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Wali I. Mondal
Since its independence in 1971, Bangladesh has gone through several major policy changes
regarding the ownership and control of industries. As Reza and Shelley (1994) mention, the
Government obtained control of a large number of industries abandoned by non-Bangladeshi
owners after the liberation of the country. Through the Nationalization Order of 1972, all key
industries including jute, cotton textiles, and sugar were vested upon the public sector. Then the
first Industrial Policy Statement (IPS) was passed in January 1973. The IPS "left the private sector
with virtually no other areas to operate except in cottage and small industries" (Reza & Shelley,
p.9). The ceiling for private investment was set at TK 2.5 million to a maximum of TK 3.5
million (US $337,000 to $469,000 respectively) through reinvestment and profits. In 1974, in the
face of industrial famine, rising prices and a dwindling economy, a revised Investment Policy was
issued, which raised the ceiling of private investment to TK 30 million. This investment policy
also allowed joint collaboration of domestic and foreign investors with most public sector
corporations.
The Investment Policy of 1974 did not attract any significant private investment. The
Government, therefore, raised the ceiling from TK 30 million to TK 100 million in December
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1975. The turning point in favor of privatization occurred in 1976 through the passage of the
Industrial Investment Schedule (IIS). The IIS allowed the disinvestment of a number of abandoned
and taken-over industries through public tender, and also returned a number of industries to their
owners. In September 1978, the ceiling for private investment was withdrawn altogether.
Additionally, the Government created conditions for smooth functioning of the capital market
through reactivating the Dhaka Stock Exchange. The Government also softened its grip over
control and ownership of industries by creating "free sectors." These "free sectors" were typically
those sectors which could not attract enough private investment, and the Government required no
formal sanction for investment in these sectors.
Perhaps the most significant change in privatization occurred in 1982 when the New
Industrial Policy (NIP) was announced by the Government. The NIP created three lists for
grouping of industries:
Under the auspices of the NIP a number of large industries in jute and cotton textiles,
which were nationalized earlier, were returned to their owners.
In 1986, the Government announced the Revised Industrial Policy (RIP) which liberalized
the sanctioning procedure even further and provided major impetus to foreign investment through
a deliberate denationalization program. The RIP was, in reality, more than an industrial policy.
Its provisions allowed for liberalization of imports, export incentives, tariff rates, and even
liberalization of fiscal and monetary measures.
The RIP was based on a thorough analysis of investment in major sectors. It reserved
seven sectors for public investment while creating a "Discouraged List" of industries in which any
62 IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000
Since the passage of the IIS, while the Government gradually liberalized commerce and
trade through transferring numerous industries to private ownership, and the size of the public
sector has actually declined significantly, the losses suffered by the SOEs have risen every year.
As reported by the Ministry of Finance, the losses suffered by the SOEs have increased from TK
3.8 billion in fiscal year (FY) 86 to TK 7.4 billion in FY95. The Ministry estimated the losses
to reach TK 12.7 billion in FY 97. Figure 1 portrays the "proverbial losses of SOEs."
Much discussion has taken place about the size of Bangladesh's public sector, and
particularly about the losses suffered by the SOEs. Sattar (1997) reports that in FY1996,
excluding the Postal Service, Bangladesh Railways, and the Bangladesh Telegraph and Telephone
Board, there were about 200 non-financial public enterprises operated by 39 autonomous bodies
with assets of over US$11.5 billion (approximately 38% of GDP for that year). The total
number of employees in all of the autonomous corporations exceeded half a million.
It is not the purpose of this research to focus on the performance of the SOEs, although
their inefficient operation resulting in huge losses have significant implications for the private
enterprises. In what follows, no attempt will be made to analyze the performance of the SOEs
except for their relationship to the private sector.
IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000 63
A survey instrument was designed by incorporating all of the above factors. Specifically,
an instrument was designed to elicit responses from the entrepreneurs. Using Schumpeter's theory
of entrepreneurship, the five conditions which can alter the production function of a firm are
related to privatization as shown in figure 2
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The fundamental question asked of all entrepreneurs surveyed was: "In your opinion, is the
economy of Bangladesh privatized enough for the growth of entrepreneurship?"
The response to the question is expected to be dichotomous—" yes" or "no." The
entrepreneurs were then asked a series of questions which are also dichotomous. The basic
instrument is presented in Table 1.
66 IJCM Vol. 10. No. 2, 2000
TABLE 1
The research design has been used in a similar study by Mondal and Zapalska (1997).
Appendix A contains the survey questionnaire.
IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000 67
THE MODEL
The discriminant analysis was used as the model to accomplish the objective of this
research. As Klecka (1975) explains, "The mathematical objective of discriminant analysis is to
weight and linearly combine the discriminating variables in some fashion so that the groups are
forced to be as statistically distinct as possible. In other words, we want to be able to
'discriminate' between the groups in the sense of being able to tell them apart" (p. 435). In the
present case, the groups will be defined as those who believe that the economy is privatized
enough for the growth of entrepreneurship in Bangladesh, and those who do not believe so. The
discriminating question which may be thought of as the dependent variable of the model is the
leading question on privatization.
The respondents will fall in two groups—those responding "Yes" (Group 1) and those
responding "No" (Group 0). The other questions form the discriminating or "explanatory"
variables of the model.
The general form of the discriminant function is:
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Data for this study were collected using a "purposive sample." A purposive sample "is one
arbitrarily selected because there is good evidence that it is very representative of the total
population" (Guilford & Fruchter, 1978).
In collecting data, two major factors were considered:
68 IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000
Data were collected from entrepreneurs located in Dhaka, Chittagons, Sylhet, Lalmanirhat,
and Rangpur , representing the following economic sectors:
Manufacturing 10
Services 30
Construction 15
Finance/Real Estate 6
Retail Trade 5
Wholesale Trade 5
Total 71
TABLE 2
TABLE 2
Continued
The discriminant analysis may be conducted using the direct method or several versions of
the stepwise method. When the direct method is used, as in this case, all independent variables are
entered into the analysis concurrently and the discriminant function (or functions) is created directly
from the entire set of independent variables. This method is appropriate when the objective is to
determine the privatization of the economy and its impact on new product development, technology,
supply of raw materials, opening of new market, and establishment of new economic organizations
based on the perception of the entrepreneur.
The group means reported in Table 2 indicates the degree to which the estimated
discriminant function separates the two groups. Each group mean, or centroid, is determined by
estimating the discriminant score using the group's mean values of each discriminating variable. In
interpreting the result, the sign of the group mean value is useful. In our estimate, the sign of the
group mean for those who think that the economy is privatized enough is negative, and for those
who think otherwise the sign is positive. This suggests that a variable which makes a positive
contribution to the value of the discriminant function "explains" why the economy is not privatized
enough, while a variable which makes a negative contribution "explains" why the economy is
privatized enough for the growth of entrepreneurship.
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There are 11 variables in Table 2 with a positive sign. These variables explain why the
economy is not privatized enough for the growth of entrepreneurship. It is to be noted here that
these are the perceptions of the entrepreneurs, not necessarily reality. The variables which explain
why the economy is not privatized are arranged in Table 3 by the size of the canonical correlation
coefficient.
TABLE 3
The three most important variables which explain why the economy is not privatized
enough for the growth of entrepreneurship are: non-availability of long-term capital, poor state
of the economy, and excessive government regulation, followed by strong foreign competition,
high taxes, and high interest rate. These variables provide interesting insights. Let us take the
case of long term and short-term capital. While the non-availability of long-term capital has the
highest correlation with privatization, the non-availability of short-term capital had a weak
IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000 71
correlation. An entrepreneur usually starts a business with his or her own money. Therefore,
availability of short-term capital is not a concern; however, for the growth of entrepreneurship and
private business, long-term capital is essential.
State of the economy is self explanatory. It is, however, interesting to note that when the
survey was undertaken during the summer of 1997, the economy was relatively healthy and there
was a bumper crop. Obviously, the perception of the entrepreneur extended beyond the situation
prevailing at that time. The "strong foreign competition" variable is an interesting observation.
Our analysis indicates the plentiful supply of foreign consumer goods result from the liberal
import policy of the Government.
Entrepreneurs are risk takers. They take risk with their innovations and with their capital.
From that standpoint, one would not expect an entrepreneur to depend on Government support.
In the special case of Bangladesh, however, where the financial institutions are tightly regulated,
starting up a new business often requires Government support and patronage.
There are three variables in Table 3 which deal with the opening of new markets. These
variables are: lack of consumer knowledge, difficulty in marketing products, and inadequate
product demand. In an emerging economy, marketing a new product is often a challenge. Our
finding in this regard is similar to the study conducted for Poland (Mondal & Zapalska, 1997).
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On the other side of the coin is the set of variables which explain why the economy is
privatized. These variables may be interpreted as the symbol of success of an economy in the
process of privatization. The variables are: availability of trained labor, ability to pass on price
increases, financial planning experience, community support, existence of labor management
problem, strong domestic competition, and concern for quality of product.
Despite repeated natural disasters and persistent political turmoil, the economy of
Bangladesh has fared well since the mid-eighties. During 1985-95, the average annual growth rate
of the GNP was 2.1%, which compares favorably to most developing countries. Among other
factors, the strong performance of the private sector and increasing reliance on market forces made
this growth rate possible. The existence of the state-owned enterprises, however, erodes much
of the growth, and the huge losses suffered by these enterprises pose significant constraints to
economic development.
The economy of Bangladesh is also characterized by a huge bureaucracy with tremendous
regulatory controls that interfere with the market forces. The existence of the central planning
authority (Planning Commission) and its seemingly unlimited authority in the allocation of
resources serves to slow down the development process. Many of the regulatory functions of the
Planning Commission (such as setting targets) are reminiscent of similar bodies that existed in the
now-defunct command economies. In the presence of planning mechanisms at the ministry and
departmental levels, one wonders if the functions of the Planning Commission are redundant.
During the past decade, Bangladesh has witnessed the emergence of what Schumpeter
called "the distinct sociological class"—the class of entrepreneurs engaged in the process of
"creative destruction" by innovating and taking risk with new products, new technology, new
sources of supply, new markets, and new economic organizations. This class of entrepreneurs,
72 IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000
according to the popular press, are facing enormous difficulties because of lack of capital,
bureaucratic hindrances, and lack of opportunities in an otherwise undeveloped market.
Against the above background, a survey was conducted during the summer of 1997 in
various parts of Bangladesh with a view to analyzing the relationship between privatization and
the growth of entrepreneurship. A survey instrument was designed to elicit responses from the
entrepreneurs.
The study was designed based on the pioneering works of Joseph Schumpeter. The
instrument relied on dichotomous responses from entrepreneurs about their perception of key
socio-economic variables associated with privatization and entrepreneurship. A total of 71
entrepreneurs were selected in various parts of Bangladesh. These entrepreneurs covered all
important economic sectors. The discriminant analysis model was used as the basis of analysis.
Seventy-two percent of the entrepreneurs responded that the economy was not privatized enough
for the growth of entrepreneurship, while 28% thought otherwise.
The important reasons why the entrepreneurs thought the economy of Bangladesh was not
privatized enough were: non-availability of long-term capital; excessive government regulation;
strong foreign competition; high tax rates; high interest rate, and general difficulties in creating
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(1) Long-term credit should be made more accessible to entrepreneurs, particularly to those
who have established themselves in their business.
(2) Government regulations which interfere with the free play of market forces should be
lifted. The Government, in this regard, should be guided by recommendations made
by other studies.
(3) The Government should evaluate its liberal import policy as well as unauthorized entry
of goods to the markets of Bangladesh. While domestic competition is healthy for a
growing economy, excess supply of foreign goods often hamper the growth of domestic
industries at an early stage.
(4) The Government should re-evaluate the impact of taxes on the growth of free
enterprise. High taxes are counter-productive during the initial stage of growth of a
young economy.
(5) The Government, through its monetary policy, should create conditions of lower
interest rates. In this regard, the reform of the financial sector, including collection
of default loans, may enable the Government to adopt an expansionary monetary policy
which will lower the interest rate.
(6) The Government should devote resources to educating consumers, and at the same time
help create an environment where consumers and producers can exchange knowledge
of new products.
(7) The Government should encourage the use or adoption of such beneficial activities as
financial planning, and executive and managerial education.
IJCM Vol. 10, No. 2, 2000 73
Because of resource constraints, this study could not be conducted at a larger scale.
Although 71 observations constitute a large sample, a larger study using other sampling techniques
may reveal more useful information.
Since the most important factors associated with privatization and entrepreneurship appear
to be availability of long term capital, government regulation, foreign competition, and trained
labor, these issues need to be investigated in a different study, perhaps involving different
methodologies.
REFERENCES
Arrow, Kenneth J. , Economic welfare and the allocation of resources for invention. The
Rational Direction for Inventive Activity: A Conference, National Bureau of
Economic Research. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1962.
Guilford, J.P., & Fruchter, B., Fundamental statistics in psychology and education (6th ed.).
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Appendix A
PRIVATIZATION AND GROWTH OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN BANGLADESH
SURVEY OF ENTREPRENEURS
Economic Sector
Annual Revenue (Est)
Years in Business
In your opinion, is the economy of Bangladesh privatized enough for the growth of
entrepreneurship? Yes No
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In your opinion,
1. M. Rafiqul Islam, Ali Farazmand. 2008. Perceptions of Civil Servants Toward Privatization and
Development: A New Exploratory Study. Public Organization Review 8:1, 37-52. [CrossRef]
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