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Article history: This paper examines how competition among suppliers affects their willingness to provide
Received 1 November 2016 trade credit financing. Trade credit extended by a supplier to a cash constrained retailer
Revised 17 November 2017
allows the latter to increase cash purchases from its other suppliers, leading to a free rider
Accepted 7 December 2017
problem. A supplier that represents a smaller share of the retailer’s purchases internal-
Available online 28 August 2018
izes a smaller part of the benefit from increased spending by the retailer and, as a result,
JEL classification: extends less trade credit relative to its sales. In consequence, retailers with dispersed sup-
G32 pliers obtain less trade credit than those whose suppliers are more concentrated. The free
rider problem is especially detrimental to a trade creditor when the free-riding suppliers
Keywords: are its product market competitors, leading to a negative relation between product substi-
Trade credit tutability among suppliers to a given retailer and trade credit that the former provide to
Competition
the latter. We test the model using both simulated and real data. The estimated relations
Product substitutability
are consistent with the model’s predictions and are statistically and economically signifi-
cant.
© 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.08.008
0304-405X/© 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 485
not only from the trade creditor but also from other sup- more willing to sell on credit. Cuñat (2007) argues that
pliers, leading to a free rider problem: each supplier bears differentiated goods are associated with higher switch-
the full cost of providing trade credit, whereas the bene- ing costs, which reduce buyer opportunism and increase
fit – larger spending by the retailer – is shared among all the supplier’s willingness to offer trade credit. Dass et al.
suppliers. (2015) suggest that trade credit can be used as a commit-
The extent to which a supplier internalizes the benefit ment device for the supplier to make relationship-specific
of providing trade credit depends on the supplier’s share investments, which are more important in industries that
of the retailer’s expenditures. A supplier that is responsible produce differentiated goods.
for a larger share of the retailer’s purchases internalizes a There is a fundamental difference between these pre-
larger part of the benefit and, as a result, is willing to offer dictions and ours. The theories of Burkart and Ellingsen
a larger proportion of its goods on credit. The first empiri- (20 04), Cuñat (20 07), and Dass et al. (2015) tie the ad-
cal prediction of our model is, therefore, a positive relation vantage of trade credit financing to the inherent nature
between trade credit provision and the supplier’s share of of the transacted good, namely, its differentiation from
the retailer’s spending. all other goods in the industry. In contrast, our theory is
Most existing trade credit theories that consider the ef- about product substitutability among suppliers to a par-
fect of supplier competition predict trade credit provision ticular retailer. Consider, for example, a firm that sources
to be negatively related to the supplier’s market power several commodity-like but mutually non-substitutable in-
(see, e.g., Fisman and Raturi, 2004; Dass et al., 2015; Fabbri puts, each from a different supplier. Given the commodity-
and Klapper, 2016). A notable exception is Petersen and Ra- like nature of the inputs, all three aforementioned theories
jan (1997), who argue that a monopolistic supplier, which would predict little trade credit financing. Given that the
is more likely to internalize the long-term benefit of help- inputs are not mutual substitutes, our theory predicts sig-
ing customers, should be willing to provide more trade nificant trade credit financing.
credit. This argument is based on the supplier’s compet- To examine the economic significance of our predic-
itive position vis-à-vis all firms in its industry–whether tions, we calibrate the model and examine the relations
they sell to the same customers or not. In contrast, we between trade credit provision on the one hand and the
highlight the importance of the supplier’s position among distribution of suppliers’ shares and substitutability among
all firms selling to the same customers–regardless of their their products on the other hand using simulated data,
industry affiliations. This contrast becomes most striking if while shutting off all non-strategic factors related to trade
one compares a retailer sourcing from multiple monopolis- credit choices. The results of this exercise suggest that the
tic suppliers with a retailer sourcing from a single compet- effects predicted by the model are economically sizable.
itive supplier. For example, a one-standard-deviation increase in a sup-
The second empirical prediction of our model links the plier’s share of the retailer’s purchases leads to a 0.25–
use of trade credit by a retailer to the concentration of 0.59 standard-deviation increase in the proportion of the
suppliers’ shares of the retailer’s purchases. Because sup- supplier’s output sold on credit. A one-standard-deviation
pliers with larger shares of the retailer’s expenditures are increase in the Herfindahl index of supplier shares is
willing to sell more on credit, our model predicts a posi- associated with a 0.26–0.49 standard-deviation increase
tive relation between a retailer’s use of trade credit and its in the proportion of the retailer’s purchases financed by
supplier concentration, measured by the Herfindahl index trade credit. A one-standard-deviation increase in suppli-
(HHI) of suppliers’ shares of the retailer’s spending. ers’ product substitutability leads to a 0.93–1.26 standard-
Existing studies that we are aware of and that link trade deviation decrease in the proportion of sales financed by
credit financing to supplier concentration – Dass et al., trade credit.
2015 and Fabbri and Klapper (2016) – examine the effect of We also provide suggestive empirical evidence of the
suppliers’ bargaining power, proxied by supplier industry association between the distribution of supplier shares
concentration, on trade credit provision. In contrast, our and substitutability among suppliers’ products on the one
prediction is about the concentration of suppliers’ selling hand and trade credit provided by suppliers to retailers
shares at the customer level, irrespective of whether the on the other, using samples of almost 600 retailer-year
suppliers belong to the same industry. observations and almost 30 0 0 supplier-year observations,
The free rider problem arises even if suppliers sell un- spanning a period of 14 years. Our matching of suppliers
related products, as long as they compete for the retailer’s with retailers is based on an extended version of Cohen
cash. However, this problem becomes especially detrimen- and Frazzini (2008) customer–supplier links. Our estimate
tal to the trade creditor if the free-riding suppliers sell of product substitutability among suppliers is based on
substitutable products and, thus, compete for the same Hoberg and Phillips (2010, 2016) measure of pairwise sim-
end consumers. This leads to our model’s third prediction, ilarity of firms’ product descriptions. When estimating the
which is a negative relation between product substitutabil- predicted relations, we control for various factors that have
ity among suppliers to a given retailer and trade credit that been shown in the literature to be associated with trade
these suppliers provide to the retailer. credit provision, most important, for suppliers’ industry-
There are several theories that predict a positive re- level market shares, suppliers’ industry concentrations, and
lation between trade credit financing and product differ- product differentiation in suppliers’ industries.
entiation in supplier industry. According to Burkart and Our empirical results are consistent with the model’s
Ellingsen (2004), differentiated goods are more difficult predictions and suggest that interactions among suppli-
to divert for private benefits, which makes the supplier ers to a given retailer explain variation in the use of
486 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
trade credit over and above measures of supplier interac- run benefits of providing credit to young and distressed
tion at the industry level, highlighted by Petersen and Ra- firms. Unlike the argument of Petersen and Rajan (1995),
jan (1997), Fisman and Raturi (2004), Cuñat (2007), Dass our theory does not assume anything about future interac-
et al. (2015), and Fabbri and Klapper (2016). Within the tions between lenders and borrowers. In addition, our the-
sample of suppliers, trade credit provided by a supplier ory complements Petersen and Rajan (1995) by examining
to its retailers is significantly positively associated with the effect of product substitutability.
the supplier’s share of retailers’ purchases and is signif- On a broader level, our paper contributes to the liter-
icantly negatively associated with product substitutability ature that links product market competition and debt fi-
among suppliers selling to the same retailers. These re- nancing (see, e.g., Brander and Lewis, 1986; Bolton and
lations are economically non-negligible: a one-standard- Scharfstein, 1990). Whereas this literature studies the ef-
deviation increase in supplier share is associated with a fect of competition on the amount of debt that firms issue,
0.09 standard-deviation increase in trade credit provided, we examine the effect of competition on the amount of
while a one-standard-deviation increase in product substi- trade credit that firms provide.
tutability is associated with a 0.11 standard-deviation de-
crease in trade credit provided. Furthermore, within the 2. Model
sample of retailers, a one-standard-deviation increase in a
retailer’s HHI of supplier shares is associated with a 0.08 We consider N heterogeneous suppliers, each selling a
standard-deviation increase in trade credit received by this distinct product to the same retailer. The retailer then re-
retailer, and a one-standard-deviation increase in product sells these products to end consumers. We assume linear
substitutability among the retailer’s suppliers is associated consumer demand, i.e., the retail market-clearing price of
with a similar reduction in trade credit received by the the product of supplier i (product i henceforth) is given by
retailer, both relations being statistically significant. These
results are robust to various changes in the set of control
N
1
variables. They also tend to hold, but become weaker eco- pi (x ) = αi − xi + γ xj for i = 1, . . . , N , (1)
nomically, when we replace the sample of retailers with a
t
j=1, j=i
sample of wholesalers or a sample of corporate customers
that are neither retailers nor wholesalers. where α i is the demand curve intercept, xi is the quantity
The trade credit literature focuses mostly on explaining sold of product i, γ ∈ [0, 1) measures product substitutabil-
why firms use trade credit financing in the presence of ity and, therefore, the degree of competitive interaction
banks specializing in financial intermediation. Existing among suppliers, and t is the length of the time period.
theories argue thats suppliers may have an advantage over We explicitly model the time dimension so that we can
banks in assessing borrowers’ creditworthiness (see, e.g., later simplify the analysis by focusing on the limiting case
Smith, 1987; Biais and Gollier, 1997; Chod et al., 2017), of instantaneous time period. Supplier heterogeneity is
monitoring borrowers’ revenue (e.g., Jain, 2001), enforcing captured by product-specific demand curve intercepts.
credit repayment (e.g., Cuñat, 2007), renegotiating debt The retailer does not have any cash and relies on
(e.g., Wilner, 20 0 0), or salvaging repossessed inventory two sources of financing: bank credit and trade credit
upon borrower’s default (e.g., Frank and Maksimovic, from suppliers. The sequence of events is as follows. First,
2005). Other explanations of trade credit prevalence are suppliers simultaneously and independently set wholesale
based on moral hazard faced by buyers (e.g., Lee and prices and trade credit limits. Second, the retailer chooses
Stowe, 1993; Long et al., 1993; Kim and Shin, 2012), moral quantities to be purchased from the suppliers, which the
hazard faced by lenders (e.g., Burkart and Ellingsen, 2004; suppliers produce to order, and the amounts of trade credit
Chod, 2017; Fabbri and Menichini, 2016), price discrimi- and bank financing. Finally, consumer demand is realized
nation (e.g., Brennan et al., 1988), transaction costs (e.g., and the retailer uses sales proceeds to repay the bank and
Ferris, 1981; Emery, 1987), and risk sharing and supply the suppliers. All firms are value-maximizers and all cash
chain coordination (e.g., Kouvelis and Zhao, 2012; Yang flows are expressed in present value terms. Next, we de-
and Birge, 2017). scribe the retailer’s and the suppliers’ decision problems
Unlike the aforementioned literature, our paper does in greater detail, starting with the retailer.
not attempt to provide a new rationale for the use of sup-
plier financing. Instead, it identifies an important strategic 2.1. Retailer
cost associated with providing trade credit, which is due
to competitive interaction among suppliers. By examining After observing wholesale prices, w = (w1 , . . . , wN ),
trade credit provision by multiple competing suppliers, our and trade credit limits, T = (T1 , . . . , TN ), the retailer
study complements Brennan et al. (1988), who show how chooses quantities to purchase from each of the N sup-
suppliers can use trade credit to achieve market segmenta- pliers, x = (x1 , . . . , xN ). Because the retailer does not have
tion, and Barrot (2016), who documents how imposition of any cash of its own, it needs to finance the inventory cost,
N
exogenous constraints on trade creditors affects their com- i=1 wi xi , using a combination of trade credit and bank fi-
petitors. The notion that suppliers’ willingness to provide nancing.
trade credit depends on their ability to internalize its ben-
efit is related to Petersen and Rajan (1995), who argue that 2.1.1. Bank financing
banks with greater market power tend to lend more be- We assume that the cost of bank credit is convex in the
cause they are in a better position to internalize the long- retailer’s leverage. Convexity of the cost of debt financing
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 487
of bank credit. where the retail price pi (x) is given by (1) for i = 1, . . . , N.
The retailer chooses the optimal quantities that maximize
2.1.2. Trade credit this profit, i.e.,
Because the increasing marginal cost of bank financing
limits the retailer’s demand for suppliers’ goods, the sup- x∗ (w, T ) = arg max R (x, w, T ). (5)
x≥0
pliers have an incentive to provide trade credit to the re-
tailer. Reflecting the empirical regularity of low variation of 2.2. Suppliers
trade credit terms within industries, we assume that each
supplier offers trade credit at a given industry-specific in- In the first stage, supplier i, i = 1, . . . , N, chooses the
terest rate, rT = t θT , where θ T is the trade credit interest wholesale price, wi , and the trade credit limit, Ti , taking
rate per unit of time.1 the actions of the other suppliers as given and anticipat-
Following Burkart and Ellingsen (2004), we assume that ing the retailer to order the equilibrium quantity, x∗i (w, T ),
each supplier sets a trade credit limit beyond which it re- given in (5). Subsequently, the supplier produces quantity
quires cash payment. Because the cost to the retailer of the xi at a constant marginal cost ci .
first dollar of bank credit is zero, the pecking order in the To model the cost associated with trade credit provi-
retailer’s optimal financing is to (i) first use bank credit; sion, we assume that the supplier’s production cost, ci xi ,
(ii) once the marginal cost of bank credit reaches the trade exceeds its cash revenue, wi xi − Ti , and the supplier needs
credit interest rate, start using trade credit along with bank to obtain financing for the remaining amount, ci xi − wi xi +
credit; (iii) once the trade credit limit is exhausted, use ad- Ti .3 We further assume that, similar to the retailer, suppli-
ditional bank financing. Of course, if the trade credit limits ers face convex cost of financing. In particular, supplier i
set by suppliers are sufficiently high, there is no reason for can borrow from a bank at an interest rate that is linear
the retailer to use additional bank financing. As we show in the supplier’s leverage, defined as the amount borrowed
in Section 3.4, the retailer’s optimal financing mix in this over the book value of assets, where the latter equals the
case depends only on the cost of bank financing relative cost of producing inventory, ci xi . The interest rate faced by
to the industry-specific trade credit interest rate, and not supplier i that borrows ci xi − wi xi + Ti for time period t is,
on the strategic interaction among suppliers, which is the therefore,
object of our study. Therefore, we now focus on the more ci xi − wi xi + Ti
interesting case in which all trade credit limits are bind- r S i = t θS , (6)
ci xi
ing.2 This is the case when the following inequality holds
where the financing cost parameter, θ S , is assumed to be
the same across suppliers.
1
In practice, there are two common forms of trade credit contracts. The profit of supplier i consists of three parts: (i) sales
Under “two-part terms,” the supplier offers the buyer an early pay-
revenue minus cost of goods sold, (ii) interest earned on
ment discount, which represents implicit trade credit interest. Under
“net-terms,” the supplier does not offer any such discount. According to trade credit provided, and (iii) cost of the supplier’s own
Ng et al. (1999), the most common two-part contract is “2/10 net 30,” bank financing, i.e.,
which implies 2% interest rate for a 20-day period. Importantly, Ng et al.
(ci xi − wi xi + Ti )2
(1999) document that trade credit terms tend to be standardized within
Si = (wi − ci )xi + rT Ti − t θS . (7)
industries, and the majority of firms in their sample change prices rather ci xi
than trade credit terms in response to fluctuations in demand.
2
In Section 3.4 we show that in equilibrium, the retailer is either con-
strained by all trade credit limits, or by none of them, and analyze the 3
We verify that the condition ci xi > wi xi − Ti is always satisfied in equi-
latter case formally. librium for any i.
488 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
The equilibrium strategy of supplier i is given by of α . As discussed earlier, this means that any effects of
∗ heterogeneity in α ’s on equilibrium trade credit provision
w∗i , Ti∗ = arg max Si xi wi , w∗−i , Ti , T∗−i , wi , Ti , (8)
wi ,Ti ≥0 stem exclusively from strategic interaction among suppli-
ers. Finally, note that in the case of a single supplier and
where Si is given in (7), x∗i is given in (5), and w∗−i and
t → 0, condition (3), which ensures that the retailer uses
T∗−i are equilibrium wholesale prices and trade credit limits
trade credit up to the limit, is equivalent to
set by the other suppliers.
To examine the impact of supplier heterogeneity on θ 1
θT < 4 θR 1 − R . (10)
trade credit provision, we allow suppliers to be of different θS m + 1
sizes, i.e., we allow αi = α j for i = j. However, we assume
that α1 /c1 = α2 /c2 = · · · = αN /cN ≡ m, where m captures We assume inequality (10) to hold throughout our analysis
suppliers’ profitability.4 As we show below, absent any of the limiting case of t → 0.
strategic interactions, suppliers that differ in size (α i ) The supplier sets trade credit limit so that the marginal
but have the same profitability (α i /ci ) provide the same cost of providing trade credit, i.e., the difference between
amount of trade credit as a proportion of their sales. This the supplier’s own marginal cost of funds, 2rSi , and the
is important because it guarantees that any differences in trade credit interest rate, rT , equals the marginal benefit of
the relative amount of trade credit that these suppliers trade credit provision, i.e., the profit from increased sales,
∂ xi
provide in equilibrium are due exclusively to the suppliers’ ∂ T (wi − ci ). In the next two subsections, we examine how
i
strategic interaction, which is the focus of our study. the latter depends on supplier competition.
Because the equilibrium conditions in their general In this subsection, we focus on the “free rider effect,”
form are too complex to provide insights, we focus on the whereby each supplier providing trade credit internalizes
limiting case in which the length of the time period, t, only a part of the benefit of increasing the retailer’s pur-
approaches zero. In this case, sales quantities, xi /t, trade chasing power. To isolate this effect and, in particular,
credit limits, Ti /t, interest rates, rR /t, rSi /t, and rT /t, and to differentiate it from the effect of strategic interactions
profits, i /t, can be all interpreted as instantaneous rates. among suppliers in the product market, we begin by ex-
Therefore, the fundamental trade-off between using bank amining the case in which suppliers’ products are indepen-
financing and trade credit is preserved, and the equilib- dent, i.e., we assume γ = 0 throughout this subsection. In
rium proportion of trade credit financing, Ti∗ /w∗i x∗i , remains the next subsection, we not only show that our findings
meaningful. In fact, as we show in Section 3.3, the first continue to hold when the suppliers’ products are substi-
best proportion of trade credit financing is independent of tutes (γ > 0), but we also examine how trade credit provi-
t. Importantly, because all equilibrium variables are contin- sion depends on product substitutability.
uous in t for t > 0, all comparative statics obtained for this Let SHi∗ denote supplier i’s equilibrium share of the re-
limiting case are also valid for t small enough. In Section 4, tailer’s spending (“supplier share” henceforth), and let HHI∗
we verify numerically that the results are robust and eco- denote the Herfindahl index of the equilibrium supplier
nomically significant under parameter values calibrated us- shares, i.e.,
ing annual sales and interest rate estimates. N 2
w∗ x∗
Before analyzing the effect of strategic interaction SHi∗ ≡ N i i and H H I∗ ≡ SHi∗ . (11)
w ∗ x∗
among suppliers on the provision of trade credit, we con- k=1 k k i=1
sider a benchmark single-supplier scenario to understand The following proposition links the equilibrium amount
what drives the equilibrium amount of trade credit financ- of trade credit provided by each supplier to the supplier
ing in the absence of strategic considerations. share.
Lemma 1. In the case of a single supplier, as t approaches Proposition 1. As t approaches zero, trade credit provided by
zero, the equilibrium proportion of trade credit financing ap- supplier i as a proportion of its sales approaches the following
proaches the following limit: limit:
T∗ θS ( m − 1 ) + θT
lim = . (9) T∗ θS ( m − 1 ) + θT 2θR SHi∗ − H H I∗
w∗ x∗ θS ( m + 1 ) − 2 θR lim ∗i ∗ = 1+ ,
t→0
t→0 w x
i i
θS ( m + 1 ) − 2 θR H H I ∗ θS m+1
Proof. All proofs can be found in Appendix A. (12)
As one would expect, the supplier provides more trade and, therefore, suppliers with larger shares provide more
credit financing, relative to sales, as its cost of bank financ- trade credit as a proportion of their sales, i.e.,
ing, θ S , decreases; or as the retailer’s cost of bank financ- T j∗
Ti∗
ing, θ R , the trade credit interest rate, θ T , or the supplier’s > ∗ ∗ ⇐⇒ SHi∗ > SH ∗j . (13)
∗
wi xi∗ wjxj
profitability, m, increase. Notably, the proportion of trade
credit financing in the single-supplier case is independent The intuition is as follows. Suppose supplier i extends
an additional dollar of trade credit to the retailer. The re-
4
Absent any strategic interactions tailer optimally uses the freed-up liquidity to simultane-
with other suppliers, supplier i’s
equilibrium profit margin is w∗i − ci /ci = (m − 1 )/2. ously (i) reduce its bank borrowing, (ii) purchase additional
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 489
output from supplier i, and (iii) purchase additional out- Herfindahl index of supplier shares, product substitutabil-
put from other suppliers. Thus, a free rider problem arises ity, and bank and trade credit interest rates.
where the total benefit of increased spending by the re- We now examine the relation between the equilibrium
tailer is not fully internalized by the trade creditor, but provision of trade credit and product substitutability. Be-
is spread across multiple suppliers. Importantly, a supplier cause product substitutability is a key determinant of the
with a larger share of the retailer’s purchases internalizes intensity of competitive interaction among suppliers, one
a larger portion of this benefit. Such a supplier is therefore could conjecture that as product substitutability increases,
willing to provide more trade credit relative to its sales. greater competitive pressure would force suppliers to pro-
The next proposition characterizes the equilibrium vide more trade credit. Our next proposition challenges
trade credit received by the retailer. this intuition. For the sake of tractability, we assume here
that suppliers are symmetrical, but verify, as a part of our
Proposition 2. As t approaches zero, the proportion of trade calibration exercise in Section 4, that the result is robust to
credit financing used by the retailer approaches the following the case of asymmetric suppliers.
limit:
N Proposition 3. When suppliers are symmetrical and t is suf-
k=1 Tk
∗
θS ( m − 1 ) + θT ∗
ficiently small, the proportion of trade credit financing, wT∗ x∗ ,
lim N = , (14)
t→0 ∗ ∗
k=1 wk xk
θS ( m + 1 ) − 2 θR H H I ∗ decreases in product substitutability among suppliers.
and, therefore, is positively related to supplier concentration Recall that trade credit provided by any given supplier
measured by the Herfindahl index of supplier shares. enables the cash constrained retailer to increase cash pur-
chases from all other suppliers. As shown above, this free
When the retailer’s spending is highly fragmented
rider problem reduces the equilibrium provision of trade
across suppliers, each supplier internalizes only a small
credit even if suppliers sell unrelated products. When sup-
portion of the benefit of providing trade credit. This, in
pliers offer substitutable products and, therefore, compete
turn, reduces the amount of trade credit that suppliers
not only for the retailer’s cash but also for the same end
are willing to provide as a whole. With more concentrated
consumers, the free rider problem becomes even more
suppliers, larger suppliers are willing to provide more
detrimental to the trade creditor. The reason is that the
trade credit relative to their sales. Because these larger
additional output sold by the competing suppliers reduces
suppliers also represent a larger share of the retailer’s
the residual consumer demand for the trade creditor’s own
spending, supplier concentration is positively related to
product and, therefore, the price at which it can be sold.
the overall proportion of trade credit in the retailer’s
As product substitutability increases, this disadvantage of
financing mix.
providing trade credit becomes more significant, and sup-
pliers’ willingness to offer trade credit financing decreases.
3.2. Product substitutability
3.3. First-best financing
In this subsection and throughout the rest of the paper,
we allow suppliers’ products to be substitutes, i.e., we al- In the previous two subsections we established that a
low γ ≥ 0. We first confirm that the relation between sup- free rider effect and competitive interaction among sup-
plier shares and their provision of trade credit continues to pliers reduce suppliers’ willingness to offer trade credit.
be positive when products are substitutes. A natural question is then whether competing suppliers
Proposition 1a. At sufficiently small t, suppliers with larger underprovide trade credit relative to the first best. As we
shares provide more trade credit as a proportion of their sales, show below, the answer is not obvious. To facilitate the ex-
i.e., position, we assume symmetrical suppliers throughout this
subsection.
Ti∗ T j∗ Even before defining the first best, it is useful to for-
> ⇐⇒ SHi∗ > SH ∗j . (15)
w∗i x∗i w∗j x∗j mally characterize the effect of supplier competition on
trade credit provision by comparing our base-case N-
Showing a positive relationship between the retailer’s supplier scenario with the case in which a single supplier
use of trade credit financing and supplier concentration sells all N products. Because one can think of such a sup-
analytically for γ > 0 is difficult. However, we can do so plier as a result of the merger of N independent suppliers,
for the special case of symmetrical suppliers, in which the we denote the equilibrium solution in the single-supplier
Herfindahl index of supplier concentration becomes the in- scenario by superscript M. For consistency, we use TM to
verse of the number of suppliers, i.e., H H I∗ = 1/N. denote the equilibrium amount of trade credit that the sin-
Proposition 2a. When suppliers are symmetrical and t is gle supplier offers per product.
sufficiently small, the proportion of trade credit financing,
T∗ Lemma 2. At sufficiently small t, multiple competing suppliers
w∗ x∗ ,increases in supplier concentration.
provide less trade credit relative to their sales than a single
With fewer symmetrical suppliers, the share of each supplier of the same products, i.e.,
becomes larger, and so does the equilibrium proportion
of trade credit financing. To validate the positive relation T∗ TM
< . (16)
between the retailer’s use of trade credit and its sup- w∗ x∗ wM xM
plier concentration in the case of asymmetric suppliers, in As expected, N competing suppliers underprovide trade
Section 4 we calibrate the model with typical values of the credit relative to a single N-product supplier, which inter-
490 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
nalizes the entire benefit of the retailer’s increased spend- purchases) and their products are not strong substitutes,
ing. This of course does not imply that competing suppliers the equilibrium use of trade credit financing may exceed
underprovide trade credit relative to the first best, since it the first-best level. When, however, the number of suppli-
is not obvious how the amount of trade credit provided ers is sufficiently large (i.e., the selling share of each sup-
by a single supplier, whose incentives are not aligned with plier is sufficiently small) or their products are sufficiently
those of the retailer, relates to the first best. strong substitutes, the free rider and competitive interac-
Regardless of the number of suppliers, the equilibrium tion effects prevail, and the equilibrium provision of trade
solution deviates from the first best along two dimensions: credit falls below the first-best level.
quantities produced and trade credit provided. Because co-
ordination of production among suppliers and a retailer is 3.4. Ample trade credit
outside the scope of our paper, we focus on the second di-
mension. In particular, we define the first-best financing as So far, we have focused on the case in which all suppli-
the amount of trade credit per product, TFB , that minimizes ers’ trade credit limits are binding in equilibrium. In this
the total financing cost of the suppliers and the retailer for subsection, we explore the alternative scenario, in which
any given w and x, i.e., the retailer chooses not to use trade credit up to these
limits. To do so, we need to write the retailer’s problem
(cx −wx + T )2 (wx − T )2 in (4) in a more general fashion. Let Ui be the amount of
T F B (w, x ) = arg min t θS + t θR .
T >0 cx wx trade credit from supplier i that the retailer uses. The re-
tailer’s problem is then
(17)
Under first-best financing, the marginal cost of bank credit U∗ , x∗ = arg max R (U, x ) subject to Ui ≤ Ti
x,U≥0
must be the same for the retailer and for the suppliers, i.e.,
for i = 1, . . . , N, where (20)
the retailer and the suppliers must pay the same interest
rate to the bank.
The next lemma compares the equilibrium and first-
N
depends only on the exogenous parameters determining customer to be listed as such by at least two suppliers. As
the retailer’s cost of trade and bank credit. In particular, our theoretical model features customers that are retailers,
it is independent of supplier share concentration, HHI∗ , we impose a restriction that a customer is a retailer, i.e., it
as well as product substitutability, γ . It further follows belongs to NAICS industries 44–45 (retail trade).
from (22) that U∗ is generally not unique: any U such that To estimate the degree of substitutability among sup-
N ∂ R
i=1 Ui satisfies (22), also satisfies ∂ U = 0 for all i, and is
pliers’ products, we rely on Hoberg and Phillips (2010,
i
therefore optimal. In other words, unless the retailer uses 2016) measure of textual similarity between firms’ product
trade credit from each supplier up to the limit–a scenario descriptions in 10K filings for each pair of Compustat
we analyzed as the base-case model in Sections 3.1–3.3, its firms in years 1996–2013. A similarity of zero means that
payoff depends only on the total amount of trade credit, there are no overlapping words in the two firms’ product
N descriptions, other than designated “common words.”
i=1 Ui , and not on how much of it comes from each sup-
plier. Therefore, absent trade credit rationing, our model A similarity of one means that the two firms’ product
does not provide any predictions regarding the amount of descriptions are identical bar these common words. Im-
trade credit extended by suppliers. portantly, this measure is purged of vertical relations using
We have considered the cases in which the retailer’s the Bureau of Economic Analysis input–output tables.5 As
marginal cost of bank credit is either greater than or equal a result of merging the data of Cohen and Frazzini
to the trade credit interest rate; see conditions (3) and (2008) with those of Hoberg and Phillips (2010, 2016),
(22), respectively. To complete the formal analysis, note our main sample covers years 1996–2009. Our samples of
that there is a third, less interesting scenario, in which retailers having at least two suppliers and of suppliers list-
the retailer’s marginal cost of bank credit is lower than ing at least one retailer as their principal customer contain
the trade credit interest rate and the retailer uses no trade 571 retailer-years and 2781 supplier-years, respectively.
credit at all. In summary, all predictions of our model ap-
4.2. Calibrating interest rates
ply to the first case, in which the retailer’s cost of bank
financing and, thus, its demand for trade credit are high,
We begin by calibrating the interest rate parameters,
and, as a result, suppliers ration trade credit strategically.
θ R , θ Si , and θ T , using Compustat data, with the objective of
4. Model calibration matching the mean interest rates paid by retailers and sup-
pliers to external financiers and the mean trade credit in-
To derive analytical results in the previous section, we terest rates to those observed in the data. As follows from
had to rely on several restrictive assumptions. First, our (2), the interest rate paid by a retailer to the bank per unit
analysis assumed that the length of the time period t is of time equals θ R times the retailer’s book leverage, de-
short enough. Second, the relation between the Herfindahl fined as the ratio of bank credit, N i=1 (wi xi − Ti ), and the
N
index of supplier shares and the amount of trade credit book value (purchase price) of inventories, i=1 wi xi . We
used by the retailer was derived under two alternative set t = 1 year and calibrate θ R as the ratio of the retailer’s
assumptions: (i) zero product substitutability, or (ii) sym- average annual interest rate to its book leverage. We mea-
metrical suppliers. Third, the relation between product sure a retailer’s average annual interest rate as the ratio of
substitutability and trade credit provision was developed interest expense, Compustat item xint, to the sum of long-
under the assumption of symmetrical suppliers. term debt, item dltt, and short-term debt, item dlc. Lever-
To verify that our results remain valid absent these as- age is measured as the ratio of the sum of items dltt and
sumptions, we solve our model numerically for realistic dlc to total book assets, item at. Although it is possible
(calibrated) parameter values. Because our calibration is to calibrate θ R for each retailer with the available data, we
based on annual sales and annual interest payments, we calibrate a single θ R to match the sample mean of the ratio
set t = 1 year. In addition to serving as a robustness check, of annual interest rate to leverage, which equals 0.324. The
the calibration exercise allows us to quantify the economic reason is that we want to eliminate variation in all factors
significance of our results. Finally, using simulated data en- other than the distribution of supplier shares and product
ables examining the effects of the distribution of supplier substitutability that could affect the equilibrium amount of
shares and product substitutability on trade credit pro- trade credit financing, interest rates in particular.
vision in isolation from all other factors associated with Similarly, it follows from (6) that θ s can be calibrated
firms’ real-life trade credit choices–a feat difficult to ac- as the ratio of a supplier’s average annual interest rate
complish using real data. and its book leverage, defined as the ratio of bank financ-
ing, ci xi − wi xi + Ti , to the supplier’s book value (produc-
4.1. Data tion cost) of inventories, ci xi . Thus, we calibrate θ s to the
sample mean ratio of a supplier’s annual interest rate to its
Our main data source, which we use for both the cali- book leverage, which is 0.297.
bration and empirical tests, is Compustat Annual Industrial As trade credit terms are unobservable in our data,
Files. To identify customer-supplier links, we use the data we rely on estimates from past studies when cal-
of Cohen and Frazzini (2008), extended to 2009. Cohen and ibrating trade credit interest rate, rT . In particular,
Frazzini (2008) establish customer-supplier relations using
the Compustat Industry Segment data set, which identifies 5
We are grateful to Jerry Hoberg and Gordon Phillips for providing us
firms’ principal customers. As our focus is on the strategic with the complete matrix of firms’ pairwise similarities, without imposing
considerations in firms’ trade credit choices, we require a the lower bound on the similarities.
492 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
Giannetti et al. (2011) report mean annualized trade credit (i) intercepts of consumer demand for suppliers’ prod-
interest rate of 28%, which is what we use in our exercise.6 ucts, α i for supplier i;
(ii) supplier profitability, m = αi /ci , which is identical
for all suppliers of a given retailer in the model as
4.3. Construction of the simulated data set
well as in the calibration.
For the 571 retailer-level observations, we obtain the
The numerical procedure we use to find these param-
following values from the data:
eters is described in detail in Appendix B. In addition to
(i) the number of suppliers that list the retailer as their Nj , γ j , and H H I∗j , we record the equilibrium proportion of
principal customer; Ti∗
sales of each supplier financed by trade credit, w∗i x∗i for
(ii) revenues of each of the suppliers, Compustat item
supplier i, and the equilibrium proportion of purchases of
sale; N j
T∗
(iii) text-based measure of product description similarity retailer j financed by trade credit, i=1 i
. Panels A and B
N j
among all pairs of the retailer’s suppliers, computed i=1
w∗i x∗i
by Hoberg and Phillips (2010, 2016), which we de- of Table 1 report summary statistics of the simulated sam-
note by γi,i for the pair of suppliers i and i . ples of suppliers and retailers, respectively.
Each of the two panels of Table 1 reports the mean,
As our data do not have detailed information on sales standard deviation, and number of observations for the full
of each supplier to each retailer, we approximate supplier sample of retailers and for two subsamples: retailers with
i’s share of retailer j’s purchases by the ratio of supplier i’s relatively concentrated suppliers (five or fewer) and retail-
revenue to the total revenue of all suppliers of retailer j, ers with relatively dispersed suppliers (six or more).
SALE i
SHi = N , where Nj is the number of firms that list As can be seen in Panel A, the mean equilibrium sup-
j
SALE k plier share in the full sample is 0.211 with a standard
k=1
retailer j as their principal customer. We also compute the deviation of 0.326. The mean supplier share is higher in
N j
SHi2 the subsample of retailers with concentrated suppliers,
HHI of supplier shares for retailer j as H H I j = i=1
N j .
( SHi )2 0.344, and lower in the subsample of retailers with dis-
i=1
As our model assumes that the degree of product substi- persed suppliers, 0.142. The mean measure of product sub-
tutability is the same for all suppliers to a given retailer, stitutability in the full sample is 0.0081 with a standard
we measure retailer-level degree of product substitutabil- deviation of 0.018, and it is similar in the two subsamples.
ity as the average product description similarity across all The mean ratio of suppliers’ trade credit to sales is
N j N j 0.488 with a standard deviation of 0.032. These statis-
γ
i=1 i =1,i =i i,i
supplier pairs of a given retailer, γ j = N j (N j −1 )
. tics are very different from their empirical counterparts:
Next, we choose model parameters so as to match, for the mean ratio of accounts receivable, Compustat item
each retailer-level observation j, the following quantities rect, to sales, item sale, is 0.159 with a standard devi-
and their empirical counterparts: ation of 0.117 (see Table 3 below). These differences are
not surprising, as our model abstracts from factors asso-
(i) the number of suppliers, Nj ; ciated with trade credit choices other than strategic inter-
(ii) the mean pairwise substitutability of the suppliers’ actions among suppliers. Importantly, these differences do
products, γ j ; not prevent us from analyzing the quantitative effects of
(iii) the equilibrium HHI of supplier shares, H H I∗j ; the supplier share distribution and product substitutability
N j w∗ on equilibrium trade credit provision while shutting off all
i=1
( i
ci −1 )
(iv) the mean profit margin of the suppliers, Nj ; other factors related to trade credit.
the profit margin in the data is defined as the ra- As shown in Panel B, the mean HHI of supplier shares
tio of operating income after depreciation, Com- in the full sample is 0.317 and its standard deviation is
pustat item oiadp, to sales, item sale; the mean 0.299, indicating that there is substantial variation in the
supplier profit margin equals 0.093. HHI of supplier shares. The mean HHI is higher within the
sample of retailers with more concentrated suppliers and
The number of suppliers, Nj , and their product substi- lower within the sample of retailers with more dispersed
tutability, γ j , are deep parameters of the model, whereas suppliers. By construction, the distribution of simulated
the Herfindahl index, H H I∗j , and the mean supplier profit HHI of supplier shares matches perfectly the distribution
N j w∗ in the data. The distributions of product substitutability
i=1
( i
ci −1 )
margin, Nj , are determined in equilibrium. To and trade credit ratio are similar to the corresponding
match these quantities, we vary the following model pa- distributions in the supplier sample.
rameters:
Table 1
Summary statistics: simulated data.
This table presents summary statistics for the simulated sample of 2781 suppliers (Panel A) and 571 retailers (Panel B).
T∗
Supplier i’s trade credit is the equilibrium proportion of its sales done on credit, w∗i x∗ . Retailer j’s trade credit is the equilibrium
i i
N j
Ti∗
proportion of its purchases financed by trade credit, N j
i=1
, where Nj is the number of retailer j’s suppliers. Share of supplier
i=1
w∗i x∗i
SALE i
i that sells to retailer j is computed as SHi = N j . Retailer j’s Herfindahl index (HHI) of supplier shares is computed as
k=1
SALE k
N j N j N j
SHi2 γi,i
H H I j = Ni=1
j
2 . Mean product substitutability among all suppliers selling to retailer j is computed as γj = i=1 i =i
N j (N j −1 )
, where
i=1
SHi
γi,i is the textual similarity of product descriptions of suppliers i and i , as described in Section 4.1.
Whole sample 2 ≤ # suppliers ≤ 5 # suppliers ≥ 6
# supp. = 2,781 # supp. = 947 # supp. = 1,834
# ret. = 571 # ret. = 326 # ret. = 245
Panel A: Suppliers
Trade credit 0.4882 0.0316 0.4984 0.0109 0.4830 0.0321
Supplier share 0.2109 0.3255 0.3442 0.4105 0.1420 0.0469
Mean product substitutability 0.0081 0.0180 0.0076 0.0175 0.0083 0.0144
Panel B: Retailers
Trade credit 0.4922 0.0240 0.5005 0.0080 0.4812 0.0360
HHI of supplier shares 0.3174 0.2994 0.4722 0.1455 0.1115 0.0996
Mean product substitutability 0.0077 0.0239 0.0074 0.0195 0.0080 0.0206
To estimate the relation between the proportion of re- in establishing creditworthiness with this supplier due
tailer j’s purchases financed by trade credit, T C ∗j , on the to potential hold-up, which makes the supplier reluctant
one hand, and the Herfindahl index of retailer j’s supplier to offer trade credit. Dass et al. (2015) predict a nega-
shares, H H I∗j , and product substitutability among retailer tive relation between trade credit provision and supplier
j’s suppliers, γ j , on the other hand, we estimate the fol- bargaining power in the context of relationship-specific
lowing regression: investments. Fabbri and Klapper (2016) argue that more
powerful suppliers are in a better position to require cash
T C ∗j = α + β1 H H I∗j + β2 γ j + j . (25) payments. Although the predictions and empirical findings
The results of estimating (25) are presented in Panel B of of the three aforementioned papers may seem in contrast
Table 2. Consistent with our theory, the coefficient β 1 is with our Prediction 1, they all emphasize a supplier’s
positive whereas the coefficient β 2 is negative. market power, whereas our focus is on a supplier’s share
The economic significance of both of these effects is of its customers’ purchases.
also large. A one-standard-deviation increase in the HHI Our second empirical prediction is based on
of supplier shares is associated with a 26–49% standard- Propositions 2 and 2a.
deviation increase in the retailer’s ratio of trade credit Prediction 2. The ratio of trade credit received by a retailer
to cost of goods sold. A one-standard-deviation increase to the cost of its purchases is positively related to the Herfind-
in substitutability among suppliers’ products is associated ahl index of supplier shares of the retailer’s purchases.
with a 93–126% standard-deviation decrease in the re- The existing studies that we are aware of connecting
tailer’s ratio of trade credit to cost of goods sold. trade credit provision to supplier concentration are Dass
Overall, the results of calibrating the model and esti- et al. (2015) and Fabbri and Klapper (2016). Both these pa-
mating the equilibrium relations within simulated data in- pers argue that more powerful suppliers have a lesser need
dicate that the analytical relations derived in Section 3 do to provide trade credit, and a supplier’s power increases
not hinge on the parametric assumptions that we had to with the concentration of its industry. Once again, this pre-
adopt for tractability. Equally important, the effects of the diction and the evidence in its support are only seemingly
distribution of supplier shares and product substitutability in contrast with ours. We focus on the concentration of
on the equilibrium trade credit provision are economically selling shares of all suppliers that sell to a given retailer,
significant. even if they operate in different industries, whereas Dass
et al. (2015) and Fabbri and Klapper (2016) focus on the
5. Empirical predictions and discussion concentration of suppliers that belong to the same indus-
try and may or may not sell to the same customers.
Our model assumes, for ease of exposition, one Our next two empirical predictions follow from
retailer. Extending the logic to multiple retailers, Proposition 3.
Propositions 1 and 1a suggest that equilibrium trade Prediction 3a. The ratio of trade credit provided by a sup-
credit provided by a supplier to each of its retailers is in- plier to its sales is negatively related to the average product
creasing in the supplier’s share of the retailer’s purchases. substitutability among suppliers selling to the same retailers.
This leads to our first prediction.
Prediction 3b. The ratio of trade credit received by a retailer
Prediction 1. The ratio of trade credit provided by a supplier to the cost of its purchases is negatively related to the av-
to its sales is positively related to the supplier’s average share erage product substitutability among suppliers selling to that
of its retailers’ purchases. retailer.
We are not aware of any existing theories that yield There are several theories that predict a positive re-
this prediction. Petersen and Rajan (1997) argue that when lation between product differentiation in supplier indus-
a customer’s survival depends on obtaining trade credit, try and trade credit provision. According to Burkart and
a monopolistic supplier, which is more likely to internal- Ellingsen (2004), differentiated goods are more difficult to
ize the long-term benefit of helping the customer, should divert for private benefits by an opportunistic buyer, which
be willing to provide more trade credit. This argument is makes suppliers of differentiated goods more willing to sell
based on the supplier’s competitive position vis-à-vis all on credit. Cuñat (2007) argues that differentiated goods
firms in its industry–whether they sell to the same cus- tend to be more buyer-specific, leading to higher switch-
tomers or not. In contrast, we emphasize the importance of ing costs for the buyer. As a result, a buyer of differenti-
the supplier’s position among all firms selling to the same ated goods is less tempted to strategically default, which
customers–regardless of their industry affiliations. Consider increases suppliers’ willingness to offer trade credit. Chod
the following example that highlights the distinction. Our et al. (2017) suggest that the generally lower liquidity of
model predicts that a retailer buying from multiple mo- differentiated goods makes borrowing in kind more effec-
nopolistic suppliers obtains less trade credit than a retailer tive in signaling borrower’s quality. Consistent with these
purchasing from a single competitive supplier, whereas predictions, the empirical relation between trade credit
Petersen and Rajan (1997) theory predicts the opposite. and product differentiation in supplier industry has been
The remaining trade credit theories that consider found positive (see, e.g., McMillan and Woodruff, 1999;
supplier competition predict the relation between trade Cuñat, 2007; Giannetti et al., 2011; Dass et al., 2015).
credit provision and supplier market power to be negative. Although our predictions regarding trade credit pro-
Fisman and Raturi (2004) argue that a customer of a vision and product substitutability may appear similar
monopolistic supplier does not have incentives to invest to those of Burkart and Ellingsen (2004), Cuñat (2007),
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 495
and Chod et al. (2017), they are fundamentally distinct According to Prediction 2, trade credit obtained by a re-
from all of them. These theories tie the advantage of trade tailer is positively related to the Herfindahl index of sup-
credit financing to the inherent nature of the transacted plier shares of the retailer’s purchases. Prediction 3b states
good, namely, its differentiation from all other goods in that a retailer’s trade credit is negatively related to the
the supplier’s industry. In contrast, our theory has to average product substitutability among its suppliers. We
do with the relations among suppliers to a particular test these predictions by estimating a regression of trade
retailer, i.e., we relate trade credit to product substitutabil- credit obtained by retailer j, TCj , on proxies for the re-
ity among suppliers of a given retailer. This distinction tailer’s Herfindahl index of supplier shares, HHIj , and for
is best illustrated by the following example. Suppose the average substitutability among products of suppliers
that a firm sources several commodity-like but mutually selling to the retailer, γ j , while controlling for other vari-
non-substitutable inputs, each from a different supplier. ables related to retailers’ trade credit, j :
Given the commodity-like nature of the inputs, all of the
aforementioned theories would predict little trade credit T C j = α + β1 H H I j + β2 γ j + βc j + j . (27)
financing. Given that the inputs are not mutual substitutes,
We estimate the regressions in (26) and (27) with OLS
our theory predicts the opposite.
using all supplier-year and retailer-year observations, re-
spectively, while including year fixed effects and clustering
6. Empirical tests standard errors by firm.
a given retailer. Since this is not the case in the data, we 6.3. Summary statistics
compute the average product substitutability among the Nj
suppliers selling to retailer j as Summary statistics are presented in Table 3, which
N j N j contains two panels. Panel A reports statistics for 2781
i=1 i =1,i =i
γi,i supplier-years. Panel B presents statistics for 571 retailer-
γj = , (31)
N j (N j − 1 ) years.
The mean ratio of trade credit extended by suppliers to
where γi,i is the textual similarity between product
their sales is 0.16, whereas the mean ratio of trade credit
descriptions of suppliers i and i , both of which sell
received by retailers to their cost of goods sold is 0.23. This
to retailer j. Our results are robust to using supplier-
is consistent with Giannetti et al. (2011), who report that
sales-weighted average product substitutability, defined as
N j N j retailers tend to obtain more trade credit than other cor-
γ (SALESi +SALESi )
i=1 i =i,i =i i,i porate customers.
γj = N j N j . The results for alterna-
(SALESi +SALESi ) The mean supplier share of retailers’ purchases is
i=1 i =i,i =i
tive specifications of independent variables are available in slightly over 20%, consistent with roughly five suppliers per
Table A5 in the Online Appendix. retailer in our sample. The mean Herfindahl index of sup-
Control variables: Trade credit received by retailers may plier shares is around 30%, indicating relatively high sup-
be related to the following factors. plier concentration for most retailers. The average product
Advantages of trade credit over bank credit, which are ex- substitutability among suppliers of a given retailer varies
pected to be greater for retailers purchasing a larger share considerably across retailers, with a standard deviation
of differentiated inputs and a lower share of service in- over twice the mean within the supplier sample and three
puts (e.g., Giannetti et al., 2011), and those holding a lower times the mean within the sample of retailers.
share of finished goods inventories (e.g., Petersen and Ra- Retailers in our sample are quite large–their mean as-
jan, 1997). To control for the nature of transacted goods, sets are roughly 30 times larger than those of their sup-
we use Rauch (1999) industry-wide estimates of propor- pliers, consistent with retailers being typically larger than
tions of differentiated and service inputs. To control for the other corporate customers and with the bias towards large
proportion of inventories of finished goods out of total in- customers in Cohen and Frazzini (2008) data. Retailers also
ventories, we compute the ratio of Compustat item INVFG tend to be much older than their suppliers. Retailers are
and item INVT. somewhat more profitable than suppliers and grow at a
Retailers’ financial constraints, which we measure us- slightly higher pace on average. The mean proportion of
ing the Hadlock–Pierce index and credit rating. Because tangible assets is twice as large for retailers than for sup-
retailers’ access to external financing could be related to pliers. Suppliers tend to hold larger liquid assets and tend
their tangible assets, which are easier to collateralize, we to be more financially constrained than retailers, whereas
also control for asset tangibility, defined as the ratio of the mean leverage is similar across the two groups. Sup-
physical capital stock over book assets, item AT. To mea- pliers and retailers have similar market shares in their in-
sure a firm’s stock of physical capital, we adopt a variant of dustries, around 25% on average.
perpetual inventory method.9 In addition, retailers’ access The magnitudes of the correlations between the focal
to external financing could be related to their liquidity and independent variables, reported in Tables A1 and A4 in
leverage, measured similarly to those of suppliers. the Online Appendix, are low: the correlation between the
Retailers’ growth, which we measure similarly to that of mean supplier share and the mean substitutability of the
suppliers. supplier’s products is 9% and that between the HHI of sup-
Retailers’ market power, which could allow them to ob- plier shares and the mean product substitutability among
tain more trade credit (e.g., Wilner, 20 0 0), and which we suppliers of a given retailer is −7%.
proxy by the retailer’s market share in its three-digit SIC
industry as well as by the Herfindahl index of the retailer’s
three-digit SIC industry. 6.4. Empirical results
6.4.1. Suppliers
9
First, we calculate the three-digit SIC industry-average depreciation We first estimate the regression in (26) to test Predic-
rate of physical capital for each year, where a firm’s depreciation rate is tion 1, i.e., a positive relation between a supplier’s trade
the ratio of its accounting depreciation, item DP, and its beginning-of-
year gross PP&E, item PPEGT. Second, we compute the firm’s stock of
credit and its average share of retailers’ purchases, SHi ,
physical capital in the following way. A firm’s capital stock at the end of and Prediction 3a, i.e., a negative relation between a sup-
year 1, which is defined as the first year the firm appears in Compustat, plier’s trade credit and substitutability of its products with
is its gross PP&E depreciated with the industry-wide depreciation rate in products of other suppliers that sell to the same retailers,
year 1. Its capital stock at the end of any year τ > 1 is the sum of the
capital stock in year τ − 1 and the capital investment in year τ , computed
γi . The results are presented in Table 4, which has four
as the difference between PPEGT in year τ and that in year τ − 1, and columns.
depreciated with the industry-wide depreciation rate in year τ . A similar In the first column, the set of independent variables
method is frequently used for computing the stock of intangible capital includes only SHi and γi . In Column 2, we augment the
(see, e.g., Hall et al., 2005; Hirshleifer et al., 2013) and organization capital regression with all of the control variables defined in
(e.g., Eisfeldt and Papanikolaou, 2013). We obtain similar results if we use
a fixed depreciation rate for all industries and years: 15% as in Hall et al.
Section 6.2.1. Despite the low correlation between SHi and
(2005), 20% as in Hirshleifer et al. (2013), as well as other rates ranging γi , to ensure that inclusion of both does not bias the co-
from 10% to 30%. efficient estimates, in Columns 3 and 4 we estimate the
498 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
Table 3
Suppliers and retailers: summary statistics.
This table presents summary statistics for the sample of suppliers in Panel A and for the sample of retailers in Panel B. The sample period is 1996–2009.
The sample of suppliers includes 2781 observations of suppliers that sell to at least one retailer (NAICS two-digit industry 44 or 45) that has at least two
suppliers. The sample of retailers includes 571 observations of retailers that have at least two suppliers. Customer-supplier links are based on the extended
version of Cohen and Frazzini (2008) data set. Trade credit for suppliers is the ratio of accounts receivable, Compustat item AR, and book assets, item AT.
Trade credit for retailers is the ratio of accounts payable, item AP, and book assets. Mean supplier share is computed as in (28). HHI of supplier shares is
computed as in (30). Mean product substitutability is computed as in (29) for the sample of suppliers, and as in (31) for the sample of retailers. Book assets
is item AT. Age is the difference between the year of the observation on the one hand and the founding year, incorporation year, or the year the firm first
appears in CRSP/Compustat in this order of availability on the other hand. Profit margin is operating profitability, computed as the ratio of item OIADP
to item SALE. Sales growth is year-to-year percentage change in SALE. Tangibility is the ratio of capital stock to book assets. Capital stock is estimated
using the perpetual inventory model of PP&E, described in Section 6.2.2. Liquidity is the ratio of cash and marketable securities, item CHE, to book assets.
Leverage is the ratio of the sum of short-term and long-term debt, items DLC and DLTT, respectively, and the sum of short-term debt, long-term debt,
and the market value of equity, given by CSHO × PRCC_C. R&D is the ratio of R&D expenditures, item XRD, and book assets. Advertising is the ratio
of advertising expenditures, item XAD, and book assets. Hadlock and Pierce (2010) index is computed as (−0.737 × Size ) + (0.043 × Size2 ) − (0.040 × Age ),
where size is measured as log book assets, inflation adjusted to 2004 and capped at $4.5 billion, and age is capped at 37. Constrained (Unconstrained) is
a dummy variable that equals one if the firm’s Hadlock and Pierce index is in the top (bottom) deciles. Investment-grade rating is a dummy variable that
equals one if the firm has a rating above BBB - . Rating present is a dummy variable that equals one if the firm has debt rating available. Standardized
goods, differentiated goods, and services are dummy variables that equal one if the supplier belongs to the corresponding industry, according to Rauch
(1999) classification. Proportions of standardized inputs, differentiated inputs, and service inputs are continuous variables ranging between zero and one,
and defined in Rauch (1999). Proportion of finished inventory is the ratio of inventory of finished goods, item INVFG, to total inventory, item INVT.
Industry share is the ratio of the firm’s sales to total sales in the firm’s three-digit SIC industry. Industry HHI is the Herfindahl index of sales within the
firm’s three-digit SIC industry. All ratios are winsorized at the 1% and 99% of their distributions.
regression while including only one of these two focal in- tially, and/or trade credit and the supplier’s competitive
dependent variables at a time, along with control variables. position at the customer level are linked through other
Consistent with Prediction 1, the coefficient on SHi channels that are not captured by our model.
is positive and significant at 10% level regardless of the Consistent with Prediction 3a, the coefficient on γi is
inclusion of the other independent variables. The eco- negative and highly statistically significant in all specifica-
nomic effect of a supplier’s average share of its retailers’ tions. Economically, a one-standard-deviation increase in γi
purchases on trade credit extended by that supplier is is associated with a 10–11% standard-deviation reduction
not negligible: A one-standard-deviation increase in SHi is in trade credit. Again, the fact that these figures are an or-
associated with an 8% (9%) standard-deviation increase in der of magnitude lower than those estimated with simu-
trade credit in the absence (presence) of control variables. lated data suggests that the relation between substitutabil-
The fact that the economic effect is around five times ity among suppliers’ products and trade credit that these
lower than in the regressions based on simulated data in suppliers extend may have additional facets that are not
Section 4, suggests that managers incorporate strategic captured by our model. A comparison of the coefficients
considerations into their trade credit decisions only par- on SHi and γi in Columns 3 and 4 with those in Column
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 499
The supplier’s payoff (56) is
2 ∂xj N
∂ xi
(cx − wx + T ) 2 and (1 − γ ) +γ
S = (w − c )x + t θT T − t θS , (38) t ∂ wk ∂ wk i=1
cx N 2
and the optimality conditions for w∗ and T∗ are i=1 Ti xk + Ni=1 wi ∂∂wxi
+ 2t θR w j N 3
k
=0 (47)
dS (cx − wx + T )
= t θT − 2t θS i=1 wi xi
dT cx
for k = j and k = j, respectively.
∂x (cx − wx )2 − T 2
+ ( w − c ) − t θS c = 0, As t → 0, conditions (44) simplify into
∂T (cx )2
(39) 2
N
αj − wj − (1 − γ )x j + γ xi = 0 for all j. (48)
t
i=1
dS (cx − wx + T )x As t → 0, conditions (45) simplify into
= x + 2t θS
dw cx N
1 ∂xj
N
1 ∂ xi Ti
∂x (cx − wx )2 − T 2 (1 − γ ) +γ − t θR w j i=1 2 = 0
+ ( w − c ) − t θS c = 0. t ∂ Tk t ∂ Tk
∂w (cx )2 i=1
N
wx i=1 i i
Taking the total derivative of (44) with respect to Tk Summing Eqs. (50) and (51) over all j’s, we obtain
gives N 1 ∂ xi 1 1
=− . (54)
2 ∂xj 2
N
∂ xi i=1 t ∂ wk 2 1 − γ + Nγ
− (1 − γ ) − γ
t ∂ Tk t ∂ Tk Combining (51) and (54) gives
i=1
N N N
N ∂ xi 1 ∂ xk 1 γ
wi xi − i=1 Ti i=1 wi ∂ Tk
i=1 Ti i=1 = − 1 for all k. (55)
+ 2t θR w j N N 2 =0 t ∂ wk 2 (1 − γ ) 1 − γ + Nγ
i=1 wi xi i=1 wi xi
The objective of supplier k can be written as
(45) 2
for j = 1, . . . , N. Taking the total derivative of (44) w.r.t. wk ck x∗k − wk x∗k + Tk
Sk = (wk − ck )x∗k + rT Tk − t θS , (56)
gives ck x∗k
N 2
∂x
N
∂ xi and the optimality conditions for w∗k and Tk∗ are
2 i=1 Ti
1+ (1 − γ ) k + γ + t θR −t θR 2
t ∂ wk ∂ wk N
wi xi dSk ∂ Sk ∂ xk ∂ Sk
i=1 i=1 = + = 0, and (57)
N 2 N dTk ∂ Tk ∂ Tk ∂ xk
∂ xi
i=1 Ti xk + i=1 wi ∂ wk
+ 2t θR wk N 3 = 0, (46)
wi xi
dSk ∂ Sk ∂ xk ∂ Sk
i=1 = + = 0. (58)
dwk ∂ wk ∂ wk ∂ xk
502 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
Taking the derivatives, conditions (57) and (58) become Proof of Proposition 2
dSk Suppose γ = 0. It follows from Eqs. (48) and (64) that
(c x − wk xk + Tk )
= −2t θS k k + rT as t → 0, we have 1t xk → m4−1 ck and wk → m2+1 ck for all k =
dTk ck xk
1, . . . , N. It also follows from Eqs. (53) and (63) that
∂ xk (ck xk − wk xk )2 − Tk2
+ wk −ck −t θS ck = 0, and 1 1 1 θT
∂ Tk (ck xk )2 T → (wk − ck )xk + c x
t k t t 2 θS k k
(59) N
θR Ti
+ wk i=1 2 (wk − ck )ck xk . (69)
2 θS N
i=1 wi xi
dSk (c x − wk xk + Tk )xk
= xk + 2t θS k k
dwk ck xk Summing Eq. (69) over all k’s gives
∂ xk ( ck xk − w k xk ) − 2
Tk2
1
N
1
N
1 θT
N
+ w k − c k − t θS ck = 0. (60)
∂ wk (ck xk )2 Tk → (wk − ck )xk + ck xk
t t t 2 θS
k=1 k=1 k=1
As t → 0, conditions (59) and (60) simplify into N
θR
N
i=1 Ti
1 ∂ xk + wk (wk − ck )ck xk .
2θS N w x 2
ck xk − wk xk + Tk (70)
−2θS + θT + (w − ck ) = 0, and
ck xk t ∂ Tk k i=1 i i k=1
(61) Therefore,
N N
N θS k=1 (wk −ck )xk
N + θ2T Nk=1
ck xk
1 1 ∂ xk k=1 Tk k=1 wk xk k=1 wk xk
x + ( w − ck ) = 0 , (62) N → N . (71)
t k t ∂ wk k k=1 wk xk θS − t θ2R k=1 wk (wk −ck )ck xk
N
( )
2
k=1 wk xk
1 ∂ xk 1 ∂ xk
where t ∂ Tk and t ∂ wk are given by (53) and (55), respec-
1 m−1 m+1
tively. Using Eq. (61), we obtain Substituting for t xk = 4 ck and wk = 2 ck gives the de-
sired result.
Tk 2θS (wk − ck ) + θT ck + 1t ∂∂ xTk (wk − ck )ck
→ k
. (63) Proof of Proposition 1a
wk xk 2 θS w k Suppose t → 0 and α k > α l . It follows from Eq. (63) that
Tk Tl
Combining (48), (55), and (62) gives us w x > w x if and only if
γ
k k l l
m+1− ck − 2γ 1t Ni=1 xi 1 ∂ xk
wk →
1 −γ + N γ
. (64) 2 θS ( w k − c k ) + θT c k + t ∂ Tk (wk − ck )ck
2 − 1−γγ+Nγ 2 θS w k
Now suppose that γ = 0. Using Eqs. (53), (63), (48), and 2 θS ( w l − c l ) + θT c l + 1 ∂ xl
(wl − cl )cl
t ∂ Tl
(64), as t → 0, we have 1t xk → m4−1 ck , wk → m2+1 ck , and > (72)
2 θS w l
Tk m−1 θT 1
→ +
wk xk m+1 θS m + 1 wk 1 ∂ xk w
N ⇐⇒ (2θS − θT ) + ( w − ck ) l
θR ck t ∂ Tk k cl
i=1 Ti 4
+
⇒
2θS N w x 2 k k m + 1
w x (65)
w 1 ∂ xl w
i=1 i i > ( 2 θS − θT ) l + ( w l − cl ) k . (73)
cl t ∂ Tl ck
1 1 m−1 θT 1 Given that 2θ S > θ T , which follows from Eq. (10), it is
T → wk xk + wk wl ∂x w
t k t m+1 θS m + 1 enough to show that ck > cl and 1t ∂ Tk (wk − ck ) c l >
k l
1 N ∂ x w
t ∂ Tl (wl − cl ) ck . The first inequality follows directly from
1
θR i=1 Ti 4
l k
2 (wk xk ) m + 1 .
t 2
+ N (66)
2 θS Eq. (64). The second inequality can be rewritten using
i=1 wi xi (53) as
Summing Eq. (66) over k = 1, . . . , N, we get
1 γ Ni=1 wi
N
θT 1
N 1− (wk − ck )ck
1 m−1 1 wk ( 1 − γ + γ N )
Tk → + w x
t m+1 θS m + 1 t k=1 k k
k=1 1 γ Ni=1 wi
> 1− (wl − cl )cl . (74)
2 θR 1
N wl ( 1 − γ + γ N )
+ HHI Tk
⇒ (67)
m + 1 θS t
k=1 This last inequality follows from the fact that ck > cl and
Tk∗
m−1 Eq. (64). Thus, we have shown that αk > αl ⇐⇒ w∗ x∗ >
1
N
m+1
+ θθT m1+1 1 N
Tl∗
k k
Tk → S
wk xk . (68) w∗ x∗ , and it remains to show that αk > αl ⇐⇒ wk xk >
∗ ∗
t 1 − m2+1 θθR H H I t k=1 l l
k=1 S w∗l x∗l . It follows directly from Eq. (64) that αk > αl ⇐⇒
Combining Eqs. (68) and (65) yields the desired result. w∗k > w∗l . Combining Eqs. (64) and (48) yields
J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505 503
1 1 1
N 1− γ We know from the proof of Proposition 2a that ∂∂w wx
T
>
1 −γ + N γ
xk → ck ( m − 1 ) − 2 γ xi . 0, and it is straightforward to show that w∗ < wM and
t 2 (1 − γ ) t
i=1
2 − 1−γγ+Nγ (1−γ )
N (1−2γ +γ N )
< 1. Therefore, as t → 0, we have
(75)
Thus, αk > αl ⇐⇒ x∗k > x∗l , which completes the proof. T∗ θS (w∗ −c ) + θ2T c θS wM − c + θ2T c
= ( 1 −γ )
< ( 1 −γ )
w∗ x∗ θS w∗ − θR c N (1−2 θS wM − θR c N (1−2
Proof of Proposition 2a γ +γ N ) γ +γ N )
When suppliers are symmetrical, the share of each de-
M θT
θS w − c + 2 c T M
creases in the total number of suppliers. Thus, we need to < = M M, (86)
d T∗ θS w M − θR c w x
prove dN w∗ x∗ < 0. It follows from Eqs. (48) and (64) that
as t → 0, which completes the proof.
α ( 1 − γ ) + c ( 1 − 2γ + γ N ) Proof of Lemma 3
w→ , and (76)
2 − 3γ + γ N It is straightforward to show that the solution to prob-
lem (17) satisfies
1 1 ( α − c ) ( 1 − 2γ + N γ )
x→ . (77) T F B (w, x ) θS ( w − c ) + θR c
t 2 ( 2 − 3γ + γ N ) ( 1 − γ + γ N ) = . (87)
It further follows from Eqs. (53) and (63) that
wx θS w + θR c
Using Eqs. (85) and (87), as t → 0, we have
T θS (w − c ) + θ2T c
→ 1−γ )c
. (78)
wx θS w − θR N (1(−2 γ +γ N ) TM T F B wM , xM
M M
> (88)
w x wM xM
We have d T
dN wx
= ∂∂N wx
T
+ ∂∂ w ∂ T .
N ∂ w wx
It follows from
∂ T < 0. Using Eq. (76),
Eq. (78) that ∂ N wx we have
θS wM − c + θ2T c θS wM − c + θR c
∂w (1 − γ )γ (α − c ) ⇐⇒ > (89)
=− < 0. (79) θS w M − θR c θS w M + θR c
∂N (2 − 3γ + γ N )2
Finally, using Eq. (78), we have
θT
1−γ )c θT ⇐⇒ θS θR wM − c + θS wM + θR c > (θS − θR )θR c.
∂ T θS w − θR N (1(−2 γ +γ N ) − θS ( w − c ) + 2
c 2
= θS 2 . (90)
∂ w wx 1−γ )c
θS w − θR N (1(−2 γ +γ N )
Using Eq. (84) and α = cm, the last inequality is equivalent
(80) to
1−γ c
The fact that T
∈ (0, 1 ) implies θS w − θR N (1(−2γ +) γ N ) >
wx 3θS θR − 2θR2 − θT θR − 0.5θT θS
θS ( w − c ) + θT ∂ T
> 0. There- m> , (91)
2 c, which in turn implies ∂ w wx θR θS + 0 . 5 θT θS
d T
fore, dN wx
< 0.
and the result follows.
Proof of Proposition 3
∂ T + ∂ w ∂ T . It also Proof of Proposition 4
From Eq. (78), we have ddγ wx
T
= ∂γ ∂γ ∂ w wx
wx Using (10) and the fact that m > 1, it is easy to see
follows from Eq. (78) that ∂γ ∂ T < 0. Using Eq. (76), we θ
wx that 2T (θS + θR )c − θR θS c < 0. Using Eq. (83) and Eq. (87),
have as t → 0, we have
∂w (α − c ) (N − 1 )
=− < 0. (81) T∗ T F B ( w∗ , x∗ )
∂γ (2 − 3γ + γ N )2 ∗ ∗
< (92)
w x w∗ x∗
Finally, we know from the proof of Proposition 2a that
∂ T d T
∂ w wx > 0. Therefore, dγ wx < 0. θS (w∗ − c ) + θ2T c θS ( w ∗ − c ) + θR c
Proof of Lemma 2 ⇐⇒ − <0
1−γ )c
θS w∗ − θR N (1(−2 γ +γ N )
θS w ∗ + θR c
We know from (78) and (76) that as t → 0,
α ( 1 − γ ) + c ( 1 − 2γ + γ N ) (93)
w∗ → , and (82)
2 − 3γ + γ N
θS (w∗ − c ) + θ2T c θR ( θS ( w ∗ − c ) + θR c ) ( 1 − γ )
T∗ ⇐⇒
→ 1−γ )c
. (83) N ( 1 − 2γ + γ N )
w∗ x∗ θS w∗ − θR N (1(−2 γ +γ N ) θT ( θS w ∗ + θR c )
It is straightforward to show that the single-supplier solu- − θR θS c + < 0, (94)
2
tion satisfies
α+c where w∗ is defined in Eq. (82). It is straightforward to
wM → , and (84) show that the left-hand-side of (94) is decreasing in γ and
2
N. Furthermore, as γ → 1 or N → ∞, the LHS of (94) ap-
θ
proaches 2T (θS + θR )c − θR θS c < 0. Thus, there are γ̄ < 1
TM θS wM − c + θ2T c
→ . (85) and N̄ < ∞ such that inequality (94) holds if and only if
wM xM θS w M − θR c γ > γ̄ or N > N̄.
504 J. Chod et al. / Journal of Financial Economics 131 (2019) 484–505
Appendix B. Numerical solution used for calibration We repeat the procedure above for each integer N j be-
tween 1 and N j − 1 and for a fine grid of values of m, α ,
In this appendix, we provide details on the numerical and α . For each N j we pick the combination of m, α , and
procedure used in the model’s calibration. In particular, α that matches the model-based HHI of equilibrium sup-
we describe how we match equilibrium quantities – the plier shares of customer j, H H I∗j , and the equilibrium mean
Herfindahl index of supplier shares and the mean profit N j w∗
margin of suppliers – to their empirical counterparts. i=1
( i
ci −1 )
profit margin of customer j’s suppliers, , to their
Note that when Nj > 2 and α 1 is normalized to one, the Nj
empirical counterparts. The procedure concludes when the
number of parameters that we can vary (α2 , . . . , αN j , m)
absolute difference between the model H H I∗j and its em-
exceeds the number of equilibrium quantities that we are
N j w∗ pirical counterpart is below 10−3 and the absolute differ-
i=1
( i
ci −1 ) N j w∗
trying to match to the data (H H I∗j and Nj ). In other i=1
( i
ci −1 )
ence between Nj and the mean profit margin in
words, there are multiple combinations of demand inter-
cepts that lead to the same equilibrium HHI of supplier the data, 0.093, is below 10−3 as well. Given the available
shares. Ideally, we would like to find the values of demand degrees of freedom, we choose N j to match as closely as
intercepts that match each supplier’s equilibrium share of possible the share of customer j’s purchases from the sup-
customer’s revenues, SHi∗ , to that in the data. However, as plier with the largest share. We denote the chosen values
we discuss below, this is, in general, computationally in- of model parameters for customer j as N , m , and α
j , α .
j j j
feasible. Thus, to narrow down the set of possible combi- We record the following equilibrium values of the
nations of demand intercepts, we make the following iden- model’s numerical solution that uses the parameters equal
tifying assumption: out of Nj suppliers, N j suppliers have a , m
to N , and α
j , α :
j j j
common demand intercept α , whereas N j = N j − N j sup-
(i) the equilibrium proportion of sales of each supplier
pliers have a common demand intercept α . The identifi- Ti∗
cation of N j is discussed below. financed by trade credit, w∗i x∗i for supplier i;
For each retailer-level observation and for given values (ii) the equilibrium proportion of purchases of customer
N j
of m, Nj , N j , α , and α , we solve the model numerically T∗
i=1 i
j financed by trade credit: N j ;
using the following steps: i=1
w∗i x∗i
(iii) the number of customer j’s suppliers, Nj ;
(iv) the mean product substitutability of customer j’s
(i) We assume starting values of wholesale prices and suppliers, γ j ;
trade credit limits of each supplier, wi and Ti , respec- (v) the Herfindahl index of customer j’s supplier shares,
tively, for supplier i; starting values are symmetrical H H I∗j .
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