2.

Fatal accidents are observed to occur at a stretch of highway according to a Poisson process
at a rate of 15 per month. Find the approximate probability that in a year there are less than
150 fatal accidents at that stretch.

Solution:

Xi = Number of fatal accidents in a month with an average of =15.

Xi  Poisson (=15)

𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖  Poisson (n=180)

X = ∑12

The mean and variance of X are equal to n=12*15=180

𝑋 − 𝑛𝜆 𝑋 − 180
𝑍= =
√𝑛𝜆 √180
𝑋−180 150.5−180
P(X  150)  P(X  150.5) = P(  )
√180 √180

=P(z  -2.20)

=F(-2.20)

=0.0139

4. An automobile battery manufacturer claims that is midgrade battery has a mean life of 50
months with a standard deviation of 6 months. Suppose the the distribution of battery lives of
this particular brand is approximately normal.

a. On the assumption that the manufacturer´s claims are true, find the probability that a
randomly selected battery of this type will last less than 48 months.

b. On the same assumption, find the probability that the mean of a random sample of 36 such
batteries will be less than 48 months.

X = battery life of a car

X  N (50,62)  = 50 ,  = 6

Solution:
𝑋−𝜇 𝑋−50
a. 𝑍 = 𝜎
= 6
48−50
P(X  48) = P(Z  6
) = P(Z  -0.33)
=F(-0.33)
=0.3707

𝑋1 + 𝑋2 + … + 𝑋36
b. 𝑌 = , n = 36
36

Y  N ( Y , 2Y )

Y =  = 50
𝜎2 62
2Y = 𝑛
= 36
= 1  Y = 1
 𝑋 − 𝜇𝑌
𝑍=
𝜎𝑌
48−50
P(X  48) = P(Z  1
) = P(Z  -2)

=F(-2.20)

=0.0227