MI const TAF x₂ PIBT x₁ 1

128 1 37 1,870 1
204 1 22 130 1
202 1 16 310 1
197 1 65 570 1
96 1 76 2,050 1
209 1 26 200 1
170 1 45 670 1
240 1 29 300 1
241 1 11 120 1
55 1 55 290 1
75 1 87 1,180 1
129 1 55 900 1
24 1 93 1,730 1
165 1 31 1,150 1
94 1 77 1,160 1
96 1 80 1,270 1
148 1 30 580 1
98 1 69 660 1
161 1 43 420 1
118 1 47 1,080 1
269 1 17 290 1
189 1 35 270 1
126 1 58 560 1
12 1 81 4,240 1
167 1 29 240 1
135 1 65 430 1
107 1 87 3,020 1
72 1 63 1,420 1

128 1 49 420 x 1
27 1 63 19,830 1
152 1 84 420 1
224 1 23 530 1
142 1 50 8,640 1
104 1 62 350 1
287 1 31 230 1
41 1 66 1,620 1
312 1 11 190 1
77 1 88 2,090 1
142 1 22 900 1
262 1 22 230 1
215 1 12 140 1
246 1 9 330 1
191 1 31 1,010 1
182 1 19 300 1
37 1 88 1,730 1
103 1 35 780 1
67 1 85 1,300 1
 143 1 78 930 1
83 1 85 690 1
223 1 33 200 1
240 1 19 450 1
312 1 21 280 1
12 1 79 4,430 1
52 1 83 270 1
79 1 43 1,340 1
61 1 88 670 1
168 1 28 410 1
28 1 95 4,370 1
121 1 41 1,310 1
115 1 62 1,470 1
186 1 45 300 1
47 1 85 3,630 1
178 1 45 220 1
142 1 67 560
1 1 1 1 1 1
x' 1870 130 310 570 2050 200
37 22 16 65 76 26

64 89680 3276 0.077114818 9.049741E-08

(X'X) 89680 593717400 5789760 (X'X)-1 9.049741E-08 2.302541E-09
3276 5789760 210304 -0.00120374 -6.47997E-08

9056 β₀ 263.641586

X'Y 7370550 β₁ -0.00564659 Ŷ=263,64-0,0056X₁-2,23

361686 β₂ -2.23158573

yi ŷi (yi-ŷi) ei²=(yi-ŷi)² σei² 1684.549634

128 170.513781 -43 1807.4215958 σei 41.04326539
204 213.812642 -10 96.287946942 σβ̂₁² 3.87874E-06
202 226.18577 -24 584.95144737 σβ̂₁ 0.001969453
197 115.369954 82 6663.464406 σβ̂₂² 0.042602665
96 82.4655506 14 183.18131924 σβ̂₂ 0.20640413
209 204.491038 5 20.330741595
170 159.437009 11 111.5767752 test de student pour β̂₁
240 197.231621 43 1829.1342457 tc 2.8670879814
241 238.416551 3 6.6742077286 t th 1.9996235665
55 139.266858 -84 7100.9033384 test de student pour β̂₂
75 62.8306451 12 148.09319886 tc 10.811730012
129 135.822435 -7 46.545620016 t th 1.9996235665
24 46.3355036 -22 498.87471902 test de fisher
165 187.968844 -23 527.56779024 Fc 73.832536225
94 85.2594343 9 76.397488682 f th 3.15
 96 77.9435517 18 326.03532594 IC pour β̂₁
148 193.418989 -45 2062.8845327 BI -0.009584759
98 105.935418 -8 62.970851928 BS -0.00170843
161 165.311829 -4 18.591872264 IC pour β̂₂
118 152.658734 -35 1201.2278311 BI -2.644316295
269 224.067116 45 2018.9640927 BS -1.818855168
189 184.011504 5 24.885088196 prevision pour pays 65
126 131.04752 -5 25.477459093 ŷ 68.766654324
12 58.9415793 -47 2203.5118712 prevision pour pays 66
167 197.570417 -31 934.55037411 ŷ -89.52392929
135 116.160477 19 354.92761561
107 52.4409106 55 2976.6942329
72 115.03352 -43 1851.8838344
128 151.922315 -24 572.27715264
27 11.0797093 16 253.45565534
152 73.8168143 78 6112.6105187
224 209.322419 15 215.43139747
142 103.27572 39 1499.5698749
104 123.306962 -19 372.75878471
287 193.163711 94 8805.2491081
41 107.209444 -66 4383.6904398
312 238.02129 74 5472.8495987
77 55.4606581 22 463.94325044
142 209.464764 -67 4551.4944074
262 213.247983 49 2376.759189
215 236.072034 -21 444.03059865
246 241.693938 4 18.542172131
191 188.759367 2 5.0204354457
182 219.547478 -38 1409.8131249
37 57.4934322 -20 419.98076382
103 181.131741 -78 6104.5689609
67 66.6162252 0 0.1472831143
143 84.3265654 59 3442.5719301
83 70.060648 13 167.42682977
223 188.869938 34 1164.8611652
240 218.700489 21 453.66916658
312 215.197239 97 9370.7745936
12 62.3318978 -50 2533.2999352
52 76.8953893 -25 619.78040849
79 160.116962 -81 6579.9615419
61 63.4788227 -2 6.1445620644
168 198.842081 -31 951.23397657
28 26.9653218 1 1.0705590287
121 164.749531 -44 1914.0214992
115 116.982776 -2 3.9314002066
186 161.526249 24 598.9644755
47 53.4596593 -6 41.72719769
178 161.977977 16 256.70522611
 142 110.963249 31 963.27994308
0 106,316

v(yi) 5682.46875
1,870 37
130 22
310 16
570 65
2,050 76
200 26
670 45
300 29
120 11
290 55
1,180 87
900 55
1,730 93
1,150 31
1,160 77
1,270 80
580 30
660 69
420 43
1,080 47
290 17
270 35
560 58
4,240 81
240 29
430 65
3,020 87
1,420 63
420 49

19,830 63
420 84
530 23
8,640 50
350 62
230 31
1,620 66
190 11
2,090 88
900 22
230 22
140 12
330 9
1,010 31
300 19
1,730 88
780 35
1,300 85
930 78
 690 85
200 33
450 19
280 21
4,430 79
270 83
1,340 43
670 88
410 28
4,370 95
1,310 41
1,470 62
300 45
3,630 85
220 45
560 67

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
670 300 120 290 1180 900 1730 1150
45 29 11 55 87 55 93 31

-0.0012037436
-6.479967E-08
2.529024E-05

=263,64-0,0056X₁-2,23X₂

S des carrés dll moy carrés F fisher

sc reg 257,362 2 128681.187
sc res 106,316 61 1742.87913 73.8325362
scT 363678 23

Degré de liberté
Somme des carrés
Moyenne des carrés F Valeur critique de F
Régression 1 60449.4605 60449.4605 12.359874 0.00082624
Résidus 62 303228.539 4890.78289
Total 63 363678

196,913
166,765
363678
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1160 1270 580 660 420 1080 290 270
77 80 30 69 43 47 17 35
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
560 4240 240 430 3020 1420 420 19830
58 81 29 65 87 63 49 63
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
420 530 8640 350 230 1620 190 2090
84 23 50 62 31 66 11 88
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
900 230 140 330 1010 300 1730 780
22 22 12 9 31 19 88 35
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1300 930 690 200 450 280 4430 270
85 78 85 33 19 21 79 83
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1340 670 410 4370 1310 1470 300 3630
43 88 28 95 41 62 45 85
 1 1
220 560
45 67
MI yi TAF xi yi ŷi (yi-ŷi) ei²=(yi-ŷi)²
128 37 128 175.415162 -47 2248.19762
204 22 204 211.272603 -7 52.8907506
202 16 202 225.615579 -24 557.695566
197 65 197 108.481274 89 7835.56491
96 76 96 82.1858174 14 190.831642
209 26 209 201.710619 7 53.1350806
170 45 170 156.291194 14 187.931358
240 29 240 194.539131 45 2066.69065
241 11 241 237.568059 3 11.7782189
55 55 55 132.386234 -77 5988.6292
75 87 75 55.8903611 19 365.178299
129 55 129 132.386234 -3 11.46658
24 93 24 41.5473849 -18 307.910718
165 31 165 189.758139 -25 612.965423
94 77 94 79.7953213 14 201.772896
96 80 96 72.6238333 23 546.445171
148 30 148 192.148635 -44 1949.10193
98 69 98 98.9192895 -1 0.84509327
161 43 161 161.072186 0 0.00521085
118 47 118 151.510202 -34 1122.93365
269 17 269 223.225083 46 2095.34304
189 35 189 180.196154 9 77.5076972
126 58 126 125.214746 1 0.61662412
12 81 12 70.2333372 -58 3391.12157
167 29 167 194.539131 -28 758.403712
135 65 135 108.481274 27 703.242847
107 87 107 55.8903611 51 2612.19519
72 63 72 113.262266 -41 1702.57457
128 49 128 146.72921 -19 350.783309
27 63 27 113.262266 -86 7441.17848
152 84 152 63.0618492 89 7909.99467
224 23 224 208.882107 15 228.550697
142 50 142 144.338714 -2 5.46958331
104 62 104 115.652762 -12 135.786856
287 31 287 189.758139 97 9455.97963
41 66 41 106.090778 -65 4236.80933
312 11 312 237.568059 74 5540.11384
77 88 77 53.4998651 24 552.256342
142 22 142 211.272603 -69 4798.69349
262 22 262 211.272603 51 2573.26883
215 12 215 235.177563 -20 407.134048
246 9 246 242.349051 4 13.3294281
191 31 191 189.758139 1 1.54221996
182 19 182 218.444091 -36 1328.17176
 37 88 37 53.4998651 -16 272.245547
103 35 103 180.196154 -77 5959.24626
67 85 67 60.6713531 6 40.051771
143 78 143 77.4048253 66 4302.72694
83 85 83 60.6713531 22 498.56847
223 33 223 184.977146 38 1445.73739
240 19 240 218.444091 22 464.657221
312 21 312 213.663099 98 9670.14614
12 79 12 75.0143293 -63 3970.8057
52 83 52 65.4523452 -13 180.965591
79 43 79 161.072186 -82 6735.84375
61 88 61 53.4998651 8 56.252024
168 28 168 196.929627 -29 836.923295
28 95 28 36.7663929 -9 76.8496443
121 41 121 165.853178 -45 2011.8076
115 62 115 115.652762 -1 0.42609787
186 45 186 156.291194 30 882.613145
47 85 47 60.6713531 -14 186.905897
178 45 178 156.291194 22 471.272251
142 67 142 103.700282 38 1466.86843
0 120,163
x̄ ȳ v(x) v(y) σx σy cov(x,y) ̂β̂₁
51 142 665.839844 5682.46875 25.8038727 75.3821514 -1591.6875 -2.39049603

ŷ=263,86-2,39Xi

PIBTyi TAF xi PIBTyi ŷ (yi-ŷi) ei²=(yi-ŷi)²

1,870 37 1,870 1001.97577 868 753466.063
130 22 130 579.835616 -450 202352.082
310 16 310 410.979555 -101 10196.8705
570 65 570 1789.97073 -1,220 1488328.57
2,050 76 2,050 2099.54017 -50 2454.22863
200 26 200 692.406324 -492 242463.988
670 45 670 1227.11719 -557 310379.559
300 29 300 776.834355 -477 227371.002
120 11 120 270.26617 -150 22579.9218
290 55 290 1508.54396 -1,219 1484849.37
1,180 87 1,180 2409.10962 -1,229 1510710.45
900 55 900 1508.54396 -609 370325.746
1,730 93 1,730 2577.96568 -848 719045.795
1,150 31 1,150 833.119709 317 100413.119
1,160 77 1,160 2127.68285 -968 936410.096
1,270 80 1,270 2212.11088 -942 887572.91
 580 30 580 804.977032 -225 50614.665
660 69 660 1902.54143 -1,243 1543909.21
420 43 420 1170.83183 -751 563748.441
1,080 47 1,080 1283.40254 -203 41372.5934
290 17 290 439.122232 -149 22237.44
270 35 270 945.690417 -676 456557.539
560 58 560 1592.97199 -1,033 1067031.13
4,240 81 4,240 2240.25356 2,000 3998985.84
240 29 240 776.834355 -537 288191.125
430 65 430 1789.97073 -1,360 1849520.37
3,020 87 3,020 2409.10962 611 373187.058
1,420 63 1,420 1733.68537 -314 98398.5123
420 49 420 1339.68789 -920 845825.823
19,830 63 19,830 1733.68537 18,096 327476603
420 84 420 2324.68159 -1,905 3627811.95
530 23 530 607.978293 -78 6080.61424
8,640 50 8,640 1367.83057 7,272 52884448.2
350 62 350 1705.54269 -1,356 1837496
230 31 230 833.119709 -603 363753.383
1,620 66 1,620 1818.1134 -198 39248.9202
190 11 190 270.26617 -80 6442.65804
2,090 88 2,090 2437.2523 -347 120584.157
900 22 900 579.835616 320 102505.233
230 22 230 579.835616 -350 122384.959
140 12 140 298.408847 -158 25093.3628
330 9 330 213.980816 116 13460.451
1,010 31 1,010 833.119709 177 31286.6373
300 19 300 495.407586 -195 38184.1245
1,730 88 1,730 2437.2523 -707 500205.809
780 35 780 945.690417 -166 27453.3142
1,300 85 1,300 2352.82426 -1,053 1108438.93
930 78 930 2155.82553 -1,226 1502648.22
690 85 690 2352.82426 -1,663 2764984.53
200 33 200 889.405063 -689 475279.341
450 19 450 495.407586 -45 2061.84883
280 21 280 551.692939 -272 73817.0534
4,430 79 4,430 2183.9682 2,246 5044658.83
270 83 270 2296.53891 -2,027 4106859.96
1,340 43 1,340 1170.83183 169 28617.8689
670 88 670 2437.2523 -1,767 3123180.68
410 28 410 748.691678 -339 114712.053
4,370 95 4,370 2634.25103 1,736 3012824.47
1,310 41 1,310 1114.54648 195 38202.0791
1,470 62 1,470 1705.54269 -236 55480.361
300 45 300 1227.11719 -927 859546.277
 3,630 85 3,630 2352.82426 1,277 1631177.86
220 45 220 1227.11719 -1,007 1014285.03
560 67 560 1846.25608 -1,286 1654454.7
0 434,302,773
x̄ ȳ v(xi) v(yi) σx σy cov(x,y) ̂β̂₁
51 1,401 665.839844 7313332.81 25.8038727 2704.31744 18738.5156 28.142677

ŷ=-39,30+28,14
ei mi yi ei pib xi
-47 868
-7 -450
-24 -101
89 -1,220
14 -50
7 -492
14 -557
45 -477
3 -150
-77 -1,219
19 -1,229
-3 -609
-18 -848
-25 317
14 -968
23 -942
-44 -225
-1 -1,243
0 -751
-34 -203
46 -149
9 -676
1 -1,033
-58 2,000
-28 -537
27 -1,360
51 611
-41 -314
-19 -920
-86 18,096
89 -1,905
15 -78
-2 7,272
-12 -1,356
97 -603
 -65 -198
74 -80
24 -347
-69 320
51 -350
-20 -158
4 116
1 177
-36 -195
-16 -707
-77 -166
6 -1,053
66 -1,226
22 -1,663
38 -689
22 -45
98 -272
-63 2,246
-13 -2,027
-82 169
8 -1,767
-29 -339
-9 1,736
-45 195
-1 -236
30 -927
-14 1,277
22 -1,007
38 -1,286

x̄ ȳ v(xi) v(yi) σx σy cov (x,y) ̂β̂₁

0 0 6785980.82 1877.54611 2604.99152 43.3306601 -38317.6841 -0.00564659

Degré de liberté
Somme des carrés
Moyenne des carrés F Valeur critique de F
Régression 1 60449.4605 60449.4605 12.359874 0.00082624
Résidus 62 303228.539 4890.78289
Total 63 363678

Degré de liberté
Somme des carrés
Moyenne des carrés F Valeur critique de F
Régression 2 257362.373 128681.187 73.8325362 5.12085E-17
Résidus 61 106315.627 1742.87913
Total 63 363678
 β̂₀
263.8635153
β̂₀
-39.3032765
 ̂β̂₀
-2.23449E-14