Section Four
Money
Management
The importance of money management and bet slz-
ing has been stressed increasingly in recent years and
rightly so. For even if the player has discovered a
favorable betting situation, how he wagers determines.
his success or failure. Ultimately itis the “bottom line”
‘on which a gambler’s performance Is judged. 1's tine,
of course, to describe the favorable situation toa friend
or business associate, but the next question is likely
fo be “How much money are you making from this
situation?”
‘The problem for the gambler is that much of the ad-
vice on money management is conflicting or confus-
Ing, or simply based on false premises. There are nun-
dreds of schemes designed to overcome the house
‘edge in roulette and craps based solely on manipulating
the size of one's bets. AS will ba saan, all such attempts
are futile
Even assuming the player has discovered a favorable
{game (le, one offering a positive expectation), the ques-
tion naturally arises: How does one best use a limited
amount of capital to exploit this positive expectation?
Wager too boldly and the player risks losing his entire
uwThe Mathematics of Gandling
bankroll, even though he or she may have made only
favorable bets, This #2 commonly known ae gamblers
ruin. On the other hand, betting too conservatively the
player severely limits his opportunity to make a good
return on his capital.
Fortunately for the player, there exists a
mathematical theory for committing resources in
favorable games. This will be discussed in Chapter 9.
n
Chapter 8
Mathematical Systems
Before looking at the optimal strategy for exploiting a positive
expectancy situation, it may be worthwhile o evaluate what I
refer toas mathematical ystems. Although here I use rouleteas
an example, the principles apply equally to craps and the Wheel
oT Matematica syste” were he pay
5 system” Imean a stem wherethe pier
decides which bet to male sng onl the flowing ifort
‘U)arecordof what nunbersbavecomeuponsomenumbe of
pest spins, and
(@) arecord ofthe bes he ha made if any. on hos sins.
‘We assime hee tat when te plas bet, fr him sl ambers
are equally likly to come up on each spin ofthe whee. Tis
sean not using bised wheels or pial prediction metho
‘Roulette har long ben the prototype of unbeatable embing
sas. es normal regarded a a repeated independent is
res which generate at each rl precisely one froma et Of
Fandom numbers. Players may wager on particular subsets of
Fandom numbers (ea te fist oven, even, an india
rumber ct), win ithe number which comes upsantumber
Of the chosen subset. player may wager on several subsets
wThe Mathematics of Gambling
sirmltaneously and each bet is settled without references to the
thers, TO fx the dscusiot let's consider the standard
‘American wheel. This hs thity-