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Indonesia President Visit PDF
Indonesia President Visit PDF
• Clusters development
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 2 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Prosperity Performance
Lower and Middle Income Countries
PPP-adjusted GDP per
Capita, 2008 ($USD)
$20,000 Hungary
Lithuania
Colombia Peru
Thailand
$8,000 Costa Rica Tunisia Ukraine
Albania
$6,000 Guatemala Egypt China
Jordan Syria Georgia
Sri Lanka
Morocco Indonesia
$4,000
Philippines
Pakistan India Vietnam
Papua New Guinea (-2.6%) Laos
$2,000 Kenya
Nigeria Cambodia
Bangladesh Tanzania
$0
3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13%
Growth of Real GDP per Capita (PPP-adjusted), CAGR, 2001 to 2008
10% Poland
Morocco
China
Syria Egypt Indonesia
8% Brazil Peru
Argentina (-14.6%) Chile Hungary
Uruguay Bolivia
Ecuador Venezuela Philippines Pakistan
Kazakhstan India
Bulgaria Russia El Salvador
6% Lithuania Estonia Nicaragua
Panama Paraguay
Latvia
Sri Lanka
Costa Rica
Vietnam
Romania
4% Mexico
Honduras
Malaysia
Ukraine
Bangladesh
2%
Thailand
0%
-10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4%
Change of Unemployment Rate in Percentage Points, 1999-2008
Note: In some cases, 1999 data was unavailable, so latest data used.
Source: EIU (2009)
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 4 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Export Performance
Middle and Lower Income Countries
Exports of Goods and
Services (% of GDP), 2008
90%
Malaysia (103.5%)
Hungary
80% Asian countries Vietnam
Other countries Thailand
70%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Note: Excluding Oil and Gas cluster
Source: UNComTrade,
20090928 – Indonesia WTO
President visit (2008)
(handouts).ppt 6 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Inbound Foreign Investment Performance
Stocks and Flows, Selected Middle and Lower Income Countries
Jordan
Inward FDI Stocks as % of
GDP, Average 2003 - 2007 (46.5%,
81.8%)
70%
Tunisia
Asian countries Chile
Hungary
Other countries
60% Vietnam
Bulgaria (69%)
50% Croatia
Kazakhstan
5% Russia
4%
Brazil
3%
China
2%
India
1%
Indonesia
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 8 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Innovative Output, Selected Countries
Average U.S. patents per 1
million population, 2004-2008
Malaysia (4.4)
3.5
Czech Republic
3.0
Croatia
2.5
Kuwait
Greece
1.5
Portugal
Russia
1.0
Argentina Chile Saudi Arabia UAE
Poland Bulgaria
Mexico
0.5 Brazil Lebanon China
Ukraine Romania India
Philippines Thailand
Colombia Turkey
Egypt Indonesia
0.0
-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
CAGR of US-registered patents, 2004 – 2008
Source: USPTO (2008), EIU (2008)
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 9 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesian Competitiveness in 2009
HOWEVER
• Indonesia’s prosperity remains low, and prosperity growth rates have only
been average relative to regional peers
• Indonesia’s limited integration into the global economy has provided
shelter but greatly limits Indonesia’s long-term growth prospects
• Indonesia continues to face significant competitive weaknesses
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 10 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
What is Competitiveness?
• Competitiveness is the productivity with which a nation uses its human,
capital, and natural resources.
– Productivity sets the sustainable standard of living (wages, returns on
capital, returns on natural resources)
– It is not what industries a nation competes in that matters for prosperity, but
how productively it competes in those industries
– Productivity in a national economy arises from a combination of domestic
and foreign firms
– The productivity of “local” or domestic industries is fundamental to
competitiveness, not just that of export industries
Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Social
Infrastructure Macroeconomic
and Political Policies
Institutions
Natural Endowments
• Natural endowments alone are not enough to support a high standard of living
• Macroeconomic competitiveness creates the potential for productivity
• Productivity ultimately depends on improving the microeconomic capability of the
economy and the sophistication of local competition
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 12 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesia’s Macroeconomic Competitiveness
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 13 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Corruption Perception Index, 2007
1 Finland New Zealand
Iceland Sweden
Low Deteriorating Norway
Switzerland Improving
Canada
corruption UK
Hong Kong Austria Germany
Ireland Japan
United States France
Chile Spain Uruguay
Portugal Estonia Slovenia
Israel Botswana Taiwan
Hungary South Africa Czech Republic
Italy
Malaysia South Korea
Lithuania Costa Rica Slovakia
Rank in Latvia
Jordan
Global Greece
Tunisia Poland
Corruption Croatia Turkey
Index, El Salvador
Colombia Ghana Romania
2007 Peru Brazil Mexico China India
Senegal
Note: Ranks only countries available in both years (91 countries total)
Source: Global Corruption Report, 2008
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 14 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesia’s Macroeconomic Competitiveness
Action Priorities
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 15 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Microeconomic Competitiveness: Improving the
Business Environment
Context
Contextforfor
Firm
Firm
Strategy
Strategy
and
andRivalry
Rivalry
140
120
Indonesia’s per capita GDP rank: 101
100
80
60
40
20
0
Ease of Protecting Trading Dealing Registering Getting Paying Closing a Enforcing Employing Starting a
Doing Investors Across with Property Credit Taxes Business Contracts Workers Business
Business Borders Licenses
STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES
• Solid basic skills and a large available • Weak logistical and communication
workforce infrastructure
• Promising reforms of rules and • Unreliable electricity supply
regulations affecting business • Labor market rigidity
– Top Asian reformer in 2010 World Bank Doing
Business ranking
• Regulations and customs procedures
remain complex
• Solid financial system
• Limited depth in the financial system
• Greater formal opening of the economy
to trade and investment • Weak educational quality
– New Investment Law passed in 2007 • Legal system uncertainty for investors,
• Wide array of potential clusters, especially at the provincial level
especially in natural resources-related • Dominance of large business groups
fields and state-owned enterprises
• Weak cluster collaboration and
development
• Lack of advanced skills
• Weak science and technology system
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 18 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesian Business Environment
Action Priorities
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 19 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Microeconomic Competitiveness: Cluster Development
Tourism Cluster in Cairns, Australia
Public
Public Relations
Relations && Local
Local retail,
retail,
Market
Market Research
Research Travel health
health care,
care, and
and
Travel agents
agents Tour
Tour operators
operators
Services
Services other
other services
services
Food
Food Local
Local
Suppliers
Suppliers Attractions
Attractions and
and Transportation
Transportation
Restaurants Activities
Activities
Restaurants e.g.,
e.g., theme
theme parks,
parks,
casinos,
casinos, sports
sports
Property
Property Souvenirs,
Souvenirs,
Services
Services Duty
Duty Free
Free
Airlines,
Airlines,
Hotels
Hotels Banks,
Banks,
Maintenance
Maintenance Cruise
Cruise Ships
Ships
Foreign
Foreign
Services
Services Exchange
Exchange
Government
Government agencies
agencies Educational
Educational Institutions
Institutions Industry
Industry Groups
Groups
e.g.
e.g. Australian
Australian Tourism
Tourism Commission,
Commission, e.g.
e.g. James
James Cook
Cook University,
University, e.g.
e.g. Queensland
Queensland Tourism
Tourism
Great Barrier Reef Authority
Great Barrier Reef Authority Cairns
Cairns College of TAFE
College of TAFE Industry Council
Industry Council
Sources: HBS student team research (2003) - Peter Tynan, Chai McConnell, Alexandra West, Jean Hayden
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 20 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Chilean Wine Cluster
Relatedand
Related and = Strong domestic capacity
Specialized
Specialized
Supported
Supported = Moderate domestic capacity financing
financing
Industries
Industries = Weak domestic capacity
Barrels
Barrels
Government
Government
(tradepromotion
(trade promotionoffices,
offices,
Irrigation
Irrigation Bottles
implementationofofstandards,
implementation standards, Bottles
technology
technology export/import/FDIpolicies)
export/import/FDI policies)
Plastics/ /
Plastics
Grapestock
Grapestock Tetrapacks
Tetrapacks
Fertilizer, Growers/ /
Growers Wineries/ /processing
Wineries processing
Fertilizer, Corks
Corks
pesticides, vineyards
vineyards facilities
facilities
pesticides,
herbicides
herbicides
Labels
Labels
Grape
Grape
harvesting
harvesting Educational,research,
research,and
andtrade
trade
Educational, Publicrelations
relations
equipment
equipment organization
organization Public
andadvertising
and advertising
Export
Export
Pisco Cluster
Pisco Cluster promotion
promotion
Source:Sources:
ResearchBased on diagram
by HBS studentby Alexander,
team Arney,Judd
(Asier Alea, Black, Frost, Shivananda,
Belstock, takenJacqueline
Don Lambert, from ‘On Competition’,
O’Neill, NoahMichael Porter,
Sawyer), 2003
2005
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 21 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Clusters as a Tool For Economic Policy
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 22 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Clusters and Policy Implementation
Science and Technology
Education and Investments
Workforce Training (e.g., centers, university
departments, technology
Management Training transfer)
Clusters
Export Promotion Environmental
Stewardship
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 24 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesia’s National Cluster Export Portfolio
1997 to 2007
2.5%
Change In Overall World
Fishing and Fishing Products Coal and Briquettes
Export Share: +0.034% (5.35%, 12.36%)
Footwear
Agriculture Products
2.0%
Indonesia’s world export market share, 2007
Forest Products
Furniture Apparel
1.0%
Entertainment Chemical Products
Construction Materials
Motor Driven Products
Leather and Related Products Communication Services
Average World Export
Publishing and Printing
Share: 0.79% Construction Services Lighting and Electrical Equipment
Sporting, Recreational and Children's Goods Marine Equipment
0.5% Communications Equipment Processed Foods
Prefabricated Enclosures and Structures Transportation and Logistics
Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles Heavy Machinery
Business Services IT Production Technology
Analytical Instruments Automotive
Biopharmaceuticals Aerospace Vehicles and Defense
Financial Services
0.0%
-2.0% -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%
Change in Indonesia’s world export market share, 1997 to 2007
Exports of US$4.2 Billion =
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, International Cluster Competitiveness Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business
20090928Richard
School; – Indonesia PresidentProject
Bryden, visit (handouts).ppt 25
Director. Underlying data drawn from the UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database and the IMF BOP statistics. Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesian Clusters
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 26 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Share of World Exports by Cluster
Indonesia, 2007
Strong
Footwear
Sporting Marine
& Recreation Equipment
Goods
Note: Clusters with overlapping borders have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 27 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesian Clusters
Action Priorities
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 28 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Geographic Influences on Competitiveness
Neighboring
Neighboring Countries
Countries
Nation
Nation
Regions
Regions and
and Cities
Cities
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 29 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Specialization by Traded Clusters
U.S. States, 2006
Oregon
Oregon
Agricultural South
SouthDakota
AgriculturalProducts
Products Dakota
Prefabricated Heavy
HeavyMachinery
PrefabricatedEnclosures
Enclosures Machinery Maine
Maine
Forest Sporting,
Sporting,Recreational
ForestProducts
Products Recreational Illinois
Illinois Forest
ForestProducts
Products
Analytical and
andChildren's
Children'sGoods
AnalyticalInstruments
Instruments Goods Biopharmaceuticals
Biopharmaceuticals Aerospace
AerospaceEngines
Engines
Financial
FinancialServices
Services Lighting
Lightingand
andElectrical
ElectricalEquipment
Equipment Communications
CommunicationsEquipment
Equipment
Processed
ProcessedFood
Food Heavy Machinery Hospitality
Heavy Machinery Hospitalityand
andTourism
Tourism
Metal
MetalManufacturing
Manufacturing
Idaho
Idaho
Agricultural
AgriculturalProducts
Products
Information
InformationTechnology
Technology
Prefabricated
PrefabricatedEnclosures
Enclosures
Furniture Kentucky
Kentucky
Furniture
Forest Automotive
ForestProducts
Products Automotive
Plastics
Plastics
Construction
ConstructionMaterials
Materials
Nevada Transportation
Transportationand
andLogistics
Logistics
Nevada
Leather
Leatherand
andRelated
RelatedProducts
Products
Heavy
Heavy ConstructionServices
Construction Services
Hospitality
Hospitalityand
andTourism
Tourism
Transportation
Transportationand
andLogistics
Logistics South
SouthCarolina
Carolina
Textiles
Textiles
Forest
ForestProducts
Products
Automotive
Automotive
Production
ProductionTechnology
Technology
Alaska
Alaska Colorado
Colorado Mississippi
Fishing
Fishingand
andFishing
FishingProducts
Products Mississippi
Oil
Oiland
andGas
GasProducts
Productsand
andServices
Services Furniture
Power
Power Generationand
Generation andTransmission
Transmission Furniture
Medical Devices Fishing
Heavy
HeavyConstruction
ConstructionServices
Services
Medical Devices Fishingand
andFishing
FishingProducts
Products
Aerospace
AerospaceVehicles
Vehiclesand
andDefense Power
Hospitality
Hospitalityand
andTourism
Tourism
Defense Power Generationand
Generation andTransmission
Transmission
Entertainment Motor
Entertainment MotorDriven
DrivenProducts
Products
Source: Prof. Michael E. Porter, Cluster Mapping Project, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, Harvard Business School; Richard Bryden, Project Director.
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 30 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesia’s Provinces
Riau
Rp15
Neighboring
Neighboring Countries
Countries
Nation
Nation
Regions
Regions and
and Cities
Cities
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 34 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Economic Integration with Neighboring Countries
South East Asia
Traditional View
• Regions as free trade zones
Emerging View
• Regional strategy as a powerful tool to enhance competitiveness
across countries
– Expand trade and investment within the region
– Attract more foreign investment to the region
– Capture synergies in improving the business environment
– Accelerate the rate of domestic policy improvement
– Enhance interest and investment in the region by the international
community
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 36 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Economic Coordination Among Neighbors
Capturing Synergies
Factor
Factor Context
Contextfor
for Related
Relatedand
and Regional
Regional
Demand
Demand Macroeconomic
Macroeconomic
(Input) Strategy Supporting Strategy
Strategy&&
(Input) Strategy Conditions Supporting Competitiveness
Conditions and Conditions Competitiveness Governance
Conditions andRivalry
Rivalry Industries
Industries Governance
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 37 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Indonesia and ASEAN
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 38 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Developing an Indonesian Economic Strategy
National
NationalValue
ValueProposition
Proposition
Developing
DevelopingUnique
UniqueStrengths
Strengths Addressing
AddressingCrucial
CrucialConstraints
Constraints
• What are the key strengths that • What weaknesses must be addressed to
Indonesia must build upon? achieve parity with peer countries?
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 39 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Toward an Indonesian Economic Strategy
Cluster Development
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 40 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Organizing for Competitiveness
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 41 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Organizing for Competitiveness
Action priorities for Indonesia
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 42 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter
Agenda for the Second Term
• Clusters development
20090928 – Indonesia President visit (handouts).ppt 43 Copyright 2009 © Professor Michael E. Porter