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Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
0.89 (MYR) 4.7M 1.13 23.6 0.02 10.2% -- -1.7%
26 September 2019 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
MALAYSIA Exchange
4.0B 0.87 20.3 2.3% 3.4B 22.0% -7.3%
AVERAGE SCORE
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: KPJ's current score is Score Averages
relatively in-line with the market. Health Providers & Svcs. Group: 5.0 Mid Market Cap: 6.4
Healthcare Services & Equip. Sector: 5.2 FBM KLCI Index: 6.4
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive KPJ 6 8 6 7 7
TMCLIFE 6 6 7 7 7
Neutral IHH 8 8 7 5 5
SMILE NR NR 1 1 1
Negative
MHCARE NR NR NR NR NR
SEP-2016 SEP-2017 SEP-2018 SEP-2019
BUSINESS SUMMARY
KPJ Healthcare Berhad. KPJ Healthcare Berhad is engaged in investment holding and provision of management services to subsidiaries. The principal
activities of the subsidiaries are the operation of specialist hospitals. The Company's segments include Malaysia, Indonesia, Australia and Others. The
Malaysia segment consists of all healthcare activities, including the private hospitals, pathology and laboratory services, and distribution of
pharmaceutical, medical and consumer healthcare products. The Indonesia segment includes private hospitals. The Australia segment provides
retirement village and aged care facilities. The Others segment includes the operating segments involved in provision of hospital services in Thailand
and Bangladesh, private university college of nursing and allied health, and sale of hospital merchandise and other similar activities. It operates
approximately 30 hospitals in Malaysia, over two in Indonesia, and one each in Bangladesh and Thailand.
Page 1 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
PEER COMPANIES
IHH IHH Healthcare TMCLIFE Tmc Life Sciences Berhad
HARTA Hartalega Holdings COMFORT Comfort Gloves
TOPGLOV Top Glove Corp MHCARE Metro Healthcare Berhad
KOSSAN Kossan Rubber Industries SMILE Smile-Link Healthcare Global
SUPERMX Supermax Corp ADVENTA Adventa
Page 2 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive KPJ 4 7 5 7 8
IHH 10 9 10 4 4
Neutral MHCARE NR NR NR NR NR
SMILE NR NR NR NR NR
Negative
TMCLIFE NR NR NR NR NR
SEP-2016 SEP-2017 SEP-2018 SEP-2019
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
IHH KPJ
KPJ KPJ
IHH IHH
Page 3 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
0.030
2017 2018 2019 2020
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters) In-Line 30/08/19 30/06/19 0.011 0.011 0.0%
Negative 31/05/19 31/03/19 0.009 0.011 -18.2%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Positive 19/02/19 31/12/18 0.011 0.010 10.0%
Positive Quarters (> 2%) 3 25.0%
Negative 28/11/18 30/09/18 0.008 0.010 -20.0%
Negative Quarters (< -2%) 7 58.3%
Negative 16/08/18 30/06/18 0.008 0.010 -20.0%
In-Line Quarters (within 2%) 2 16.7%
Negative 30/05/18 31/03/18 0.009 0.010 -10.0%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 4.5B
HIGH 2019 2020
flat or falling sales and faltering 4.2B
earnings may explain a sell Mean 3.6B 3.8B
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 3.9B High 4.0B 4.3B
MEAN
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins, 3.6B LOW
Low 3.4B 3.6B
rather than market expansion. This 3.3B Forecasted Growth 8.6% 16.1%
3.2B
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 3.3B
# of Analysts 18 18
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next 3.0B
2017 2018 2019 2020
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
FUNDAMENTAL
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Strong fundamentals Fundamental Score Averages
such as high profit margins, low debt levels, or Health Providers & Svcs. Group: 6.5 Mid Market Cap: 6.5
growing dividends. Healthcare Services & Equip. Sector: 5.8 FBM KLCI Index: 6.5
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2018 2018 2019 2019 Current 3Y Trend
TMCLIFE 10 9 NR NR 10
Positive
KPJ 6 3 NR NR 8
Neutral MHCARE NR NR NR NR 8
Negative IHH 7 8 NR NR 5
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 SMILE NR NR NR NR 4
2017 2018
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
TMCLIF…
MHCAR… KPJ
MHCAR… KPJ
SMILE TMCLIF…
SMILE
KPJ IHH
TMCLIF… MHCAR… IHH
IHH TMCLIF…
IHH MHCAR…
SMILE
KPJ SMILE
Revenue Growth 5.7% Current Ratio 1.2 Oper. Cash Yield 192.4% Dividend Growth 5.3%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 06-2019 ending 06-2019 ending 06-2019 ending 06-2019
Gross Margin 30.9% Debt-to-Capital 40.9% Accruals 6.8% Dividend Payout 49.2%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 06-2019 ending 12-2018 ending 12-2018 ending 06-2019
Return On Equity 10.2% Interest Funding 36.6% Days Sales In Inv. 8.7 Dividend Coverage 4.8
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 06-2019 ending 03-2019 ending 12-2018 ending 12-2018
Net Margin 5.2% Interest Coverage 2.5 Days Sales In Rec. 59.0 Current Div. Yield 2.3%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 06-2019 ending 06-2019 ending 12-2018 ending 09-2019
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for KPJ Healthcare improved significantly - The days sales in inventory for KPJ is the lowest within its Health
over the last quarter from 3 to 8. The average Fundamental Rating for Providers & Svcs. industry group.
its Health Providers & Svcs. industry group is 6.5 and the FTSE - Of the 5 firms within the Health Providers & Svcs. industry group, KPJ
BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index average is 6.5. Healthcare is among 4 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's
- The company's net margin has been lower than its industry group dividend yield is currently 2.2%.
average for each of the past five years.
- The debt-to-capital of 40.9% for KPJ is the highest within its Health
Providers & Svcs. industry group.
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
RELATIVE VALUATION
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Multiples relatively in-line Relative Valuation Score Averages
with the market. Health Providers & Svcs. Group: 2.5 Mid Market Cap: 4.6
Healthcare Services & Equip. Sector: 2.6 FBM KLCI Index: 2.7
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive KPJ 2 3 4 4 4
TMCLIFE 4 4 4 4 4
Neutral SMILE NR 3 3 3 3
MHCARE 3 3 NR NR 2
Negative
IHH 1 1 1 1 1
SEP-2016 SEP-2017 SEP-2018 SEP-2019
KPJ
KPJ KPJ
IHH
TMCLIFE
IHH
IHH
SMILE
MHCARE
MHCARE MHCARE
SMILE SMILE
TMCLIFE TMCLIFE
HIGHLIGHTS
- KPJ Healthcare currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 4 which is - KPJ's current Trailing P/E of 23.6 represents a 63% Discount to its
significantly above the FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index Health Providers & Svcs industry group average.
average rating of 2.8. - Based on Forward P/E, KPJ currently trades at a 43% Discount to its
- KPJ's Price to Sales, Trailing P/E, and Forward P/E multiples are all Health Providers & Svcs industry group peers. On average, the
significantly below (less expensive than) their 5-year averages. company has traded at a 33% Discount over the past five years.
- Based on Price to Sales, KPJ currently trades at a 57% Discount to its
Health Providers & Svcs industry group peers. On average, the
company has traded at a 63% Discount over the past five years.
Page 6 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Page 7 of 11
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KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
RISK
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Moderate risk (medium Risk Score Averages
volatility). Health Providers & Svcs. Group: 6.8 Mid Market Cap: 7.1
Healthcare Services & Equip. Sector: 6.3 FBM KLCI Index: 9.1
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IHH 9 9 9 9 9
TMCLIFE 7 6 9 8 8
Neutral KPJ 7 8 7 7 7
SMILE NR NR 1 1 1
Negative
MHCARE NR NR NR NR NR
SEP-2016 SEP-2017 SEP-2018 SEP-2019
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
IHH IHH
KPJ KPJ TMCLIF… IHH
TMCLIF… TMCLIF…
KPJ
IHH TMCLIF…
SMILE
SMILE KPJ
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. FBM KLCI 0.24 Correlation vs. FBM KLCI
Best 5.1% Last 90 Days 1.40 Positive Days Only 0.34 Last 90 Days 8%
Worst -3.2% Last 60 Months 3.19 Negative Days Only -0.04 Last 60 Months 2%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.24 Correlation vs. Group
Best 8.5% Average 1.9% Positive Days Only 0.07 Last 90 Days -1%
Worst -9.6% Largest 5.3% Negative Days Only 0.01 Last 60 Months 36%
Page 8 of 11
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The Financial and Risk business of Thomson Reuters is now Refinitiv.
KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive IHH 9 10 7 7 7
KPJ 8 10 4 6 4
Neutral TMCLIFE 3 4 3 4 4
MHCARE NR NR NR NR NR
Negative
SMILE NR NR NR NR NR
SEP-2016 SEP-2017 SEP-2018 SEP-2019
TMCLIFE
IHH IHH
KPJ KPJ
TMCLIFE
MHCARE MHCARE
SMILE SMILE
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
KPJ Industry Avg SEP OCT NOV
Last 1 Month 42 54 Company Avg 0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Last 3 Months 45 52 Industry Avg -- -- --
Last 6 Months 47 53 Industry Rank -- -- --
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the KPJ KPJ FBM KLCI
performance of the stock as compared to a
FBM KLCI Close Price (26/09/19) 0.89 1,590
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 1.13 1,799
-1.7%
1-Week 52-Week Low 0.87 1,590
-0.6%
-18.1%
1-Year
-11.4%
Page 9 of 11
© 2019 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
The Financial and Risk business of Thomson Reuters is now Refinitiv.
KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Page 10 of 11
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The Financial and Risk business of Thomson Reuters is now Refinitiv.
KPJ HEALTHCARE (KPJ-KU)
Healthcare Services & Equip. / Health Providers & Svcs. / Health Facilities & Svcs. DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 26 September 2019
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current company’s values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the company’s ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
● Magnitude of Returns – The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
● Volatility – The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
● Beta – Measures the tendency of a security’s returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
● Correlation – Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
● Relative Strength – The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
● Seasonality – The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
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Any forward-looking statements included in the Thomson Reuters content are based
on certain assumptions and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that
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assurance that any forward-looking statements will materialize.
The content in this Thomson Reuters report does not constitute investment advice
or a recommendation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Past performance is not a
guarantee of future results. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor when making an investment decision.
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