Professional Documents
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EXAMPLE PROBLEM
The monthly demand for ice cans being
manufactured by Mr. Cruz is 3,200 pieces. With
a manually operated guillotine, the unit cutting
cost is P25.00. An electrically operated
hydraulic guillotine was offered to Mr. Cruz at a
price of P275,000 and which will cut by 30% the
unit cutting cost. Disregarding the cost of
money, how many months will Mr. Cruz be able
to recover the cost of the machine if he decides
to buy now?
Solution:
Manually Operated Guillotine
Monthly cutting cost = (3,200)(P25) =
P80,000
Electrically Operated Hydraulic Guillotine
Monthly cutting cost = (3,200)(P25)(1-
0.30) = P56,000
Saving = P80,000 – P56,000 = P24,000 per
month No. of months to recover cost of
machine = P275,000/P24,000 = 11.5 is the
answer.
PROBLEM 1 A construction company is
considering the replacement analysis of a
pump. The old pump has annual operating and
maintenance costs of 50.000 TL/yr. It can be
kept for 5 years more. The old pump can be
sold to the manufacturer of the new pump for
25.000 TL. The new pump will have a purchase
price of 120.000 TL, it will have a value of
50.000 TL in five years time; and it will have
annual operating and maintenance costs of
20.000 TL/yr. Using a MARR of 20%, evaluate
the investment alternative comparing the
present worths in the Receipts and
Disbursements Method.
Simple Interest
Simple interest is calculated using the principal
only.
Example 3
Last year Smith’s father offered to put enough
money into a saving account togenerate $1000
this year to help pay Smith’s expenses at college.
Identify theengineering economy symbols.
Solution:
Time is in years
P=?
i = 6% per year
n = 1 year
F = P + interest = ? + $1000
CAPITALIZED COST
A capitalized cost is an expense that is added to
the cost basis of a fixed asset on a company's
balance sheet. Capitalized costs are incurred
when building or financing fixed assets.
Capitalized costs are not expensed in the period
they were incurred but recognized over a
period of time via depreciation or amortization.
ANNUITIES
An annuity is a series of equal payments made
at equal intervals of time. Financial activities
like installment payments, monthly rentals, life-
insurance premium, monthly retirement
benefits, are familiar examples of annuity.
EXAMPLE 2
The first cost of a certain piece of equipment is
$50,000. It will have an annual operating cost
of $20,000 and $5,000 salvage value after its 5
year life. At an interest rate of 10% per year,
the capitalized cost of the equipment is closest
to:
(A) -$32,371 (B) -$122,712 (C) -
$323,710 (D) -$522,710
Solution: Convert all values into an equivalent
A value thru one life cycle and divide by i:
A = -50,000 (A/P, 10%, 5) – 20,000 + 5,000
(A/F, 10%, 5)
= -50,000 (0.26380) – 20,000 + 5,000
(0.16380)
= -$32,371
CC = -32,371 / 0.10
= -$323,710
Answer is (C)
6. DEPRECIATION AND DEPLETION
Pre-feasibility Studies often are completed
prior to having all the information needed or
engineering completed.
Depreciation and Depletion are Non-Cash
deductions from income for tax calculations
with the simplifying assumption that losses can
be taken when incurred against other income
(perhaps from other activities of your company)
Income Taxes
Income taxes are calculated as a percentage of
taxable income
Taxable income is the remaining dollars after
deductions from gross revenue for cash
operating costs, indirect costs, non-capitalized
exploration and development costs, start-up
costs or loss on mine development, tax
depreciation (based on long-term investments)
tax depletion
Income Taxes The federal and state tax rates
and deductions are set by government policy to
control economic activity and raise income for
public projects If deductions (depletion,
depreciation or other) are raised a project is
more attractive, policy encourages mining If
deductions are lowered or eliminated a project
is less attractive
Depreciation
Depreciation is the tax deduction given to
recover the cost of investments over the tax life
of the item as defined by the IRS Pub 946.
The useful life is the time that an asset can
remain in service and provide benefit as
expected; after which it is replaced
At the end of a project’s economic life, the
cumulative remaining depreciation is added to
income as if the item was sold for that amount
for preliminary economics. Depreciation
ignores the time value of money
Depreciation begins?
Depreciation begins when an asset is placed in
service, not when purchased
Use half year convention for most projects „ If
asset is idled, continue to depreciate it
Stop taking depreciation when cost basis is fully
recovered asset is retired from service or
abandoned asset is sold
Depreciation
IRS Reform Act of 1986 changed the way assets
were depreciated. The Modified Accelerated
Cost Recovery System (MACRS) is used since
1986. Double Declining Balance using 200% or
150% switching to Straight Line or the optional
Straight line methods are accepted. Half year
conventions are used in many cases
(depreciation starts in the middle of the year
the asset was placed in service)
MACRS (IRS Publication 946, ch4, Modified
Accelerated Cost Recovery System) „ MACRS is
used by most businesses Two systems are used
with four methods General Depreciation
System (GDS) used for most business, oil & gas
and mining projects 200% double declining
balance changing to straight line 150% DDB
changing to SL Straight line Alternate
depreciation system (ADS) used for taxexempt,
farming, or assets used outside the US. Straight
line – longer cost recovery time than GDS
MACRS MACRS lets you deduct more in the
early years of the recovery period or tax life of
the property than straight line methods
Determine the cost basis and tax life The cost
basis is the total depreciation you can take over
the tax life of the property Multiply the total
depreciation by a yearly factor from IRS tables
for each year from when asset is placed in
service This is the annual depreciation amount
for that year If half year convention is used;
make sure to select the proper table (A-1) from
IRS publication 946
Straight Line Method Straight line depreciation
lets you deduct the same amount each year
over the tax life of the property Determine the
cost or other basis, the percentage of business
use and tax life Multiply the basis by the %
business use to find the total depreciation you
can take over the tax life or recovery period of
the property The annual depreciation amount
is the total depreciation divided by the recovery
period in years If half year convention is used
take ½ the annual depreciation in the first year
and ½ in the year after the last year in the tax
life (total years = 1+tax life)
Basis
Cost as basis – the basis of property you buy is
the first cost plus sales tax, freight, installation
and testing and debt obligations.
Other basis – Other basis is determined by the
way you received the property (IRS 551)
If you exchange property If paid for services
with property
A gift or an inheritance Adjust the basis with
other costs incurred before it is placed in
service
Salvage Value
Salvage value is an estimate of the value of
property at the end of its useful life.
Salvage value is not used under MACRS as a
deduction from the basis unless the property is
intangible
Treat salvage value as a cash inflow in the year
sold (or the project ends assuming assets are
sold for the remaining depreciation. This
assumption is reasonable if the project life is
more than the tax life of most of the initial
investment (usually +7 years)
DEPRECIATION METHODS
Tax Depletion
PERCENTAGE DEPLETION
Cost Depletion
Sample Problem
Percentage
Depletion –may be
claimed if one of the
following conditions
is met
EXAMPLE PROBLEM 1
EXAMPLE PROBLEM 3
EXAMPLE PROBLEM 4
TIME PREFERENCE
EXAMPLE 2
TIME PREFERENCE
EXAMPLE 5
8. INVESTENT OF CAPITAL
Capital investment refers to funds invested in a
firm or enterprise for the purpose of furthering
its business objectives. Capital investment may
also refer to a firm's acquisition
of capital assets or fixed assets such as
manufacturing plants and machinery that is
expected to be productive over many years.
While capital investment is usually earmarked
for capital or long-life assets, a portion may also
be used for working capital purposes. Capital
investment encompasses a wide variety of
funding options. While funding for capital
investment is generally in the form of common
or preferred equity issuances, it may also be
through straight or convertible debt. It may
range from an amount of less than $100,000 in
seed financing for a start-up to amounts in the
hundreds of millions for massive projects in
capital-intensive sectors such as
mining, utilitiesand infrastructure.
Uses of Capital
Capital investment is concerned with the
deployment of capital for long-term uses.
Companies make continual capital investment
to sustain existing operations and expand their
businesses for the future. The main type of
capital investment is in fixed assets to allow
increased operational capacity, capture a larger
share of the market and in the process,
generate more revenue. Companies may also
make capital investment in the form of equity
stakes in other companies' operations, which
indirectly benefits the investor companies by
building business partnerships or expanding
into new markets.
Sources of Capital
Companies make conscious decisions about
what kind of capital investment and how much
of it they should have over time. This spells out
the funding requirements and therefore affects
the choice of financing sources. The first
funding option is always a company's own
operating cash flow, which sometimes may not
be enough to satisfy the amount of capital
expenditures required. It is more likely than not
that companies will resort to outside financing,
debt or/and equity to make up for any internal
cash flow shortfall.
Capital investment is meant to benefit a
company in the long run, but it nonetheless has
some short-term downsides. Intensive, ongoing
capital investment tends to reduce earnings in
the interim, strain on liquidity from payment
demand on interest and maturing principals,
and dilute earnings and ownership if new
equity is used.
Working Capital
Funds raised as long-term capital should be for
long-term purposes of capital investment to
make comparable returns and adequately cover
related financing costs. However, to maintain
uninterrupted operations, companies need to
have extra current assets over total current
liabilities as an added assurance for meeting
any due obligations. Short-term funds set aside
as such are commonly referred to as working
capital and may come from long-term capital,
whose longer maturity dates are typically
beyond the due dates of any current liabilities.
As a result, companies sacrifice some long-term
return to ensure short-term liquidity.
The term capital investment has two usages in
business. First, capital investment refers to
money used by a business to purchase fixed
assets, such as land, machinery, or buildings.
Secondly, capital investment refers to money
invested in a business with the understanding
that the money will be used to purchase fixed
assets, rather than used to cover the business's
day-to-day operating expenses. For example, to
purchase additional capital assets a growing
business may need to seek a capital investment
in the form of debt financing from a financial
institution or equity financing from angel
investorsor venture capitalists.
Objectives
There are typically three main reasons for a
business to make capital investments:
to acquire additional capital assets for
expansion, enabling the business to, for
example, increase unit production, create
new products, or add value;
to take advantage of new technology or
advancements in equipment or machinery
to increase efficiency and reduce costs;
to replace existing assets that have reached
end-of-life - for example, a high-mileage
delivery vehicle or an aging laptop
computer.
Capital Investment and the Economy
Capital investment is considered to be a very
important measure of the health of the
economy. When businesses are making capital
investments it means they are confident in the
future and intend to grow their businesses by
improving existing productive capacity. On the
other hand, recessions are normally associated
with reductions in capital investment by
businesses.
Capital is an asset that is used to produce goods
and services. Machinery, equipment, tools, and
buildings directly used to manufacture goods
and services are capital goods. Financial or
investment capital is the money used to
purchase the needed capital goods.
AW1= - Rs.28665
10. CLASSIFICATION OF COSTS AND
REPLACEMENT ANALYSIS
An engineering economic analysis may involve
many types of costs. Here is a list of cost types,
including definitions and examples.
A fixed cost is constant, independent of the
output or activity level. The annual cost of
property taxes for a production facility is a fixed
cost, independent of the production level and
number of employees.
A variable cost does depend on the output or
activity level. The raw material cost for a
production facility is a variable cost because it
varies directly with the level of production.
The total cost to provide a product or service
over some period of time or production volume
is the total fixed cost plus the total variable
cost, where:
Total variable cost = (Variable cost per unit)
(Total number of units)
A marginal cost is the variable cost associated
with one additional unit of output or activity. A
direct labor marginal cost of $2.50 to produce
one additional production unit is an example
marginal cost.
The average cost is the total cost of an output
or activity divided by the total output or activity
in units. If the total direct cost of producing
400,000 is $3.2 million, then the average total
direct cost per unit is $8.00.
The breakeven point is the output level at
which total revenue is equal to total cost. It can
be calculated as follows:
BEP = FC/(SP - VC)
where
BEP = breakeven point
FC = fixed costs
SP = selling price per unit
VC = variable cost per unit
A sunk cost is a past cost that cannot be
changed and is therefore irrelevant in
engineering economic analysis. One exception
is that the cost basis of an asset installed in the
past will likely affect the depreciation schedule
that is part of an after-tax economic analysis.
Although depreciation is not a cash flow, it
does affect income tax cash flow. Three years
ago, an engineering student purchased a
notebook PC for $2,800. The student now
wishes to sell the computer. The $2,800 initial
cost is an irrelevant, sunk cost that should play
no part in how the student establishes the
minimum selling price for the PC.
An opportunity cost is the cost associated with
an opportunity that is declined. It represents
the benefit that would have been received if
the opportunity were accepted. Suppose a
product distributor decides to construct a new
distribution center instead of leasing a building.
Leasing a building immediately would have
resulted in a $12,000 product distribution cost
savings during the next 6 months while the new
warehouse is being constructed. By forgoing
the warehouse leasing alternative, the
distributor experiences an opportunity cost of
$12,000.
A recurring cost is one that occurs at regular
intervals and is anticipated. The cost to provide
electricity to a production facility is a recurring
cost.
A nonrecurring cost is one that occurs at
irregular intervals and is not generally
anticipated. The cost to replace a company
vehicle damaged beyond repair in an accident
is a nonrecurring cost.
An incremental cost represents the difference
between some type of cost for two
alternatives. Suppose that A and B are mutually
exclusive investment alternatives. If A has an
initial cost of $10,000 while B has an initial cost
of $12,000, the incremental initial cost of (B - A)
is $2,000. In engineering economic analysis we
focus on the differences among alternatives,
thus incremental costs play a significant role in
such analyses.
A cash cost is a cash transaction, or cash flow. If
a company purchases an asset, it realizes a cash
cost.
A book cost is not a cash flow, but it is an
accounting entry that represents some change
in value. When a company records a
depreciation charge of $4 million in a tax year,
no money changes hands. However, the
company is saying in effect that the market
value of its physical, depreciable assets has
decreased by $4 million during the year.
Life-cycle costs refer to costs that occur over
the various phases of a product or service life
cycle, from needs assessment through design,
production, and operation to decline and
retirement.
Replacing equipment is an important decision
that nearly all entities must face, generally
motivated by rising operating and maintenance
costs of current assets or the technological
advances of available assets in the market. The
problem has been studied for nearly a century.
In this article, we survey single and multiple
asset solution approaches under a variety of
settings, including technological change,
variable utilization, tax, and various
uncertainties. Furthermore, we illustrate a
number of open problems that are worthy of
future study.
REPLACEMENT ANALYSIS
Replacement analysis is carried out when there
is a need to replace or augment the currently
owned equipment (or any asset). There are
various reasons that result in replacement of a
given equipment. One of the reasons is the
reduction in the productivity of currently owned
equipment. This occurs due to physical
deterioration of its different parts and there is
decrease in operating efficiency with age. In
addition to reduced productivity, there is also
increase in operating and maintenance cost for
the construction equipment due to physical
deterioration. This necessitates the replacement
of the existing one with the new alternative.
Similarly if the production demands a change in
the desired output from the equipment, then
there is requirement of augmenting the existing
equipment for meeting the required demand or
replacing the equipment with the new one.
Another reason for replacement of the existing
equipment is obsolescence. Due to rapid change
in the technology, the new model with latest
technology is more productive than the
currently owned equipment, although the
currently owned equipment is still operational
and functions acceptably. Thus continuing with
the existing equipment may increase the
production cost. The impact of rapid change in
technology on productivity is more for the
equipment with more automated facility than
the equipment with lesser automation.
In replacement analysis, the existing (i.e.
currently owned) asset is referred
as defender whereas the new alternatives are
referred as challengers. In this analysis the
‘outsider perspective' is taken to establish the
first cost of the defender. This initial cost of the
defender in replacement analysis is nothing but
the estimated market value from perspective of
a neutral party. In other words this cost is the
investment amount which is assigned to the
currently owned asset (i.e. defender) in the
replacement analysis.
The current market value represents the
opportunity cost of keeping the defender i.e. if
the defender is selected to continue in the service. In other words, if the defender is selected, the
opportunity to obtain its current market value is
forgone. Sometimes the additional cost required
to upgrade the defender to make it competitive
for comparison with the new alternatives is
added to its market value to establish the total
investment for the defender. Along with the
market value, there will be revised estimates for
annual operating and maintenance cost, salvage
value and remaining service life of the defender,
which are expected to be different from the
original values those were estimated at the time
of acquiring the asset. The past estimates of
initial cost, annual operating and maintenance
cost, salvage value and useful life of defender
are not relevant in the replacement analysis and
are thus neglected. The past estimates also
incorporate a sunk costwhich is considered
irrelevant in replacement analysis. Sunk cost
occurs when the book value (as determined
using depreciation method) of an asset is
greater than its current market value, when the
asset (i.e. defender) is considered for
replacement. In other words it represents the
amount of past capital investment which can not
be recovered for the existing asset under
consideration for replacement. Sunk cost may
occur due to incorrect estimates of different
cost components and factors related
productivity of the defender, those were made
at the time of original estimates in the past with
uncertain future conditions. Since sunk cost
represents a loss in capital investment of the
asset, the income tax calculations can be done
accordingly by considering this capital loss. In
replacement analysis the incorrect past
estimates and decisions should not be
considered and only the cash flows (both
present and future) applicable to replacement
analysis should be included in the economic
analysis. For replacement analysis, it is
important know about different lives of an asset,
as this will assist in making the appropriate
replacement decision. The different lives are
physical life, economic life and useful
life. Physical life of an asset is defined as the
time period that is elapsed between initial
purchase (i.e. original acquisition) and final
disposal or abandonment of the
asset. Economic life is defined as the time
period that minimizes the total cost (i.e.
ownership cost plus operating cost) of an asset.
It is the time period that results in minimum
equivalent uniform annual worth of the total
cost of the asset. Useful life is defined as the
time period during which the asset is
productively used to generate profit. In
replacement analysis the defender and
challenger is compared over a study period.
Generally the remaining life of the defender is
less than or equal to the estimated life of the
challenger. When the estimated lives of the
defender and challenger are not equal, the
duration of the study period has to be
appropriately selected for the replacement
analysis. When the estimated lives of defender
and challenger are equal, annual worth method
or present worth method may be used for
comparison between defender and the
challengers (new alternatives).
In the following example, replacement analysis
involving equal lives of defender and challenger
is discussed.
A construction company has purchased a piece
of construction equipment 3 years ago at a cost
of Rs.4000000. The estimated life and salvage
value at the time of purchase were 12 years and
Rs.850000 respectively. The annual operating
and maintenance cost was Rs.150000. The
construction company is now considering
replacement of the existing equipment with a
new model available in the market. Due to
depreciation, the current book value of the
existing equipment is Rs.3055000. The current
market value of the existing equipment is
Rs.2950000. The revised estimate of salvage
value and remaining life are Rs.650000 and 8
years respectively. The annual operating and
maintenance cost is same as earlier i.e.
Rs.150000.
The initial cost of the new model is Rs.3500000.
The estimated life, salvage value and annual
operating and maintenance cost are 8 years,
Rs.900000 and Rs.125000 respectively.
Company's MARR is 10% per year. Find out
whether the construction company should
retain the ownership of the existing equipment
or replace it with the new model, if study period
is taken as 8 years (considering equal life of both
defender and challenger).
Solution:
For the replacement analysis, initial cost
(Rs.4000000), initial estimate of salvage value
(Rs.850000) and remaining life (12 – 3 = 9 years)
and current book value (Rs.3055000) of the
existing equipment (i.e. defender) are
irrelevant. Similarly sunk cost of Rs.105000
(Rs.3055000 – Rs.2950000) is also not relevant
for the replacement analysis. For the
replacement analysis the current revised
estimates of the existing equipment will be
used.
For existing equipment (defender),
Current market value (P) = Rs.2950000, Salvage
value (F) = Rs.650000,
Annual operating and maintenance cost (A) =
Rs.150000, Study period (n) = 8 years.
For new model (challenger),
Initial cost (P) = Rs.3500000, Salvage value (F) =
Rs.900000,
Annual operating and maintenance cost (A) =
Rs.125000, Study period (n) = 8 years.
Now the equivalent uniform annual worth of
both defender (i.e. the existing equipment) and
challenger (i.e. the new model) at MARR of 10%
(i.e. i = 10%) are calculated as follows;
For defender;
For challenger;
r / p ) p 1.
Cash fl ows occur frequently and take place at
varying times within the time period of the
problem. In the cash fl ow diagram, Fig. 18.1,
the horizontal axis represents time and the
vertical axis is cash fl ow. Cash infl ows are
positive and are represented by arrows above
the x-axis. Cash outfl ows are negative and are
below the x-axis. It has been mentioned that
engineering economy is chiefl y concerned with
assisting decision making about future fi nancial
decisions in an engineering project. Since future
prediction of cash fl ows is likely to be
imprecise, it is not worth carefully locating each
cash fl ow on the diagram in time. Instead, the
end-of-period convention is used in which the
cash fl ows within a period are assumed to
occur at the end or the interest period.
In many situations we are concerned with a
uniform series of receipts or disbursements
occurring equally at the end of each period.
Examples are the payment of a debt on the
installment plan, setting aside a sum that will
be available at a future date for replacement of
equipment, and a retirement annuity that
consists of a series of equal payments instead
of a lump sum payment. We will let A be the
equal end-of-theperiod payment that makes up
the uniform annual series. Figure 18.2 shows
that if an annual sum A is invested at the end of
each year for 3 years, the total sum F at the end
of 3 years will be the sum of the compound
amount of the individual investments
With a sinking fund we put away each year a
sum of money that, over n years, together with
accumulated compound interest, equals the
required future amount F . With capital
recovery we put away enough money each year
to provide for replacement in n years plus we
charge ourselves interest on the invested
capital. The use of capital recovery is a
conservative but valid economic strategy. The
amount of money invested in capital
equipment ($10,000 in Example 18.2)
represents an opportunity cost, since we are
forgoing the revenue that the $10,000 could
provide if invested in interest-bearing
securities. A summary of the compound
interest relationships among F, P, and A is given
in Table 18.2 Table 18.2 gives relationships for a
uniform series of payments or receipts. Two
other series often used in engineering economy
are a gradient series in which the cash fl ow
increases (or decreases) by a fi xed increment
at each time period, and a geometric series in
which the cash fl ow changes by a fi xed
percentage at each time period. 1 Using
symbolic notation, as shown in Table 18.2,
simplifi es writing the equations and aids in
making calculations. For example, many
compound interest tables do not contain a
table for determining A (sinking fund factor)
when F is known. However, using the symbolic
factors this can be obtained by simply
multiplying factors.
Payment at the Beginning of the Interest Period
In working with a uniform series of payments of
receipts, A, it is conventional practice to
assume that A occurs at the end of each period.
However, sometimes a series of payments
begins immediately so that the payments are
made at the beginning of each time period
COST COMPARISON
Having discussed the usual compound interest
relations, we now are in a position to use them
to make economic decisions. A typical decision
is which of two courses of action is less
expensive when the time value of money is
considered. Generally the rate of interest to be
used in these calculations is set by the
minimum attractive rate of return, MARR. This
is the lowest rate of return a company will
accept for investing its money. The MARR is
established by the corporate fi nance offi cer
based on current market opportunities for
investing money or on the importance of the
project to advancing the company.
Present Worth Analysis
When the two alternatives have a common
time period, a comparison on the basis of
present worth is advantageous.
12. INFLATION AND DEFLATION
Inflation
What is Inflation
Inflation is the rate at which the prices for
goods and services increase. Inflation often
affects the buying capacity of consumers.
Most Central banks try to limit inflation in order
to keep their respective economies functioning
efficiently.
There are advantages and disadvantages to
inflation.
Causes of Inflation
Inflation is caused by multiple factors, here are
a few:
1. Money Supply
Excess currency (money) supply in an economy
is one of the primary cause of inflation. This
happens when the money supply/circulation in
a nation grows above the economic growth,
therefore reducing the value of the currency.
In the modern era, countries have shifted from
the traditional methods of valuing money with
the amount of gold they possessed. Modern
methods of money valuation are determined by
the amount of currency that is in circulation
which is then followed by the public’s
perception of the value of that currency.
2. National Debt
There are a number of factors that influence
national debt, which include the nations
borrowing and spending. In a situation where a
country’s debt increases, the respective
country is left with two options:
Taxes can be raised internally
Additional money can be printed to pay off the
debt
3. Demand-Pull Effect
The demand-pull effect states that in a growing
economy as wages increase within an economy,
people will have more money to spend on
goods and services. The increase in demand for
goods and services will result in companies to
raise prices that consumers will bear in order to
balance supply and demand.
4. Cost-Push Effect
This theory states that when companies face
increased input costs on raw materials and
wages for manufacturing consumer goods, they
will preserve their profitability by passing the
increased production cost to the end consumer
in the form of increased prices.
5. Exchange Rates
An economy with exposure to foreign markets
mostly functions on the basis of the dollar
value. In a trading global economy, exchange
rates play an important factor in determining
the rate of inflation.
Deflation
Deflation is generally the decline in the prices
for goods and services that occur when the rate
of inflation falls below 0%. Deflation will take
place naturally, if and when the money supply
of an economy is limited.
Deflation in an economy indicates deteriorating
conditions. Deflation is normally linked with
significant unemployment and low productivity
levels of good and services. The term
“Deflation” is often mistaken with
“disinflation.” While deflation refers to a
decrease in the prices of goods and services in
an economy, disinflation is when inflation
increases at a slower rate.
Deflation can be caused by multiple factors:
1. Structural changes in capital markets
When different companies selling similar goods
or services compete, there is a tendency to
lower prices to have an edge over the
competition.
2. Increased productivity
Innovation and technology enable increased
production efficiency which leads to lower
prices of goods and services. Some innovations
affect the productivity of certain industries and
impact the entire economy.
3. Decrease in supply of currency
The decrease in the supply of currency will
decrease the prices of goods and services to
make it affordable to people.
Effects of Deflation
Deflation may have the following impacts on an
economy:
1. Reduction in Business Revenues
In an economy faced with deflation, businesses
must drastically reduce the prices of their
products or services to stay profitable. As
reducing in prices take place, revenues begin to
drop.
2. Lowered Wages and Layoffs
When revenues begin to drop, businesses need
to find means to reduce their expenses to meet
objectives. One way is by reducing wages and
cutting jobs. This adversely affects the economy
as consumers would now have less to spend.
Deflation, or negative inflation, happens when
prices fall because the supply of goods is higher
than the demand for those goods. ... The only
time deflation can work without hurting the
rest of the economy is when businesses are
able to cut the costs of production in order to
lower prices, such as with technology.
Inflation occurs when the price of goods and
services rise, while deflation occurs when those
prices decrease. The balance between the
two economic conditions, opposites of the
same coin, is delicate, and an economy can
quickly swing from one condition to the other.
Inflation is caused when goods and services are
in high demand, creating a drop in availability.
Supplies can decrease for many reasons: A
natural disaster can wipe out a food crop; a
housing boom can exhaust building supplies,
etc. Whatever the reason, consumers are
willing to pay more for the items they want,
causing manufacturers and service providers to
charge more.
What's The Difference Between Inflation And
Deflation?
Deflation occurs when too many goods are
available or when there is not
enough money circulating to purchase those
goods. For instance, if a particular type of car
becomes highly popular, other manufacturers
start to make a similar vehicle to compete.
Soon, car companies have more of that vehicle
style than they can sell, so they must drop the
price to sell the cars. Companies that find
themselves stuck with too
much inventory must cut costs, which often
leads to layoffs. Unemployedindividuals do not
have enough money available to purchase
items; to coax them into buying, prices get
lowered, which continues the trend.
When credit providers detect a decrease in
prices, they often reduce the amount of credit
they offer. This creates a credit crunch where
consumers cannot access loans to purchase big-
ticket items, leaving companies with
overstocked inventory and causing further
deflation. Deflation can lead to an
economic recession or depression, and
the central banks usually work to stop deflation
as soon as it starts.
Deflation, or negative inflation, happens when
prices fall because the supply of goods is higher
than the demand for those goods. This is
usually because of a reduction in money, credit
or consumer spending.
13. BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS
The break-even point (BEP)
in economics, business—and specifically cost
accounting—is the point at which total cost and
total revenue are equal, i.e. "even". There is no
net loss or gain, and one has "broken even",
though opportunity costs have been paid and
capital has received the risk-adjusted, expected
return. In short, all costs that must be paid are
paid, and there is neither profit nor loss.
The break-even point (BEP) or break-even level
represents the sales amount—in either unit
(quantity) or revenue (sales) terms—that is
required to cover total costs, consisting of both
fixed and variable costs to the company. Total
profit at the break-even point is zero. It is only
possible for a firm to pass the break-even point
if the dollar value of sales is higher than the
variable cost per unit. This means that the
selling price of the good must be higher than
what the company paid for the good or its
components for them to cover the initial price
they paid (variable and fixed costs). Once they
surpass the break-even price, the company can
start making a profit.
The break-even point is one of the most
commonly used concepts of financial analysis,
and is not only limited to economic use, but can
also be used by entrepreneurs, accountants,
financial planners, managers and even
marketers. Break-even points can be useful to
all avenues of a business, as it allows
employees to identify required outputs and
work towards meeting these.
The break-even value is not a generic value and
will vary dependent on the individual business.
Some businesses may have a higher or lower
break-even point. However, it is important that
each business develop a break-even point
calculation, as this will enable them to see the
number of units they need to sell to cover their
variable costs. Each sale will also make a
contribution to the payment of fixed costs as
well.
For example, a business that sells tables needs
to make annual sales of 200 tables to break-
even. At present the company is selling fewer
than 200 tables and is therefore operating at a
loss. As a business, they must consider
increasing the number of tables they sell
annually in order to make enough money to
pay fixed and variable costs.
If the business does not think that they can sell
the required number of units, they could
consider the following options:
1. Reduce the fixed costs. This could be done
through a number or negotiations, such as
reductions in rent payments, or through better
management of bills or other costs.
2. Reduce the variable costs, (which could be
done by finding a new supplier that sells tables
for less).
Either option can reduce the break-even point
so the business need not sell as many tables as
before, and could still pay fixed costs.
PURPOSE
The main purpose of break-even analysis is to
determine the minimum output that must be
exceeded for a business to profit. It also is a
rough indicator of the earnings impact of a
marketing activity. A firm can analyze ideal
output levels to be knowledgeable on the
amount of sales and revenue that would meet
and surpass the break-even point. If a business
doesn't meet this level, it often becomes
difficult to continue operation.
The break-even point is one of the simplest, yet
least-used analytical tools. Identifying a break-
even point helps provide a dynamic view of the
relationships between sales, costs, and profits.
For example, expressing break-even sales as a
percentage of actual sales can help managers
understand when to expect to break even (by
linking the percent to when in the week or
month this percent of sales might occur).
The break-even point is a special case of Target
Income Sales, where Target Income is 0
(breaking even). This is very important for
financial analysis. Any sales made past the
breakeven point can be considered profit (after
all initial costs have been paid)
Break-even analysis can also provide data that
can be useful to the marketing department of a
business as well, as it provides financial goals
that the business can pass on to marketers so
they can try to increase sales.
Break-even analysis can also help businesses
see where they could re-structure or cut costs
for optimum results. This may help the business
become more effective and achieve higher
returns. In many cases, if an entrepreneurial
venture is seeking to get off of the ground and
enter into a market it is advised that they
formulate a break-even analysis to suggest to
potential financial backers that the business has
the potential to be viable and at what points.
This is also known as cost analysis. Break even
analysis is concerned with finding the point at
which revenues and costs are exactly equal.
This point is known as BREAK-EVEN-POINT.
Thus this is a volume of output at which neither
a profit is made nor a loss is incurred. Therefore
production or sale must not be allowed to fall
beyond this point. This analysis can be carried
out either algebraically or graphically.
A breakeven chart is a graphical representation
of the relationship between costs and revenue
at a given time, and determines the break-
even-point and profit potential under varying
conditions of output and cost.
Break even analysis not only highlights the
areas of economic strength and weaknesses in
the firm but also helps in finding out the ways
which can enhance its profitability.
1. Safety Margin:
It refers the extent to which the concern can
afford to decline in sales upto the break-even
point. It can be represented by the percentage
ratio of sales over break-even point volume to
the sales volume.
... Safety margin = Sales volume – Sales at
B.E.P./Sales volume × 100
2. Quantity Needed to have Desired Profit:
This is the most common application of break-
even analysis and the desired quantity is given
by
Target quantity = Fixed cost + Target
profit/Contribution per unit
3. The Effect of Change in Price:
Sometimes management is required to
consider whether to reduce price of a product
or not.
Management has to consider the following
facts in this regard:
If the sales price is reduced then contribution
margin will reduce and this will increase the
sales volume. But this increased volume may or
may not receive increase in demand because it
depends on elasticity of demand.
The change in break-even point due to rate
variation in sales price is drawn below (Fig
69.3). At different price levels total revenue line
can be plotted and the chart shows that as the
price of a product is reduced the break-even
point shifts towards right side and vice versa.
From the chart, one can then estimate the
volume that will be sold and profit at each price
level.
Variable Cost Change:
An increase in variable cost leads to reduction
in the contribution margin. This increase in
variable cost will reduce the profit. Therefore,
what should be the new price to maintain the
present profit without any change in sales
volume.
Whether to Accept an Order or Not:
Revenue
AWr > AWe
Thus from above calculations it is observed that,
equivalent annual worth of revenue is less than
that of expenditure, when the volume of
concrete produced per year is less than the
breakeven value and on the other hand,
equivalent annual worth of revenue is more
than that of expenditure, when the volume of
concrete produced per year is greater than the
breakeven value.
The breakeven point can also be calculated by
equating the equivalent present worth of
expenditures to that of revenues as shown
below.
Present worth of expenditure:
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