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Abstract
The pharmaceuticals manufacturing is one of the core industries in India and is optimistic of
posting good sates in the coming few years. The total revenue generated by pharmaceutical
companies in India in the last financial year was more than $20 billion, which is expected to
cross the mark of $26 billion by 2017. The Pharmaceutical industry is the third largest in terms
of volume in India. Pharmaceutical industries have been topmost players in the health care
segment in an epoch of aging populations, rising health care costs, and the ongoing development
of new and extremely profitable medicines. Therefore, the investment in shares and securities of
pharmaceutical companies seems to be cost-effective. An investment is an asset or item that is
purchased with the hope that it will generate income or will appreciate in the future. In an
economic sense, an investment is the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are used
in the future to create wealth. It is mainly done in order to ensure safety and also hedge against
inflation. Investment in various types of assets is an interesting activity that attracts people from
all walks of life irrespective of their occupation, economic status, education and family
background. Stocks are a unique investment because they allow us to take limited ownership in a
company. Because of this, the returns are potentially greater and they have a history of being a
judicious way to invest our money. Investments in securities are profitable as well as rousing. It
is indeed rewarding, but involves a great deal of risk and calls for precise knowledge as well as
inventive skill. In such investments, both rational and emotional responses are involved.
Investment in financial securities is one of the most risky as well as the best avenues of
investment. Investors have a plethora of options available to them ranging from mutual funds,
equities to fixed income instruments like bonds and bank deposits. Choosing the right one
depends upon the risk and return characteristics of the securities. So, before making investments
an investor should analyze the risk and return associated with the particular investment and how
well it is performing. Now, risk return analysis and security analysis gain more importance under
these circumstances.
The effectiveness of the companies in the portfolio will be confirmed by analytical studies, i.e.
both security analysis and portfolio analysis. Security analysis is accompanied by scrutinizing
fundamental and technical aspects. Fundamental analysis is to judge the future price of a stock
which an investor desires to buy. It also analyses the intrinsic worth of a company and to relate
GLOBAL MANAGEMENT HORIZON
Volume – VII, Jan - June 2018, ISSN 2249-6211
GLOBAL INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT, AMRITSAR
out whether the current market price is fair or not, whether it is overpriced or under-priced. It
believes that analyzing the economy, strategy, management, product, financial status and other
related information will help to choose shares that will outperform the market and provide
consistent gains to the investor. It is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the
interest of the economy, industrial sectors and companies. It tries to forecast the future
movement of the capital market using signals from the Economy, Industry and Company. It
requires an examination of the market from a broader perception. The presumption behind
fundamental analysis is that a thriving economy fosters industrial growth, which leads to the
development of companies. Estimate of real worth of a stock is made by considering the earning
potential of the company which depends on the investment environment and factors relating to
specific industries, competitiveness, quality of management, operational efficiency, profitability,
capital structure and dividend policy. Many people use fundamental analysis to select a company
to invest in, and technical analysis to help make their buy and sell decisions. It also involves a
detailed examination of the company's competitors, the industry or sector.
2. Economic Analysis- It focuses on broad economic factors which affect the stock market
as a whole or industry group of securities.The practice of Macro-Fundamental Analysis
starts at the overall performance of the economy, its impact on industry groups and
finally down to specific companies in the industry groups
Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are the two main schools of thought in the financial
markets. Technical analysis uses statistics generated by market activities like stock‟s past prices
or volume to predict future price movements. Conversely, fundamental analysis looks at
economic factors to forecast price movements of stocks in the future.
Suresh A.S. (2015) tried to emphasize the importance of fundamental and technical analysis on
Indian stock market. In fundamental analysis, the author stressed investors to know about macro-
economic environment and development of the country, future prospects of the industry to which
the firm belongs and projected performance of the company. As far as technical analysis is
concerned, the author advised few tools like a line chart, bar chart, point and figure chart, trend
chart, moving average analysis, relative strength, resistance and support levels, break-out theory,
head and shoulders pattern, double top and bottom formation to predict future stock prices.
Fundamental analysis was the only investment method that was given any sincerity in the past.
Now that has changed as the arrival of high-speed computing has made a technical analysis
easier. Many large investment firms use black box trading, or computer modeling, to determine
their entry and exit points. However, it was found that financial managers are not able to use the
right tools to analyze future market trends.
Shirur S. (2013) stated the reason why finance managers arrive at wrong decisions like the
subprime crisis. The reason explained by author was, investors are dealing with the fundamental
analysis issues while the tools used are applicable for technical analysis. The author also
suggested that instead of segregating risk into systematic and unsystematic risk, it should be
segregated into bankruptcy and liquidity risk, to determine the true value of the company, which
helps investors to determine in which security to invest. The primary motivation for this research
is to identify mispriced securities. However, these authors demonstrate that the information in
the earnings prediction signals is helpful in generating abnormal stock returns.
Pascal Nguyen, (2003) constructs a simple financial score designed to capture short term
changes in firm operating efficiency, profitability and financial policy. It concluded that
government policy with respect to input and outputs has the significant influence on the liquidity
position of the company.
Joseph. D. Piotroski (2000) examines whether a simple accounting based Fundamental Analysis
strategy, when applied to a broad portfolio of high Book to Market firms, can shift the
distribution of returns earned by an investor.
The scope of the study is to conduct a fundamental analysis of the top Ten Indian Companies viz.
Sun Pharma, Lupin, Dr Reddys, Cipla, Aurobindo, Cadila, Piramal, Glenmark, GlaxoSmithkline
and Torrent for a period of 3 years from 1st April 2013 to 31st March 2016
The purpose of the study is to conduct a fundamental analysis of the top Ten Indian Companies
viz. Sun Pharma, Lupin, Dr Reddys, Cipla, Aurobindo, Cadila, Piramal, Glenmark,
GlaxoSmithkline and Torrentto with an objective:
Research Methodology
This study is partially descriptive in nature and partially analysis. The main purpose of the
descriptive research is the description of the state of affairs as it exists in the present. The main
characteristic of the descriptive research is that the researcher has no control over the variables.
This Methodology is most suitable for study of fundamental analysis. Analysis is conducted for
valuation of shares.
Data Source
The data was mostly collected from the annual reports of companies, company websites and
company brochures and from moneycontrol.com.
Sampling Plan
Sampling size :A total of ten companies are selected from the Pharmaceutical
sector which is listed in BSE and NSE for last 3 years from 1st April 2013 to 31st
March 2016
Sampling Procedure: The data for this study is selected on the basis of
convenience sampling method. Among the companies listed with major stock
exchange of India namely, Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock
Exchange of India, top 10 pharmaceutical companies on the basis of market
capitalization are selected. The following are the selected Pharmaceutical
companies of this study:
1. Sun Pharma
2. Lupin
3. Dr Reddys
4. Cipla
5. Aurobindo Pharma
GLOBAL MANAGEMENT HORIZON
Volume – VII, Jan - June 2018, ISSN 2249-6211
GLOBAL INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT, AMRITSAR
6. Cadila
7. Piramal
8. Glenmark
9. GlaxoSmithkline
10. Torrent Pharma
For analyzing the data, the widely used tool Ratio Analysis is used. Ratio analysis is a
technique adapted to analysis and interprets general financial statements to assess the
profitability position. Percentage analysis is taken for analyzing primary data, Tables and
charts are also used for analysis. Ratios are calculated for current year and are then
compared with previous years.
Ratio Analysis
Current Ratio
Current ratio is the most common ratio for measuring liquidity. It represents the ratio of
current assets and current liabilities. It is also called working capital ratio. It is calculated
by dividing current assets by current liabilities.
= /
Interpretation: In this all companies haven’t maintained the ideal current ratio, while the
highest ratio is 3.89 of Lupin in the year 2015 while the 3.45 in the 2014.
Quick Ratio
This ratio is sometimes known as Acid Test or Liquidity Ratio. It is the relation between quick
asset and quick liability. It is determined by quick asset divided by quick liability.The term quick
asset refers to current assets which can be converted into cash immediately.Quick ratio is a true
test for finding business solvency.
= /
Interpretation- In this all the above companies have maintained the liquid asset position except
the Sun Pharma in the year 2016, 2015 and Piramal in year 2016, 2014 and the highest is Lupin
with 3.89 in year 2016 while 3.45 in the year 2014.
Debt-Equity Ratio
The relation between borrowed funds and owners capital is a popular measure of the long term
financial solvency of the firm. This relationship is shown by the debt-equity ratio. This ratio
indicates the relative proportion of debt and equity in financing the assets of the film.
− − = ( )/
Interpretation: No company has maintained the standard debt equity ratio for the following years
while Piramal is the only company with the highest debt-equity ratio i.e. 1.02 in the year 2016.
Also known as Profit before Interest and Taxes (PBIT), and equals Net Income with interest and
taxes added back to it.
Interpretation- The EBIT of Glenmark, Aurobindo, Cadila, Lupin has shown consistent growth
in the last 3 years, the highest is shown by Lupin 2885.07 in the year 2016 and 2397.35 in the
year 2015 while the lowest was shown by Piramal -231.56 in the year 2013.
Interpretation- Lupin has the highest asset turnover ratio in the 2014and 2013and GSK also
shows the highest growth in 2015 and2016. While the lowest is the 8.58 of Piramal in the year
2013.
= / ∗
= / ∗
The sum of declared dividends for every ordinary share issued. Dividend Per share (DPS) is the
total dividends paid out over an entire year(including interim dividends but not including special
dividends)divided by the number of outstanding ordinary shares issued.
= /
= / e
The portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. Earnings
per share serve as an indicator of a company's profitability .This ratio helps in the assessment of
the profitability of the firm from the stand point of equity share holders. This measures the profit
available to the equity share holders per share.
= /
Net profit divided by net revenues, often expressed as a percentage. This number is an indication
of how effective a company is at cost control. The higher the net profit margin is the more
effective the company is at converting revenue into actual profit. The net profit margin is a good
way of comparing companies in the same industry, since such companies are generally subject to
similar business conditions.
= / ∗
Intrinsic Value
Ranks: Rank 1= 10, Rank2= 9, Rank3=8, Rank4= 7, Rank 5= 6, Rank 6= 5,Rank 7= 4, Rank
8=3, Rank9=2, Rank 10=1.
Findings: No company has maintained the standard current ratio, except Dr. Reddy’s, Cipla
and Torrent. While Lupin shows the highest current ratio in 2016, 2015 and 2014. The quick
ratio is maintained, by all the companies except Sun Pharma and Piramal. The highest quick ratio
is shown by Lupin in 2016 and 2014. All the company has maintained a standard debt equity
ratio, except Piramal which shows the highest debt equity ratio in 2016. In the debt equity,
Glennmark, Aurobindo, Cadila, Lupin has shown consistent growth in the last 3 years, while the
highest is shown by Lupin in 2016 and 2015 and lowest is of Piramal in 2013.The assets turnover
ratio is quite satisfactory by all companies in which Lupin is the highest in 2013 and 2014,
followed by GSK and second highest in 2015 and 2016. The lowest is Piramal in 2013. The
highest performer in total assets is the Torrent followed by Cadila at second and at third is the
Lupin. The poor performers are Cipla in 2014 and Sun Pharma in 2014 and 2016. All the
companies’ show satisfactory ROE in which the highest is Torrent in 2015 and the lowest is
Piramal in 2014 and 2013. The highest DPS is shown by GSK, followed by Piramal and Sun
Pharma is highest in all the 3 years. GSK has a higher dividend payout ratio in 2016 and 2015
and the Sun Pharma is the lowest performer. According to the ranking of the companies based on
various variables Torrent is on the top most rank followed by Piramal Healthcare having 2nd
position. Sun Pharma has the lowest rank among all the ten companies followed by Cipla.
Conclusion: The economic growth of India is growing rapidly and has shown remarkable
growth in the pharmaceutical industry. The production of new drugs and various methods and
techniques in vaccines are the key strengths of Pharma industry in India. Fundamental analysis
suggests and insists, which steps should be undertaken in terms of purchasing, and selling of
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