Question One

A- Derive a general expression for the unreliability of the system whose reliability model is
shown in Fig.Q11. Consider the case in which all parallel branches of this system are fully
redundant with the exception of that consisting of components 4, 5 and 6 for which any 2 of
the branches are required for system success.

Fig. Q11
Solution :
Question Two

A- Evaluate the reliability of the system shown in Fig.Q21 using conditional probability and
cut set methods if each component has a reliability of 0.99.

fig.Q21
solution:
Question Three
A- A simple electronic circuit consists of 6 transistors each having a failure rate of 10-6 flhr, 4
diodes each having a failure rate of 0.5 x 10-6 f/hr, 3 capacitors each having a failure rate of
0.2 x 10-6 f/hr, 10 resistors each having a failure rate of 5 x 10-6 f/hr and 2 switches each
having a failure rate of 2 x 10-6 f/hr. Assuming connectors and wiring are 100% reliable
(these can be included if considered significant), evaluate the equivalent failure rate of the
system and the probability of the system surviving 1000 hr and also 10 000 hr if all
components must operate for system success.
Solution:

B- A system contains 50 identical components each of which has a failure rate of 0.001 f/hr.
Assuming that system failure occurs when anyone component fails', evaluate the system
reliability for an operating period of 20 hr and the MTIF when no spares are available and
also when a varying number of spares between 1 and 6 are carried as immediate
replacements. If the system is to have a minimum reliability of 0.9950, what is the minimum
number of spares that must be carried as immediate replacements?
Solution:
Question Four
A- A pump has a useful life failure rate of 100 failures per 106 hours, a mean wear out life of
10000 hr with a standard deviation of 2000 hr. Assuming that the wear out failure
distribution is normal, evaluate the reliability of the pump for (a) a 100 hr mission starting at
the 9900 hour point of its life cycle and, (b) a similar mission starting 1000 hours later.
Solution:
Question Six

A- The probability of success in a single trial is 0.1. Calculate the probability that in 10 trials
there will be exactly two successes using (a) the binomial distribution, and (b) the Poisson
distribution.
Solution:

B- A random data sample is taken from a number of pieces of equipment operating in the field.
Five times-to-failure were recorded. These data in rank order are 35, 105, 230, 420 and 730
hr. Estimate the failure rate from these data.
Solution: