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AÑO 1 2 3 4 5
UNIDADES 12,500 14,800 6,000 15,200 5,800
N X Y XY X² Y"
1 -3 12,500 -37,500 9 11,079
2 -2 14,800 -29,600 4 11,386
3 -1 6,000 -6,000 1 11,693
4 0 15,200 - 0 12,000
5 1 5,800 5,800 1 12,307
6 2 13,200 26,400 4 12,614
7 3 16,500 49,500 9 12,921
TOTALES - 84,000 8,600 28 84,000
TENDENCIA Y=a+bx
Y(1)= 11,079 a= 12,000
Y(2)= 11,386 b= 307
Y(3)= 11,693
Y(4)= 12,000
Y(5)= 12,307
Y(6)= 12,614
Y(7)= 12,921
Y(8)= 13,229 Pronostico de ventas año 8
MARGEN DE ERROR
M.E= 29%
NIVEL DE CONFIABILIDAD
N.C.= 70.95%
6 7 8
13,200 16,500 13,229
|Y-Y"|
1,421
3,414
5,693
3,200
6,507
586
3,579
24,400