Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Banking
1
•Classification of Banks :3
•Advances :6
•Deposits : 16
•Investments : 24
•NPAs : 30
•Profitability : 47
•Basel 3 Norms : 49
•Payment Banks : 55
•Small banks : 67
•Global Financial Melt-down (2008-09) and India : 76
2
Classification of Banks
3
How the players are classified in the banking industry?
For all analysis, banking players are classified into 3 categories
•Public sector banks (SBI& Associates and Nationalized
Banks)
•Private sector banks
•Foreign banks
4
Though PSU banks are still dominant, its market share has
been coming down.
2017-18
2011-12
6
PRIORITY SECTOR LENDING NORMS
The priority sectors comprises of agriculture, small-scale industries
(SSI), education and housing.
7
Credit growth collapsed between 2015 to 2017 but picking up
in the last couple of years.
CREDIT GROWTH
CREDIT GROWTH FOR
OVERALL CREDIT GROWTH PUBLIC AND PRIVATE
SECTORBANKS
Note: Systemic credit growth will include bank credit, NBFC credit,
corporate bonds
Source: SEBI, RBI, NBFCs, Banks, CRISIL Research
Decline in credit growth is primarily due to decline in Industry
lending.
OTHER REASONS
• Corporates using alternate funding options - IPOs/FPOs/Rights issues and using past
reserves.
• NBFC’s credit portfolio is predominantly retail loans while Bank ‘s credit portfolio used
to be dominated by industry loans.
• Industry-heavy portfolio of banks have dragged down their growth
• Retail focus has also helped the asset quality of NBFCs
• Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) ratio for the NBFC sector was 6% in December
2018 compared to Bank’s GNPA of 12%
• Capital adequacy levels (CAR) of the NBFC segment was 21% in December 2018
compared to Bank’s CAR of 13%
• Many NBFCs are expanding beyond their retail lending to offer even working capital
loans for corporate entities.
BANKS SHIFTING FOCUS TO RETAIL
16
Deposit growth has moderately increased in the last 2 years
due to Demonetization and lower inflation.
DEPOSIT GROWTH
DEPOSIT GROWTH
19
TYPES OF DEPOSITS
20
Proportion of CASA deposits increased in 2016-17 due to
demonetization.
• Private Sector and Foreign Banks are able to tap in salaried segment market
current deposits
23
Investments
24
Investments by banks fall into two broad categories:
25
PURPOSE OF SLR
the Reserve Bank of India can increase or decrease bank credit expansion.
• By reducing the level of SLR, the RBI can increase liquidity with the
government bonds.
26
SLR has reduced from 25% in 2009 to 19.5 percent currently.
SLR TRENDS
27
Why reduction in SLR in the recent years?
• To release the unused capital from the banking system and let it
flow into productive sectors when there is a higher demand for
capital.
• The gradual reduction in SLR as announced by RBI give banks
greater freedom to pump more capital in the economy.
• Going ahead, the declining trend in SLR to continue as regulated by
RBI.
28
INVESTMENTS IN SLR INVESTMENTS
29
Analysis of NPAs
30
How NPAs are classified?
•RBI classify loans into 4 categories:
Standard assets
Substandard assets
Doubtful assets
Loss assets
•The central bank has prescribed appropriate provisioning requirements
for each of these categories.
• Of the above, sub-standard assets, doubtful assets and loss assets
together comprise non-performing assets (NPAs). An NPA is a loan or an
advance where the interest and/or installment of principal remains
overdue for a period of more than 90 days.
31
NPA sharply increased in FY 16 and continue to rise till FY 18
before softening marginally in FY 19
NPA Trends
Source:
32
Source Company Reports, RBI and Crisil Research
PSU Bank’s NPAS since 2016 has been almost 3 times that of Private
Bank’s NPAS.
NETNPAS TO NETWORTH
• RBI had a strong notion that some of the banks are underreporting their NPAs.
• Asset classification practices are not up to the mark and several banks have
resorted to ever-greening of accounts.
• Here, banks were postponing bad-loan classification while depicting accounts
as performing.
• RBI made special inspections during August-November 2015 and prepared the
AQR
• After the AQR, banks were given two quarters to complete the asset
classification.
37
RESULTS OF ASSET QUALITY REVIEW
• The AQR by the RBI revealed higher level of asset quality deterioration or NPAs with
the inspected banks.
• As per the review, almost all public-sector banks were having higher NPAs. In the case
of private sector banks, the impact was limited to few banks like Yes Bank, ICICI Bank
and Axis Bank.
• For example:
• For 2016,Yes Bank had disclosed gross non-performing assets (NPAs) of Rs748.9
crore, but the RBI’s assessment of the bank’s correct level of gross NPAs was
Rs4,925.6 crore.
• At ICICI Bank, the difference in gross NPAs was to the tune of Rs5,105 crore,
leading to an additional provisioning of Rs1,071 crore in 2016.
• At Axis bank, as per RBI’s assessment the correct level of NPAs was 4.5% against
the reported 1.78%.
38
EXAMPLES OF METHODS DEPLOYED BY THE BANKS
FOR UNDERREPORTING NPAS
• Ever-greening
• Banks disburse working capital loans to the stressed companies which
help them service their term loans;
• Banks also disburse fresh loans already sanctioned—again to help the
borrowers pay back the loan instalments.
• There were also instances of banks giving new loans to other group
companies of stressed borrowers for the same purpose.
• There have been cases where banks have given the borrowers more time,
depending on the date of commencement of commercial operations. Many
such loans have been restructured twice and continued to be tagged as
standard assets in banks’ books.
39
Government’s recapitalization announcement has come as a big
. booster for the PSU banks
• Confidence booster of PSU banks: It reinforces the belief that the government
• The first major case resolved under IBC was the sale of Bushan Steel to Tata
Steel in May 2018.
• Banks recovered Rs. 35,200 crores of outstanding loans.
• This represent 76% of the outstanding bad debt.
• Also creditors got 12% equity stake in the company.
.
• The first major case resolved under IBC was the sale of Bushan Steel to Tata
Steel in May 2018.
• Banks recovered Rs. 35,200 crores of outstanding loans.
• This represent 76% of the outstanding bad debt.
• Also creditors got 12% equity stake in the company.
. As of April 2019, Resolution plans under IBC have yielded 200% of
liquidation value.
Source:
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/resolution-plans-under-ibc-have-
yielded-200-pc-of-liquidation-value-ibbi-chairperson-m-s-
sahoo/articleshow/69056816.cms?from=mdr
2. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/over-12000-cases-filed-after-
implementation-ofibc-setting-up-of-nclt/article26636316.ece
3. https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/ibc-forces-companies-to-settle-rs-1-
lakh-crore-debt-out-of-court/story/294673.html
. As of April 2019, Resolution plans under IBC have yielded 200% of
liquidation value.
47
How the net profitability margin for the bank is calculates?
• Private banks were making consistent profits but PSU banks posted huge
losses for the last 2 to 3 years.
• Due to IBC and improvement in Asset Quality, PSU banks have started to
turnaround in 2019.
• Analysts expect most of the PSU banks to return to profitability during the
current financial year 2019-20 (FY20), backed by improvement in the balance
sheet.
48
Basel 3 Norms
49
BACKGROUND
•Basel 3 norms has been developed to avoid 2008 like financial breakdown in the
future. It is a safeguards / backup plan for the banking sector.
•It provides internationally accepted detailed guidelines about how
much money should a bank keep aside, to deal with financial crisis.
•The objective is even if there is lot of defaulters, Bank should have
money to give back to depositors.
•The major problems that led to 2008 crisis were
High debt
Low quality of capital base
Insufficient liquidity
•Basel III proposes many new capital, leverage, and liquidity standards
Implementation of different norms of Basel 3 norms will be
from 2020 to 2022.
50
CAR = (Tier 1 capital + Tier 2 capital)/(Risk weighted assets)
Tier 1 capital (Core capital): More liquid (for example, paid up capital, free
reserves, statutory reserves, currency notes, stocks etc)
oTier 2 capital (subordinate capital): less liquid (building or land owned by
the bank, NPAs, Long-term unsecured loans etc)
Risk weighted assets :
They are used to calculate a bank’s minimum capital requirements.
For banks, risk-weighted assets are assets with special risks.
For example, a loan secured by a letter of credit would be weighted
as riskier than a mortgage loan that is secured with collateral
A government bonds with higher rating (over AA-) are weighted as
zero percent, whereas corporate loans with the same ratings are
weighted at 20%.
51
Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) = (Tier 1 capital + Tier 2 capital)/(Risk weighted assets)
52
Key Basel 3 norms are higher capital, higher Tier 1 capital and
additional equity in the form CCB
53
Government has been infusing capital in the PSU banks to meet the
Basel-3 norms.
54
Payment Banks
55
PAYMENT BANKS: INTRODUCTION
•Payment banks are aimed at bringing unbanked population into banking.
•Acceptance of demand deposits, i.e. current and savings bank deposits.
However, payment banks will initially be restricted to holding a maximum
balance of Rs. 100,000 per customer.
•Payments and remittances will be through various channels, including branches,
business correspondents (BCs) and mobile banking.
•Payment banks will not be allowed to disburse credit.
•They can also distribute simple financial products like mutual funds and
insurance.
• The minimum capital of a payment bank is Rs. 1 billion.
56
PAYMENT BANK: WHAT IT CAN AND CANNOT DO?
57
ACTIVE PAYMENT BANKS
58
PAYMENT BANKS: CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS
•Rural presence
recharge etc.
59
Why predominantly Mobile companies are interested in payment banks?
• Large proportion of customers for Payment banks will be from rural India.
•Indian telecom companies has already a large subscriber base and
infrastructure in the rural areas. (For example, Bharti has 1.5 million retail
outlets, more than 40% of them are in the rural areas)
• Also, the ability to generate transaction-based income (remittance fees,
online purchase fees) will be critical for payments banks.
•Therefore, mobile network operators (MNOs) are best placed to offer
payment banking services considering they already have the infrastructure
for it.
60
If all retail mobile recharge points of mobile operators offer
remittance service, the potential is much higher than all other
avenues put-together.
TELECOM PENETRATION
61
46% of telecom subscribers are from rural areas in 2015 which is
expected to increase to 54% in 2019.
62
Domestic remittances from the migrant population to grow at 11-
13% CAGR from Rs. 935 bn in 2014-15 to Rs. 1500 bn in 2018-19
63
Current remittance process has the problem of higher cost and time
delays.
64
46% of telecom subscribers are from rural areas in 2015 which is
expected to increase to 54% in 2019.
•The cost and time taken for transfer through M-wallet is much lower
65
AIRTEL PAYMENT BANK
• Bharti Airtel owns 80.10% in Airtel Payments Bank, while Kotak Mahindra
Bank holds the remaining 19.90%.
• Launched pilot in November 2016, starting with 10,000 outlets in Rajasthan
and subsequently rolled it out nationally.
• Airtel has been incentivising its customers to sign up for the payments bank
by giving a minute of talk time for each rupee deposited (albeit with a
limited validity)
• Accumulated deposits worth Rs. 307 crores till September 2018.
• Pays an interest of 7.25% on savings deposits.
• Charge 0.5% commission on bank transfers, 0.65% on withdrawals and around
0.65% on domestic remittances.
66
Small Banks
67
SMALL BANKS : SCOPE
small farmers, small businesses, micro and small industries and the unorganised
sector.
•At least 50 per cent of the bank's loan portfolio should constitute loans and
enterprises.
•Micro-finance institutions
69
SMALL BANKING LICENCE
• Some of the operational Small Finance Banks in India are as follows:
• Ujjivan Small Finance Bank.
• Janalakshmi Small Finance Bank.
• Equitas Small Finance Bank.
• A U Small Finance Bank.
• Capital Small Finance Bank.
• ESAF Small Finance Bank.
• Utkarsh Small Finance Bank.
• Suryoday Small Finance Bank.
• Fincare Small Finance Bank.
70
Why not many applicants for Small Banks?
• Majority of the micro-finance institutions (MFIs) and large NBFCs are not be
interested because :
•High net-worth requirement of Rs. 1 bn.
•Restrictions imposed on geography of operations.
• Most institutions already outside eligibility criteria
•An analysis of 50 MFIs shows that about 15 MFIs, having net worth of
over Rs 750 million (assuming the MFIs will be able to raise the balance
Rs 250 million), are already operating in more than four states.
•Further, even smaller MFIs with net worth of more than Rs 150 million
are operating in more than two states.
71
LACK OF INTEREST FROM COOPERATIVE BANKS
• Most co-operative banks that have a net worth of over Rs 1 billion are
•Co-operative banks have relaxed regulations, and hence, some will not like to
72
BENEFITS IN GETTING SMALL BANKING LICENCE FOR A COOPERATIVE
BANK
• Some of the co-operative banks, though, are looking to acquire a small banking
licence as being a schedule commercial bank increases investor confidence and
capital raising abilities.
•Also, co-operative banks cannot provide many services, e.g. merchant banking.
• Further, small banks will be relieved from the control of state governments.
•Another advantage of becoming a small bank is that it will get access to
National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development and Small Industries
Development Bank of India refinance schemes.
•The brand image will improve, too, and this will help mobilise deposits at
lower rates.
73
New banking applicants differ in their objectives
74
NEW PLAYERS’ STRATEGIES
Focus away from Metros and cities
In urban areas, there are 348 million banking accounts for 377
million population (saturated)
In rural and semi-urban areas, there are only 344 million
accounts for 833 million people
Identify and fill the gaps in the market with innovative products
75
Global Financial Melt-down (2008-09)
and India
76
•Firstly, India was not greatly affected because our Forex exposure
were low.
•But still we were affected to some extent due to increase in crude oil
•In summary, when the financial down hit, first priority was to
contain inflation.
To reduce the inflationary pressures, the CRR was increased to 9%
during the same time almost 8 to 10 times in just 4-5 months.
RBI began to reduce both CRR and Repo beginning from October
2008.