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Heart

Atrial Fibrillation Detection During 24-Hour


Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring
Comparison With 24-Hour Electrocardiography
Anastasios Kollias, Antonios Destounis, Petros Kalogeropoulos, Konstantinos G. Kyriakoulis,
Angeliki Ntineri, George S. Stergiou

Abstract—This study assessed the diagnostic accuracy of a novel 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) monitor
(Microlife WatchBP O3 Afib) with implemented algorithm for automated atrial fibrillation (AF) detection during each
ABP measurement. One hundred subjects (mean age 70.6±8.2 [SD] years; men 53%; hypertensives 85%; 17 with
permanent AF; 4 paroxysmal AF; and 79 non-AF) had simultaneous 24-hour ABP monitoring and 24-hour Holter
monitoring. Among a total of 6410 valid ABP readings, 1091 (17%) were taken in ECG AF rhythm. In reading-to-
reading ABP analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of ABP monitoring in detecting AF were 93%, 87%,
and 88%, respectively. In non-AF subjects, 12.8% of the 24-hour ABP readings indicated false-positive AF, of whom
27% were taken during supraventricular premature beats. There was a strong association between the proportion
of false-positive AF readings and that of supraventricular premature beats (r=0.67; P<0.001). Receiver operating
characteristic curve revealed that in paroxysmal AF and non-AF subjects, AF-positive readings at 26% during 24-hour
ABP monitoring had 100%/85% sensitivity/specificity (area under the curve 0.91; P<0.01) for detecting paroxysmal
AF. These findings suggest that in elderly hypertensives, a novel 24-hour ABP monitor with AF detector has high
sensitivity and moderate specificity for AF screening during routine ABP monitoring. Thus, in elderly hypertensives, a
24-hour ABP recording with at least 26% of the readings suggesting AF indicates a high probability for AF diagnosis
and should be regarded as an indication for performing 24-hour Holter monitoring.  (Hypertension. 2018;72:110-115.
DOI: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.117.10797.) Online Data Supplement •
Key Words: accuracy ◼ arrhythmia ◼ atrial fibrillation ◼ detection ◼ diagnosis ◼ Holter ◼ screening
Downloaded from http://ahajournals.org by on August 30, 2019

A trial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained


arrhythmia and a powerful risk factor for stroke.1 AF can
be paroxysmal and may remain undiagnosed for long time
Microlife AG, Widnau, Switzerland) has been developed.6–8 A
meta-analysis of 6 studies (n=2332) assessing the diagnostic
accuracy of this algorithm during BP measurement showed
(silent AF) until a stroke event occurs.1 Therefore, screening pooled sensitivity 0.98 and specificity 0.92.7 In 2013, the UK
for AF is recommended in the elderly using ECG or pulse National Institute for Health and Care Excellence recom-
palpation, yet the latter has moderate diagnostic accuracy and mended the Microlife Afib BP monitor for opportunistic AF
both often miss paroxysmal AF.1–4 As screening at a single time screening during routine office BP measurement in primary
point may not be an effective strategy for preventing AF-related care in the elderly (≥65 years).9
stroke, recent guidelines support prolonged monitoring for the Ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) is currently regarded
detection of paroxysmal AF in high-risk patients such as those as the most accurate method for hypertension diagnosis.10–13
with stroke.1 Several organizations recommend ABPM to be offered to
The vast majority of AF patients are hypertensives, as both confirm diagnosis in most or all subjects with suspected
conditions are common in the elderly and hypertension is a hypertension.10–14 A novel ABPM device (Microlife WatchBP
significant risk factor for AF.5 Thus, opportunistic screening O3 Afib; Microlife AG, Widnau, Switzerland) with imple-
for AF during routine blood pressure (BP) measurement has mented algorithm for automated AF detection during each
considerable potential for early detection of asymptomatic BP measurement has been developed. This study assessed the
AF in the elderly. For this purpose, an automated oscillomet- diagnostic accuracy of this device for AF detection versus ref-
ric BP monitor equipped with an algorithm specific for AF erence 24-hour ECG during routine 24-hour ABPM in elderly
detection during automated BP measurement (Microlife Afib; hypertensives.

Received December 29, 2017; first decision January 12, 2018; revision accepted April 7, 2018.
From the Hypertension Center STRIDE-7, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, School of Medicine, Third Department of Medicine, Sotiria
Hospital, Athens, Greece.
The online-only Data Supplement is available with this article at http://hyper.ahajournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.
117.10797/-/DC1.
Correspondence to George S. Stergiou, Hypertension Center STRIDE-7, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, School of Medicine, Third
Department of Medicine, Sotiria Hospital, 152 Mesogion Ave, Athens 11527, Greece. E-mail gstergi@med.uoa.gr
© 2018 American Heart Association, Inc.
Hypertension is available at http://hyper.ahajournals.org DOI: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.117.10797

110
Kollias et al   Blood Pressure Monitoring and Atrial Fibrillation   111

Methods confidence intervals [CI] were used) were determined based on true-
and false-positive and true- and false-negative AF ABPM readings
Data, Analytic Methods (Code), and Research using the MedCalc statistical software (MedCalc Software bvba,
Materials Transparency Ostend, Belgium; https://www.medcalc.org; 2018). For an estimated
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the prevalence of AF readings around 10%, a minimum sample size of
corresponding author upon reasonable request. 2310 readings (including 231 with AF) would be required to achieve
a minimum power of 80% to detect a change in the percentage value
Participants of sensitivity from 80% to 90%, based on a target significance level of
This cross-sectional study enrolled subjects referred to a Hypertension 0.05.21 This minimum sample size would also be sufficient to detect
Clinic for the assessment of their BP, treated or untreated for hyper- a change in the value of specificity from 80% to 90%.21 A sequen-
tension. Subjects aged ≥65 years, or aged 50 to 64 years with symp- tial analysis by Bayes theorem for estimating post-test likelihood
toms suggesting arrhythmias or with stroke or AF history, were also of AF detection using the pretest likelihood of AF was performed.22
included. All subjects had clinical indication for ABPM, either for Mann–Whitney or Kruskal–Wallis test was used for comparisons
confirming the diagnosis of hypertension in untreated subjects or for among 2 or 3 groups, respectively. χ2 test was applied for compar-
the assessment of BP control in treated ones (exclusion of white-coat ing percentages among groups. Spearman correlation coefficient (r)
or masked uncontrolled hypertension phenomena). Subjects with was determined for assessing the relationship between the percent-
pacemaker implantation were excluded. The study protocol was age of premature ectopic beats and that of false-positive AF read-
approved by the hospital scientific committee, and all participants ings. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were
provided signed informed consent. performed for defining the optimal threshold of the percentage of
24-hour AF ABPM readings required to identify accurately: (1) per-
manent or paroxysmal AF, and (2) any ECG abnormality deserv-
Twenty-Four–Hour ABPM and Holter Monitoring ing referral to cardiologist. The percentage threshold of positive AF
All participants were subjected to simultaneous 24-hour ABPM ABPM readings was defined as the cutoff point having the highest
and 24-hour Holter monitoring on a routine workday. ABPM was Youden index (sensitivity+specificity−1).23 Results are expressed as
performed using the validated oscillometric device Microlife mean values with SD. Statistical analysis was performed using the
WatchBP O3 Afib with measurements programmed at 20-minute IBM SPSS Statistics (Version 21.0. Armonk; NY IBM Corp). A P
intervals for 24 hours.15,16 This device has an implemented algo- value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
rithm for automated AF detection during each BP measurement.
The presence of AF is depicted in the ABPM report with a symbol
D next to BP readings when AF is detected, and the total number
Results
of BP readings with AF detection is reported (Figure S1 in the Subjects’ Characteristics
online-only Data Supplement). The performance and quality of
the ABPM recording is not affected in any way by the AF detec- A total of 101 subjects were screened and one was excluded
tion function. The AF detector functions as follows: the device because of implanted pacemaker. Thus, 100 subjects partici-
measures the last 10 pulse intervals during cuff deflation and cal- pated and were finally included in the analysis, the charac-
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culates the mean and SD of the time intervals. Each of the 10 teristics of whom are presented in Table 1. According to the
pulse beat intervals that is 25% longer or 25% shorter than the 24-hour Holter monitoring reports, 44 subjects had sinus
mean time interval is discarded, to reduce the effect of premature
beats. The remaining time intervals are used to calculate the irreg- rhythm (without clinically important arrhythmias), 17 par-
ularity index, defined as the SD divided by the mean of the time ticipants had permanent AF, 4 paroxysmal AF (at least 1 AF
intervals.6 If the irregularity index exceeds a threshold value of episode lasting >30 s), and the rest had other arrhythmias
0.06, an AF symbol is ascribed indicating that the patient has AF.6 (Table S1).
Subjects were instructed to perform their usual daily activities but
remain still with their arm extended and relaxed during each BP
measurement. Day and night periods were defined according to the Table 1.   Characteristics of the Study Participants (n=100)
individual patients’ diaries.
The SpiderView (ELA Medical, Sorin Group) multichannel sys- Non-AF Subjects AF Subjects
tem recorder was used for 24-hour Holter monitoring which was Variable (n=79) (n=21)
performed simultaneously with 24-hour ABPM. Time was synchro-
nized in the 2 devices before each application. A cardiologist (P.K. Age, y 70.7±8.8 70.0±5.5
or A.D.) assessed the recordings using the EasyScope Multiday Body mass index, kg/m 2
29.1±4.2 29.2±6.1
ELA Medical software. Artifacts, falsely interpreted as ectopic
beats, were subtracted from the ECG report when calculating the Males (%) 50.6 61.9
number of ectopic beats. Criteria for abnormal 24-hour ECG re- Stroke (%) 11.4 9.5
cording were the following: flutter or AF episode of any duration;
supraventricular or ventricular ectopic beats >720/24 hours; supra- Coronary heart disease (%) 6.3 9.5
ventricular couplets ≥50/24 hours; supraventricular or ventricular
Diabetes mellitus (%) 21.5 14.3
bigeminy ≥50/24 hours; supraventricular runs ≥20/24 hours or ≥10
beats/run; ventricular tachycardia of any duration; sinus pause >3 Hypertension (%) 86.1 81.0
s; and second- or third-degree atrioventricular block. These criteria
were selected to include all clinically important and potentially haz- Antihypertensive treatment 84.8 71.4
ardous arrhythmias, as well as arrhythmias that increase the risk of (%)
AF and stroke.17–20 Ambulatory BP readings 64.8±6.5 61.5±9.0
Ambulatory systolic/diastolic 124.9±10.7/69.8±7.6 123.0±14.4/73.0±8.3
Statistical Analysis
BP, mm Hg
A reading-to-reading analysis of all 24-hour ABPM values obtained
in each patient was performed versus the corresponding simultane- Ambulatory heart rate, bpm 66.3±7.5 77.3±8.0*
ous 24-hour ECG recording (the latter was assessed 1 minute before,
CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.1±1.2 2.9±1.6
during, and 1 minute after each ABPM reading for the presence of AF,
other arrhythmias, or artifacts). The sensitivity, specificity, and accu- AF indicates atrial fibrillation; and BP, blood pressure.
racy of the ABPM device for AF detection (exact Clopper-Pearson *P<0.05 vs non-AF subgroup.
112  Hypertension  July 2018

AF Diagnostic Accuracy of Individual ABPM


Readings
The number of valid ABPM readings did not differ between non-
AF, permanent AF, and paroxysmal AF subjects (64.8±6.5 ver-
sus 61.2±9.7 versus 62.5±5.4, respectively, P=NS). Among 6410
valid ABPM readings, 1091 (17%) were obtained during ECG AF.
From the total sample of 6410 ABPM readings, the number
of readings with true-positive AF detection was 1013 (15.8%)
and true-negative AF detection was 4609 (71.9%), implying cor-
rect AF detection in 5622 ABPM readings (87.7%). On the other
hand, the number of ABPM readings with false-positive AF
detection was 710 (11.1%) and with false-negative AF detection
was 78 (1.2%), implying incorrect AF detection in 788 ABPM
readings (12.3%). On the basis of these findings, the sensitivity
of individual ABPM readings in detecting AF during 24-hour
monitoring was 93% (95% CI, 91%–94%), the specificity 87%
Figure 2.  Association between the frequency (%) of ambulatory
(95% CI, 86%–88%), and the accuracy 88% (95% CI, 87%- blood pressure readings with false-positive atrial fibrillation
89%) (Figure 1). A sequential Bayesian analysis examining detection and that of supraventricular ectopic beats in subjects
the effect of the prevalence of AF on the post-test probability is with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation or sinus rhythm. Small-scale
graph represents scatterplot at low frequency of premature
shown in Figure S2. Subanalyses on the diagnostic accuracy of beats.
the test device based on age or BP status are shown in Table S2.
In non-AF subjects, 12.8% of the ABPM readings showed
false-positive AF detection. Among these readings, 27% were (artifacts in monitoring), separate sensitivity analyses were
performed during supraventricular premature beats, 6% dur- performed for daytime (awake) and night-time (asleep)
ing ventricular premature beats, and 14% during physical periods. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for day-
activity indicated by artifacts in ECG report. There was strong time ABPM were 92% (95% CI, 89%–94%), 86% (95% CI,
association between the frequency (%) of AF false-positive 85%–87%), and 87% (95% CI, 86%–88%), respectively,
ABPM readings during 24-hour monitoring and the frequency and for night-time 95% (95% CI, 92%–97%), 88% (95%
of supraventricular premature beats in 24-hour ECG (r=0.67; CI, 86%–89%) and 89% (95% CI, 88%–90%; P=NS for
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P<0.001; Figure 2). Moreover, there was a borderline asso- daytime versus night-time comparisons). The percentage
ciation of the CHA2DS2-VASc score (CHADS indicates con- of AF-positive ABPM readings did not differ between day-
gestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, stroke; and time and night-time period (28.3±32.6% versus 27.6±34.9%,
VASc, vascular disease, age, sex) with the frequency of supra- respectively; P=NS).
ventricular premature beats (r=0.22; P=0.05) and that of false-
positive AF readings (r=0.20; P=0.07). AF Diagnostic Accuracy of 24-Hour ABPM
Because a considerable percentage of false-positive Recordings
AF ABPM readings was observed during physical activity The average percentage of 24-hour AF-positive ABPM read-
ings per subject in non-AF, paroxysmal AF, and permanent AF
subjects was 13.4%, 41.5%, and 92.8%, respectively (Table 2).
In the total sample, the ROC curve (area under the curve
1.00; 95% CI, 1.00–1.00) revealed a percentage of 79%
AF-positive ABPM readings per subject to have sensitivity
100% and specificity 100% for identifying permanent AF.
In paroxysmal AF and non-AF subjects, the ROC curve
(area under the curve 0.91; 95% CI, 0.83–0.99) revealed a
percentage of 26% AF-positive ABPM readings per subject
to have sensitivity 100% and specificity 85% (highest Youden
index) for identifying paroxysmal AF (AF episodes with dura-
tion >30 s) in 24-hour ECG recording (Figure 3A).
In paroxysmal AF and non-AF subjects, the ROC curve
(area under the curve 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69–0.97) revealed a
percentage of 15% AF-positive ABPM readings per subject to
have sensitivity 90% and specificity 77% for the identification
of AF episodes (of any duration) in 24-hour ECG recording
(Figure 3B).
Among non-AF subjects (n=79), 35 had an abnormal
24-hour ECG recording (Table S1). In these subjects, the ROC
Figure 1.  Diagnostic accuracy of individual ambulatory blood curve (area under the curve 0.72; 95% CI, 0.61–0.84) revealed
pressure readings in detecting atrial fibrillation. a percentage of 11% false-positive AF readings per subject
Kollias et al   Blood Pressure Monitoring and Atrial Fibrillation   113

Table 2.  Diagnostic Accuracy of a 24-Hour Ambulatory Blood data suggest that AF detection using a novel ABPM device
Pressure Recording for Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Subjects is feasible in elderly hypertensives and has high sensitiv-
With Atrial Fibrillation and Those With Sinus Rhythm ity in detecting AF. Because ABPM is now regarded as the
Subjects and Readings Non-AF Paroxysmal AF Permanent AF reference tool for confirming hypertension diagnosis and is
increasingly used in clinical practice,10–14 these findings have
Subjects (n=100) n=79 n=4 n=17
considerable potential for clinical application. Indeed, ABPM
 Average AF-positive ABP 13.4 41.5 92.8 offers the opportunity of repeated evaluations for AF during
readings per subject (%) the entire 24-hour period, which might prove particularly use-
ABP readings (n=6410) n=5119 n=250 n=1041 ful in detecting paroxysmal AF. However, the specificity of the
 True-positive (%) 0 19.2 92.7 ABPM device in detecting AF was moderate with a consider-
able proportion of false-positive AF readings, mainly attrib-
 True-negative (%) 87.2 57.6 0.3
uted to the presence of excessive supraventricular ectopic
 False-positive (%) 12.8 21.2 0 activity. Indeed, a significant association was found between
 False-negative (%) 0 2 7 the frequency of supraventricular ectopic beats and that of
ABP indicates ambulatory blood pressure; and AF, atrial fibrillation. false-positive AF detection. It should be noted, however, that
excessive supraventricular ectopic activity has been linked not
to have sensitivity 79% and specificity 71% for identifying only to future risk of AF but also to cardiovascular outcome
any abnormality in 24-hour ECG recording (mainly increased and mortality.18–20,24–26
supraventricular ectopic activity). When the abovementioned The average percentage of AF-positive ABPM readings
analysis was restricted in non-AF subjects with CHA2DS2- was consistently increased across non-AF, paroxysmal AF,
VASc score ≥4 (n=26), the ROC curve again revealed a per- and permanent AF subjects, respectively. A ROC curve analy-
centage of 11% false-positive AF readings per subject for sis in non-AF and paroxysmal AF subjects revealed a percent-
identifying any abnormality in 24-hour ECG recording, but age of 26% AF-positive ABPM readings as optimal threshold
with sensitivity 79% and specificity 92% (area under the curve for identifying paroxysmal AF, and a 15% AF-positive ABPM
0.83; 95% CI, 0.66–0.99). readings as optimal threshold for identifying any AF episode
On the basis of the abovementioned ROC curve analyses, (in non-AF subjects this percentage was mainly because of
a recommendation could be proposed for a threshold value at supraventricular ectopic activity which often coexists with
which referral to a cardiologist is justified (Table 3). AF episodes <30 s). Thus, a threshold at 26% could be set
for identifying paroxysmal AF, whereas a lower threshold
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Discussion (15%) might be suggested for screening high-risk subjects


This study provides the first evidence on the accuracy of a (high CHA2DS2-VASc score). Moreover, in non-AF sub-
novel 24-hour ABPM device in detecting AF during routine jects, a percentage of AF readings ≥11% was accompanied
use for the evaluation of hypertension in the elderly. The main by a high probability of an abnormal ECG report, which was
findings are that (1) the device has high sensitivity but moder- mostly because of excessive supraventricular ectopic activ-
ate specificity in detecting AF, (2) a considerable proportion ity. The specificity of the latter analysis was increased when
of individual BP readings with false-positive AF detection is applied in subjects with high CHA2DS2-VASc score. A previ-
because of premature beats, especially supraventricular, and ous study showed excessive supraventricular ectopic activity
(3) in subjects without permanent AF, a percentage of AF and a high CHADS2 score to independently and synergisti-
readings ≥26% has high probability to indicate the presence cally predict the first appearance of AF in patients in sinus
of paroxysmal AF. rhythm, indicating a ≈10-fold higher risk.27 Thus, despite the
Strategies aiming at effective screening for AF are moderate specificity of the ABPM device for AF detection,
expected to contribute considerably in early AF detection and when considering the collateral detection of other significant
management and thereby efficient stroke prevention. These arrhythmias—especially excessive supraventricular ectopic

Figure 3.  Receiver operating


characteristic curve in subjects with
sinus rhythm and paroxysmal atrial
fibrillation for the percentage of atrial
fibrillation-positive readings that predict
the presence of: A, Paroxysmal atrial
fibrillation in electrocardiography
(episodes >30s). B, Any episode of atrial
fibrillation in electrocardiography.
114  Hypertension  July 2018

Table 3.  Interpretation of 24-Hour Ambulatory Blood false-positive ABPM readings might be because of exces-
Pressure Recordings for Atrial Fibrillation Detection sive supraventricular ectopic activity, which however con-
Percentage of AF-
fers high risk for future AF. Further research is needed to
Positive Readings in confirm these findings in other populations with lower AF
24-Hour ABP Recording Interpretation Recommendation prevalence and define the optimal diagnostic approach for
≥79% Permanent AF very Confirm with ECG
clinical implementation of AF screening during routine
likely 24-hour ABPM in the elderly.
≥26% Paroxysmal AF Confirm with 24-hour
and/or excessive Holter monitoring
Sources of Funding
Microlife, Widnau, Switzerland provided ambulatory blood pressure
supraventricular
monitors with atrial fibrillation detector for this study, but was not
ectopic activity very
involved in the study design, analysis, and article preparation.
likely
≥15% Paroxysmal AF Confirm with 24-hour Disclosures
and/or excessive Holter monitoring in G.S. Stergiou received consultancy fees and had university research
supraventricular high-risk patients contracts with Microlife. The other authors report no conflicts.
ectopic activity
possible
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Novelty and Significance


What Is New? Summary
Downloaded from http://ahajournals.org by on August 30, 2019

• A novel 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitor has been developed The test device seemed to have high sensitivity and moderate
which can detect atrial fibrillation (AF) during each measurement. This
specificity for AF detection during routine 24-hour ambulatory
study examined the diagnostic accuracy of this device in detecting AF.
blood pressure monitoring in the elderly. In elderly hypertensives,
What Is Relevant? routine 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring with AF de-
tected in ≥26% of the readings indicates a high probability for AF
• Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring is currently proposed by several
organizations for confirming the diagnosis of hypertension. diagnosis and should be regarded as an indication for performing
• Effective screening strategies are required in the elderly for early AF de- 24-hour Holter monitoring.
tection, aiming to prevent morbidity and mortality.

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