Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Review of 1Q FY2019
Version 1.2
This Investor Presentation should be read in conjunction with the JKH Annual Report 2017/18 to obtain a more
comprehensive understanding of the drivers and strategies of our businesses
About JKH
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Contribution to net profits; a gradual rebalancing
of portfolio profitability
PAT attributable to equity holders
Note: The above excludes the contribution from Other including Information Technology and Plantations services
▪ The Group has consciously driven the shift in the composition of its earnings with a greater contribution
from higher ROCE earning industry groups such as Consumer Foods, Retail and Financial Services
▪ 2017/18 excludes the one-off surplus transfer of Rs.3.38 billion at Union Assurance PLC
▪ The decline in contribution from the Property industry group is due to revenue of residential apartments
at Cinnamon Life not being recognised
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Cumulative profitability update : for the year
ended 31 March 2018
PAT to equity holders of JKH
Refer page 62 of the JKH Annual Report 2017/18 for commentary on recurring adjustments
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Profitability update : Q1 FY2019
PAT to equity holders of JKH
Q1 FY2019 Q1 FY2018
Industry Group YoY Growth (%)
(Rs. Million) (Rs. Million)
Transportation 827 770 7
Leisure* (224) 100 (324)
Property (3) 42 (107)
Consumer Foods 194 366 (47)
Retail 144 283 (49)
Financial Services 527 235 124
*Note profitability was impacted by the closure of “Cinnamon Hakura Huraa Maldives” for reconstruction, partial closure of
“Ellaidhoo Maldives by Cinnamon”. “Bentota Beach by Cinnamon” was closed for the construction of a new hotel in May 2017
and is scheduled to open by end 2019.
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Portfolio evaluation 2017/18; returns vs. effective
capital deployed
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Financial Services - 54% Industry group % of effective capital employed
Financial Services 5
50
Retail 2
Consumer Foods 3
40 Information Technology 1
Retail - 36%
Transportation 9
Consumer Foods - 34%
Leisure 20
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Property (Excl. Cinnamon Life) 10
Cinnamon Life 20
IT - 21%
20 Transportation - 18% ▪ In addition, the Holding Company accounts for 28 per cent of effective
capital employed (Rs.45 bn), which consists primarily of cash
Hurdle Rate - 15%
10 Leisure - 8%
Property (Excl. Cinnamon Life) - 6%
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Leisure - overview
▪ Chain of Resort hotels in Sri Lanka
▪ Tour operator partners include global players such as Thomas Cook, Kuoni, Hotel
Plan and Virgin Holidays
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Round trip offering in key tourist destinations; further
potential to expand the ‘Cinnamon’ footprint
▪ City Hotels occupancies and ARRs were impacted by the increase in room inventory
▪ The decrease in EBITDA margins of the Sri Lankan Resorts segment is on account of the closure of
“Bentota Beach by Cinnamon”
▪ Maldivian Resorts affected by the partial closure of “Cinnamon Dhonveli” and “Ellaidhoo by
Cinnamon” for refurbishment
Q1 FY2019 Q1 FY2018
Sector
Occupancy (%) ARR (US $) Occupancy (%) ARR (US $)
City Hotels* 43 128 58 125
Resorts in Sri Lanka 74 69 73 74
Resorts in Maldives 73 298 76 266
*Note City Hotels occupancy and ARR excludes Cinnamon red
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Encouraging growth momentum of tourist
arrivals to Sri Lanka
Tourist arrivals
Annual tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka (‘000) Year Growth (%)
(In 000’s)
2,500 2010 654 46
2011 856 31
2,000
2012 1,006 18
1,500 2013 1,275 27
2014 1,527 20
1,000
2015 1,798 18
▪ Tourist arrivals from January- July 2018 was 1,382,476 a Year China India
growth of 13.7% as compared to the 1,215,926 recorded in 2014 128,166 242,734
the comparative period of the previous year 2015 214,783 316,247
▪ Arrivals for the quarter (April- June 2018) increased by 2016 271,577 356,729
12.6% 2017 268,952 384,628
Jan-Jul ‘18 163,754 237,369
Source: Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority
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Significant growth in Asian arrivals to Sri Lanka
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
Tourist Arrivals
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Calendar Year
35
30
25
Arrivals (Mns)
20
15
10
0
Malaysia Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Cambodia Sri Lanka
1990 2017 Actual/Target
60,000
31,790
30,114
26,113
9,100 7,600
5,019
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Pipeline of room inventory to support arrivals
trajectory
▪ Colombo is increasingly becoming an attractive location for City Hotel
developments
▪ Expected 5-star room supply:
Year of
Development No. of rooms
completion
Cinnamon Life 800 2020
ITC 400 2021
Ritz Carlton 450 2022
Total rooms 1,650
▪ “Cinnamon Life” is slated for completion in the calendar year 2020 with the
residential apartments and office complex ready for hand over and
occupation by early 2020
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Property - overview
▪ “John Keells Properties”; explore property development
opportunities by leveraging on brand equity
50,000
40,000 38,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
2,187
-
KL Ho Chi Minh City Colombo
Source: KL: CBRE property market outlook 1Q 2018 (forecast for 2018)
HCMC: CBRE Vietnam property overview Q1 2017 (forecast for 2018)
CMB: Internal Estimates (forecast for 2018)
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One of the largest privately held land banks in
prime city locations
▪ Key real-estate sites in Colombo;
City Centre
▪ Cinnamon Grand premises : 8.03 acres (freehold land)
▪ Cinnamon Lakeside premises : 7.65 acres (leasehold land till 2081)
▪ Cinnamon Life : 10.13 acres (under development)
Developable freehold land within the city limits
▪ Vauxhall Street, Colombo 2 : 9.38 acres
▪ Union place, Colombo2 : 0.58 acres
▪ Mackinnons Keells, Colombo 1 : 0.45 acres
▪ Keells Realtors, Colombo 15 : 1.22 acres
▪ Two neighbourhood malls, one with freehold land of approximately 6.6 acres, in
addition to a 17.7 acre land extent located in an emerging township, identified under the
Government led urban development strategy (Megapolis)
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Developable land bank of over 36 acres in central
Colombo
Cinnamon Lakeside
7.40 acres leasehold land ▪ Prime developable land bank of over 36
Cinnamon Life
acres held in central Colombo
7.1 acres freehold
3.03 acres leasehold ▪ Opportunities for development at land
Vauxhall Street
banks held in Crescat City and Cinnamon
9.3 acres freehold land Lakeside
Vauxhall street land bank:
▪ Prime freehold land extent of 9.38 acres,
to be developed with Finlays Colombo
Crescat City
8.03 acres freehold land Union Place
Limited
1.5 acres
▪ Located in close proximity to the Beira
lake water front which is earmarked for
development of recreational and
residential projects by the UDA
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Developable freehold land of approximately 25
acres in close proximity to Colombo city
Bandaranaike International
Airport
▪ Greater connectivity and reduction in travel
time to Colombo city post construction of the
outer circular expressway
Thudella 18 Acres
freehold ▪ Direct connectivity to the Port City Colombo
and a multi modal transportation hub to be
Kapuwatta 6.6 developed
Acres freehold
▪ Opportunity to expand into residential
apartment projects in proximity to the
Colombo city
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Cinnamon Life Integrated
Resort
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Integrated development in Colombo
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Integrated development in Colombo
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Cinnamon Life – construction progress
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Development programme
▪ Joint Ventures with Deutsche Post for DHL air express and A P
Moller for Maersk Lanka
▪ GSA for Jet Airways, KLM Royal Dutch airlines and Gulf Air. Other
operations include warehousing and supply chain management
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The strategic location of the Port of Colombo
linking key shipping routes
GWADAR
BAHL
KARACHI
KOLKATA
MUMBAI VISHAKHAPATNAM
CHITTAGONG
CHENNAI YANGON
ADEN
KOCHI
LAMU
MOMBASA
DAR-ES-SALAM
PORT LOUIS
CAPE TOWN
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Capacity enhancements in the Port of Colombo
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Sustained volume growth in the Port of Colombo
6.21
5.74
5.19
Million TEUs
4.91
4.31
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Rapid absorption of capacity in the Port of
Colombo
▪ Container handling capacity in the region
Port Container handling capacity (TEUs)
Colombo 8 million*
Hong Kong 21 million
Singapore 40 million
Shanghai 36 million
Port of Hambantota
▪ Strong opportunities for private bunkering service providers with infrastructure in
place for inland storage of petrochemicals and a pipeline to the Port
▪ The Port will occupy an area of 1,815 hectares and have a capacity to accommodate 33
vessels at a time
▪ Positioned within 10 nautical miles of the world’s busiest shipping lanes in which 200
to 300 ships sail through on a daily basis
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Consumer Foods - overview
▪ Market leader in soft drinks, ice creams and processed meats
▪ Custodians of the consumer brands “Elephant House”, “Keells” and “Krest”: high brand equity
Key performance indicators (%) FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Growth of ice cream volumes 15 11 (4)
Growth of beverage volumes 22 10 (16)
Growth of convenience food volumes 11 (4) 3
PBT growth- Consumer Foods 65 19 (31)
EBIT margin - Consumer Foods 22 24 17
52.0 8% 44%
39.0 30% 70% 92%
31.4 56%
19.0
10.0
Philippines Thailand Singapore Malaysia Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Thailand Malaysia
▪ The bulk-impulse mix of regional markets are highly skewed towards the impulse
markets, demonstrating the significant growth potential for the impulse category
▪ CCS reformulated its flagship flavours to replace approximately 40 per cent of sugar
content with the natural sweetener Stevia while also implementing the following
initiatives;
▪ Launch of sugar free CSD variants - branded “GO Sugar Free
▪ Acceleration of non-CSD product launches (flavoured milk and water branded under Elephant
House, and additional flavours of fruit juice branded under “Fit-O”)
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Retail - overview
Modern Retail Penetration (%)
70
49 48
43 40
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Sources: Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Nomura Research Institute, Unilever Corp, Web articles
* As at 30 June 2018
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Rapid expansion to capitalise on low retail
penetration levels
Modern trade density – population (’000) per store Keells Super forecasted coverage
132
FY2018/19
47
30
21.0
7.3
4.7
4.5
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.0
2.5
1.9
0.9
Source: Retail and shopper trends in the Asia Pacific, AC Nielsen
• Profitability margins impacted by the imposition of control prices on essential items, cost of expanding and
operating new stores coupled with the cost associated with rebranding and refitting stores
• Although outlets are profitable in the first year of operations, the aggressive outlet rollout undertaken has
resulted in margin contraction in the short term as a result of the ramp up period of a new outlet
• The sector will undertake planned capex of approximately USD 90 million over the next two years for an
aggressive expansion of the store footprint and construction of a centralised Distribution Centre. The
projects will be funded via debt given the low gearing ratio of the business
Same store sales growth (%) 15.3 12.5 9.5 5.7 1.4
Same store foot fall growth (%) 10.6 10.1 6.8 3.8 3.9
▪ The Q1 FY2019 same store sales were impacted by a decline in average basket value as a result of subdued
market sentiment, in addition to the temporary impact stemming from the rapid store expansion plans of
the sector and the corresponding “cannibalisation” effect it entailed.
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Financial Services – Insurance sector overview
▪ Union Assurance (JKH Stake : 90%)
▪ Highest new business growth in the year 2017
▪ Committed to a “digital first” business model with an investment of over Rs. 800Mn to become the
largest digital insurer in Sri Lanka
▪ Developing Bancassurance channels - 53% growth in 2017
Life Insurance Penetration as a % of Life Insurance Gross Written Premiums
GDP - 2016
6%
71
5%
64
4% Global average – 3.47%
Rs. bn
54
3%
45
2%
1%
0%
2014 2015 2016 2017
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Financial Services – Insurance sector overview
*Excludes a one-off surplus of Rs. 3.38 billion arising from the change in policy liability valuation
Q4 FY 2018 Q1 FY 2019
Key performance indicators
(Jan-Mar 2018) (Apr-Jun 2018)
GWP growth (YoY) 12% 13%
Net profit Rs. 304 million Rs. 300 million
Net profit growth (YoY) 181% 349%
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Financial Services – Banking sector overview
▪ Nations Trust Bank (JKH effective economic interest : 32.16%)
▪ Focus on SME / retail strategy
▪ Franchise for American Express cards
Key performance indicators CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 CY2017
Whilst John Keells Holdings accepts responsibility for the accuracy of the information contained in this
document, it does not assume any responsibility for investment decision made by the prospective investors
based on information contained herein. In making the investment decision, prospective investors must rely on
their own examination and assessments of the Company including the risks involved.
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