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a= 12.

1
b= 0.4
n= 0.242
k= 0.553

T TR TR Tiempo de retorno=5
(min) 5 10 n=18 x=T Y=1/i
10 25.804 28.902 1 10 0.039
20 21.223 23.772 2 20 0.047
30 18.172 20.354 3 30 0.055
40 15.976 17.894 4 40 0.063
50 14.311 16.029 5 50 0.070
60 13.000 14.561 6 60 0.077
70 11.938 13.371 7 70 0.084
80 11.057 12.385 8 80 0.090
90 10.314 11.552 9 90 0.097
100 9.677 10.839 10 100 0.103
110 9.124 10.220 11 110 0.110
120 8.640 9.677 12 120 0.116
130 8.211 9.197 13 130 0.122
140 7.829 8.769 14 140 0.128
150 7.485 8.384 15 150 0.134
160 7.175 8.036 16 160 0.139
170 6.893 7.720 17 170 0.145
180 6.635 7.432 18 180 0.151
sumatoria 1710 1.76840008
promerio 95 0.09824445

b1=
a1=
a
b

T TR TR
(min) 5 10
10 23.307 26.105
20 20.236 22.666
30 17.881 20.027
30.0

25.0
40 16.016 17.939 30.0

50 14.504 16.245
60 13.252 14.844 25.0
70 12.200 13.665
80 11.302 12.659
20.0
90 10.528 11.791
100 9.852 11.035
110 9.258 10.370 15.0

120 8.732 9.780


130 8.262 9.254 10.0
140 7.841 8.782
150 7.460 8.355
5.0
160 7.114 7.968
170 6.799 7.616
180 6.511 7.293 0.0
0 20 40 60 80
po de retorno=5 Tiempo de retorno=10
x*y x^2 n=18 x=T Y=1/i x*y x^2
0.388 100 1 10 0.035 0.346 100
0.942 400 2 20 0.042 0.841 400
1.651 900 3 30 0.049 1.474 900
2.504 1600 4 40 0.056 2.235 1600
3.494 2500 5 50 0.062 3.119 2500
4.615 3600 6 60 0.069 4.121 3600
5.864 4900 7 70 0.075 5.235 4900
7.235 6400 8 80 0.081 6.460 6400
8.726 8100 9 90 0.087 7.791 8100
10.334 10000 10 100 0.092 9.226 10000
12.055 12100 11 110 0.098 10.763 12100
13.889 14400 12 120 0.103 12.400 14400
15.832 16900 13 130 0.109 14.135 16900
17.882 19600 14 140 0.114 15.966 19600
20.039 22500 15 150 0.119 17.891 22500
22.300 25600 16 160 0.124 19.909 25600
24.663 28900 17 170 0.130 22.019 28900
27.128 32400 18 180 0.135 24.220 32400
199.540905 210900 sumatoria 1710 1.57884127 178.151663 210900
11.0856058 11716.66667 promerio 95 0.0877134 9.89731462 11716.6667

t=5 t=10
0.00065104 0.000581254
0.03639563 0.0324943
1536.00348 1720.419097
55.9038149 55.90381489

CURVAS I-D-F
CURVAS I-D-F

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200


METODO DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL Y NC

RESUMEN DE PRECIPITACION MAXIMA DE 24 HORAS


PARA EL ANALISIS DE LA CUENCA DEL RIO CACHI

ALLPACHACA CHIARA CHONTACA CUCHOQUESERA PUCALOMA SACHABAMBA PUTACCA


Nº AÑO
MAX MES MAX MES MAX MES MAX MES MAX MES MAX MES MAX
1 1991 - - - - - - - - - - - - 27.30
2 1992 45.7 ENE - - 25.70 FEB 27.00 MAR - - - - 23.50
3 1993 57.4 MAR 31.00 NOV 24.30 ABR 31.10 FEB - - - - 31.80
4 1994 35.9 FEB 30.30 ENE 31.10 ENE 27.00 ABR - - - - 29.00
5 1995 34.5 FEB 22.40 ENE 30.70 MAR 39.80 MAR 22.00 MAR 53.60 MAR 37.10
6 1996 38.1 ENE 27.90 MAR 34.90 MAR 35.20 ENE 31.30 ENE 38.50 ENE 35.40
7 1997 28.3 MAR 23.70 FEB 26.90 FEB 28.40 ENE 56.30 FEB 51.70 ENE 43.40
8 1998 35.2 ENE 23.90 ENE 25.80 FEB 27.00 ENE 29.80 FEB 29.20 MAR 39.20
9 1999 21.1 ENE 24.40 MAR 20.60 NOV 42.60 FEB 26.60 FEB 24.40 ENE 45.10
10 2000 41.9 FEB 19.11 ENE 27.31 ENE 43.94 DIC 36.12 FEB 26.00 ENE 45.92
11 2001 28.5 MAR 37.96 ENE 27.04 ENE 37.86 FEB - - 42.21 ABR 35.70
12 2002 28.5 MAR 27.28 OCT 36.77 NOV 39.34 DIC 28.32 FEB 80.00 NOV 29.10
13 2003 25.4 ENE 30.20 FEB 31.60 FEB 23.30 ENE 26.16 FEB 37.90 DIC 21.50
14 2004 36.0 SEP 25.50 DIC 18.10 FEB 30.30 FEB - - 29.60 FEB 35.10
15 2005 27.6 DIC 27.30 DIC 24.20 ENE 30.60 DIC 25.00 DIC 30.70 ENE 31.40
16 2006 28.2 MAR 26.00 ENE 21.10 MAR 36.00 FEB 69.50 OCT 36.30 ENE 29.70
17 2007 43.5 MAR 22.00 FEB 30.50 MAR 25.20 ENE 19.10 ENE 30.80 DIC 29.00
18 2008 28.9 MAR 18.40 FEB 25.40 ENE 26.20 FEB 25.40 DIC 56.68 FEB 53.34
19 2009 28.0 FEB 24.00 FEB 27.50 MAR 21.80 JUL 19.10 FEB 40.20 FEB 41.60
20 2010 37.4 ENE 28.10 ENE 34.70 DIC 28.40 FEB 41.00 FEB 43.60 DIC 34.60
NORMAL Y LOG NORMAL
N° P(mm) WEIBULL T(años) log(pp)
1 27.30 0.05 21.00 1.44
2 36.00 0.10 10.50 1.56
3 38.40 0.14 7.00 1.58
PUTACCA TAMBILLO VALOR 4 38.50 0.19 5.25 1.59
MES MAX MES ELEGIDO 5 39.20 0.24 4.20 1.59
MAR - - 27.3 6 41.60 0.29 3.50 1.62
FEB 35.30 FEB 45.7 7 43.50 0.33 3.00 1.64
DIC 37.90 FEB 57.4 8 43.60 0.38 2.63 1.64
MAR 52.20 MAR 52.2 9 45.10 0.43 2.33 1.65
FEB 24.50 ABR 53.6 10 45.70 0.48 2.10 1.66
ENE 28.30 MAR 38.5 11 45.92 0.52 1.91 1.66
FEB 41.70 FEB 56.3 12 47.00 0.57 1.75 1.67
ENE 31.20 ENE 39.2 13 48.49 0.62 1.62 1.69
ABR 28.60 ENE 45.1 14 52.20 0.67 1.50 1.72
FEB 41.47 FEB 45.9 15 53.60 0.71 1.40 1.73
DIC 48.49 NOV 48.5 16 56.30 0.76 1.31 1.75
SEP 41.08 MAR 80.0 17 56.68 0.81 1.24 1.75
ENE 38.40 FEB 38.4 18 57.40 0.86 1.17 1.76
MAR 27.90 FEB 36.0 19 69.50 0.90 1.11 1.84
ENE 47.00 MAR 47.0 20 80.00 0.95 1.05 1.90
FEB 21.50 ENE 69.5
DIC 27.04 ABR 43.5
OCT 18.33 DIC 56.7
ENE 25.40 ENE 41.6
ENE 25.50 ENE 43.6
Distribucion Normal
P24hr(mm)
POSICION (m) P(X)(m/(n+1) Z F(Z) DX=PX-F(Z)
AÑO
1965 36.1 1 0.0204 0.412 0.65995478 0.6395
1966 42.1 2 0.0392 1.060 0.85539414 0.8162
1967 40 3 0.0577 0.833 0.79764051 0.7399
1968 27.9 4 0.0755 -0.473 0.3182513 0.2428
1969 38 5 0.0926 0.617 0.73150973 0.6389
1970 33.1 6 0.1224 0.089 0.53529348 0.4128
1971 55.8 7 0.1429 2.538 0.99443101 0.8516
1972 26.6 8 0.1633 -0.613 0.26997494 0.1067
1973 41 9 0.1837 0.941 0.8266839 0.6430
1974 41.2 10 0.2041 0.963 0.83215736 0.6281
1975 41 11 0.2245 0.941 0.8266839 0.6022
1976 39.1 12 0.2449 0.736 0.76916389 0.5243
1977 41.2 13 0.2653 0.963 0.83215736 0.5669
1978 40.9 14 0.2857 0.930 0.82390503 0.5382
1979 32.1 15 0.3061 -0.019 0.49228675 0.1862
1980 19.6 16 0.3265 -1.368 0.08560591 0.2409
1981 19.9 17 0.3469 -1.336 0.09078368 0.2562
1982 38 18 0.3673 0.617 0.73150973 0.3642
1983 24.4 19 0.3878 -0.850 0.19757634 0.1902
1984 29 20 0.4082 -0.354 0.36171302 0.0465
1985 18 21 0.4286 -1.541 0.06165956 0.3669
1986 16.5 22 0.4490 -1.703 0.04429633 0.4047
1987 24.2 23 0.4694 -0.872 0.19163313 0.2778
1988 31.5 24 0.4898 -0.084 0.46649374 0.0233
1989 29.9 25 0.5102 -0.257 0.39868326 0.1115
1990 30.5 26 0.5306 -0.192 0.42386894 0.1067
1991 19.5 27 0.5510 -1.379 0.08393008 0.4671
1992 19.5 28 0.5714 -1.379 0.08393008 0.4875
1993 40.5 29 0.5918 0.887 0.81250964 0.2207
1994 23.5 30 0.6122 -0.947 0.17170806 0.4405
1995 42 31 0.6327 1.049 0.85292488 0.2203
1996 29 32 0.6531 -0.354 0.36171302 0.2913
1997 23.2 33 0.6735 -0.980 0.16358929 0.5099
1998 27.3 34 0.6939 -0.537 0.29551444 0.3984
1999 24.8 35 0.7143 -0.807 0.20979216 0.5045
2000 35.2 36 0.7347 0.315 0.62369996 0.1110
2001 23.3 37 0.7551 -0.969 0.1662674 0.5888
2002 27.6 38 0.7755 -0.505 0.30678995 0.4687
2003 16.7 39 0.7959 -1.681 0.0463538 0.7496
2004 32 40 0.8163 -0.030 0.48798275 0.3283
2005 28 41 0.8367 -0.462 0.32211148 0.5146
2006 41 42 0.8571 0.941 0.8266839 0.0305
2007 47.5 43 0.8776 1.643 0.94976858 0.0722
2008 31.5 44 0.8980 -0.084 0.46649374 0.4315
2009 46.8 45 0.9184 1.567 0.94145092 0.0231
2010 31.2 46 0.9388 -0.116 0.45364306 0.4851
2011 46.7 47 0.9592 1.556 0.94017911 0.0190
2012 35 48 0.9796 0.294 0.61547931 0.3641
MEDIA 32.28
DESV.ESTAND 9.266
COEF.ASIMT 0.205
N° AÑO P24hr(mm)
1 1965 36.1
2 1966 42.1
3 1967 40
4 1968 27.9
5 1969 38
6 1970 33.1
7 1971 55.8
8 1972 26.6
9 1973 41
10 1974 41.2
11 1975 41
12 1976 39.1
13 1977 41.2
14 1978 40.9
15 1979 32.1
16 1980 19.6
17 1981 19.9
18 1982 38
19 1983 24.4
20 1984 29
21 1985 18
22 1986 16.5
23 1987 24.2
24 1988 31.5
25 1989 29.9
26 1990 30.5
27 1991 19.5
28 1992 19.5
29 1993 40.5
30 1994 23.5
31 1995 42
32 1996 29
33 1997 23.2
34 1998 27.3
35 1999 24.8
36 2000 35.2
37 2001 23.3
38 2002 27.6
39 2003 16.7
40 2004 32
41 2005 28
42 2006 41
43 2007 47.5
44 2008 31.5
45 2009 46.8
46 2010 31.2
47 2011 46.7
48 2012 35
Promedio m= 32.2791667
Desv. Estándar s= 9.2662269
Coef. Asimetria c.a. = 0.2050096
c.a./6 k=
Nº Datos n= 48

T PT T (Años)
P w z
(años) (mm)
Pmax 24
2 0.5000 1.17741002 0.000 32.279 horas
5 0.2000 1.79412258 0.841 40.076
10 0.1000 2.14596603 1.282 44.156
20 0.0500 2.44774683 1.645 47.524
25 0.0400 2.53727248 1.751 48.505
50 0.0200 2.79714962 2.054 51.314
100 0.0100 3.03485426 2.327 53.840
140 0.0071 3.14376921 2.450 54.985
200 0.0050 3.25524726 2.576 56.151
500 0.0020 3.52550935 2.879 58.952
1000 0.0010 3.71692219 3.091 60.917

30

25

20
30

25

20

15

10

0
0 5 10
1000 500 200 140 100 50 25 20 10 5

60.92 58.95 56.15 54.99 53.84 51.31 48.51 47.52 44.16 40.08

27.5222 26.6346 25.36915 24.84243 24.32482 23.1836 21.91463 21.47142 19.94971 18.10651
16.3648 15.83703 15.08459 14.7714 14.46363 13.78505 13.03051 12.76698 11.86217 10.7662
12.07375 11.68437 11.12923 10.89816 10.67109 10.17044 9.613756 9.419327 8.751763 7.943169
9.730568 9.416753 8.969348 8.783126 8.600124 8.196641 7.74799 7.591294 7.053286 6.401618
8.231058 7.965603 7.587145 7.42962 7.274819 6.933514 6.554002 6.421453 5.966353 5.41511
7.179096 6.947567 6.617477 6.480084 6.345068 6.047383 5.716374 5.600765 5.203829 4.723037
6.395281 6.189031 5.89498 5.772588 5.652313 5.387129 5.092259 4.989273 4.635675 4.207375
5.78583 5.599235 5.333206 5.222478 5.113664 4.873752 4.606982 4.51381 4.193909 3.806425
5.29665 5.125831 4.882295 4.780928 4.681315 4.461686 4.217472 4.132177 3.839323 3.4846
4.894217 4.736376 4.511343 4.417678 4.325634 4.122692 3.897033 3.818219 3.547615 3.219843
4.556576 4.409625 4.200117 4.112914 4.027219 3.838278 3.628186 3.554809 3.302874 2.997714
4.268716 4.131048 3.934775 3.853081 3.7728 3.595795 3.398976 3.330235 3.094215 2.808334
4.019996 3.89035 3.705513 3.628579 3.552975 3.386284 3.200933 3.136197 2.913929 2.644705
3.802657 3.68002 3.505176 3.432401 3.360885 3.203206 3.027876 2.96664 2.756389 2.50172
3.610894 3.494441 3.328415 3.25931 3.1914 3.041672 2.875184 2.817036 2.617388 2.375562
3.440275 3.329325 3.171143 3.105304 3.040603 2.89795 2.739328 2.683928 2.493713 2.263314
3.287354 3.181335 3.030185 2.967272 2.905447 2.769135 2.617564 2.564626 2.382867 2.162709
3.149407 3.047837 2.90303 2.842757 2.783526 2.652934 2.507724 2.457007 2.282875 2.071955
3.024252 2.926719 2.787666 2.729788 2.672911 2.547509 2.408069 2.359368 2.192155 1.989617
2.910119 2.816266 2.682461 2.626767 2.572037 2.451367 2.31719 2.270326 2.109425 1.91453
2.805554 2.715074 2.586077 2.532384 2.479621 2.363287 2.23393 2.188751 2.03363 1.845739
2.709357 2.621979 2.497404 2.445553 2.394599 2.282254 2.157332 2.113702 1.9639 1.782452
2.620519 2.536006 2.415516 2.365365 2.316082 2.20742 2.086595 2.044396 1.899506 1.724006
2.538194 2.456336 2.339631 2.291056 2.24332 2.138073 2.021043 1.98017 1.839832 1.669846

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25

20
30

25

20

15

10

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
2
Duracion
32.28 (hr)

14.58376 1
8.671555 2
6.397769 3
5.156138 4
4.361561 5
3.804136 6
3.3888 7
3.065858 8
2.806646 9
2.5934 10
2.414488 11
2.261953 12
2.130159 13
2.014993 14
1.913379 15
1.82297 16
1.741938 17
1.668842 18
1.602523 19
1.542045 20
1.486637 21
1.435663 22
1.388589 23
1.344965 24
ANEXO III

PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMA DE 24 HORAS


SERIE DE PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMAS DE 24 HORAS

Nº AÑO P mäx (mm) Log P máx Pmáx (A-Z)


1 1991 27.30 1.44 27.30
2 1992 45.70 1.66 36.00
3 1993 57.40 1.76 38.40
4 1994 52.20 1.72 38.50
5 1995 53.60 1.73 39.20
6 1996 38.50 1.59 41.60
7 1997 56.30 1.75 43.50
8 1998 39.20 1.59 43.60
9 1999 45.10 1.65 45.10
10 2000 45.92 1.66 45.70
11 2001 48.49 1.69 45.92
12 2002 80.00 1.90 47.00
13 2003 38.40 1.58 48.49
14 2004 36.00 1.56 52.20
15 2005 47.00 1.67 53.60
16 2006 69.50 1.84 56.30
17 2007 43.50 1.64 56.68
18 2008 56.68 1.75 57.40
19 2009 41.60 1.62 69.50
20 2010 43.60 1.64 80.00
Promedio m= 48.3 1.672
Desv. Estándar s= 11.92 0.104
Coef. Asimetria c.a. = 1.00 0.130
c.a./6 k= 0.022
Nº Datos n= 20 20

Distribuciones
Distribución Normal

T PT
P w z
(años) (mm)
2 0.500 1.177 0.00 48.30
5 0.200 1.794 0.84 58.33
10 0.100 2.146 1.28 63.57
20 0.050 2.448 1.65 67.90
25 0.040 2.537 1.75 69.17
50 0.020 2.797 2.05 72.78
100 0.010 3.035 2.33 76.03
140 0.007 3.144 2.45 77.50
200 0.005 3.255 2.58 79.00
500 0.002 3.526 2.88 82.60
1000 0.001 3.717 3.09 85.13

Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401

Página 15 de 19
Distribución Log Normal

T PT
P w z Log Pm
(años) (mm)
2 0.500 1.177 0.000 1.672 47.00
5 0.200 1.794 0.841 1.759 57.45
10 0.100 2.146 1.282 1.805 63.81
20 0.050 2.448 1.645 1.843 69.60
25 0.040 2.537 1.751 1.854 71.38
50 0.020 2.797 2.054 1.885 76.73
100 0.010 3.035 2.327 1.913 81.89
140 0.007 3.144 2.450 1.926 84.34
200 0.005 3.255 2.576 1.939 86.91
500 0.002 3.526 2.879 1.970 93.41
1000 0.001 3.717 3.091 1.992 98.26

Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401 Se debe tener en
cuenta el ultimo parrafo de esta pagina; es decir que el procedimiento es el mismo excepto que este
se aplica a los logaritmos de las variables y su media y desviacion estándar son usadas para la
generacion de caudales.

Distribución Log Pearson III

T PT
P w z KT Log Pm
(años) (mm)
2 0.500 1.1774 0.000 -0.022 1.67 46.75
5 0.200 1.7941 0.841 0.834 1.76 57.35
10 0.100 2.1460 1.282 1.295 1.81 64.01
20 0.050 2.4477 1.645 1.681 1.85 70.20
25 0.040 2.5373 1.751 1.795 1.86 72.13
50 0.020 2.7971 2.054 2.123 1.89 78.01
100 0.010 3.0349 2.327 2.422 1.92 83.77
140 0.007 3.1438 2.450 2.559 1.94 86.55
200 0.005 3.2552 2.576 2.699 1.95 89.49
500 0.002 3.5255 2.879 3.037 1.99 97.02
1000 0.001 3.7169 3.091 3.277 2.01 102.74
Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401-403

Distribución Extrema Tipo I- Gumbel


Para N = 20 datos;
T PT
KT
(años) (mm)
2 -0.1478 46.54
5 0.9186 59.25
10 1.6247 67.66
20 2.3020 75.73
25 2.5169 78.29 (De tabla A-8, Pag. 583 del libro Engineering Hydrology
50 3.1787 86.18 de Victor Ponce, 1989)
100 3.8357 94.01
140 4.1536 97.80
200 4.4902 101.81
500 5.3538 112.10
1000 6.0065 119.88

Página 16 de 19
Distribución Extrema Tipo I- Gumbel Modificado

T PT
KT
(años) (mm)
2 -0.1643 46.34
5 0.7195 56.87
10 1.3046 63.85
20 1.8659 70.53
25 2.0439 72.66 (Pag. 225 del libro Engineering Hydrology
50 2.5924 79.19 de Victor Ponce, 1989)
100 3.1368 85.68
140 3.4003 88.82
200 3.6792 92.14
500 4.3949 100.67
1000 4.9357 107.12

PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMA DE 24 HR PARA DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO

Período de Distribución Distribución Log Gumbel


Gumbel
Retorno P Normal Log Normal Pearson III Modificado

T XT XT XT XT XT
2 0.500 48.30 47.00 46.75 46.54 46.34
5 0.200 58.33 57.45 57.35 59.25 56.87
10 0.100 63.57 63.81 64.01 67.66 63.85
20 0.050 67.90 69.60 70.20 75.73 70.53
25 0.040 69.17 71.38 72.13 78.29 72.66
50 0.020 72.78 76.73 78.01 86.18 79.19
100 0.010 76.03 81.89 83.77 94.01 85.68
140 0.007 77.50 84.34 86.55 97.80 88.82
200 0.005 79.00 86.91 89.49 101.81 92.14
500 0.002 82.60 93.41 97.02 112.10 100.67
1000 0.001 85.13 98.26 102.74 119.88 107.12
Delta c (Dc) = 0.304 0.115 0.071 0.094 0.088 0.057
PR E C IPITA C IO N M A XIM A (m m )

PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMA DE 24 HR. vs PERIODOS DE RETORNO


140

120

100

80

60
Dis t. Log Pears on IIIl

Dis t. Gumbel Modificado

Dis t. Normal
40
Dis t. Log Normal

Dis t. Gumbel

20

0
1 Página
12 17 de 19 120 1200
PERIODO DE RETORNO (Años)
80

60
Dis t. Log Pears on IIIl

Dis t. Gumbel Modificado

Dis t. Normal
40
Dis t. Log Normal

Dis t. Gumbel

20

0
1 12 120 1200
PERIODO DE RETORNO (Años)

Página 18 de 19
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