MES

Modelo
E F M A M
A 33 28 30 26 15
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 9 8.5 7.5 7.5 5.5
A 30 28 21 23 18
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 8.7 8 6.5 7 6

0.11913722 0.10636715 0.0952926 0.09254543 0.06320647

0.11846148 0.10551823 0.09408139 0.08660879 0.06520188
0.10873759 0.10128419 0.08572548 0.08898493 0.07090534
0.11913722 0.10636715 0.0952926 0.09254543 0.06320647

E 33 0.11913722 276.991533
F 28 0.10636715 263.239171
M 30 0.0952926 314.81982
A 26 0.09254543 280.943105
M 15 0.06320647 237.317487
J 13 0.04523537 287.385735
J 20 0.06145371 325.448196
A 23 0.06455144 356.304998
S 21 0.06940192 302.5853
O 23 0.08114895 283.429428
N 28 0.0959937 291.685795
D 30 0.10566605 283.913338
E 30 0.11913722 251.810485
F 28 0.10636715 263.239171
M 21 0.0952926 220.373874
A 23 0.09254543 248.526592
M 18 0.06320647 284.780985
J 11 0.04523537 243.172545
J 13 0.06145371 211.541327
A 12 0.06455144 185.89826
S 16 0.06940192 230.541181
O 20 0.08114895 246.460372
N 23 0.0959937 239.599046
D 26 0.10566605 246.058226
 MES
J J A S O N D
13 20 23 21 23 28 30 290
11 18 19 17 20 29 26 251
5 6.5 7 6.5 7 8 8.5 86.5
11 13 12 16 20 23 26 241
9 10 11 14 17 19 21 201
4.5 5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5 76.7

0.04523537 0.06145371 0.06455144 0.06940192 0.08114895 0.0959937 0.10566605

0.04430041 0.0607322 0.06521179 0.06869041 0.08212919 0.10503261 0.10403163
0.05823681 0.07016678 0.0697975 0.07342623 0.08283531 0.09187511 0.09802473
0.04523537 0.06145371 0.06455144 0.06940192 0.08114895 0.0959937 0.10566605

400

350

300
f(x) = - 3.252485362x + 306.3254824552
250 R² = 0.3587550883 Column D
Linear (Column D)
200 Linear (Column D)
knm
150 Linear (knm)
Linear (knm)
100
Linear (knm)
50

0 f(x) = - 0.3526086957x + 26.5326086957

R² = 0.1504092845
 MES
E F M A M
A 33 28 30 26 15
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 9 8.5 7.5 7.5 5.5
SUMA 69 59.5 63.5 54.5 34.5
A 30 28 21 23 18
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 8.7 8 6.5 7 6
SUMA 64.7 60 44.5 48 39

A% PROM 0.4710 0.4686 0.4722 0.4781 0.4482

B% PROM 0.3966 0.3933 0.3957 0.3802 0.3952
C% PROM 0.1325 0.1381 0.1321 0.1417 0.1566

FORMA DE CALCULO(EJEMPLO):
(33/69+30/64.7)/2= 0.4710

MES A B C TOTALES
E 33 27 9 69
F 28 23 8.5 59.5 DEM
M 30 26 7.5 63.5
80
A 26 21 7.5 54.5
M 15 14 5.5 34.5 70
J 13 11 5 29 60
J 20 18 6.5 44.5 f(x) = - 0.7403478261x + 57
50
A 23 19 7 49 R² = 0.1538619477
S 21 17 6.5 40
44.5
O 23 20 7 50 30
N 28 29 8 65 20
D 30 26 8.5 64.5
10
E 30 26 8.7 64.7
F 28 24 8 60 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
M 21 17 6.5 44.5
A 23 18 7 48
M 18 15 6 39 Colum
J 11 9 4.5 24.5
J 13 10 5 28
A 12 11 4.5 27.5
S 16 14 5.5 35.5
O 20 17 6.5 43.5
N 23 19 7 49
D 26 21 7.5 54.5

X Y A B
25 38.506 18.135 15.270
26 37.765 17.698 14.852
27 37.025 17.482 14.652
28 36.285 17.348 13.794
29 35.544 15.930 14.047
30 34.804 15.614 12.993

X Y A B
25 39.271 18.135 15.270
26 38.547 17.698 14.852
27 37.758 17.482 14.652
28 37.056 17.348 13.794
29 36.379 15.930 14.047
30 35.733 15.614 12.993

Disminucion
5% 10%
Y Y*95% Y*90%
25 39.271 37.307 35.343
26 38.547 36.620 34.693
27 37.758 35.871 33.983
28 37.056 35.203 33.350
29 36.379 34.560 32.741
30 35.733 33.947 32.160

X Y A+5 B
25 41.325 21.775 14.125
26 40.656 21.370 13.738
27 39.927 21.171 13.553
28 39.277 21.047 12.759
29 38.651 19.735 12.994
30 38.053 19.443 12.019
 MES
J J A S O N D
13 20 23 21 23 28 30
11 18 19 17 20 29 26
5 6.5 7 6.5 7 8 8.5
29 44.5 49 44.5 50 65 64.5
11 13 12 16 20 23 26
9 10 11 14 17 19 21
4.5 5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5
24.5 28 27.5 35.5 43.5 49 54.5

0.4486 0.4569 0.4529 0.4613 0.4599 0.4501 0.4711

0.3733 0.3808 0.3939 0.3882 0.3954 0.4170 0.3942
0.1780 0.1623 0.1532 0.1505 0.1447 0.1330 0.1347

DEMANDA TOTAL
80
70
60
50 f(x) = - 0.7403478261x + 57.0126811594
R² = 0.1538619477
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MES
Column F Linear (Column F)
 C A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM
5.100 0.4710 0.3966 0.1325
5.215 0.4686 0.3933 0.1381
4.891 0.4722 0.3957 0.1321
5.142 0.4781 0.3802 0.1417
5.567 0.4482 0.3952 0.1566
6.197 0.4486 0.3733 0.1780

C*1.15 A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM

5.865 0.4710 0.3966 0.1325
5.997 0.4686 0.3933 0.1381
5.624 0.4722 0.3957 0.1321
5.914 0.4781 0.3802 0.1417
6.403 0.4482 0.3952 0.1566
7.126 0.4486 0.3733 0.1780

sminucion
7.50% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50%
Y*92.5% A*92.5% B*92.5% C*92.5%
36.325 16.775 14.125 5.425
35.656 16.370 13.738 5.548
34.927 16.171 13.553 5.202
34.277 16.047 12.759 5.470
33.651 14.735 12.994 5.922
33.053 14.443 12.019 6.592

C
5.425
5.548
5.202
5.470
5.922
6.592
 MES
Modelo
E F M A M
A 33 28 30 26 15
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 9 8.5 7.5 7.5 5.5
A 30 28 21 23 18
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 8.7 8 6.5 7 6
A 32 29 19 25 23
3° Año B 24 21 17 19 13
C 6.5 8 4.5 6 7

0.4846 0.4791 0.4712 0.4854 0.4771

0.3924 0.3829 0.4037 0.3801 0.3642
0.1230 0.1380 0.1251 0.1345 0.1587
A B C
33 27 9 69
28 23 8.5 59.5
30 26 7.5 63.5
26 21 7.5 54.5
15 14 5.5 34.5
13 11 5 29
20 18 6.5 44.5
23 19 7 49
21 17 6.5 44.5
23 20 7 50
28 29 8 65
30 26 8.5 64.5
30 26 8.7 64.7
28 24 8 60
21 17 6.5 44.5
23 18 7 48
18 15 6 39
11 9 4.5 24.5
13 10 5 28
12 11 4.5 27.5
16 14 5.5 35.5
20 17 6.5 43.5
23 19 7 49
 26 21 7.5 54.5
32 24 6.5 62.5
29 21 8 58
19 17 4.5 40.5
25 19 6 50
23 13 7 43
10 8 4.5 22.5
13 9 4 26
10 9 3.5 22.5
17 11 2.6 30.6
17 18 4.5 39.5
21 19 7 47
27 17 5.4 49.4

X Y A B C
37 35.8109 17.355626 14.0517085 4.40356553
38 35.2876 16.9057587 13.5107232 4.87111807
39 34.7643 16.3796271 14.0357892 4.34888372
40 34.241 16.6209339 13.0152449 4.60482113
41 33.7177 16.0856446 12.2815381 5.35051729
42 33.1944 14.845641 12.1957646 6.15299434
 MES
J J A S O N D
13 20 23 21 23 28 30
11 18 19 17 20 29 26
5 6.5 7 6.5 7 8 8.5
11 13 12 16 20 23 26
9 10 11 14 17 19 21
4.5 5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5
10 13 10 17 17 21 27
8 9 9 11 18 19 17
4.5 4 3.5 2.6 4.5 7 5.4

0.4472 0.4712 0.4501 0.4927 0.4500 0.4490 0.4962

0.3674 0.3693 0.3959 0.3786 0.4155 0.4127 0.3775
0.1854 0.1595 0.1540 0.1287 0.1344 0.1383 0.1262

80

70

60

50 f(x) = - 0.5233333333x + 55.1733333333

R² = 0.1654867994
40
Column G
30 Linear (Column G)

20

10

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
 0.48464646 0.47908497 0.47116229 0.4854103 0.47706826 0.4472333
0.39238635 0.38287453 0.40374146 0.38010703 0.36424602 0.36740428
0.12296718 0.1380405 0.12509625 0.13448267 0.15868571 0.18536242
A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM
0.48464646 0.39238635 0.12296718
0.47908497 0.38287453 0.1380405
0.47116229 0.40374146 0.12509625
0.4854103 0.38010703 0.13448267
0.47706826 0.36424602 0.15868571
0.4472333 0.36740428 0.18536242
 MES
Modelo
E F M A M
A 33 28 30 26 15
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 10.35 9.775 8.625 8.625 6.325
A 30 28 21 23 18
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 10.005 9.2 7.475 8.05 6.9
A 32 29 19 25 23
3° Año B 24 21 17 19 13
C 7.475 9.2 5.175 6.9 8.05

0.4759 0.4694 0.4625 0.4758 0.4660

0.3853 0.3751 0.3963 0.3726 0.3558
0.1388 0.1555 0.1412 0.1516 0.1782
A B C
33 27 10.35 70.35
28 23 9.775 60.775
30 26 8.625 64.625
26 21 8.625 55.625
15 14 6.325 35.325
13 11 5.75 29.75
20 18 7.475 45.475
23 19 8.05 50.05
21 17 7.475 45.475
23 20 8.05 51.05
28 29 9.2 66.2
30 26 9.775 65.775
30 26 10.005 66.005
28 24 9.2 61.2
21 17 7.475 45.475
23 18 8.05 49.05
18 15 6.9 39.9
11 9 5.175 25.175
13 10 5.75 28.75
12 11 5.175 28.175
16 14 6.325 36.325
20 17 7.475 44.475
23 19 8.05 50.05
 26 21 8.625 55.625
32 24 7.475 63.475
29 21 9.2 59.2
19 17 5.175 41.175
25 19 6.9 50.9
23 13 8.05 44.05
10 8 5.175 23.175
13 9 4.6 26.6
10 9 4.025 23.025
17 11 2.99 30.99
17 18 5.175 40.175
21 19 8.05 48.05
27 17 6.21 50.21

X Y A B C
37 36.524 17.382 14.072 5.831
38 35.989 16.892 13.500 6.437
39 35.453 16.396 14.051 5.756
40 34.917 16.614 13.010 6.087
41 34.381 16.020 12.233 7.047
42 33.845 14.727 12.099 8.072
 MES
J J A S O N D
13 20 23 21 23 28 30
11 18 19 17 20 29 26
5.75 7.475 8.05 7.475 8.05 9.2 9.775
11 13 12 16 20 23 26
9 10 11 14 17 19 21
5.175 5.75 5.175 6.325 7.475 8.05 8.625
10 13 10 17 17 21 27
8 9 9 11 18 19 17
5.175 4.6 4.025 2.99 5.175 8.05 6.21

0.4351 0.4602 0.4399 0.4836 0.4411 0.4398 0.4871

0.3575 0.3607 0.3870 0.3714 0.4073 0.4044 0.3705
0.2074 0.1791 0.1731 0.1450 0.1515 0.1558 0.1424

80

70

60

50 f(x) = - 0.5358294723x + 56.3490952381

R² = 0.1681770965
40
Column G
30 Linear (Column G)

20

10

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
 0.48464646 0.47908497 0.47116229 0.4854103 0.47706826 0.4472333
0.39238635 0.38287453 0.40374146 0.38010703 0.36424602 0.36740428
0.12296718 0.1380405 0.12509625 0.13448267 0.15868571 0.18536242
A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM
0.476 0.385 0.139
0.469 0.375 0.156
0.462 0.396 0.141
0.476 0.373 0.152
0.466 0.356 0.178
0.435 0.357 0.207
 MES
Modelo
E F M A M
A 38 33 35 31 20
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 9 8.5 7.5 7.5 5.5
A 35 33 26 28 23
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 8.7 8 6.5 7 6
A 37 34 24 30 28
3° Año B 24 21 17 19 13
C 6.5 8 4.5 6 7

0.5213 0.5197 0.5212 0.5316 0.5375

0.3645 0.3531 0.3655 0.3460 0.3221
0.1142 0.1273 0.1132 0.1224 0.1405
A B C
38 27 9 74
33 23 8.5 64.5
35 26 7.5 68.5
31 21 7.5 59.5
20 14 5.5 39.5
18 11 5 34
25 18 6.5 49.5
28 19 7 54
26 17 6.5 49.5
28 20 7 55
33 29 8 70
35 26 8.5 69.5
35 26 8.7 69.7
33 24 8 65
26 17 6.5 49.5
28 18 7 53
23 15 6 44
16 9 4.5 29.5
18 10 5 33
17 11 4.5 32.5
21 14 5.5 40.5
25 17 6.5 48.5
28 19 7 54
 31 21 7.5 59.5
37 24 6.5 67.5
34 21 8 63
24 17 4.5 45.5
30 19 6 55
28 13 7 48
15 8 4.5 27.5
18 9 4 31
15 9 3.5 27.5
22 11 2.6 35.6
22 18 4.5 44.5
26 19 7 52
32 17 5.4 54.4

X Y A B C
37 40.811 21.274 14.875 4.662
38 40.288 20.936 14.224 5.128
39 39.764 20.726 14.535 4.503
40 39.241 20.860 13.578 4.803
41 38.718 20.809 12.469 5.439
42 38.194 20.590 11.707 5.898
 MES
J J A S O N D
18 25 28 26 28 33 35
11 18 19 17 20 29 26
5 6.5 7 6.5 7 8 8.5
16 18 17 21 25 28 31
9 10 11 14 17 19 21
4.5 5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5
15 18 15 22 22 26 32
8 9 9 11 18 19 17
4.5 4 3.5 2.6 4.5 7 5.4

0.5391 0.5437 0.5290 0.5539 0.5063 0.4966 0.5376

0.3065 0.3190 0.3392 0.3327 0.3729 0.3772 0.3465
0.1544 0.1373 0.1318 0.1134 0.1208 0.1262 0.1159

80

70

60
f(x) = - 0.5233333333x + 60.1733333333
50 R² = 0.1654867994

40
Column G
30 Linear (Column G)

20

10

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
 0.48464646 0.47908497 0.47116229 0.4854103 0.47706826 0.4472333
0.39238635 0.38287453 0.40374146 0.38010703 0.36424602 0.36740428
0.12296718 0.1380405 0.12509625 0.13448267 0.15868571 0.18536242
A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM
0.521 0.364 0.114
0.520 0.353 0.127
0.521 0.366 0.113
0.532 0.346 0.122
0.537 0.322 0.140
0.539 0.307 0.154
 MES
Modelo
E F M A M
A 33 28 30 26 15
1° Año B 27 23 26 21 14
C 9 8.5 7.5 7.5 5.5
A 30 28 21 23 18
2° Año B 26 24 17 18 15
C 8.7 8 6.5 7 6
A 32 29 19 25 23
3° Año B 24 21 17 19 13
C 6.5 8 4.5 6 7

0.4846 0.4791 0.4712 0.4854 0.4771

0.3924 0.3829 0.4037 0.3801 0.3642
0.1230 0.1380 0.1251 0.1345 0.1587
A B C
33 27 9 69
28 23 8.5 59.5
30 26 7.5 63.5
26 21 7.5 54.5
15 14 5.5 34.5
13 11 5 29
20 18 6.5 44.5
23 19 7 49
21 17 6.5 44.5
23 20 7 50
28 29 8 65
30 26 8.5 64.5
30 26 8.7 64.7
28 24 8 60
21 17 6.5 44.5
23 18 7 48
18 15 6 39
11 9 4.5 24.5
13 10 5 28
12 11 4.5 27.5
16 14 5.5 35.5
20 17 6.5 43.5
23 19 7 49
 26 21 7.5 54.5
32 24 6.5 62.5
29 21 8 58
19 17 4.5 40.5
25 19 6 50
23 13 7 43
10 8 4.5 22.5
13 9 4 26
10 9 3.5 22.5
17 11 2.6 30.6
17 18 4.5 39.5
21 19 7 47
27 17 5.4 49.4

X Y A B C
37 35.8109 17.355626 14.0517085 4.40356553
38 35.2876 16.9057587 13.5107232 4.87111807
39 34.7643 16.3796271 14.0357892 4.34888372
40 34.241 16.6209339 13.0152449 4.60482113
41 33.7177 16.0856446 12.2815381 5.35051729
42 33.1944 14.845641 12.1957646 6.15299434

X Y A B C
37 36.471 17.356 14.052 5.064
38 36.018 16.906 13.511 5.602
39 35.417 16.380 14.036 5.001
40 34.932 16.621 13.015 5.296
41 34.520 16.086 12.282 6.153
42 34.117 14.846 12.196 7.076

X Y 7.50%
37 35.8109 34.020355 32.22981 33.1250825
38 35.2876 33.52322 31.75884 32.64103
39 34.7643 33.026085 31.28787 32.1569775
40 34.241 32.52895 30.8169 31.672925
41 33.7177 32.031815 30.34593 31.1888725
42 33.1944 31.53468 29.87496 30.70482

X Y A B C
37 40.811 22.356 14.052 4.404
38 40.288 21.906 13.511 4.871
39 39.764 21.380 14.036 4.349
40 39.241 21.621 13.015 4.605
41 38.718 21.086 12.282 5.351
42 38.194 19.846 12.196 6.153
 MES
J J A S O N D
13 20 23 21 23 28 30
11 18 19 17 20 29 26
5 6.5 7 6.5 7 8 8.5
11 13 12 16 20 23 26
9 10 11 14 17 19 21
4.5 5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5
10 13 10 17 17 21 27
8 9 9 11 18 19 17
4.5 4 3.5 2.6 4.5 7 5.4

0.4472 0.4712 0.4501 0.4927 0.4500 0.4490 0.4962

0.3674 0.3693 0.3959 0.3786 0.4155 0.4127 0.3775
0.1854 0.1595 0.1540 0.1287 0.1344 0.1383 0.1262

80

70

60

50 f(x) = - 0.5233333333x + 55.1733333333

R² = 0.1654867994
40
Column G
30 Linear (Column G)

20

10

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34
 0.48464646 0.47908497 0.47116229 0.4854103 0.47706826 0.4472333
0.39238635 0.38287453 0.40374146 0.38010703 0.36424602 0.36740428
0.12296718 0.1380405 0.12509625 0.13448267 0.15868571 0.18536242
A% PROM B% PROM C% PROM
0.48464646 0.39238635 0.12296718
0.47908497 0.38287453 0.1380405
0.47116229 0.40374146 0.12509625
0.4854103 0.38010703 0.13448267
0.47706826 0.36424602 0.15868571
0.4472333 0.36740428 0.18536242

34.648

16.053954 12.9978303 4.07329812

15.6378268 12.497419 4.50578422
15.151155 12.983105 4.02271744
15.3743639 12.0391016 4.25945954
14.8792213 11.3604228 4.9492285
13.732218 11.2810823 5.69151977