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*  &  .$ 500 *   1 $ +AF :   $3 1&  4 " F  ; +A/ / T ' .6
4? ? *? *? ? *3 *& J  N+& , ( K  *-  9 ) 
J1& 
*  *3 *& .1&  K 2   $ * 1 ) 1+ 1&  4 1 - $  1/ T' .7
J1&  4  *
1? ? ? 1&   1)  $ ; /  6  A $3  $; $&  * /  .8
?, ( K? , ,*- , 9 ,)  *  &  .6  -  $ ; % K+ 1& 
J1&  4  * *  *3 *& J  N+&

2 ,0
1+? @ A?% 1?  $A .. % * 1/ T ' K+ "- 1 2 A   "    E/ T '
.< 3F A/ 2 0  ^- 0  A/  ^- +- 1 
J  N+& , -A 1 7  &  .1
J $A &/ &  .2
JO    * * $ $-'  +  .3
J  <  * * $ $-'  +  .4
J$- & +    &  .5
: 7 +   

&  *0  !' !

:  
 
.$ S- K   4G  G     " # ' " #
:

7  1) : .    7  7 R  $A   % % 1 <% O
 &/ < *' &
-,   -9 * 1 $A  .    - @ A    " # ' " # 
. - 

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
.   " # ' " # •
.   - @ A •
.  -9 .  •
$   $  

.   " # ' " # & " # $ 1  % 1  '
.  - @ A 7 $- " # $ 2 , 1 2 , $   •

. 1  $A     1    @DA  $- " # $ 2 , 1 2 , $   •
O;D    " #  . -A -' ' *  1 U  K/ / $ K/ 1) ' " #
. -    1    "  $  $   1

+
. -   1 3 )   ,  5  * : .)   *  ,
3 ' " # $A
..  , <; M K+ 1G N G ' 7  : $   1 3/ +   % , 1    5  D
O 3
:' " # 0 * 3   *

2000 $  0 1984 $  1  1  .  5 


1G  G ' $ 
2:24:52 USA Joan Benoit 1984
2:25:40 POR Rosa Mota 1988
2:32:41 UT Valentina 1992
Yegorova
2:26:05 ETH Fatuma Roba 1996
2:23:14 JPN Naoko Takahashi 2000

:/0 
:' " # $ - 1  Z K/ •
Q   1 / 0  Y  1  $A .1
Q  7 @A .2
. / 1
  $ .3
,( 
.( A &  3 A

:' "   Z 1 K/ •


Q1  1  /  .1
Q2002 $  $
 $  RF  -
  &  1+ @ A%  .2
Q ;  > 6   -% ,    .3
.$  ,
/  */ * .4
,( 
.  "   : 3 A  ' "   1,2,4 $;  A
&
 <  ) 

20  •
.  7 4; 0  ;
'  •
. -'    M  0  ;
Q2  •
.(B... $9 / R  * 0 2G ) D
O 3  2G * / 
8'    •
. $;  $9% "G 1 O
  $; &
* 2  )  •
.1G   @ A M

J00  Q2 

 6 (  1  /  0 ; * )  $; $)  ; ( frequency distributions ) J00  Q2 
.*  E+ 1) 4   $;  & (7)  *  /  ;   . &  
:  6 X K   4G 0
Q  * & A 1
  .1
Q   -, . .2
.N S $ S- *3  -    T "  R % * K   4G

+
<?G $? 1  / T ' .(1 *) < , 1  R ; $ 1A * 1A 40 1   T '
4?G ? 5?, * ? +& 1) 4 $- 1  1+ @ A%  *  * 6 .(7')  5 0
.2 * , 1 &  K  

2 *
?, 1  K   4G
1A 40 1 
 ?
????? 1?? ??
(frequency) ng/ml
11 0–99
12 100–199
14 200–299
1 300–399
2 400–499
1 *
? 1  ? 1?   1 
???S @ A???% 1A? 3% 1)  1A
1A 3% 1)  1A S
1 0 384 1
2 0 0 0
3 0 69 131
4 0 19 173
5 0 1 265
6 0 0 210
7 0 178 44
8 0 2 277
9 0 13 32
10 0 1 3
11 0 4 35
12 9 0 112
13 0 543 477
14 0 17 289
15 0 1 227
16 0 0 103
17 0 51 222
18 0 0 149
19 244 197 313
20 0 3 491
21 1 0 130
22 0 3 234
23 0 1 164
24 0 45 198
25 90 13 17
26 1 3 253
27 0 1 87
28 309 1 121
29 0 1 266
30 0 0 290
31 0 0 123
32 0 551 167
33 0 2 250
34 0 1 245
35 0 1 48
36 0 1 86
37 0 0 284
38 0 74 1
39 0 1 208
40 0 241 173
J00  Q2  *; *    0  
& 

!
*  <*  •
.7 E+  1/ 1 $; *;/ & 7   -
!

 <*  •
.7 E+  1/ 1 $; / & 7   -
!   •
.    - 1 ' 1 1 7' 1 *'  $ ; % & 7' 
!
!*  &* •
5 ? ;   -   - 4 - * $ 7 7 , 4   & 7 7 
.2 0
!  R0 •
.< K+ 0%  0/  1 . ' / -    -   - 1 . ' &

+
:& 7' RA  1 1A 40 1  , 1  K   4G *3 K+ (   ) 1 *
400–499 300–399 200–299 100–199 0–99
:6  0 & !
*  <* 
400 300 200 100 0
:6  0 & !

 <* 
499 399 299 199 99
:6  0 !  
399.5–499.5 299.5–399.5 199.5–299.5 99.5–199.5 0.5–99.5
:,0  
 $" !
!*  &*
449.5 349.5 249.5 149.5 49.5
.100 *  $A !  R0
J00  Q2  *; &

:  A 4 K   4G " 


Q20 5 1 1 1/ 6 7'  . -A   7'   .1
:  ;D 1 7 T  6  .2
(highest value) - (lowest value)
class width ≈
number of classes

1? E+ .$-' *- $; 0 *  $- 1 .$-' *- ( $; 0 * N  6 < * K+ $; 
Q7'    0%
A 0  1/ O  /
; 0/ 1 *;/    ; /  1 ; 0/ / A .*% 7   - &  "  A .3
Q"  &   1
*% 7? ? ? - 7 T  7))   -   7 T  *% 7   - $A  .4
?  - 0 *,  3 7   -  A/
 7 T  7) $3  3 7   - 0 *,
Q( .+& : 3 7
Q(-    -) 7'   -    ; ,   - 6  .5
.7 +& 1) 4  $  7 *   4 $A  .6

+
:1A 40 $)  1  * 1  *3 K+ ( 2 *)   *  T '

1A 40 $)  1  * 1  2 *


1 0 131 173 265 210 44 277 32 3
35 112 477 289 227 103 222 149 313 491
130 134 164 198 17 253 87 121 266 290
123 167 250 245 48 86 284 1 208 173

.5 7'   , T ' 7'   :1 & 


:  7' T  6 :2 & 

(highest value) - (lowest value) 491 − 0


class width ≈ = = 98.2
number of classes 5

.100 $;  $A - E+ 100 0 N  98.2 *  6   5  7' T 
.*% 7   - &    ; &  , ; *; -% "  0  :3 & 
:  A 7'   - 6 :4 & 
100 = 0+100 =7 T  + *% 7   - =  3 7   -
200 = 100+100 =7 T +  3 7   - = : 3 7   -
300 = 200+100 =7 T + : 3 7   - =4  7   -
400 = 300+100= 7 T +4  7   - =R A 7   -
.99, 199,299, 399,499 $ A : 7'     -    ; ,   - 6  :5 & 
? K   4G 0 *, 7 * 1) 4   $;   $  09  -   :6 & 
.N / 1 * ,

1 *
40 1? ? , 1  K   4G
1A
(frequency)   ng/ml 1 
11 0–99
12 100–199
14 200–299
1 300–399
2 400–499

$;*  J00  Q2 


$;*  J00  Q2  •
 ? $A 7 *   1  1 09   - R' K   4G 7' R' $)  K   4G
:  6 (relative frequency )

class frequency
relative frequency =
sum of all frequency

.100 ?  K   4G ; 6 ) :  K   4G 1    1 % 1 3 , $A

+
<3 .,  K   4G 1/      , 1A 40 1  , 1  K   4G +AF
.3 *

3 * 1 *
  K   4G ?
? K  ?
? 4?
?G
1A 40 1  , 1 1A 40 1  , 1
?   ????  ????? ????
(relative
1??? (frequency)
1???
frequency)
ng/ml ng/ml
28% 0–99 11 0–99
30% 100–199 12 100–199
35% 200–299 14 200–299
3% 300–399 1 300–399
5% 400–499 2 400–499
$ 0  J00  Q2 

$ 0  J00  Q2  •


7'? 4? 7?  ? 2 6 (cumulative frequency)     $A   K   4G
"...1 *;/"
   , 6 O)/   -       , 6 . 

+
<?3 .?, ?  K   4G /      , 1A 40 1  , 1  K   4G +AF
:4 *

4 * 1 *

??  K  ?? 4??G ?


? K  ?
? 4?
?G

1?  , 1  1A 40 1  , 1

1A 40  ????? ????

?   ????


(frequency)
1???
ng/ml
(relative
1??? 11 0–99
frequency)
ng/ml 12 100–199
11
100 1 *;/ 14 200–299
1 300–399
11+12=23
200 1 *;/ 2 400–499
23+14=37
300 1 *;/
37+1=38
400 1 *;/
38+2=40
500 1 *;/
&  ! J00  Q2  

.E 1   * 3 .  ' T () 1/ 1 K   4G

+
< 6 ) * , A% $;  K   4G .H  + 40 1 '>   6 ) * 5 * 1
.  ; *DA $ R  1/   S +& 0 O K   ' $ ; %   1/ K   4G * , 9D .6 *
? ' ) 1 5  4 1/ 9D  % * 0
  .2 6   ) $3 1  3 30 *DA $  R  1/ K/
1  T ,  ,   K   4G O+ .4 ? 5   ) $3 1  3 15 *DA $ R  1  ;  4
.  0 * . 

6 * 5 *
  A% $;  ) * $; * $;
* , 6 @A ) @A
6 ) 6
7 0 72 21 68 1
0 1 56 22 64 2
6 2 68 23 88 3
0 3 64 24 72 4
11 4 60 25 64 5
0 5 68 26 72 6
9 6 60 27 60 7
0 7 60 28 88 8
7 8 56 29 76 9
0 9 84 30 60 10
72 31 96 11
84 32 72 12
88 33 56 13
56 34 64 14
64 35 60 15
56 36 64 16
56 37 84 17
60 38 76 18
64 39 84 19
72 40 88 20
&  *0 J00  Q2  

.  1    K   4G $A  O 3

+
1 A T  < : 1A $)  ,  1 1A S @A 40 1 '>  3  1A 40 1 0/  +A/
*? ?  1  ; .   1 A -, T   ,  1A S @A 40 1 '> 3 3   
.7 * , 1 &  K   4G "  $ $3 1 (3 3   1 * 9/ ) 

7 *
@A 40 $) -  3 , 1   K   4G
         ????
 1A?
? ?
?M 1A?? ??M 1A  1???
1???)  S 1 A 1)  ng/ml

  1 A  


95% 85% 28% 0–99
0% 5% 30% 100–199
3% 3% 35% 200–299
3% 3% 3% 300–399
0% 0% 5% 400–499
0% 5% 0% 500–599

?, E ?& 1/ : $& S 1A 1  7DA E & 1/ -9 5  , .  3D3  1    ( .  *
0? 99 0 1 1  $- 1  H  A%  ,  99 0 1 1  $- 1A 1 28%
.85% *;%
&  0<I#
0G< 
*3   7' ,%  *3 .(bar graph),/  4;
 1 7>   1
a  1
 $ S-
D 1 :  4 $  .   ; 4 6  ,%  4 2 '  .7   ;  
. , 1 T -)
+
.(4   1 2 *) 1A  1  K   4G ., $ S- *3 1 *

Histogram SMOKER

15 14

12
11

10
Frequency

2
1
0

-0.5 99.5 199.5 299.5 399.5 499.5


Cotinine levels of Smokers

1 *
1 % 1 3 , 1 .., 7 0%  0%   & $ $ S- 1  ; * 1/ 9D
.2 * ,  7    * 7 7  $A

Histogram SMOKERS
15 14

12
11

10
Frequency

2
1

49.5 149.5 249.5 349.5 449.5


Cotinine levels of Smokers

2 0@A‫ا‬
&  0<I#

$;*  00  0G" •


  $ <  $ ;   1 .,%    R' $ S- * R' <    $ S&
.

+
.(4   1 2 *) 1A  1  K   4G .,  $ S- *3 3 *

Relative Histogram SMOKER


40%
35.0

30.0
Relative Frequency

30%
27.5

20%

10%
5.0
2.5
0%

-0.5 99.5 199.5 299.5 399.5 499.5


SMOKER
&  0<I#

J00  Q
4  •
.K   4G 7' 1 7 * 7  1 *  4; 1 * K   4)

+
.(4   1 2 *) 1A  1  K   4G ., K   4) *3 4 * •

Frequency Polygon
15 14

12
11

10
Frequency

2
1

0
49.5 149.5 249.5 349.5 449.5

Cotinine levels of Smokers

4 *
&  0<I#

$&*  $*;  &&  •


*3   .  $;  * 0   ; * $  :   A 1
    A
.T -) ., R   $;

+
$? .$D,% N+-   
 1 * 'X $, 50 1 '>  +A/ : * 'X A $D,% 0    /
 ?# N+?& 5 ) $, * , 3    $A 1G * $A 1G R ; $ E+ . ;  $, * * R ;
.(8 ( ) 7 ,


*?% 1? O ?3 7A 120 * 1/ A 1


    1/ 1 .5 * < $D,% *    A
. A%

Movie length (min)

60 70 80 90 100 110 120


Length
(min)

5 *
8 ( 
Movie Company Length Tobacco Alcohol
(min) Use Use (sec)
(sec)
Snow White Disney 83 0 0
Pinnocchio Disney 88 223 80
Fantasia Disney 120 0 0
Dumbo Disney 64 176 88
Bambi Disney 69 0 0
Three Caballeros Disney 71 548 8
Fun and Fancy Free Disney 76 0 4
Cinderella Disney 74 37 0
Alice in Wonderland Disney 75 158 0
Peter Pan Disney 76 51 33
Lady and the Tramp Disney 75 0 0
Sleeping Beauty Disney 75 0 113
101 Dalmations Disney 79 299 51
Sword and the Stone Disney 80 37 20
Jungle Book Disney 78 0 0
Aristocats Disney 78 11 142
Robin Hood Disney 83 0 39
Rescuers Disney 77 0 0
Winnie the Pooh Disney 71 0 0
Fox and the Hound Disney 83 0 0
Black Cauldron Disney 80 0 34
Great Mouse Detective Disney 73 165 414
Oliver and Company Disney 72 74 0
Little Mermaid Disney 82 9 0
Rescuers Down Under Disney 74 0 76
Beauty and the Beast Disney 84 0 123
Aladdin Disney 90 2 3
Lion King Disney 89 0 0
Pocahontas Disney 81 6 7
Toy Story Disney 81 0 0
Hunchback of Notre Dame Disney 90 23 46
James and the Giant Peach Disney 79 206 38
Hercules Disney 92 9 13
Secret of NIMH MGM 82 0 0
All Dogs Go to Heaven MGM 89 205 73
All Dogs Go to Heaven 2 MGM 82 162 72
Babes in Toyland MGM 74 0 0
Thumbelina Warner Bros 86 6 5
Troll in Central Park Warner Bros 76 1 0
Space Jam Warner Bros 81 117 0
Pippi Longstocking Warner Bros 75 5 0
Cats Don't Dance Warner Bros 75 91 0
An American Tail Universal 77 155 74
Land Before Time Universal 70 0 0
Fievel Goes West Universal 75 24 28
We're Back: Dinosaur Story Universal 64 55 0
Land Before Time 2 Universal 73 0 0
Balto Universal 74 0 0
Once Upon a Forest 20th Century 71 0 0
Anastasia Fox 94 17 39
20th Century
Fox
&  0<I#

C0  D  && •


  $; ) ;  (   K  $;  D
O 3) .  0 - .  1  -9 ;  .  A
.( 

+
.$D,% N+-   
 1 * 'X $, 50 1 '>  +A/ : * 'X A $D,% 0    /
N+& 5 ) $, * , 3    $A 1G * $A 1G R ; $ E+ . ;  $, * * R ; $
.(13   , 8 * ,
  #

*% 1 O 3 7A 120 * 1/ A 1


    1/ 1 .5 * < $D,% * ;  .  A
. A%

Stem-and-leaf of Length ( N =
50
Leaf Unit = 1.0

‫ اد‬
‫اآ‬ ‫ا ق‬ ‫ار‬


2 6 44
3 6 9
14 7 01112334444
(15) 7 555555666778899
21 8 001112223334
9 8 6899
5 9 0024
1 9
1 10
1 10
1 11
1 11
1 12 0

5 *

 .;  .  A ,  / R &       1
 *%  :
/ 3  A , 9D
*3 *%  D
O 3, .(. %)   $;  *3, : 3  / .(. )  ; 1 K  $;  *3  3
 .3 (F, 1 ;    7)/ E+ 69  &
 ; <,   3  . 0 64 64 & 1 ;
1  .14 (F, 11 ;    7)/ E+ .74,74,73,73،74،74 72 71 71،71 70 & ; 11 <,  : 3
. E 0 *'% 1 0% 1 /    1/ 9D .7  0  1;
&  0<I#

0  &0  •
.
 ; 1 "G/ *   -9 */ 1 $A   A

  A

+
(8) * , 1 &  A  5   , 6  100 1 7> 7 6D  A K /

(8) ‫ول‬E‫ﺝ‬
6D  6D 
A 9
B 26
C 31
D 23
E 11

.  5  *3 


  A (6) * -9

b (26, 26.0%)

a ( 9, 9.0%)

c (31, 31.0%)
e (11, 11.0%)

d (23, 23.0%)

Pie Chart of lev els


&  0<I#

0+ ;  && •
; * 4) .Y  1  A/   X  1  1 ;D -9   A 1
 3 A
,/  1 / $A .(x,y)  3 * : Y  1 y    4 X  1 x
.&
‫ر ﺵ‬9‫ﺥى آ‬J‫وا ا‬

+
1  K+ 3 A $  .9 * ,
 (WAIST) A   (WT) 1G  $A 
.5   $A  $  3 A (9) * 1 .
,  6 *   A  4 1G ;D

8 8 8
7

4
3
2

240
2
220
5
200
5
180
weight

16
160
7
140
4
120
1
100
75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110
waist

(9) 0@A‫ا‬

. 3 A , O  / R & A   1G 1 * $ S- *3 )A% 1  1   
.1 1   7 3 A  %
 ' 0
9 ( 
Number AGE HT WT WAIST
1 58 70.8 169.1 90.6
2 22 66.2 144.2 78.1
3 32 71.7 179.3 96.5
4 31 68.7 175.8 87.7
5 28 67.6 152.6 87.1
6 46 69.2 166.8 92.4
7 41 66.5 135.0 78.8
8 56 67.2 201.5 103.3
9 20 68.3 175.2 89.1
10 54 65.6 139.0 82.5
11 17 63.0 156.3 86.7
12 73 68.3 186.6 103.3
13 52 73.1 191.1 91.8
14 25 67.6 151.3 75.6
15 29 68.0 209.4 105.5
16 17 71.0 237.1 108.7
17 41 61.3 176.7 104.0
18 52 76.2 220.6 103.0
19 32 66.3 166.1 91.3
20 20 69.7 137.4 75.2
21 20 65.4 164.2 87.7
22 29 70.0 162.4 77.0
23 18 62.9 151.8 85.0
24 26 68.5 144.1 79.6
25 33 68.3 204.6 103.8
26 55 69.4 193.8 103.0
27 53 69.2 172.9 97.1
28 28 68.0 161.9 86.9
29 28 71.9 174.8 88.0
30 37 66.1 169.8 91.5
31 40 72.4 213.3 102.9
32 33 73.0 198.0 93.1
33 26 68.0 173.3 98.9
34 53 68.7 214.5 107.5
35 36 70.3 137.1 81.6
36 34 63.7 119.5 75.7
37 42 71.1 189.1 95.0
38 18 65.6 164.7 91.1
39 44 68.3 170.1 94.9
40 20 66.3 151.0 79.9
&  0<I#

$* 2  
  $* •
 4  N+& -9 G *  .'A G/ , - $  1
 G * 
.1G
+
.9 * ,
  .$  14 *DA - $  G *  (10) * 1

Time Series Graph of datat

2000

1500
data

1000

8 5 86 8 7 8 8 8 9 90 91 9 2 9 3 9 4 95 9 6 9 7 9 8 99 00
19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 19 1 9 1 9 1 9 19 1 9 2 0
Year

9 ( 
Number year data
1 1985 2100
2 1986 1500
3 1987 1300
4 1988 1250
5 1989 1230
6 1990 1200
7 1991 1100
8 1992 1050
9 1993 900
10 1994 880
11 1995 820
12 1996 800
13 1997 780
14 1998 760
15 1999 750
16 2000 700
:5   Q;0   

'  20  

:  
 
.       .K  G #  K  7    7 / ;  ;

:

, .   . -,  -' 0       - @ A 1 &  G    *' +& , $-
. 3  $  -A E 'A    1  1   A K  G #   *' &

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
.  G  6  7  'A .  •
. -  .   K  7   7  •
.'A    1  1   A K  G # •
20  


‫ا
  ا‬ •
0 -  $; 4 .  1 6 K+ G  R  & $ 1     ‫ أو‬+‫* اﺱ‬#‫ا‬
:  ;D  -  1  N+& .$ N+-  

mean =
∑x
n
. $; * 4  0  b ∑ :M*‫ﺡ‬
.  1
 ; *3 * b x
. $;  *3 – n
:;D 1 6 x G   - G   $  

x=
∑x
n
: Q,‫ ا‬$ R9‫ و‬µ - G  P
A‫ ا‬P +‫* اﺱ‬#‫ا‬

µ=∑
x
N
.P
A‫د 
ﺹ ا ا‬E 0T – N

+
.  $ /
 E+ "- 1  6  , @    R ; $ E  ,  
   
. µ g / m3 ,
 1     $ % , @    *3 (10) *

 1     $ % , @    .10 *
µ g / m3 ,
5.40 1.10 0.42 0.73 0.48 1.10

: &    

x=
∑ x = 5.40+1.10+0.42+0.73+0.48+1.10 = 9.23 = 1.538
n 6 6

!‫آ‬#
‫ﻡ س ا‬
.  7 / G  ,
  1
 G  R 
3%  %    * G  R  7 
  E+ G   . 
 
. 7 ; O 
20  

&3    •
/ O   6   E+ 7  , 4 K+ G  R  &  1  % 
. x G  
  %  G  . OG 
:1  1 # / +' $3 1 O   / OG   6  O / $ %   #
.   ; 7 , O   1 %  O  , $  1  + .1
.  7 , 1  1 1   6  .  1 6 %  O G $  1  + .2

1 +
. µ g / m3 6
 "- , @      $ *3
5.40 1.10 0.42 0.73 0.48 1.10

:  * ,  $ 6  O / $ %  6 

0.42 0.48 0.73 1.10 1.10 5.40

.7 , 1 1   6  .  1 6 %  1P, (6) O G $  1/ 

0.73 + 1.10 1.83


median = = = 0.915
2 2

2 +
. µ g / m 6
 "- , @      $ *3
3

5.40 1.10 0.42 0.73 0.48 1.10 0.66

:  * ,  $ 6  O / $ %  6 


0.42 0.48 0.66 0.73 1.10 1.10 5.40

. O    7 , 4   & %  1P, (7) O , $  1/ 
median = 0.73

20  

(Mode) &  & * •


. M G  
O   - G    O   3%  *3  
 %  3   1/ *   1 1 * 1 $9%   R' - 1;   o
.(bimodal)
 %
   1/ *  - * 1 $9%   R' - 1; 1 3/   o
.(multimodal)
. D   1/ *  1 ; K/   o

+
:     1
a. 5.40 1.10 0.42 0.75 0.48 1.10
b. 27 27 27 55 55 55 88 88 99
c. 1 2 3 6 7 8 9 10

.O   3%  % 1.10 & 0%  


.$9%   R' < - * 1% .55  27 1 -  %  3  3 
.  ;  $  - R 3 3 

20  

  !* •
1 -  1 .   ,   09  1 7 .,   1
  7
:  ;D 6 2 0 5  ;   0 09  4 . 

highest value + lowest value


midrange =
2

+
:     1
5.40 1.10 0.42 0.75 0.48 1.10

:  6  7


highest value + lowest value 5.40 + 0.42
midrange = = = 2.910
2 2
‫اري‬#'
‫ ا
زی( ا‬+‫ ب ا
  ا
 ﻡ‬-

:  ;D ., K   4G 1   6  1

x=
∑( f ⋅ x)
∑f
:
7   – f
7 7  – x
 5  $ $3 -     4 7   7 * 7  6 )   6  </ K/
.7' *    2

‫ ل‬/‫ﻡ‬
:  *  1 &    6  $ 1A  1  K   4G +AF

10 *
1A 40 1  , 1  K   4G
 7 7 ; (frequency)   1 
ng/ml
( f ⋅ x) x f
544.5 49.5 11 0–99
1794.0 149.5 12 100–199
3493 249.5 14 200–299
349.5 349.5 1 300–399
899.0 449.5 2 400–499
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) =7080.0 ∑ f = 40 2

x=
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 7080 = 177.0
∑f 40

0/
‫ا
  ا
 ا‬

:  ;D 6 3   6   N+& , . -&/ 6 1 1G ; * 0  O  /

x=
∑ (w⋅ x)
∑w
:
. 1G – w
2 0 5  $ $3 -     4 -  1G   6 ) 3   6  </ K/
.1G%
+
 0  3 A  20%  0 *% A  (85, 90,75 )  A 3 * 3   6   
.50%  0, : 3 A   30%
:  6 3  

x=
∑ ( w⋅ x)
∑w
=
( 20 × 85) + ( 30 × 90 ) + ( 50 × 75) = 8150 = 81.5
20 + 30 + 50 100

20  5 , )0(

(Mean)  


.$ 2 0 5  $ $3 1 $ 4 2  

7 , O   % 


. ; ‫*
ت 'دي‬+,‫د ا‬E
% 
(Median)
.  6 
1 4 6 % 
&‫*
ت زوﺝ‬+,‫د ا‬E
  ; 7 , 1
.2 0 5  ; $3
(Mode)  
.O   3% 

(Midrange) ‫ى‬E‫ ا‬X 


highest value + lowest value
midrange =
2
20
4%3 5 

G N+& T ()   * .6 G .  1   * 1  A/ 0   *)'  (  
.6

G    1  
6 G 3F 4 *A  $A  G  R 
$  , $
J
+  J6 
3 4  * * $ $
 V  3%  
 # .  1 O A Mean
     ,
 V 
3 $A % 

+  $;  median
1  D 1/ 1  / $A 
   1  Mode
  1 3/ 

 ;

+  $ O R  $
 V  O   $A  7
Midrange

J0  !0*

J0  !0* •
:1  1;D P 6   1 $ N+& 7   1
  $ K  7  

(1) s=
∑( x − x)
n −1

n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2

(2) s=
n ( n − 1)
:1  1;D F 6   1 $ N+& 7   1
  $ K  7  

(1) s=
∑( x − x)
n −1

n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2

(2) s=
n ( n − 1)

J0  !0*B 3 )  •


.  * $ M  R K  7   .1
.  $ 4 1  , '   1 . O  K  7   ; .2
.($  1 O
 )
+  ;    * G K  7   ; .3
.% $
 -' & K  7  
 .4

J0  !0* , )0(

:  A 1) 9   1 (1) ;D $A  K  7   6   
. x   6  .1
( )
. x − x * 1 ,    ; 0 *  $; 1 ; * 1   W  .2
2
. x−x ( ) $ 0 * 2
A , - * $  $ 4  .3
2
.∑ x − x
( )  0 * 3
A , - * $    * 4 .4
. ( n − 1)  0  
A , <  K+ 2 $ .5
.5
A 5    G   .6

1 +
:. ; 
 E , 1 G 3 9  *3 $ N+& 1/ O 1, 3, 14 $ K  7     6
. x   6  .1

x=
∑ x = 1 + 3 + 14 = 18 = 6.0
n 3 3
( )
. x − x * 1 ,    ; 0 *  $; 1 ; * 1 6.0   W  .2
1-6 = -5
3-6 = -3
14-6 = 8
2
(
: x−x ) $ 0 * 2
A , - * $  $ 4  .3
25 , 9 , 64
2
:∑ x − x
( )  0 * 3
A , - * $    * 4 .4
2
∑ ( x − x) = 98
. ( 3 − 1)  0  
A , <  K+ 2 $ .5
98
= 49.0
2
.5
A 5    G   .6
49.0 = 7 min

2 +
$A  E+ . ; 
 E , 1 G 3 9  *3 $ N+& 1/  1, 3, 14 $ K  7     6
:9   1 (2) ;D

. ∑ x2  ∑x n   1 * 6  6 (2) ;D $A

n = 3,
∑ x = 18,
∑ x = 206 .
2

CB  ;

n∑ ( x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )
2

s=
n ( n − 1)

3(206) − (18) 2 294


s= = = 7.0 Min.
3(3 − 1) 6


'   (
J0  !0*

:  ;D     K  7   7 

∑(x − µ )
2

σ=
N
7
.     & b µ
.      & b N
' 

.K  7   4  &  •


. s  K  7   4  &  
. σ    K  7   4  &    

: +
10   1 1 * 3 6 14 ,3 ,1    /
7 min K   N+- K  7   1/ 10   1 1 * 3 , 
:  1 ,   
s 2 = 7 2 = 49 min 2

.C  $" 
3 &  (  *; C  Q;0 $" +  8" $% '   /# IB*

'  

.(coefficient of variation)  *  •


:  0 K  7 D   <F    /   *  7 
:  * 
s
CV = ⋅100%
x
:    * 

σ
CV = ⋅100%
µ

: +
1  D  1  R ; $ : * 40 1      5  11 * ,
  *3
HT is height in ) d#  O   N+& 1  * */ HT  *3 .*    1  1/
 1 * 6  $  *  6 .(Weight in pounds)*   1G% WT  *3  .(inches
.HT, WT 1 1 * K  7   

  K  7  


HT 68.34in 3.02in
WT 172.55lb 26.33lb
s 3.02in
CV = ⋅100% = 100% = 4.402% : *X  *  1   
x 68.34in

s 26.33lb
CV = ⋅100% = 100% = 15.26% : 1GX  *  
x 172.55lb

 < K  7    .1  1 / 1 1   $A 1 E+
 < R  *  1/ 9D
:D3 / *   1G% M * 1/    *  ; *DA 1 D
O 3, .1 S   <A *  % $
  1/ V 6 1  7 )/ 3 ? A/ * 1 G 3/ *   1/ 1 +  +& *% M * 1 7 )/
.7 )/ 3 ? Ae * 1 */ *

11 ( 
Number AGE HT WT WAIST
1 58 70.8 169.1 90.6
2 22 66.2 144.2 78.1
3 32 71.7 179.3 96.5
4 31 68.7 175.8 87.7
5 28 67.6 152.6 87.1
6 46 69.2 166.8 92.4
7 41 66.5 135.0 78.8
8 56 67.2 201.5 103.3
9 20 68.3 175.2 89.1
10 54 65.6 139.0 82.5
11 17 63.0 156.3 86.7
12 73 68.3 186.6 103.3
13 52 73.1 191.1 91.8
14 25 67.6 151.3 75.6
15 29 68.0 209.4 105.5
16 17 71.0 237.1 108.7
17 41 61.3 176.7 104.0
18 52 76.2 220.6 103.0
19 32 66.3 166.1 91.3
20 20 69.7 137.4 75.2
21 20 65.4 164.2 87.7
22 29 70.0 162.4 77.0
23 18 62.9 151.8 85.0
24 26 68.5 144.1 79.6
25 33 68.3 204.6 103.8
26 55 69.4 193.8 103.0
27 53 69.2 172.9 97.1
28 28 68.0 161.9 86.9
29 28 71.9 174.8 88.0
30 37 66.1 169.8 91.5
31 40 72.4 213.3 102.9
32 33 73.0 198.0 93.1
33 26 68.0 173.3 98.9
34 53 68.7 214.5 107.5
35 36 70.3 137.1 81.6
36 34 63.7 119.5 75.7
37 42 71.1 189.1 95.0
38 18 65.6 164.7 91.1
39 44 68.3 170.1 94.9
40 20 66.3 151.0 79.9
0G<  / J0  !0* ,

:  ;D $A  $ S- 1


  K  7   6  1

n  ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 )  −  ∑ ( f ⋅ x ) 
2

s=
n ( n − 1)
:
.    – n
7   b f
.7 7  – x

+
,  , $ S- $;  
 S %  1/ : .1A 40 1 '>  K  7   /
:  *

?, 1  K   4G


1A 40 1 
 ?
????? 1?? ??
(frequency) ng/ml
11 0–99
12 100–199
14 200–299
1 300–399
2 400–499

:  * 1 & 1/ 1 $ N+& . ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 )  ∑ ( f ⋅ x) n $ $G K  7   6 

$ S- 1 K  7   6 
f ⋅ x2 f ⋅x    ??
7 f 1
7 ng/ml

x
26952.75 544.5 49.5 11 0–99
268203.00 1794.0 149.5 12 100–199
871503.50 3493.0 249.5 14 200–299
122150.25 349.5 349.5 1 300–399
404100.50 899.0 49.5 2 400–499

∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 7080 2
∑ ( f ⋅ x ) = 1692910
2
:K  7  

n  ∑ ( f ⋅ x 2 )  −  ∑ ( f ⋅ x ) 
2

s=
n ( n − 1)

40 [1692910] −  ∑ 7080 
2

=
40 ( 40 − 1)
17590000
= = 106.2
1560

J0  !0*  C #‫ﺕ ی‬

:;D $A  1A * K  7   ;  1


rang
s≈
4
rang = ( highest value ) - ( lowest value ) 7

:;D 6 09     1 K  7   ,  

minimum value ≈ ( mean ) − 2 × ( standarad deviation)


maximum value ≈ ( mean ) + 2 × ( standarad deviation)

+
1 1 * ,
  $A ) 1A 40 1 '>   1  K  7   ; 1A * ;
( 3
)  3 3  

:   6  / $

rang = ( highest value ) - ( lowest value )


= 491 − 0 = 491

rang 491
s≈ = = 122.75
4 4
J0  !0*  C #‫ﺕ ی‬

rang
s≈ :;D $A  1A * K  7   ;  1
4
rang = ( highest value ) - ( lowest value ) 7

:;D 6 09     1 K  7   ,  

minimum value ≈ ( mean ) − 2 × ( standarad deviation)


maximum value ≈ ( mean ) + 2 × ( standarad deviation)
+
1 1 * ,
  $A ) 1A 40 1 '>   1  K  7   ; 1A * ;
( 3
)  3 3  
rang = ( highest value ) - ( lowest value )
:   6  / $
= 491 − 0 = 491

rang 491
s≈ = = 122.75
4 4

!';' 0I*

(Chebyshev s Theorem) 7  9 •


.1 − 1 *;% 0 K    * K  7   1
 K *  *  1) 4 K+  "G
K2
:1/ K/
.  * K  7   1
 2 *  *  1) 4 *;% 0  1 3 / 4
.  * K  7   1
 3 *  *  1) 4 *;  0  1 8 / 9

+
:1/ 515 K  7   100   -  0 7  9 .
.130 70 1 K/ K  7   ') K  *  , 4 *;% 0  1 %75
.145 55 1 K/ K  7   7 )/ 3 K  *  , 4 *;% 0  1 %89

7   ; 1 -) 1  ;  1  .T 1 -)  7DA  R K  7  
.
 K  7   ; 1 T -) 1
   1 
M K 
G  7   $-' ' $-, 0 O 3   (Chebyshev s Theorem) 7  9
J0  20

J0  20 •
:  ;D 6 K  R  1) $; 0  * 1 5 (z score) O  / 0 K  G #

x−x
z= :
s
x−µ
z= :  
σ
.(1  1; 6 ;/ 0 z ; 6  )

+
7   63.6in   H "  2.8in K  7   69.0 in *   *%   H
6 76in  
  * H  78in H 1  
 6 * 1/ T ' .2.5in K 
. Z 1   * 1  
1    "  1 
  * 1  * 1 2in  G 1  * 1/ () 1
.z score6  $ E+  K  R  0 1 * 1     "  1 1 0 .1

x−µ 78-69.0
z= = = 3.21 /0(
σ 2.8

x−µ 76-63.6
z= = = 4.96 ;
σ 2.5

 1 /  *  K  7  3.21  *   *   1 / 1  * (* 
.1  1 */ O   1P,    .K  7  4.96  "  * 

J0  20 )*+  

: - K  G # 6 E+  3 S $;  3 $; 0  $; 7
−2 ≤ z score ≤ 2 )*+ 0G C

−2 ≥ z score or z score ≥ 2 )*+ C

 3 Z*#‫ا‬  3 *Y Z*#‫ا‬  3 Z*#‫ا‬

-3 -2 0 2 3
*)     ;0   

(First quartiles) 0%    •


. - ;  75% ? 1   $ 1 0% 25% ? *'   & 0%   

(Second quartiles)  3    •


 .  & . - ;  50% ? 1   $ 1 0% 50% ? *'   & Q2  3   
.%
50% of sorted data ≤ Q2 ≤ 50% of sorted data

(Third quartiles) 3 3    •


. - ;  25% ? 1   $ 1 0% 75% ? *'   & Q3 3 3   
75% of sorted data ≤ Q3 ≤ 25% of sorted data

(Percentiles)  #  •


1 x  ,  #   # .K  $; 100 0  $ P1 , P2 ,..., P99   ; 99 
:  ;D . 
number of values less than x
percentiles of value x = ⋅100
total number of values

  1 1 * ,


  $A )
 1A  1  *3   +AF +
( 3
)  3 3
.112 1  ,     /
  $ * , 9 .( -   1  SortedSmoker 4  * -9 )  6  O / $
:   112 1 M/ ; 12 E & 1/ 

number of values less than x


percentiles of value x = ⋅100
total number of values

12
percentiles of value 112 = ⋅100 = 30
40

( P30 & 112 ? ,    ) 30th & 112  ,     1P,   
*)    ( )0(

*% G A   $ P1 , P2 ,..., P99 $ *  # .( Pk  ) k $;           G A ()
: k = 1, 2,...99 K/ , k $; 4

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

$ ‫*
ت‬+,‫ ا‬R*
‫ ا[آ‬4‫ا[ﺹ\ إ‬

*#‫ﺡ
ب ا‬
 k 
L= ⋅n
 100 
&P@‫ ا‬Z*#‫د ا‬E – n ،*‫^
ﻥ‬J‫ ا‬Z*#P ‫ل‬9 – k M*‫ﺡ‬

kth *‫^
ﻥ‬J‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
:&P‫ آ
ی‬R9 ( Pk )
* L 0‫ه‬ Z,‫ﻥ‬
(* &‫* ا‬#‫ ا‬-
9*9‫ﺹ‬ &'
(*P &‫* ا‬#‫ وا‬L
Z‫*
ت ا ﺙ‬+,‫
 ا‬
2 4P *‫ ا‬Z#
J
* ‫ ا ب‬4‫ إ‬L ‫ب‬#‫ﻥ‬

( ‫ أآ‬9*9‫ﺹ‬

&‫* ا‬#‫ ( ه& ا‬Pk ) kth *‫^


ﻥ‬J‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
‫*
ت ا‬+,‫ '&
 ا‬L
(*
&
$%' 
 

(Exploratory data analysis)  ,   * •


(K  7   G   ;    *3)  # % $A   &  ,   *
$  %    6  1/ O   / . % - A $-, 7-  , : */ 1
*/ 1 @ 1 G 0 U   1P, $  * 1 .   % @ A $-, 0   $ S-
.(Outliers)
+  $  A - A ,  $-'

+
* 11111  * A $ : FA : 1A  1  R ;   ,  * A  </ T '
 0
+   N+& 3> 7 .;  $ 4 1 O
 -%
+  ; & 11111  .1  

J$ S- , )#  K  7   

.450 0 172.5 1 1  * 11111  * A  M  
.1733 0 119.5 1 M K  7  

.1     $ S- N / $  (/) * -9
.11111 FA  * A  $ S- (6) *

.0G<  ' J0  !0* &     


 A( 0; '; 0+N 8'    /# S* /  D; 

Histogram SMOKER

15 14

12
11

10
Frequency

2
1

-0.5 99.5 199.5 299.5 399.5 499.5

Cotinine levels of Smokers

(‫ )أ‬0@A‫ا‬
50

40 39

Frequency
30

20

10

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
0
-5000 0 5000 10000 15000
SMOKER

(‫ )ب‬0@A‫ا‬

$C*  $*;  && 

$C*  $*;  &&  •


 0    1  $ 1 7F     1
 ;   A
  $ %   $ Q1 0%     $  $  . 1 09
. Q3 3 3  

;   A "    •


Q%  3 3    Q0%    Q09  Q   :  $ 1 * 6 .1
Q09    1) U   $  .2
.%   < $ $  Q3 0 Q1 1  * * 0 . $  .3
.09  0   1 . 4 $ $  .4

+
.1A 40 1   1  *3   0
 
.%  3 3    Q0%    Q09  Q   :  $ 1 * /
.;   A $ 
:*
‫ ا‬Z*#‫ ا‬E‫( ﻥ‬LO_20 SESSION_ 4)   , )  # $A 

Variable Minimum Maximum Q1 Q3 Median


SMOKER 0.0 491.0 86.3 252.3 170
(15) * < ;   A

4b,‫* ا‬#‫ا‬

500
Q3
400

*+‫* ا[وﺱ‬#‫ا‬

SMOKER
300
Median
200

100
Q1
0


*‫ﻥ‬E‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
‫   ‪:5‬‬

‫ ;‪  0I* T‬‬

‫ 
  ‪:‬‬
‫‪.., *    "
 ; 4
 ;   *  *   " ), : $ :‬‬


‪:‬‬
‫‪+&  - , .  *   "
 ; 4
 ; *'  *    9  % $& ' () *' +& , $-‬‬
‫'*  ‪.  9  % ^  .‬‬

‫‪: 
 !"#‬‬
‫ ‪:0 *' +& , 6  7‬‬
‫' &‪Q*    9  % $‬‬ ‫•‬
‫; 
‪Q4‬‬ ‫•‬
‫; 
"   *  ‪Q‬‬ ‫•‬
‫ ^ ‪.  9‬‬ ‫•‬

‫ا‪ *#‬ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
‫=‬
‫ا
ﺡ إ‪ 4‬ی
ر‬
‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
* ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬

‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬
‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪*#‬‬ ‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
  0I* $C # "

7  •
.  " # 5   /  K/ & :
&;  7  •
./   0 G 1 K+ : &  :
*  4% •
5  *  K/ ." # E  -3 1  :% *  &  " #  " ),
. -G 1  " # +-

+
:1  1" #  1
Q     :1 " 
.  K   :2 " 
. {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} : 1
 1 " Y  " ),
{1 − 1,1 − 2,1 − 3, 1 − 4, 1 − 5, 1 − 6, 2 − 1,… , 6 − 6} :
  3 " Y  " ),
.  36 1 '>  &

./   0 <G 1 5 1% 1 " Y  : 1


 5 
.4b3 / 6b1 *3 / : 0 /G 1/ 1 7 1 2 " Y O  O 3  7 

7  

: N+& 1 O 3D3  ,   1 : *   ;
 
(: E+    0 O  : *  ) 1   •
G  A : *  1 & . A : -,      6 a7  * 
' O"  6; 
: P ( A) G   O  <
Number of times A occurred
P ( A) =
Number of times trial was repeated
:  0 @ 0;  3 /*C •
.  1 1
  .,
 : *  ;  ;    1 / O :  
+
. A .  1 ,  ; H  @A 1 1/ *  /

 
: & 1 13 1 '>   +& ,  " ),
1
  $A 1   N& * . A $A $ – B :   A $A b A :
.6 *    #
$-/ 0 $- @ A/ 710 /  * OM  O A 855 >  A 6 *    #
:1
  $A  6 *   1 E+ . A A
710
P ( A) = = 0.830
855

‫ا ل  ث‬

(: *   D 5- ) 2  •


n */ 1 s 6 : 1/ 1 A 1  + .: *  R' O  - 7A  : n " Y 1 
+a   

Number of ways A can occur s


P ( A) = =
Number of simple events n

+
.&  N+& , A 1/ *  6/ .    , 13 $;  0 1& @ A% / 1/ T '

 
O  - : 38 1 7>  " ), 1P, E+ .*   R' O - (Slot) 4; 38 1 7>   6 
:   & 
A ., : 37 E & : 38 ? 1 .2
  . 6  1    .*   R'
37
P ( loss ) =
38
‫ا ل  ث‬

( : *  +  ) 3   •


. 7 9 ,  0 O   1/ 1 P ( A) : * 

+
. - EG  E  $ 1/ *  /
 
1 7>  " ), 1/ 6 .
 EG $   : 1 7    $ 6 1
  $A 1
1/ 7  .+ *  0   3
  $A  .2
  $A  *   K  S 13
11 O   K/ 0.0000000001 ? *    1/ 1  A 0 O  E+ O M 6 *  
.1  */

7  

7   •
. A : -, :  5  *  1
 A G   < G  A : $

+
*    *  N+& 1 D
O '  A + . + 105 $-, 1/ 1   1 205 1  +A/
.O + 1 1/

 
:   .100 K  : #  1/
  5 105 &  , +  1/ 

100
P(not selecting boy) = P(boy ) = P(girl) = = 0.488
205

0 

.   1  1 % 1 3 , (Odds) @ ' $A


( )
0
O   -  . P A / P ( A) 
 (actual odds against) A 7 7   0  •
.E  $ ; - R 1  1 b  a : ( a to b ) / a : b *

( )
  ),%   + . P ( A ) / P A 
 (Actual odds in favor) A 7 7 %  0  •
. b : a & A : : , ),% 1P, a : b & A : :
+
:6 . 35 :1 *  O  G    .    , $5 6 13  0 & +
.13    @ ' 6/ .1
.13  0 &   G, + ,  (  6/ .2
N+& , 13  0 &   G, + ,  (  6  */ 1 * (  6 G  1   , .3
. 

 
1
P(13) = :13  0 &   (  *  1P, O     b1
38
37
P(not 13) = :$  ;
38

37
P(not 13) 37
actual odds against 13 = = 38 = = 37 :1 :13 : :   @ ' 0 *
P(13) 1 1
38

net profit = 5 × 35=175$ :$5 *  ,  (  1P,    $35 1$ e‫ار‬E# &'


‫ ﺹ‬f‫<  * ر‬/  b2

13 : :   @ ' O   *  G  < K+ (  1 ( 1  */ 1 6 *  , b3
net profit = 5 × 37=185$ :G' *  , ,  (  1    37 :1 K/

,0  7 

(Compound event) ,0  7  •


. 3/ / 1 13 $) : K/ & 6  :

( B # A ) ,0  7  •
*  . O  &D / B : / A : 4  : +& 4 ( A or B ) G   < G  ( B / A ) :
:( A or B ) :

P (A or B) = P (event A or event B occurs or they both occur)


Q (  C

Q (  C •
( A or B ) B / A 13 / : *  6  ;D () 4
 ;
P ( A or B ) = P( A) + P( B) − P ( A and B )
. O  B  A 13 4 1/ *  & P ( A and B ) /# 7

(Disjoint events) /B*  /+  •


:1    . O 3 1/ 1 1+ 1 3 & 1D' 1 3
P ( A and B ) = 0
( A or B : *  6 
 ;) 4
 ; $A ' ()   ; A

P ( A or B )
Addition Rule

Are Yes
A and B P ( A or B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B )
Disjoint?

No

P ( A or B ) = P ( A) + P ( B ) − P ( A and B )
Q (  C

+
 1 D
O ; 'A   A  5  .D
O    14 D
O , * 
/  85 1-
/  99 1  0 * A  /
.N / 1 * 6  


/  99 1  0 * A 5 
 A     A  
5 80 *  D
O ,
/ 
11 3 *  
/ 

* 5  1 / D
O , *  1 1/ *  6/    
/  99? 1  *
/  A + :6
. 
  - * 5  / D
O , *  & / 99 */ 1
/  88  - () * 1
88
P(pregnant or positive test) = = 0.889 :6 *   1   
99
IB
1F
 1 3/  K/ 4 O ;D G .(88=3+5+ 80) 4 * D
O , 1& /   * 1-  "   6 
83  - 2 6 $3 (85=5+ 80) D
O , * "   6 $3 (83=3+ 80)   * -  "   6
 .(  * 1-  * "   ) 80   % E O;D     N& ,  .168=85+
4   88=80b168 :;D 1   * 1-  / * "   6  4
 ; .   0 *
..  6

   C

   C •
A : $ : *  6  ;D () $
 ;
P( A) + p ( A) = 1
p ( A) = 1 − P( A)
+
. +  1 1/ *  6 , 0.5121 K   +  1 1/ *  1  +

 
P(boy ) = 0.5121
P(boy ) = 1 − P(boy ) = 1 − 0.5121 = 0.4879
/B  /+ 

/B  /+  •
. A% : *  0 &/ : 3> 1+ 1 3 & 1D 1 3

1 +
.  Z * b A :
.  * b B :
. A% : *  0 3> - K/ : 1% 1D 1 3 & B  A 1 3

2 +
.    b A :
.5 $;  0 * b B :
. A : : . B : : *  1% 1D S 1 3 & B  A 1 3

$&0'   

$&0'    •
1/ T ,  4 B : 2; *  *3 P( B A) G   < G  A : 2;  B :   *  
.4; ; A :
:1    A% : *  0 3> &/ : 1/  1 B  A 1 3 1  

P( B A) = P ( B )

(  C

(  C •
. ( A and B ) O  B  A 13 : *  6  ;D () "
 ;
P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B A) :;D  "
 ; 0

P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B ) :;D ( 1 B  A 1 3 1  


:"
 ;   A ()

P ( A and B )
Multiplication Rule

Are
A and B Yes P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B )
Independent
?

No

P ( A and B ) = P ( A) ⋅ P ( B A)

(  C

+
 . G " )A
 B " ; G
  R / 1 + 1 3 W T/ -
 :   5 <, .  T '
.O  3
O 
   & / $3 . 1
 O
. 3 0%
 , "  1 1/ *  6/ b1
. 3 0%
 , "  1 1/ *  6/ . 0
  $ + O2
 
1/ *  1 * "  0%
 ,
 1 1/ * ) 1 1  13 1F, . 0
 / + b1
2
:6 *   1    . K  - * *  ("   3
 ,
 1
5
2 2 4
P(first ball is R and second ball is R) = ⋅ = = 0.16
5 5 25

1    . 3 : : *  0 3> *% : 1 1 S 1 3 ( . 0
  $ + b2
:6 *  
2 1 2
P(first ball is R and second ball is R) = ⋅ = = 0.1
5 4 20
" C3 
  " 7   

:*  1    *  * 1  " $  ;
.6  1  +'  *;% 0

   0 * 1/ *  /
" 3/ /

" : f,  "*;% 0 " : 1/ 9D •
" " : & "*;% 0 " : $ : •
"*;% 0 " : *    0   19D 1 & $A

+
1/ 03% *  K  + *  1 T ' E+ 03/ *;% 0  % 1  1 1/ *  / . / 3 -,
/ T '
.< K+  2 0 3>  2
 
: 1    3D3  % 1 *;% 0
 03/ " = A : 1/ T '
:" ;D $A  < A : *  ." + 3D3  % " = A
( )
P A = P( boy and boy and boy )
1 1 1 1
= ⋅ ⋅ =
2 2 2 8

P( A) = 1 − P A ( )
1 7 :1 $
 ; $A 
=1- =
8 8

3   C

(Fundamental Counting Rule) 3   C •


3 1/ 1 B  A 13 1P,   m 6 : 1/ 1 B :    n 6 : 1/ 1 A : 1  
.  n ⋅ m 6 O 
+
4 0
 1  1/ 1  $;  (9 b 0 1 ; < $; * )$ ; / 4 1 7> G *G   % +# $ 9
 6/ .  6  .  1 E+ *- + $ 9 ( G  0 * 1/   / T ' .  
. -  $ 1/ 6  
 
K  G          10 < $; *  $ ; /  / 1 7> G  1/ 
. 10 ⋅10 ⋅10 ⋅10 = 10000
$
  C

1    . n K  / M%   % * " 0  ( n ! G   < G ) n  !  G  •
n ! = ( n ) ⋅ ( n − 1) ⋅ ( n − 2 ) ⋅… ⋅ ( 2 ) ⋅ (1) :  ;

 ) . n ! K    N& 6  'A    1P,  n 1   1   : 
 ; •
.( +& n − 1 6 N A $ 1/ 1  3     n 6 N A $ 1/ 1 *%

 .   1/   . %


   , 1A   $ 0   $ 1/   E/ T ' +
. - 
.1A $ *  .  A 'A    6/

.1A $ 1 .  A 'A   50!   
 ; .  
50! = 50 ⋅ 49 ⋅ 48 ⋅ 47 ⋅ 46 ⋅… ⋅ 2 ⋅1
= 30,414,093,201,713,378,043,612,608,166,064,768

$A *  , 0 'A  .  1 .  * ,  6  1 S 1 * ;  O  5   1/ 9D 1
.6

;  C

:  'A .   1P,


  1 ( r ≤ n ) -  r A    n 1   1  + •
n!
. n Pr =
( n − r )!
n! n! n! n!
n Pr = = = = = n ! :*   1P, r = n 1 
( n − r )! ( n − n )! 0! 1
 A    
 ; 1    .  n 6  'A .   K   A   N& , *   1 K/
.* 
 ; 1

 1/   . %


   , 1A   $ 1 $ 4 0   $ 1/   E/ T ' +
.4 % $ *  .  A 'A    6/ . -   . 

: .   1P, * 


 ; .    .  50 */ 1 $ 4
  1 A 1/    

n! 50! 50!
n Pr = = = = 50 ⋅ 49 ⋅ 48 ⋅ 47 = 5,527, 200
( n − r )! ( 50 − 4 )! 46!
;& 0*  R ; /  * ;  C

 ) 'A *   1F, .<   nk ... <   n2  <   n1 -,  n  1  + •
:(   6  . 
n!
.
n1 !n2 !… nk !
+
. N+& 7  6  1 'A   $ BBBBBAAAA 7    T '
 
n = 9, n1 = 5, n2 = 4    . A 7  *3   - 4 B 7  *3   - 5 7  9 1 '> 
:7   6  'A .  

n! 9! 362880
= = = 126
n1 !n2 5!4! 2880

D%  C


A   6  $ & K/  1/ 1 ( r ≤ n ) -  r A    n 1   1   •
: A  -  'A .   1P,
n!
. n Cr =
r !( n − r ) !
+
."  T % ;  @ A/ 3 1 '>  $  * $-'/ 1  A ." )/ 9 1   , " % & 7F
:6  1/ < 
# R R A E+
."   A  .   6/ .1
(  1/ < 
# R R )  % 6  A  .   6/ .2
 
:K/ 9 1 3 ., & "   A  .   1P, E+ $- S "     6  1 .1

n! 9! 262880
n Cr = = = = 84
r !( n − r ) ! 3!( 9 − 3) ! 4320
1 3 *  &  % 6  A  .   1P, E+ & $- 6  1P,  % 6  A  .2
:K/ 9
n! 9! 262880
n Pr = = = = 504
( n − r )! ( 9 − 3)! 720
:Q;   

  Q2

:  
 
 4G  )   4; 4G *   $ S&   * 4  *  *
. 4G

:

4G    6  A  # E+ *   4G  * ;  *' +& , $-
4G  4G 0 A% "G , G  . -3 4;  5  E -3 4; 5  1 G .  *  
.

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
Q * •
Q*   4G •
. 4G  4G •
$)'   

(Random Variable) $)'    •


.  " #   * 0 * (chance)  ' 
 ; ; < * 1
  *
(Descrete Random variable) Q&  $)'    •
.$ 1  * ;  / $ 1   / <  * & 4  *
(Continuous Random variable) 0   $)'    •
<, R $ 1 O  *M :  * ; S $ 1  S  <  * &   *
. , / 
:/0 
.O  / O    * ,  * 1  + ,  .1
.
 NBN . ,  1   */ ./
.
 NBN . ,  1     -G /   2 .6

  Q2

(Probability distribution)   Q2 •


. *  $ 1 ; * *   )  ;D / * /    1
 *   4G
.*' 14 1 '>  , : #  b x  * T ' .
  3 *' 14 1   T ' +
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *  x  *  $ *3 (12) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :  $ +AF x  *
. x  * *   4G O+ -,  *  ; * *   (12) * 1/  . ;

: #  (12) *


X(Girls) P(x)
0 0.000
1 0.001
2 0.006
3 0.022
4 0.061
5 0.122
6 0.183
7 0.209
8 0.183
9 0.122
10 0.061
11 0.022
12 0.006
13 0.001
14 0.000
Q&    Q2 < /# ,( $  &0' 

:    . 1/ 6 4 *   4G


∑ P ( x) = 1 .1
0 ≤ P( x) ≤ 1 .2
. x K   * ; 1 1/ *  – P ( x) :
.1 K   * $; *  2 1/  *%  
.1  0 ; 1 ; 4 * ; K/ *    3  
. * *  4G (13)* *3 *& 1 +
1 .ND/
+   . 1% 6 *  4G *3   
∑ P( x) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2) + P(3)
= 0.2 + 0.5 + 0.4 + 0.3
= 1.4
.*  4G *3 * ∑ P( x) ≠ 1 1P,   
(13) *
: # 
x P(x)
0 0.2
1 0.5
2 0.4
3 0.3

x
. * *  4G P ( x) *3 *& .3 / 2 1 $ +AF 1/ 1 x : P( x ) = 1 2 +
3
.ND/
+   . 1% 6 *  4G *3   
0
P(0) = =0
3
1
P(1) =
3
2
P(2) =
3

∑ P( x) = P(0) + P(1) + P(2)


0 1 2
= + +
3 3 3
3
=
3
=1

x
.*  4G *3 P( x ) =
3
;D    1 0 ? 1 4 $ 4 ∑ P( x) = 1 1/ K/
Q&    Q2 $*;  +  

O   <  & .(Probability Histogram) *   $ S& -&/ 1 4 *   4G *3 . 
 
.   1 O  *   ; K  0 -9 <  $ S-
.*' 14 1 '>  , : #  b x  * T ' .
  3 *' 14 1   T ' +
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *  x  *  $ *3 (14) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :  $ +AF x  *
. ;

(14) * <3 *   4G *   $ S&

: #  (14) *


X(Girls) P(x)
0 0.000
1 0.001
2 0.006
3 0.022
4 0.061
5 0.122
6 0.183
7 0.209
8 0.183
9 0.122
10 0.061
11 0.022
12 0.006
13 0.001
14 0.000
0.25

0.20

0.15
P(x)

0.10

0.05

0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
x

1/ K/ .1 & - * T  D G  , 4 14,...3210  * $; 1/ ,%  * 0 9D
4G   *3 , O $- *   ;   1 *3  +& .* G   *   ; *  * *  
.*  

J0  !0* '  =&    

 * $ K  7        1 4  * *   4G / + •
: 

µ = ∑ [ x ⋅ P( x )] :  ;D  0   •

σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ ) ⋅ P ( x)  :;D  0  •


2
 

σ 2 = ∑  x 2 ⋅ P( x)  − µ 2 /

σ= ∑  x 2
⋅ P( x)  − µ 2 :CB ; &  J0  !0* •
+
.*' 14 1 '>  , 1 : #  b x  * T ' .
  3 *' 14 1   T '
x = number of girls among 14 babies

; * *  x  *  $ *3 (15) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :  $ +AF x  *
.K  7    ,  6/ .
 
:    O / 6 K  7      6 
. $ 6 $3 x 2 ⋅ P( x) x 2 x ⋅ P ( x)
.() * , -9 x 2 ⋅ P( x) x 2 x ⋅ P ( x)   $;

‫ اﺡ
ل‬-‫ زی‬σ 2 ‫ و‬σ ، µ $ 0‫( ﺡ
ب آ‬15) ‫ول‬E‫ا‬
x P ( x) x ⋅ P ( x) x2 x 2 ⋅ P( x)
0 0.000 0.000 0 0.000
1 0.001 0.001 1 0.001
2 0.006 0.012 4 0.024
3 0.022 0.066 9 0.198
4 0.061 0.244 16 0.976
5 0.122 0.610 25 3.050
6 0.183 1.098 36 6.588
7 0.209 1.463 49 10.241
8 0.183 1.464 64 11.712
9 0.122 1.098 81 9.882
10 0.061 0.610 100 6.100
11 0.022 0.242 121 2.662
12 0.006 0.072 144 0.864
13 0.001 0.013 169 0.169
14 0.000 0.000 196 0.00
‫اع‬ 6.9930 52.467
∑ [ x ⋅ P( x)] ∑  x 2 ⋅ P( x) 

:;  CB  ;


µ = ∑ [ x ⋅ P( x) ] = 6.993 ≈ 7.0

σ 2 = ∑  x 2 ⋅ P( x)  − µ 2 = 52.467 − 6.9932 = 3.564951 = 3.6

σ= ∑  x 2
⋅ P( x)  − µ 2 = 3.564951 = 1.9
  0G H)*     

J 0G ';    (*  •


 . *  1  + J 0G '; $     *3  &   n */ 1 W  x ? , 
.O M P( x or more) x 1 0/  K/ . / x
J 0G '; 

  (*  •
 . *  1  + J 0G '; 
C    *3  &   n */ 1 W  x ? , 
.O M P( x or fewer ) x 1 M/  K/ . / x

+
.*' 14 1 '>  , 1 : #  b x  * T ' .
  3 *' 14 1   T '
x = number of girls among 14 babies
* *  x  *  $ *3 (17) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :  $ +AF x  *
J   & 14 ? * '% 1 ' 13  . *& . ;

(17) *
: # 
X(Girls) P(x)
0 0.000
1 0.001
2 0.006
3 0.022
4 0.061
5 0.122
6 0.183
7 0.209
8 0.183
9 0.122
10 0.061
11 0.022
12 0.006
13 0.001
14 0.000

 
P(13 or more)   ,* #
P(13 or more) = P(13) +P(14)
= 0.001+0.000
=0.001

.  S  & 14 ? * '% 1 ' 13     O M P(13 or more) *   1/ 9D
$40  QC 

(Mathimatical expectation) $40  QC  •


0 * +& 5    *3  * (Expected Value) ;  / )   4;
E = ∑ [ x ⋅ P ( x)] :;D 
+
K+ $;  .  + 999 000 1 $; O A $3  A 3 1 7> $; A $0.5 1&  4, 9  ,
4; 6/ .H A   $ + ($0.5) < 1& K+ H    $275 (   6A $;  4 N A
.007 $;  0 1& +
A (  )  
&  3   999 /1000 = 0.999 K  -  $0.5 & 
A & 0% , 1   N& ,
. 1/1000 = 0.001 K  -  $274.50 N  ( 
E = ∑ [ x ⋅ P( x)] = −$0.225 :
A (  2 ;  1 1 (18) * 1

(18) *
x ⋅ P( x) P ( x) x :
$0.2745 0.001 $274.50 (
-$0.4995 0.999 -$0.5
A
-$0.225 2

$*U  Q2 

(Binomial distribution) $*U  Q2  •


:    . "  1 5 x 4  * *   4G &  4G
Q6  1  3  " Y .1
Q( A% 6  5    0 3>   K/ )  - 6  .2
QB ...( /$) (* S/*) , 1, 0 -' 1   * 5  .3
. A%   1  3 0 1/ 6 5   .4
:/0 
. 4G 5   " # 1 K/ 
J    $-/ 1 *> W  .  1 1'9 1  ( ./
.
 50     .6
.5 $;  0 -, *      
 50     .
.
 12   6 
 .:
.K , $; 0 -, *      
 12   6 
 .U
$*  Q2
 $  2 0 

 .F G   - G  (Failure) *' S G   - G  (Succes) W  :1  " #  1 1'
:  G  $A
.6   – n
  n 1    – x
( P ( S ) = p )
   , W  *  – p
( P( F ) = q )
   , *' *  O q

  0; ;(# 


 $*  Q2   
 +

.(  A 1 ,  (a,b,c,d,e)  A 5 *> * / 4 4) 7 6D A  1  / $ ;
7  1/   .)  A 1   A 4) , AD O - F- S 1  6D / 1/ T '
:6 . % X    3 0 )  6  & * * 
. 4G 5 " # *& .a
. q p x n $;   4G 5 " # 1  + .b
 
:   4G   A  4G 5 " # 1   , 1  .a

.  3 & 4 K  %  K  6   .1


. A/ *>  A /   # *  0 3> *> f A / ( 6 1%   % 6  .2
.FA   /    :1,  , 4 4 % 6  1   *  .3
*  < ) ( 6 *  1P, E+ . - ,  (a,b,c,d,e)    5  *> * .4
.4 % 6  , M O  3 0 *   +& . 1/ 5 K  (W 

.$*  Q2  &0' Q ( D 0( /L% ? 8

:5     4G 5 " # 1/  .b


. n = 4    A / 4  .1
. x = 3    )     3 0 * *     .2
. p = 1/ 5 = 0.2   * , (( 6) W  *  .3
. p = 1 − p = 1 − 0.2 = 0.8   * , (( S 6) *' *  .4
$*  Q2    ,

:   4G ;D $A    n , W  x 0 * *  ; 6  1

n!
P( x) = p x q n− x
x !( n − x ) !
:
.6   – n
  n 1    – x
.
   , W  *  – p
.
   , *' *  O q

+
/ 1/ T ' .(  A 1 ,  (a,b,c,d,e)  A 5 *> * / 4 4) 7 6D A  1  / $ ;
6  +& * *  6  6 .)  A 1   A 4) , AD O - F- S 1  6D
:6 . % X    3 0 ) 

 
:5      4G   4 . " # 1/ $     1
. n = 4    A / 4  .5
. x = 3    )     3 0 * *     .6
. p = 1/ 5 = 0.2   * , (( 6) W  *  .7
. p = 1 − p = 1 − 0.2 = 0.8   * , (( S 6) *' *  .8

:;D $A  6  % X )     3 0 6  & * * 
n!
P( x) = p x qn− x
x !( n − x ) !
4!
= ⋅ 0.23 ⋅ 0.84 −3 =
3!( 4 − 3) !
4!
= ⋅ 0.008 ⋅ 0.8
1!3!
=0.0256
:/0 
O  A / T ' .0.723 K   ; , * 1/ *  1P, O     1
  A + .1
:  6/    6
. ; , *;% 0    N+& 1 5 * 1/ *  / ./
. ; , 3% 0    N+& 1 2 * 1/ *  / .6
. ; ,    N+& 1
  1 3/ * 1/ *  / .
$*  Q2
0  !0* '  =&    

:  ;D  0  4G   •


 n! 
µ = ∑ [ x ⋅ P( x)] = ∑  x ⋅ p x q n − x  = np
 x !( n − x ) ! 

:;D  0  •


 n! 
σ 2 = ∑ ( x − µ ) ⋅ P ( x )  = ∑  ( x − µ ) ⋅
2 2
p x q n − x  = npq
  x !( n − x ) !
 

:;D  0 K  7   •


σ= ∑  x 2
⋅ P( x)  − µ 2 = npq

+
.*' 14 1 '>  , 1 : #  b x  * T ' .
  3 *' 14 1   T '
x = number of girls among 14 babies

* *  x  *  $ *3 (19) * . 0,1,2,3,… ,14 :  $ +AF x  *
.K  7      6/ . ;

 
:   q = 1/ 2 p = 1/ 2 n = 14 <,  4G *3 " #

1
µ = np = 14 ⋅ = 7.0
2

1 1
σ = npq = 14 ⋅ ⋅ = 1.9
2 2
$*;  Q2 

(Poisson Distribulion) $*;  Q2  •


*3 x  * 1  + . *  , : :    0 . 4 4G 1
  4G
µ x ⋅ e− µ
P( x) = :;D  0 *  , x *  1P,  *  , : 2;   
x!
.6  b µ = e = 2.71828 7
: 4G   •
. *  , : 2;    *3 x  * .1
. O  1 1/ 6 : .2
. A% 1
 D
O  1 1/ 6 : .3
. *  , $9 * 2G 1/ 6 : .4

$*;  Q2
0  !0* '  =&    

. µ K   4G   •


. σ = µ K  K  7   •
:$*;  Q2  $*  Q2  /; D0 
. n, p 1i j  3F  4G  µ *i j  3F  4G .1
. n  G   4G , 
 S  4G ,  *  $ .2
+
.- S ; 535 -  . 0.25km 2 *  - *   2 ; 576 0  3   6  , 1 6 $;
:6
(*;/  3/ ) O   1 O  A 2 ; 6  1/ *  6/ .1
. O   1 6  1/ 4;    6/ .2
 
: 2  , *    1P, O  2 ; 576 1 '>  *  0 / ; 535 1/  .1
number of bomb hits 535
µ= = = 0.929
number of regions 576

  1/  ( 2  *      )  *  , : 2;    *3  * 1/ 
: 2  1;   *      4G <  * , E+ .T 1 -) * * 
0.9292 ⋅ 2.71828−0.929
P(2) = = 0.17
2!
1 6  1/ 4;       576 K     0.17 K  1 2 ; 6  1/ *  1/  .2
567 ⋅ 0.170 = 97.9 1 ) 
$*  Q2
,0 $*;  Q2 

6  & $kAj O .


M p 
 n 1   4G 6  O  /  4G $A
:1   1   . 
. n ≥ 100 .1
. np ≤ 10 .2
;D 1 µ ; 6 -  4G 6   4G $A 1 1  1  . 
. µ = np

+
 A 3 1 7> $; 4 < A K+ $;  .   (   A 3 1 $; A $0.5 H 4, 9  ,
.$ 365 *DA ,

 (  1/ *  6j/ .$ * 6 O A T ' . O  N A $
 
. p = 1/1000  $ , (  *  n = 365 :  4G   . " # 1/
:  
365!
P(1) = p1q 365−1 = 0.2536
1!( 356 − 1) !

:1  1  A


n = 365 ≥ 100
µ = np = 365 ⋅ 0.001 = 0.265 ≤ 10
: 4G  4G 6  1 1 1  ,   

µ x ⋅ e−m 0.3651 ⋅ 2.71828−0.365


P(1) = = =0.2533
x! 1!
.1  , O    1/ 9D

:1 
:6 .D
O ' 11 $  *  O A 760 -    ; ,
.  N+& , $ ,    / ./
. $ ,    1/ *  / .6
. $ ,

  *;% 0  1/ *  / .
 Vj $/   N+& ,   $ * 1G&   1/  " / 0 6 *&   5  0 O  .:
.,
 )
:/ +   

$ ;&  Q2 

:  
 
.G   -  9  K  G  K   4G  4G $9 4G *   , 3 4 

:

. -  T G   -  9   $-  <   4G   *' +& , $-

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
Q*   , 3 4  •
Q$9 4G  4G •
. -  T G   -  9 •
  %+ Q;

(Probability Density Fonction)   %+ Q; •


4  .   * *   4G *3    & (Density Curve) , 3 0 / *   , 3 4 
:    . 1/ 6 *   , 3
.1 K       .1
.1 K  / M/ 0 K  / / ;  2 '  - 1 1/ 6 0 0 $ 4 .2
+
:1  1  . <% *  , 3 4  *3 (19) *  1 
:K  1 *   K       .1
Area = 0.5 × (52 − 50) = 1
.(0.5 K  $ 4)  K  / M/  ' K  /  0 $; 1 ; * .2

    K  x2 ; K  / Ml/ x1 ; K  / /  * ; 1 1/ * 
.(19) *  1 &  x2 ?  ;  $ x1 ?  ;  $ 1 , 3

0.7
P( x1 ≤ x ≤ x2 )

0.5

50.5
x1 x2 51.5 52.5
50 51 52 53

(19 )*

/ Ml/ x1 ; K  / /  * ; 1 1/ *  1/ : , 3  *   ; 1 *  
. x2 ?  ;  $ x1 ?  ;  $ 1 , 3     K  x2 ; K 
I*  Q2 

(Uniform Distribution) I*  Q2  •


*   , 3 4  . $ *  0   * 2G <;   + $9 4G   * 1
.* * 1 $9 4G
+
; 52  50 1 $9 * 2G
)  * 1/ T ' .
  " #
)  " -   E 1/ T '
6/ 6 . 1 AF EP, ; 51.5 
)  - + .(1 & ; 52  501 1G K/ 1/ K/)
. 1 E AF * 
 
4  1 E+ ; 52  50 1 $9 * 2G x  * .
)  * 1  x * 1/ T '
*  1 O+ 51.5 1 /
)  * 1  + * AF 1/  .(20)*  1 &  D
O  *   , 3
51.5 ≤ x ≤ 52 :    . x
)  * 1 1/ *  K  AF

P(51.5 ≤ x ≤ 52) : AF *    

 *;  51.5    *;  1 , 3   4    K  *   +& 1F, O    
:K  % 1  1 *   K    N& . 52  

Area = 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25


0.7

‫ﺡ
ل‬J‫
' ا‬T‫ آ‬-
 Area = 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25
0.5

50.5 51.5 52.5


50 51 52 53
$ ;&  Q2 

(Normal distribution ) $ ;&  Q2  •


   *3 1/ 1 (21) * ,  R  * <  O 9    * *   , 3 4  1  +
: 
2
1  x−µ 
−  
2 σ 
e
y=
σ 2π

. O  OG  * 1/ * &

. σ K  7   &  3 µ   & *% :1i j ,    4G •

Value

(21 )*
J0  $ ;&  Q2 

(Standard Normal Distribution) ‫ ري‬3


‫ ا‬$ ;&  Q2  •
(22) * () .1 K  K  7  0 K   ; <  4G & K   4G
.K   4G   

0.4

0.3

0.2

Area =1
0.1

0.0

µ -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

(22 )*

J0  20  C %0 *    C (

.K   4G ,%  * 0 ,  *3 (Z score) Z 20 # J0  20 •
1  K  G #  0 K   4G     *3 K  G # ; ,   *   ;
G # ;     R' 1  . A * 1 /     / &  1  N& .(23) *
.*   ; ,   K 

0.4

0.3

Probability
0.2

0.1

0.0
z
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

(23) 0@A‫ا‬
J0  Q2    J0  0G Q2  /  

:    $A  K  G # 0  * $; * 1
x−µ
z=
σ
  ;D 1 z ; 6 K  S 4G , x  ; K  / M/  * ; 1 1/ *  6 
.K  4G 1 z ? ., *   ; 6 $3
x−µ
z=
σ 0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

P P
0.0

z
K  S 4G K  4G
x -4 -3 -2 -1
0
1 2 3 4

(24) 0@A‫ا‬

$*  Q2 

(Sampling variability) $*  0M  •

. m  M  7DA  & 0j . A%  1 7A &  $    *3  # $ .
4G
    m 4G (Sampling distribution of the means)&  
$*V  Q2  •
. n $ R' -   *   *  

+
 N+& 1 1; 1 '>  O  A 1/   / T ' .1,2,5 & $; 3 1 '>    T '
1      4G / .( AZ  A $3 1  N $3  A )
  4  
.  4G   / $3 2 $
 
*   *   6 $3 .
  4 & A 1 2 -     1  * 
$   . N+& *   *      * (23)* 1 . N& A
sum of values
mean = :;D .,
  6  
9

. 2.7 K    1 * 1 .1/9K  $ 4 *  1/  
1+2+5
µ= = 2.7 :    
3
* J# 
 W   /   " *
&  
&     J 
'   (
&     /# IB*
.( J# /

(18) *
*     
1/9 1.0 1,1
1/9 1.5 1,2
1/9 3.0 1,5
1/9 2.5 2,1
1/9 2.0 2,2
1/9 3.5 2,5
1/9 3.0 5,1
1/9 3.5 5,2
1/9 5.0 5,5
2.7  

;*
$*  Q2 

(Sampling distribution of proportion) ;*


$*  Q2  •
  4G 0 *,  N+& *   * 1    6n $3 . n $ R' -   4 +A>n
.  E+ 
+
 N& 1 1; 1 '>  O  A 1/   / T ' .1,2,5 & $; 3 1 '>    T '
.
A % 1  ' %   .( AZ  A $3 1  N $3 O  A )
  4  
.( ' %    4G) ' %  *   4G /
 
 * ,  ' %  6 $3 .
  4 & A 1 2 -     1  * 
 . N+& A *   * ,  ' %    * 1 (19)* . N& A * 
. ' %    4G D3 : 3  3
(19) *
*   %  
 '
1/9 1 1,1
1/9 0.5 1,2
1/9 1 1,5
1/9 0.5 2,1
1/9 0 2,2
1/9 0.5 2,5
1/9 1 5,1
1/9 0.5 5,2
1/9 1 5,5
0.667  
20  <*  0I*
(Central limit theorem)

:& 
.( S / V  1 1/ 1 4G) . σ K  7   µ <   x  * .1
$ ) . n $ R' - :    1 A  N+& 4    1  .2
(6A 1/ ,  ' R' - 1 n $ R' -    1   K/ 1/ :  6 A

:(* 
. n ; G   4G 1 6  x    *   4G .1
4G  ) µ      K   *  $   .2
.( µ K  1 , <  
1 , <   4G K  7  ) σ K   *  $ K  7   .3
n
.( σ K 
n

20  <*  0I* D;& *   


 C

1 3/ / 30 $ 1    *   4G 1P, O  R    1) *   4G 1  + .1
1/ 6 -  4G 1 7  
      + " 3 E &)  4G 1  * 6  1/
.(*   ;   N& 1 30 1 3 /  $ 1
.( 4G & $ K/ 1    *   4G 1P, O     1) *   4G 1  + .2

&   
J0  P& 

   1)        1 n $ +   4 A $ +
:1 & σ K  K  7   µ K 
K/ µ K  µ x G   - G    $   •
µx = µ
K/ σ K  <; σ x G   < G    $ K  7   •
n
σ
σx =
n

&   
J0  P&  O )/ 0 σ x 
20  <*  0I* D;& 
 +
)'  C03 $%

( n = 4 )   4 1 '>  A / T ' . 0,1, 2,3, 4, 5, 6, 7,8,9 $ ; % 1 7F    1/ T '
.
  4  *
4G 1
    0 *   4G 1P, E+ & A $ 1/ , 9 R' -    $ ; / 4
 9 .   6, O  R    0 4G 30 1 3 M/ n 1/  . O   $9
 4G 1/ U   1 </ 1 $S  0 .A  ;& 1   4G 1/ U   1 G   -
1
A%  % $ ; % * $ E+ . .< 5 1/ 1    4G & R  P,  4G & 
.(24) * ,  $ ; % N+&  * $& A $ 7A 6  50 ? K  $; 
 % $ ; % $)   %
% +AF ) $; 200 $)  0 *
  , $ ; % 4  +
K   ; 0 * (
  1) -) (21) * 1 6  50 * K  $;  ,
A%
  $ +AF  :    1Z .(25) * <3 4G s = 2.8 K  K  7   x = 4.5
 $ 1  O9 R    0 *   4G 1/ 1 $S  0 </ 9D .(21) * <  50 *
.(26) * 1   4G 1 6 ;   *   4G 1P, ( n = 4 ) O M

, * 20  <*  0I* D;& 


 +
 ( &    

? @ A% 1G%     +  G  $ .* 2004 / @A 12 ? 4 5G 6 ;  T '
 "/%  " 1 "  1 O G 3/
  1 *   1/  .( 2004 /12 = 167 ) * 167 1 3/ 12
172 K   <;  4G <  * 1
 *   1G/ 1/  + .* 12 6  , 1
:6 * 29 K  <,  *
.* 167 1 /  * N A $ * 1G 1 1/ *  / .1
.* 167 1 /  * $& A $ * 12 ?   1 1/ *  / .2
 
1 1,  K  <  <;  4G <  * 1
 *   1G/ 1/  .1
1 /
  4G
 1 * 167 1 /  * N A $ * 1G 1 1/ *  6 
:   K   4G $A
x−µ 167 − 172
z= = = −0.17
σ 29
:;D  z ; Tm
1 2
− ( z)
2
e
y= = 0.5679

. O     4G  @ A * $A  .  *   ;   1 
 9 $A * 167 1 /  * $& A $ * 12 ?   1 1/ *   # .2
E+ O    , *   4G 1P, .30 1 M/  $ 1/ 1 $S  0 G   -
:  <D j 1 O )/ O  * 12 1 '>  1) 4G 1

µ x = µ = 172
σ29
σx = =
= 8.37158
n 12
:1/  29  1 O  σ x = 8.37158 K  7  $A 4 1 , ) .  2 P
x − µx 167 − 172
z= = = −0.60
σx 29
12

:6 *   ;  T 


1 2
− ( z)
2
e
y= = 0.7257

(* 
.D
O  167 1 3/  @A 1G 1 1/ *  1 / D
O  167 G  @A 12 1G/  1 1/ * 

/  * 20  <*  0I* @


<* 
'   ( 

A $  ( n > 0.05 N ) N    $ 1 5% 1 / n  $  -    1 
N −n
:  ( *  < ) .  1 σ x K   ( $ 1/ 6 &
  1   
N −1

σ
S    1 1/ 6 σ x = ;D 1 σ x K   ; 6  G   -  9 .
n
; ( 1  & .
  1  A $ -    1  1 3 , 1 .-
N −n
: 
  6 σ x
N −1
$*  Q2
,0 $ ;&  Q2 

:     +  4G 0 6m j 1/ 1   * *   4G

nq ≥ 5
np ≥ 5

:   4G     &


µ = np
σ = npq

+
 1 *;/  #  1/ 1 F 1/  0 6 ; 1 6  6   
  * $ 
&/ 6 . - W  1) 0
  1G 1/ :
  1) G  1/ < W 0%
 1   4 )  < W 0%  T'A 1      ;
  0 
1/ *  6  * $& A $ O  200  1  + .* 120 *;% 0 $- 6 200 1 / 6  
."  *   1  R' K    1/ T , .*;% 0 * 120 $- 1

 
  *  ( n = 200 ) 6  1  3   :   * & F N+- .,  *
.( p = 0.5 ) *  *  :
/  / *  &   *  6    1 6 A *3
1 3% *   6  6 : ) GD    6 F N+& ,  S  4G ;D $A
:   . :  4G 0  4G 6m n E+ (
 $   6  6 
 80

nq = 200 ⋅ 0.5 = 100 ≥ 5


np = 200 ⋅ 0.5 = 100 ≥ 5

µ = np = 200 ⋅ 0.5 = 100


: 4G D j
σ = npq = 200 ⋅ 0.5 ⋅ 0.5 = 7.07106

. 0.0029 K  & O      * 1 /  4G ;D 1 6 6 *  
(* 
.$ &  .  O *) *  D
O  120 *;% 0 6 200 1 1 1/ * 

(21) *
$;  ,
A%  % $ ; % $ ; X  
6  50 * K  x
4 6 8 1 4.75
6 3 3 5 4.25
8 8 8 9 8.25
5 2 1 5 3.25
5 3 3 9 5.00
2 6 2 4 3.50
6 1 7 7 5.25
4 5 1 9 4.75
9 3 3 5 5.00
1 4 8 7 5.00
1 6 5 0 3.00
2 2 8 9 5.25
7 5 1 6 4.75
0 3 1 8 3.00
9 6 9 5 7.25
4 3 2 6 3.75
7 0 4 7 4.50
6 5 7 5 5.75
7 5 1 4 4.25
6 0 2 1 2.25
8 2 0 4 3.50
5 2 1 3 2.75
0 4 3 0 1.75
0 1 5 1 1.75
0 4 7 9 5.00
1 1 3 7 3.00
3 1 1 9 3.50
9 5 6 8 7.00
1 4 6 5 4.00
5 9 3 9 6.50
3 7 0 6 4.00
6 9 2 8 6.25
6 8 2 0 4.00
7 9 0 2 4.50
0 9 8 5 5.50
9 4 5 6 6.00
6 7 8 4 6.25
0 2 1 7 2.50
0 5 9 2 4.00
2 2 3 8 3.75
6 1 7 2 4.00
1 7 7 6 5.25
9 3 3 2 4.25
5 7 4 2 4.50
7 3 4 5 4.75
8 3 4 0 3.75
6 8 5 2 5.25
4 3 1 7 3.75
0 7 3 8 4.50
7 6 6 5 6.00
20

Frequency
10

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

distribution of 200 digits

(25) 0@A‫ا‬

20
Frequency

10

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
distribution of 50 sample means

(36) *
:0'  Q   


'   (  0 0; 0

:  
 
4G FA d & 3 *  3     K  7         1 
.4  K  4G t

:

  $  .  d;  FA d &  K  7      .    *' +& , $-
.4  K  4G t 4G R   . ; FA d & G 

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
.   1   .  •

.7  1  7  K  7   1     .  •


.   .  •
. ; FA d & G    $  •

'   (  / ;*  0

  •
.   1
  .1
. 4G 1
 4G .2
. 4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 .3

 •
. p    1   *),/ & p̂  1
x
.( pˆ = )      0 W     *3 p̂  1  :
n

+
.      ;     4) * R  " / ,  */ 1  %   / ,    /
*3 $A $-)  1  / $- %51 1/ 1 H  @A 829 1  +A/ ."   
 1 
.   ;    $A T,     E , 1   *),%  / .   N+&
 
 &    1   *),/ 1/  0.51 &  1    $A T   @ A  
.0.51 &    $A 1)  1+ 1    *),/ 1P, E+  1

 1   0 * */ 1   $A :    " #   / *' +& ,
.       */ 1   $A @A < 0 . 
.  *DA 1    1)    $-
' N+& ,
1    :&  4G   .     ,      1   
1   N+& , . A%   1  3 0 *' W  *  Q(*, / W ) 5  1,  Q 6  Q6 
 . 4G 0  4G 6       . &  6   & 6   0   
. p    1   *),/ & p̂  1 1   N+& .
x
.( pˆ = )      0 W      *3 p̂  1  :
n
1   *    ( -'    1P,    1  0 G 
' N+& 1/ 1 $S  0
1)   / *   &    1)   /  *   *), 1/ : .  
.

'   (  / ;*  0

(Confidence interval) +  ( •


.      %    $A $ 1 *  & 3 * 
(Confidence level) +   •
 $  E+        3 *  -, K      & 3 
$ & α : 1 − α *  
  3  1  .   1 '        
.3 
.(Confidence coefficient) 3 *  / (Degree of confidence) 3    / 0
. 95% 3  0.476 < p ≤ 0.544  1/ D
O 3 6
.3  $ & α : 1 − α *  
  3  1 


  ' + .   1)   *),/ &  1)  1/ 5     *DA 1
0  
   1 #  
  */ 1 .  +&
 1
, K/  1 1 <P, 
.3  3 * 
IB
:D
O 3, ( * 3  *  $-' 1 6
. 95% 3  0.476 < p ≤ 0.544 3 *    829 1 '>    1  +
  +A/ + A/  / . p    K 0.544 0 0.476 1 *  1/ 95%  13 /  +&
K  N+& 1 %95 1P,  * ., 3 *  "  ;  829 1 7> - *   1 O
.0.95 & 0.544 0 0.476 1 *  1) p ; 4 1/ *  1/ * FA 1 . p ?  


'   (  / ;*  0

( Critical value zα / 2 ) zα / 2 (0     •


.( * 9/) K   4G  0 - 0 α / 2 &    *'   & zα / 2   
. 1 − α 3  ., zα / 2   

z=0

zα / 2
+
.95% *  3  , zα / 2    /
 
: α ; 1    0.95 / 95% *  3 
α = 1 − 0.95 = 0.05
: zα / 2 ; 1/ 5 O      . α / 2 = 0.025    
zα / 2 = 1.96
() * 9

Confidence level 95%

− zα / 2 = −1.96 zα / 2 = 1.96


'   (  / ;*  0

3   FA d & .  1 5  FA 1


    1 &  $   1 . '
:  7  6

(Margin of error) P&  X " •

  1 . ' 09  G  1/ *  ) 9%  A & E G   < G  FA d &
7   zσ / 2    " FA d & ; 0 .( 1 − α &    1) -9D $ 
: 1)  K 
ˆˆ
pq
E = zσ / 2
n

pˆ − E ≤ p ≤ pˆ + E :  ;D  FA d &    3 * 


0 * +  (  )0(

'   (  / ;* 

:  A 4    1     3  ., 3 *  

:1/ . .1
Q   &  b
Q
,  4G   b
. 4G 6  1/ 1  4G 1 b
.0 3  , zσ / 2   / .2
. E = zσ / 2 pq
ˆ ˆ n :;D 1 FA d & / .3
pˆ − E ≤ p ≤ pˆ + E :  3 *   p̂  1)  E FA d & $A  .4
. '  $ ; / 3 0   $ 6 ; .5

+
.      ;     4) * R  " / ,  */ 1  %   / ,    /
1 (   &
A  1/ T ') H  @A 829 1  +A/ ."   
 1 
:6 .   N+& *3 $A $-)  1  / $- %51 1/

Q%95 *  3  ., E FA d & / .1


Q%95 *  3  ., 3 *  / .2
   ;     $A 1)    1   S 1/ U   1 *&  3 5  0 O  .3
."   
 1  .  
 
4G   . 4G Q   -/ T '
A  : G    4 1/ 1 .
 3 ; & pˆ = 0.51 (W  * )    $A @A T  1/ *  n = 829 6   : 
$A 1    nqˆ = 409.21 , npˆ = 422.79 ≥ 5 .T 1 -) * 6  1/  Q A%   1
. 4G 6   4G

:  ;D 1 N / 1 FA d & .1


ˆˆ
pq
E = zσ / 2
n
0.51 ⋅ 0.49
=1.96 = 0.034030
829

(LO_3   , .  1  1 -  $ zσ / 2 ; :)


:  N $ 3 *  .2
pˆ − E ≤ p ≤ pˆ + E
0.51 − 0.034030 ≤ p ≤ 0.51 + 0.034030
0.476 ≤ p ≤ 0.544

. 51% ± 3.4% 6 .3.4% FA d - 51% H 1)   :  -  $ O  S  N& *3

;     $A 1)    1   S 1/ U   1   5  0 O  .3
50% 1 / F R 3 *  1% E+ "   
 1  .     
.( 50% 1 / $; 0 50% 1 M/ $; 1  3 *  )

0 *  P& X < D%  *  ( 



'   (  / ;* 

1 FA d &   ;D $A 1   N& , .
 ; FA d & G  :  $  O  / 6
  q̂  p̂ 1 * ; * & ,  p̂  1 O / 1 . p̂  1)  ; ,  6 ;D N+&
<  N+& , . 0.25 K   ; $9/ - 1 pq
ˆ ˆ " ; 1/ & 0.5   q̂  p̂ 1 * * , 6 . 0.5
:1  G
 3    •
:;D  0  $ & . 1)  p̂  
[ z ] pq
n = α /2 2
ˆˆ
E

*+     •
:;D   $ 0   N& , . 1)  p̂  

n=
[ zα / 2 ] ⋅ 0.25
E2

+

   , * D      -, $A  *G   7  1/   2   $ @A 1/ T '
:1  1  1 * , 4% G  FA d & 95% 3 *  1 :  $  6 . %

. 16.9% K   %


   ,      A  1/ 1 /    .1
. %
   ,      A  1  K/  .2
 
:   E = 0.04, zα / 2 = 1.96, qˆ = 0.831, pˆ = 0.169  0%   , .1

2
[z ]
n = α /2
ˆˆ
pq
2
E
2

n=
[1.96] ⋅ 0.169 ⋅ 0.831 = 337.194 = 338
0.04 2

:   E = 0.04, zα / 2 = 1.96   3   .2


2

n=
[ zα / 2 ] ⋅ 0.25
2
E

n=
[1.96]
⋅ 0.25
= 600.25 = 601
0.04 2
. -  (  M% -  n  $   ; 0  +  IB


'   (
&     0
J0  !0* %0 *

&0'  •
.   1
  .1
.,     K  7   ; .2
. 4G 1
    0 4G / 30 1 /  $ .3

(*  •
.      *),/ & x   
+
x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $
    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/


 $A    1


  1/ T ' . σ = 0.62 F ,  K  7 # ; 1/ T '
.     
 
,  -) ' K   ;  30 1 / n = 106 1/  .   1
  1/ T '
. µ = 98.20 F .   &       *),/ O+ σ = 0.62 F

.,     K  7   ; 1        0
' N& , G 
.  ,  1 K  7   ,  6 1,   S  7 9 N& *3
&     0 * P&  X "

  K  7   K          3  ., FA d & •
σ
E = zα / 2 ⋅ .3 *  ,     O  ) $ R' -  
n
x − E < µ < x + E :    3 *  •

IB
σ
. = K  7    2G - $ R' -     1/ G   -  9      /
n

µ &   
+  (  )0(

:  A 4  3  ., µ   3 *  
:1/ . .1
Q   &  b
Q 30 1 /  $ /  * 2G    b
.0 3  , zσ / 2   / .2
. E = zα / 2 ⋅ σ
:;D 1 FA d & / .3
n
x − E ≤ µ ≤ x + E :  3 *   x    E FA d & $A  .4
. '  $ ; / 3 0   $ 6 ; .5

 x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $


    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/ +
:/ 95% 3  */ 1    1
  1/ T ' . σ = 0.62 F
.FA d &.1
. µ   3 * .2
O+ σ = 0.62 F ,  K   ;  30 1 / n = 106     1
  1/ 

 
.   
FA d & .1
E = zα / 2 ⋅ σ
n
0.62
= 1.96 = 0.118031
106
:3 *  .2
1P, x = 98.20 F 1/ 
98.20 − 0.118030 ≤ µ ≤ 98.20 + 0.118030
98.08 ≤ µ ≤ 98.32
µ  C 0 ,
&  *  ( 

:  ;D 1 1 3  µ ;  $  $GD  $  1 K  7   ; ,  
2
z σ 
n =  α /2 
 E 
::
Q6 3  ,    – zσ / 2
Q6 " A d & b E
.   K  7   b σ

+
 E = 2 FA d -       0 *  & A $ 1/ 6    $ 
. σ = 15    K  7   1/ O  95% *  3
 
:;D 1   $ 6
2
z σ 
n =  α /2 
 E 
. σ = 15 zα / 2 = 1.96 E = 2 ::
2
1.96 ⋅15 
n= = 216.09 = 217
 2 

.   $ 1 5% 1 M/  $ 1  E+ N    $ . n  $ 1/ 9D
.K  7   FA d & 6 3  N  $ 1/ O )/ 9D


'   (
&     0
J0  !0* %0  *

  •
.   1
  .1
. 4G 1
    0 4G / 30 1 /  $ .2

 •
.      *),/ & x   
+
. x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $
    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/


.        $A    1
  1/ T '
 
    *),/ + 30 1 / n = 106 1/  .   1
  1/ T '
. µ = 98.20 F .   &  

.,  S    K  7   ; 1        0
' N& , G 
.  , 
O   <,  K  7   ,  1/ + .   7 9 N& *3

(%0 0G σ ) &     0 * P&  X "

7   K  (,  S σ )         3  ., FA d & •
.3 *  ,     O  ) $ R' -     K 

s
E = tα / 2 ⋅
n

:    3 *  •

x−E < µ < x+E

K  7   K  (,  S σ )         3  ., FA d &
 -  9      / .3 *  ,     O ) $ R' -    
σ
E+ ,  S σ 1/  . = K  7    2G - $ R' -     1/ G 
n
 (t-distribution) t 4G 1 ' tα / 2   ; $A s  K  7   ; & -   ; $A
:FA d & (    . zα / 2  4G 1     1

s
E = tα / 2 ⋅
n

:    3 *  •


x−E < µ < x+E
t Q2

:  1F, . n $ 1  K  7     s  x 1  . O     0 4G 1  + •

x −µ
t=
s
n
. n $ 1  *   E+ t 4G ., 2G

.     b µ :

0  (0

. -  $; 0    T ,  M 1/ 1  $  &  1      •
:;D  0 n K  -  1      1P, 6  +&  */ 1 •

degrees of freedom = n-1

+
   .80 *  " #
  , &G /      1/ 6D 10 1 '>   T '
.   E  

 
 .800 1 1/ 6 $-   2 1P, 80 *  " #
  , &G /      1/ 
.9 K      1P,     6D   ,    10 ?   1% , 6D 9   M

t Q2  <  ) 

. n  $ 6 7A t 4G .1


. M $ +  */ 1 /  M R <  4G <  R  * t 4G .2
.0 K   ; < t 4G .3
.1 1 / O  <  $ 6 7A t 4G K  7   .4
.K   4G 1 t 4G 6 ;   $ G  .5
.11 *      2 *      */ 1 t 4G   4G    $ () * -9

K   4G


0.4

0.3 n=12 */ t 4G

0.2 n=3 */ t 4G

0.1

-4 -2 0 2 4

tα / 2 (0     (

(Critical value tα / 2 ) tα / 2    •


 # .(N / * 9/) t 4G  0 - 0 α / 2 &    *'   & tα / 2 (0    
.
 5  / * / $A      */ 1 tα / 2 
:;D 6     &    

degrees of freedom = n-1

α /2

z=0

tα / 2
+
.105     95% *  3  , tα / 2    /

 
: α ; 1    0.95 / 95% *  3 
α = 1 − 0.95 = 0.05
: tα / 2 ; 1/ 5 Mintab 5   $A  . α / 2 = 0.025    
tα / 2 = 1.984

(,  S σ ) µ &   
+  (  )0(

:  A 4  3  ., µ   3 *  
:1/ . .1
Q   &  b
Q 30 1 /  $ /  * 2G    b
.0 3  , tσ / 2   / .2
. E = zα / 2 ⋅ s :;D 1 FA d & / .3
n
:  3 *   x    E FA d & $A  .4
. '  $ ; / 3 0   $ 6 ; .5

+
 x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $
    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/


 */ 1 .   1


  1/ T ' .(,  S σ ) s = 0.62 F  K  7  
:/ 95% 3
.FA d & .1
. µ   3 *  .2
 
s = 0.62 F ,   K   ;  30 1 / n = 106 1/     1
  1/ 


.    +


tα / 2 = 1.984 : -; .  1  , -  $ tα / 2 ; .1

:FA d & 1   


E = tα / 2 ⋅ s
n
0.62
= 1.984 = 0.119457
106
:3 *  .2
1P, x = 98.20 F 1/ 
98.20 − 0.119457 ≤ µ ≤ 98.20 + 0.119457
98.08 ≤ µ ≤ 98.32

&   
0     (
+  ( %0 * P&  X "

:  FA d &    1 3 *  ,  

x=
( upper confidence limit ) + ( lower confidence limit )
  .1
2

E=
( upper confidence limit ) - ( lower confidence limit ) FA d & .2
2

+
6 . 95% *  3  [24.056, 27.218] *  1) 4 @ A% 1    1/ T '
.FA d &   ;

 
&     .1

x=
( upper confidence limit ) + ( lower confidence limit )
2
27.218+24.065
= = 25.6 year
2

P&  X " .2

E=
( upper confidence limit ) - ( lower confidence limit )
2
27.218 - 24.065
= = 1.6 year
2
'  0

:1  1F d;  7


' N& ,

. σ 2     / K  7   ;    1  + .1


.K  7   ;  $GD  $  .2

    •
.   1
  .1
.(' 
  1  0)  4G 1
 4G .2

 •
. σ     *),%  *3 s  
2 2

. σ    K  7 D  $A O  S s  K  7  

.
 ) *  ,  A K  7   ;  U   1 3 1/ +   1

Q;0 J Q2

(Chi – Square Distribution) Q;0 J Q2 •


 6 n - * $     * A . σ 2
 <  4G  1/ T '
:  & . s 2  N& 1 *
2
χ =
( n − 1) s 2
2
σ
.4  K  4G <
:       $ * $A *' +& , .      4  K  4G

degree of freedom = n-1


Q;0 J Q2 )

. 9  1 6 ;      G  . 9  S 4  K  4G .1


.  1 1/ 1 4  K  4G $; .2
4  K  4G () * 1 . 1 6 ;      G  . df     6 4  K  4G 7A .3
. df =20      df =10     */ 1

0.10

0.05 df=10

0.00

0 10 20 30 40 50

df =10     */ 1 4  K  4G

0.07

0.06

0.05 df=20
0.04

0.03

0.02

0.01

0.00

0 10 20 30 40 50

df =20     */ 1 4  K  4G


Q;0 J Q2 (0     ,

.* *  1/ 6    1 9      ;    ; 1 3  */ 1 

+
.9 K      1/ T ,/ .- * , 0.025 &      4  K  4G    /
 
  */ 1 χ = 19.023    
2
R χ = 2.700       1
2
R Minitab 5   $A 
.     $ < 4  K  4G * -9 . n = 9  

0.025

0.025

χ L2 = 2.700 χ R2 = 19.023

6  3 *  1F, 4  K  4G 9  $ 6 .4  K  4G $A 6    3 *  6 
   ; 1 3  */ 1  .* * FA     6  $ 1/ 6 * . s 2 ± E * 
.* *  1/ 6    1 9      ;
'  0 * +  (

:;D 1        3 *  •

( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ 2 ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL

:;D 1     K  7     3 *  •

( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL

.0 3  ,     $ χ L2 χ R2 :

"  $ F N+& * */ 1 .  &


 0 > K/ 1) -/  σ 2   *),/ & s 2 ; 1/ 1 $S  0
.0 3  ., 3 * 

'  0 * +  (  )0(

:  A 4  3  ., µ   3 *  

:1/ . .1
Q   &  b
. * 2G    b
..,  * ,  ( n − 1)      0 3  , χ L2 χ R2     $  .2
:  3 *   s 2   χ L2 χ R2 $A  .3
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ 2 ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL
. '  $ ; / 3 0   $ 6 ; .4
.;D   K  7 D 3 *  .5
( n − 1) s 2 ≤ σ ≤ ( n − 1) s 2
2 2
χR χL

+
7    x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $
    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/


4G 1
    1) 4G 1     1
  1/ T ' s = 0.62 F  K 
:/ 95% 3  1 
. σ   3 *  .1
2
 
&    1)   *),/     4G 1
 4G    1
  1/ 
. s  1) 
105 K       */ 1 Minitab *3  A 5  $A  4  K  4G 1 -  $     $
:     0  3 *     χ R2 = 74.222  χ R2 = 129.561 1/ 5 . α / 2 = 0.025 

(16 − 1) ( 0.622 ) 2
(16 − 1) ( 0.622 )
≤σ ≤
129.561 74.222
2
0.31 ≤ σ ≤ 0.54

.K  7 D 3 *   7  *   G  P


0.56 F ≤ σ ≤ 0.74 F

α /2 α /2

χ L2 χ R2
: 0' $*+  0' J   

40  0;

:  
 
*+ + A 1+ + A  &%      A   #  ) , -,  ) , ) ,
. *+ + A K 

:

   G A *'  W  .       * ) ' A  *' +& , $-
. - * $A        1 * * ) ' A

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
.       * ) ' A •
. ) ' A    G A •
40  0;

 ) ' A .  *'  -  $         &    " Y 1 % 1/G
-      ) ' A */ 1 *' +& , -  $      # .*' +& , - $-
.*' +& ,    $& ' ()   N+& , *A *; .  1 3 , 1 A 
40  •
.   @A 1  A * "  /  & ) '
40  0 •
.    A * "   A */ 1     & ) ' A

+
:*' +& , O  &   .   & A 1 + ) , 1 1/ (   
."   
 1  .  1  1   6S/ 1/ 0 1  / .1
. 98.6o F H " % @ A% $ /
   1/  *  , 13  0 .2

0*  7  C

.   :
 ; & O   - < $   %
  G 1/ 6 *' +- " *;

0*  7  C •


. 1 ; ) ,# E 1/ 5 P, O *; <; $ K+ : *   ) , 1) 1  +
O *; R <3 *  K+ : 1 G *    * .  1 "  A 
  N+& 1 5
 ) ,  1/ / 4; ;   : 1/  * P, O *; <  : 2;  .O *; <3 *  K+ :
. S & ) ,

+
+ 0 *  ,
 G G UG (   "  6 K+ "2 A" < 5    ;
7 9 + A */ 1 " ; G 7 9 , 5 .%80 ( : 03/ 0 *  ,
 G %85 ( :
$- 1/ T ' .:  0 * 1  1+ 1
/ 100 0    / / T ' .03% A */ 1  &G
R $A  . 3/ K/ < R "2 A" UD 1/ T ' 7  A  */ 1 . &G 7 9  , "  
1  + 3/ K/ < R " 2 A" UD 1/ * K+ "   1 U    +      K/ $A 1 $ 
:$- *' 100    $- (/
/ 100?

J03/ 52 .1
J03/ 97 .2
 
1/ 1  N+& 1/ 5 P, 50 0 O  ; 52  1/  ' 50 0 * 4;    , .1
. O   3/ K/ < R " 2 A" UD 1/ * K+ "      .- :
O O   O3 1 * 1/ /  N+& $ / .,  -3 6 1  :
   & ' 97  .2
. O R 3/ K/ < R " 2 A" UD 1/ * K+ "   1/ / 4; ;

40  0; 3 ;0 

  A   #  ) ' (


 ' ) -,  ) ' :& ) ' A  9  %  
. 3  1 FA *%  1 FA ( P − value )        &% *   

) ' (
 ' ) -,  ) ' :& ) ' A " 3/ A  %       $- *' +& ,
*%  1 FA ( P − value )        &% *      A   # 
:  *  d;  : . 3  1 FA
. ) ' -,  ) '  "  / + •
. A   # ; 6   "  / + •
.  $  &%  0/ + •
.      A   # ; / + •
.  $A 1  * ) ' A 5  1  •
."   A   1/ 1   3  1 FA *%  1 FA  •

40  0; ;0

%  40  •
 )      ; 1/ 0 @   & ( H 0 G   - G  ) -,  ) '
."   - @   -' & (B...  
. H 0 -), $ / H 0 ) ' T, 0  - , *  -/ T ' E+
  H 0 ) ' A $

+
. 98.6 F H " % @ A  $ /
   1/  *  , 13  0
o

: H 0 ) '
H 0 : µ = 98.6 F

40  0; ;0


;  40  •
)      ; 1/ 0 @   & ( H a / H1 G   - G  )  ) '
.( H 0 ) ' 1 7A) "   - @   1 7A (B...   

+
. 98.6o F H " % @ A  $ /
   1/  *  , 13  0
: ) ' (   *
H1 : µ > 98.6 F , H1 : µ < 98.6 F , H1 : µ ≠ 98.6 F ,

40  0; ;0


( H1 40  H 0 40   )0(#)

: H1 ) ' H 0 ) '   /   * @A

/

E‫* ا& ی‬g‫د


ء أو ا‬J‫د ا‬E‫ﺡ‬
.*g
‫ رز ری‬0@A
‫اﺥ
ره‬

&‫ ا‬#‫* ا‬g


‫ رز ری‬0@A ‫د‬E‫ﺡ‬
‫
ی@ن‬E 9*9‫ أن @ن ﺹ‬R‫ی‬
.f*9‫* ﺹ‬Y &P‫د
ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫ا‬

J  7; ;  Y  # H1 ) ' 


.( ≠, <, > Y   )   0'
 C /; J $  M ; H 0 ) ' 
.$
3 ; <* 0;     0 0; 
1 +
:  "    1
."   
 .   1      S
. H1 40  H 0 ) ' 

 
 3 & 
 
 .   * 50% 1 G  1/  1   S :  )  * 0 "   
. p > 0.5 :K/ " 
*+  & 
. 1 1/ 6 p ≤ 0.5
 1/ 5  A p > 0.5
 K/ ( S "   1  +
+ +  & 
K/ H1  ) ' -   
 
 K p > 0.5
 1/  
H1 : p > 0.5
:% "   ,
  K   ; *  ) ' & -,  ) ' *
H 0 : p = 0.5

2 +
:  "    1
.$;/ 7 3% 0 H 1,  
  */ 
. H1 40  H 0 ) ' 

 
 3 & 
. µ ≤ 7 :  )  * 0 "   
*+  & 
. 1 1/ 6 µ > 7
 1/ 5  A µ ≤ 7
 K/ ( S "   1  +
+ +  & 
J# H1  ) ' -   
 
 K µ > 7
 1/  
H1 : µ > 7
:% "   ,
  K   ; *  ) ' & -,  ) ' *
H0 : µ = 7
40  0; ;0
(0; ))

(test statistic) 0; ) •


. H 0 -,  ) ' T, *   + A  , $A   1 6 ; 1
  A    
:& *' +& , -A   A   #

:;*   40  0; (# / 0; ) .1


p̂ − p
z=
pq
n

:&      40  0; (# / 0; ) .2


x −µ
z=
σ
n
/
x −µ
t=
s
n

:'   40  0; (# / 0; ) .3

χ2 =
( n − 1) s 2
σ2

+
1 $- 56% 1/ 1  %
   , O    * $& A $
 .  880    ,
 S 1 0 @ K+ "   *  A   # ; / .( pˆ = 0.56 ) "   
 .  
."   
 .   1 1 %
 
.  N+& 1/ T ' 7 1Z , )#   1  . 1/ 6 </   7    ' ,
: H1  H 0 ) ' O / 

:1/ 5     , 1  1


H1 : p > 0.5
H 0 : p = 0.5
: A   # 6 p = 0.5 4  H 0 ) ' 1/ T '

p̂ − p
z=
pq
n

0.56 − 0.5
z= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880

S*

 0.56     .,  - O 6 1   S ; z = 3.56  1/   *' 1 $
 
 .   1 1+ 1   1/ *  ) '    .0.5  1 ()  *
. S ( H 0 ) ') 0.5 K  " 

0; ) •
-,  ) ' T, *   + A  , $A   1 6 ; 1
  A    
. H0
/ x   *3   1 -  $      * &  $  A    
 A     . H 0 ) ' 1/ T , 4 χ 2 / t z  *3 G  ;  s K  7  
. H 0 ) ' R   W) E & 1  + , 1  $A 1/ & 1
:& *' +& , -A   A   #
:;*  (# / 0; ) .4

p̂ − p
z=
pq
n
:&     (# / 0; ) .5
x −µ
z=
σ
n
/
x −µ
t=
s
n
:&     (# / 0; ) .6

χ2 =
( n − 1) s 2
σ2
40  0; ;0
((0  &* )

(critical region) (0  &*  •


. H 0 ) ' T,     A     $; *  &   
(significance level)  "3  •
) ' 1     ,  A   # 4 1/ *  *3 ( α G   < G ) &% 
. D, H 0
(critical value) (0     •
. H 0 ) ' T,  :  A   # $; H 0 ) ' T,  :    *' ; K/ &
(critical region) (0  &*  •
. H 0 ) ' T,     A     $; *  &   
(significance level)  "3  •
) ' 1     ,  A   # 4 1/ *  *3 ( α G   < G ) &% 
α ; 1    H 0 ) ' T,  P,    ,  A   # 4  . D, H 0
. & H 0 ) ' T,  FA 6   * 
(critical value) (0     •
$ 0    A   # $; H 0 ) ' T, 0      *'   &
.  4G 0 &%  0 H 0 ) '  0     . H 0 ) ' T,

40  0; ;0


($*  8 8 0; =J0 8 8 0; =/
8 8 0;)

A 1 ) ' T A .  $   4G 0 1 ,   & G , *+ •
. *+ + -) K  *+ + 1 -) 1+ +
.K   1,  0 1    :/
88 0; O
K  7  0 1    :J0 8 8 0; b
. 7  0 1    :$*  8 8 0; b
.      - ; * 1  1; 0 α ; $ 1+ + A  
: . *+ + / K  *+ + 1+ + A  1  + ,  4  ) ' A .  1

 , <
# $A  .1+ + A  1  ) '
 , ≠
# $A 
+ A  1  ) '
 , >
# $A  .K  *+ + A  1  ) '
. *+
‫)( * ‪. &      A  1 * N / 1‬‬

‫ذی‪ 0‬ی
ري‬
‫ذی‪ 0‬ی*&‬

‫اﺥ
ر ذو ذی‪ ،$*P‬ا‪d‬ﺵ
رة ا ‪ H1 E‬ه& ≠‬

‫اﺥ
ر ذو ذی‪ 0‬ی
ري‪ ،‬ا‪d‬ﺵ
رة ا ‪ H1 E‬ه& <‬

‫اﺥ
ر ذو ذی‪ 0‬ی*&‪ ،‬ا‪d‬ﺵ
رة ا ‪ H1 E‬ه& >‬

‫ ‪:   1 * z    / α = 0.05 &/  $A  +‬‬
‫‪. p ≠ 0.5  ) ' .1‬‬
‫‪. p < 0.5  ) ' .2‬‬
‫‪. p > 0.5  ) ' .3‬‬
‫)‪.( 4G 6  */ 1 $A 1/ 1  4G 1/ T ,/‬‬
‫  ‬
‫‪0   ;  K/  4G ,  0 4    + p ≠ 0.5 &  ) ' 1/  .1‬‬
‫ ‪.  0   ;  7‬‬
‫‪z = 1.96, z = −1.96, : O     ,   $ α / 2 = 0.025    α = 0.05‬‬

‫‪0   ;  K/  4G  0 4    + p < 0.5 &  ) ' 1/  .2‬‬
‫ ‪z = −1.645 :1/ 5 A 5   A * $A     # .‬‬

‫‪0   ;  K/  4G 1 0 4    + p > 0.5 &  ) ' 1/  .3‬‬
‫‪z = 1.645 :1/ 5 A 5   A * $A     # .1‬‬
‫ ‪40  0; ;0‬‬
‫)     (‬

‫      )‪(probability value‬‬ ‫•‬


‫    ‪0 ,   A   Y ; 0 * *  & ( P − value ) P  O )/ 0‬‬
‫‪. H 0 ) ' 1/ T ,   ‘ .  1 -     *;%‬‬
‫‪.0.05 D‬‬
‫' ) ‪O 3
M       + -), $ H 0‬‬

‫ ‪40  0; ;0‬‬


‫)(‪(      ( )0‬‬

‫)( * ‪.        N / 1‬‬

‫‪/‬‬

‫اﺥ*
ر ذو ذی‪ 0‬ی
ري‬ ‫
ﻥع‬ ‫اﺥ*
ر ذو ذی‪ 0‬ی*&‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ر؟‬

‫ه‪ 0‬ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬
‫إ‪ 4‬ا*
ري‬ ‫إ‪ 4‬ا**‪$‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری ‪ 4P‬ی*‪$‬‬
‫أو ی
ر اآ‪%‬؟‬

‫ا‪ *#‬ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪ *#‬ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪ *#‬ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪ *#‬ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫ا
ﺡ إ‪ 4‬ی
ر‬ ‫‪ &,g‬ا
ﺡ إ‪4‬‬ ‫‪ &,g‬ا
ﺡ إ‪4‬‬ ‫ا
ﺡ إ‪ 4‬ی*‪$‬‬
‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
* ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ی
ر ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ی*‪ $‬ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
* ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬

‫ا‪d‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
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*‬
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*‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬ ‫ا‪J‬ﺥ
ری‬
‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
‫ا‪*#‬‬ ‫ا‪*#‬‬
‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬ ‫ا‪J‬ﺡ
*‬
S* 00 

 % U   1P, E+ H 0 ) ' A  6 ) ' A 6  +& ,       •
:   &
. H 0 ) ' T, .1
. H 0 ) ' T, , *, .2
00  0 •
:  .   $A  +A H 0 ) ' T, $ / T, *  
:(Traditional method)
  0&  .1
.   ,  A     ; + H 0 ) ' T, -
.   ,  A     4 $ + H 0 ) ' T, , *, -

:(P-value method)       0& .2


.( P − value ≤ α ) &   K  / M/       + H 0 ) ' T, -
.( P − value > α ) &   1 /       + H 0 ) ' T, , *, -

S* 00 

.^    E        &% 
 ; $A :0 0  0& .1
*  1) 4      ; 1/ 0 @ "  K/ T,  :(P-value method) +  (  0& .2
.3

+
 &     / $3 1+ + A/ K  /  *+ + A 5      + , 
. H 0 ) ' *  
  ;    p > 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A */ 1 α = 0.05 &%  $A .a
. z = 1.18  A
  ;    p ≠ 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A */ 1 α = 0.05 &%  $A .b
. z = 2.34  A

 
4G     *3     . *+ + A  1/ 5 p > 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "   4 .a
:1/ 5 "   5  $A  / * 1 . A     ; 1 0 K  
for z = 1.18
P − value = 0.1190
O 
     . H 0 ) ' T, 4 E+ P − value > α &%  1 /     1/ 
.,  -    

4G     ') *3     .1+ + A  1/ 5 p ≠ 0.25 1/ 0 @ K+ "   4 .b
:1/ 5 "   5  $A / * 1 . A     ; 1 0 K  
for z = 2.34
P − value = 2 × 0.0096 = 0.0192
O 
M     . H 0 ) ' T, 4 E+ P − value < α &%  1 *;/     1/ 
.,  -   

$)<*  S* G

1 .  $A 1 )  <  $ 1/ 6 -,  ) ' T, $ / T, *  - U  
: - U   S    .,  A

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

$)<*  S* G

Z,‫ﻥ‬ Z,‫ﻥ‬ ‫ ا[د‬$ &@‫ 


ی‬E‫یﺝ‬
& ‫ا‬EJ‫د
ء ا‬J‫ ا‬0‫ه‬ 0‫ه‬ ‫د
ء‬J‫ ا‬p'‫
ن ر‬o  $      
‫ ﺵوط‬4P ‫ي‬9‫ی‬ no'‫ر‬
"&P‫د
ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫" ا‬  R%0 <%
‫ا
واة‬ H0
$


J $ &@‫ یجد 
ی‬J
p'‫
ن ر‬o ‫ح‬g‫ا‬
J ‫د
ء‬J‫ا‬
"&P‫د
ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫" ا‬

Z,‫ﻥ‬ *,‫*
ت ا‬+,
no'‫ ر‬0‫ه‬ ‫د
ء‬J‫ ا‬ZE *
‫ﺡ‬d‫ا‬  $      
H0 "&P‫د
ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫" ا‬  P <%
$


J
$t J *,‫*
ت ا‬+,
ZE &'
‫ح آ‬g‫و‬
‫د
ء‬J‫ا‬
"&P‫د
ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫" ا‬
9D .  $ A 1 )  <  $ 1/ 6 -,  ) ' T, $ / T, *  - U  
*   "  $ 1/   + E+ .  "   D
O , $   1/ 0 @
    </ A 1
. H 0 ) ' T, $ + E>  $   &  ) , ( : <S 

$)<*  S* G

.R%0 '%/ ;C •


*," / "*;" ( $A " $- ." H 0 ) ' T, *," * ." H 0 ) ' *;"  $A 4  T
. H 0 ) ' 1 &  $ <F G 1/ 6 "T,

*," / "*;" ( $A " $- ." H 0 ) ' T, *," * ." H 0 ) ' *;"  $A 4  T
. H 0 ) ' T, ,  * 1)   1/ * , 1 . H 0 ) ' 1&  F G 1/ 6 "T,
.$- # % 1 '   </  , 1' & *  < +&
* W) 1 '  "
 . &  ; H 0 ) ' 1/  ; <% O  / R  6 "*;" (
. -A *)' ; 3/ " H 0 ) ' T, , *, "
 . -A 6  R   6 " H 0 ) '

$)<*  S* G

   ;
  0;  •
-, 1 
 0 * 1/ 1   $A 1 )   - U   1  
6 1 ) ( : -S 
  1 E+ .$-, " 0 K> 1/ 1   N+& *3 . 

.0 M $ 1 ) N  

+
.   ,  1 0.5 1 . ,  </ 0 @ K+ "   T, 1 ) % 1 '  
:  H  $A 1
. 0.5 K     ,  1/ @ K+ "   T, , *, b
. 0.5 K     ,  1/ T ' '  ; / , 0 b
$)<*  S* G 
 +

."   
 1  2   1 1 %     "7 1 3" 1/ 0/ *  1/ T '
T ' . p = 0.5 1/ 0 @ H 0 ) ' T ' . p > 0.5 1 0 @ K+ "   &  ) ' 1/ T '
.  K    - U D S   . H 0 ) ' T,     1/ O)/

 
   1/ 1/ 
    1) % "   1/   LO_14   , A $A 
: - U  +. H 0 ) ' T, 
1  2   1 1 %     "7 1 3" 1/ 1 0 @ K+ "   $  
"   


$*+  & *  / &3  &   / &3

(Type I errors)  &   / &3 •


*   1 " A% *  . -), $  H 0 1  6   " A% & *   1 " A%
. α G   - G 
$*+  & *  / &3 •
1 " A% *  . -), , *'  S H 0 1  6   " A% &  3  1 " A%
. β G   - G   3 

.6  1/ 1  " A%  / * ()

H 0 ) '   


S H 0  H 0

( U  1 " A% H 0 T,
I 
U  
1 " A% ( U  T, *,
II  H0
$*+  & *  / &3  &   / &3;  

13   E+ .  - n  $ β  3  1 " A% *   α *   1 " A% *  •
. 3 3  1P, -

A $ $3 - (  1 α ? ; / A O / $ : . β ; 1P,    n  α A $ O
:      ,  ' 1 n  α A  . n ?  09 

. β ; 1  0 K> n ;


 G α ?  3 ; */ 1 .1
. β ;
 G 0 K> α ; 1  n ?  3 ; */ 1 .2
. β  α ; 1  0 K> n ;
 G .3

+
:  1 ,  H1 ) ' H 0 ) ' 1/ P > 0.5 @ K+ " #  1/ T '
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
. 3  1 FA *%  1 FA 1 

 
" A  &    .D,  & H 0 ) ' T,   6   " A% & *   1 " A% b
. p = 0.5  ,  p ≠ 0.5 1 $ % 1 '  ,  6  
. S 4; , & H 0 ) ' T, , *'  6   " A% &  3  1 " A% b
. p > 0.5  ,  p = 0.5 T, , *'  6   " A  &   
40  0; 
'   20 


  0&  •
:   $A  ) ' A   G A   A 1

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

.*g
‫ رز ری‬0@A
‫ اﺥ
ره‬E‫* ا& ی‬g‫د
ء أو ا‬J‫د ا‬E‫ﺡ‬

.f*9‫* ﺹ‬Y &P‫د


ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫
ی@ن ا‬E 9*9‫ أن @ن ﺹ‬R‫ ا& ی‬#‫* ا‬g
‫ رز ری‬0@A ‫د‬E‫ﺡ‬

.( ≠, <, >  #  )


 
 K :   H F H1 ) ' 
.% "   -     ; 1 K   M  H 0 ) ' 

 +
M α +A .*%  1 FA  0 O α &%  A
  $; 0.01 0.05 $ . O  ; * H 0 ) '  T, 1 1/  

 4G *3 ) 6  4G  A  +-   # 
( ... 4  K  4G t 4G

<   $ / .       A   # /
.       A   #   

+ H 0 T, *' .   ,  A   #   + H 0 T, 


   , 4  A   #  

.% "   () * + .  $ A 1 )  .  U   S  /

‫ا(
ی‬
40  0; 
'   20 

      0& •
: ( P − value )       $A  ) ' A   G A   A 1

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

.*g
‫ رز ری‬0@A
‫ اﺥ
ره‬E‫* ا& ی‬g‫د
ء أو ا‬J‫د ا‬E‫ﺡ‬

.f*9‫* ﺹ‬Y &P‫د


ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫
ی@ن ا‬E 9*9‫ أن @ن ﺹ‬R‫ ا& ی‬#‫* ا‬g
‫ رز ری‬0@A ‫د‬E‫ﺡ‬

.( ≠, <, > H  )


 
 K :   H F H1 ) ' 
.% "   -     ; 1 K   M  H 0 ) ' 

 +
M α +A .*%  1 FA  0 O α &%  A
  $; 0.01 0.05 $ . O ; * H 0 ) '  T, 1 1/  

 4G *3 ) 6  4G  A  +-   # 
( ... 4  K  4G t 4G

 # <   $ / .     A   # /
.     A 

*' . A   # K  / *;/       + H 0 T, 
. A   # 1 /       + H 0 T,

.% "   () * + .  $ A 1 )  .  U   S  /

‫ا(
ی‬
40  0; 
'   20 

+  ( 0& •
.3 *  $A  ) ' A   G A   A 1

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

.*g
‫ رز ری‬0@A
‫ اﺥ
ره‬E‫* ا& ی‬g‫د
ء أو ا‬J‫د ا‬E‫ﺡ‬

.f*9‫* ﺹ‬Y &P‫د


ء ا[ﺹ‬J‫
ی@ن ا‬E 9*9‫ أن @ن ﺹ‬R‫ ا& ی‬#‫* ا‬g
‫ رز ری‬0@A ‫د‬E‫ﺡ‬

.( ≠, <, > H  )


 
 K :   H F H1 ) ' 
.% "   -     ; 1 K   M  H 0 ) ' 

 +
M α +A .*%  1 FA  0 O α &%  A
  $; 0.01 0.05 $ . O ; H 0 ) '  T, 1 1/  

A  1  + :  3  ; O α 0 &%    3 *  /
. 1 − 2α = 3  1  *+ + A  1  + . 1 − α = 3  1 1+ +

.3 *  1) 4      ; 1/ 0 @ K+ "   T, 

.% "   () * + .  $ A 1 )  .  U   S  /

‫ا(
ی‬

'   (  / ;*    0;

  . ) ' A (LO_20-LO_22) ( )   .   .    1  * "   A 
:&  * ) ' -, A 
.   1
  .1
 -   * *   R' -   6  1  3   )  4G 1
 4G .2
.("*," "W " & 1
: 4G    ( nq > 5 np > 5 )  4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 .3
. µ = np, σ = npq
:   1   A    
P̂ − P
z=
pq
n
:7
.6   /  $ O n
x
.( pˆ = )  1  b P̂
n
.   1  b p
. q = 1− p


'   (  / ;*  0; $% 
  0&  
 +

 
 1  2   ;56%
   ,
 .  880 1   * A

 1  2   1/ 0 , 1   1  *  " :1  / 6     ." 
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1  f "   

: $ " D @A


. p > 0.5 /# J# =0  00  0' /  * 10'  0; 
 % /0  /)  I :
. pˆ = 0.56  n = 880 *  (
.D;   XC* 
  0&  ;

 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
*   R' -  ( n = 880 )  6  1  3   :  4G 1
 4G •
""   
 1  2   *;" & 1  -   * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""   
 1  2   T, "
4G    ( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 )  4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 •
. µ = 440, σ = 220 = 14.83 :

:(  )   G A . .2


. p > 0.5 )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. p ≤ 0.5 &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K p > 0.5 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: p = 0.5 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
4G -  # & p̂  1  1P, p    1  * ) , A /  :5 & 
. 4G O  ' & p̂ ?   
(# / , 0; ) :6 & 
n = 880, pˆ = 0.56, p = 0.5, q = 0.5

Pˆ − P
z=
pq
n
0.56 − 0.5
= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880
4G 1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  . *+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
( A    N / * 1) . z = 1.645 K  α = 0.05 ,    1/ K  

‫ﺝ‬9‫ ا‬#+‫ا‬

z = 1.645

. H 0 ) ' T,  P, E+    , 4  #  1/  :7 & 
/)  I /# 
 * J8    *  <&   3 / $  ( "  - U   :8 & 
."0  00  0' /  * 10'  0; 
 % /0 
$%       0& 
 +

'   (  / ;*  0;

 
 1  2   ;56%
   ,
 .  880 1   * A

 1  2   1/ 0 , 1   1  *  " :1  / 6     ." 
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1  f "   
: $ " D @A
. p > 0.5 /# J# =0  00  0' /  * 10'  0; 
; /0  /)  I :
. pˆ = 0.56  n = 880 *  (
.D;   XC*       0& ;

 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
*   R' -  ( n = 880 )  6  1  3   :  4G 1
 4G •
""   
 1  2   *;" & 1  -   * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""   
 1  2   T, "
4G    ( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 )  4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 •

. µ = 440, σ = 220 = 14.83 :

:(     )   G A . .2


. p > 0.5 )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. p ≤ 0.5 &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K p > 0.5 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: p = 0.5 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
-  # & p̂  1  1P, p    1  * ) , A /  :5 & 
. 4G O  ' & p̂ ?    4G
(# / , 0; ) :6 & 
n = 880, pˆ = 0.56, p = 0.5, q = 0.5

Pˆ − P
z=
pq
n
0.56 − 0.5
= = 3.56
0.5 ⋅ 0.5
880
1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  . *+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
1 0 4G     & ( P − value )     1/ K   4G
.( A       N / * 1) . P − value = 0.0001 .    #

*
‫ﺡ‬J‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
P − value = 0.0001

z = 1.645

. H 0 ) ' T,  P, E+ P − value < α :&%  1 M/     1/  :7 & 
/)  I /# 
 * J8    *  <&   3 / $  ( "  - U   :8 & 
."0  00  0' /  * 10'  0; 
; /0 

$% +  ( 0& 
 +

'   (  / ;*   40  0;

 
 1  2   ;56%
   ,
 .  880 1   * A

 1  2   1/ 0 , 1   1  *  " :1  / 6     ." 
.E+ *; $-' 1 3/ 1  f "   
: $ " D @A T '
. p > 0.5 /# J# =0  00  0' /  * 10'  0; 
; /0  /)  I :
. pˆ = 0.56  n = 880 *  (
.D;   XC* +  ( 0& ;
 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
*   R' -  ( n = 880 )  6  1  3   :  4G 1
 4G •
""   
 1  2   *;" & 1  -   * ( p = 0.5, q = 0.5 )
.(""   
 1  2   T, "
4G    ( nq = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 np = 880 ⋅ 0.5 > 5 )  4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 •
. µ = 440, σ = 220 = 14.83 :
:(     )   G A . .2
. p > 0.5 )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. p ≤ 0.5 &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K p > 0.5 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: p = 0.5 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H 0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
-  # & p̂  1  1P, p    1  * ) , A /  :5 & 
. 4G O  ' & p̂ ?    4G
K  3     . *+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1 :6 & 
. 1 − 2*0.05 = 0.9 = 90%
 n = 880, pˆ = 0.56, */ 1 3 *  1/ 5 3 *  " # O     .  $A  :7 & 
0.533 < p < 0.588 : 90% K  3 
/ $  ( "  - U   :$  ; <4%0* **L% 3 *  1) 4 H 0 := 0.5 ) ' 1/ $ :8 & 
/  * 10'  0; 
; /0  /)  I /# 
 * J8    *  <&   3
."0  00  0'


'   (
&      40  0;
(!0 J0  !0*)

&0'  •
.   1
  .1
. σ ,     K  7   ; .2
. 4G 1
    0 4G / 30 1 /  $ .3
     * "   A */ 1  A   #
:(,     K  7   ;)
x −µ
z=
σ
n
+
x = 98.20 F   6  $ .$- * $
    R ; $ @A ( n = 106 ) 106 1  A/
 $A .   1
  1/ T ' . σ = 0.62 F ,  K  7 # ; 1/ T '
. 98.6 F *  1M  @ A% $ /
    1/ * 4  "   A α = 0.05 *  &/
.      $A
 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
. σ ,     K  7   ; •
. n = 106 > 30 1 /  $ •
:(     )   G A . .2
. µ = 98.6 F )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. µ ≠ 98.6 F &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K µ ≠ 98.6 F ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: µ = 98.6 F ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H1 : µ ≠ 98.6 F
H 0 : µ = 98.6 F
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
 # & x    1P, µ      * ) , A /  :5 & 
. 4G O ' & x ?    4G -
(# / , 0; ) :6 & 
n = 106, x = 98.2, µ = 98.6, σ = 0.62
x −µ
z=
σ
n
98.2 − 98.6
= = −6.64
0.62
106

1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  .1+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
 0 4G     7) & ( P − value )     1/ K   4G
.( A       N / * 1) . P − value = 0.0002 . A   # ;
. H 0 ) ' T,  P, E+ P − value < α :&%  1 M/     1/  :7 & 
 1/ /# 
 * J8   R%0 / 4 *  <&   3 / $  ( "  - U   :8 & 
. 98.6 F *  1M  @ A% $ /
  

*
‫ﺡ‬J‫* ا‬#‫ا‬ *
‫ﺡ‬d‫ا‬
= ‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ا‬
4‫& ا
ﺡ إ‬,g
*
‫ﺡ‬d‫ی
ر ا‬
‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ا‬

'   (
&      40  0;
(!0 0G J0  !0*)

&0'  •
.   1
  .1
.,  S    σ K  7   ; .2
. 4G 1
    0 4G / 30 1 /  $ .3
.     * "   A */ 1  A   #
:(,  S K  7   ;)
x −µ
z=
s
n

+
@ A  $ /
   1/ 0 @ K+ "    1 F */ 1   6  ,    /
 $- /
     ; H  @A 12 1'>   +AF, . 98.6 F 1 *;/ 1M  " %
:  * 0
98.0 97.5 98.6 98.8 98.0 98.5 986 98.4 98.4 98.7 98.6 98.6

*-    0  5  E 1/ 0 @ K+ " # A */ 1 α = 0.05 &   ; $A
.F   * 2G 1M  @ A 
    1/ O  = 98.6 F 1 *;/  ;

 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
.,  S    K  7   ; •
. 4G &    0 4G •

:(  )   G A . .2


. µ < 98.6 F )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. µ ≥ 98.2 F &   " D   ) ' :2 & 


) ' &  E+


    K µ < 98.6 F ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: µ = 98.6 F ) ' & -,  ) '  
H1 : µ < 98.6 F
H 0 : µ = 98.6 F
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
 # & x    1P, µ      * ) , A /  :5 & 
.,  S K  7   ; 1 6 E+ t 4G O  ' & x ?    4G -
(# / , 0; ) :6 & 
n = 12, x = 98.39, µ = 98.6, s = 0.535
x −µ
t=
s
n
98.39 − 98.6
= = −1.36
0.535
12
1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  .K  *+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
:K  ,    df = n − 1 = 12 − 1 = 11     α = 0.05 */ 1 t 4G
. t = −1.796
. H 0 ) ' T, , *' P, E+  A   # 1 M/    1/  :7 & 
1/ 1/ 0 @ K+ H 0 "   T, 1 )  - % 1 '    - U   :8 & 
<&   3 / $  ( "    . 98.6 F *  1M  @ A% $ /
   


/ C# /M ;  '3 # 00 &     /# /# 


 * J8    / 4 * 
." 98.6 F

(t- t 4G 1 ' tα / 2   ; $A (,  S σ )     < O   
$A P, (,  S σ ) 1/  . zα / 2  4G 1     1  distribution)
. σ 1   1)  ;


'   (
'  40  0;

  •
.   1
  .1
.(' 
  1  0)  4G 1
 4G .2
:0;   
2
(n − 1) s
χ2 =
σ2
+
K  K  7   ;  100 *     * 1M  1    " + *  2G
 / K+ R' $ @A . s = 7.2  K  7   6  $ " #
  + / 13 1  +A/ .15
R  $ 1    1 /
+ % 1  1 '>    1/ O 3 1   #
$A .15 K   K  7   ; 1/ T , E+ *;/ 1 1/ 6 K  7   ; 1/ $ <

+ / $)     K  7   ; *  - U  S  */ 1 α = 0.05 &/ 
." #
 
:
, G    1/ 1 . .1
.T ' , +     1
  •
. 4G &    0 4G •

:(  )   G A . .2

. σ < 15 )  G * % "   H :1 & 


. σ ≠ 15 &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K σ < 15 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: σ = 15 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H1 : σ < 15
H 0 : σ = 15

. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 

K  7   ; 1P, σ    K  7   ; * ) , A /  :5 & 
.4  K  4G O  ' & s ?    4G -  # & s 

(# / , 0; ) :6 & 


n = 13, s = 7.2, σ = 15,
(n − 1) s 2
χ2 =
σ2
(13 − 1)7.22
= = 2.765
152

1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  .1+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
1  1; df = n − 1 = 13 − 1 = 12     α = 0.05 */ 1 4  K  4G
. χ 22 = 23.337 χ12 = 4.404

. H 0 ) ' T,  P, E+    , 4  A   # 1/  :7 & 

; 1/ 0 @ K+ H 0 "   T, 1 )  - % 1 '    - U   :8 & 
.15 K  " #
+ / $)     K  7  
σ = 15 p'‫ر‬ σ = 15 p'‫ ر‬0A' σ = 15 p'‫ر‬

0.025

0.025

1 3 ,
 &/ + 2) & K  7     ; * ) ' A 0
' N+& , G 
.
 ) 4) ,  A 
:0' 7 +   

/* / 

:  
 
.   ;  E   * 

:

0   1  1  ; / 1 1; / 1 K  * *   .    *' +& , $-
S 1  / 1  1  -, 1  1  , 1  1 1 & 1 1+AF 1  & ,  
.1 
: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
Q1  1 1 1 K  A .  •
Q1  1 , 1 1; K  A .  •
Q1  1 ,  ; K  A .  •

  * 


  *  •
$ * # 1 * KF  S    / 1
A  $;   + 1 -/ 1 1 *
. A%    1
A 
.1  S 1  1  A%  $; 1      1  ; 1 :  ;D  1  +
1 +
" / 0%  .@ A% 1 ( O  1 ,   ) 1 'A 1   T '
. - 3/
  1/  3   *  T'A
.1  ,/ 1 ;D 1 * K/  <% 1 1 1 &
2 +
.  *; @A * 1G R  E+ -  1 2 A $ @ A% 1  A
  @ A% 1G/  1 7F       *; @ A% 1G/  1 7F  1
.1 $; 1 ;D  <% 1 S 1.(@A R'  1G / *; 1G)

/
' / ( / /;*  

R  7 1 % 1 3 ,) 1  1 1 1 * \  1/ 1  ) '  
' N+& , $- 7
1 </     1 6 * ) ' 0 G   1 $S  0 .(1  1 1/ 0 @ K+ "  
. 6   0   R' .
:    .   4G   .   1 * ) ' A 
&0'  •
.1 1 1 1  .1
np ≥ 5
:1  1  . 1 D */ 1 .2
nq ≥ 5
. O )/ 5 1 / *'   5 1 /    1/ K/
:  G  $A 
A G  •
:0%    */ 1
Q   1  = p1
Q   $ = n1
Q ,    = x1
x
Q( 1 ) pˆ1 = 1
n1
ˆ1
.q = 1 − pˆ1
/;*  
(/;* J   0;)

$A p1 = p2 1/ 0 @  ) ' A */ 1 p2  p1 1'A 1  1 1 1  T '
:E  
/;* ?0'  0  •
:;D  0 p G   < G  p2  p1 1 E  
x +x
p= 1 2
n1 + n2
. q = 1 − p K/ q G   p $ G 
. p E   & 1  1   T,/ 1P, p1 = p2 ) ' 1) </ 7  1/ $- 1
:   A     $A E+
:( H 0 : p1 = p2  *) /;* J   0; * 0; ) 0; ) •
( pˆ − pˆ 2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
z= 1
pq pq
+
n1 n2
      $A 1  A   # ; 0 1 E   ; 0  
. p1 = p2 ) ' A */ 1    / ( p − value )

/;*  
(/;* J   0;       0&  
 + )

$ 1+ 1    6  $ ..  1600 1 '>  %
   ,     1   +A/

  $A ..,  * ,   1     E+ " )
 +     *; 1 $-';
  *; 1 $-'; $ 1+       1/ 0 @ K+ "   A */ 1 0.05 &%  * ,
.T      1 /  

 S  1   1 *


3# R
1 - S 1 T 1 - S 1 
147 24 $-'; $ 1+ 1  
1400 200 $ 1+ 1   
$-; 
%10.5 %12 $ 1+ 1   
$-';
 

:  1   @A 1

T 1   1 


n2 = 1400 n1 = 200
x2 = 147 x1 = 24
x2 147 x1 24
pˆ 2 = = = 0.105 pˆ1 = = = 0.120
n2 1400 n1 200

.      $A 

:  G    1/ 1 . .1


.T ' , +     1
 1 1 * •
.1 1 1/  ( nq > 5 np > 5 )  4G 0  4G 6  1/ 1 •

:(     )   G A . .2


. pˆ1 > pˆ 2 )  G * % "   H :1 & 
. pˆ1 ≤ pˆ 2 &   " D   ) ' :2 & 
 ) ' &  E+
    K pˆ1 > pˆ 2 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: pˆ1 = pˆ 2 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H 0 : pˆ1 = pˆ 2
H1 : pˆ1 > pˆ 2
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
.-  # & p 1 E   1P, 1 K  * ) , A /  :5 & 
x +x
p= 1 2
n1 + n2
24 + 147
p= = 0.106875
200 + 1400
q = 1 − 0.106875 = 0.893125

: nq > 5 np > 5 /# / D  / 

:  *

n1 ⋅ p = 200 ⋅ 0.106875 = 21.375 > 5
n1 ⋅ q = 200 ⋅ 0.893125 = 178.625 > 5
:*+  *

n2 ⋅ p = 1400 ⋅ 0.106875 = 149.625 > 5
n2 ⋅ q = 1400 ⋅ 0.893125 = 1250.375 > 5
: 0; ) :6 & 

z=
( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − ( p1 − p2 )
pq pq
+
n1 n2

=
( 0.120 − 0.105 ) − ( 0 ) = 0.64
(0.106875) ⋅ (0.893125) (0.106875) ⋅ (0.893125)
+
200 1400

1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A  . *+ + A 1
 A  1/   ) ' 1
 # 1 0 4G     & ( P − value )     1/ K   4G
.( A       N / * 1) . P − value = 0.2611 .  

*
‫ﺡ‬J‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
P − value = 0.2611

z = 0.64

) ' T, , *' P, E+ P − value > α :&%  1 /     1/  :7 & 
. H0
   1/ 0 @ K+ "   T,  1  - % 1 '   "  - U   :8 & 
.T      1 /     *; 1 $-'; $ 1+   

/;* /; D0  0 * +  ( 

+  ( •

( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − E < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) + E :;D  0 1 1 . '   3 * 
:;D  0 FA d & E :
pˆ1qˆ1 pˆ 2 qˆ2
E = zα / 2 +
n1 n2
  + : .1  p1 , p2 1 1/ 1 . */ 1 p1 − p2     3 *  $A 1
K  ) , T,  3 *   0    + 1 K  ) , T,  3 *   0 
p1 , p2 1 1/ 1 . */ 1 p1 − p2     3 *  $A $ ( 1 .1
 K  7   ; 1 7A 3 *  "  */ 1 $A  K  7   ; 1% E+ 1 
1 7A ; 3 *  $A  - *  5  1P, E+ .      /    , $A
.      /    $A  - *  5 
+
1+ 1    6  $ ..  1600 1 '>  %
   ,     1   +A/
$A .N / 1 * ,   1     E+ " )
 +     *; 1 $-'; $
.%90 *  3  ., 3 *  "  */ 1 * ,
 

 S  1   1 *


3# R
S 1 T 1 - S 1 
1 -
147 24 $-'; $ 1+ 1  
1400 200 $ 1+ 1   
$-; 
%10.5 %12 $ 1+ 1   
$-';

 
:  1   @A 1
T 1   1 
n2 = 1400 n1 = 200
x2 = 147 x1 = 24
x2 147 x1 24
pˆ 2 = = = 0.105 pˆ1 = = = 0.120
n2 1400 n1 200
. zα / 2 = 1.645   ; f,  %90 *  3 
:FA R &

pˆ1qˆ1 pˆ 2 qˆ2
E = zα / 2 +
n1 n2
 24   176   147   1253 
 ⋅   ⋅ 
=  200   200   1400   1400 
+
200 1400
= 0.040
:3 *  (   
( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) − E < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) + E
( 0.120 − 0.105) − 0.040 < ( p1 − p2 ) < ( 0.120 − 0.105) + 0.040
−0.025 < ( p1 − p2 ) < 0.055

A & 7- 1  + 1 . p1 , p2 1 1  . ,  </ 5 E+ 3 *   0  1/ 9D
.      /    $A P, 1 K  0 @  ) '

/& / C  


(0; ))

.1 1; 1 . ' * \  1/ 1  ) '  


' N+& , $- 7

:    .   1'A 1  1 1 1; * ) ' A  •
.      * 1 A .1
.1  1  .2
. 4G -    1 & A $ 1 1 * / ( n1 > 30, n2 > 30 ) $A) 1 1 * $ .3

:1 1; * ) ' A */ 1 0; ) •

t=
( x1 − x2 ) − ( µ1 − µ2 )
s12 s22
+
n1 n2
/& / C  
(0  (0)

:  .  F      t 4G $A     /       •

df = min(n1 − 1, n2 − 1) :     & 0%   o

df =
( A + B) :; 3%   &  3   o
A2 B2
+
n1 − 1 n2 − 1

s12 s22
A= ,B= ::
n1 n2

  6  * 3F $ N+& .        */ 1 t 4G $A 6 <P, O    
:     1   .     0 N   6 E+ t 4G  

df = min(n1 − 1, n2 − 1) :     & 0%   .1

df =
( A + B) :; 3%   &  3   .2
A2 B2
+
n1 − 1 n2 − 1
s12 s2
A= , B = 2 ::
n1 n2

/& / C  


( µ1 − µ2    3 * )

( x1 − x2 ) − E ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( x1 − x2 ) + E :   ( µ1 − µ2 )  3 *  •


s12 s22
E = tα / 2 + :
n1 n2

( x1 − x2 ) − E ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( x1 − x2 ) + E :   µ1 − µ2  3 *  •


s12 s22
E = tα / 2 + :
n1 n2
, $A  K  7   ; 1 7A 3 *  "  */ 1 $A  K  7   ; 1/ 
. */ 1 µ1 − µ2     3 *  $A 1 E+       /   
  + 1 K  ) , T,  3 *   0    + : .1  µ1 , µ2 1 1/ 1
.1 K  ) , T,  3 *   0 

/& / C  


 0; (# / 
  0&   
 + )
(/& / C 

1 1+AF 1 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A 6 .1'A 1 1  N / 1 * -9
.'A  $; - 1  1

 3   0%  


420 360
417 370
440 370
410 430
390 420
417 340
420 460
410 410
380 440
430 410
370 380
420 360
400 350
360 527
410 380
420 550
391 478
416 420
440 390
410 420
415 425
436 370
430 480
410 390
400 430
390 388
420 423
410 410
420 360
410 410
410 450
450 350
320 450
430 430
380 461
375 430
375 470
347 440
380 400
429 390
320 510
360 430
375 450
370 452
440 420
400 380
405 470
430 398
350 409
396 385
410 369
380 460
430 390
415 510
380 500
375 450
400 470
435 430
420 458
420 380
488 430
361 341
394 385
410 410
411 420
365 380
360 400
440 440
435 377
454 370
442
404
385
 
:1 1 * K  7     6
 
 3 0%
73 70 n  $
403.3 418.5 x  
30.6 45.5 s K  7  

/ - * $ 1 1 1/  . 4G 1 6 ; 4G 1/ 1 1 * $ S- $  * -9
. A    1P,    30 1

15 15
15 25
25
13

20

10 9
Frequency

Frequency

15
13
7 12
11
10
5 4 6
3 3
5
2 2
1 1 1
0 0
0 0

340 365 390 415 440 465 490 515 540 565 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500

4‫* ا[و‬,P ‫ام‬Y(‫ا‬ *‫


ﻥ‬T‫* ا‬,P ‫ام‬Y(‫ا‬
:   4 'A  $; - 1  1 1 1+AF 1 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A

. µ1 ≠ µ2 :)  G * % "   H :1 & 

. O 1 µ1 = µ2 ) ' 1P,  S % ) '   + :2 & 

 ) ' &  E+


    K µ1 ≠ µ2 ) ' 1 9D 1  1) ' 1 :3 & 
: µ1 = µ2 ) ' & -,  ) ' 
H 0 : µ1 = µ2
H1 : µ1 ≠ µ2

. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 

   4 t 4G $A P, 1 1; * ) , A 1 1  </  :5 & 
.(LO_6)   ,
  A 

:$
   , 0; ) :6 & 

t=
( x1 − x2 ) − ( µ1 − µ2 )
s12 s22
+
n1 n2

=
( 418.5 − 403.7 ) − ( 0 ) = 2.273
45.52 30.62
+
70 73

:;D 1 6    


df = min(n1 − 1, n2 − 1)
= min(70 − 1, 73) = 69

. t = ±1.994 K  α = 0.05 ,    1/ t 4G 1  (Minitab)  # 5  / $A 
( A    N / * 1)

. H 0 ) ' T,  P, E+    , 4  #  1/  :7 & 

1 1+AF 1 1/ 0 @ K+ "   $  - % 1 '   "  - U   :8 & 
.'A  $; - 1  1
µ1 = µ2 p'‫ر‬ µ1 = µ2 p'‫ ر‬0A' µ1 = µ2 p'‫ر‬

t = −1.994 t = 1.994

/& / C  


 0; (# / +  (  
 + )
(/& / C 

1/ 0 @ K+ "   A */ 1 3 *  95% "  6 .( LO_9 ) .  * 3  $A 
.'A  $; - 1  1 1 1+AF 1
 
:1 1 * K  7     .  * 3 1 $A

 
 3 0%
73 70 n  $
403.3 418.5  
x
30.6 45.5 7  
s K 
:FA d & 6  / $

s12 s22
E = tα / 2 +
n1 n2
45.52 30.62
E = 1.994 + = 13.0
70 73
.69 K      %95 *  3  ,  & tα / 2 = 1.994 ; $A $ :
:6 3 * 

( x1 − x2 ) − E ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( x1 − x2 ) + E
( 418.5 − 403.7 ) − 13.0 ≤ ( µ1 − µ2 ) ≤ ( 418.5 − 403.7 ) + 13.0
1.8 ≤ ( µ1 − µ 2 ) ≤ 2.7
(* 
*  1/ 9D .27.8  1.8 *  , 4 1  1 1 1 1 . ' 1/ %95  13 1
.1  S 1 1/ $ E+ 0  K

/
 0G /* / 

/
  0G /*  •
  1 / 1 ; * 1/ : ;D 1 1   (1, 1) 1 S - 1 1 *
. A%  1 

* 3
*; E+   $-   1+ @ A% 1G/ 1 '>  +AF  1  2 A */ 1   "  
1G     *; @A * 1G 1 1 , 1  .   @ A% E/ 1G/ 1 '>   - 
.   @A E+

N+& , .1 1  $ * ) ' A ' W  $ : 1 1 1 *     $ .
1 1; K  0 @  ) ' A ' R  E+  S  7  1  1   
.(1,  ) 1 S 1
/
 0G /* / 

1 & 1 1+AF 1 S 1 0 O  1  1 1 1; * ) ' A  •
:    .   1  1

.   1
 1 D .1
.(1 ,) 1  S 1  .2
. * 2G $ 1 . ' / ( n > 30 )  1 1   $ UG/  .3

:  G  $A E+

Q1  1; 1 . ' b d


Q  UG% * $)     d . '   b µd
Q1 1   UG% * d . '   b d
.1 1   UG% * d . ' K  7   b sd

:1  S 1  1   A   # •

d − µd
t=
sd
n
df = n − 1 :    :

d − E < µ d < d + E :1  S 1  1  3 *  •

sd
E = tα / 2 :
n
/
 0G /* /  
 +

5 *; 
 , - > $ .  
    E+ $ / 5  0  
    * 1
 
     $ 1 . ,  </ 0 @ K+ "   A */ 1 0.05 *  3  $A .$ /
.RA $ %  0 - > $ 
   

9 23 -5 -5 1  
   
15 22 20 16 16 , - > $  
   


-6 1 -25 -21 -15 
    1 d . '
- > $ 
   
 
 0 - > $ 
     
     $ 1 . ,  </ 0 @ K+ "  :1 & 
µd ≠ 0 :  <  RA $ %
. µd = 0 :  1 ( S % "   1  + :2 & 
H 0 : µd = 0
:  -,   1) '  1  1;D 1 :3 & 
H1 : µ d ≠ 0
. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4 & 
 1 . ' 1  1 1 1  )    4 1, 1 * ) , A /  :5 & 
.t 4G A P, ( O    * 2G
: d , sd $;   A       *; :6 & 
d = −13.2
sd = 10.7
: A       
d − µd
t=
sd
n

−13.2 − 0
t= = −2.759
10.7
5

   1/ 4 *       α = 0.05 */ 1  O      # 5  $A  &  1   
. t = ±2.776 * 
   . H 0 ) ' T, , *' *+ (N / 1 * 9)    1) 4  A   # 1/  :7
A
   $ 1 . ,  </ 0 @ K+ "   $ % 1 '   1  : - U   1
.$ %  0 - > $ 
     
 
/* $% '  *0

:  .   1 ,    


  •
.1 1 1  .1
: 4G & 1 - +A/  1  1 , 4G .2
:  G  $A E+
. %  & s 2
1 1/ T ' : 1 ,  – s12 , s22
. %  +  $ b n1
. %  +  - A      b σ 12
. %  +  $ b n2
. %  +  - A      b σ 22

s12
F= :1    */ 1 A 0; ) •
s22
1  1 1 1+AF 1 $A  (   T    N+& , $ &%  ,   @ A 1/ 
</   A -  $   # 1/ 1 $S  0 .1  1 E ,    */ 1 1'A
.K  7   */ 1 M 1 -A 1

µd = 0 p'‫ر‬ µd = 0 p'‫ ر‬0A' µd = 0 p'‫ر‬

t = −2.776 t = 2.776
‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ﺡ
* ا‬d‫ا‬
−2.759
F Q2

s12
.F 4G 6 2G .  1F,.( σ 12 = σ 22 )  R' -  4G - * 1  1 */ 1
s22
.F4G    N / 1 * -9

:    0  F 4G

Numerator degrees of fredom = n1 -1 :    

Denominator degrees of fredom = n 2 -1 :$     

.F 4G   


. O   <; 1 9  S 4G +& 1/ * 1 -9
'   40  0;

+
2G 0    1G/ 1/ T ' .0 1
 36 1  A/    1
 36 1  +A/
:  * , 1 K  7   E+  *   . *

0  
36 36
n
0.82410 0.81682
x
0.005701 0.007507
s

.1     0  1G% K  7   1/ 0 @ K+ "   A 6

 
1/ 0 @ K+ "   f,  1     0  1G% K  7   0 @ K+ "   :1
A
:  <    <  +& 1     0  1G/ 
σ 12 = σ 22

. σ 12 ≠ σ 22 :  1 ( S % "   1  + :2


A
:  -,   1) '  1  1;D 1 :3
A
H 0 : σ 12 = σ 22
H1 : σ 12 ≠ σ 22

. α = 0.05 &%  ; A :4


A
.F4G A P, 1  * ) , A /  :5
A
: A     :6
A
s12
F=
s12
0.007507 2
= = 1.7339
0.0057012

*       1G + A  α = 0.05 */ 1  O      # 5  $A  &  1   
( s12 > s22 )  1 / $  ; 1/  T ' /  1.9611 *  0    1/ 35 *  $      35
.0    6  ' E+
   . H 0 ) ' T, , *' *+ (N / 1 * 9)    1) 4  A   # 1/  :7
A
0  1G% K  7   1/ 0 @ K+ "   T,  % 1 '   : - U   1
.1    

σ 12 = σ 12 p'‫ر‬ p'‫ ر‬0A' σ 12 = σ 12 p'‫ر‬


σ 12 = σ 12

1.0

0.5

0.0

0 1 2 3

F = 19611

‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ﺡ
* ا‬d‫ا‬
1.7339
:0' Q;0   

1(0 &;0 

:  
 
.K  FA  - M > 2     2   A   *   

:

7 E+ .1 1 A ;D  </  1  + ,   UG/ 1  * & *' +- R  7-
> */ 1   N+& $A  A/ ;D N+& 1  K+ $ A       /  1 1 ;D
. A% ; ,   1 1+& / M *  1

: 
 !"#
:0 *' +& , 6  7 
QA   *  6     $-' •
Q2       2   $-' •
.> */ 1 2     $A •
&;0 

* *   .    .  *' , .  $ :  1 UG/ 1 *   */ 1  & .  *' +& , R
N+& 1 1 ;D  1  + ,  0 G  $ .,  3 $) 1  1 1 1; 1 . '
:1 1  
  0 ;D
&;0  •
.1 1+& 1 ;D     -  / 1   -/ 1 1 *
<, $  K+ (Scatter diagram) 3 A $A    -  1  + , ,   7  1 •
.  - 1  + , ,    1 ;D

&;0 
(4 
+ #)
1 +
.$ A *3 1 1+& 1 ;D 1/ : y  x 1 1 $  6 A    ( /) * ()
.$ A *3 1 1+& 1 ;D 1/ : y  x 1 1 $  6  A    (6) * ()
. y  x 1 1 $  S 6 A    (U) * ()
. y  x 1 1    $ () * ()

(‫ )أ‬0@A‫ا‬ (‫ )ب‬0@A‫ا‬
R‫ 
م ﺝ‬u‫ا‬ R
‫ 
م ﺱ‬u‫ا‬
y

x
x

(‫ )د‬0@A‫ا‬
(‫ )ج‬0@A‫ا‬ u‫ ا‬E‫ یﺝ‬J
R‫* 
م(ﺝ‬Y) *‫ آ‬u‫ا‬
$&  &;0  

$&  &;0   •
. , y  x 1 $; 1 A ;D
 R *  1
 r A   * 
:;D  A   *  0

n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − (∑ y )
2 2

.  UG/  n 1/ :

+
. y  x 1 1 * $; 1 K+   *  $A    *  ; /
x 1 1 3 5
y 2 8 6 4

*
n = 4 
n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − ( ∑ y )
2 2

4 ∑ 48 − (10 )( 20 )
r=
2 2
4 ( 36 ) − (10 ) 4 (120 ) − ( 20 )

−8
r= = −1.35
44 80

$&  &;0   •
. , y  x 1 $; 1 A ;D
 R *  1
 r A   * 
G    ( 6  ,     * $A    $A  <  $ r * 
. ρ G   <
:  *  6   
.   1
 ( x, y )  UG/ 1 '>  .1
.  3 4G - ( x, y )  UG/ .2
:;D  A   *  0      +
n ∑ xy − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
r=
n ( ∑ x2 ) − ( ∑ x ) n (∑ y2 ) − ( ∑ y )
2 2
IB
.7)     0? 1  ;   *  ;    .1 K  / M/ 1b   / /    *  ;

$&  &;0   0

.7)     0? 1  ;   *  ;    .1 K  / M/ 1b   / /    *  ;
$A  S /     1  + ,  $  .   1  1 / 1b ? 1  ;   *  ;   
:  
 
()    < *   ()    * N / 1 * ,
  A   *  ; G  +
:1 1

()     K+   $ *


n α = 0.05 α = 0.01
4 .950 .999
5 .878 .959
6 .811 .917
7 .754 .875
8 .707 .834
9 .666 .798
10 .632 .765
11 .602 .735
12 .576 .708
13 .553 .684
14 .532 .661
15 .514 .641
16 .497 .623
17 .482 .606
18 .468 .590
19 .456 .575
20 .444 .561
25 .396 .505
30 .361 .463
35 .335 .430
40 .312 .402
45 .294 .378
50 .279 .361
60 .254 .330
70 .236 .305
80 .220 .286
90 .207 .269
100 .196 .256

+
-, d   /   6  3F *  %
   ,  ,   ,    /
 0 6       1 K+   * 0 * $ .  E   0 - R , 
: Ol   - R , 
$  ,   7 /   6       1 *
2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991
$ 
84 83 81 76 73 71 70 67 68 68  b x
6 
 
4
78 82 67 54 60 42 49 35 38 53  b y

- R ,
 
$  ,

- R ,   0 6       1 ()   E & 1  + , 5 A   *  6
. O   

 
 1/  n = 10 */ 1 * , 9 . r = 0.922 1/ 5     ,
 G A $A 
   $ *  , </ 5 $ N+& 1 α = 0.05 */ 1 0.632  α = 0.01 */ 1 0.765 &  
1/  . r > 0.765 ; 1 1/ %1 1 *;/  , E & r > 0.632 ; 1 1/ %5 1 *;/  , E &
 0 6       1 ()   E & 1/ 5 E+ (0.6321 / r ?   ) r = 0.922
. O   - R , 

$&  &;0   0


'  00;

1 &/ ,   : 1 1    A ;D   1 y  x 1 1   *  ; ,  
/   *  ; ,  *% * , 1
3>  A/ *  6 O; O 1 4; +& 1 . AZ 4;
: 
  6 A% *   * 1
. y  x /   /; &  CB  "00; $  y 
'  ;* +  r 2  C

+
R ,  -, d   /   6  3F *  %
   ,  ,   ,    /
 - R ,   0 6       1 K+   * 0 * $ .  E   0 -
: Ol  
$  ,   7 /   6       1 *
2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991
$ 
84 83 81 76 73 71 70 67 68 68  b x
6 
 
4
78 82 67 54 60 42 49 35 38 53  b y

- R ,
 
$  ,

. O   - R ,   6       1 A ;D &     6/
. r 2 = 0.850    r = 0.922 :A   *  .  1  1
6       1 A ;D &  1/ 1    - R ,  1 %85  1/ 5
. O    - R ,  

$&  &;0   )

:A   *  @ A


:K/ 1 ? 1b 1 4 r A   *  ; .1
−1 ≤ r ≤ 1

. A/ R  0 D   $; 4 * $ + 3F A   *  ; .2
. y * $; 4 x * $;    3F A   *  ; .3
1 1 ;D
 R  A  & 1 1 A ;D
 R A   *  ; .4
.A S ;D N+& 1 
( 
 * $  40  0;
/  /; $&  &;0 

 3 0&  •
:  H1  H 0 ) ' T ' .1
H0 : ρ = 0
H1 : ρ ≠ 0

: A   # 6 .2


r − µt
t=
1− r2
n−2

*/ 1 ) r ?   G  *3 µt 1/ :


.( µt = 0 1 H 0 : ρ = 0
0 3  */ 1 E+ (    /    ) .  *'  -  $  .  / 4 .3
.2 K      t 4G $A 
(* 
   K  / M/ t ?     + . H 0 T,     1 / t ?     +
. H 0 T, , *'

.1 1    1  + , A .  R  1  1    N+& ,

( 
 * $  40  0;
/  /; $&  &;0 

*+  0&  •
:  H1  H 0 ) ' T ' .1
H0 : ρ = 0
H1 : ρ ≠ 0

: r K   A   # T ' .2


LO_4   , ()   $ * 1    6
(* 
   K  / M/ r ?     + . H 0 T,     1 / r ?     +
. H 0 T, , *'
( 
 * $  40  0; 
 +
/  /; $&  &;0 

+
R ,  -, d   /   6  3F *  %
   ,  ,   ,    /
 - R ,   0 6       1 K+   * 0 * $ .  E   0 -
: Ol  
$  ,   7 /   6       1 *
2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991
$ 
84 83 81 76 73 71 70 67 68 68  b x
6 
 
4
78 82 67 54 60 42 49 35 38 53  b y

- R ,
 
$  ,

. Ol    - R ,    6       1    </ 0 @ K+ "   A/

 
H0 : ρ = 0
:  H1  H 0 ) ' T ' .1
H1 : ρ ≠ 0

 3 0&  1;L;

r − µt
t= : A   #
1− r2
n−2

r = 0.922 1/ O  

0.922 − 0
t= = 6.735
1 − 0.9222
10 − 2

. t = ±2.306 ,    1/      t 4G 1 1+ + A n = 10 α = 0.05 */ 1
(* 
</ K/ H 0 : ρ = 0 ) ' T, : 1    ( (/) * 9/)    1 /  A   # 1/ 
. Ol    - R ,    6       1    </ U D % 1 '

ρ = 0 p'‫ر‬ ρ = 0 p'‫ ر‬0A' ρ = 0 p'‫ر‬

t = −2.306 t = 2.306

‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ﺡ
* ا‬d‫ا‬
t = 6.735
(/) * 9/
*+  0&  1;L;
r = 0.922 : A   #
. r = ±0.632     n = 10 α = 0.05 */ 1 LO_4   , () * 1
(* 
</ K/ H 0 : ρ = 0 ) ' T, : 1    ((6)* 9/)    1 /  A   # 1/ 
. Ol    - R ,    6       1    </ U D % 1 '

ρ = 0 p'‫ر‬ ρ = 0 p'‫ ر‬0A' ρ = 0 p'‫ر‬

r = −0.632 r=0 r = 0.632

(6)*
‫ﺥ
ری‬J‫ﺡ
* ا‬d‫ا‬
r = 0.922
1(0
1(0 •
  - * $  A   0 .  -  1    ;D   1
 2  
.2   $ 5  $ 2  
&0'  •
QA   1
  1   .1
. 3  4G - ( x, y )  3  .2
:* 1 2     1 & ( x, y )  3 1  / +
yˆ = b 0 + b1x
:
n ( ∑ xy ) − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
b1 =
n (∑ x ) − (∑ x)
2 2

b0 = y − b1 x

1(0   ( 
 +

:  *  3   T '

1 1 3 5
x
y 2 8 6 4
2     / 6

 
;D $A 
ŷ = b0 + b1 x
:
n ( ∑ xy ) − ( ∑ x )( ∑ y )
b1 =
n (∑ x ) − (∑ x)
2 2

b0 = y − b1 x
∑ x 2 = 36 ∑ y = 20 ∑ x = 10 n = 4 */ 1
:1/  ∑ xy = 48 ∑ y 2
= 120
4 ( 48 ) − (10 )( 20 )
b1 = 2
= −0.18182
4 ( 36 ) − (10 )
:1P, E+

x=
∑ x = 10 = 2.5
n 4

y=
∑ y = 20 = 5
n 4
b0 = y − b1 x
b0 = 5 − 0.181818 × 2.5 = 5.45

:2     (   
yˆ = 5.45 − 0.182 x

N;*  ( / 1(0   

:1  1  G x *  ; ,   y *  > */ 1
. y  & y ? > *),/ & y  x 1 1 A    .1
6 $3 1 2     x ; * N  $ y ? > *),/ & y  x 1 1 A    .2
. y ;
: >     A ()

‫أ‬E‫ا‬

Z‫ ﺙ‬، r * R‫اﺡ‬


ρ = 0 *g‫اﺥ ا‬

0‫ه‬ ‫ر
ع‬J‫
د ا‬, ‫م‬E ‫اﺱ‬
Z,‫ﻥ‬ *# t‫ ا‬0‫ أﺝ‬$
ρ = 0 *g‫ا‬
‫؟‬9*9‫ﺹ‬ ‫ب‬P+‫ل ا‬9‫ا‬

$@‫
* ا‬T‫* ا‬#‫ا‬
‫ل‬9 ‫ (
[ي‬t‫ا‬
+‫* اﺱ‬#‫ه& ا‬
N;*  ( / 1(0    +

+
R ,  -, d   /   6  3F *  %
   ,  ,   ,    /
 - R ,   0 6       1 K+   * 0 * $ .  E   0 -
: Ol  

$  ,   7 /   6       1 *


2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991
$ 
84 83 81 76 73 71 70 67 68 68  b x
6 
 
4
78 82 67 54 60 42 49 35 38 53  b y

- R ,
 
$  ,

6
Q2     / .1
 1/ 1  - R ,    3  / 6   850000 E & 1  2001 $  , < T ,/ .2
.$  E+ ,
 
D
O 3,  # 5  $A /     ,    $A 1 2      # .1
:  5 
   Minitab 5  

Minitab

The regression equation is


y = - 113 + 2.27 x

Predictor Coef SE Coef T P


Constant -112.71 25.19 -4.47 0.002
x 2.2741 0.3388 6.71 0.000

S = 6.612 R-Sq = 84.9% R-Sq(adj) = 83.0%


Regression Plot
y = -112.710 + 2.27409 x

S = 6.61235 R-Sq = 84.9 % R-Sq(adj) = 83.0 %

80

70

60
y

50

40

30

70 75 80 85

   .  * , 6   1/   850, 000 *  2001 $  , 6   1  .2
   y  x 1 1 A    </ .  1  ,  . x = 85 1    7%
.2     $A y  > *),/  #
yˆ = −113 + 2.27(85) = 80

558
yˆ = y = = 55.8 : y ?  3  1  1 1    </ ) , 
10

$' <  0M   ( / 1(0   

$' <  0M  •


.1  A% * M    0 : K+ M  &  - M
. b1 *  y *  - M 1  ŷ = b0 + b1 x 2     1
+
yˆ = −113 + 2.27 x : 2      Lo_13   , .  * 3 1
 - R ,   G 6    10,000 * 1/ K/ 2.27 *  y *  - M 1 1/ 
.2.27  
1 .
  M A% * 0 :   / 0  M   */ 1 2     $A 1
:   - M 7   M N+&   */
$' <  0M  •
.1  A% * M    0 : K+ M  &  - M
. b1 *  y *  - M 1  ŷ = b0 + b1 x 2     1
N;*  (  ' 
N+& , . y  x * $; 1    1  + , A */ 1 ( x, y )  UG/ 1    $   (  ,
:  4)  $-      
. y  x 1 1    &   y *    .1
.> *  0 K+ y $;  K+ *  "  .2
:7  & ( x, y )  UG/ 1   T '
0
J0  P&  •
:;D   K  FA 7 

∑ ( y − yˆ )
2

se =
n−2

.2     -  $ 1  $; M  R  K  FA 1/ 9D
:  ,  ;D /

se =
∑y 2
− b0 ∑ y − b1 ∑ xy
n−2
:
Q  UG/  b n
Q*   b y
. y *
  b ŷ

+
LO_13   , 1 * 3  K  FA 6/
 
: S G   < G  Minitab D
O 3,
   K  FA ; 6  - " # 5  $9 1/ N
:
The regression equation is
y = - 113 + 2.27 x

Predictor Coef SE Coef T P


Constant -112.71 25.19 -4.47 0.002
x 2.2741 0.3388 6.71 0.000

S = 6.612 R-Sq = 84.9% R-Sq(adj) = 83.0%

.6.612 *   K  FA ; 1/ K/


:1  1;D / 1
  <  1 

se =
∑y 2
− b0 ∑ y − b1 ∑ xy
n−2
:  :
. ∑ xy = 42, 214 ∑ y = 558 ∑ y = 33, 456 n = 10 b1 = 2.274087687 b0 = −112.798976
2

:1/ 
   T 
se = 6.6123487
N;*  (  ' 

N;*  ( •
:   y  > *  1F, x0  3 ; */ 1
yˆ − E ≤ y ≤ yˆ + E

:;D  0 FA d & E :

2
1 n ( x0 − x )
E = tα / 2 se 1 + +
n n ( ∑ x 2 ) − ( ∑ x )2

:
. α *  3  */ 1  2 K      t 4G 1 6 b tα / 2

+
3 *  "  6 yˆ = 80.6 - F    x = 85 * 1 </ LO_13   , 1 * 3 , 
.0.05 *  3  */ 1

 
. se = 6.6123487 1/   yˆ = −113 + 2.27 x     1/   
. x = 74.1 ∑ x = 741 ∑ x 2 = 55, 289 n = 10 */ 1
tα / 2 = 2.306 1/  2 K      */ 1 t 4G 1 E+
:1/ 
   T 

E = 18.1
  
80.6 − 18.1 ≤ y ≤ 80.6 + 18.1
62.5 ≤ y ≤ 98.7
:0' 5    
    0;

:  
 
.   D K   4G R 
   A

:

  .   A */ 1 N  
   * 0 <    " # .    *' +& , 4 
 *  * 1    1  + , d;  N    3   * R   .4;   4 9D
.  
 1 R   1  + , d;  

: 
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:0 *' +& , 6  7 
Q   * 
 6  •
Q9D   4 4;   R 
 A •
QN    3   * ,  *  * 1    A •
.  
 1 R   A •
    ,0( 

,    * *3 : 


 6    *' +& , $ (  3)  4G 4  @' ,  
N+& 1  % 7- . G $D    N+&   + , A */ 1 -A (6  N+-  )

  + , U   'A ,   - * *3     1 * 1 '>  * ) ' A &  
. G $D    N+&

    ;0(  •


:    .   1
 
  
Q6  1  3  .1
Q - 6  .2
Q ' 1   0 -' 1   * 5  .3
. A%   1  3 0 1/ 6 5   .4

+
$;  K   4G 6  $   * ,  R ; $  73 5*; J0; * 6 0 2001 $  ,
*   ,  1 A% $;  K   4G N / 1 * -9 . *   ,  1 A%
.
J0;     ,  1 A% $;  K   4G
;;  ; $% 5*;
  A% $; 
47 0
3 1
1 2
0 3
3 4
11 5
3 6
3 7
1 8
1 9

J
     .   N+& *& 6
 
Q n = 73  3 6   .1
. A/   K/ 1 A% $;  0 3>   * 1 A% $;  1%  - 6  .2
Q 9 0 0 1 $ ; % & ' N+& 10 K  ' 1   0 -' 1   * 5  .3
. A%   1  3 *   +& 0.1 K    5   .4

1/ K   4G *DA 1 9D .*     5  1 &
 * , $ ,  R ; 1/ T ' )
(  * ,    5  N+&
5;  ( 0;

(goodness-of-fit-test)5;  ( 0; •


K+ 4G $D <9D $ K+ K   4G 1/ 0 @  ) ' A */ 1 $A R #
 A
."   < @
:  G  $A   (  ,
.  9D   *3 O O
.  4;   *3 b E
Q( ') 'A 5   *3 b k
.6   $;  *3 b n

+
4G $D K   4G * 3 5    + , A 1/ 1     , () * 3 ,
.R 
 A 1
 A  1 & .$9

QC  00  (

1  G    4;    #


. E = n / k :4;   1 &   ;    *   + .1
.,  2; *  " 6 4;   * &    ;      + .2
:     * 2
E = np

+
.  N 1 < * 4;   6
 33     
 
 n = 33  : 
     4 .   1

 33      
:< * 4;      K  ;    4   N+& , . k = 6  5 
E = 33 / 6 = 5.5

WIB
.  $ ; % * 4;   6   </  5.5 =   0 * 1 S 1 4; , < 4
5  00  Q QC  00  5;  ( 0;

      N+& , d;  . O 4;   1 $  * 7A E  0   R  K+  
  ., R    1/ * 1/ 4 :    S </ $/ O   . ' +& 1  + ,
.4;

&0' 
. *
A  .1
.
   5  1  *    1 '>   .2
.5 1 * 4;   ;   * */ 1 .3
2

χ2 = ∑
(O − E )
0; ) •
E
df = k − 1 :     Q;0 J 4G 1     / $

QC  00  5;  ( 0;  20


IB  00  Q

:9D   4 4;   R 


 A G A   A A

- ‫
رﻥ ا@ار ا‬#
v‫ﺡ‬Q‫ ا@ار ا‬-
$*‫
ر‬# *Y O , E
$*‫
ر‬# O , E

‫ ﺹ\*ة‬χ 2 ‫ آ*ة‬χ 2

H 0 *g‫ ا‬p'‫ ر‬0A' H 0 *g‫ ا‬p'‫ر‬

- E*‫ إ
س ﺝ‬E‫یﺝ‬ - E*‫ إ
س ﺝ‬E‫ یﺝ‬J
- ‫ ا‬-‫ازی‬ - ‫ ا‬-‫ازی‬
QC  00  5;  ( 0;
IB  00  Q

+
$;  K   4G 6  $   * ,  R ; $  73 5*; J0; * 6 0 2001 $  ,
*   ,  1 A% $;  K   4G N / 1 * -9 . *   ,  1 A%
.

J0;     ,  1 A% $;  K   4G


;;  ; $% 5*;
  A% $; 
47 0
3 1
1 2
0 3
3 4
11 5
3 6
3 7
1 8
1 9
. O   N   1   +& 1  + , () S 1 1  *  0  1/ K   4G * 1 -9
.   R' : ,  1 A% $;  1/ 0 @ K+ "   A 6

 

 $ ; % *  /    1/ * ",    R' : ,  1 A% $;  1/ 0 @ K+ "  
.   ( p0 , p1 , p2 ,..., p9 )
  1 *;% 0
 1/ K/   R' - R
 $ ; % 1/ & % "   : 3 & 
. A%   K  p0 , p1 , p2 ,..., p9
:  p0 , p1 , p2 ,..., p9   4 1/  +& O R % "   1  + :*+  & 
p0 = p1 = p2 = ... = p9
:  
 
 K 1/ 6 H 0 ) ' :+ +  & 
H 0 : p0 = p1 = p2 = ... = p9
H1 : at least one of the probabilities is different from others.

α = 0.05 &%  A : ;0  & 



 A $A P, $9 4G ., A% $;  4G 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A /  :   & 
2

χ2 = ∑
(O − E ) : A   # $A .<  . K+ R #
E
n 73
E= = = 7.3 :$ ; % 4 K  4;   .ND/ *  () 9D   :  & 
k 10
  */ 1    1/  χ 2 = 251.521  A   # 1/  T 
. χ 2 = 16.919 K  df = 10 − 1 = 9  
. H 0 ) ' T,  E+    1) 4  A   # 1/  : ;  & 

(* 
. A% $ ; %   R' : $ ; % / *;% 0 < 0 @ K+ "   $ % 1 '  
1F " D % 1 '   </ * 4 $ ; % 4    K 
 )  9 ,  *DA 1
. * - ; $ $  , 

>( )*+ 00  (

 ,   1 : .    1   /   1 7F    *   (  ,  
7 $A *% * 1 *3    * R    (  , . * *3  /
.
% 7 $A A% %

(Two way frequency table) >( )*+ 00  ( •


% 7 $A *% * .1 .,   -, 1  * & N    3   *
.(
% *)
% 7 $A A% (  *)

+
*3 *% 1 * ,  : .1912 1  15 , ; S  E   ' 6  ; N / 1 * *3
* +& 1P,    .03/ *' / + *'
/  * @A 1  + , *3  3 *; $/ +/ @A 1  + ,
.N    3   * *3

E   ' $;  6  ; *3 *


' *'
/  *
27 29 318 332 1 
18 35 104 1360 0
 B 0;

 *  * 1   K/  </ 0 @  H 0 ) ' A &  B 0; •

.N    3   * ,


 B 0; (# / 0; ) •
2

χ2 = ∑
(O − E )
E
 *  * 1   K/  </ 0 @  H 0 ) ' A &  B 0; •

.N    3   * ,


 
. *
A  .1
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.N    3  
.5 1 * 4;   ; N    3   * , A * */ 1 .3
 B 0; (# / 0; ) •
2

χ2 = ∑
(O − E )
E
:     4  K  4G 1     / $
df = ( r − 1)( k − 1)
.
%  b c %  b r :
* ,  *  * 1   K/  1  + , A  - 1 ( χ 2  A   #
. O 9D $ 4 E ;   $; .   A  ( E+ .N    3  

>( $)*+ 00  ( $% QC  00  (

E=
( row total )( column total ) :  ;D . N    3   * , 4;    #
( grand total )
::
Q   9D    2 b row total
Q  9D    2 b column total
Q*  9D    2 b grand total
+
*3 *% 1 * ,  : .1912 1  15 , ; S  E   ' 6  ; N / 1 * *3
* +& 1P,    .03/ *' / + *'
/  * @A 1  + , *3  3 *; $/ +/ @A 1  + ,
.N    3   * *3
E   ' $;  6  ; *3 *
' *'
/  *
27 29 318 332 1 
18 35 104 1360 0

4;   * 6/ 6

 
(*  ) A 4;   ; 6

E=
( row total )( column total )
( grand total )

E=
( 332+318+29+27 )( 332+1360 ) =
( 332+318+29+27+1360+104+35+18)
=
( 706 )(1692 ) = 537.360
( 2223)

:  * 5, DA  6 *3 

4;   4 E   ' $;  6  ; *3 *


' *'
/  *
27 29 318 332 1 
(14.291) (20326) (134.022) (537.360)
18 35 104 1360 0
(30.709) (43.674) (287.978) (1154.640)

( $%  B 0; 


 +
>( )*+ 00 

+
A α = 0.05 *  &/  $A  E   ' 3  1     ,   * 3 0
 
.
/  $/ *' $/ * < 1 * ' 1 @A +  1/ 0 @ K+ "  
 
:   H1 ) ' H 0 ) '
.
/  $/ *' $/ * < 1 * ' 1 @A +  b H 0
.
/  $/ *' $/ * < 1 * S ' 1 @A +  b H1
:   A   # 4  K  4G $A N    3   * 1
  1/ 
2

χ =∑ 2 (O − E )
E

2 2 2
2
χ =
( 332 − 537.360 ) +
( 318 − 134.022 ) +
( 29 − 20.326 )
537.60 134.0220 20.3260
2 2 2

+
( 27 − 14.291) +
(1360 − 1154.64 ) +
(104 − 287.978)
14.291 1154.640 287.978
2 2

+
( 35 − 43.674 ) +
(18 − 30.709 )
43.674 30.709
= 507.084

:    α = 0.05 ? ,  & χ 2 = 7.815 :   


df = (r − 1)(c − 1) = (2 − 1)(4 − 1) = 3
* ' 1 @A +  1/ 0 @  H 0 ) ' T,  E+    1 /  #  1/ 
.
/  $/ *' $/ * < 1

5*(  0;

G @ A R' -    E   + ,  6 'A    1  O  / 0
:R  A 0 A  +& *3 .

5*(  0; •
.1 G @ A R' - 'A    1/ 0 @ K+ "   A R  A $%

 B 0; (# / 0; ) •


2

χ2 = ∑
(O − E )
E
:     4  K  4G 1     / $
df = ( r − 1)( k − 1)
.
%  b c %  b r :

  * ,  *  * 1   K/  1  + , A  - 1 ( χ 2  A   #
. O 9D $ 4 E ;   $; .   A  ( E+ .N    3
5*(  0; 
 +

@ A R' -    E   + ,  6 'A    1  O  / 0
:R  A 0 A  +& *3 . G

E 1 G @ A R' - 1'A 1  1 1/ 0 @ K+ "   A & 5*(  0; •
.  

.  #  0 " #  $ K+ @A R 3> *& :  *>  # "  
  W 
.% W  $ K+ @A (03/ $/ +) R 6 7A / @ A%    4) , < 

/  7 * 800 1   0  *> W  *  # G   7  N+& 1 .
.” W  0 ., / .,” : 6 6 1  .* 400 1   0 *> R' W 
:  * 0 * $  # 

W  K+ @A R 3F *  #   5  1 *
%
% W  K+ @A R
*
/ 
560 308 , 1+ *   
240 92 , $ 1+ *   
6
1  -' & "., S /.," %  1/ 0 @ K+ "   A/ α = 0.05 &/  $A 
.03/ 1  $/ + *> W  K+ @A

 
:  1 ,  H1 ) ' H 0 ) '
.03/ $/ + *> W  K+ @A 1  -' & "., S /.," %  b H 0
.03/ $/ + *> W  K+ @A 1  7A "., S /.," %  b H1
:  * 5, LO_9   1) * 3 ,  4;   $; 6

W  K+ @A R 3F *  #   5  1 *
4;   %
% W  K+ @A R
*
/ 
560 308 , 1+ *   
(578.67) (289.33)
240 92 , $ 1+ *   
(221.33) (110.66)
2

  χ 2 = 6.529 :  5 * 1   T χ 2 = ∑


(O − E )  A   # $A  b
E
. p _ value = 0.011 ,    

1  -' & "., S /.," %  1/ 0 @  H 0 ) ' T,  E+ p _ value < α 1/ 
"., S /.," %  1/  #   5  *DA 1 -9    .03/ $/ + *> W  K+ @A
.03/ $/ + *> W  K+ @A 1  7A
:0' 5   
'  


:  
 
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:

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. 3/ /    3 ?  $ K  0 @  ) ' A < 

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  2   H 0 := µ1 = µ2 = µ3 ) ' A */ 1 D
O 3, . 3/ / ) , 3 A 0 U  +& 1 .  *' ,
1/ 1   N+& 1/  . H 0 := µ1 = µ2 , H 0 := µ1 = µ3 , H 0 := µ2 = µ3 :  ) ' A 6 .  *'
0 @  ) ' A */ 1   1 # 4) *  +& ,D */ 1 .*%  1 FA
 G 6
.  *   # N+&
 , 3/ /    3 ?  $ K 

(ANOVA) '  
 •
. 3/ /    :D3  $ K  A 0‫ أﺝ‬$     *

+
:@ A%  3 +A/ +
QO  1 /  ? & ,/ 1  , * 5  :0% 
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  K/ K @ ? & ,/ 1  , * 5  : :3 3 

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.  *   & A  +& *3 ,

'  


(Factor) *  •
.T -) 1    G ( ' /  A & * 

(One-way ANOVA) 0 1 % 1 3 , (Single factor ANOVA) *    * •
.,  *  0     ,  7  *    * 1

(two-way ANOVA) 0 1 % 1 3 , ( Two factor ANOVA) *   3  * •
.1  0     ,  7  *   3  * 1

+
:  6 1 6  * 1  * ' 12 +A/

Tom Clancy’s the bear and the dragon,


J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s,
Leo tolstoy’s War and Peace.

1   *.6  * 1)      ' 1 ' *
"  - *  6  $
:  5 

"  - *     5  1 *
tolstoy Rowling Clancy
7>
12 12 12 ( ' ) n
66.15 80.75 70.73
*   ) x
(*-
7.86 4.68 11.33
(*- *  ) s

7> $ * E+ .7> $   A%    1    * G 1/ 1     ,
.* 

   '  
 * 0; )

:    '  
 * 0; ) •

variance between samples


F=
variance within samples

 F 1     .   0 ,  $     $  0 ,  F  
.   $ 1 4 E+ 1
M F 1     $ 1 R E+ 1

$ σ 2 K  K     4  1/ T ' 1) :   
' 0   *  
:1   +& 
1  0    σ 2
E    0   (variance between samples)  1  .1
.   $
.  0    σ 2 E    0   (variance within samples)  *A  .2
: A   # *3 & F 4G 6 2G & F G   - G  1 1 

   '  

(       0; ) /; CB )

;  H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 ... ) ' T, 0 * * +&    
M ; .,  A   Y
 ;
. H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 ... ) ' T, *, 0 * * +&     
 ; .,  A   Y
M
.     A   # 1 ;D   A ()

+‫ اﺱ‬Z*#‫
رﻥ ا‬#
‫*
ت‬,P


(o, $ ‫ ی‬+‫ اﺱ‬Z*#‫ا‬ ‫ة‬E‫ واﺡ‬+‫ * ﺱ‬0 [‫ ا‬4P
p,‫ا‬ ‫ ا[ﺥی
ت‬$ ‫*ًا‬T‫ آ‬XP 

.
  A   # .
  A   #

M    
M    

Z*#‫ 
وي ا‬p'‫ ر‬0A' +‫ اﺱ‬Z*#‫ 
وي ا‬p'‫ر‬
P
A‫
ت ا‬P +‫اﺱ‬ P
A‫
ت ا‬P

   '  


:  A 1) H 0 : µ0 = µ1 = µ2 = .... ) ' A   •

.  *  0 * */ 1 (Minitab, STATDISK, …) A 5  / $A .1
.
 α ; 4     1 ; .2
:   6  @DA $ .3
H 0 ) ' T,  P − value ≤ α 1  + •

H 0 ) ' T,  , *' P − value > α 1  + •

 # 5  $A F, H 0 : µ0 = µ1 = µ2 = .... ) ' A < K+  6   O 9
. # .  , A
H 0 : µ0 = µ1 = µ2 = .... 40  0; &0' •

Q 4G - -    .1


Q  R' O  -    .2
Q   1
 -  .3
.  /   1 '> 'A  .4
(# / Minitab H *0;  
 +
   '  


:  6 1 6  * 1  * ' 12 +A/


Tom Clancy’s the bear and the dragon,
J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s,
Leo tolstoy’s War and Peace.
 1   *.6  * 1)      ' 1 ' *
"  - *  6  $
:3D3  1 ' *
"  - *  
1 ' *
"  -  1 *
.3D3 6 1
+AF  '
CLANCY ROWLING TOLSTOY
58.2 85.3 69.4
73.4 84.3 64.2
73.1 79.5 71.4
64.4 82.5 71.6
72.7 80.2 68.5
89.2 84.6 51.9
43.9 79.2 72.2
76.3 70.9 74.4
76.4 78.6 52.8
78.9 86.2 58.4
69.4 74.0 65.4
72.9 83.7 73.6
.  R' -    3 1 +A/ (6  1 ' 12) 3D3  1/ 0 @  ) ' A 6
α = 0.05 ; $A

 
:1
A
:  7  H 1 ) ' H 0 ) '
H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3
H 1 : at least one of the means is different from the others
.(  A% 1 'A 3D3     $ 1 *;% 0
 b H 1 ) ')
:2
A
:  $ 0
  * Minitab 5   $A 
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Factor 2 1338.0 669.0 9.47 0.001
Error 33 2331.4 70.6
Total 35 3669.4
Individual 95% CIs For Mean
Based on Pooled StDev
Level N Mean StDev ---+---------+---------+---------+---
CLANCY 12 70.733 11.326 (------*------)
ROWLING 12 80.750 4.681 (------*------)
TOLSTOY 12 66.150 7.858 (------*-------)
---+---------+---------+---------+---
Pooled StDev = 8.405 63.0 70.0 77.0 84.0

p _ value = 0.001     1/ K/


:3
A
$   0 @  H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 ) ' T,  α = 0.05 &%  1 M/     1/ 
.3D3    

(* 
:3D3 6
"  - *   $   $ 0 @ K+ "   $ % 1 '  

Tom Clancy’s the bear and the dragon,


J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s,
Leo tolstoy’s War and Peace.

   '  

($ R' -  4)

$ n : nsx2 6  .  1  1   1 + .O *; 6  "  1 $ R'  1 
   s 2p   E   1 6  1)  / .   $  sx2   E 
.  * 3 ,

+
 B   N / 1 * ,  sample1, sample2, sample3  3 $)  A    1
E+ A   $ K  0 @ K+ "   A 6 .sample1  $ 10 , )P A  1 5
.B   $ K  0 @ K+ "  

 
:  1 ,  H1 ) ' H 0 ) '
H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3
H 1 : at least one of the means is different from the others
.(  A% 1 'A 3D3     $ 1 *;% 0
 b H 1 ) ')
.* ,  $ 5, 1    $ 6
 1    s = 0.0833  5 3D3   $ 1
  6 A    $ 
2
x

:  1
ns = 4 ⋅ ( 0.083) = 0.332
2
x

: s 2p   E   1 6  1) 

3.0 + 3.0 + 2.0


s 2p = = 2.3333
2

 A   # ;


variance between samples
F=
variance within samples
nsx2 0.3332
F= = = 0.1428
s 2p 2.333

:      6 : F 4G 1  *+ + A  1 1 &  1   
numerator degrees of freedom = k -1
denominator degrees of freedom = k (n -1)
    2      n = 4, k = 3  A   1    . n - * $    k :
.4.2564    1 α = 0.05 */ 1 .9 $ 
% 1 '  , </ K/ . H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 ) ' T, , *' E+    1 M/  #  1/ 
.A    $ K  0 @ K+ "   T, 

1 .N / * ,  &      /    6 1/ 1 A R' 4 B    
.H0 ) ' T, 
.B    $ K  0 @ K+ "   T,  % 1 '   </ K/

B A &  $ ( 0';  ,  S* /; (

A B
Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 3 Sample1 Sample 2 Sample 3
7 6 4 17 6 4
3 5 7 13 5 7
6 5 6 16 5 6
6 8 7 16 8 7
n1 = 4 n2 = 4 n3 = 4 n1 = 4 n2 = 4 n3 = 4
x1 = 5.5 x2 = 6.0 x3 = 6.0 x1 = 15.5 x2 = 6.0 x3 = 6.0
2 2
s = 3.0
1 s = 2.0
2 s32 = 2.0
2 2 2
s = 3.0 s = 2.0 s = 2.0
1 2 3
nsx2 = 4 ⋅ ( 30.083) = 0.332
ns = 4 ⋅ ( 0.083) = 0.332
2
x
3.0 + 3.0 + 2.0
3.0 + 3.0 + 2.0 s 2p = = 2.3333
2
s =
p = 2.3333 2
2 nsx2 120.3332
ns 2 0.3332 F= 2 = = 51.5721 p − value = 0.0000118
F = 2x = = 0.1428 sp 2.333
sp 2.333
H 0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3 R%0
p − value = 0.8688

   '  

(
 ( < * )

:0; )

 ∑ n ( x − x )2 
 i i

variance between samples   k − 1 
F= =
variance within samples  ∑ ( ni − 1) si2 
 
 ∑ ( ni − 1) 

:
Q  *   b x
Q -   K       $  b k
Q i  $ b ni
Q i    b x i
. i   b si2

. 3  3/ 6  ( $ R'  1  /  * 6   1 $ R'  1 
:  6  A   #   N+& ,
:0; )

 ∑ n ( x − x )2 
 i i

variance between samples   k − 1 
F= =
variance within samples  ∑ ( ni − 1) si2 
 
 ∑ ( ni − 1) 

:

Q  *   b x


Q -   K       $  b k
Q i  $ b ni
Q i    b x i
. i   b si2

,  1 'A    # 5  $A $    FA 6 ;   N+-  #  6  1/ 
.1  1  ,     #  6 
   '  


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