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(frequency) ng/ml
11 0–99
12 100–199
14 200–299
1 300–399
2 400–499
1 *
? 1 ? 1? 1
???S @
A???% 1A? 3% 1) 1A
1A 3% 1) 1A S
1 0 384 1
2 0 0 0
3 0 69 131
4 0 19 173
5 0 1 265
6 0 0 210
7 0 178 44
8 0 2 277
9 0 13 32
10 0 1 3
11 0 4 35
12 9 0 112
13 0 543 477
14 0 17 289
15 0 1 227
16 0 0 103
17 0 51 222
18 0 0 149
19 244 197 313
20 0 3 491
21 1 0 130
22 0 3 234
23 0 1 164
24 0 45 198
25 90 13 17
26 1 3 253
27 0 1 87
28 309 1 121
29 0 1 266
30 0 0 290
31 0 0 123
32 0 551 167
33 0 2 250
34 0 1 245
35 0 1 48
36 0 1 86
37 0 0 284
38 0 74 1
39 0 1 208
40 0 241 173
J00 Q2 *; * 0
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400–499 300–399 200–299 100–199 0–99
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400 300 200 100 0
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399.5–499.5 299.5–399.5 199.5–299.5 99.5–199.5 0.5–99.5
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449.5 349.5 249.5 149.5 49.5
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200 = 100+100 =7 T+
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300 = 200+100 =7 T+ :
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400 = 300+100= 7 T+4 7
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(frequency) ng/ml 1
11 0–99
12 100–199
14 200–299
1 300–399
2 400–499
class frequency
relative frequency =
sum of all frequency
.100 ? K 4G ; 6) : K 4G 1 1 % 1 3 , $A
+
<3 ., K 4G 1/ , 1A 40 1 , 1
K 4G +AF
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3 * 1 *
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1A 40 1 , 1 1A 40 1 , 1
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(relative
1??? (frequency)
1???
frequency)
ng/ml ng/ml
28% 0–99 11 0–99
30% 100–199 12 100–199
35% 200–299 14 200–299
3% 300–399 1 300–399
5% 400–499 2 400–499
$ 0 J00 Q2
+
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K 4G +AF
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7 0 72 21 68 1
0 1 56 22 64 2
6 2 68 23 88 3
0 3 64 24 72 4
11 4 60 25 64 5
0 5 68 26 72 6
9 6 60 27 60 7
0 7 60 28 88 8
7 8 56 29 76 9
0 9 84 30 60 10
72 31 96 11
84 32 72 12
88 33 56 13
56 34 64 14
64 35 60 15
56 36 64 16
56 37 84 17
60 38 76 18
64 39 84 19
72 40 88 20
& *0 J00 Q2
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1
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,
99 0 1 1 $- 1A 1 28%
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+
.(4 1 2 *) 1A 1 K 4G ., $S- *3 1 *
Histogram SMOKER
15 14
12
11
10
Frequency
2
1
0
1 *
1
% 1 3 , 1 .., 7 0% 0%
& $ $S- 1 ; * 1/ 9D
.2 * ,
7
* 7 7 $A
Histogram SMOKERS
15 14
12
11
10
Frequency
2
1
2 0@Aا
& 0<I#
+
.(4 1 2 *) 1A 1 K 4G ., $S- *3 3 *
30.0
Relative Frequency
30%
27.5
20%
10%
5.0
2.5
0%
J00 Q
4 •
.K 4G 7' 1 7 * 7 1 * 4; 1 * K 4)
+
.(4 1 2 *) 1A 1 K 4G ., K 4) *3 4 * •
Frequency Polygon
15 14
12
11
10
Frequency
2
1
0
49.5 149.5 249.5 349.5 449.5
4 *
& 0<I#
+
$? .$D,% N+-
1 *
'X $, 50 1 '> +A/ : *
'X A $D,% 0
/
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$A 1G * $A 1G R
; $ E+ .
;
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;
.(8
() 7 ,
5 *
8
(
Movie Company Length Tobacco Alcohol
(min) Use Use (sec)
(sec)
Snow White Disney 83 0 0
Pinnocchio Disney 88 223 80
Fantasia Disney 120 0 0
Dumbo Disney 64 176 88
Bambi Disney 69 0 0
Three Caballeros Disney 71 548 8
Fun and Fancy Free Disney 76 0 4
Cinderella Disney 74 37 0
Alice in Wonderland Disney 75 158 0
Peter Pan Disney 76 51 33
Lady and the Tramp Disney 75 0 0
Sleeping Beauty Disney 75 0 113
101 Dalmations Disney 79 299 51
Sword and the Stone Disney 80 37 20
Jungle Book Disney 78 0 0
Aristocats Disney 78 11 142
Robin Hood Disney 83 0 39
Rescuers Disney 77 0 0
Winnie the Pooh Disney 71 0 0
Fox and the Hound Disney 83 0 0
Black Cauldron Disney 80 0 34
Great Mouse Detective Disney 73 165 414
Oliver and Company Disney 72 74 0
Little Mermaid Disney 82 9 0
Rescuers Down Under Disney 74 0 76
Beauty and the Beast Disney 84 0 123
Aladdin Disney 90 2 3
Lion King Disney 89 0 0
Pocahontas Disney 81 6 7
Toy Story Disney 81 0 0
Hunchback of Notre Dame Disney 90 23 46
James and the Giant Peach Disney 79 206 38
Hercules Disney 92 9 13
Secret of NIMH MGM 82 0 0
All Dogs Go to Heaven MGM 89 205 73
All Dogs Go to Heaven 2 MGM 82 162 72
Babes in Toyland MGM 74 0 0
Thumbelina Warner Bros 86 6 5
Troll in Central Park Warner Bros 76 1 0
Space Jam Warner Bros 81 117 0
Pippi Longstocking Warner Bros 75 5 0
Cats Don't Dance Warner Bros 75 91 0
An American Tail Universal 77 155 74
Land Before Time Universal 70 0 0
Fievel Goes West Universal 75 24 28
We're Back: Dinosaur Story Universal 64 55 0
Land Before Time 2 Universal 73 0 0
Balto Universal 74 0 0
Once Upon a Forest 20th Century 71 0 0
Anastasia Fox 94 17 39
20th Century
Fox
& 0<I#
+
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Stem-and-leaf of Length ( N =
50
Leaf Unit = 1.0
اد
اآ ا ق ار
2 6 44
3 6 9
14 7 01112334444
(15) 7 555555666778899
21 8 001112223334
9 8 6899
5 9 0024
1 9
1 10
1 10
1 11
1 11
1 12 0
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(8) ولEﺝ
6D 6D
A 9
B 26
C 31
D 23
E 11
b (26, 26.0%)
a ( 9, 9.0%)
c (31, 31.0%)
e (11, 11.0%)
d (23, 23.0%)
0+ ; && •
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1 A/ X
1 1 ;D -9
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3 A
,/ 1 / $A .(x,y)
3 * : Y 1 y
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(WT) 1G
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$A
$ 3 A (9) * 1 .
,
6 *
A 4 1G ;D
8 8 8
7
4
3
2
240
2
220
5
200
5
180
weight
16
160
7
140
4
120
1
100
75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
waist
(9) 0@Aا
.3 A ,
O
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1
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%
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9
(
Number AGE HT WT WAIST
1 58 70.8 169.1 90.6
2 22 66.2 144.2 78.1
3 32 71.7 179.3 96.5
4 31 68.7 175.8 87.7
5 28 67.6 152.6 87.1
6 46 69.2 166.8 92.4
7 41 66.5 135.0 78.8
8 56 67.2 201.5 103.3
9 20 68.3 175.2 89.1
10 54 65.6 139.0 82.5
11 17 63.0 156.3 86.7
12 73 68.3 186.6 103.3
13 52 73.1 191.1 91.8
14 25 67.6 151.3 75.6
15 29 68.0 209.4 105.5
16 17 71.0 237.1 108.7
17 41 61.3 176.7 104.0
18 52 76.2 220.6 103.0
19 32 66.3 166.1 91.3
20 20 69.7 137.4 75.2
21 20 65.4 164.2 87.7
22 29 70.0 162.4 77.0
23 18 62.9 151.8 85.0
24 26 68.5 144.1 79.6
25 33 68.3 204.6 103.8
26 55 69.4 193.8 103.0
27 53 69.2 172.9 97.1
28 28 68.0 161.9 86.9
29 28 71.9 174.8 88.0
30 37 66.1 169.8 91.5
31 40 72.4 213.3 102.9
32 33 73.0 198.0 93.1
33 26 68.0 173.3 98.9
34 53 68.7 214.5 107.5
35 36 70.3 137.1 81.6
36 34 63.7 119.5 75.7
37 42 71.1 189.1 95.0
38 18 65.6 164.7 91.1
39 44 68.3 170.1 94.9
40 20 66.3 151.0 79.9
& 0<I#
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- $
1
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.$
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- $
G * (10) * 1
2000
1500
data
1000
8 5 86 8 7 8 8 8 9 90 91 9 2 9 3 9 4 95 9 6 9 7 9 8 99 00
19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 1 9 2 0
Year
9
(
Number year data
1 1985 2100
2 1986 1500
3 1987 1300
4 1988 1250
5 1989 1230
6 1990 1200
7 1991 1100
8 1992 1050
9 1993 900
10 1994 880
11 1995 820
12 1996 800
13 1997 780
14 1998 760
15 1999 750
16 2000 700
:5 Q;0
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20
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0
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& $ 1
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mean =
∑x
n
. $; * 4 0 b ∑ :M*ﺡ
.
1
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. $; *3 – n
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x=
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1
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% , @
*3 (10) *
1
$
% , @
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µ g / m3 ,
5.40 1.10 0.42 0.73 0.48 1.10
: &
x=
∑ x = 5.40+1.10+0.42+0.73+0.48+1.10 = 9.23 = 1.538
n 6 6
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$ *3
5.40 1.10 0.42 0.73 0.48 1.10
.7 , 1 1 6 . 1 6 % 1P, (6) O G $ 1/
2
+
. µ g / m 6
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$ *3
3
.
O
7 , 4 & % 1P, (7)
O, $ 1/
median = 0.73
20
+
:
1
a. 5.40 1.10 0.42 0.75 0.48 1.10
b. 27 27 27 55 55 55 88 88 99
c. 1 2 3 6 7 8 9 10
20
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1
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09 1 7 ., 1
7
:
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+
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5.40 1.10 0.42 0.75 0.48 1.10
x=
∑( f ⋅ x)
∑f
:
7 – f
7 7 – x
5
$ $3
-
4 7 7 * 7 6) 6
</ K/
.7' * 2
ل/ﻡ
:
*
1 &
6
$ 1A 1 K 4G +AF
10 *
1A 40 1 , 1
K 4G
7 7 ; (frequency) 1
ng/ml
( f ⋅ x) x f
544.5 49.5 11 0–99
1794.0 149.5 12 100–199
3493 249.5 14 200–299
349.5 349.5 1 300–399
899.0 449.5 2 400–499
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) =7080.0 ∑ f = 40 2
x=
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 7080 = 177.0
∑f 40
0/
ا
ا
ا
: ;D 6 3 6 N+& , . -&/ 6 1 1G ; * 0 O /
x=
∑ (w⋅ x)
∑w
:
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2 0 5
$ $3
-
4
- 1G
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+
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3
A 20% 0 *%
A (85, 90,75 )
A 3 * 3 6
.50% 0, :
3
A
30%
:
6 3
x=
∑ ( w⋅ x)
∑w
=
( 20 × 85) + ( 30 × 90 ) + ( 50 × 75) = 8150 = 81.5
20 + 30 + 50 100
G N+& T ()
* .6
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1
6
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Midrange
J0 !0*
J0 !0* •
:1
1;D P 6 1 $ N+& 7 1
$ K
7
(1) s=
∑( x − x)
n −1
n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2
(2) s=
n ( n − 1)
:1
1;D F 6 1 $ N+& 7 1
$ K
7
(1) s=
∑( x − x)
n −1
n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2
(2) s=
n ( n − 1)
:
A 1) 9 1 (1) ;D $A
K
7 6
. x 6
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( )
. x − x * 1
,
; 0 * $; 1 ; * 1 W .2
2
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- * $ $ 4 .3
2
.∑ x − x
( ) 0 * 3
A ,
- * $
* 4 .4
. ( n − 1) 0
A , <
K+ 2 $ .5
.5
A 5
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.6
1
+
:.
;
E , 1
G 3
9 *3 $ N+& 1/
O 1, 3, 14 $ K
7
6
. x 6
.1
x=
∑ x = 1 + 3 + 14 = 18 = 6.0
n 3 3
( )
. x − x * 1
,
; 0 * $; 1 ; * 1 6.0 W .2
1-6 = -5
3-6 = -3
14-6 = 8
2
(
: x−x ) $ 0 * 2
A ,
- * $ $ 4 .3
25 , 9 , 64
2
:∑ x − x
( ) 0 * 3
A ,
- * $
* 4 .4
2
∑ ( x − x) = 98
. ( 3 − 1) 0
A , <
K+ 2 $ .5
98
= 49.0
2
.5
A 5
G
.6
49.0 = 7 min
2
+
$A
E+ .
;
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G 3
9 *3 $ N+& 1/
1, 3, 14 $ K
7
6
:9 1 (2) ;D
n = 3,
∑ x = 18,
∑ x = 206 .
2
CB ;
n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2
s=
n ( n − 1)
' (
J0 !0*
∑(x − µ )
2
σ=
N
7
.
& b µ
.
& b N
'
:
+
10 1 1 *
3 6 14 ,3 ,1
/
7 min K
N+- K
7 1/ 10 1 1 *
3 ,
: 1
,
s 2 = 7 2 = 49 min 2
.C $"
3 & ( *; C Q;0 $"
+ 8" $% ' /# IB*
'
σ
CV = ⋅100%
µ
:
+
1 D
1 R
; $ : * 40 1
5
11 * ,
*3
HT is height in ) d#
O N+& 1 * */ HT *3 .* 1 1/
1 * 6
$ *
6
.(Weight in pounds)*
1G% WT *3
.(inches
.HT, WT 1 1 * K
7
s 26.33lb
CV = ⋅100% = 100% = 15.26% : 1GX *
x 172.55lb
< K
7
.1
1 / 1 1
$A 1 E+
< R *
1/ 9D
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1G% M * 1/ *
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)/
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)/ 3 ? Ae * 1 */ *
11
(
Number AGE HT WT WAIST
1 58 70.8 169.1 90.6
2 22 66.2 144.2 78.1
3 32 71.7 179.3 96.5
4 31 68.7 175.8 87.7
5 28 67.6 152.6 87.1
6 46 69.2 166.8 92.4
7 41 66.5 135.0 78.8
8 56 67.2 201.5 103.3
9 20 68.3 175.2 89.1
10 54 65.6 139.0 82.5
11 17 63.0 156.3 86.7
12 73 68.3 186.6 103.3
13 52 73.1 191.1 91.8
14 25 67.6 151.3 75.6
15 29 68.0 209.4 105.5
16 17 71.0 237.1 108.7
17 41 61.3 176.7 104.0
18 52 76.2 220.6 103.0
19 32 66.3 166.1 91.3
20 20 69.7 137.4 75.2
21 20 65.4 164.2 87.7
22 29 70.0 162.4 77.0
23 18 62.9 151.8 85.0
24 26 68.5 144.1 79.6
25 33 68.3 204.6 103.8
26 55 69.4 193.8 103.0
27 53 69.2 172.9 97.1
28 28 68.0 161.9 86.9
29 28 71.9 174.8 88.0
30 37 66.1 169.8 91.5
31 40 72.4 213.3 102.9
32 33 73.0 198.0 93.1
33 26 68.0 173.3 98.9
34 53 68.7 214.5 107.5
35 36 70.3 137.1 81.6
36 34 63.7 119.5 75.7
37 42 71.1 189.1 95.0
38 18 65.6 164.7 91.1
39 44 68.3 170.1 94.9
40 20 66.3 151.0 79.9
0G< / J0 !0* ,
n ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 ) − ∑ ( f ⋅ x )
2
s=
n ( n − 1)
:
.
– n
7 b f
.7 7 – x
+
,
, $S- $;
S %
1/ : .1A 40 1 '> K
7 /
:
*
: * 1 & 1/ 1 $ N+& . ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 ) ∑ ( f ⋅ x) n $ $G K 7 6
$S- 1 K
7 6
f ⋅ x2 f ⋅x ??
7 f 1
7 ng/ml
x
26952.75 544.5 49.5 11 0–99
268203.00 1794.0 149.5 12 100–199
871503.50 3493.0 249.5 14 200–299
122150.25 349.5 349.5 1 300–399
404100.50 899.0 49.5 2 400–499
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 7080 2
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 1692910
2
:K
7
n ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 ) − ∑ ( f ⋅ x )
2
s=
n ( n − 1)
40 [1692910] − ∑ 7080
2
=
40 ( 40 − 1)
17590000
= = 106.2
1560
:;D 6 09 1 K 7 ,
+
1 1 * ,
$A ) 1A 40 1 '> 1 K
7 ; 1A * ;
( 3
)
3
3
rang 491
s≈ = = 122.75
4 4
J0 !0* C #ﺕ ی
rang
s≈ :;D $A
1A * K
7 ; 1
4
rang = ( highest value ) - ( lowest value ) 7
:;D 6 09 1 K 7 ,
rang 491
s≈ = = 122.75
4 4
!';' 0I*
+
:1/ 515 K
7 100
-
0 7 9 .
.130 70 1 K/ K
7 ') K
*
, 4 *;% 0
1 %75
.145 55 1 K/ K
7 7
)/ 3 K
*
, 4 *;% 0
1 %89
7 ; 1
-) 1 ;
1
.T 1
-)
7DA R K
7
.
K
7 ; 1 T
-) 1
1
M K
G
7 $-' ' $-, 0 O3
(Chebyshev s Theorem) 7 9
J0 20
J0 20 •
:
;D 6 K
R
1) $; 0
* 1 5 (z score)
O
/ 0 K
G#
x−x
z= :
s
x−µ
z= :
σ
.(1 1; 6;/ 0 z ; 6 )
+
7 63.6in H "
2.8in K
7 69.0 in *
*% H
6 76in
* H
78in H 1
6 * 1/ T' .2.5in K
. Z 1 * 1
1
" 1
* 1 * 1 2in G 1 * 1/ () 1
.z score6
$ E+ K
R
0 1 * 1
" 1 1 0 .1
x−µ 78-69.0
z= = = 3.21 /0(
σ 2.8
x−µ 76-63.6
z= = = 4.96 ;
σ 2.5
1 / *
K
7 3.21 *
* 1 / 1 * (*
.1 1 */
O 1P,
.K
7 4.96 "
*
:
- K
G# 6 E+
3 S $;
3 $; 0
$; 7
−2 ≤ z score ≤ 2 )*+ 0G C
3 Z*#ا 3 *Y Z*#ا 3 Z*#ا
-3 -2 0 2 3
*) ;0
12
percentiles of value 112 = ⋅100 = 30
40
( P30 & 112 ? ,
) 30th & 112 ,
1P,
*) ( )0(
*% GA $ P1 , P2 ,..., P99 $ *
# .( Pk ) k $;
GA ()
: k = 1, 2,...99 K/ , k $; 4
أEا
$ *
ت+, اR*
ا[آ4ا[ﺹ\ إ
*#ﺡ
ب ا
k
L= ⋅n
100
&P@ اZ*#د اE – n ،*^
ﻥJ اZ*#P ل9 – k M*ﺡ
kth *^
ﻥJ* ا#ا
:&P آ
یR9 ( Pk )
* L 0ه Z,ﻥ
(* &* ا# ا-
9*9ﺹ &'
(*P &* ا# واL
Z*
ت ا ﺙ+,
ا
2 4P * اZ#
J
* ا ب4 إL ب#ﻥ
( أآ9*9ﺹ
+
* 11111 *
A $ : FA : 1A 1 R
; ,
*
A </ T'
0
+
N+& 3> 7 .;
$ 4 1 O
-%
+
; & 11111 .1
.450 0 172.5 1 1 * 11111 *
A M
.1733 0 119.5 1 M K
7
.1 $S- N
/ $ (/) * -9
.11111 FA *
A $S- (6) *
Histogram SMOKER
15 14
12
11
10
Frequency
2
1
( )أ0@Aا
50
40 39
Frequency
30
20
10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
0
-5000 0 5000 10000 15000
SMOKER
( )ب0@Aا
+
.1A 40 1 1 *3
0
.% 3
3 Q0% Q09 Q
:
$ 1 * /
.;
A $
:*
اZ*# اE( ﻥLO_20 SESSION_ 4) , ) # $A
4b,* ا#ا
500
Q3
400
*+* ا[وﺱ#ا
SMOKER
300
Median
200
100
Q1
0
*ﻥE* ا#ا
:5
:
.., *
"
; 4
; *
*
"
), : $ :
:
+&
- , . *
"
; 4
; *'
*
9
% $&
' () *' +& , $-
'* . 9
% ^
.
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
'
&Q*
9
% $ •
;
Q4 •
;
"
* Q •
^ . 9 •
ا *#اJﺡ
*
=
ا
ﺡ إ 4ی
ر
اdﺡ
* اJﺥ
ری
اdﺡ
*
اJﺥ
ری اdﺡ
*
اJﺥ
ری اdﺡ
* اdﺡ
*
اJﺥ
ری اJﺥ
ری
ا*#
اJﺡ
* ا*#
اJﺡ
*
ا*# ا*#
اJﺡ
* اJﺡ
*
0I* $C # "
7 •
.
"# 5
/ K/ & :
&; 7 •
./
0 G 1 K+ : & :
* 4% •
5
* K/ ."# E
-3 1 :% * & "# "
),
.
-G 1 "# +-
+
:1
1"#
1
Q :1 "
. K :2 "
. {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} : 1
1 "Y "
),
{1 − 1,1 − 2,1 − 3, 1 − 4, 1 − 5, 1 − 6, 2 − 1,… , 6 − 6} :
3 "Y "
),
. 36 1 '> &
7
: N+& 1
O 3D3
, 1 : *
;
(: E+ 0 O
: *
) 1 •
G A : *
1
& . A :
-, 6 a7
*
' O" 6;
: P ( A) G
O <
Number of times A occurred
P ( A) =
Number of times trial was repeated
:
0 @ 0; 3 /*C •
. 1 1
.,
: *
; ;
1 / O :
+
. A . 1 ,
; H
@A 1 1/ *
/
:
& 1 13 1 '>
+& , "
),
1
$A 1
N& * . A $A $ – B : A $A b A :
.6 *
#
$-/ 0 $- @
A/ 710
/ *
OM
O A 855
>
A 6 *
#
:1
$A
6 *
1 E+ . A A
710
P ( A) = = 0.830
855
ا ل ث
+
.& N+& , A 1/ *
6/ . , 13 $; 0 1& @
A% / 1/ T'
O
- : 38 1 7> "
), 1P, E+ .*
R'
O
- (Slot) 4; 38 1 7> 6
:
&
A ., : 37 E
& : 38 ? 1 .2
. 6
1
.*
R'
37
P ( loss ) =
38
ا
ل ث
+
.
- EG E
$ 1/ *
/
1 7> "
), 1/ 6 .
EG $
: 1 7
$ 6 1
$A 1
1/ 7 .+ *
0 3
$A .2
$A
*
K
S 13
11
O K/ 0.0000000001 ? *
1/ 1
A 0 O
E+ O M 6 *
.1 */
7
7 •
. A :
-, : 5
* 1
A G
< G A : $
+
*
* N+& 1 D
O '
A + .+ 105 $-, 1/ 1 1 205 1 +A/
.O+ 1 1/
:
.100 K
:
# 1/
5 105 & , + 1/
100
P(not selecting boy) = P(boy ) = P(girl) = = 0.488
205
0
( )
),%
+ . P ( A ) / P A
(Actual odds in favor) A 7 7 % 0 •
. b : a & A : : ,
),% 1P, a : b & A : :
+
:6 . 35 :1 *
O G
. , $5 6 13 0 & +
.13
@' 6/ .1
.13 0 &
G, + ,
( 6/ .2
N+& , 13 0 &
G, + ,
( 6 */ 1 * ( 6 G
1
, .3
.
1
P(13) = :13 0 & ( *
1P,
O
b1
38
37
P(not 13) = :$;
38
37
P(not 13) 37
actual odds against 13 = = 38 = = 37 :1 :13 : :
@' 0 *
P(13) 1 1
38
13 : :
@'
O
*
G
< K+ ( 1 ( 1 */ 1 6 *
, b3
net profit = 5 × 37=185$ :G' *
, ,
( 1
37 :1 K/
,0 7
( B # A ) ,0 7 •
*
.
O
&D / B : / A : 4
: +& 4 ( A or B ) G
< G ( B / A ) :
:( A or B ) :
Q ( C •
( A or B ) B / A 13 / : *
6
;D () 4
;
P ( A or B ) = P( A) + P( B) − P ( A and B )
.
O B A 13 4 1/ *
& P ( A and B ) /# 7
P ( A or B )
Addition Rule
Are Yes
A and B P ( A or B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B )
Disjoint?
No
P ( A or B ) = P ( A) + P ( B ) − P ( A and B )
Q ( C
+
1 D
O ; 'A
A 5
.D
O
14 D
O , *
/ 85 1-
/ 99 1 0 *
A /
.N
/ 1 * 6
/ 99 1 0 *
A 5
A
A
5 80 *
D
O ,
/
11 3 *
/
* 5
1 / D
O , *
1 1/ *
6/
/ 99? 1 *
/ A + :6
.
- * 5
/ D
O , *
&
/ 99 */ 1
/ 88 - () * 1
88
P(pregnant or positive test) = = 0.889 :6 *
1
99
IB
1F
1 3/ K/ 4
O ;D G .(88=3+5+ 80) 4 * D
O , 1& /
* 1- "
6
83
- 2 6 $3 (85=5+ 80) D
O , * "
6 $3 (83=3+ 80)
*
- "
6
.(
* 1- * "
) 80
% E
O;D
N& , .168=85+
4
88=80b168 :;D 1
* 1- / * "
6 4
; . 0 *
..
6
C
C •
A : $ : *
6
;D () $
;
P( A) + p ( A) = 1
p ( A) = 1 − P( A)
+
.+ 1 1/ *
6
, 0.5121 K
+ 1 1/ *
1
+
P(boy ) = 0.5121
P(boy ) = 1 − P(boy ) = 1 − 0.5121 = 0.4879
/B /+
/B /+ •
.A% : *
0
&/ : 3> 1+ 1
3
& 1D 1
3
1
+
.
Z * b A :
. * b B :
.A% : *
0 3>
- K/ : 1% 1D 1
3
& B A 1
3
2
+
. b A :
.5 $; 0 * b B :
. A : : . B : : *
1% 1D S 1
3
& B A 1
3
$&0'
$&0'
•
1/ T, 4 B : 2; *
*3 P( B A) G
< G A : 2; B : *
.4; ; A :
:1
A% : *
0 3>
&/ : 1/ 1 B A 1
3 1
P( B A) = P ( B )
( C
( C •
. ( A and B )
O B A 13 : *
6
;D () "
;
P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B A) :;D
"
; 0
P ( A and B )
Multiplication Rule
Are
A and B Yes P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B )
Independent
?
No
P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B A)
( C
+
. G ")A
B "
;G
R / 1 + 1
3 W T/
-
: 5 <, .
T'
.O
3
O
&
/ $3 . 1
O
.
3 0%
, " 1 1/ *
6/ b1
.
3 0%
, " 1 1/ *
6/ . 0
$ + O2
1/ *
1 * " 0%
,
1 1/ *
) 1 1
13 1F, . 0
/ + b1
2
:6 *
1
. K
- * *
("
3
,
1
5
2 2 4
P(first ball is R and second ball is R) = ⋅ = = 0.16
5 5 25
1
.
3 : : *
0 3> *% : 1 1 S 1
3 ( . 0
$ + b2
:6 *
2 1 2
P(first ball is R and second ball is R) = ⋅ = = 0.1
5 4 20
"
C3
" 7
:*
1
* * 1
" $
;
.6
1 +' *;% 0
0 * 1/ *
/
"3/ /
" : f,
"*;% 0 " : 1/ 9D •
" " : & "*;% 0 " : $ : •
"*;% 0 " : *
0
19D 1
& $A
+
1/ 03% *
K
+ *
1 T' E+ 03/ *;% 0 % 1 1 1/ *
/ . / 3
-,
/ T'
.< K+ 2 0 3> 2
: 1
3D3 % 1 *;% 0
03/ " = A : 1/ T'
:" ;D $A
< A : *
."+ 3D3 % " = A
( )
P A = P( boy and boy and boy )
1 1 1 1
= ⋅ ⋅ =
2 2 2 8
P( A) = 1 − P A ( )
1 7 :1 $
; $A
=1- =
8 8
3 C
1
. n K
/ M% % * " 0 ( n ! G
< G) n !
G •
n ! = ( n ) ⋅ ( n − 1) ⋅ ( n − 2 ) ⋅… ⋅ ( 2 ) ⋅ (1) :
;
) . n ! K
N& 6 'A
1P, n 1
1
:
; •
.( +& n − 1 6 N
A $ 1/ 1
3
n 6 N
A $ 1/ 1 *%
.1A $ 1 .
A 'A 50!
; .
50! = 50 ⋅ 49 ⋅ 48 ⋅ 47 ⋅ 46 ⋅… ⋅ 2 ⋅1
= 30,414,093,201,713,378,043,612,608,166,064,768
$A *
, 0 'A . 1 . * ,
6
1 S 1 * ;
O 5
1/ 9D 1
.6
; C
n! 50! 50!
n Pr = = = = 50 ⋅ 49 ⋅ 48 ⋅ 47 = 5,527, 200
( n − r )! ( 50 − 4 )! 46!
;& 0* R ; / *
; C
) 'A *
1F, .<
nk ... <
n2 <
n1
-, n
1
+ •
:(
6 .
n!
.
n1 !n2 !… nk !
+
. N+& 7
6 1 'A $ BBBBBAAAA 7
T'
n = 9, n1 = 5, n2 = 4
. A 7 *3
- 4 B 7 *3
- 5 7
9 1 '>
:7
6 'A .
n! 9! 362880
= = = 126
n1 !n2 5!4! 2880
D% C
A
6 $
& K/ 1/ 1 ( r ≤ n )
- r
A n 1
1
•
:
A - 'A . 1P,
n!
. n Cr =
r !( n − r ) !
+
."
T% ; @
A/ 3 1 '> $
* $-'/ 1
A ."
)/ 9 1 , "
% & 7F
:6 1/ <
# R R A E+
."
A . 6/ .1
( 1/ <
# R R)
% 6
A . 6/ .2
:K/ 9 1 3 ., & "
A . 1P, E+ $- S "
6 1 .1
n! 9! 262880
n Cr = = = = 84
r !( n − r ) ! 3!( 9 − 3) ! 4320
1 3 *
&
% 6
A . 1P, E+
& $- 6 1P,
% 6
A .2
:K/ 9
n! 9! 262880
n Pr = = = = 504
( n − r )! ( 9 − 3)! 720
:Q;
Q2
:
4G )
4; 4G *
$S& * 4 * *
. 4G
:
4G 6
A
# E+ *
4G * ;
*' +& , $-
4G 4G 0 A% "G , G .
-3 4; 5
E
-3 4; 5
1 G . *
.
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
Q * •
Q*
4G •
. 4G 4G •
$)'
Q2
x
. * *
4G P ( x) *3 *& .3 / 2 1 $ +AF 1/ 1 x : P( x ) = 1 2
+
3
.ND/
+ . 1% 6 *
4G *3
0
P(0) = =0
3
1
P(1) =
3
2
P(2) =
3
x
.*
4G *3 P( x ) =
3
;D
1 0 ? 1 4 $ 4 ∑ P( x) = 1 1/ K/
Q&
Q2 $*;
+
O
<
& .(Probability Histogram) *
$S&
-&/ 1 4 *
4G *3 .
. 1 O *
; K 0 -9 < $S-
.*' 14 1 '> , :
# b x * T' .
3 *' 14 1
T'
+
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *
x * $ *3 (14) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :
$ +AF x *
. ;
0.20
0.15
P(x)
0.10
0.05
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
x
1/ K/ .1 &
- * T D G , 4 14,...3210 * $; 1/ ,% * 0 9D
4G
*3 , O $- *
;
1 *3
+& .* G *
; *
* *
.*
* $ K
7
1 4 * *
4G / + •
:
σ 2 = ∑ x 2 ⋅ P( x) − µ 2 /
σ= ∑ x 2
⋅ P( x) − µ 2 :CB ; & J0 !0* •
+
.*' 14 1 '> , 1 :
# b x * T' .
3 *' 14 1
T'
x = number of girls among 14 babies
; * *
x * $ *3 (15) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :
$ +AF x *
.K
7 , 6/ .
:
O / 6 K
7 6
. $ 6 $3 x 2 ⋅ P( x) x 2 x ⋅ P ( x)
.() * , -9 x 2 ⋅ P( x) x 2 x ⋅ P ( x)
$;
اﺡ
ل- زیσ 2 وσ ، µ $ 0( ﺡ
ب آ15) ولEا
x P ( x) x ⋅ P ( x) x2 x 2 ⋅ P( x)
0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000
1 0.001 0.001 1 0.001
2 0.006 0.012 4 0.024
3 0.022 0.066 9 0.198
4 0.061 0.244 16 0.976
5 0.122 0.610 25 3.050
6 0.183 1.098 36 6.588
7 0.209 1.463 49 10.241
8 0.183 1.464 64 11.712
9 0.122 1.098 81 9.882
10 0.061 0.610 100 6.100
11 0.022 0.242 121 2.662
12 0.006 0.072 144 0.864
13 0.001 0.013 169 0.169
14 0.000 0.000 196 0.00
اع 6.9930 52.467
∑ [ x ⋅ P( x)] ∑ x 2 ⋅ P( x)
σ= ∑ x 2
⋅ P( x) − µ 2 = 3.564951 = 1.9
0G H)*
+
.*' 14 1 '> , 1 :
# b x * T' .
3 *' 14 1
T'
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *
x * $ *3 (17) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :
$ +AF x *
J
& 14 ? *
'% 1 ' 13 . *& . ;
(17) *
:
#
X(Girls) P(x)
0 0.000
1 0.001
2 0.006
3 0.022
4 0.061
5 0.122
6 0.183
7 0.209
8 0.183
9 0.122
10 0.061
11 0.022
12 0.006
13 0.001
14 0.000
P(13 or more)
,* #
P(13 or more) = P(13) +P(14)
= 0.001+0.000
=0.001
.
S & 14 ? *
'% 1 ' 13
O M P(13 or more) *
1/ 9D
$40 QC
(18) *
x ⋅ P( x) P ( x) x :
$0.2745 0.001 $274.50 (
-$0.4995 0.999 -$0.5
A
-$0.225 2
$*U Q2
.F G
- G (Failure) *' S G
- G (Succes) W
:1
"# 1 1'
:
G $A
.6
– n
n 1
– x
( P ( S ) = p )
, W
*
– p
( P( F ) = q )
, *' *
O q
.(
A 1 , (a,b,c,d,e)
A 5 *> * / 4 4) 7 6D
A
1 / $
;
7 1/ .)
A 1
A 4) ,
AD
O
- F- S 1
6D / 1/ T'
:6 .% X
3 0 )
6
& * *
. 4G 5 "# *& .a
. q p x n $; 4G 5 "# 1
+ .b
:
4G A 4G 5 "# 1
, 1
.a
: 4G ;D $A n , W x 0 * * ; 6 1
n!
P( x) = p x q n− x
x !( n − x ) !
:
.6
– n
n 1
– x
.
, W
*
– p
.
, *' *
O q
+
/ 1/ T' .(
A 1 , (a,b,c,d,e)
A 5 *> * / 4 4) 7 6D
A
1 / $
;
6
+& * *
6
6 .)
A 1
A 4) ,
AD
O
- F- S 1
6D
:6 .% X
3 0 )
:5
4G 4 . "# 1/ $
1
. n = 4
A / 4
.5
. x = 3
)
3 0 * *
.6
. p = 1/ 5 = 0.2 * , (( 6) W
*
.7
. p = 1 − p = 1 − 0.2 = 0.8 * , (( S 6) *' *
.8
:;D $A
6 % X )
3 0 6
& * *
n!
P( x) = p x qn− x
x !( n − x ) !
4!
= ⋅ 0.23 ⋅ 0.84 −3 =
3!( 4 − 3) !
4!
= ⋅ 0.008 ⋅ 0.8
1!3!
=0.0256
:/0
O
A
/ T' .0.723 K
; , * 1/ *
1P, O
1
A + .1
:
6/
6
. ; , *;% 0
N+& 1 5 * 1/ *
/ ./
. ; , 3% 0
N+& 1 2 * 1/ *
/ .6
. ; ,
N+& 1
1 3/ * 1/ *
/ .
$* Q2
0 !0* ' =&
+
.*' 14 1 '> , 1 :
# b x * T' .
3 *' 14 1
T'
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *
x * $ *3 (19) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :
$ +AF x *
.K
7 6/ . ;
:
q = 1/ 2 p = 1/ 2 n = 14 <, 4G *3 "#
1
µ = np = 14 ⋅ = 7.0
2
1 1
σ = npq = 14 ⋅ ⋅ = 1.9
2 2
$*; Q2
$*; Q2
0 !0* ' =&
1/
( 2
*
) *
, : 2; *3 * 1/
: 2
1;
*
4G < *
, E+ .T 1
-) * *
0.9292 ⋅ 2.71828−0.929
P(2) = = 0.17
2!
1 6
1/ 4;
576 K
0.17 K
1 2
; 6
1/ *
1/
.2
567 ⋅ 0.170 = 97.9 1 )
$* Q2
,0 $*; Q2
+
A 3 1 7> $; 4 <A K+ $; .
(
A 3 1 $;
A $0.5 H 4, 9 ,
.$ 365 *DA ,
( 1/ *
6j/ .$ * 6
O A T' .
O N
A $
. p = 1/1000 $ , ( *
n = 365 : 4G . "# 1/
:
365!
P(1) = p1q 365−1 = 0.2536
1!( 356 − 1) !
:1
:6 .D
O ' 11 $
*
O A 760
-
; ,
. N+& , $ , / ./
. $ , 1/ *
/ .6
. $ ,
*;% 0 1/ *
/ .
Vj $/ N+& ,
$ * 1G&
1/ "
/ 0 6 *&
5
0 O
.:
.,
)
:/ +
$ ;& Q2
:
.G
- 9 K
G K
4G 4G $9 4G *
,
3 4
:
.
-
T G
- 9 $-
<
4G *' +& , $-
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
Q*
,
3 4
•
Q$9 4G 4G •
.
-
T G
- 9 •
%+ Q;
K
x2 ; K
/ Ml/ x1 ; K
/ / * ; 1 1/ *
.(19) *
1 &
x2 ?
;
$ x1 ?
;
$ 1 ,
3
0.7
P( x1 ≤ x ≤ x2 )
0.5
50.5
x1 x2 51.5 52.5
50 51 52 53
(19 )*
/ Ml/ x1 ; K
/ / * ; 1 1/ *
1/ : ,
3 *
; 1 *
. x2 ?
;
$ x1 ?
;
$ 1 ,
3
K
x2 ; K
I* Q2
*;
51.5
*;
1 ,
3 4
K
*
+& 1F,
O
:K
% 1
1 *
K
N& . 52
ﺡ
لJ
' اT آ-
Area = 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25
0.5
. σ K 7 & 3 µ & *% :1i j , 4G •
Value
(21 )*
J0 $ ;& Q2
0.4
0.3
0.2
Area =1
0.1
0.0
µ -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
(22 )*
.K
4G ,% * 0 ,
*3 (Z score) Z 20 # J0 20 •
1
K
G# 0 K
4G
*3 K
G# ; , *
;
G# ;
R' 1
.
A * 1 /
/
&
1 N& .(23) *
.*
; , K
0.4
0.3
Probability
0.2
0.1
0.0
z
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
(23) 0@Aا
J0 Q2 J0 0G Q2 /
:
$A
K
G# 0 * $; * 1
x−µ
z=
σ
;D 1 z ; 6 K
S 4G , x ; K
/ M/ * ; 1 1/ *
6
.K
4G 1 z ? ., *
; 6 $3
x−µ
z=
σ 0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
P P
0.0
z
K
S 4G K
4G
x -4 -3 -2 -1
0
1 2 3 4
(24) 0@Aا
$* Q2
.
m M
7DA & 0j .A% 1 7A & $ *3
# $ .
4G
m 4G (Sampling distribution of the means)&
$*V Q2 •
. n $ R'
-
* *
+
N+& 1 1; 1 '>
O
A 1/
/ T' .1,2,5 & $; 3 1 '>
T'
1
4G / .(AZ
A $3 1 N $3
A )
4
.
4G / $3 2 $
*
* 6 $3 .
4
&
A 1 2
-
1
*
$ . N+& *
*
* (23)* 1 . N&
A
sum of values
mean = :;D .,
6
9
. 2.7 K
1 * 1 .1/9K
$ 4 *
1/
1+2+5
µ= = 2.7 :
3
* J#
W / " *
&
& J
' (
& /# IB*
.( J# /
(18) *
*
1/9 1.0 1,1
1/9 1.5 1,2
1/9 3.0 1,5
1/9 2.5 2,1
1/9 2.0 2,2
1/9 3.5 2,5
1/9 3.0 5,1
1/9 3.5 5,2
1/9 5.0 5,5
2.7
;*
$* Q2
:&
.( S /
V 1 1/ 1 4G) . σ K
7 µ < x * .1
$ ) . n $ R'
- :
1 A
N+& 4
1 .2
(6A 1/ , ' R'
- 1 n $ R'
-
1 K/ 1/ :
6
A
:(*
. n ; G
4G 1 6 x
*
4G .1
4G ) µ
K
* $ .2
.( µ K
1 , <
1 , <
4G K
7 ) σ K
* $ K
7 .3
n
.( σ K
n
1 3/ / 30 $ 1
*
4G 1P,
O R
1) *
4G 1
+ .1
1/ 6
- 4G 1 7
+ "
3 E
&) 4G 1 * 6 1/
.(*
;
N& 1 30 1 3 /
$ 1
.( 4G & $ K/ 1
*
4G 1P,
O
1) *
4G 1
+ .2
&
J0 P&
1)
1 n $ +
4
A $ +
:1
& σ K
K
7 µ K
K/ µ K
µ x G
- G
$ •
µx = µ
K/ σ K
<; σ x G
< G
$ K
7 •
n
σ
σx =
n
&
J0 P&
O )/ 0 σ x
20 <* 0I* D;&
+
)' C03 $%
( n = 4 )
4 1 '>
A
/ T' . 0,1, 2,3, 4, 5, 6, 7,8,9 $
;% 1 7F
1/ T'
.
4 *
4G 1
0 *
4G 1P, E+
&
A $ 1/ , 9 R'
-
$
;/ 4
9 . 6,
O R
0 4G 30 1 3 M/ n 1/
.
O $9
4G 1/ U
1 </ 1 $S 0 .A ;& 1 4G 1/ U
1 G
-
1
A% % $
;% * $ E+ . .< 5 1/ 1
4G & R
P, 4G &
.(24) * , $
;% N+& * $&
A $ 7A 6
50 ? K $;
% $
;% $) %
% +AF ) $; 200 $) 0 *
, $
;% 4
+
K
; 0 * (
1)
-) (21) * 1 6
50 * K $; ,
A%
$ +AF
:
1Z .(25) * <3 4G s = 2.8 K
K
7 x = 4.5
$ 1
O9 R
0 *
4G 1/ 1 $S 0 </ 9D .(21) * <
50 *
.(26) * 1
4G 1 6; *
4G 1P, ( n = 4 ) O M
? @
A% 1G%
+ G
$ .* 2004 / @A 12 ? 4 5G 6
;
T'
"/%
" 1 "
1
O G 3/
1 *
1/
.( 2004 /12 = 167 ) * 167 1 3/ 12
172 K
<; 4G < * 1
*
1G/ 1/
+ .* 12 6
, 1
:6 * 29 K
<, *
.* 167 1 / * N
A $ * 1G 1 1/ *
/ .1
.* 167 1 / * $&
A $ * 12 ? 1 1/ *
/ .2
1 1, K
< <; 4G < * 1
*
1G/ 1/
.1
1 /
4G
1 * 167 1 / * N
A $ * 1G 1 1/ *
6
:
K
4G $A
x−µ 167 − 172
z= = = −0.17
σ 29
:;D
z ; Tm
1 2
− ( z)
2
e
y= = 0.5679
2π
.
O
4G
@
A * $A
.
*
;
1
9 $A * 167 1 / * $&
A $ * 12 ? 1 1/ *
# .2
E+
O
, *
4G 1P, .30 1 M/ $ 1/ 1 $S 0 G
-
:
<D
j 1
O )/
O * 12 1 '> 1) 4G 1
µ x = µ = 172
σ29
σx = =
= 8.37158
n 12
:1/ 29 1 O σ x = 8.37158 K
7 $A 4 1 , ) . 2
P
x − µx 167 − 172
z= = = −0.60
σx 29
12
(*
.D
O 167 1 3/ @A 1G 1 1/ *
1 / D
O 167 G
@A 12 1G/ 1 1/ *
A $
( n > 0.05 N ) N
$ 1 5% 1 / n $ -
1
N −n
:
( *
<) . 1 σ x K
( $ 1/ 6
&
1
N −1
σ
S
1 1/ 6 σ x = ;D 1 σ x K
; 6
G
- 9 .
n
; ( 1
& .
1
A $ -
1
1 3 , 1 .-
N −n
:
6 σ x
N −1
$* Q2
,0 $ ;& Q2
: + 4G 0 6mj 1/ 1 * * 4G
nq ≥ 5
np ≥ 5
+
1 *;/
# 1/ 1 F 1/
0 6 ; 1 6
6
* $
&/ 6 .
- W 1) 0
1G 1/ :
1) G 1/ < W 0%
1
4
) < W 0% T'A 1
;
0
1/ *
6 * $&
A $
O 200
1
+ .* 120 *;% 0 $- 6 200 1 / 6
."
*
1 R' K
1/ T, .*;% 0 * 120 $- 1
* ( n = 200 ) 6
1
3
: * & F N+- ., *
.( p = 0.5 ) * *
:
/ / *
& * 6
1 6
A *3
1 3% *
6
6 : ) GD
6 F N+& , S 4G ;D $A
: . : 4G 0 4G 6mn E+ (
$
6
6
80
. 0.0029 K
&
O
* 1 / 4G ;D 1 6 6 *
(*
.$
& . O *) *
D
O 120 *;% 0 6 200 1 1 1/ *
(21) *
$; ,
A% % $
;% $
;X
6
50 * K x
4 6 8 1 4.75
6 3 3 5 4.25
8 8 8 9 8.25
5 2 1 5 3.25
5 3 3 9 5.00
2 6 2 4 3.50
6 1 7 7 5.25
4 5 1 9 4.75
9 3 3 5 5.00
1 4 8 7 5.00
1 6 5 0 3.00
2 2 8 9 5.25
7 5 1 6 4.75
0 3 1 8 3.00
9 6 9 5 7.25
4 3 2 6 3.75
7 0 4 7 4.50
6 5 7 5 5.75
7 5 1 4 4.25
6 0 2 1 2.25
8 2 0 4 3.50
5 2 1 3 2.75
0 4 3 0 1.75
0 1 5 1 1.75
0 4 7 9 5.00
1 1 3 7 3.00
3 1 1 9 3.50
9 5 6 8 7.00
1 4 6 5 4.00
5 9 3 9 6.50
3 7 0 6 4.00
6 9 2 8 6.25
6 8 2 0 4.00
7 9 0 2 4.50
0 9 8 5 5.50
9 4 5 6 6.00
6 7 8 4 6.25
0 2 1 7 2.50
0 5 9 2 4.00
2 2 3 8 3.75
6 1 7 2 4.00
1 7 7 6 5.25
9 3 3 2 4.25
5 7 4 2 4.50
7 3 4 5 4.75
8 3 4 0 3.75
6 8 5 2 5.25
4 3 1 7 3.75
0 7 3 8 4.50
7 6 6 5 6.00
20
Frequency
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
(25) 0@Aا
20
Frequency
10
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
distribution of 50 sample means
(36) *
:0' Q
' ( 0 0; 0
:
4G FA d
& 3 *
3 K
7
1
.4 K
4G t
:
$ . d;
FA d
& K
7 . *' +& , $-
.4 K
4G t 4G R
. ; FA d
& G
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
.
1 . •
•
. 1
.1
. 4G 1
4G .2
. 4G 0 4G 6 1/ 1 .3
•
. p
1 *),/ & p̂ 1
x
.( pˆ = ) 0 W
*3 p̂ 1 :
n
+
.
;
4) * R
"/ , */ 1 %
/ ,
/
*3 $A $-)
1 / $- %51 1/ 1 H
@A 829 1 +A/ ."
1
.
; $A T, E , 1
*),% / .
N+&
&
1 *),/ 1/
0.51 & 1
$A T
@
A
.0.51 &
$A 1)
1+ 1
*),/ 1P, E+ 1
1
0 * */ 1
$A : "
# / *' +& ,
.
*/ 1
$A @A < 0 .
.
*DA 1
1) $-
' N+& ,
1 :& 4G . ,
1
1
N+& , .A% 1
3 0 *' W
*
Q(*, / W
) 5
1, Q 6
Q6
. 4G 0 4G 6
.
& 6 & 6
0
. p
1 *),/ & p̂ 1 1 N+& .
x
.( pˆ = ) 0 W
*3 p̂ 1 :
n
1 *
(
-' 1P,
1 0 G
' N+& 1/ 1 $S 0
1) / *
&
1) / *
*), 1/ : .
.
' ( / ;* 0
' + .
1) *),/ & 1) 1/ 5
*DA 1
0
1
#
*/ 1 . +&
1
, K/
1 1 <P,
.3 3 *
IB
:D
O 3, ( * 3 *
$-' 1 6
. 95% 3 0.476 < p ≤ 0.544 3 *
829 1 '>
1
+
+A/ + A/ / . p K 0.544 0 0.476 1 *
1/ 95% 13
/ +&
K
N+& 1 %95 1P, * ., 3 *
"
; 829 1 7>
- *
1 O
.0.95 & 0.544 0 0.476 1 *
1) p ; 4 1/ *
1/ * FA 1 . p ?
' ( / ;* 0
z=0
zα / 2
+
.95% *
3 , zα / 2 /
: α ; 1
0.95 / 95% *
3
α = 1 − 0.95 = 0.05
: zα / 2 ; 1/ 5
O
. α / 2 = 0.025
zα / 2 = 1.96
() * 9
− zα / 2 = −1.96 zα / 2 = 1.96
' ( / ;* 0
1 .' 09 G
1/ *
) 9%
A & E G
< G FA d
&
7 zσ / 2 " FA d
& ; 0 .( 1 − α & 1)
-9D $
: 1) K
ˆˆ
pq
E = zσ / 2
n
: A 4 1 3 ., 3 *
:1/ . .1
Q & b
Q
, 4G b
. 4G 6 1/ 1 4G 1 b
.0 3 , zσ / 2 / .2
. E = zσ / 2 pq
ˆ ˆ n :;D 1 FA d
& / .3
pˆ − E ≤ p ≤ pˆ + E :
3 *
p̂ 1) E FA d
& $A
.4
.
' $
;/ 3 0
$ 6; .5
+
.
;
4) * R
"/ , */ 1 %
/ ,
/
1 ( &
A 1/ T') H
@A 829 1 +A/ ."
1
:6 .
N+& *3 $A $-)
1 / $- %51 1/
. 51% ± 3.4% 6 .3.4% FA d - 51% H 1) : - $ O S N& *3
;
$A 1)
1
S 1/ U
1
5
0 O
.3
50% 1 / F R 3 *
1% E+ "
1
.
.( 50% 1 / $; 0 50% 1 M/ $; 1 3 *
)
1 FA d
& ;D $A 1
N& , .
; FA d
& G
: $
O
/ 6
q̂ p̂ 1 * ; *
& , p̂ 1
O
/ 1 . p̂ 1) ; , 6 ;D N+&
<
N+& , . 0.25 K
; $9/
- 1 pq
ˆ ˆ " ; 1/ & 0.5
q̂ p̂ 1 * * , 6 . 0.5
:1
G
3 •
:;D
0 $
& . 1) p̂
[ z ] pq
n = α /2 2
ˆˆ
E
*+ •
:;D
$ 0
N& , . 1) p̂
n=
[ zα / 2 ] ⋅ 0.25
E2
+
, *
D
-, $A *G
7 1/ 2
$ @A 1/ T'
:1
1
1 * , 4% G
FA d
& 95% 3 *
1 : $ 6 .%
2
[z ]
n = α /2
ˆˆ
pq
2
E
2
n=
[1.96] ⋅ 0.169 ⋅ 0.831 = 337.194 = 338
0.04 2
n=
[ zα / 2 ] ⋅ 0.25
2
E
n=
[1.96]
⋅ 0.25
= 600.25 = 601
0.04 2
.
- ( M%
- n $ ; 0
+
IB
' (
& 0
J0 !0* %0 *
&0' •
. 1
.1
.,
K
7 ; .2
. 4G 1
0 4G / 30 1 / $ .3
(* •
.
*),/ & x
+
x = 98.20 F 6
$ .$- * $
R
; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1 A/
.,
K
7 ; 1
0
' N& , G
. , 1 K
7 , 6 1,
S 79 N& *3
& 0 * P& X "
K
7 K
3 ., FA d
& •
σ
E = zα / 2 ⋅ .3 *
,
O ) $ R'
-
n
x − E < µ < x + E : 3 *
•
IB
σ
. = K
7
2G
- $ R'
-
1/ G
- 9
/
n
µ &
+
( )0(
:
A 4 3 ., µ 3 *
:1/ . .1
Q & b
Q 30 1 / $ / * 2G
b
.0 3 , zσ / 2 / .2
. E = zα / 2 ⋅ σ
:;D 1 FA d
& / .3
n
x − E ≤ µ ≤ x + E :
3 *
x E FA d
& $A
.4
.
' $
;/ 3 0
$ 6; .5
:
;D 1 1 3 µ ; $ $GD $ 1 K
7 ; ,
2
z σ
n = α /2
E
::
Q6 3 , – zσ / 2
Q6 "
A d
& b E
.
K
7 b σ
+
E = 2 FA d
-
0 *
&
A $ 1/ 6 $
. σ = 15
K
7 1/
O 95% *
3
:;D 1 $ 6
2
z σ
n = α /2
E
. σ = 15 zα / 2 = 1.96 E = 2 ::
2
1.96 ⋅15
n= = 216.09 = 217
2
.
$ 1 5% 1 M/ $ 1
E+ N
$ . n $ 1/ 9D
.K
7 FA d
& 6 3 N $ 1/
O )/ 9D
' (
& 0
J0 !0* %0 *
•
. 1
.1
. 4G 1
0 4G / 30 1 / $ .2
•
.
*),/ & x
+
. x = 98.20 F 6
$ .$- * $
R
; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1 A/
.
$A 1
1/ T'
*),/ + 30 1 / n = 106 1/
. 1
1/ T'
. µ = 98.20 F . &
., S
K
7 ; 1
0
' N& , G
. ,
O
<, K
7 , 1/ + .
79 N& *3
7 K
(, S σ )
3 ., FA d
& •
.3 *
,
O ) $ R'
-
K
s
E = tα / 2 ⋅
n
K
7 K
(, S σ )
3 ., FA d
&
- 9
/ .3 *
,
O) $ R'
-
σ
E+ , S σ 1/
. = K
7
2G
- $ R'
-
1/ G
n
(t-distribution) t 4G 1 ' tα / 2 ; $A s K
7 ; &
- ; $A
:FA d
& (
. zα / 2 4G 1 1
s
E = tα / 2 ⋅
n
: 1F, . n $ 1 K
7 s x 1
.
O
0 4G 1
+ •
•
x −µ
t=
s
n
. n $ 1
*
E+ t 4G ., 2G
0 (0
.
-
$; 0 T, M 1/ 1 $ &
1 •
:;D
0 n K
-
1 1P, 6
+&
*/ 1 •
+
.80 *
"
#
,
&G/
1/ 6D 10 1 '>
T'
.
E
.800 1 1/ 6 $-
2 1P, 80 *
"
#
,
&G/
1/
.9 K
1P,
6D
, 10 ? 1% , 6D 9
M
0.1
-4 -2 0 2 4
tα / 2 (0 (
α /2
z=0
tα / 2
+
.105 95% *
3 , tα / 2 /
: α ; 1
0.95 / 95% *
3
α = 1 − 0.95 = 0.05
: tα / 2 ; 1/ 5 Mintab 5
$A
. α / 2 = 0.025
tα / 2 = 1.984
(, S σ ) µ &
+
( )0(
:
A 4 3 ., µ 3 *
:1/ . .1
Q & b
Q 30 1 / $ / * 2G
b
.0 3 , tσ / 2 / .2
. E = zα / 2 ⋅ s :;D 1 FA d
& / .3
n
:
3 *
x E FA d
& $A
.4
.
' $
;/ 3 0
$ 6; .5
+
x = 98.20 F 6
$ .$- * $
R
; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1 A/
&
0 (
+
( %0 * P& X "
x=
( upper confidence limit ) + ( lower confidence limit )
.1
2
E=
( upper confidence limit ) - ( lower confidence limit ) FA d
& .2
2
+
6 . 95% *
3 [24.056, 27.218] *
1) 4 @
A% 1 1/ T'
.FA d
& ;
& .1
x=
( upper confidence limit ) + ( lower confidence limit )
2
27.218+24.065
= = 25.6 year
2
P& X " .2
E=
( upper confidence limit ) - ( lower confidence limit )
2
27.218 - 24.065
= = 1.6 year
2
' 0
•
. 1
.1
.('
1
0) 4G 1
4G .2
•
. σ
*),% *3 s
2 2
.
) *
,
A K
7 ; U
1 3 1/ +
1
0.10
0.05 df=10
0.00
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.07
0.06
0.05 df=20
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0.00
0 10 20 30 40 50
.* * 1/ 6 19 ; ; 1 3 */ 1
+
.9 K
1/ T,/ .- * , 0.025
&
4 K
4G /
*/ 1 χ = 19.023
2
R χ = 2.700
1
2
R Minitab 5
$A
.
$ < 4 K
4G * -9 . n = 9
0.025
0.025
χ L2 = 2.700 χ R2 = 19.023
6 3 *
1F, 4 K
4G 9
$ 6 .4 K
4G $A 6 3 *
6
; 1 3 */ 1 .* * FA
6
$ 1/ 6 * . s 2 ± E *
.* *
1/ 6
19
;
' 0 * +
(
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ 2 ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL
: A 4 3 ., µ 3 *
:1/ . .1
Q & b
. * 2G
b
.., * ,
( n − 1) 0 3 , χ L2 χ R2
$ .2
:
3 *
s 2 χ L2 χ R2 $A
.3
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ 2 ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL
.
' $
;/ 3 0
$ 6; .4
.;D
K
7D 3 *
.5
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL
+
7 x = 98.20 F 6
$ .$- * $
R
; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1 A/
4G 1
1) 4G 1 1
1/ T' s = 0.62 F K
:/ 95% 3 1
. σ 3 *
.1
2
&
1) *),/
4G 1
4G 1
1/
. s 1)
105 K
*/ 1 Minitab *3
A 5 $A
4 K
4G 1
-
$
$
:
0 3 *
χ R2 = 74.222 χ R2 = 129.561 1/ 5 . α / 2 = 0.025
(16 − 1) ( 0.622 ) 2
(16 − 1) ( 0.622 )
≤σ ≤
129.561 74.222
2
0.31 ≤ σ ≤ 0.54
α /2 α /2
χ L2 χ R2
: 0' $*+ 0' J
40 0;
:
*+ +
A 1+ +
A &%
A
# ), -,
), ),
. *+ +
A K
:
GA *'
W .
*
)'
A
*' +& , $-
.
- * $A
1 * *
)'
A
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
.
*
)'
A •
.
)'
A
GA •
40 0;
)'
A .
*'
- $
& "
Y 1
% 1/G
-
)'
A */ 1 *' +& ,
- $
# .*' +& ,
- $-
.*' +& ,
$&
' ()
N+& , *A *; .
1 3 , 1
A
40 •
.
@A 1
A * "
/ & )'
40 0 •
.
A * "
A */ 1
& )'
A
+
:*' +& ,
O
& .
&
A 1 +
), 1 1/ (
."
1
. 1 1 6S/ 1/ 0 1 / .1
. 98.6o F H "
% @
A% $
/
1/ *
, 13
0 .2
.
:
; & O
- < $
%
G 1/ 6 *' +- " *;
+
+ 0 * ,
G G UG ( "
6 K+ "2
A" < 5
;
79 +
A */ 1 "
;G 79 , 5 .%80 ( : 03/ 0 * ,
G %85 ( :
$- 1/ T' .:
0 * 1 1+ 1
/ 100 0
/
/ T' .03%
A */ 1 &G
R $A
.3/ K/ < R "2
A" UD 1/ T' 7
A */ 1 .&G 79
, "
1
+ 3/ K/ < R " 2
A" UD 1/ * K+ "
1 U
+
K/ $A 1 $
:$- *' 100 $- (/
/ 100?
J03/ 52 .1
J03/ 97 .2
1/ 1 N+& 1/ 5
P, 50 0 O ; 52 1/
' 50 0 * 4;
, .1
.
O 3/ K/ < R " 2
A" UD 1/ * K+ "
.- :
O O
O3 1 * 1/
/ N+& $
/ .,
-3 6 1 :
& ' 97 .2
.
O R 3/ K/ < R " 2
A" UD 1/ * K+ "
1/ / 4; ;
)' (
' ) -,
)' :&
)'
A "
3/ A
%
$- *' +& ,
*% 1 FA ( P − value )
&% *
A
#
:
*
d;
: .
3 1 FA
. )' -,
)' "
/ + •
.
A
# ; 6
"
/ + •
. $ &% 0/ + •
.
A
# ; / + •
. $A 1 *
)'
A 5
1 •
."
A 1/ 1
3 1 FA *% 1 FA •
% 40 •
)
; 1/ 0 @ & ( H 0 G
- G ) -,
)'
."
- @
-' & (B...
. H 0
-), $ / H 0 )' T, 0
- , *
-/ T' E+
H 0 )'
A $
+
. 98.6 F H "
% @
A $
/
1/ *
, 13
0
o
: H 0 )'
H 0 : µ = 98.6 F
40 0; ;0
; 40 •
)
; 1/ 0 @ & ( H a / H1 G
- G ) )'
.( H 0 )' 1 7A) "
- @ 1 7A (B...
+
. 98.6o F H "
% @
A $
/
1/ *
, 13
0
: )' (
*
H1 : µ > 98.6 F , H1 : µ < 98.6 F , H1 : µ ≠ 98.6 F ,
/
3 &
. * 50% 1 G 1/ 1
S :
)
* 0 "
. p > 0.5 :K/ "
*+ &
. 1 1/ 6 p ≤ 0.5
1/ 5
A p > 0.5
K/ ( S "
1
+
++ &
K/ H1 )'
-
K p > 0.5
1/
H1 : p > 0.5
:% "
,
K
; * )' & -,
)' *
H 0 : p = 0.5
2
+
:
"
1
.$;/ 7 3% 0 H 1,
*/
. H1 40 H 0 )'
3 &
. µ ≤ 7 :
)
* 0 "
*+ &
. 1 1/ 6 µ > 7
1/ 5
A µ ≤ 7
K/ ( S "
1
+
++ &
J# H1 )'
-
K µ > 7
1/
H1 : µ > 7
:% "
,
K
; * )' & -,
)' *
H0 : µ = 7
40 0; ;0
(0; ))
χ2 =
( n − 1) s 2
σ2
+
1 $- 56% 1/ 1 %
,
O
* $&
A $
.
880
,
S 1 0 @ K+ "
*
A
# ; / .( pˆ = 0.56 ) "
.
."
. 1 1%
. N+& 1/ T' 7 1Z ,
)# 1 . 1/ 6 </ 7
' ,
: H1 H 0 )' O /
p̂ − p
z=
pq
n
0.56 − 0.5
z= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880
S*
0.56
.,
- O 6 1
S ; z = 3.56 1/
*' 1 $
. 1 1+ 1
1/ * )'
.0.5 1 () *
. S ( H 0 )') 0.5 K
"
0; ) •
-,
)' T, * +
A , $A
1 6 ; 1
A
. H0
/ x *3
1
-
$
*
&
$
A
A
. H 0 )' 1/ T, 4 χ 2 / t z *3 G ; s K
7
. H 0 )' R
W) E
& 1
+
, 1
$A 1/
& 1
:& *' +& ,
-A
A
#
:;*
(# / 0; ) .4
p̂ − p
z=
pq
n
:&
(# / 0; ) .5
x −µ
z=
σ
n
/
x −µ
t=
s
n
:&
(# / 0; ) .6
χ2 =
( n − 1) s 2
σ2
40 0; ;0
((0 &* )
A 1
)' T
A . $
4G 0 1 , &
G , *+ •
. *+ +
-) K
*+ + 1
-) 1+ +
.K
1, 0 1 :/
88 0; O
K
7 0 1 :J0
8 8 0; b
. 7 0 1 :$*
8 8 0; b
.
- ; * 1
1; 0 α ; $ 1+ +
A
: . *+ + / K
*+ + 1+ +
A 1
+
, 4 )'
A . 1
, <
# $A
.1+ +
A 1 )'
, ≠
# $A
+
A 1 )'
, >
# $A
.K
*+ +
A 1 )'
. *+
)( * .
&
A 1 * N
/ 1
ذی 0ی
ري
ذی 0ی*&
اﺥ
ر ذو ذی ،$*Pاdﺵ
رة ا
H1 Eه& ≠
اﺥ
ر ذو ذی 0ی
ري ،اdﺵ
رة ا
H1 Eه& <
اﺥ
ر ذو ذی 0ی*& ،اdﺵ
رة ا
H1 Eه& >
:
1 * z / α = 0.05 &/ $A
+
. p ≠ 0.5 )' .1
. p < 0.5 )' .2
. p > 0.5 )' .3
).( 4G 6 */ 1 $A 1/ 1 4G 1/ T,/
0 ; K/ 4G , 0 4 + p ≠ 0.5 & )' 1/
.1
.
0 ; 7
z = 1.96, z = −1.96, :
O
, $ α / 2 = 0.025
α = 0.05
0 ; K/ 4G
0 4 + p < 0.5 & )' 1/
.2
z = −1.645 :1/ 5 A 5
A * $A
# .
0 ; K/ 4G 1 0 4 + p > 0.5 & )' 1/
.3
z = 1.645 :1/ 5 A 5
A * $A
# .1
40 0; ;0
) (
/
اﺥ*
ر ذو ذی 0ی
ري
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ر ذو ذی 0ی*&
اJﺥ
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*
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ا *#اJﺡ
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= = = =
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A
6
)'
A 6
+& ,
•
:
&
. H 0 )' T, .1
. H 0 )' T, , *, .2
00 0 •
:
. $A
+A H 0 )' T, $ / T, *
:(Traditional method)
0& .1
. ,
A
; + H 0 )' T, -
. ,
A
4 $ + H 0 )' T, , *, -
S* 00
.^
E
&%
; $A :0 0 0& .1
*
1) 4
; 1/ 0 @ "
K/ T, :(P-value method) +
( 0& .2
.3
+
&
/ $3 1+ +
A/ K
/ *+ +
A 5
+
,
. H 0 )' *
;
p > 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "
A */ 1 α = 0.05 &% $A .a
. z = 1.18
A
;
p ≠ 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "
A */ 1 α = 0.05 &% $A .b
. z = 2.34
A
4G
*3
. *+ +
A 1/ 5 p > 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "
4 .a
:1/ 5 "
5 $A
/ * 1 .
A
; 1 0 K
for z = 1.18
P − value = 0.1190
O
. H 0 )' T, 4 E+ P − value > α &% 1 /
1/
.,
-
4G
') *3
.1+ +
A 1/ 5 p ≠ 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "
4 .b
:1/ 5 "
5 $A / * 1 .
A
; 1 0 K
for z = 2.34
P − value = 2 × 0.0096 = 0.0192
O
M
. H 0 )' T, 4 E+ P − value < α &% 1 *;/
1/
.,
-
1 . $A 1 )
< $ 1/ 6 -,
)' T, $ / T, *
- U
:
- U
S
., A
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J $ &@ یجد
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p'
ن رo حgا
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ت ا+,
no' ر0ه د
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ﺡdا $
H0 "&Pد
ء ا[ﺹJ" ا P <%
$
J
$t J *,*
ت ا+,
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ح آgو
د
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ء ا[ﺹJ" ا
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A 1 )
< $ 1/ 6 -,
)' T, $ / T, *
- U
*
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$ 1/ + E+ . "
D
O , $
1/ 0 @
</ A 1
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$
& ), ( : <S
*," / "*;" ( $A " $- ." H 0 )' T, *," * ." H 0 )' *;" $A 4 T
. H 0 )' T, ,
* 1)
1/ * , 1 . H 0 )' 1&
F G 1/ 6 "T,
.$- # % 1 '
</ , 1' & *
< +&
* W) 1 '
"
.& ; H 0 )' 1/ ; <% O
/ R
6 "*;" (
.
-A *)' ; 3/ " H 0 )' T, , *, "
.
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6 " H 0 )'
;
0; •
-, 1
0 * 1/ 1 $A 1 )
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1
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-S
1 E+ .$-, " 0 K> 1/ 1
N+& *3 .
.0 M $ 1
) N
+
.
, 1 0.5 1 ., </ 0 @ K+ "
T, 1
) % 1 '
:
H $A 1
. 0.5 K
, 1/ @ K+ "
T, , *, b
. 0.5 K
, 1/ T' '
; / , 0 b
$)<* S* G
+
."
1
2
1 1%
"7 1 3" 1/ 0/ * 1/ T'
T' . p = 0.5 1/ 0 @ H 0 )' T' . p > 0.5 1 0 @ K+ "
& )' 1/ T'
. K
- U
D S
. H 0 )' T,
1/
O)/
1/ 1/
1) % "
1/ LO_14 , A $A
:
- U
+. H 0 )' T,
1
2
1 1%
"7 1 3" 1/ 1 0 @ K+ "
$
"
13 E+ .
- n $ β
3 1 "
A% *
α * 1 "
A% *
•
. 3
3 1P,
-
•
A $ $3
- (
1 α ? ; /
A O / $ : . β ; 1P,
n α
A $
O
:
, ' 1 n α
A . n ? 09
+
:
1
, H1 )' H 0 )' 1/ P > 0.5 @ K+ "
#
1/ T'
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
.
3 1 FA *% 1 FA 1
"
A &
.D, & H 0 )' T,
6 "
A% & * 1 "
A% b
. p = 0.5 , p ≠ 0.5 1 $ % 1 '
,
6
. S 4; , & H 0 )' T, , *' 6 "
A% &
3 1 "
A% b
. p > 0.5 , p = 0.5 T, , *'
6 "
A &
40 0;
' 20
0& •
: $A
)'
A
GA
A 1
أEا
.*g
رز ری0@A
اﺥ
رهE* ا& یgد
ء أو اJد اEﺡ
+
M α +A .*% 1 FA 0 O α &% A
$; 0.01 0.05 $ .
O
; * H 0 )' T, 1 1/
4G *3 ) 6
4G
A +-
#
( ... 4 K
4G t 4G
< $/ .
A
# /
.
A
#
.% " () * + . $ A 1 ) . U S /
ا(
ی
40 0;
' 20
0& •
: ( P − value )
$A
)'
A
GA
A 1
أEا
.*g
رز ری0@A
اﺥ
رهE* ا& یgد
ء أو اJد اEﺡ
+
M α +A .*% 1 FA 0 O α &% A
$; 0.01 0.05 $ .
O
; * H 0 )' T, 1 1/
4G *3 ) 6
4G
A +-
#
( ... 4 K
4G t 4G
# < $/ .
A
# /
.
A
*' .
A
# K
/ *;/
+ H 0 T,
.
A
# 1 /
+ H 0 T,
.% " () * + . $ A 1 ) . U S /
ا(
ی
40 0;
' 20
+
( 0& •
.3 *
$A
)'
A
GA
A 1
أEا
.*g
رز ری0@A
اﺥ
رهE* ا& یgد
ء أو اJد اEﺡ
+
M α +A .*% 1 FA 0 O α &% A
$; 0.01 0.05 $ .
O
; H 0 )' T, 1 1/
A 1
+ :
3 ; O α 0 &% 3 *
/
. 1 − 2α = 3 1 *+ +
A 1
+ . 1 − α = 3 1 1+ +
.3 * 1) 4 ; 1/ 0 @ K+ " T,
.% " () * + . $ A 1 ) . U S /
ا(
ی
' ( / ;*
0;
.
)'
A (LO_20-LO_22) ()
. .
1 * "
A
:& * )'
-, A
. 1
.1
- * *
R'
- 6
1
3 ) 4G 1
4G .2
.("*," "W
"
& 1
: 4G
( nq > 5 np > 5 ) 4G 0 4G 6 1/ 1 .3
. µ = np, σ = npq
:
1
A
P̂ − P
z=
pq
n
:7
.6
/ $ O n
x
.( pˆ = ) 1 b P̂
n
.
1 b p
. q = 1− p
' ( / ;* 0; $%
0&
+
1
2
;56%
,
.
880 1 * A
1
2
1/ 0 , 1 1
*
" :1 / 6
."
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1 f "
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
*
R'
- ( n = 880 ) 6
1
3 : 4G 1
4G •
""
1
2
*;"
& 1
- * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""
1
2
T,"
4G
( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 ) 4G 0 4G 6 1/ 1 •
. µ = 440, σ = 220 = 14.83 :
Pˆ − P
z=
pq
n
0.56 − 0.5
= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880
4G 1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
. *+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1
(
A N
/ * 1) . z = 1.645 K
α = 0.05 , 1/ K
ﺝ9 ا#+ا
z = 1.645
. H 0 )' T,
P, E+ , 4
# 1/
:7 &
/) I /#
* J8 * <& 3 / $ ( "
- U
:8 &
."0 00 0' / * 10' 0;
% /0
$% 0&
+
' ( / ;* 0;
1
2
;56%
,
.
880 1 * A
1
2
1/ 0 , 1 1
*
" :1 / 6
."
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1 f "
: $ "
D @A
. p > 0.5 /# J# =0 00 0' / * 10' 0;
; /0 /) I :
. pˆ = 0.56 n = 880 * (
.D; XC* 0& ;
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
*
R'
- ( n = 880 ) 6
1
3 : 4G 1
4G •
""
1
2
*;"
& 1
- * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""
1
2
T,"
4G
( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 ) 4G 0 4G 6 1/ 1 •
Pˆ − P
z=
pq
n
0.56 − 0.5
= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880
1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
. *+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1
1 0 4G
& ( P − value )
1/ K
4G
.(
A
N
/ * 1) . P − value = 0.0001 .
#
*
ﺡJ* ا#ا
P − value = 0.0001
z = 1.645
. H 0 )' T,
P, E+ P − value < α :&% 1 M/
1/
:7 &
/) I /#
* J8 * <& 3 / $ ( "
- U
:8 &
."0 00 0' / * 10' 0;
; /0
$% +
( 0&
+
' ( / ;*
40 0;
1
2
;56%
,
.
880 1 * A
1
2
1/ 0 , 1 1
*
" :1 / 6
."
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1 f "
: $ "
D @A T'
. p > 0.5 /# J# =0 00 0' / * 10' 0;
; /0 /) I :
. pˆ = 0.56 n = 880 * (
.D; XC* +
( 0& ;
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
*
R'
- ( n = 880 ) 6
1
3 : 4G 1
4G •
""
1
2
*;"
& 1
- * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""
1
2
T,"
4G
( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 ) 4G 0 4G 6 1/ 1 •
. µ = 440, σ = 220 = 14.83 :
:(
)
GA . .2
. p > 0.5 )
G * % "
H :1 &
. p ≤ 0.5 & "
D
)' :2 &
)'
& E+
K p > 0.5 )' 1 9D 1
1)' 1 :3 &
: p = 0.5 )' & -,
)'
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
. α = 0.05 &% ;
A :4 &
-
# & p̂ 1 1P, p
1 * ), A
/
:5 &
. 4G
O ' & p̂ ?
4G
K
3
. *+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1 :6 &
. 1 − 2*0.05 = 0.9 = 90%
n = 880, pˆ = 0.56, */ 1 3 *
1/ 5 3 *
"
#
O
. $A
:7 &
0.533 < p < 0.588 : 90% K
3
/ $ ( "
- U
:$; <4%0* **L% 3 *
1) 4 H 0 := 0.5 )' 1/ $ :8 &
/ * 10' 0;
; /0 /) I /#
* J8 * <& 3
."0 00 0'
' (
&
40 0;
(!0 J0 !0*)
&0' •
. 1
.1
. σ ,
K
7 ; .2
. 4G 1
0 4G / 30 1 / $ .3
* "
A */ 1
A
#
:(,
K
7 ;)
x −µ
z=
σ
n
+
x = 98.20 F 6
$ .$- * $
R
; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1 A/
$A . 1
1/ T' . σ = 0.62 F , K
7# ; 1/ T'
. 98.6 F *
1M
@
A% $
/
1/ * 4
"
A α = 0.05 *
&/
.
$A
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
. σ ,
K
7 ; •
. n = 106 > 30 1 / $ •
:(
)
GA . .2
. µ = 98.6 F )
G * % "
H :1 &
. µ ≠ 98.6 F & "
D
)' :2 &
)'
& E+
K µ ≠ 98.6 F )' 1 9D 1
1)' 1 :3 &
: µ = 98.6 F )' & -,
)'
H1 : µ ≠ 98.6 F
H 0 : µ = 98.6 F
. α = 0.05 &% ;
A :4 &
# & x 1P, µ
* ), A
/
:5 &
. 4G
O' & x ?
4G -
(# / , 0; ) :6 &
n = 106, x = 98.2, µ = 98.6, σ = 0.62
x −µ
z=
σ
n
98.2 − 98.6
= = −6.64
0.62
106
1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
.1+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1
0 4G
7) & ( P − value )
1/ K
4G
.(
A
N
/ * 1) . P − value = 0.0002 .
A
# ;
. H 0 )' T,
P, E+ P − value < α :&% 1 M/
1/
:7 &
1/ /#
* J8 R%0 / 4 * <& 3 / $ ( "
- U
:8 &
. 98.6 F *
1M
@
A% $
/
*
ﺡJ* ا#ا *
ﺡdا
= ﺥ
ریJا
4& ا
ﺡ إ,g
*
ﺡdی
ر ا
ﺥ
ریJا
' (
&
40 0;
(!0 0G J0 !0*)
&0' •
. 1
.1
., S
σ K
7 ; .2
. 4G 1
0 4G / 30 1 / $ .3
.
* "
A */ 1
A
#
:(, S K
7 ;)
x −µ
z=
s
n
+
@
A $
/
1/ 0 @ K+ "
1 F */ 1
6 ,
/
$-
/
; H
@A 12 1'> +AF, . 98.6 F 1 *;/ 1M
"
%
:
* 0
98.0 97.5 98.6 98.8 98.0 98.5 986 98.4 98.4 98.7 98.6 98.6
*-
0 5
E 1/ 0 @ K+ "
#
A */ 1 α = 0.05 & ; $A
.F * 2G 1M
@
A
1/
O = 98.6 F 1 *;/ ;
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
., S
K
7 ; •
. 4G &
0 4G •
(t- t 4G 1 ' tα / 2 ; $A (, S σ ) <
O
$A
P, (, S σ ) 1/
. zα / 2 4G 1 1 distribution)
. σ 1 1) ;
' (
'
40 0;
•
. 1
.1
.('
1
0) 4G 1
4G .2
:0;
2
(n − 1) s
χ2 =
σ2
+
K
K
7 ; 100 *
* 1M
1 "
+ *
2G
/ K+ R' $ @A . s = 7.2 K
7 6
$ "
#
+
/ 13 1 +A/ .15
R
$ 1 1 /
+
% 1 1 '> 1/ O
3 1
#
$A .15 K
K
7 ; 1/ T, E+ *;/ 1 1/ 6 K
7 ; 1/ $ <
+
/ $)
K
7 ; *
- U
S
*/ 1 α = 0.05 &/
."
#
:
, G 1/ 1 . .1
.T' , +
1
•
. 4G &
0 4G •
K
7 ; 1P, σ
K
7 ; * ), A
/
:5 &
.4 K
4G
O ' & s ?
4G -
# & s
1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
.1+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1
1 1; df = n − 1 = 13 − 1 = 12 α = 0.05 */ 1 4 K
4G
. χ 22 = 23.337 χ12 = 4.404
. H 0 )' T, P, E+ , 4 A # 1/ :7 &
; 1/ 0 @ K+ H 0 "
T, 1
)
- % 1 '
- U
:8 &
.15 K
"
#
+
/ $)
K
7
σ = 15 p'ر σ = 15 p' ر0A' σ = 15 p'ر
0.025
0.025
1 3 ,
&/ + 2) & K
7 ; *
)'
A 0
' N+& , G
.
) 4) ,
A
:0' 7+
/* /
:
. ; E *
:
0
1
1 ; / 1 1; / 1 K
* * . *' +& , $-
S 1
/ 1
1
-, 1 1
, 1
1 1
& 1 1+AF 1
&,
.1
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
Q1
1 1 1 K
A . •
Q1
1 , 1 1; K
A . •
Q1
1 , ; K
A . •
*
* •
$ *
# 1 * KF S
/ 1
A $;
+ 1
-/ 1 1 *
.A%
1
A
.1
S 1
1 A% $; 1
1
; 1 :
;D 1
+
1
+
" / 0% .@
A% 1 (
O 1 , ) 1
'A 1
T'
.
- 3/
1/
3
* T'A
.1 ,/ 1 ;D 1 * K/ <% 1 1 1
&
2
+
. *; @A * 1G R
E+
- 1 2
A $ @
A% 1 A
@
A% 1G/ 1 7F
*; @
A% 1G/ 1 7F 1
.1 $; 1 ;D <% 1 S 1.(@A R' 1G / *; 1G)
/
' / ( / /;*
R 7 1
% 1 3 ,) 1
1 1 1 * \
1/ 1
)'
' N+& , $- 7
1 </
1 6 *
)' 0 G
1 $S 0 .(1
1 1/ 0 @ K+ "
. 6
0 R' .
:
. 4G . 1 *
)'
A
&0' •
.1 1 1 1
.1
np ≥ 5
:1
1 . 1 D */ 1 .2
nq ≥ 5
.
O )/ 5 1 / *'
5 1 /
1/ K/
:
G $A
A G •
:0%
*/ 1
Q
1 = p1
Q
$ = n1
Q ,
= x1
x
Q( 1 ) pˆ1 = 1
n1
ˆ1
.q = 1 − pˆ1
/;*
(/;* J
0;)
$A p1 = p2 1/ 0 @ )'
A */ 1 p2 p1 1'A 1
1 1 1
T'
:E
/;* ?0' 0 •
:;D
0 p G
< G p2 p1 1 E
x +x
p= 1 2
n1 + n2
. q = 1 − p K/ q G
p $ G
. p E & 1
1 T,/ 1P, p1 = p2 )' 1) </ 7 1/ $- 1
:
A
$A E+
:( H 0 : p1 = p2 *) /;* J
0; * 0; ) 0; ) •
( pˆ − pˆ 2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
z= 1
pq pq
+
n1 n2
$A 1
A
# ; 0 1 E ; 0
. p1 = p2 )'
A */ 1 / ( p − value )
/;*
(/;* J
0; 0&
+ )
$ 1+ 1
6
$ ..
1600 1 '> %
,
1 +A/
$A .., * ,
1
E+ "
)
+ *; 1 $-';
*; 1 $-'; $ 1+
1/ 0 @ K+ "
A */ 1 0.05 &% * ,
.T
1 /
: *
n1 ⋅ p = 200 ⋅ 0.106875 = 21.375 > 5
n1 ⋅ q = 200 ⋅ 0.893125 = 178.625 > 5
:*+ *
n2 ⋅ p = 1400 ⋅ 0.106875 = 149.625 > 5
n2 ⋅ q = 1400 ⋅ 0.893125 = 1250.375 > 5
: 0; ) :6 &
z=
( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
pq pq
+
n1 n2
=
( 0.120 − 0.105 ) − ( 0 ) = 0.64
(0.106875) ⋅ (0.893125) (0.106875) ⋅ (0.893125)
+
200 1400
1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
. *+ +
A 1
A 1/ )' 1
# 1 0 4G
& ( P − value )
1/ K
4G
.(
A
N
/ * 1) . P − value = 0.2611 .
*
ﺡJ* ا#ا
P − value = 0.2611
z = 0.64
)' T, , *'
P, E+ P − value > α :&% 1 /
1/
:7 &
. H0
1/ 0 @ K+ "
T, 1
- % 1 '
"
- U
:8 &
.T
1 / *; 1 $-'; $ 1+
+ ( •
( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − E < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) + E :;D
0 1 1 .' 3 *
:;D
0 FA d
& E :
pˆ1qˆ1 pˆ 2 qˆ2
E = zα / 2 +
n1 n2
+ : .1
p1 , p2 1 1/ 1 . */ 1 p1 − p2 3 *
$A 1
K
), T, 3 *
0
+ 1 K
), T, 3 *
0
p1 , p2 1 1/ 1 . */ 1 p1 − p2 3 *
$A $ ( 1 .1
K
7 ; 1 7A 3 *
"
*/ 1 $A K
7 ; 1% E+ 1
1 7A ; 3 *
$A
- * 5
1P, E+ .
/ , $A
.
/ $A
- * 5
+
1+ 1
6
$ ..
1600 1 '> %
,
1 +A/
$A .N
/ 1 * ,
1
E+ "
)
+ *; 1 $-'; $
.%90 *
3 ., 3 *
"
*/ 1 * ,
:
1
@A 1
T 1
1
n2 = 1400 n1 = 200
x2 = 147 x1 = 24
x2 147 x1 24
pˆ 2 = = = 0.105 pˆ1 = = = 0.120
n2 1400 n1 200
. zα / 2 = 1.645 ; f,
%90 *
3
:FA R
&
pˆ1qˆ1 pˆ 2 qˆ2
E = zα / 2 +
n1 n2
24 176 147 1253
⋅ ⋅
= 200 200 1400 1400
+
200 1400
= 0.040
:3 *
(
( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − E < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) + E
( 0.120 − 0.105) − 0.040 < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( 0.120 − 0.105) + 0.040
−0.025 < ( p1 − p2 ) < 0.055
A & 7- 1
+ 1 . p1 , p2 1 1 ., </ 5 E+ 3 *
0 1/ 9D
.
/ $A
P, 1 K
0 @ )'
:
. 1'A 1
1 1 1; *
)'
A •
.
* 1
A .1
.1
1
.2
. 4G
-
1
&
A $ 1 1 * / ( n1 > 30, n2 > 30 ) $A) 1 1 * $ .3
t=
( x1 − x2 ) − ( µ1 − µ2 )
s12 s22
+
n1 n2
/& / C
(0 (0)
: . F t 4G $A / •
df = min(n1 − 1, n2 − 1) : & 0% o
df =
( A + B) :; 3% &
3 o
A2 B2
+
n1 − 1 n2 − 1
s12 s22
A= ,B= ::
n1 n2
6 * 3F $ N+& .
*/ 1 t 4G $A 6 <P,
O
: 1 . 0 N
6 E+ t 4G
df = min(n1 − 1, n2 − 1) : & 0% .1
df =
( A + B) :; 3% &
3 .2
A2 B2
+
n1 − 1 n2 − 1
s12 s2
A= , B = 2 ::
n1 n2
1 1+AF 1 1/ 0 @ K+ "
A 6 .1'A 1 1
N
/ 1 * -9
.'A $;
- 1
1
/
- * $ 1 1 1/
. 4G 1 6; 4G 1/ 1 1 * $S- $
* -9
.
A 1P,
30 1
15 15
15 25
25
13
20
10 9
Frequency
Frequency
15
13
7 12
11
10
5 4 6
3 3
5
2 2
1 1 1
0 0
0 0
340 365 390 415 440 465 490 515 540 565 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500
. O 1 µ1 = µ2 )' 1P, S % )' + :2 &
4 t 4G $A
P, 1 1; * ), A 1 1
</
:5 &
.(LO_6) ,
A
:$
, 0; ) :6 &
t=
( x1 − x2 ) − ( µ1 − µ2 )
s12 s22
+
n1 n2
=
( 418.5 − 403.7 ) − ( 0 ) = 2.273
45.52 30.62
+
70 73
. t = ±1.994 K
α = 0.05 , 1/ t 4G 1 (Minitab)
# 5 / $A
(
A N
/ * 1)
. H 0 )' T, P, E+ , 4 # 1/ :7 &
1 1+AF 1 1/ 0 @ K+ "
$
- % 1 '
"
- U
:8 &
.'A $;
- 1
1
µ1 = µ2 p'ر µ1 = µ2 p' ر0A' µ1 = µ2 p'ر
t = −1.994 t = 1.994
1/ 0 @ K+ "
A */ 1 3 *
95% "
6 .( LO_9) .
*
3
$A
.'A $;
- 1
1 1 1+AF 1
:1 1 * K
7 .
*
3 1 $A
3 0%
73 70 n $
403.3 418.5
x
30.6 45.5 7
s K
:FA d
& 6
/ $
s12 s22
E = tα / 2 +
n1 n2
45.52 30.62
E = 1.994 + = 13.0
70 73
.69 K
%95 *
3 , & tα / 2 = 1.994 ; $A $ :
:6 3 *
( x1 − x2 ) − E ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( x1 − x2 ) + E
( 418.5 − 403.7 ) − 13.0 ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( 418.5 − 403.7 ) + 13.0
1.8 ≤ ( µ1 − µ 2 ) ≤ 2.7
(*
*
1/ 9D .27.8 1.8 *
, 4 1
1 1 1 1 .' 1/ %95 13 1
.1
S 1 1/ $ E+ 0 K
/
0G /* /
/
0G /* •
1 / 1 ; * 1/ : ;D 1 1
(1, 1) 1 S
- 1 1 *
.A% 1
*
3
*; E+ $- 1+ @
A% 1G/ 1 '> +AF 1 2
A */ 1 "
1G *; @A * 1G 1 1
, 1
. @
A% E/ 1G/ 1 '>
-
. @A E+
N+& , .1 1 $ *
)'
A ' W $ : 1 1 1 * $ .
1 1; K
0 @ )'
A ' R E+ S
7 1
1
.(1, ) 1 S 1
/
0G /* /
1
& 1 1+AF 1 S 1 0 O
1
1 1 1; *
)'
A •
:
. 1
1
•
. 1
1 D .1
.(1
,) 1
S 1
.2
. * 2G $ 1 .' / ( n > 30 ) 1 1 $ UG/ .3
d − µd
t=
sd
n
df = n − 1 : :
sd
E = tα / 2 :
n
/
0G /* /
+
5 *;
,
- > $ .
E+ $
/ 5 0
* 1
$ 1 ., </ 0 @ K+ "
A */ 1 0.05 *
3 $A .$
/
.RA $
% 0
- > $
9 23 -5 -5 1
15 22 20 16 16 ,
- > $
-6 1 -25 -21 -15
1 d .'
- > $
0
- > $
$ 1 ., </ 0 @ K+ "
:1 &
µd ≠ 0 :
< RA $
%
. µd = 0 :
1 ( S % "
1
+ :2 &
H 0 : µd = 0
:
-,
1)' 1
1;D 1 :3 &
H1 : µ d ≠ 0
. α = 0.05 &% ;
A :4 &
1 .' 1
1 1 1
) 4 1, 1 * ), A
/
:5 &
.t 4G
A
P, (
O * 2G
: d , sd $;
A
*; :6 &
d = −13.2
sd = 10.7
:
A
d − µd
t=
sd
n
−13.2 − 0
t= = −2.759
10.7
5
1/ 4 *
α = 0.05 */ 1 O
# 5 $A
&
1
. t = ±2.776 *
. H 0 )' T, , *' *+ (N
/ 1 * 9) 1) 4
A
# 1/
:7
A
$ 1 ., </ 0 @ K+ "
$ % 1 '
1
:
- U
1
.$
% 0
- > $
/* $% ' *0
s12
F= :1
*/ 1 A 0; ) •
s22
1
1 1 1+AF 1 $A
( T N+& , $ &%
, @
A 1/
</ A
- $ # 1/ 1 $S 0 .1
1 E ,
*/ 1 1'A
.K
7 */ 1 M 1
-A 1
t = −2.776 t = 2.776
ﺥ
ریJﺡ
* اdا
−2.759
F Q2
s12
.F 4G 6 2G . 1F,.( σ 12 = σ 22 ) R'
- 4G
- * 1
1 */ 1
s22
.F4G
N
/ 1 * -9
+
2G 0
1G/ 1/ T' .0 1
36 1 A/
1
36 1 +A/
:
* , 1 K
7 E+ * . *
0
36 36
n
0.82410 0.81682
x
0.005701 0.007507
s
.1 0 1G% K 7 1/ 0 @ K+ " A 6
1/ 0 @ K+ "
f,
1
0 1G% K
7 0 @ K+ "
:1
A
:
<
< +& 1
0 1G/
σ 12 = σ 22
*
1G +
A α = 0.05 */ 1 O
# 5 $A
&
1
( s12 > s22 ) 1 / $
; 1/
T'
/
1.9611 *
0 1/ 35 *
$
35
.0 6
' E+
. H 0 )' T, , *' *+ (N
/ 1 * 9) 1) 4
A
# 1/
:7
A
0 1G% K
7 1/ 0 @ K+ "
T, % 1 '
:
- U
1
.1
1.0
0.5
0.0
0 1 2 3
F = 19611
ﺥ
ریJﺡ
* اdا
1.7339
:0' Q;0
1(0 &;0
:
.K
FA
- M > 2
2
A *
:
7 E+ .1 1 A ;D </ 1
+
,
UG/ 1 * & *' +- R 7-
> */ 1
N+& $A A/ ;D N+& 1 K+ $ A
/ 1 1 ;D
.A% ; , 1 1+& / M *
1
:
!"#
:0 *' +& , 6
7
QA *
6
$-' •
Q2
2
$-' •
.> */ 1 2
$A •
&;0
* * . .
*' , . $ :
1 UG/ 1 * */ 1
& . *' +& , R
N+& 1 1 ;D 1
+
, 0 G $ .,
3 $) 1
1 1 1; 1 .'
:1 1
0 ;D
&;0 •
.1 1+& 1 ;D
- / 1
-/ 1 1 *
<, $ K+ (Scatter diagram) 3 A $A
- 1
+
, ,
7
1 •
.
- 1
+
, , 1 ;D
&;0
(4
+ #)
1
+
.$ A *3 1 1+& 1 ;D 1/ : y x 1 1 $
6 A ( /) * ()
.$ A *3 1 1+& 1 ;D 1/ : y x 1 1 $
6
A (6) * ()
. y x 1 1 $
S 6 A (U) * ()
. y x 1 1 $ () * ()
( )أ0@Aا ( )ب0@Aا
R
م ﺝuا R
م ﺱuا
y
x
x
( )د0@Aا
( )ج0@Aا u اE یﺝJ
R*
م(ﺝY) * آuا
$& &;0
$& &;0
•
. , y x 1 $; 1 A ;D
R *
1
r A *
:;D
A *
0
n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − (∑ y )
2 2
+
. y x 1 1 * $; 1 K+
*
$A
*
; /
x 1 1 3 5
y 2 8 6 4
*
n = 4
n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − ( ∑ y )
2 2
4 ∑ 48 − (10 )( 20 )
r=
2 2
4 ( 36 ) − (10 ) 4 (120 ) − ( 20 )
−8
r= = −1.35
44 80
$& &;0
•
. , y x 1 $; 1 A ;D
R *
1
r A *
G
( 6
,
* $A
$A
<
$ r *
. ρ G
<
: *
6
. 1
( x, y ) UG/ 1 '> .1
.
3 4G
- ( x, y )
UG/ .2
:;D
A *
0
+
n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − ( ∑ y )
2 2
IB
.7)
0? 1 ; *
;
.1 K
/ M/ 1b
/ /
*
;
.7)
0? 1 ; *
;
.1 K
/ M/ 1b
/ /
*
;
$A S / 1
+
, $ . 1
1 / 1b ? 1 ; *
;
:
() < * () * N
/ 1 * ,
A *
; G
+
:1 1
+
-, d
/ 6 3F * %
, , , /
0 6 1 K+
* 0 * $ .
E 0 - R,
:
Ol - R,
$
, 7 / 6 1 *
2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991
$
84 83 81 76 73 71 70 67 68 68 b x
6
4
78 82 67 54 60 42 49 35 38 53 b y
- R,
$
,
- R,
0 6 1 () E
& 1
+
, 5 A *
6
.
O
1/ n = 10 */ 1 * , 9 . r = 0.922 1/ 5
,
GA $A
$ *
, </ 5 $ N+& 1 α = 0.05 */ 1 0.632 α = 0.01 */ 1 0.765 &
1/
. r > 0.765 ; 1 1/ %1 1 *;/ , E
& r > 0.632 ; 1 1/ %5 1 *;/ , E
&
0 6 1 () E
& 1/ 5 E+ (0.6321 / r ? ) r = 0.922
.
O - R,
1
&/ , : 1 1 A ;D
1 y x 1 1 *
; ,
/ *
; , *% * , 1
3> A/ * 6
O;
O 1 4; +& 1 .AZ 4;
:
6 A% * * 1
. y x / /; & CB "00; $ y
' ;*
+ r 2 C
+
R,
-, d
/ 6 3F * %
, , , /
- R,
0 6 1 K+
* 0 * $ .
E 0 -
:
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Minitab
80
70
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y
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The regression equation is
y = - 113 + 2.27 x
se =
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:
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2
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+
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14.291 1154.640 287.978
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= 507.084
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* Minitab 5
$A
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Factor 2 1338.0 669.0 9.47 0.001
Error 33 2331.4 70.6
Total 35 3669.4
Individual 95% CIs For Mean
Based on Pooled StDev
Level N Mean StDev ---+---------+---------+---------+---
CLANCY 12 70.733 11.326 (------*------)
ROWLING 12 80.750 4.681 (------*------)
TOLSTOY 12 66.150 7.858 (------*-------)
---+---------+---------+---------+---
Pooled StDev = 8.405 63.0 70.0 77.0 84.0
(*
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1
s = 0.0833
5 3D3
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2
x
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1
ns = 4 ⋅ ( 0.083) = 0.332
2
x
:
6 : F 4G 1 *+ +
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1 1
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numerator degrees of freedom = k -1
denominator degrees of freedom = k (n -1)
2 n = 4, k = 3
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Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 3 Sample1 Sample 2 Sample 3
7 6 4 17 6 4
3 5 7 13 5 7
6 5 6 16 5 6
6 8 7 16 8 7
n1 = 4 n2 = 4 n3 = 4 n1 = 4 n2 = 4 n3 = 4
x1 = 5.5 x2 = 6.0 x3 = 6.0 x1 = 15.5 x2 = 6.0 x3 = 6.0
2 2
s = 3.0
1 s = 2.0
2 s32 = 2.0
2 2 2
s = 3.0 s = 2.0 s = 2.0
1 2 3
nsx2 = 4 ⋅ ( 30.083) = 0.332
ns = 4 ⋅ ( 0.083) = 0.332
2
x
3.0 + 3.0 + 2.0
3.0 + 3.0 + 2.0 s 2p = = 2.3333
2
s =
p = 2.3333 2
2 nsx2 120.3332
ns 2 0.3332 F= 2 = = 51.5721 p − value = 0.0000118
F = 2x = = 0.1428 sp 2.333
sp 2.333
H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 R%0
p − value = 0.8688
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