第 13 組

Week 4
Question 1

A coin is tossed 600 times. The owner of the coin alleges that the coin is biased to head. The probability of

head is 0.6 and tail is 0.4. How many heads must turn up for 𝑝 = 0.6 not to be rejected at the 5% level of

significance.

Answer 1

(1) {𝐻0 : 𝑝 = 0.6

𝐻1 : 𝑝 ≠ 0.6
(2) α = 0.05
𝑝̂−𝑝0 𝑝̂−0.6 𝑝̂−0.6
(3) z = = = 4
= 50 × 𝑝̂ − 30
𝑝 ×(1−𝑝0 ) 0.6×(1−0.6)
√ 0 √ √
𝑛 600 10000

(4) 𝑧0.025 = ±1.96

−1.96 ≤ 50 × 𝑝̂ − 30 ≤ 1.96

0.5608 ≤ 𝑝̂ ≤ 0.6392

0.5608 × 600 ≤ 𝑁 ≤ 0.6392 × 600

336.48 ≤ 𝑁 ≤ 383.52

337 ≤ 𝑁 ≤ 383

(5) ∴When the number of heads is in the interval [337, 383], we can’t reject the null hypothesis.