—— Studies in European History —~
JEM PHOM 35414 aU} Jo YeaugnO ay,
uosuaneys piaeq
3
THE OUTBREAK
OF THE FIRST
WORLD WAR
1914 IN PERSPECTIVE
David StevensonTHE OUTBREAK OF THE FIRST WORLD WARStudies in European History
General Editor: Richard Overy
Editorial Consultants: John Breuilly
Roy Porter
PUBLISHED TITLES
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T. C. W. Blanning "The French Revolution: Aristocrats
versus Bourgeois?
John Breuilly The Formation of the First German
Nation-State, 1800-1871
Peter Burke ‘The Renaissance, Second Edition
Michael Dochrill The Cold War, 1945-1963
William Doyle The Ancien Regime
Geoffrey Ellis. The Napoleonic Empire
Donald A. Filter The Khrushchev Era: De-Stalinism and the
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Mary Fulbrook ~The Two Germanies, 1945-1990
R.G. Geary European Labour Politics from 1900 to the Depression
Graeme Gill Stalin
m
John Henry The Scientific Revolution and the Origins of Modern
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Henry Kamen Golden Age Spain
Richard Mackenney The City-State, 1500-1700: Republican Liberty
in an Age of Princely Power
Andrew Porter European Imperialism, 1860-1914
Roy Porter The Enlightenment
Roger Price The Revolutions of 1848
James Retallack Germany in the Age of Kaiser Wilhelm II
Geoffrey Scarre Witchcraft and Magic in 16th- and 17th-Century
Europe
R.W. Scribner The German Reformation
Robert Service The Russian Revolution 1900-1927, Second Edition
David Stevenson The Outbreak of the First World War
FORTHCOMING.
David Cesarani_ The Holocaust
Hugh Gough The Terror of the French Revolution
Clive Trebilcock Problems in European Industrialisation, 1800-1914
THE OUTBREAK OF THE
FIRST WORLD WAR
1914 in Perspective
DAVID STEVENSON
Senior Lecturer in International History
London School of EconomicsFA Sixes Nass
PA Si Sieises mtessiwes
‘BetCrge eter
‘gerne tgsi ynninanaen
restate ne
Contents
1 eo ef
dione
‘romain
se
Seorea eres
Be¥ eee
aeEditor's Preface
Abbreviations
st te tke Secon int ya a
‘arth ance ce Te we eae
‘dcx maj repton ance neon 398
yovey
ve ise rer eee eee Ee
egy ip
(CGT Conldéraon gerade du vail French wadeunionChronology
Jann German Emp proche
Ju Teeny et
Ease
Ist JmeTvee aie,
ts sn Te Alan
is i
toot Sener hn emes n
teers Rms a
‘Snr Niner Foi iin and rane)
‘fue gue Ree Cantrence
Je: Corman Sal Le
feet aeons
ees Freee tone mel reece a
etn on eka
Aye Ange French cool german nt a.
tan ody Sunda mare mate evoaonary
Juss Age ety os bin
‘nan Api igen Comerene om Marc
ary Ns Dasara
seater Sect Hague Pe Caner,
Ae
om ms a ea
hu Nincnber Sond Moron Gl
puter al caer 2) hia War
Neca
Josep Peet Ciel Reekrwion
ej Second Balkan War (Baga Sei,
i Noge Ra ‘Cera Arey Le a1914
January: Franco-Ru:
ian railway loan agreement.
March: German-Russian press war.
June: Anglo-Russian naval discussions.
28 June: Sarajevo assassinations
6 July: German ‘blank cheque’ to Austria-Hungary.
Russian ‘Great Programme’ becomes law.
} July: French state visit to Russia.
28 July: Austro-Hungarian ultimatum to Serbii
25 July: Serbian reply and mobilisation. Austria-Hungary
breaks off relations.
26 July: Russia begins pre-mobi
conference proposal
28 July: Austria-Hungary orders partial mobilisation and
declares war on Serbia. Wilhelm II proposes halt in
Belgrade.
29 July: Bombardment of Belgrade. German warnings to
Russia and France, British warning to Germany. German
neutrality bid. Nicholas II authorises partial mobilis
tion.
30 July: Bethmann Hollweg attempts to restrain
Austria-Hungary.
30 July: French attempt to restrain Russia. Nicholas I
authorises general mobilisation.
31 July: Russia begins general mobilisation. Germany
declares state of danger of war and sends ultimata to
Russia and France.
1 August: Germany declares war on Russia. French and
German general mobilisations, Anglo-German ‘mi:
understanding’.
2 August: Germany invades Luxemburg and sends ultima-
tum to Belgium. British Cabinet decides to protect
French coast and Belgian neutra
3 August: Germany invades Belgium and declares war on
France. Italy proclaims neutrality.
4 August: Britain declares war on Germany.
6 August: Austria-Hungary declares war on Russia,
sation measures. British
y.
xiimex
8 Belgium
D Denmark
L Luxembourg
M
N
Sw
Atlantic Ocean
PORTUGAL
of eMaana
Lisbon ,
SPAIN
Algeciras
MOROCCO (France) |
2
BRITAIN
en
Mediterranean Sea
ALGERIA (France)
Chivistiania
North Sea
ae
ZTunisia
trance
here.
Vienna
AUSTRIA-HUNGARY
sie |
roar
Genstantinople
"st Petersburg
oY
Black Sea
OTTOMAN EMPIRE
Map 1
Europe in 1914Budapest
AUSTRIA-HUNGARY
Croatia
ao ae
ROMANIA
Bucharest @
Bosnia (Belgrade
arajevoe oC
HERZEGOVINA =
Black
Sea
Bosphorus
oe
ea
OTTOMAN
°
EMPIRE
ITALY
oe
Dardanelles
Mediterranean Sea 4
°
Map 2. The Balkans in 1914
xivIntroduction
‘As this study was being written, images of Sarajevo flickered
nightly across Western television screens, and commentators
recalled that events there cighty years ago had started a world war.
Although global politics in the 1990s have so far been less per-
ilous than in the early twentieth century, with the break-up of the
familiar framework provided by the Soviet-American Gold Wat
they may not remain so, The most likely future is one of a return
to a world of several competing Great Powers, manoeuvring in a
hazardous environment of ethnic conflict, rivalry for markets and
resources, and armaments races. If this happens, it will be more
relevant than ever to examine why the pre-1914 Balkan tension
so disastrously escalated.
What follows aims to introduce the student and the general
reader to the vast historical literature on the origins of the First
World War. It deliberately avoids a narrative account, which can
casily be found elsewhere [9; 25; 27], although the principal
events appear in the Chronology. The first four chapters focus on
the July Crisis of 1914, examining the contribution made to it by
each government, though setting the decision-making within a
longer-term context. The fifth chapter is more general and inter-
pretative. The Conclusion looks ahead to the decisions taken after
the war broke out, which turned it into a long and devastating
total conflict.
's1 Austria-Hungary and Serbia
‘veal Rots repre
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tbe here 23 uy the gover
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‘When Pat emet fhe operant at igh
son (11)
‘ono hau he Serban wh ics he
thee repr on Rasalan aie they ere read wo gh abe
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‘ek Srbar ao tect raga opt
ete tehents
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fet an coeston pa nae
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ie arman ae st er m
tue won wear ye fe tha ue
‘yw uc ayn oo
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{er At Ta nner
ocret peciton pms ped sc a2 Germany and the Blank
Cheque
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silane tne 3
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Seeccn aoeramih acctincs wesc
Should srengthen devertenc, i wther ae sce the possi
ng hace af i nth ated wo ta Wis
Ne Wned rte beadewn af place 32
allie depen ly ny he aan ca
he repemed dplmatcetey espe ren Agate emer
ner cere mand defence
reed a er he ae
‘oundajis to coincide wih ethnic ones os the fundamental
‘Sone af he wo (21 The poem whine et the
Ecipean enn Move agit ay ae be aan
thd ea oes acy Rtn an he
‘arGerman League andthe Drache Weireren ihe Geen
Wn Ai, rnd 20 ly
thie Facer a dite domeste tron {42 Ir ts piety vse ext
‘ace an derstanding in 10-11 ore Pes 10 33).
and statis of Aled vr sins have demon ated [24 1
‘thin (hough thie plea part) than io rom
‘eight pen aig
‘ternal deopnens diced ave bes expan the
nt ee hay was eso td
hing (na he sums oe eh ar
i i pel whe Ce wna
‘ence Come “cute ne ear
estes cer conmiteen to tas [cs Amer Om
Seon ote ti Lr] Ms Eh hat
sac mere avec comers oes i (17-Atied noting sont ao, dd Ra
th Aah Ren ant a
retling mpm above Ges Pmer sence he
Conclusion: The Vision of
‘St tg
cath dcp ane heen heed dri br ee
ror inthe orig =p heme robe
cig ie ah ach
eer the rate poi Seqes Pb aay oc
Thongs cathe lsd do Pain mo 0. he
Iter eee no pai ne ey
‘Seton oe Gar 52 a he Cegyn of eve mer, tone