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Drake, Hall 2003 Eff Japanese Banking
Drake, Hall 2003 Eff Japanese Banking
BANKING &
ELSEVIER Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189 FINANCE
Abstract
Bank off-balance-sheet (OBS) activities have grown dramatically, and have become
significantly important especially at large banks. We investigate whether failure to incorpo-
rate OBS products may lead to a misspecification problem. Models that exclude deposits
from the output specification suggest economies of scale, which vanish when deposits are
included. We find that inclusion of OBS products has little effect on the scale economies
measures. With only a few exceptions, the results provide no evidence of cost complemen-
tarities in joint production. The tremendous growth of bank OBS activities in the 1980s may
be explained by the very small (approximately zero) pecuniary cost of these activities.
* Corresponding author: 278 Stamford Avenue, Stamford, CT 06902, U.S.A. Tel.: 203-325-4620,
Fax: 203-325-1939.
1. Introduction
1 Previous studies can be grouped into four categories based upon the institutions examined -(a)
small banks: Benston et ai., 1982, Berger et al., 1987, Gilligan and Smirlock, 1984, Gilligan et al.,
1984, Gropper, 1991, Kolari and Zardkoohi, 1987, Lawrence and Shay, 1986, and Shaffer, 1984; (b)
large banks: Hunter and Timme, 1986, Hunter and Timme, 1991, Hunter et al., 1990, Noulas et al.,
1990, Shaffer and David, 1991 and Shaffer, 1993; (c) large and small banks: Berger and Humphrey,
1991, Nathan, 1990, and Nathan and Neave, 1989, Nathan and Neave, 1992; and (d) non-bank financial
institutions: Goldberg et al., 1991, Le Compte and Smith, 1990, Mester, 1987, Mester, 1990, Mester,
1991, and Murray and White, 1983. Also see Gilbert, 1984, and Clark, 1988, for a survey.
2 Hunter, Timme and Yang (1990) include a proxy for some OBS items (letters of credit and
securitization activities) in their study, but do not specifically analyze the effects on cost efficiency.
Mester (1990) incorporates loan sales as a non-traditional output, but does not take into consideration
other OBS products.
J. Jagtiani et al. /Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189 1177
SCALE = E~(01n C( Y , W ) /OIn Yi) = Ei( Oli "[- ~-~k/x~kln Yk + EjS, jln wj),
(3)
COMP/k = it2C(Y,W)/OyiOyk ( i , k = 1,2 . . . . n)
Both SCALE and COMP/k are local measures. If S C A L E < 1, then there are
economies of scale. If COMPik < 0, then an increase in the level of output k will
reduce the marginal cost of producing output i and there is a cost complementarity
between outputs i and k. To evaluate these measures, we use the sample mean
values of input prices and output levels. We also examine S C A L E at means of the
size quartiles.
Mester (1987) proposes a global measure of economies of scope: SCOPE---
•i[ C(0 . . . . . Yi, "" . 0 ) - C ( Y ) ] / C ( Y ) , where C(0 . . . . . Yi, . . . 0 ) is used as a
proxy for the production costs of the single output y~. To use. this measure, one
must assume that cost structures of single-and multi-product firms are comparable.
In addition, the translog cost function is undefined for zero output levels; so,
Mester and others use ad hoc values of 0.01 or 0.001 as proxies for zero output
levels. The conclusions drawn from these papers can be sensitive to the choice of
these ad hoc parameters, because the cost function is steeply sloped near the
1178 J. Jagtiani et al. /Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189
Our analysis is based on quarterly Call Report data as of December 31, 1988. 4
This period of study starts immediately after the approval of the risk-based capital
requirement in July 1988, but prior to its actual implementation in December
1990. From the population of approximately 14,000 banks, our sample includes
the 134 banks that simultaneously produce all OBS outputs - guarantees, foreign
currency products and interest rate products. Across the sample of banks, total
assets range from $355 million to $154 billion (average $12 billion), and total
OBS outputs range from $30 million to $766 billion (average $28 billion).
We use two different approaches to define on-balance-sheet outputs. Under the
intermediation approach, earning assets (loans and investments) are considered to
be bank outputs. Deposits are regarded as intermediate outputs, which are com-
bined with labour and physical capital to produce loans and investments. Under
the value-added approach, both earning assets and deposits are considered as bank
outputs. Our OBS outputs are divided into three categories: guarantees, foreign
currency transactions, and interest rate transactions. We estimate eight different
models, which differ only in the specification of the output vector. Each model is
estimated separately and independently, and inferences from each model are
compared. All the models include labour, physical capital and financial capital as
inputs.
4. Empirical results
Table 1 defines inputs, outputs and price variables. Table 2 specifies the eight
models (a)-(h), with various combinations of outputs: on-balance-sheet: earning
3 The expansion path economies introduced by Berger, Hanweck and Humphrey (1987) help to
mitigate these problems. They analyze scale and scope economies by focusing on an expansion path
between two output bundles with different product mixes, which do not involve zero output quantities.
Their measures, however, allow product mixes to vary as outputs expand.
4 In response to concerns regarding possible window-dressing effects on year-end data, we also
perform the same analysis on September 1988 data. The results are similar in both quarters. The results
based on September 1988 data are available from the authors. Using year-end output data (rather than
the average over the year) does not affect our results, assuming that the output level differentials across
banks do not fluctuate widely during the year.
J. Jagtiani et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189 1179
Table 1
Description of output and input price variables
Variable Definition
Earning assets $ amounts of loans and investments
Deposits $ amounts of total deposits
OBS guarantees $ amounts of standby letters of credit,
commercial letters of credit,
and loan commitments
OBS foreign currency $ amounts of foreign currency swaps,
foreign currency options, and foreign currency
futures and forward contracts
OBS interest rate $ amounts of interest rate swaps,
interest rate options, and interest rate
futures and forward contracts
Aggregate OBS items $ amounts of OBS Guarantees,
OBS Foreign Currency Items,
and OBS Interest Rate Items
Price of labour Ratio of $ amounts of wages and salaries
to total number of employees
Price of physical capital Ratio of $ amounts of premises
and other expenses to $ amounts
of total assets
Price of financial capital Ratio of $ amounts of interest
expenses to $ amounts of total deposits
5 The estimated cost function satisfies the concavity conditions if the matrix [ F - (DIAG(S) -
ssT}] is negative semidefinite, where r = ['Yjh] is the matrix of second-order partial derivatives of the
transiog cost function with respect to the input prices wj; S is the vector of cost shares sfi and,
DIACAS) is the diagonal matrix formed from S (Diewert and Wales, 1987). All the models estimated in
our analysis satisfy the concavity conditions. The' results are available from the authors.
Table 2
Specifications of the models and summary of the results
Model Model classification Output variables Results
t~
In Table 3, the estimates of COMPik are not significantly different from zero,
except for the following joint production pairs: OBS foreign currency products and
OBS guarantees in models (f) and (h); OBS foreign currency products and
deposits in model (f); and aggregate OBS products and earning assets in model
(g).
The lack of cost complementarities can be interpreted in two ways. First,
suppose that the objective of the regulator is to influence banks to move to a
socially efficient minimum-marginal-cost production function. Then, if COMPIk >
0, allowing the banks to expand output i results in higher marginal cost of output
k. This might require that the regulator constrain the banks' level of output i. If
COMP;k < 0, then the marginal cost of k would fall if any constraint on i is
loosened. Whenever COMPik = 0, there is no need for regulatory action, because
the optimizing behaviour of the banks results in a socially efficient optimum. The
second interpretation is that there may exist no cost complementarities at all -at
least for many of the different output combinations. Banks may be offering OBS
products for other reasons, such as regulatory avoidance of capital adequacy
Table 3
Cost complementarifies and scale economies measures. Cost complementarities measure (COMPi~) is reported for each pair of outputs in each model. Scale
economies measure (SCALE) is reported for each model. Input variables are the same in all models -include labour, physical capital and financial capital.
Both cost complementarities and scale economies measures are evaluated at the sample mean, based on quarterly data ending December 31, 1988. Standard
errors are reported in parentheses. Significance at the 5% level for H0: SCALE = 1 and H0: COMPI~ = 0 is indicated by ° and * * respectively. X 2 represents
the test statistic for no contemporaneous correlation among the residuals. Log(L) is the logarithm of the likelihood function of the maximum likelihood
estimation
Earning assets Deposits Aggregate OBS item OBS guarantees OBS foreign currency OBS interest rate SCALE
Model (a):
Faming assets __ 0.978
(0.012)
X 2 = 66; log(L)= 567
Model (b):
Earning assets - 0.020 0.999 e~
(0.427) (0.006)
Deposits
X 2 = 206; log(L) = 835
Model (c)f
Earning assets -0.017 0.958"
(0.269) (0.017)
Aggregate OBS items
X 2 = 54; log(L) = 570
Model (d):
Faming assets - 0.027 - 0.003 - 0.002 0.956 *
(0.402) (0.027) (0.056) (0.018) L
OBS guarantees 0.011 - 0.025
(0.011) (0.018)
OBS foreign currency 0.004
(0.006)
OBS interest rate
X 2 ffi 58; log(L) = 576
Model (e):
Deposits 0.015 0.998
(0.038) (0.008)
Aggregate OBS item
X 2 = 207; log(L) = 821
Model 09:
- 0.006 0.012 * * -0.002 0.987
Deposits
(0.047) (o.o04) (0.009) (0.007)
OBS guarantees -0.005 * * 0.003
(0.001) (0.002)
OBS foreign currency - 0.0002
¢....,
(0.001)
OBS interest rate
X z = 193; log(L) = 844
Model (g):
Earning assets - 0.019 - 0.039 * * 1.oo5
(0.424) (0.018) (0.OO7)
Deposits 0.035
(0.030)
Aggregate OBS items
X 2 = 197; log(L) = 847
Model (h):
Earning assets 0.030 - 0.034 -0.0004 - 0.006 0.995
(0.488) (0.018) (0.004) (0.007) (0.007)
0.004 0.011 - 0.001
Deposits
(0.038) (0.006) (0.009)
L
OBS guarantees - 0.004' * 0.003
(0.001) (0.002)
OBS foreign currency 0.0001
(0.0005)
OBS interest rate
X 2 = 193; log(L) = 876
1184 J. Jagtiani et al. /Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189
Table 4
Scale economies measure by asset-size-based quartiles. The estimated of scale economies measures
(SCALE) are evaluated in each model based on each asset-size-quartiles and the overall sample mean
output levels. Sample period is quarterly data ending December 31, 1988. Standard errors are reported
in parentheses. Significance at the 5 percent level (H0: SCALE = 1) is indicated by *.
Model Quartile 1 Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Quartile 4 Sample mean
specification (smallest) (largest)
Model (a) 0.996 0.981 0.974 0.961 0.978
(0.0219) (0.0127) (0.0135) (0.0224) (0.0124)
Model (b) 1.002 1.0001 0.999 0.998 0.999
(0.0057) (0.0056) (0.0057) (0.0063) (0.0055)
Model (c) 0.952 0.957" 0.959" 0.964 0.958 '
(0.0309) (0.0202) (0.0176) (0.0225) (0.0168)
Model (d) 0.935 * 0.959 0.961 0.968 0.956 '
(0.0323) (0.0212) (0.0221) (0.0236) (0.0183)
Model (e) 0.995 0.996 0.997 1.003 0.998
(0.0083) (0.0078) (0.0077) (0.0077) (0.0076)
Model (f) 0.987 0.986 0.985 * 0.989 0.987
(0.0079) (0.0076) (0.0076) (0.0074) (0.0074)
Model (g) 1.002 1.004 1.005 1.008 1.005
(0.0080) (0.0076) (0.0075) (0.0074) (0.0073)
Model (h) 0.995 0.996 0.994 0.996 0.995
(0.0073) (0.0072) (0.0074) (0.0071) (0.0070)
Note to Table 3:
At the 1 percent significance level, none of the SCALE values are significantly different from one,
indicating efficient scale of operations in all models irrespective of the choice of outputs. The results
regarding COMPu, remain the same as those reported based on the 5 percent level, except in Model (g)
where the significant cost complementarities observed between aggregate OBS items and earning assets
disappears at the 1 percent level, indicating efficient scope of operations. The results are also confirmed
based on the Bonferroni t-test, as discussed in Section 4.2.
J. Jagtiani et al. / Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189 1185
Fig. 1 shows a graph of Model (g), which has cost as a function of the three
outputs: deposits, earning assets, and aggregate OBS activities. 7 In the top left
panel, cost is a function of deposits and earning assets, with OBS activities set at
the mean of the logarithm. Cost is much more sensitive to the volume of deposits
than it is to earning assets. The top right panel allows costs to vary with OBS
volume and earning assets, and it is clear that costs do not vary strongly with OBS
activities. From the bottom panel, when cost is allowed to vary with OBS volume
and deposits, the graph shows that cost is again not sensitive to OBS volume.
The low sensitivity of bank costs to OBS volume suggests that the tremendous
growth of OBS activities could continue into the future, if these activities continue
to provide benefits to banks in the form of better risk management or increased fee
income. However, the growth may not continue if there are some non-pecuniary
costs involved, or if there are no further gains from risk management (if banks are
already in a fully hedged position). The slight diseconomies between deposits and
OBS foreign currency items observed in Model (f) and the higher sensitivity of
costs to deposits may indicate the possibility of such cost disadvantages.
The approach we have used identifies the technical or operational efficiency of
the cost structure by focusing on the cost-minimizing behaviour of the banks. This
6 Similar conclusions are also indicated based on the standard t-test procedure at the 1% significant
level as noted in Table 3.
7 The outputs are allowed to vary across the range of values assumed by the banks in our sample.
Similar graphs were developed for other models, but the main characteristics appear in Model (g).
1186 J. Jagtiani et al. /Journal of Banking & Finance 19 (1995) 1175-1189
Cost Cost
($ooo) \ ($ooo)
\
~,I.00E+08 1.00E+08
~'~.I.00E+07 1.00E+07
,<
~1.00E+06 1.00E+06
Y
\
1.00E+05 1.00E+05
o ~'~ ~ ~ "~. ~
1.00E+04 ~ ~, "~, ~, ~ 1.00E+04
+o + ~ P, ~ ~,
~8uI ~
• ~ LU ,,+, ,,+, ,.: oo uj
~ 0 ~D 0 iO 0 iO 0 ~D 0
o. ~ Q ~ o. • q ~ q ~ q
Deposits ~ o5 ~ ¢6 OBS Itern~ ~ e5 ~ ~
Assets ($000) ($000) Assets ($000)
($000)
Cost
/ ($ooo)
/ 1.00E+08
/'y
f
~ .00E+07
1.00E+05
o ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
i i
1.00E+04
00
O
+
LLI
O
OBS I t e m s - ~ ¢6 ~
($000) Deposits ( $ 0 0 0 )
Fig. 1, Graphic presentation of bank cost as a function of deposits, earning assets, and ag~'cgat¢ O B S
activities, using Model (g), estimated on December 1988 data. Logarithms of non-plotted variables are
set at their means. All axes have a logarithmic scale; all axis labels are in dollars.
We find that empirical results on bank cost efficiencies are sensitive to output
specification. Both the mean measure of scale economies and the implied average
cost curve are sensitive to output definition - for example, models that exclude
deposits from the output specification suggest economies of scale, which vanish
when deposits are included. OBS products seem to have little or no significant
effect on the scale economies measures. The results in general suggest the lack of
scale economies. This may be due to the fiat-rate capital requirements (during the
period of study), which restricted on-balance-sheet outputs while encouraging
expansion of OBS outputs. This allowed the banks to move to an optimal output
level, by using the OBS items to proxy for the constrained items on the balance
sheet.
Further, we find that for most combinations of outputs, there is no evidence of
cost complementarity. The only exceptions involve either OBS foreign currency
products and guarantees, or aggregate OBS items and earning assets. In this case,
the regulators could consider encouraging joint production of these activities,
probably by imposing smaller capital requirements (smaller regulatory tax), in
order to increase output efficiency in the banking system. A certain amount of
caution, however, should be warranted given the diseconomies between deposits
and OBS foreign currency items.
Finally, the graphical representation of our results suggest that, unlike earning
assets and deposits, the volume of OBS activities has little or no impact on bank
costs. This suggests tl~at OBS activities could continue to grow as long as they
generate fee income, unless there are non-pecuniary costs of these activities such
as insolvency risk. Regulatory taxes on OBS activities, such as the risk-based
capital requirements, may be necessary in order to control the growth of these
activities, only if non-pecuniary social costs are found.
Acknowledgements
We thank Allen Berger, Curt Hunter, Douglas Evanoff, the anonymous referee,
and participants at the FMA and ASAC conferences for helpful comments,
suggestions, and discussions. Financial support from the Alberta Energy Company
and Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada are gratefully
acknowledged.
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