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Data P. Pelabuhan Pare-Pare 2
Data P. Pelabuhan Pare-Pare 2
General Bag
Petikemas Cargo
Tahun Cargo Cargo
Ton Ton Ton Ton
2008 1,707 55,287 523,031 56,994.20
2009 1,708 60,434 569,137 62,141.80
2010 1,709 107,641 595,936 109,350
2011 1,709 299,755 599,696 301,464
2012 1,710 355,708 652,797 357,418.20
2013 1,711 363,134 866,147 364,845
2014 1,712 373,765 999,620 375,476
2015 1,713 897,273 1,033,845 898,986
2016 1,714 1,034,139 1,094,208 1,035,853
2017 1,714 1,387,111 1,215,725 1,388,825
General Bag
Petikemas cargo
Tahun Cargo Cargo
General
Tahun Bag Cargo Petikemas
Cargo
Diketahui:
DWT BOBOT KAPAL = 3952
W DISPLASMEN(BERAT) KAPAL = 1056
LOA PANJANG KAPAL = 106.66
LWL/LPP = 99.82
B LEBAR KAPAL = 16.5
d DRAFT = 6
V KEC ANGIN MAX = 25
Vc KECEPATAN ARUS = 1.7
V KECEPATAN MERAPAT KAPAL = 0.15
SUDUT MERAPAT = 10
g BERAT JENIS AIR = 1.025
CB Coefficient Block = 0.63
CM Coefficient Midship = 0.96
Ce Koefisien Eksentrisitas = 0.06
r/L
r
Vx Komponen kec kapal merapat arah tegak lurus = 0.026
Cs Koefisien Kekerasan = 1
Cc Koefisien Bentuk = 1
JARAK FENDER = 0
Rb
Pu
defleksi
c
Parameter Metode Rumus Nilai
Fn (Froude Number) Van Lammeran Fn = V / (( G * Lbp) ^ 0.5) 0.25
Cb (Coefficient Block) Ayre CB = C - 1.68 * Fn 0.633455
Cm (Coefficient Midship) Van Lammeran CM = 0.9 + (0.1 * Cb) 0.96
Cw (Coffecient Water Line) Schneekluth Cw = (1 + 2 * Cb) / 3 0.76
Cph (Coefficient Prismatic Horizontal) Cb / Cm 0.66
Cpv (Coefficient Prismatic Vertical) Cb / Cw 0.84
Lcb (Longitudinal Centre of Bouyancy) Schneekluth LCB / Lbp = (8.8 -38.9 * Fn) / -1.05
AM (Area Midship) Dosen B * T * Cm 95.37
57.13
L Displacement (Lbp + Lwl) / 2
187.42
Vs / Ldisp ^ 0.5 Vs / Ldisp ^ 0.5 1.12
Awl Lwl * b * Cw 203.23
Volume Displacement Awal Lwl * B * T * Cb 1022.21
Cp Displacement Lbp/ Ldisp * Cp 1.13
Displacement (1) LWL . B . T . CB . g . C 1055.62
Displacement (2) Vol Disp * g * c 1051.95
Koreksi Displacement (D2 - D1) / D2 0.3486055777
Letak Lcb pada Disp 0.74 * Ldisp 0.422725
Jarak midship Ldisp ke Fp 0.5 * Ldisp 28.56
Jarak midship Lbp ke fp 0.5 * Lbp 48.98
Jarak antara midship Ldisp dengan Lbp Ldisp - Lbp -20.41
Jarak antara Lcb terhadap midship Lbp Lcp disp - Jarak midship Ldis 20.84
h L disp / 20 2.86
Volume Displacement 1/3 * h * S1 5394.15
Letak Lcb Nsp (S3 + S2) / S2 -8.38
Koreksi Lcb LCB Disp - Lcb Nsp 0.15
Koreksi Volume Displacement (Vol Disp Awal - Vol Disp NSP -4.28
TON
TON
M
M
M
M/S^2
M/S^2
M/S^2
derajat
Ton/M3
= 0.242
= 25.81 m
Ton-m
Kgm
balok 0.4*0.6
= diambil 10m
= 47.22
= 0.1
= 0.045
= 2
Satuan Sumber
Principal of Naval Architecture Volume 2 hal67
Ship Design for Efficiency and Economy hal 26
Ship Design for Efficiency and Economy hal 28
Ship Design for Efficiency and Economy hal 31
Ship Hydrostatic and Stability hal 22
Ship Hydrostatic and Stability hal 22
Ship Design for Efficiency and Economy hal 36
M2
M
Feet
M2
Ton
Ton
< 0.05 = Memenuhi
1 2012 132,048 -
2 2013 135,200 0.02 -
3 2014 136,903 0.01 -
4 2015 138,699 0.01 -
5 2016 140,423 0.01 140,423
6 2017 142,729 RERATA 142,600
7 2018 144,754 0.02 144,811
8 2019 146,779 147,056
9 2020 148,804 149,336
10 2021 150,829 151,651
11 2022 152,854 154,002
12 2023 154,879 156,390
13 2024 156,904 158,815
14 2025 158,929 161,277
15 2026 160,954 163,777
16 2027 162,978 166,316
17 2028 165,003 168,895
18 2029 167,028 171,513
19 2030 169,053 174,172
20 2031 171,078 176,873
21 2032 173,103 179,615
22 2033 175,128 182,400
23 2034 177,153 185,228
24 2035 179,178 188,099
25 2036 181,203 191,015
26 2037 183,227 193,977
27 2038 185,252 196,984
28 2039 187,277 200,038
29 2040 189,302 203,140
30 2041 191,327 206,289
31 2042 193,352 209,487
32 2043 195,377 212,735
33 2044 197,402 216,033
34 2045 199,427 219,383
35 2046 201,452 222,784
36 2047 203,476 226,238
37 2048 205,501 229,745
38 2049 207,526 233,307
39 2050 209,551 236,924
Proyeksi Moderat Chart Title
142,000
136,000
134,000
141,576
143,677 132,000
146,918 130,000
149,070
128,000
151,240
153,428 126,000
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
155,634
157,859
160,103
162,365
164,647
166,949
169,271
171,613
173,975
176,359
178,764
181,190
183,638
186,109
188,602
191,118
193,658
196,221
198,808
201,420
204,056
206,717
209,405
212,118
214,857
217,623
220,417
223,238
5 5.5
No. (n) Tahun PDRB(Juta rupiah) proyeksi dengan pertumbahan
1 2012 3,501,130 rerata
2 2013 3,940,537 0.13 -
3 2014 4,434,865 0.13 -
4 2015 5,062,245 0.14 -
5 2016 5,543,147 0.09 5,543,147
6 2017 Rerata 6,218,599.89
7 2018 0.12 6,976,358.65
8 2019 7,826,453.03
9 2020 8,780,134.48
10 2021 9,850,025.43
11 2022 11,050,286.45
12 2023 12,396,803.59
13 2024 13,907,398.68
14 2025 15,602,065.22
15 2026 17,503,232.97
16 2027 19,636,064.85
17 2028 22,028,789.96
18 2029 24,713,077.22
19 2030 27,724,454.54
20 2031 31,102,779.02
21 2032 34,892,764.48
22 2033 39,144,573.30
23 2034 43,914,480.31
24 2035 49,265,617.65
25 2036 55,268,810.30
26 2037 62,003,513.57
27 2038 69,558,864.65
28 2039 78,034,862.43
29 2040 87,543,691.01
30 2041 98,211,204.55
31 2042 110,178,592.97
32 2043 123,604,250.70
33 2044 138,665,873.10
34 2045 155,562,808.35
35 2046 174,518,695.92
36 2047 195,784,426.54
37 2048 219,641,462.91
38 2049 246,405,564.95
39 2050 276,430,969.06
pryeksi PDRB Proyeksi
dengan trent moderat Chart Title
- - 6,000,000
- - f(x) = 520574.1783x + 2934662.3997
5,000,000
- - R² = 0.9966102436
- - 4,000,000
6,123,444.00 5,833,296
3,000,000
6,644,018.00 6,431,309
7,164,592.00 7,495,523 2,000,000
7,685,166.00 8,232,650
1,000,000
8,205,740.00 9,027,883
8,726,314.00 9,888,300 -
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
9,246,888.00 10,821,846
9,767,462.00 11,837,430
10,288,036.00 12,945,051
Chart Title
10,808,610.00 14,155,921
300,000,000
11,329,184.00 15,482,624
11,849,758.00 16,939,274
250,000,000
12,370,332.00 18,541,705
12,890,906.00 20,307,680 200,000,000
13,411,480.00 22,257,130
13,932,054.00 24,412,409 150,000,000
14,452,628.00 26,798,601
100,000,000
14,973,202.00 29,443,841
15,493,776.00 32,379,697 50,000,000
16,014,350.00 35,641,580
16,534,924.00 39,269,219 -
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 4
17,055,498.00 43,307,181
17,576,072.00 47,805,467
18,096,646.00 52,820,169
18,617,220.00 58,414,212
19,137,794.00 64,658,193
19,658,368.00 71,631,309
20,178,942.00 79,422,408
20,699,516.00 88,131,162
21,220,090.00 97,869,393
21,740,664.00 108,762,545
22,261,238.00 120,951,350
22,781,812.00 134,593,688
23,302,386.00 149,866,678
20%
3,501,130 700,226.04
3,940,537 788,107.43
7
4,434,865 886,973.08
5,062,245 1,012,448.93
5,543,147 1,108,629.46
4 4.5 5 5.5
25 30 35 40 45
3501130.18 71,484 SUMMARY OUTPUT
3940537.13 72,969
4434865.41 75,095 Regression Statistics
5062244.633 179,797 Multiple R 0.959161
5543147.32 207,171 R Square 0.91999
6,218,599.89 277,765 Adjusted R 0.899988
Standard E 27623.53
Observatio 6
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 3.51E+10 3.51E+10 45.99397
Residual 4 3.05E+09 7.63E+08
Total 5 3.81E+10
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept -245942 59082.16 -4.1627 0.014114
X Variable 0.082226 0.012124 6.781886 0.002468
Significance F
0.002468
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3.2E+10 3.2E+10 20.83092 0.010307
Residual 4 6.15E+09 1.54E+09
Total 5 3.81E+10
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -2744384 633792.5 -4.3301 0.012349 -4504074
X Variable 21.00549 4.602339 4.56409 0.010307 8.227348
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-984694 -4504074 -984694
33.78363 8.227348 33.78363
pddk PDRB Cargo
132048 3501130.18 71,484 SUMMARY OUTPUT
135200 3940537.13 72,969
136903 4434865.41 75,095 Regression Statistics
138699 5062244.633 179,797 Multiple R 0.985813
140423 5543147.32 207,171 R Square 0.971826
142729.4 6,218,599.89 277,765 Adjusted R 0.953044
Standard E 18927.75
Observatio 6
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 2 3.71E+10 1.85E+10 51.74121
Residual 3 1.07E+09 3.58E+08
Total 5 3.81E+10
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 4067041 1836237 2.214878 0.113584
X Variable -35.9487 15.3013 -2.34939 0.100362
X Variable 0.215178 0.057197 3.762074 0.032843
Significance F
0.004729
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 1.34E+09 1.34E+09
Residual 3 23554948 7851649
Total 4 1.36E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept -26411.8 7971.814 -3.31315
X Variable 0.020374 0.001562 13.0429
F Significance F
170.1172 0.000973
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 1.32E+09 1.32E+09 114.5098
Residual 3 34701502 11567167
Total 4 1.36E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept -794499 81387.57 -9.76192 0.002284
X Variable 1 6.275143 0.586411 10.70093 0.001745
Significance F
0.001745
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1.36E+09 6.78E+08 581.8438 0.001716
Residual 2 2332110 1166055
Total 4 1.36E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 3251708 768397.7 4.231804 0.05156 -54440.3
X Variable -26.7652 6.273753 -4.26621 0.050794 -53.7589
X Variable 0.106873 0.020284 5.268752 0.034187 0.019597
Significance F
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.39E+08 2.39E+08 90.06153 0.002481
Residual 3 7972619 2657540
Total 4 2.47E+08
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 16763.74 4637.849 3.614552 0.036387 2004.04
X Variable 0.008624 0.000909 9.490075 0.002481 0.005732
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
31523.45 2004.04 31523.45
0.011517 0.005732 0.011517
135200 51,143.48 SUMMARY OUTPUT
136903 54,579.18
138699 61,622.62 Regression Statistics
140423 62,329.14 Multiple R 0.980531
142600.1 71,475.99 R Square 0.961442
Adjusted R 0.948589
Standard E 1782.886
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.38E+08 2.38E+08 74.80413 0.003251
Residual 3 9536050 3178683
Total 4 2.47E+08
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept -308709 42664.65 -7.23572 0.005444 -444487 -172931
X Variable 2.658736 0.307406 8.648938 0.003251 1.680432 3.637039
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-444487 -172931
1.680432 3.637039
135200 3940537 51,143.48 SUMMARY OUTPUT
136903 4434865 54,579.18
138699 5062245 61,622.62 Regression Statistics
140423 5543147 62,329.14 Multiple R 0.988215
142600.1 6218600 71,475.99 R Square 0.97657
Adjusted R 0.95314
Standard E 1702.15
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 2.42E+08 1.21E+08 41.67996 0.02343
Residual 2 5794632 2897316
Total 4 2.47E+08
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 1066912 1211224 0.880854 0.471309 -4144565
X Variable -8.57424 9.889308 -0.86702 0.477331 -51.1245
X Variable 0.036335 0.031974 1.136371 0.373626 -0.10124
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
6278389 -4144565 6278389
33.97602 -51.1245 33.97602
0.173909 -0.10124 0.173909
3940537 342.21 SUMMARY OUTPUT
4434865 342.38
5062245 342.55 Regression Statistics
5543147 342.72 Multiple R 0.998569
6218600 342.89 R Square 0.997139
Adjusted R 0.996186
Standard E 0.016601
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.288173 0.288173 1045.699 6.5E-05
Residual 3 0.000827 0.000276
Total 4 0.289
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 341.0418 0.047228 7221.165 5.86E-12 340.8915
X Variable 2.99E-07 9.25E-09 32.33726 6.5E-05 2.7E-07
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
341.1921 340.8915 341.1921
3.29E-07 2.7E-07 3.29E-07
135200 342 SUMMARY OUTPUT
136903 342
138699 343 Regression Statistics
140423 343 Multiple R 0.99889
142600.1 343 R Square 0.997782
Adjusted R 0.997043
Standard E 0.014617
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.288359 0.288359 1349.703 4.44E-05
Residual 3 0.000641 0.000214
Total 4 0.289
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 329.702 0.349778 942.6041 2.63E-09 328.5889
X Variable 9.26E-05 2.52E-06 36.73831 4.44E-05 8.46E-05
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
330.8151 328.5889 330.8151
0.000101 8.46E-05 0.000101
135200 3940537.13 342 SUMMARY OUTPUT
136903 4434865.41 342
138699 5062244.633 343 Regression Statistics
140423 5543147.32 343 Multiple R 0.998898
142,600.08 6,218,599.89 343 R Square 0.997798
Adjusted R 0.995596
Standard E 0.089188
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 2 7.209091 3.604545 453.1445
Residual 2 0.015909 0.007955
Total 4 7.225
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 1656.118 63.46489 26.09503 0.001465
X Variable 0.000401 0.000518 0.773519 0.52013
X Variable 2.01E-07 1.68E-06 0.119943 0.915491
Significance F
0.002202
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.52E+09 2.52E+09 67.16585 0.003801
Residual 3 1.12E+08 37450013
Total 4 2.63E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 67471.22 17410.16 3.875394 0.030417 12064.33 122878.1
X Variable 0.027959 0.003412 8.195477 0.003801 0.017102 0.038816
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
12064.33 122878.1
0.017102 0.038816
132,048 130,559 SUMMARY OUTPUT
135,200 173,229
136,903 199,924 Regression Statistics
138,699 206,769 Multiple R 0.984007
140,423 218,842 R Square 0.968271
141,576 243,145 Adjusted R 0.960338
Standard E 7802.437
Observatio 6
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 7.43E+09 7.43E+09 122.0659 0.000382
Residual 4 2.44E+08 60878020
Total 5 7.67E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept -1310091 136302.2 -9.61167 0.000655 -1688527 -931656
X Variable 10.95111 0.991199 11.04835 0.000382 8.199103 13.70312
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-1688527 -931656
8.199103 13.70312
132,048 3,940,537 173,229 SUMMARY OUTPUT
135,200 4,434,865 199,924
136,903 5,062,245 206,769 Regression Statistics
138,699 5,543,147 218,842 Multiple R 0.985825
140,423 6,218,600 243,145 R Square 0.97185
Adjusted R 0.9437
Standard E 6081.514
Observatio 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 2.55E+09 1.28E+09 34.5242 0.02815
Residual 2 73969628 36984814
Total 4 2.63E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -592172 647770.5 -0.91417 0.457129 -3379304
X Variable 5.554105 5.45219 1.018692 0.415522 -17.9048
X Variable 0.008246 0.019646 0.419743 0.715465 -0.07628
Significance F
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
2194959 -3379304 2194959
29.01299 -17.9048 29.01299
0.092776 -0.07628 0.092776
PENDUDUK
Tahun n Penumpang Pertumbuhan Proyeksi pertumbuhan rerat
2013 0 53,752
2014 1 62,199 0.2
2015 2 80,801 0.3
2016 3 84,568 0.0
2017 4 100,036 0.2 100,036 141576.2
2018 5 RERATA 117,186 143677.1886
2019 6 0.2 137,276 146917.6066
2020 7 160,810 149070.0134
2021 8 188,378 151240.0937
2022 9 220,673 153428.1216
2023 10 258,505 155634.3753
2024 11 302,822 157859.1374
2025 12 354,736 160102.6948
2026 13 415,551 162365.339
2027 14 486,792 164647.3658
2028 15 570,245 166949.0757
2029 16 668,006 169270.774
2030 17 782,526 171612.7705
2031 18 916,680 173975.3798
2032 19 1,073,832 176358.9217
2033 20 1,257,926 178763.7205
2034 21 1,473,580 181190.1059
2035 22 1,726,205 183638.4126
2036 23 2,022,139 186108.9803
2037 24 2,368,808 188602.1543
2038 25 2,774,907 191118.285
2039 26 3,250,627 193657.7284
2040 27 3,807,902 196220.8457
2041 28 4,460,715 198808.0042
2042 29 5,225,444 201419.5765
2043 30 6,121,274 204055.9412
2044 31 7,170,683 206717.4825
2045 32 8,399,998 209404.5909
2046 33 9,840,063 212117.6626
2047 34 11,527,006 214857.1004
2048 35 13,503,154 217623.3128
2049 36 15,818,084 220416.7151
2050 37 18,529,878 223237.7287
PDRB PENDUDUK VS PDRB VS PENDUDUK PDRB VS
Penumpang Penumpang Penumpang MODERAT
PDDK &penumpang
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -794499 81387.57 -9.76192 0.002284 -1053511 -535488 -1053511 -535488
X Variable 6.275143 0.586411 10.70093 0.001745 4.40892 8.141365 4.40892 8.141365
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-4504074 -984694
8.227348 33.78363
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-1776684 9910767
-84.6442 12.74689
0.033153 0.397204
Petikemas Pertumbuha PENDUDUK
Tahun n (TEU) n Proyeksi pertumbuhan rerat
2012 0
2013 1 173,229
2014 2 199,924 0.2
2015 3 206,769 0.0
2016 4 218,842 0.1
2017 5 243,145 0.1 243,145 141,576
2018 6 RERATA 264,893 143,677
2019 7 0.1 288,586 146,918
2020 8 314,399 149,070
2021 9 342,520 151,240
2022 10 373,157 153,428
2023 11 406,534 155,634
2024 12 442,896 157,859
2025 13 482,511 160,103
2026 14 525,669 162,365
2027 15 572,687 164,647
2028 16 623,911 166,949
2029 17 679,717 169,271
2030 18 740,514 171,613
2031 19 806,749 173,975
2032 20 878,908 176,359
2033 21 957,522 178,764
2034 22 1,043,168 181,190
2035 23 1,136,473 183,638
2036 24 1,238,125 186,109
2037 25 1,348,869 188,602
2038 26 1,469,518 191,118
2039 27 1,600,959 193,658
2040 28 1,744,156 196,221
2041 29 1,900,162 198,808
2042 30 2,070,121 201,420
2043 31 2,255,283 204,056
2044 32 2,457,006 206,717
2045 33 2,676,772 209,405
2046 34 2,916,195 212,118
2047 35 3,177,034 214,857
2048 36 3,461,203 217,623
2049 37 3,770,789 220,417
2050 38 4,108,067 223,238
PDRB PENDUDUK VS PENDUDUK PDRB VS
Petikemas PDRB VS Petikemas Petikemas MODERAT
Upper 95.0%
-931656
13.70312
Upper 95.0%
2194959
29.01299
0.092776
Proyeksi
pertumbuha PENDUDUK PDRB PENDUDUK VS
Tahun n Embarkasi Pertumbuhan n rerata Embarkasi
2013 0 51,143
2014 1 54,579 0.1
2015 2 61,623 0.1
2016 3 62,329 0.0
2017 4 71,476 0.1 71,476 141576.2 5833296 71,476
2018 5 RERATA 77,810 143677.2 6431309 73,290.25
2019 6 0.1 84,704 146917.6 7495523 81,905.67
2020 7 92,210 149070 8232650 87,628
2021 8 100,381 151240.1 9027883 93,398.02
2022 9 109,276 153428.1 9888300 99,215.41
2023 10 118,959 155634.4 10821846 105,081.25
2024 11 129,500 157859.1 11837430 110,996.31
2025 12 140,975 160102.7 12945051 116,961.33
2026 13 153,467 162365.3 14155921 122,977.10
2027 14 167,066 164647.4 15482624 129,044.41
2028 15 181,869 166949.1 16939274 135,164.05
2029 16 197,985 169270.8 18541705 141,336.83
2030 17 215,529 171612.8 20307680 147,563.58
2031 18 234,627 173975.4 22257130 153,845.13
2032 19 255,417 176358.9 24412409 160,182.34
2033 20 278,050 178763.7 26798601 166,576.07
2034 21 302,688 181190.1 29443841 173,027.18
2035 22 329,510 183638.4 32379697 179,536.58
2036 23 358,708 186109 35641580 186,105.17
2037 24 390,494 188602.2 39269219 192,733.86
2038 25 425,096 191118.3 43307181 199,423.59
2039 26 462,764 193657.7 47805467 206,175.30
2040 27 503,770 196220.8 52820169 212,989.95
2041 28 548,409 198808 58414212 219,868.52
2042 29 597,004 201419.6 64658193 226,812.00
2043 30 649,905 204055.9 71631309 233,821.39
2044 31 707,494 206717.5 79422408 240,897.73
2045 32 770,186 209404.6 88131162 248,042.04
2046 33 838,432 212117.7 97869393 255,255.38
2047 34 912,727 214857.1 1.09E+08 262,538.82
2048 35 993,604 217623.3 1.21E+08 269,893.45
2049 36 1,081,648 220416.7 1.35E+08 277,320.37
2050 37 1,177,494 223237.7 1.5E+08 284,820.70
PDRB VS PENDUDUK PDRB VS
Embrkasi Embarkasi MODERAT Coefficients
Standard Error
Intercept 16763.74 4637.849
X Variable 0.008624 0.000909
BOR 20%
2.37%
2.35%
2.92%
3.35%
3.86% Jangka Pendek
4.46%
5.17%
6.00% 1 Tambatan
6.95%
8.06%
9.34% Jangka Menengah
10.80%
12.48%
14.40%
16.59%
9.54%
10.95%
12.56%
14.39% 2 Tambatan
16.45%
18.79% Jangka Panjang
21.43%
Kapasitas Call Kapal Call Kapal Jumlah
Tahun Muatan LOA L dermaga Tambatan Bt
Kapal /Tahun /Hari
13.87%
14.20%
19.20%
22.74% 1 Tambatan
26.70% Jangka Pendek
31.12%
36.08%
20.81%
23.92%
27.40%
31.30% 2 Tambatan Jangka Menengah
35.68%
40.58%
46.09%
34.85%
39.47%
3 Tambatan
44.66%
50.48%
42.76%
48.26%
4 Tambatan
54.44% Jangka Panjang
61.37%
Kapal Petikemas
Kapasitas Call Kapal Call Kapal Jumlah
Tahun Muatan LOA L dermaga Tambatan Bt BOR
Kapal /Tahun /Hari
Jangka pendek
1 Tambatan
Jangka Menengah
2 Tambatan
Jangka Panjang
30% barang di
PROYEKSI penumpukan Dewlling Time Storage Factor Tinggi
Tahun ARUS CARGO dari 50% Barang (hari) (ton/m3) penumpukan
(ton/tahun) kargo yang
tinggal
2017 277765.04 97218 7 1 3
2018 284396.52261 99539 7 1 3
2019 384402.92667 134541 7 1 3
2020 455327.26637 159365 7 1 3
2021 534574.23384 187101 7 1 3
2022 623191.75542 218117 7 1 3
2023 722355.97481 252825 7 1 3
2024 833386.88498 291685 7 1 3
2025 957765.86492 335218 7 1 3
2026 1097155.3535 384004 7 1 3
2027 1253420.9208 438697 7 1 3
2028 1428656.0289 500030 7 1 3
2029 1625209.8102 568823 7 1 3
2030 1845718.2309 646001 7 1 3
2031 2093139.0512 732599 7 1 3
2032 2370791.0468 829777 7 1 3
2033 2682398.0089 938839 7 1 3
2034 3032138.1067 1061248 7 1 3
2035 3424699.2639 1198645 7 1 3
2036 3865341.2847 1352869 7 1 3
2037 4359965.5487 1525988 7 1 3
2038 4915193.1998 1720318 7 1 3
A Gudang Penumpukkan
BS (%) ACY efektif YOR P L
(m2)
1780.6666666667
8
5176.3333333333
= GeneralCargo
= Tanto Murni
= JAPAN /1975
= 101.12
= 95.18
= 16.2
= 8.2
= 6.55
= 5934
= 1647
= 3372
= 2115