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Reliability and performance indices of power generating units in Poland

Conference Paper · October 2004


DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS.2004.241771 · Source: IEEE Xplore

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8th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa,
September 12-16, 2004

Reliability and Performance Indices


of Power Generating Units in Poland
Józef Paska

Abstract − The description of collecting and processing system levels of organizational structure of electric power industry: in
of unavailability data of generating units of 120÷500 MW, power plants, in power dispatching areas, and in the
maintained in Energy Market Agency (ARE SA) is given in the Informatics Center of Power Industry, acting on behalf of the
paper. This system concerns 112 units with total capacity of Community of Power Industry and Brown (Lignite) Coal.
about 2/3 of Polish power system’s generation capacity. The
This system, for all power plants, operated only one year,
definitions of calculated indices are given as well as comparison
until the time of electric power industry disintegration. Part of
with used by NERC (North American Electric Reliability
Council) in GADS (Generating Availability Data System). Also the system, for large generating units, is still operating. For the
the values of reliability and performance indices of Polish “price” of data and financial support for database, power
generating units from the last years are given and compared with plants obtain in chosen cycles: cumulative statements, all
American generating units’ data. other information from the huge set, and each new edition of
Index Terms − Electric power system reliability, generating system software.
unit outage statistics, reliability and performance indices. Blackout, which took place in 1965 in north-eastern part of
the United States and in Canada, deprived of electricity of
I. INTRODUCTION about 30 million people. In consequence of that the North

T HE electric power system (EPS), and particularly the American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) was created.
generation subsystem, is the technical system in which Liberalization and deregulation of power electric sector have
there is no practical possibility to obtain the reliability data carried menace of electric energy supply. The Californian
with the use of accelerated laboratory studies. Only the lesson of the years 2000/2001 and the last blackouts in the US,
process of operation of the equipment gives the information in UK, in Italy, have confirmed great importance of electric
on the events having the influence on reliability of electricity power system reliability.
generation and its supply to the customers. This information The North American Electric Reliability Council maintains
must be then analyzed mathematically to determine the the Generating Availability Data System (GADS) on behalf of
fundamental reliability indices and their distributions, taking all US utilities and participating Canadian NERC members.
into consideration some rational circumstances [8]. Participation in NERC GADS is voluntary, and GADS
The investigation of unreliability of electric power devices participants represent about 90% of the installed capacity in
has a very rich tradition. The reliability of large generating North America [3]-[4], [6].
units (≥ 120 MW) always had, and still has, a great Elaborated by NERC instruction provides an outline of
importance for work of national electric power system [7-8]. procedures and format for submitting information for the
An attempt to implement the system for collecting and GADS needs. Those are targeted to enable consistent
processing data concerning failures (called SENE) in the reporting of the generating unit design information, outage
power plants was undertaken in late 1970s. But power plants and derating descriptions, and selected overall unit
have consequently rejected this system because of the great performance information. All reporting requirements and
number of data introduced into it. The second reason for definitions are based on ANSI/IEEE Standard 762
power plants unwilling was then computer hardware. "Definitions for Reporting Electrical Generating Unit
Establishing in the year 1987 of „Instruction of the Reliability, Availability and Productivity".
Examination of Disturbances in Electric Power Plants and Data acquisition using present GADS reporting format
Electric Power Networks” [1] has created the base for began in 1982, replacing procedures used since the early
elaborating the new computer system, called 1960s. The GADS reporting format provides means for
“UNRELIABILITY” - different for power networks, and describing the type and cause of outage and derating events on
different for power plants. both the generating unit as a whole and the component(s) that
The system for examination of failures and outages in failed. This may be further amplified by a written description
power plants was introduced from 1st January 1989, on three of the type and mode of failure, cause of immediate failure
and any contributing factors and corrective actions taken.
Performance reporting includes information on generating unit
J. Paska (D.Sc., Ph.D., MEE) is with Warsaw University of Technology, ratings, energy generated, unit loading characteristics and a
Institute of Electric Power Engineering, Warsaw, POLAND (e-mail: description of fuels consumed. All participants receive annual
Jozef.Paska@ien.pw.edu.pl).

Copyright Iowa State University, 2004


GADS publications and reporting instructions. The annual Tkp + Ts + Tb
publications are also available to non-NERC utilities. • SOF = × 100 ;
Tk
So, in North America, the utilities participate in the NERC,
which collects, processes and publishes statistics on Tp
• service factor, SF = × 100 ;
generating units reliability. GADS [3]-[4] contains over 25 Tk
years of data on performance of generating units and related Tp
equipment. This information is available through special average run time, ART = .
reports, for example, the Generating Availability Report. Lw
In GADS 12 “direct” indices for generating units and 7
II. INDICES CALCULATED IN “UNRELIABILITY” “weighted” indices, for group of units only, are calculated.
SYSTEM (POLISH GADS) AND GADS They are: ART (Average Run Time), SR (Starting Reliability),
In the Energy Market Agency (formerly Center for Power NCF (Net Capacity Factor), NOF (Net Output Factor), SF
Informatics) the reliability and availability assessment of large (Service Factor), AF (Availability Factor), EAF (Equivalent
Availability Factor), FOR (Forced Outage Rate), EFOR
Polish generating units (with rated capacity ≥ 120 MW), in
(Equivalent Forced Outage Rate), SOF (Scheduled Outage
thermal electric power plants, and large co-generation units (in
Factor), FOF (Forced Outage Factor), EFORd (Equivalent
CHP Siekierki and CHP Krakow-Leg), for the particular period
Forced Outage Rate demand), WSF (Weighted Service
of time has been done [2], [5]. For each generating unit and
Factor), WAF (Weighted Availability Factor), WEAF
group of units of the same rated capacity, the suitable reliability
(Weighted Equivalent Availability Factor), WFOR (Weighted
and performance parameters are calculated.
Forced Outage Factor), WEFOR (Weighted Equivalent
In the first stage numbers and durations of specified states are
Forced Outage Rate), WSOF (Weighted Scheduled Outage
calculated:
Factor), WFOF (Weighted Forced Outage Factor). As a
〈Tp, Tr, Tkp, Ts, Tb, Ta, Tk, Lr, Lkp, Ls, Lb, La, Lw〉 "weight" the NMC - Net Maximum Capacity is used, and from
where: Tp – service duration of generating unit or group of the Polish perspective a special attention should be focused on
units in analyzed period, Tr – reserve duration of the SR, EAF, EFOR indices, not calculated in
generating unit or group of units in analyzed period, “UNRELIABILITY” system, but in which capacity deratings
Tkp – scheduled outage (for major repair) duration, (planned, seasonal, forced) are taken into account (EAF,
Ts - scheduled outage (for medium repair) duration, EFOR).
Tb - scheduled outage (for current repair) duration, The approach and quantities existing in GADS are
Ta – forced outage duration of generating unit or group illustrated in Fig. 1.
of units, Tk - time of period (calendar time), for that
calculations are performed, Lr – number of reserve MW
I
shutdowns, Lkp - number of major repair shutdowns, Ls
- number of medium repair shutdowns, Lb - number of
D E
current repair shutdowns, La - number of forced
outages, Lw - number of all outages.
Basing on above mentioned quantities the following indices B
are calculated [2], [9]-[10]:
Tp + Tr A C F G H
• availability factor, AF = × 100 ;
Tk
Ta
• forced outage factor, FOF = × 100 ;
Tk
SH RSH FOH MOH POH
Ta AH
• forced outage rate, FOR = × 100 ;
T p + Ta PH

An Fig. 1. Illustration of quantities used for generating unit reliability indices


• generation capacity factor, GCF = × 100 ,
Tk Pz calculation in GADS: SH – service hours; RSH – reserve shutdown hours;
FOH – forced outage hours; MOH – maintenance outage hours;
where: An - net electricity generated, POH – planned (scheduled) outage hours; AH – availability hours;
Pz - installed capacity; PH – period hours; I – stable capacity deratings (technological system
An defects); D – service of generating unit with derated capacity because of
• achievable capacity factor, GOF = × 100 , external conditions; B - service of generating unit with derated capacity
Tp Pos because of power dispatching; A – generating unit service, real generation of
electricity; E – reserve capacity derating for the same reasons as in D;
where Pos - achievable capacity;
C - reserve capacity; F – forced outage; G – maintenance outage;
• scheduled (planned) outage factor, H – scheduled outage.
Basing on durations of different generating unit states, Therefore it is necessary to perform the suitable
capacity levels, and values of generated energy, the important decomposition of the unit. This decomposition is also
reliability and performance indices of the unit could be specified by the instruction [1], and according to it in
calculated. Some of them are calculated using hours of “UNRELIABILITY” system the generating unit consists of
analyzed period and could be described by Fig. 1, which eight main devices (or their groups):
presents capacity as a function of time. The total height of the • generator,
graph is Net Maximum Capacity – NMC, and its total length • boiler,
is period of time – period hours (PH). So, the total area, Y = • boiler auxiliaries,
NMC⋅PH, is the total electrical energy, which could be • turbine,
generated in analyzed period if generating unit was still in • turbine auxiliaries,
service with maximum capacity. • heating devices,
• electric power substation devices,
III. VALUES OF RELIABILITY INDICES OF POLISH
• control devices.
GENERATING UNITS IN LAST YEARS
Their participation in overall number of forced outages of
Table I lists the collective statement of reliability Polish generating units in the year 2002 is shown in Fig. 2.
parameters of the Polish generating units in the years 2000-
2002. 350

300
TABLE I
RELIABILITY AND PERFORMANCE PARAMETERS 250
OF GENERATING UNITS IN THE YEARS 2000-2002 200
Indices
Group of units 150
AF FOF FOR GCF GOF SOF SF ART
% h 100
Brown (lignite) coal - condenser units (35 units)
50
82.4 2.1 2.9 64.4 91.8 15.5 71.0 281.0
120 MW (7 units) 90.0 1.3 1.8 63.3 90.6 8.7 69.8 240.4 0

auxiliaries

auxiliaries
Heating

Substation
Boiler

devices
Turbine
Generator

devices

Control
200 MW (16 units) 76.1 3.1 4.4 55.0 89.7 20.8 67.2 276.6

Turbine

devices
Boiler
360 MW (12 units) 86.3 1.3 1.7 71.6 93.3 12.4 76.7 315.2
Heating oil - condenser units
200 MW (2 units) 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9 0.0 0.0
Hard coal - condenser units (67 units)
Fig. 2. Participation of specified main generating unit’s devices in overall
87.3 1.1 1.8 46.2 76.6 11.6 59.3 219.4
number of forced outages in the year 2002.
120 MW (16 units) 82.4 1.5 2.5 47.2 79.7 16.1 59.7 279.3
200 MW (45 units) 90.3 1.0 1.6 46.3 74.7 8.7 59.5 204.2
360 MW (4 units) 90.3 0.3 0.4 46.3 74.7 9.5 70.2 217.8 There is also the possibility to analyze what or who was
500 MW (2 units) 73.8 1.4 4.3 22.9 73.3 24.8 30.9 80.9 responsible for failures leading to generating units outages. In
Hard coal – co-generation units (8 units - about 120 MW each) “UNRELIABILITY” system the following “failure causes”
80.5 2.0 3.0 49.1 78.4 17.5 64.2 337.0
are differentiated: non proper exploitation, bad quality of
TOGETHER CONDENSING AND CHP UNITS (112)
84.3 1.4 2.2 51.9 82.7 14.3 61.9 238.1 devices or works, disaster effects, material deteriorating, non
120 MW (32 units) 84.1 1.5 2.3 50.9 82.5 14.4 62.0 268.2 personnel persons, different persons, fuel, disturbances
200 MW (63 units) 84.9 1.5 2.4 47.1 78.5 13.6 59.5 220.7 without failures.
360 MW (16 units) 87.3 1.0 1.4 68.7 90.9 11.6 75.1 285.4 Their participation in overall number of forced outages of
500 MW (2 units) 73.8 1.4 4.3 22.9 73.3 24.8 30.9 80.9
Polish generating units in the year 2002 is shown in Fig. 3.
It follows from Table I that the lowest forced outage rate Disturbances Non proper Bad quality
(FOR) in analyzed period had the generating units of 360 without failures exploitation
5%
of devices
12% 12% Disaster effects
MW, while the highest - units of the capacity 200 MW Fuel
1%
1%
working on brown coal and two units of 500 MW (hard coal
fired). The highest availability (AF) reach the modern units of
360 MW, while the lowest - 200 MW units working on brown
coal and 500 MW units, from the beginning causing large
operational difficulties.
The generating unit is a complex set of cooperating
components. The assumption in the reliability analysis of Material
Different persons Non personnel
single smallest components of the unit would direct to so 37% persons
deteriorating
30%
complex structures that their solution would be extremely 2%

laborious and sometimes not possible due to the lack of


credible information on damages of those small components.
Fig. 3. Participation of specified “failure causes” in overall number of catastrophic failure of the fifth unit in Turow power plant),
generating units’ forced outages in the year 2002.
and an average time of operation rose to about 250 hours. The
improvement of those indices came together with
The variations of chosen reliability indices of condensation simultaneous drop of the unit capacity factor of the installed
units and power (capacity) margin in the Polish electric power power (GCF) to about 54% - it means by more than 10% in
system in the years 1978-2002 are shown in Fig. 4. relation with the state from the end of seventies. In that period
45
the time of reserve standstills rose and the time of standstills
40 for scheduled maintenance was rising in the eighties until the
35 year 1992, after which it started to drop.
30
25 IV. COMPARISON WITH AMERICAN
[%]

20 GENERATING UNITS DATA


15 In Table II and in Fig. 5 and Fig. 6 the indices from the
10 GADS system are given. They have their equivalents in the
5 "UNRELIABILITY" system.
0
1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 TABLE II
Year INDICES OF AMERICAN COAL GENERATING UNITS
M FOF FOR SOF IN THE YEARS 1998-2002
Unit size, AF FOF FOR NCF NOF SOF SF ART
MW % h
Fig. 4. Changes of power margin and chosen reliability indices of
condensation generating units in the years 1978-2002. 100-199
87.82 3.84 4.46 63.26 76.79 8.34 82.38 441.3
(261)*
Power margin from Fig. 4 has been defined as: 200-299
87.44 4.03 4.53 69.27 81.49 8.53 85.00 545.3
12 (117)
∑ ( Pso − Z s ) i 300-399
(89)
85.63 4.69 5.31 66.97 79.93 9.68 83.79 427.5
i =1
M = 12
× 100 , 400-599
85.61 4.69 5.24 71.47 84.27 9.71 84.81 485.8
∑ Psoi (164)
i =1 * - in brackets the number of units is given
where: Pso – average monthly achievable capacity of power
industry in evening peak, Zs – average monthly
90
power demand in evening peak (to be covered by
80
power industry).
70
Until 1981 average annual power margin was less than
60
Value, %

30%. It means that in winter in critical days it dropped even


50
below 10%. There were overloads of condensing units in the
40
peak of power demand. In the hours besides the peak demand
30
some of the units were taken to the reserve or current repairs.
20
Such a mode of work had disadvantageous influence on the
10
technical state of equipment. Additionally the situation was
0
worse because of lack of so called peak power in the domestic
AF NCF NOF
power system. Permanent lack of power in the system caused
the problem that there was no time for properly done US 100-199 MW PL 120 MW US 200-299 MW PL 200 MW
scheduled maintenance works. In that situation the FOR index
US 300-399 MW PL 360 MW US 400-599 MW PL 500 MW
was at that time close to 10%, and an average time of an unite
work, from standstill to standstill (ART), was about 171
Fig. 5. Comparison of AF, NCF and NOF SOF indices of domestic (Polish)
hours. and American generating units.
The improvement of the situation was seen when pumped-
storage power plant in Zarnowiec started its operation (1982 Comparing the data from Tables I and II it can be stated that
and 1983). The plant supplied power system with 680 MW of the domestic power units (except 500 MW units) have:
peak power. Gradual starts of new units in Polaniec and availability AF close to American;
Belchatow power plants helped the situation, too. Power lower than American values of forced outage rate FOR and
margin in the eighties overrun 30%, at the beginning of FOF index, which may be the result of the fact, that in the
nineties it at first approached 40%, and then it exceeded that Polish power plants standstills caused by failures are
value. The failure index dropped at that time to about 2.5% sometimes re-qualified as the standstills for reserve or
(greater value of the failure index in 1999 is the result of planned maintenance;
greater index of scheduled maintenance factor SOF, System "UNRELIABILITY" gives much valuable
which proves the significance of proper technical information, but it has many drawbacks, for example [6], [8]-
diagnostic and optimal maintenance policy and [10]:
modernization for the minimal time of the standstill of the • The system covers only big generating units in thermal
generating unit; power plants (units with the rated capacity of 120 MW,
almost twice shorter average time of the work ART. 200 MW, 360 MW, and 500 MW), and big cogeneration
units. The units comprising about 1/3 of the installed
25 capacity of the electric power system do not belong to the
system.
20
• Failures of the unit elements leading to the lowering of its
capability but not to its standstill are not taken into account
Value, %

15
in the system.
10 • Only “point” indices are calculated, but it seems there is a
need for empirical distributions of the duration of
5 particular unit exploitation states and its elements,
technological nodes and subsystems [8]. The range of the
0
“point” indices could also be wider (for example during
FOF FOR SOF
the works on the system bid market – calculation of LOLP
US 100-199 MW PL 120 MW US 200-299 MW PL 200 MW for the individual offer price – came out the demand for
US 300-399 MW PL 360 MW US 400-599 MW PL 500 MW
the probability of unsuccessful start of a generating unit -
SR) [8].
Fig. 6. Comparison of FOF, FOR and SOF indices of domestic and American There is no doubt the further functioning of the
power units. “UNRELIABILITY” system is desired – but the questions
whether there are not any threatens for the system in its actual
V. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS state and whether there is a chance for its development are still
In the current situation of the power sector in Poland, open. Is there a possibility of creation of analogical, better
besides the official public statistics (GUS – Main Statistic system of reliability data acquisition and processing of
Office) practically do not exist voluntary, central systems of network components?
acquisition and transformation of the technical and economic A good deal of expectancy to expand the functions of
data. The exception of this is, kept in the Agency of Energy existing “UNRELIABILITY” system, in that: taking into
Market, acquisition and transformation data system about account equipment not covered by the system until now,
failures of the power units 120-500 MW. The system controls taking into account the drop (derating) of aggregates
112 power units with the capacity composing 2/3 of the total capability (forced and planned), caused that there are trials to
installed power, which may be produced in the domestic establish in Poland the Council for Reliability and Security of
power system. Electric Power System, similarly like it is in the USA. After
Analyses of the statistics of domestic generating units acceptance of the Council it will be possible not only to
unreliability show that in the years 1992-2002 the reliability develop the system of power plants monitoring, but also to
indices rose systematically in power plants with units of rebuild existing in the past monitoring system of electric
installed capacity between 120 and 500 MW. The lowest power networks reliability [11].
forced outage rate (FOR) in the period of three years (2000-
2002) had units of 360 MW, but the highest the units of 200 REFERENCES
MW on lignite and two units of 500 MW on hard coal. The [1] "Instruction of the Examination of Disturbances in Electric Power
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MW, whereas the lowest - units of 200 MW on lignite and Górnictwa i Energetyki, Warszawa, 1987.
[2] "Catalogue of Generating Units Reliability Indices in 2000-2002" (in
500 MW units on hard coal, causing many problems from the Polish), Agencja Rynku Energii SA - Centrum Informatyki Energetyki,
beginning of their exploitation. Warszawa, 2003.
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500 MW units) is close to American ones, they have lower North American Electric Reliability Council, New Jersey, October
2002.
than American forced outage rate FOR and FOF index, [4] "Generating Unit Statistical Brochure 1998-2002", North American
higher index of scheduled maintenance SOF, which proves the Electric Reliability Council, New Jersey, October 2003.
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Centrum Informatyki Energetyki, Warszawa, 1995.
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[6] J. Paska, M. Stodolski, A. Bordziłowski, J. Łukasiewicz, "Registration
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[7] J. Paska, “Generation system reliability and its assessment”, Archiwum
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[8] J. Paska, “Polish Generating Units Availability Data System”, 6th
International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power
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28, 2000.
[9] J. Paska, „Generating subsystem reliability in electric power system”
(in Polish), Prace Naukowe PW – Elektryka, Z. 120, 2002.
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