Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Omega
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/omega
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: In this paper, a new method, called best-worst method (BWM) is proposed to solve multi-criteria
Received 3 December 2013 decision-making (MCDM) problems. In an MCDM problem, a number of alternatives are evaluated with
Accepted 25 November 2014 respect to a number of criteria in order to select the best alternative(s). According to BWM, the best (e.g.
Available online 3 December 2014
most desirable, most important) and the worst (e.g. least desirable, least important) criteria are
Keywords: identified first by the decision-maker. Pairwise comparisons are then conducted between each of these
Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) two criteria (best and worst) and the other criteria. A maximin problem is then formulated and solved to
Multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) determine the weights of different criteria. The weights of the alternatives with respect to different
Consistency ratio criteria are obtained using the same process. The final scores of the alternatives are derived by
Pairwise comparison
aggregating the weights from different sets of criteria and alternatives, based on which the best
alternative is selected. A consistency ratio is proposed for the BWM to check the reliability of the
comparisons. To illustrate the proposed method and evaluate its performance, we used some numerical
examples and a real-word decision-making problem (mobile phone selection). For the purpose of
comparison, we chose AHP (analytic hierarchy process), which is also a pairwise comparison-based
method. Statistical results show that BWM performs significantly better than AHP with respect to the
consistency ratio, and the other evaluation criteria: minimum violation, total deviation, and conformity.
The salient features of the proposed method, compared to the existing MCDM methods, are: (1) it
requires less comparison data; (2) it leads to more consistent comparisons, which means that it produces
more reliable results.
& 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2014.11.009
0305-0483/& 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
50 J. Rezaei / Omega 53 (2015) 49–57
Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) [15–18]. For some A, in order to obtain a completed matrix A, it is necessary to have n
recent developments we refer to the superiority and inferiority (n 1)/2 pairwise comparisons. The pairwise comparison matrix A
ranking (SIR) method [19], step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis is considered to be perfectly consistent if:
(SWARA) [20], subjective weighting method using continuous interval aik akj ¼ aij ; 8 i; j ð4Þ
scale [21], multi-attribute evaluation using imprecise weight estimates
(IMP) [22] among others. For the study and comparison of different
MCDM methods we refer to [23–27]. Here we try to make a better understanding of the so-called
Pairwise comparison method which was first introduced by pairwise comparison, which, in fact, makes the foundation of our
Thurstone [28] under the law of comparative judgment which is in proposed method (BWM).
fact implied in Weber’s law and in Fechner’s law [29] is an When executing a pairwise comparison aij , the decision-maker
structured way to make the decision matrix. Pairwise comparisons expresses both the direction and the strength of the preference i
(which are provided by expert or a team of experts) are used to over j. In most situations, the decision-maker has no problem in
show the relative preferences of m stimuli or actions in situations expressing the direction. However, expressing the strength of the
where it is unfeasible or meaningless to provide score estimates preference is a difficult task that is almost the main source of
for the stimuli or actions with respect to criteria. For instance, inconsistency. To understand this important issue better, we use a
underlying on ratio-scaling method [30,31], in the AHP, the visual illustration (Figs. 1 and 2).
weights are derived from pairwise comparisons of the criteria Comparing tree A with the other trees in Fig. 1, it may be easy
and the scores are derived from pairwise comparisons of the to determine that A is shorter than B and taller than the other
alternatives against the criteria, after which a similar function like trees (direction). However, assigning a number to express the level
(2) is used to calculate the overall value of alternatives. The very of relative tallness (strength) is more difficult. In fact, when one
significant challenge to the pairwise comparison method comes wants to assign a number to show one’s judgment with regard to
from the lack of consistency of the pairwise comparison matrices comparing A and B, one also keeps in mind the relationships
which usually occurs in practice [32]. between these two and some others. For example, suppose one
The pairwise comparison matrix A ¼ aij nn is considered to be
perfectly consistent if, for each i and j, aik akj ¼ aij . Unfortunately,
however, for several reasons (for instance lack of concentration) there
BA
are recurring inconsistencies in pairwise comparison matrices [33].
BE
When a comparison matrix is inconsistent, the recommended course
of action is to revise the comparison such that the comparison matrix BC
becomes consistent. Although this is a very common approach, it has
been shown not to be successful [34]. In our opinion, the main cause
AE
of the inconsistencies mentioned above is in the unstructured way
comparisons are executed by pairwise comparison-based methods. EC
AC
The main contribution of this paper is to propose a new multi-criteria
decision-making method that derives the weights based on pairwise
comparisons in a different way compared to the existing MCDM
methods. We will demonstrate that the approach proposed in this
paper uses less comparison data compared to the other MCDM
methods, and that it remedies the inconsistency that characterizes
the kind of pairwise comparisons in question.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, a
new MCDM method (BWM) is proposed. In Section 3, the BWM is
A B C D E
applied to a real-world problem, and it is comprehensively compared
to the AHP considering several evaluation criteria. The conclusions Fig. 1. A comparison example: the preference of A over E.
and suggestions for future research are presented in Section 4.
BE
Suppose we have n criteria and we want to execute a pairwise
comparison these criteria using a 1/9 to 9 scale1. The resulting BC
matrix would be
0 1
a11 a12 ⋯ a1n
B a21 a22 ⋯ a2n C
B C
A¼B C ð3Þ EC
@ ⋮ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ A
an1 an2 ⋯ ann
Table 1
Consistency index (CI) table.
aBW 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Consistency index (max ξ) 0.00 0.44 1.00 1.63 2.30 3.00 3.73 4.47 5.23
wB wj Criteria C1 C2 C3
min max aBj ; ajW
j w j w W
Best criterion: C3 8 2 1
s.t.
∑ wj ¼ 1 Table 3
j Pairwise comparison vector for the worst criterion.
wj Z 0; for all j ð5Þ
Criteria Worst criterion: C1
C1 1
Problem (5) can be transferred to the following problem: C2 5
min ξ C3 8
s.t.
2.2. Consistency ratio
wB
aBj r ξ; for all j
w
j
In this section, we propose a consistency ratio for the proposed
wj
a
jW rξ; for all j BWM.
w
W
Definition 3. A comparison is fully consistent when aBj ajW
∑ wj ¼ 1
j
¼ aBW , for all j, where aBj , ajW and aBW are respectively the pre-
ference of the best criterion over the criterion j, the preference of
wj Z 0; for all j ð6Þ criterion j over the worst criterion, and the preference of the best
criterion over the worst criterion.
Solving problem (6), the optimal weights wn1 ; wn2 ; …; wnn and ξn However, it is possible for some j not to be fully consistent,
are obtained5. which is why we propose a consistency ratio to indicate how
In some decision-making problems, we have an alternative consistent a comparison is. To this end, we start by calculating the
value i with respect to criterion j (pij ). For instance, think of a car minimum consistency of a comparison, as follows:
selection problem where fuel consumption is a criterion, and As mentioned before, aij A f1; :::; aBW g where the highest possi-
we have information about the fuel consumption of all the ble value of aBW is 9 (or any other maximum value identified by
alternatives. In some decision-making problems, however, values the decision-maker). Consistency decreases when aBj ajW is
pij are not available. For example, think of the same car selection lower or higher than aBW or equivalently aBj ajW a aBW , and it
problem where color is a criterion and there are cars with different is clear that the highest inequality occurs when aBj and ajW have
colors (not values). In case of the latter problem, where values pij the maximum value (equal to aBW ), which will result in ξ. We also
are not available, the aforementioned procedure is also carried out know that wB =wj wj =wW ¼ wB =wW , and given the highest
for the alternatives (comparing alternatives against each criterion) inequality as a result of assigning the maximum value by aBj and
to find pij (the weight of alternative i with respect to criterion j). At ajW , ξ is a value that should be subtracted from aBj and ajW and
any rate, we then simply calculate the overall score of alternative i added to aBW , or equivalently:
as V i ¼ ∑nj¼ 1 wj pij . Sorting the values of V i 8 i, the best alternative
aBj ξ ajW ξ ¼ ðaBW þ ξÞ ð7Þ
is identified.
In the next section, using ξn , we present a consistency ratio. It
becomes clear that, the bigger the ξn , the higher the consistency As for the minimum consistency aBj ¼ ajW ¼ aBW , we have
ratio, and the less reliable the comparisons become. ðaBW ξÞ ðaBW ξÞ ¼ ðaBW þ ξÞ
) ξ2 ð1 þ 2aBW Þξ þ aBW 2 aBW ¼ 0 ð8Þ
5
It might be argued that if the decision-maker is able to find the best (say k1)
and the worst (say l1) criteria from a set of criteria A, he/she would also be able to
find the best (say k2) and the worst (say l2) from A k1 ; l1 , following this Solving for different values of aBW A f1; 2; …; 9g, we can find
procedure, the list of criteria can be ranked. This has no contradiction with the
the maximum possible ξ (max ξ). We use these maximum values
underlying assumption of BWM, however, considering a decision-making problem
with different levels, such procedure cannot finally come up with the final ranking
as consistency index (see Table 1).
of the alternatives, which is the goal of the decision-making problem. This is We then calculate the consistency ratio, using ξn and the
because following such procedure it is not possible to find the weights of the corresponding consistency index, as follows:
criteria with respect to the goal, nor the weights of the alternatives with respect to
each criterion. Hence, it is not possible to find the overall aggregated weights of the ξn
Consistency Ratio ¼ ð9Þ
alternatives (which is derived by multiplication of the weights of the two levels), Consistency Index
and to rank them. For example, suppose that for the case of this study (mobile
phone selection), following the aforementioned procedure, the six criteria are
ranked with respect to the goal, and the four mobile phones are ranked each time
Example 1. This simple example involves selecting a transporta-
considering one criterion. It is not then possible to come up with the global tion mode for a company to transport their products to a market,
rankings of the mobile phones. to illustrate the BWM steps discussed above. Three decision
J. Rezaei / Omega 53 (2015) 49–57 53
Table 4
Consistency check table.
have three evaluation results: (1) BWM, (2) AHP, and (3) intuitive
evaluation. Table 7 provides an overview of the results.
The results show that, on average, the first choice of the responde-
nts was the iPhone 5 (BWMavg ¼ 0.3619, AHPavg ¼ 0.3501, Intuitiveavg ¼
0.3620), followed by Samsung Galaxy S III (BWMavg ¼0.3137, AHPavg ¼
0.3086, Intuitiveavg ¼0.3285), Nokia Lumia 920 (BWMavg ¼0.1960,
AHPavg ¼0.2057, Intuitiveavg ¼ 0.2033), and finally Motorola Milestone
3 (BWMavg ¼0.1284, AHPavg ¼0.1356, Intuitiveavg ¼0.1063). As becomes
evident, there is no difference between different methods in ranking
the mobile phones when considering the average values.
What is, however, more interesting and important for the
purpose of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the
proposed method (BWM). To this end, we report some important
feature of the results, and compare BWM with AHP considering
the consistency ratio, and three other evaluation measures pro-
posed by [36,37], with some modification, as described as follows.
Table 8
Comparison results of minimum variation (MV), total deviation (TD), and conformity (C) for two methods BWM and AHP (paired t-test).
Minimum variation (MV) 322 0.0096 0.0333 0.0294 0.0462 6.349 0.0000
Total deviation (TD) 322 2.1820 2.9090 3.0528 3.8955 3.812 0.0002
Conformity (C) 46 0.0275 0.0288 0.0437 0.0510 2.297 0.0263
(alternative) i in the pairwise comparison (aij o 1), but i receives a As mentioned before, in our real-world application, for BWM
larger weight than j in the final results (wi 4 wj ). MV sums up all and AHP, we have 322 pairs of vectors, and 322 matrices
the violations associated with the weight vector of an MCDM respectively. Again, in order to make a fair comparison between
method as follows. BWM and AHP, TD is divided by the total number of pairwise
comparisons of each method, i.e. we compare TDBWM =2n to
MV ¼ ∑ ∑ V ij ; ð10Þ
i j TDAHP =n2 . Similarly, we now have two related samples of 322
pairs. To see if there is a significant difference between the two
where samples, we conducted a paired t-test, the results of which are
8 shown in Table 8. The null hypothesis (H0), which says that the
> 1 if wi 4wj and aij o 1;
>
> mean of differences between TDBWM =2n and TDAHP =n2 is zero, is
< 0:5 if wi ¼ wj and aij a 1;
V ij ¼ ð11Þ rejected. The negative sign of t (-3.812) shows this rejection, again,
>
> 0:5 if wi awj and aij ¼ 1;
>
: in favor of BWM, implying that BWM (mean¼2.1820) produces
0 otherwise: closer weight ratios (obtained by the applied method) to the
comparisons (provided by the decision-makers) compared to AHP
(mean¼3.0528).
As discussed earlier BWM uses less pairwise comparisons than
AHP. As such, in order to make a fair comparison between BWM
and AHP, MV is divided by the total number of pairwise compar- 3.2.4. Conformity (C)
isons of each method, i.e. we in fact compare MV BWM =2n to One way to evaluate the performance of an MCDM is its
MV AHP =n2 . conformity to other MCDM methods, or the intuitive rankings of
As mentioned before, in our real-world application, for BWM the decision-makers (see for example, [43]). We consider the
and AHP, we have 322 pairs of vectors, and 322 matrices Euclidean distance between final scores found by an MCDM
respectively. As such, MV BWM =2n and MV AHP =n2 are calculated method, and the intuitive scores, as a conformity measure, which
for the two samples respectively. We now have two related is calculated as follows.
samples of 322 pairs. To see if there is a significant difference 2
between the two samples, we conducted a paired t-test, the results C km ¼ ∑ Final Scorem ; r Final Scoreintuitive; r ð13Þ
r
of which are shown in Table 8. The null hypothesis (H0), which
says that the mean of differences between MV BWM =2n and where C km is the Euclidean distance between the final scores
MV AHP =n2 is zero, is rejected. The negative sign of t ( 6.349) assigned by decision-maker k and the final scores found by
shows this rejection in favor of BWM, implying that BWM method m; Final Scorem; r and Final Scoreintuitive; r are the final score
(mean¼ 0.0096) has a significant better ordinal consistency com- respectively found for alternative r using method m, and intuitive
pared to AHP (mean ¼0.0294). It is also interesting to mention that evaluation.
from all the 322 pairs of vectors of BWM, there is no any pair of Considering the two methods BWM and AHP and four alter-
vectors with V ij ¼ 1, while for several matrices of AHP7 we have natives: Nokia Lumia 920, iPhone 5, Samsung Galaxy S III,
V ij ¼ 1, which means that if we only consider the major type of Motorola Milestone 3, we have two related samples of 46 pairs
rank preservation (first row of Eq. (11)), BWM shows full ordinal of C k; BWM and C k; AHP . To see if there is a significant difference
consistency. between the two samples, we conducted a paired t-test, the results
of which are shown in Table 8. The Null Hypothesis (H0), which
says that the mean of differences between C k; BWM and C k; AHP is
3.2.3. Total deviation (TD) zero, is rejected. Looking at the negative sign of t ( 2.297) shows
The TD measures the actual Euclidean distance between the this rejection in favor of BWM, implying that BWM
ratios of weights wi =wj and their corresponding pairwise compar- (mean¼0.0275) results in final scores that are closer to the
isons aij , for the weight vector of an MCDM method as follows. intuitive evaluation compared to AHP (mean¼0. 0437).
Finally it is also worth mentioning that the time spent on filling
w 2
TD ¼ ∑ ∑ aij i ð12Þ in the BWM questionnaire (mean¼16.8 m, s.d. ¼5.4) is signifi-
i j wj
cantly (p ¼0.019) less than the time spent for filling the AHP
questionnaire (mean: 18.8m, s.d. 6.8).8
It is clear that, the smaller the TD, the closer the weight ratios
(obtained by the applied method) are to the comparisons (pro- 8
It is wise to expect even more difference when the dimensions of the
vided by the decision-makers). problem increase. In this case, we have in total 39 pairwise comparisons for
BWM, and 51 pairwise comparisons for AHP, which are not so different from each
other. However if we would have, for instance, eight mobile phone alternatives for
7
Many researchers have criticized AHP for its rank reversal problem (see for this case, the number of total pairwise comparisons for BWM and AHP are 87 and
example [39–42]). 183 comparisons respectively, which are much more different.
56 J. Rezaei / Omega 53 (2015) 49–57
4. Conclusion and future research the level of reliability as the output of BWM is always
consistent.
In this paper, we proposed a new multi-criteria decision- (3) Not only can BWM be used to derive the weights indepen-
making (MCDM) method called best-worst method (BWM). It dently, it can also be combined with other MCDM methods.
derives the weights based on a pairwise comparison of the best (4) While using a comparison matrix, generally speaking we have
and the worst criteria/alternatives with the other criteria/alter- to deal with integers as well as fractional numbers (e.g. in AHP
natives. A five-step procedure was used to derive the weights. A we use fractional numbers 1/9, 1/8, …, 1/2, and integer
consistency ratio is also developed to check the reliability of the numbers 1, …, 9), in BWM, only integers are used, making it
final results. To show the applicability of this new method, we much easier to use.
posed a real-world decision-making problem, selecting a mobile
phone, using a sample of university students. We also compared
the results of BWM with AHP considering a number of evaluation We are developing some more (business, and psychological)
criteria and demonstrated that BWM performs better than AHP. experiments to study other features of BWM such as the
BWM has several salient features that make it a robust and behavioral aspects [44] of the BWM, and comparing its under-
interesting method as follows. lying behavioral principles to some other MCDM methods that
have similarities to BWM, such as swing weighting method [45],
(1) BWM is a vector-based method that requires fewer compar- SMART (simple multiattribute rating technique) [46], SMARTS
isons compared to matrix-based MCDM methods such as (SMART using Swings), and SMARTER (SMART Exploiting Ranks)
AHP. For BWM, we only need to have 2n 3 comparisons [47,48]. We also suggest applying the proposed method in some
while, for instance, for AHP n(n 1)/2 comparisons are other real-world applications and comparing the results to
needed. other MCDM methods, to improve the method's validation,
(2) The final weights derived from BWM are highly reliable and to test its applicability and usefulness. Integrating this
as it provides more consistent comparisons compared method with scenario planning [49] can also be considered as
to AHP. While in most MCDM methods (e.g. AHP), consis- an interesting future research. Finally, we suggest extending this
tency ratio is a measure to check if the comparisons method to include group decision-making that involves more
are reliable or not, in BWM consistency ratio is used to see than one decision-maker.
Appendix A
Considering the goal (selecting the best mobile phone), assign a number from 1/9 to 9 to show the preference of a criterion over the
others (fill in ONLY shaded cells).
Basic requirements
Physical
characteristics
Technical features
Functionality
Brand choice
Customer excitement
Considering the goal (selecting the best mobile phone), select the MOST IMPORTANT criterion from the six criteria (first line), and insert
it in the most left-hand side cell of the second row.
Now use a number between 1 and 9 to show the preference of your MOST IMPORTANT criterion over the other criteria.
Considering the goal (selecting the best mobile phone), select the LEAST IMPORTANT criterion from the six criteria (first column), and
insert it in the top cell of the second column.
Now use a number between 1 and 9 to show the preference of the criteria (first column) over the LEAST IMPORTANT criterion.
References [27] Wallenius J, Dyer JS, Fishburn PC, Steuer RE, Zionts S, Deb K. Multiple criteria
decision making, multiattribute utility theory: recent accomplishments and
what lies ahead. Management Science. 2008;54:1336–49.
[1] Keeney R, Raiffa H. Decisions with multiple objectives: preference and value [28] Thurstone LL. A law of comparative judgment. Psychological Review
trade offs. New York: Wiley; 1976. 1927;34:273.
[2] Saaty TL. A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. Journal of [29] Fechner GT. Elements of psychophysics. Volume 1 (Holt, Rinehart & Winston,
Mathematical Psychology. 1977;15:234–81. New York 1965); translation by H.E.Adler of Elemente der Psychophysik.
[3] Saaty TL. Axiomatic foundation of the analytic hierarchy process. Management (Breitkopf und Hârtel, Leipzig 1860); 1860.
Science 1986;32:841–55. [30] Stevens SS. On the theory of scales of measurement. Science 1946;103:677–80.
[4] Saaty TL. How to make a decision: the analytic hierarchy process. European [31] Stevens SS. Handbook of experimental pyschology. New York: Wiley; 1951.
Journal of Operational Research. 1990;48:9–26. [32] Herman MW, Koczkodaj WW. A Monte Carlo study of pairwise comparison.
[5] Saaty TL. Decision making with dependence and feedback: the analytic Information Processing Letters. 1996;57:25–9.
network process. Pittsburgh, PA: RWS Publications; 2001. [33] Forman EH, Selly MA. Decision by objectives: how to convince others that you
[6] Hwang CL, Yoon K. Multiple attribute decision making: methods and applica- are right. World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated; 2001.
tions: a state-of-the-art survey. New York: Springer-Verlag; 1981. [34] Karapetrovic S, Rosenbloom ES. A quality control approach to consistency
[7] Hwang C-L, Lai Y-J, Liu T-Y. A new approach for multiple objective decision paradoxes in AHP. European Journal of Operational Research.
making. Computers & Operations Research. 1993;20:889–99. 1999;119:704–18.
[8] Lai Y-J, Liu T-Y, Hwang C-L. TOPSIS for MODM. European Journal of Operational [35] Işıklar G, Büyüközkan G. Using a multi-criteria decision making approach to
Research. 1994;76:486–500. evaluate mobile phone alternatives. Computer Standards & Interfaces
[9] Olson D. Comparison of weights in TOPSIS models. Mathematical and 2007;29:265–74.
Computer Modelling. 2004;40:721–7. [36] Golany B, Kress M. A multicriteria evaluation of methods for obtaining weights
[10] Yoon K. A reconciliation among discrete compromise solutions. The Journal of from ratio-scale matrices. European Journal of Operational Research.
the Operational Research Society 1987;38:277–86. 1993;69:210–20.
[11] Roy B. Classement et choix en présence de points de vue multiples (la [37] Chu ATW, Kalaba RE, Spingarn K. A comparison of two methods for
méthode ELECTRE). Riro 1968;2:57–75. determining the weights of belonging to fuzzy sets. Journal of Optimization
[12] Roy B. ELECTRE III: Un algorithme de classement fondé sur une représentation Theory and Applications. 1979;27:531–8.
floue des préférences en présence de critères multiples. Cahiers du CERO [38] Saaty TL, Vargas LG. How to make a decision. Models, methods, concepts &
1978;20:3–24. applications of the analytic hierarchy process. Springer; 2012; 1–21.
[13] Roy B. The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTRE methods. [39] Pérez J. Some comments on Saaty’s AHP. Management Science.
Theory and Decision 1991;31:49–73. 1995;41:1091–5.
[14] Opricovic S, Tzeng G-H. Compromise solution by MCDM methods: a [40] Belton V, Gear T. On a short-coming of Saaty’s method of analytic hierarchies.
comparative analysis of VIKOR and TOPSIS. European Journal of Operational Omega 1983;11:228–30.
Research. 2004;156:445–55. [41] Holder RD. Some comments on the analytic hierarchy process. The Journal of
[15] Brans JP, Mareschal B, Vincke P. PROMETHEE: a new family of outranking the Operational Research Society 1990;41:1073–6.
methods in multicriteria analysis. In: Brans JP, editor. Operational research. [42] Johnson CR, Beine WB, Wang TJ. Right-left asymmetry in an eigenvector
North Holland, Amsterdam: IFORS 84; 1984. p. 477–90. ranking procedure. Journal of Mathematical Psychology. 1979;19:61–4.
[16] Brans JP. L’ingénièrie de la décision; Elaboration d’instruments d'aide à la [43] Bolloju N. Aggregation of analytic hierarchy process models based on
décision. La méthode PROMETHEE. In: Landry RNaM, editor. L’aide à la similarities in decision makers’ preferences. European Journal of Operational
décision: Nature, Instruments et Perspectives d’Avenir. Québec, Canada: Research. 2001;128:499–508.
Presses de l’Université Laval; 1982. p. 183–213. [44] Tversky A, Kahneman D. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases.
[17] Brans JP, Vincke P. Note—A preference ranking organisation method (The Science 1974;185:1124–31.
PROMETHEE method for multiple criteria decision-making). Management [45] Von Winterfeldt D, Edwards W. Decision analysis and behavioral research.
Science 1985;31:647–56. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 1986.
[18] Brans J-P, Vincke P, Mareschal B. How to select and how to rank projects: the [46] Edwards W. How to use multiattribute utility measurement for social
PROMETHEE method. European Journal of Operational Research 1986;24:228–38. decisionmaking. Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
[19] Xu X. The SIR method: a superiority and inferiority ranking method for 1977;7:326–40.
multiple criteria decision making. European Journal of Operational Research. [47] Edwards W, Barron FH. SMARTS and SMARTER: improved simple methods for
2001;131:587–602. multiattribute utility measurement. Organizational Behavior and Human
[20] Keršulienė V, Turskis Z. Integrated fuzzy multiple criteria decision making Decision Processes. 1994;60:306–25.
model for architect selection. Technological and Economic Development of [48] Mustajoki J, Hämäläinen RP, Salo A. Decision support by interval SMART/
Economy. 2011;17:645–66. SWING—incorporating imprecision in the SMART and SWING methods.
[21] Toloie-Eshlaghy A, Homayonfar M, Aghaziarati M, Arbabiun P. A subjective Decision Sciences. 2005;36:317–39.
weighting method based on group decision making for ranking and measur- [49] Stewart TJ, French S, Rios J. Integrating multicriteria decision analysis and
ing criteria values. Australian Journal of Basic & Applied Sciences 2011:5. scenario planning—review and extension. Omega 2013;41:679–88.
[22] Jessop A. IMP: a decision aid for multiattribute evaluation using imprecise
weight estimates. Omega 2014;49:18–29.
[23] Belton V. A comparison of the analytic hierarchy process and a simple multi-
attribute value function. European Journal of Operational Research. Jafar Rezaei is an assistant professor of operations and supply chain management
1986;26:7–21. at the Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands, where he also obtained his
[24] Opricovic S, Tzeng G-H. Extended VIKOR method in comparison with Ph.D. One of his main research interests is in the area of multi-criteria decision-
outranking methods. European Journal of Operational Research. making (MCDM) analysis. He has published in various academic journals, including
2007;178:514–29. the International Journal of Production Economics, the International Journal of
[25] Triantaphyllou E. Multi-criteria decision making methods: a comparative Production Research, the International Journal of Systems Science, Industrial
study. US: Springer; 2000. Marketing Management, Expert Systems with Applications, Applied Soft Comput-
[26] Zanakis SH, Solomon A, Wishart N, Dublish S. Multi-attribute decision ing, Applied Mathematical Modelling, and the European Journal of Operational
making: a simulation comparison of select methods. European Journal of Research.
Operational Research. 1998;107:507–29.