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CAUDAL Máx 100años
CAUDAL Máx 100años
CAUDAL Máx 100años
RECRETA
QUEROCOCHA
RECRETA
QUEROCOCHA
STACION QUEROCOCHA
Qm
1.88
2.66
1.745
1.565
1.78
2.2
2.225
2.095
2.53
2.37
2.085
2.6
1.93
3.35
1.755
1.405
2.435
2.63
3.085
2.065
2.89
2.67
2.85
1.8785
2.285
3.145
1.605
3.085
2.72
RDENADOS
STACION QUEROCOCHA
Qm
1.405
1.565
1.605
1.745
1.755
1.780
1.879
1.880
1.930
2.065
2.085
2.095
2.200
2.225
2.285
2.370
2.435
2.530
2.600
2.630
2.660
2.670
2.720
2.850
2.890
3.085
3.085
3.145
3.350
PRUEBA PARA LA ESTACION PACHA
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
Qmax (ord) m P Z F(z) |𝐹(𝑧)−𝑃|
15.88 1 0.034 -1.234 0.109 0.074
17.16 2 0.069 -1.106 0.134 0.065
17.90 3 0.103 -1.032 0.151 0.048
18.15 4 0.138 -1.007 0.157 0.019
18.16 5 0.172 -1.006 0.157 0.015
21.50 6 0.207 -0.673 0.250 0.044
21.58 7 0.241 -0.665 0.253 0.012
23.00 8 0.276 -0.523 0.300 0.025
23.50 9 0.310 -0.473 0.318 0.008
23.58 10 0.345 -0.465 0.321 0.024
23.60 11 0.379 -0.463 0.322 0.058
24.20 12 0.414 -0.404 0.343 0.071
24.40 13 0.448 -0.384 0.351 0.098
25.40 14 0.483 -0.284 0.388 0.094
25.70 15 0.517 -0.254 0.400 0.117
26.30 16 0.552 -0.194 0.423 0.129
26.60 17 0.586 -0.164 0.435 0.151
27.00 18 0.621 -0.124 0.451 0.170
27.00 19 0.655 -0.124 0.451 0.205
31.28 20 0.690 0.303 0.619 0.071
33.00 21 0.724 0.475 0.682 0.042
34.00 22 0.759 0.574 0.717 0.042
34.96 23 0.793 0.670 0.749 0.045
36.00 24 0.828 0.774 0.780 0.047
41.00 25 0.862 1.273 0.898 0.036
41.00 26 0.897 1.273 0.898 0.002
52.00 27 0.931 2.370 0.991 0.060
57.00 28 0.966 2.869 0.998 0.032
MAX 0.205
n 28
Caudal prom. 28.245
Desv. estandar 10.022
Δ ∆_0 CUMPLE Δ
NORMAL 0.205 0.246 si
LOG NORMAL 0.146 0.246 si
GUMBEL 0.137 0.246 si
NORMAL
T (años) F(z) z Qmax
100 0.990 2.326 51.56
ARA LA ESTACION PACHACOTO
n 28 α 7.807
Caudal prom. 3.288 β 23.735
Desv. estandar 0.315 e 2.718
CUMPLE ∆_0>Δ
si
si
si
LOG NORMAL GUMBEL
Qmax w Qmax
55.806 4.600 59.648
Distribuciones estadísticas - PACHACOT
1.00
0.75
F(z); P; F(w)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0 5 10 15 20
m
estadísticas - PACHACOTO
F(z): Normal
P observado
F(z): Log. Norm.
F(w): Gumbel
20 25 30
PRUEBA PARA LA ESTACION RECR
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
Qmax (ord) m P Z F(z) |𝐹(𝑧)−𝑃|
6.17 1 0.033 -1.843 0.033 0.001
8.80 2 0.067 -1.623 0.052 0.014
11.90 3 0.100 -1.364 0.086 0.014
13.20 4 0.133 -1.256 0.105 0.029
17.08 5 0.167 -0.931 0.176 0.009
18.40 6 0.200 -0.821 0.206 0.006
21.48 7 0.233 -0.563 0.287 0.053
21.50 8 0.267 -0.562 0.287 0.021
21.97 9 0.300 -0.522 0.301 0.001
23.00 10 0.333 -0.436 0.331 0.002
23.10 11 0.367 -0.428 0.334 0.032
23.50 12 0.400 -0.394 0.347 0.053
25.19 13 0.433 -0.253 0.400 0.033
25.78 14 0.467 -0.204 0.419 0.047
26.96 15 0.500 -0.105 0.458 0.042
27.01 16 0.533 -0.101 0.460 0.073
27.65 17 0.567 -0.047 0.481 0.086
29.09 18 0.600 0.073 0.529 0.071
31.26 19 0.633 0.255 0.600 0.033
34.10 20 0.667 0.492 0.689 0.022
37.60 21 0.700 0.785 0.784 0.084
38.00 22 0.733 0.818 0.793 0.060
38.20 23 0.767 0.835 0.798 0.031
38.80 24 0.800 0.885 0.812 0.012
39.90 25 0.833 0.977 0.836 0.002
40.00 26 0.867 0.985 0.838 0.029
40.35 27 0.900 1.015 0.845 0.055
53.55 28 0.933 2.118 0.983 0.050
54.70 29 0.967 2.215 0.987 0.020
MAX 0.086
n 29
Caudal prom. 28.215
Desv. estandar 11.959
Δ ∆_0 CUMPLE Δ
NORMAL 0.086 0.246 si
LOG NORMAL 0.134 0.246 si
GUMBEL 0.115 0.246 si
NORMAL
T (años) F(z) z Qmax
100 0.990 2.326 56.04
PARA LA ESTACION RECRETA
n 29 α 9.316
Caudal prom. 3.235 β 22.834
Desv. estandar 0.494 e 2.718
CUMPLE ∆_0>Δ
si
si
si
0.75
F(z); P; F(w)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0 5 10 15 20
m
estadísticas - PACHACOTO
F(z): Normal
P observado
F(z): Log. Norm.
F(w): Gumbel
20 25 30
PRUEBA PARA LA ESTACION QUER
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
Qmax (ord) m P Z F(z) |𝐹(𝑧)−𝑃|
3.98 1 0.033 -2.068 0.019 0.014
4.89 2 0.067 -1.559 0.060 0.007
4.93 3 0.100 -1.537 0.062 0.038
5.80 4 0.133 -1.050 0.147 0.013
5.88 5 0.167 -1.006 0.157 0.009
6.26 6 0.200 -0.793 0.214 0.014
6.39 7 0.233 -0.721 0.236 0.002
6.50 8 0.267 -0.659 0.255 0.012
6.52 9 0.300 -0.648 0.259 0.041
6.70 10 0.333 -0.547 0.292 0.041
6.77 11 0.367 -0.508 0.306 0.061
6.87 12 0.400 -0.452 0.326 0.074
6.94 13 0.433 -0.413 0.340 0.094
7.48 14 0.467 -0.111 0.456 0.011
7.56 15 0.500 -0.066 0.473 0.027
7.95 16 0.533 0.152 0.560 0.027
8.00 17 0.567 0.179 0.571 0.005
8.13 18 0.600 0.252 0.600 0.000
8.90 19 0.633 0.683 0.753 0.119
8.90 20 0.667 0.683 0.753 0.086
8.96 21 0.700 0.716 0.763 0.063
8.97 22 0.733 0.722 0.765 0.031
9.10 23 0.767 0.794 0.786 0.020
9.40 24 0.800 0.962 0.832 0.032
9.40 25 0.833 0.962 0.832 0.001
9.80 26 0.867 1.186 0.882 0.015
10.21 27 0.900 1.415 0.921 0.021
10.72 28 0.933 1.700 0.955 0.022
10.78 29 0.967 1.733 0.958 0.008
MAX 0.119
n 29
Caudal prom. 7.679
Desv. estandar 1.789
Δ ∆_0 CUMPLE Δ
NORMAL 0.119 0.246 si
LOG NORMAL 0.131 0.246 si
GUMBEL 0.158 0.246 si
NORMAL
T (años) F(z) z Qmax
100 0.990 2.326 11.84
RA LA ESTACION QUEROCOCHA
n 29 α 1.394
Caudal prom. 2.010 β 6.874
Desv. estandar 0.244 e 2.718
CUMPLE ∆_0>Δ
si
si
si
LOG NORMAL GUMBEL
Qmax w Qmax
13.159 4.600 13.285
Distribuciones estadísticas - PACHAC
1.00
0.75
F(z); P; F(w)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0 5 10 15 20
m
estadísticas - PACHACOTO
F(z): Normal
P observado
F(z): Log. Norm.
F(w): Gumbel
20 25 30
Área de la cuenca de estudio (km²): 1365.55
DIST. NORMAL
Estación Área (km²) Qmax (m³/s)
Pachacoto 198 51.558
Recreta 290 56.036
Querococha 63 11.841
TRATAMIENTO ESTADÍSTICO
- - DIST. NORMAL
a 2.697
Lineal: y=a+bx
b 0.202
r 0.9484
r² 0.8995
r² (max) 0.9978
Qmax (m³/s) 278.646
a -112.568
b 30.272
Logarítmico:
y=a+bln(x)
r 0.989
r² 0.978
r² (max) 0.9844
REGRESIÓN
b 1.080
r 0.981
r² 0.963
r² (max) 0.9973
Qmax (m³/s) 343.702
a 8.734
b 0.007
Exponencial:
y=a*e^(bx)
r 0.933
r² 0.871
r² (max) 0.9508
Qmax (m³/s) 151540.400
DIST. NORMAL Se observa que la regresión que mayor nivel de correlación representa es la
logarítmica. Cuya ecuación es: y=-112.57+30.27*ln(x)
Se observa que la regresión que mayor nivel de correlación representa es la
r² (max)= 0.9776 logarítmica. Cuya ecuación es: y=-112.57+30.27*ln(x)
DIST. GUMBEL
Se observa que la regresión que mayor nivel de correlación representa es la
r² (max)= 0.9814 logarítmica. Cuya ecuación es: y=-133.73+35.75*ln(x)
Debido a que el nivel de correlación es mayor en la regresión lineal, además que hay un mejor ajuste en la distriu
caudal máximo de la cuenca de estudio en un periodo de retorno T=100años, es:
45.000
Qmax (m³/s)
30.000
15.000
0.000
50 100 150 200
Área (km²)
60.000
Qmax (m³/s)
45.000
30.000
15.000
0.000
50 100 150 200
Qmax (m³/s)
45.000
30.000
15.000
0.000
50 100 150 200
Área (km²)
45.000
Qmax (m³/s)
30.000
15.000
0.000
50 100 150 200
Área (km²)
DIST. LOG NORMAL DIST. GUMBEL
Qmax (m³/s) Qmax (m³/s)
55.806 59.648
80.221 65.689
13.159 13.285
IENTO ESTADÍSTICO
DIST. LOG NORMAL DIST. GUMBEL
-4.811 2.272
0.297 0.239
0.9989 0.9526
0.9978 0.9075
0.9978
400.687 328.927
-163.615 -133.733
42.382 35.747
0.992 0.991
0.984 0.981
0.9844
142.358 124.334
0.092 0.141
1.202 1.108
0.999 0.982
0.997 0.965
0.9973
538.173 420.523
8.682 9.690
0.008 0.007
0.975 0.936
0.951 0.875
0.9508
605237.967 219671.685