Reliability Assessment of Distribution Network
Considering Preventive Maintenance
Hong-shan Zhao, Hong-yang Liu, Song Chen, Ying-ying Wang and Hang-yu Zhao
‘North China Electric Power University
Baoding Hebei China
Abstract—Maintenance strategy impacts the reliability of
distribution network directly. Common distribution network
maintenance strategies contain corrective maintenance and
preventive maintenance. However, the existing reliability
assessment methods ignore the effects of preventive maintenance.
‘This study showed the influence of preventive maintenance on the
system failure rate by describing the preventive maintenance
strategy with a reliability function and proposed a reliability
evaluation method considering preventive maintenance of the
distribution network. The method adopted the Sequential Monte
Carlo method to simulate changes of elements lifetime and the
operation condition of distribution network elements and used
two kinds of clocks to simulate the state change and the reliability
fof elements respectively. The proposed method was used to
evaluate the reliability of IEEE RBTS BUS6 system with
tenance strategy. Finaly, the effeets of reliability
threshold on the frequency and cost of maintenance and
distribution network reliability index were analyzed. A
reasonable range of reliability threshold is given.
Index Terms—distribution network; preventive maintenance;
reliability assessment; reliability funetion
IL. Iyrropuction
The maintenance strategies, having close relationship with
the failure rate and service lifetime of equipment, affect the
reliability of distribution network directly [1]. Generally,
distribution network maintenance strategy contains the
corrective maintenance (CM) and the preventive maintenance
(PM) [2]. CM is a maintenance task performed to identify,
isolate and rectify a fault so that the failed equipment, machine,
‘or system can be restored to an operational condition within the
tolerances or limits established for in-service operations. The
sudden failure may cause huge economic loss for the power
grid and the customers, and serious harm to equipment,
personnel and the environment, ie. the security and reliability
of distribution network, which just implements the CM, are
very poor. On the other side, PM is the care and servicing by
personnel for the purpose of maintaining equipment and
facilities in satisfactory operating condition by providing for
systematic inspection, detection, and correction of incipient
failures cither before they occur or before they develop into
major defects (3
In distribution network, compared with the CM, the PM
strategy can effectively reduce the failure rate of components,
extend component lifetime and reduce the maintenance costs, It
is an effective measure to improve the reliability of distribution
network. With the above advantages, the PM has become one
‘of important maintenance strategies for main components in
distribution network. However, the current reliability
evaluation methods for distribution network, whether
simulation methods [4]-[5] or analytical methods [6}-[7], only
consider the impact of CM and ignore the PM effect, e-g., the
analysis of outage of power for each component in distribution
system. The component outage models, the load point failure
‘models and element failure rates under PM strategy have great
differences with those under CM, Therefore, in the actual
distribution network reliability assessment, in addition to
considering CM mode caused by random failures, the impacts
of PM strategies on reliability index calculation should also be
considered.
In the paper, we built a reliability function to describe the
PM strategy and study their effects to the failure rates of
distribution network components. On this basis, we proposed a
reliability assessment method to the distribution network with
PM strategy, which could effectively compensate for the
inadequate of current distribution network reliability
assessment methods. The method is tested to assess the
reliability of IEEE RBTS BUS6 system. Finally we analyzed
the influences of PM reliability threshold to the number of
‘maintenance, maintenance costs and reliability index,
Tl, PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE STRATEGY OF
DISTRIBUTION NETWORK
A. Fault Rate and Reliability of Distribution Components
Distribution system consists of feeders (overhead lines and
cables), switchgears (circuit breakers, disconnect switches,
load switches and fuses), distribution transformers and so forth
Failure rates of distribution components are mainly affected by
component aging, maintenance strategies, and environmental
factors [8].
In this paper, the effects of aging on failure rates of
components are described by the Weibull distribution with the
parameter fi>1 [9]. For component i, its failure rate can be
expressed as a function fi(0.
Lay 1
non Bedy “
‘where 0s the characteristic life parameter (days) of component,
i, fis the seale parameter.
While £1, the failure rate funetion (0) increases withthe
increase of the operation time ¢ [10]. In the next section, a
detailed analysis ofthe impact of PM strategy to failure rate of.
distribution component is proposed.
Reliability refers tothe probability ofa product completing
the requited function under specified conditions and within the
stipulated time. It is a funetion of time, which is named
reliability function R(.). The relationship between the reliability
function and failure rate of component is shown in (2).
R= 2
B. Preventive Maintenance Strategy in Distribution Network
‘The most common way for PM is fo maintenance unexpired
components in accordance with predetermined time or
specified criteria. The distribution elements with great variety,
huge number and significantly individual differences, shouldnot adopt a unified maintenance interval.
This paper uses the proposed component reliability function
‘R( to simulate changes of component lifetime and determine
the health status of component. We identify whether the
clements should achieve PM conditions or not, by setting PM.
reliability threshold K, and comparing the reliability function of
clements R() with Ry at time . The PM strategy in distribution
network is shown in Fig. 1
Fig PM strategy in disuibution network
In Fig 1, the abscissa represents the service year fof element
i, and the ordinate represents the reliability Ri) of element i at
the time £, Reliability of element / is | at time (=0. With the
increasing of service year, the reliability decreases. The
reliability respects the probability of that clement i don’t fail
before time f, in another word, the probability of that the
lifetime of element jis longer than f. A large Rit) means the
probability of that lifetime of clement / is longer than f. The
probability of clement i fails before time ¢ grows with the
decrease of R(t). Hence, we can judge the health status of
‘component and make appropriate service decisions by R(t). To
‘make the reliability of elements maintain at a high level, PM
ccan be implemented for the elements which do not malfunction
but whose reliability has reduced to a certain degree, so that
failure of elements can be prevented effectively
These are the basic ideas of PM strategy in distribution
network. OF course, PM strategy cannot completely avoid
clement failures, so PM strategy consists of two maintenance
‘modes: PM and CM. Assuming that PM reliability threshold is,
RyORe, g0 to step 9
(Q)Ifr> TTR, element i needs implementation of CM:
calculate T7Rand a new TTF;
GIF RetwysRy(tm)SRy, clement jn need
implementation’ of PM: calculate 77%, ~,77Ry and
new TTF", 1TF
(4) Renew TPF of related elements and count times of CM
and PM respectively.
Stop 8: Record the outage information of each load point by
searching the maintenance mode and effects analysis table and
reset fx of the repaired elements; =k
Step 9: If kk, AH, teterH, retam to step 5
Step 10: Compiete the simulation process, calculate thereliability index of each load point and the whole system.
V. Case Stuy
A. Test System and Parameters
The method is tested on IEEE RBTS BUS6 system and the
system structure is shown in Fig 3, including one 10kV bus and
four feeders (Fl, F2, F3 and F4), Feeder Fl and F2 are
contacted. There are 64 feeder segments, 38 distribution
transformers and 40 load points in the system. The length of the
feeders, load size, the numbers of users connected to each load
point are shown inthe literature [13]. Reliability parameters of
‘main elements in the system are listed in Table I. Fault isolation
‘and load transfer time is Ih; repair degree parameter is K=1;PM
costs is 1/5 of CM [14]
Fig 3. Comested IEEE RBTS BUSS system
TABLE I RELIABILITY PARAMETERS OF MAIN ELEMENTS,
‘Average maintenance time i)
coke,
B. Simulation and Result Analysis
1). Effects of Simulation Step Length and Simulation Length
The values of simulation step length Hand simulation
length ¥ affect the calculation accuracy and the simulation time,
Numbers of maintenance according to different values of H and
Yare shown in Table II and Table II, respectively. R, is set 0.8.
Take the average of 5 simulations considering the error of the
Monte Carlo method.
TABLE II shows that, when H=Imonth, the average
number of annual maintenance is gradually steady with the
increase of simulation length and the precision meets
requirement when simulation length is longer than 2000 years,
TABLE III shows that, when ¥=2000 years, the number of
maintenance gradually converges with the decease of the
simulation step length #7, Number of PM is more sensitive to
the change of the simulation step length 7 comparing with CM.
‘H takes Iday quite reasonably considering the simulation time
and accuracy.
‘TABLE II NUMBER OF MAINTENANCE WITH DIFFERENT Y,
H=1month
Simulation Comective Peete nye
‘Seo Tanna Teta YM
10001 CTAAE«T3G~—«TRD=~«CA~S~C«*COMH
2000-2919 LAMd 136406823 ITM
3000 4367145520806 6798502
40005762440 2732.78 03%
sooo 7218 Las 340426 808
‘TABLE III NUMBER OF MAINTENANCE WITH DIFFERENT II,
¥=2000 years
Naber Numberor
. ofCM PM timets M.
wis 195%
aM ass 6a
2867176 H 2%
26529 2 460%
Dass 9.98155
Het hour 2881 ss 2359.9
2)_ Effects of Ry on Number of Maintenance
‘Number and cost of maintenance vary with the changes of
Ryas shown in Fig 4. (Y=2000years, HIday)
‘cove times of CM
cont of PM
5S cost of CM
Fig. Nomber and cost of maintenance vary wi changes of
Fig4 shows that the frequency of CM reduces and the
frequency of PM increases with the inereasing of PM reliability
threshold Rp. The change trend of both frequency comply the
approximate linear. The total frequency of maintenance with
PM (R,>0) is larger than that with CM (Rj=0). Its flat when,
0.10.7. The total
number of maintenance increases but the total cost of
maintenance reduces gradually. Change trends of the number of
CM and maintenance costs are basically the same,
The above analysis shows that the larger PM reliability
threshold is, the smaller the number of failures in distribution
network and the maintenance cost are, but atthe same time the
total number of repairs will increase. Appropriate value of Kp
should be selected considering the above factors.3)_ Effects of Ryon Reliability Index
‘The most common reliability indexes of distribution system
are System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFD,
System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) and
Customer Average Intemuption Duration Index (CAIDD [15]
Fig.5 shows the above three reliability indexes varying with
‘change of Ry. Rj=0 can be seen as reliability indexes with CM.
(12000 years and /7=1day)
7 ae
sagt
Soar Oy ob SOF a OO,
Shetty
“SG ab oh 04 OF 06 OF 0 OR,
j25. SAIFI, SAIDI and CAIDI change with Ry
As can be seen from Fig 5, the value of Ry impacts the
indexes differently. The dashed lines indicate the index with
CM. SAIFI with PM grows by the same trend of total
‘maintenance number in Fig 4. While R,>0.7, SAIFI grows fast
With the increase of R,, CAIDI reduces and substantially linear
tends. The trend of SAIDI varying with R, is not monotonous.
‘When 00.3, SAIDI decreases significantly and when 8,>0.8,
SAIDI gradually becomes larger. But overall, SAIDI with PM
is lower than that with CM.
On the whole, the interruption duration indexes, SAIDI and
CAIDI with PM are better than those with CM, Especially
when R, is in the interval (0.3, 0.8), SATDI and CAIDI decrease
with the increase of R. The interruption frequency index SATFI
deteriorates and SAIFI grows rapidly when R,>0.7. The trends
of SAIFI and the total maintenance number with the reliability
threshold R, are basically the same.
Therefore, considering all kinds of reliability indexes,
especially system interruption frequency index, the value of Ry
should not be too large.
VI. CONCLUSION
This paper describes PM strategy with reliability function,
analyzes the impact of PM on clement failure rates, on this
basis, proposes. distribution network reliability evaluation
method considering PM and CM, and gets the following
conclusions. Firstly, PM impacts element failure rate, The
extent of impact relates to PM reliability threshold Ry and
repairing degree parameter K. The relationship between
component failure rate with CM Ay and that with PM ,can be
expressed as J,=K(I-R,)a. Then, in reliability assessment, the
operation status of element is simulated to determine fault
elements by Sequential Monte Carlo method based on state
duration sampling. PM is implemented when R(Q is less than
the threshold R, Two kinds of clocks ({, and fx) are used to get
‘operation status of elements and reliability function R(®). The
asynchronous problem is solved by adopting system clock ¢.
Finally, as can be found in the simulation results, with the
increase of the PM reliability threshold R,, the number of PM
increases gradually, the number of CM decreases, the overall
maintenance cost’ decreases and the total number of
maintenance increases slowly. Interruption duration index
SAIDUCAIDI improve with PM strategy, but the interruption
frequency index SAIFI deteriorates, especially when the value
of Rp is large, SAIFI index grows fast.
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