilot Paper Q3
In v e s t m e n t A p p r a i s a l
YR Cash Cumulative
Cumulative 1 1.5m 1.5m
Investment
Cash Flows 2 2m of $4m 3.5m Get $4m
3 3m 6.5m back here
Ne t Pre s e n t Va l u e
Analysis of relevant cash flows Discount & compare to Investment
3 year project with net annual cash inflows before tax of $300m in todays terms. Inflation is expected to be 3% and
the company uses a real discount rate of 6.8%.
Initial Investment of $700m with WDA’s allowable SL over the project. Tax rate is 30% payable 1 year in arrears
NPV = $33m
Ca s h F l o w s C o n t i n u i n g
$100m per year forever. D. Rate 10%
Cash Flows beyond time horizon
100m
Cash Per Year = $1000m
Constant = Present Value 0.1
Discount Rate
$100m per year growing at 3%
forever. D. Rate 10%
Cash Flows (1 + G)
Growing = Present Value 100m x (1.03)
Discount Rate - G = $1471m
0.1 - 0.03
$100m per year starting Yr 3
growing at 3% forever. D. Rate 10%
Growing Cash Flows (1 + G) 100m x (1.03)
but start Discount Rate - G x D. Rate for Yr x 0.826
0.1 - 0.03
later
= Present Value =$1215m
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
June 2011 Q1
AR R / R O C E
ARR/ROCE
Average Profit
Average Investment
Cash Inflows- Depreciation
Average Profit
No. Years of Project
Cost + Residual Value
Average Investment
2
Timing Risk?
Simple Cons
Pros Time Value Cash?
Understandable Profit?
AR R I l l u s t r a t i o n
Cash flows $30m
Capital Investment $10m
(30 - 8)
Average Profit $4.4m
5
Average Investment 10 + 2
$6m
2
4.4
ARR 73%
6
IRR
What? Discount rate at which NPV = 0
If our discount rate is lower = Profit
Why?
If our discount rate is higher = Loss
L = Low Discount Rate
L+( NPV L ) (H - L) H = High Discount Rate
NPV L - NPV H
NPV L/H = NPV at that Discount Rate
Discount rate 5% 15%
NPV 100,000 (15,000)
100,000
5+( ) (15 - 5) = 13.69%
100,000 - (-15,000)
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
June 2009 Q2
Cos t o f E q u i t y
Dividend
Constant
Dividend Valuation Share Price
Method Dividend (1 + G)
Growing +G
Share Price
($10m / 0.12)
Company B $10m 12%
= $83m
WACC
WACC WACC
Kd
Kd Kd
Gearing Gearing
X Gearing
June 2011 Q2 c)
Mo r e De b t
Convertible
Same as Redeemable* (IRR)
Cash...or
* Except Capital repaid is higher of Conversion Value
E.G 5 year 10% Convertible debt (Tax Rate 30%)
Convert at Par Share Market Value is $18
Choice in 5 years Or with 3% growth expected
Get 5 Shares per nominal per year
DR
Year ITEM $ DR 5% PV PV
15%
Cash 100 1-5
Interest
7 4.329 30.30 3.352 23.46
($100 x 10% x 0.7)
June 2008 Q1
Pro je c t Sp e c i f i c D i s c o u n t R a t e
Business Risk
Proxy company in New Area βe x
Financial Risk (Gearing)
1. Remove their Financial Risk to get just Business Risk (βa)
Ve Ve = Market Value Equity in Proxy
Ungear βa = βe ( ) Vd = Value Debt in Proxy
Ve + ((Vd(1 - T)
2. Bring in our Financial Risk to get new βe
Ve + ((Vd(1 - T) Ve = Market Value Equity in Our Firm
Re-gear βe = βa ( ) Vd = Value Debt in Our Firm
Ve
3. Fill into CAPM
CAPM PSDR = Rf + βe (Rm - Rf)
PSDR I l l u s t r a t i o n
ABC Proxy
Debt 400 500 Tax rate 30%
Rf 4
Equity 600 500
Rm 14
βe 1.2 1.3
500
Ungear βa 1.3 ( ) 0.76
500 + (500 x 0.7)
600 + (400 x 0.7)
Regear βe 0.76 ( ) 1.11
600
December 2010 Q1 c)
B u s i n e s s Va l u a t i o n s
Net Assets DVM (Share Price Valuation)
Total Assets - Liabilities Dividend
Pros Cons Constant Div
Ke
Simple Ignores Intangibles
Good Starting Point Not based on earnings Dividend (1 + G)
Values Assets Undervaluation Growing Div
Ke - G
P/E Ratio
Total Earnings Present Value Future Cash
Value of Company x Flows
P/E Ratio Same as for NPV - set out the
EPS cash-flows then discount
Share Price x them.
P/E Ratio
Q ue s t i o n T i me !
December 2007 Q1
Fo r e i g n E x c h a n g e R i s k
Risk of Loss incurred in translating
Translation
foreign A & L’s at Y/E
June 2011 Q4 a)
Le a s e v B u y
1. NPV Calculation for both
Buy Lease
Capital Payments
WDA’s Tax Saving
Maintenance
(Tax Savings)
Eq u i v a l e n t A n n u a l C o s t
NPV
2. EAC =
Annuity Rate
Capi t a l R a t i o n i n g
December 2009 Q1
M o c k E x am