AP Statistics Chapter 8 Practice Test Name Estimating with Confidence Per __ Dat Part 1: Multiple Choice. Circle the letter corresponding to the best answer. (0. 1. In an opinion poll (55% of a random sample of 300 people said that they thought schools today are not meeting the needs of society. The standard error of the sample proportion is approximately {S89 (a) 0.0008 ((b) 0.0287} (c) 0.0318 (d) 0.3025 300, fe) 0.0740 ——— =6.0 2. A statistics student wants to estimate the proportion of all students that bring coffee to school. He stands at the front door for a weekday morning and flips a coin each time a student arrives. If the coin comes up heads, he asks them if they have any coffee with them. After fifteen minutes, he has 33 responses, 21 of whom had coffee. Which condition for constructing a confidence interval for a proportion has the student failed to satisfy? (a) mp210 Q1Z16 W (b) n(1-p)210 13210.“ (©) 2230 for means (d) The data is a random sample from the population of interest. —» Convenience (e) The sample is less than 10% of the population. Sample aA 3. The report of a sample survey of 1,014 adults says, "With 90% confidence, between 37% ‘and 44% of all Americans are married." What does the phrase "90% confidence" mean? (a) We can be 90% confident that the method used to get the interval always gives the right answer. (b) 37% to 44% of all Americans will spend 90% of their lives married. (c) There is a 90% chance that the percent of people who are married is between 37% and 44%. The method used to get the interval from 37% to 44%, when used over and over, produces intervals which include the true population percentage about 90% of the time. (e) 95% of all Americans will be married between 37% and 44% of the time. )_ 4, The survey in the previous question was conducted by calling cellphones, and those conducting the survey are concerned about the possibility of undercoverage, since some people do not own a cellphone or only have a landline. Which of the following is the best way for them to correct for this source of bias? (@) Throw this sample out and start over again with a better sampling method. (b) Use a higher confidence level, such as 99%. Us \ fidence level, such as 80%. =95 , 4, ie ver ees er nO 01 = 9.510 (5(5) (gaplon.al ke a | le. - ie (e) Take a larger sample. (g- | ays A n=1658.4Y Ol 1a 5. the Gallup Poll plans to ask a random sample of adults whether they attended a religious ‘service in the last 7 days. How large a sample would be required to obtain a margin of error of 0.01 in a 99% confidence interval for the population proportion who would say that they attended a religio’ ice? = (a) 129 (b) 16,589) (c) 6,766 (d) 258 (e) 66,358 2. 6.A lab supply company sells pieces of Douglas Fir 4in long and 1.5in square for force lasses. From experience, the strength of these pieces of wood follows experiments Stora ie bonsitn standard deviation of 3000 pounds. How large of a sample is needed to estimate the mean load needed to pull apart these pieces of wood to within(1000 pounds with 95% confidence. 1000 1.96, (30%) 7 (a) 571 (b) 24 7 r(d)5 (@)35 n= 5.88 nz 34-57df 20 a 7. Which of the following has the highest probability? tded (a) Randomly selecting a value greater than 2 from a standardNormal distribution. (b) Randomly selecting a value greater than 2 from a t-distribution with 4 degrees of freedom. (c) Randomly selecting a value greater than 2 from a t-distribution with 20 degrees of freedom. @) Randomly selecting a value less than 2 from a standard Normal distribution. (e) Randomly selecting a value less than 2 from a t-distribution with 20 degrees of freedom. ( 8. A 90% confidence interval for the average amount spent on books by freshman at a major university is $352 + 2. How would the margin of error of a 95% confidence interval based on the same samplecompare with the 90% interval? = (a) It would be smaller, because it omits only 5% of the possible samples instead of 10%. (b) It would be the same, because the sample is the same. (©) It would be larger, because higher confidence requires a larger margin of error. (d) Can't tell, because the margin of error varies from sample to sample. (e) Can't tell, because it depends on the size of the population. invt (aren = .05,df2a9) > 9. You want to calculate a 90% confidence interval for a population mean from a ~~“ sample of n = 30. What is the appropriate critical t+? (a) 1.645 (6) 1.699 (c) 1.697 (4) 1.96 (e) 2.045 10. The weights (in pounds) of males in the United States are believed to be approximately Normally distributed with mean y. The mean height of a random sample of(3 American adult males is found to be x=190 inches and the standard deviation 5, =27.84. What is the standard error of x? OF.4/g (a) 190 (b) 27.84 (c) 22.73 (d) 16.07 (e) 13.13 11. In checking conditions for constructing confidence intervals for a population mean, it’s important to plot the distribution of sample data. Below are dot plots describing samples from three different populations. For which of the three samples would it be safe to construct a t-interval? sonple x ssangie¥ sareleZ mnt md mie vier ott af >) oe. ae g0088ee tase oot 15 1820 22 2628 2690 9294 1416 19 9022 265 292032 34 ebm awe wee miles. per_gallon miles_per_gallon miles_per_gstlon ‘2) Sample X only Sample Y only (c) Sample Z only (d) Samples Y and Z (e) None of the samplesPart 2: Free Response Show all your work. Indicate clearly the methods you use, because you will be graded on the correctness of your methods as well as on the accuracy and completeness of your results and explanations. -2. The US Forest Service is considering additional restrictions on the number of vehicles allowed to enter Yellowstone National Park. To assess public reaction, the service asks a random sample of 150 visitors if they favor the proposal. Of these, 89 say “yes”. Construct a 99% confidence interval to estimate the proportion of all visitors who support the restrictions. Estimate the proportion of alll visitors that support “additional retentions to the number of vehibles allowed to enter Yellowstone usith 19% confidence. Use. & | Sample 2 interval for proportions. Conditions: Randam: SRS of 150 visitors / ; 1S0-89= 61210 Y Normal: $9210, se revome that there ave mare Independent: Reasonable than 1500 visitors to yellowstone 2 81.0593 Z-invNorm (oseo.+ 0.005, p20,0* p 150 a+ 593 tC 103 A +a.576 (0.593(.40#) ee 30. 0.593 i (0.49, 0.696) i We are 19% confident that the os coe wrt 0.6% captures the true proportion of visitors ei addl. restrictions to the number oF vehicles onter Ualloustone. )=9.5t6