A.

Kalimantan Selatan

1. Spending Effet Model

Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response of DSERV to DHOUSE Response of DINF to DSERV
Response of DHOUSE to DMINE
.03 12
.06

.02
8
.04
4
.02 .01
0
.00 .00
-4
-.02 -.01
-8
-.04 -.02
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 -12
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations Response to5 Cholesky
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations 10 15One20S.D.25
Innovations
30

Response of DMANUF to DINF Response of DAGRI to DINF Response of DSERV to DMINE

.06 .04 .03

.04 .02
.02
.02 .01
.00
.00 .00

-.02 -.02 -.01

-.04 -.02
Response to 5Cholesky
10 15One20S.D.
25 Innovations
30
-.04
5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30

Response of DINF to DMINE

12

-4

-8

-12
5 10 15 20 25 30

Variance Decomposition of DMINE:

Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF
1 0.154996 100 0 0 0 0 0
10 0.392037 75.98689 8.057695 1.281021 3.082954 6.336802 5.254642
20 0.522257 81.02349 4.972187 1.202402 1.91657 6.675658 4.209696
30 0.620576 83.20441 3.778133 0.937022 1.358985 6.95806 3.763392
Variance Decomposition of DMANUF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.053889 0.601685 99.39831 0 0 0 0

10 0.12057 11.82246 79.26659 2.125879 4.16592 1.615969 1.003183
20 0.160454 10.03092 82.45105 1.454708 4.111327 1.106352 0.845642
30 0.19209 9.236466 83.84416 1.179036 4.088305 0.891724 0.760307
Variance Decomposition of DSERV:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.02517 12.83771 22.29138 64.87092 0 0 0

10 0.042678 6.305575 32.11919 38.92612 4.13073 12.77271 5.745677
20 0.05296 4.283909 34.77734 37.44989 4.625934 13.15248 5.710441
30 0.061532 3.312233 36.10498 36.8721 4.840121 13.21493 5.655637
 Variance Decomposition of DAGRI:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.025445 1.199338 62.46108 1.766089 34.57349 0 0

10 0.055598 4.305173 17.00877 46.40228 18.49415 8.692472 5.097155
20 0.070662 3.139531 10.61378 51.70461 19.62918 9.261294 5.651603
30 0.082972 2.593606 7.764547 54.00112 20.15866 9.567815 5.914252
Variance Decomposition of DHOUSE:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.053523 0.082915 69.4158 0.608559 0.113179 29.77955 0

10 0.115467 25.8553 21.6538 18.27712 10.07096 18.32338 5.819441
20 0.133737 28.79164 17.48386 21.58603 10.69284 16.92098 4.524657
30 0.149336 30.5616 14.9618 23.70584 10.91591 16.10635 3.748502
Variance Decomposition of DINF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF
1 11.38475 0.009203 84.40485 4.494079 0.010794 2.312463 8.768616
10 24.63872 12.59639 38.00167 16.60225 10.53077 12.24734 10.02157
20 25.2534 13.08452 36.84802 17.3267 10.78331 12.17114 9.786306
30 25.52069 12.94014 36.10471 18.13947 10.90714 12.21264 9.695895

2. Resouce Movement Effect

Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response of DMANUF to DMINE Response of DSERV to DMINE Response of DAGRI to DMINE
.06 .03 .02

.04 .02 .01

.02 .01 .00

.00 .00 -.01

-.02 -.01 -.02

5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30

Variance Decomposition of DMINE:

Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI
1 0.204026 100 0 0 0
10 0.241485 76.77241 14.25104 7.043017 1.933526
20 0.256317 69.09077 22.21633 6.842663 1.850246
30 0.270398 62.92232 28.70542 6.600564 1.771703
Variance Decomposition of DMANUF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.055607 0.047254 99.95275 0 0

10 0.11865 8.463314 83.15993 6.439631 1.937129
20 0.159843 8.453168 84.39553 5.592702 1.558598
30 0.192216 8.404921 84.95437 5.224182 1.416531
Variance Decomposition of DSERV:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.027229 0.496828 28.55778 70.94539 0

10 0.039268 8.140198 44.81486 43.26169 3.783249
20 0.046271 8.133903 56.34475 32.40905 3.112303
30 0.052238 8.177432 62.7627 26.37836 2.681508
Variance Decomposition of DAGRI:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.025181 2.677321 53.13774 9.696867 34.48807

10 0.03776 9.757861 31.70189 35.83071 22.70954
20 0.039199 9.727702 35.04384 33.83772 21.39073
30 0.040389 9.644296 38.01684 32.12009 20.21878
 B. Sumatera Selatan
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response of DHOUSE to DMINE Response of DSERV to DHOUSE Response of DINF to DSERV
.02 .02 40

.01
20
.01 .00
0
-.01

.00 -20
-.02

-.03
5 10 15 20 25 30 -40
Response to5 Cholesky
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations 10 15 One
20 S.D.
25 Innovations
30
Response to5 Cholesky
10 15 One
20 S.D.
25 Innovations
30

Response of DMANUF to DINF Response of DAGRI to DINF

Response of DSERV to DMINE
.06 .04
.02

.04 .02 .01

.02 .00
.00
.00 -.01
-.02
-.02 -.02

-.04 -.04 -.03

5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30 5 10 15 20 25 30
Response to Cholesky One S.D. Innovations
Response of DINF to DMINE
40

20

-20

-40
5 10 15 20 25 30

Variance Decomposition of DMINE:

Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF
1 0.059798 100 0 0 0 0 0
10 0.179199 34.44838 25.55252 3.868543 24.94727 6.092375 5.090908
20 0.215672 37.82008 20.92609 3.544053 25.74384 7.337331 4.628612
30 0.243017 39.59541 18.43082 3.39704 26.04179 8.201692 4.333246
Variance Decomposition of DMANUF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.055749 0.224644 99.77536 0 0 0 0

10 0.094261 21.86982 50.73185 3.422194 10.98662 4.900133 8.089389
20 0.101239 25.96948 44.66434 3.400247 13.86422 4.60643 7.495274
30 0.106018 29.40628 41.09709 3.337992 14.84045 4.324594 6.993593
Variance Decomposition of DSERV:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.017631 30.22835 8.139299 61.63235 0 0 0

10 0.073526 23.73012 18.80799 8.00513 22.1267 12.48348 14.84659
20 0.080741 24.05588 16.59343 10.08937 20.63154 15.65149 12.97829
30 0.085287 24.03894 14.99785 11.82266 18.81386 18.61088 11.71581
 Variance Decomposition of DAGRI:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.027725 7.598272 3.836964 19.40806 69.15671 0 0

10 0.078414 10.9798 38.76932 4.492664 19.88332 8.848444 17.02646
20 0.08217 11.8527 36.8362 5.11804 20.01321 9.948906 16.23094
30 0.084386 12.2482 35.43719 5.566919 19.99231 11.15926 15.59612
Variance Decomposition of DHOUSE:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF

1 0.020882 4.534422 62.53956 0.04785 1.318229 31.55994 0

10 0.045748 9.461467 20.29504 14.12689 18.8136 29.0083 8.294699
20 0.057839 10.43632 16.35922 15.05806 17.92695 33.39684 6.822609
30 0.067497 10.93276 14.63147 15.56522 17.22083 35.73642 5.9133
Variance Decomposition of DINF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI DHOUSE DINF
1 18.37212 2.203534 29.26066 7.402735 3.816374 11.1141 46.2026
10 53.51857 11.05479 39.1068 3.094894 11.29263 9.046416 26.40447
20 54.41547 11.19773 38.62042 3.170003 11.94737 8.941638 26.12284
30 54.50636 11.22625 38.54068 3.195309 11.9735 8.97717 26.08709

3. Resouce Movement Effect

Variance Decomposition of DMINE:

Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI
1 0.06586 100 0 0 0
10 0.231583 49.41641 20.29035 8.2867 22.00654
20 0.292619 56.73163 14.58307 5.468643 23.21666
30 0.342252 60.25632 11.72231 4.084079 23.9373
Variance Decomposition of DMANUF:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.071772 4.358703 95.6413 0 0

10 0.109113 20.46042 54.33468 12.6588 12.54609
20 0.118518 27.1708 47.24299 10.90854 14.67766
30 0.126956 32.59362 41.69049 9.565437 16.15045
Variance Decomposition of DSERV:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.038053 35.93185 15.77955 48.2886 0

10 0.068241 25.09999 14.05811 28.81727 32.02463
20 0.074886 30.8793 13.58455 24.70472 30.83143
30 0.079876 35.54073 12.43372 21.81058 30.21497
Variance Decomposition of DAGRI:
Period S.E. DMINE DMANUF DSERV DAGRI

1 0.04989 25.70533 19.88297 33.50442 20.90728

10 0.085524 31.31401 17.69239 23.56988 27.42372
20 0.099932 41.11951 14.4468 17.60804 26.82565
30 0.112178 47.01063 12.28741 14.03965 26.66231