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Old
Cash Flow -12 1.85 3.33 3.86 3.81 3.77 3.08 3.07 3.05
Cumulative -12.92% 1.99% 3.59% 4.16% 4.10% 4.06% 3.31% 3.31% 3.28%
EPS 2.05%
New
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Cash Flow -12 2.02 3.36 4.09 3.79 4.19 3.68 3.83 3.94
Cumulative -12.92% 2.17% 3.62% 4.40% 4.08% 4.51% 3.96% 4.12% 4.24%
EPS 2.79%
PAYBACK PERIOD
Old
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Cash Flow -12 1.85 3.33 3.86 3.81 3.77 3.08 3.07 3.05
Cumulative -12 -10.15 -6.82 -2.95 0.86 4.63 7.71 10.78 13.82
Payback Pe3+(2.95/3.81)= 3.77 years
Year
Cash Flow -12.00 2.02 3.36 4.09 3.79 4.19 3.68 3.83 3.94
Cumulative -12 -9.98 -6.62 -2.53 1.26 5.45 9.13 12.96 16.90
Payback Pe3+(2.53/3.79)=3.66 years
(12,000,000)/92891240*100%
3.03 3.03 2.04 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.34
3.27% 3.26% 2.20% 2.24% 2.24% 2.24% 2.52%
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
4.06 4.19 2.95 3.09 3.19 3.28 3.79
4.37% 4.50% 3.18% 3.33% 3.43% 3.53% 4.08%
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
3.03 3.03 2.04 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.34
16.86 19.89 21.93 24.02 26.1 28.19 30.53
new assumption
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year Now 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit
New Output (tons) 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500
Lost Output--Construction/Cannibalization (46,813) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375) (13,375)
New Sales (Millions) 153.43 181.98 187.44 193.06 198.86 204.82 210.97 217.29 223.81 230.53 237.44 244.57 251.90 259.46 267.24
New Gross Margin 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
New Gross Profit 21.10 25.02 25.77 26.55 27.34 27.14 27.95 28.79 29.66 30.54 29.68 30.57 31.49 32.43 33.41
Old Output 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000
Old Sales 173.81 179.03 184.40 189.93 195.63 201.50 207.54 213.77 220.18 226.79 233.59 240.60 247.82 255.25 262.91
Old Gross Profit 19.99 20.59 21.21 21.84 22.50 23.17 23.87 24.58 25.32 26.08 26.86 27.67 28.50 29.35 30.23
Incremental Gross Profit 1.11 4.43 4.57 4.70 4.85 3.97 4.09 4.21 4.33 4.46 2.82 2.90 2.99 3.08 3.17
NPV = 11.47
IRR = 19.9%