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INTRODUCTION
1
INTRODUCTION
2
Need of the study
can invest in as many number of companies listed on NSE and BSE. The amount of
investment by the retail investors are increasing and the selection of a stock has become
OBJECTIVES
listed on NSE.
If there is any difference of return and risk of securities, whether one can take an
Impact of price variance of share on NSE will affect the investor or not or how
Scope
The scope of study is limited to the Indian stock market. The study aimed to analyze how
an investor can reduce his investment risk by the effective use of trading on NSE.
METHODOLOGY
Methodology is a way in which we find out the information. It describes how the project is
done. The methodology includes method procedures and techniques used to collect and
analyze information.
Data collection source is secondary data. Secondary data are information, which
has previously been collected by some organization. The data used for the study is of
historical or secondary nature which is collected from the web site of NSE and BSE.
3
Theoretical framework of the study:
Average Mean
The arithmetic mean of a given set of data is their sum divided by their number of
Observations.
𝑆𝑢𝑚𝑜𝑓𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑠 =
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑜𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠
𝑥1+𝑥2+⋯……….𝑥𝑛
Ẍ=
𝑛
Median
The median is that variable, which divides the group into two equal parts, one part
comparing all the values greater and the other, all values less than the median. In other
words median defined as the middle value in the data set when its elements are arranged in
the sequential order that is in either ascending (or) descending order of magnitude. Thus
the median is a measure of location of centrality of the observatism.
Ungrouped data
𝑛+1 th
Median=Size (or) value of ( ) observation in the array.
2
4
Standard Deviation
∑𝑥 2 𝑛𝑥 −2
Standard Deviation= √𝑛−1 − 𝑥−1
Variance
Correlation
widely used par action. This is denoted by symbol “r”. The formulae for computing
Pearson ‘r’ is
∑𝑥𝑦
Karl Pearson’s r=
𝑁𝜎𝑥𝜎𝑦
5
Where 𝑥 = (𝑋 − ̅̅̅
𝑋) ; 𝑦 = (𝑌 − 𝑌)
T – Distribution Applications
Given two independent random samples of size n1 &n2 with means x1&x 2 and standard
deviations s1&s2 . We may interested in testing the hypothesis that samples come from the
same population. To carryout the test we calculate the static as follows.
𝑋̅1 −𝑋̅2 𝑛1 𝑛2
t= ×√
𝑆 𝑛1 +𝑛2
where,
𝑋̅1 = mean of first sample
Standard Error
6
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution is called standard error. It is
also
called so because it measures the sampling variability due to chance of random forces.
1 1
S.E(𝑃1 − 𝑃2 ) =√𝑝𝑞( + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
Where P= the pooled estimate of the actual proportion in the population where the value of
P obtained by
𝑛1 𝑝1 +𝑛2 𝑝2 𝑥1 +𝑥2
P= (or) P =
𝑛1 +𝑛2 𝑛1 +𝑛2
𝑃1 −𝑃2
If is less than 1.96 S.E (5% level) the difference is regarded as the random
𝑆.𝐸
sample
Covariance
1
Cov (xy) = ̅̅̅
∑(𝑥 − 𝑥̅ )(𝑦 − 𝑦)
𝑛
7
Samples:
To conduct a study the sample has been chosen the common companies listed on NSE and
BSE form different industries. The study has been conducted for a sample of equity stocks
with thirty companies and the sample consist of HCL TECH, TCS, SATYAM, WIPRO,
STAR,RAMCO,SOFTPRO,SONATA,CRANESSOFT,CYBERTECH,ONWARDTECH,
Analysis: For the analysis purpose the methods used are the comparative study and
calculation of Risk Adjusted Returns, average returns, correlation covariance has been
calculated.
LIMITATIONS
The study is done by using secondary data that is historic data of price of
8
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
9
STOCK:
There are two main types of stock: common and preferred. Common stock usually
entitles the owner to vote at shareholders' meetings and to receive dividends. Preferred
stock generally does not have voting rights, but has a higher claim on assets and earnings
than the common shares. For example, owners of preferred stock receive dividends before
common shareholders and have priority in the event that a company goes bankrupt and is
liquidated.
Stock Exchange
The Securities Contract (Regulation) Act, 1956 [SCRA] defines ‘Stock Exchange’ as any
body of individuals, whether incorporated or not, Constituted for the purpose of assisting,
specified at the time of its recognition or national exchanges, which are permitted to have
INTRODUCTION OF NSE
The National Stock Exchange of india limited has genesis in the report of the High
investors from across the country on an equal footing. Based on the recommendations,
NSE was promoted by leading financial institutions at the behest of Government Of India
10
and was incorporated in November 1992 as a company. On its recognition as a Stock
Exchange under the Securities Contracts (Regulation)Act, 1956 in 1993, NSE commenced
its operations in the Whole Debt Market(WDM) segment in June 1994. The Capital
The National Stock Exchange is India's largest financial market. Established in 1992, the
NSE has developed into a sophisticated, electronic market, which ranks third in the world
for transacted volume. The NSE conducts transactions in the wholesale debt, equity and
derivative markets.
Based in Mumbai, India, the National Stock Exchange is a leader in market technology.
The exchange's supports more than 3,000 VSAT terminals, making the NSE the largest
private wide-area network in the country. The National Stock Exchange has been a
pioneer for Indian financial markets, being the first electronic limit order book to trade
India Index Services & Products Ltd. (IISL) is a joint venture between the National Stock
Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and CRISIL Ltd. (formerly the Credit Rating Information
Services of India Limited). IISL has been formed with the objective of providing a variety
of indices and index related services and products for the capital markets.
IISL has a licensing and marketing agreement with Standard and Poor's (S&P), the world's
leading provider of investible equity indices, for co-branding IISL's equity indices
Objectives of IISL pools the index development efforts of CRISIL and NSE into a
coordinated whole - India's first specialized company focused upon the index as a core
as useful market performance benchmarks and are the underlying indices for derivatives
trading
To develop related products and services this can be used by investors for managing their
exposures in the equity and commodity markets To provide data and information on the
trading activity in the Indian stock markets To provide market participants with value
added research on the Indian equity and Commodity markets All the erstwhile indices of
NSE & CRISIL, Such as Nifty, Nifty Junior, Defty, CRISIL 500, CRISIL MIDCAP 200
index etc. have been transferred to IISL which now maintains, develops, complies and
The indices of IISL are now known under the following names:
12
1. S&P CNX Nifty
S&P CNX Nifty is a well diversified 50 stock index accounting for 22 sectors of the
indexbasedderivativesandindexfunds.
S&P CNX Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd. (IISL),
which is a joint venture between NSE and CRISIL. IISL is India's first specialized
company focused upon the index as a core product. IISL has Marketing and licensing
agreement with standard & poor’s (S&P), who world leaders are in index services.
The total traded value for the last six months of all Nifty stocks is approximately 52% of
the traded value of all stocks on the NSE Nifty stocks represent about 63% of the Free
Impact cost of the S&P CNX Nifty for a portfolio size of Rs.2 crore is 0.10% S&P CNX
Nifty is professionally maintained and is ideal for derivatives trading From June 26,
Almost every institutional investor and off-shore fund enterprise with an equity exposure
in India would like to have an instrument for measuring returns on their equity investment
in dollar terms. To facilitate this, a new index the S&P CNX Defty-Dollar Denominated
S&P CNX Nifty has been developed. S&P CNX Defty is S&P CNX Nifty, measured in
dollars.
Salient Features
13
Impact cost of the S&P CNX Nifty for a portfolio size of Rs.2 crore is 0.16%
Provides fund managers an instrument for measuring returns on their equity investment in
dollar terms.
The S&P CNX 500 is India’s first broad based benchmark of the Indian capital market.
The S&P CNX 500 represents about 92.57% of total market capitalization and about
The S&P CNX 500 companies are disaggregated into 72 industry indices viz. S&P CNX
Industry Indices. Industry weightages in the index reflect the industry weightages in the
market. For e.g. if the banking sector has a 5% weightage in the universe of stocks traded
on NSE, banking stocks in the index would also have an approx. representation of 5% in
the index.
The next rung of liquid securities after S&P CNX Niftyis the CNX Nifty Junior. It may
useful to think of the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior as making up the 100
As with the S&P CNX Nifty, stocks in the CNX Nifty Junior are filtered for liquidity, so
they are the most liquid of the stocks excluded from the S&P CNX Nifty. The
maintenance of the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX Nifty Junior are synchronized so that
the two indices will always be disjoint sets; i.e. a stock will never appear in both indices at
the same time. Hence it is always meaningful to pool the S&P CNX Nifty and the CNX
CNX Nifty Junior represents about 12 % of the Free Float Market Capitalization as on Dec
31, 2016.
14
The traded value for the last six months of all Junior Nifty stocks is approximately 15% of
Impact cost for CNX Nifty Junior for a portfolio size of Rs.50 lakhs is 0.13%
From May 04, 2015, CNX Nifty Junior is computed based on free float methodology.
The medium capitalized segment of the stock market is being increasingly perceived as an
attractive investment segment with high growth potential. The primary objective of the
CNX Midcap 200 Index is to capture the movement and be a benchmark of the midcap
CNX Midcap 200 represents about 72% of the total market capitalization of the Mid-Cap
Universe and about 70% of the total traded value of the Mid-Cap Universe (Mid-Cap
Universe is defined as stocks having average six months market capitalization between
Industry weightages in the index dynamically reflect industry weightages in the market
Provide investors a broad based benchmark for comparing portfolio returns vis-à-vis
As part of its agenda to reform the Public Sector Enterprises (PSE), the Government has
selectively been disinvesting its holdings in public sector enterprises since 1991. With a
benchmark that captures the performance of this segment of the market, as well as to make
available an appropriate basis for pricing forthcoming issues of PSEs, IISL has developed
the CNX PSE Index, comprising of 20 PSE stocks. The CNX PSE Index includes only
those companies that have over 51% of their outstanding share capital held by the Central
15
7. CNX MNC Index
The CNX MNC Index comprises 15 listed companies in which the foreign shareholding is
over 50% and / or the management control is vested in the foreign company.
INVESTMENT:
The money earn is partly spent and the rest saved for meeting future expenses. Instead of
keeping the savings idle may like to use savings in order to get return on it in the future.
This is called Investment. Investment is the sacrifice of certain present value for the
uncertain future reward. It entails arriving at a numerous decision such as type, mix,
Investment in asset is an activity which evokes interest and attracts people from any
profession irrespective of there occupation, economic status, education and family back
ground. Usually a person who is having more money than he requires for consuming
currently can be termed as a potential investor. He uses his extra cash to invest in
securities or other assets like precious metals stones and real estate or else he can simply
deposit money in his bank account. When this concept is applied to corporate, the
corporate will invest their money for expanding there existing projects or to undertake new
ventures. In a broader sense all these activities give the meaning “INVESTMENT”.
capital stock which consists of goods and services which are used in production process
and will generate revenue when sold in the market. But as a securities analyst one must
understand investment from financial point of view the financial investment is the
allocation of money to assets that are expected to yield some gain over a period of time.
Hence it is an exchange of financial claims in the form of stocks and bonds for money
which is expected to yield return and have a capital growth over the years.
16
As financial and security analyst we must be concerned only with financial investment
-Time and
-Risk.
Attribute of time is related to the sacrifice of present consumption to get a return in the
future. But getting the return in the future may be uncertain and this uncertainty is the risk
factor. But this risk is undertaken to reap some return from the investment.
2. Investment analysis
3. Security valuation
4. Portfolio construction
5. Portfolio evaluation
17
Investment avenues are broadly classified under the following heads.
1. Corporate securities
2. Equity Shares
3. Preference shares
government companies.)
5. Warrants
6. GDRS and ADRS (global depository receipts and American depository receipts)
7. Derivatives
18
RETURN:
The ratio of money gained or lost on an investment relative to the amount of money
invested. The gain or loss of a security in a particular period is called return. The return
consists of the income and the capital gains relative on an investment. It is usually quoted
as a percentage
The general rule is that the more risk you take, the greater the potential for higher return -
and loss.
In security analysis as security analyst we must primarily concern with return from the
investors perspective. They may concern is to compute or estimate the return for an
investor on a particular investment. The investment concern with as a financial assets like
a share or debenture or some other financial assets like a share or debenture or some other
financial instrument.
MEAN RETURN: In securities analysis, it is the expected value, or mean, of all the likely
the mean, or expected, return that investors try to maximize at each level of risk.
Mean returns attempt to quantify the relationship between the risk of a portfolio of
securities and its return. It assumes that while investors have different risk tolerances,
rational investors will always seek the maximum rate of return for every level of
acceptable risk.
19
Methods of measuring returns:
1. Ex- Post Returns: Return calculations done ‘after-the-fact,’ in order to analyze what rate
R= P1 – P0 + D1 *100
P0
Where, r = return,
RISK:
Risk is a concept that denotes a potential negative impact to an asset or some characteristic
of value that may arise from some present process or future event.
Risk is the probability that an investment's actual return will be different than expected.
This includes the possibility of losing some or all of the original investment. It is usually
measured by calculating the standard deviation of the historical returns or average returns
of a specific investment.
Types of risks:
Unsystematic risk.
20
1. Systematic risk: Systematic riskInfluences a large number of assets, a security arises
due to some extraneous variables. A significant political event, for example, could
affect several of the assets in your portfolio. But there still exists some techniques, which
2. Unsystematic risk:
Unsystematic risk is referred to as "specific risk". This kind of risk affects a very small
number of assets. It is the variation in the return of scrip due to that scrip specific factors
or movements. These are risks associated with the economic, political, sociological and
other macro-level changes. They affect the entire market as a whole and cannot be
announces tax sops to companies in a particular sector; it is going to affect the prices of
the stocks of companies which are operating in that sector and not all the stocks.
Risk Measures
Statistical measures that are historical predictors of investment risk and volatility and
major components in modern portfolio theory (MPT). MPT is a standard financial and
academic methodology for assessing the performance of a stock or a stock fund compared
Standard Deviation: Measures how much return on an investment is deviating from the
21
1. Standard Deviation:
1. A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the
A volatile stock would have a high standard deviation. In mutual funds, the standard
deviation tells us how much the return on the fund is deviating from the expected normal
returns.
Standard deviation can also be calculated as the square root of the variance.
Where
rates of return of different investments. A measure of the degree to which returns on two
risky assets move in tandem. This measure is equal to the product of the deviations of
(deviations from expected return) in each scenario. Another method is to multiply the
correlation between the two variables by the standard deviation of each variable.
22
CORELATION
A measure that determines the degree to which two variable's movements is associated.
Statistical measure of the degree to which the movements of two variables are related.
covariance of X and Y divided by the product of the standard deviations of the individual
COVAB AB A B
OR
The correlation coefficient will vary from -1 to +1. A -1 indicates perfect negative
23
CHAPTER -III
INDUSTRY PROFILE
COMPANY PROFILE
24
COMPANY PROFILE
Indiabulls is India’s leading Financial, Real Estate and Power Company with a wide
presence throughout India. They ensure convenience and reliability in all their products
and services. Indiabulls has over 640 branches all over India. The customers of Indiabulls
are more than 4,50,000 which covers from a wide range of financial services and products
from securities, derivatives trading, depositary services, research & advisory services,
consumer secured & unsecured credit, loan against shares and mortgage & housing
finance. The company employs around 4000 Relationship managers who help the clients
to satisfy their customized financial goals. Indiabulls entered the Real Estate business in
the year 2005 with its group of companies. Large scale projects worth several hundred
million dollars are evaluated by them.
Indiabulls Financial Services Ltd is listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bombay
Stock Exchange (BSE) and Luxembourg Stock Exchange. The market capitalization of
Indiabulls is around USD 2500 million (29thDecember, 2006). Consolidated net worth of
the group is around USD 700 million. Indiabulls and its group companies have attracted
USD 500 million of equity capital in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) since March 2000.
Some of the large shareholders of Indiabulls are the largest financial institutions of the
world such as Fidelity Funds, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and
Farallon Capital.
Indiabulls Group is one of India’s top business houses with businesses spread over Real
Estate, Infrastructure, Financial Services, Securities, Retail, Multiplex and Power sectors.
The group companies are listed on important Indian and Overseas markets. Indiabulls has
been conferred the status of a “Business Superbrand” by The Brand Council, Superbrands
India.
VISION
To be the largest and most profitable financial services organization in Indian retail market
and become one stop shop for all non banking financial products and services for the retail
customers. To become the preferred long term financial partner to a wide base of
customers whilst optimizing stake holder’s value
25
MISSION
Rapidly increase the number of client relationships by providing a broad array of product
offering to emerge as a clear market leader. To establish a base of 1 million satisfied
customers by 2017. We will create this by being a responsible and trustworthy partner.
26
India bulls Financial Services Limited
Indiabulls Financial Services Limited was incorporated on January 10, 2000 as M/s
OrbisInfoTech Private Limited at New Delhi under the Companies Act, 1956. The
name of company was changed to M/s. Indiabulls Financial Services Private Limited
on March 16, 2001. In the year 2004, Indiabulls came up with it own public issue &
became a public limited company on February 27, 2004. The name of company was
changed to M/s. Indiabulls Financial Services Limited.
The company was promoted by three engineers from IIT Delhi, and has attracted more
than Rs.700 million as investments from venture capital, private equity and institutional
investors and has developed significant relationships with large commercial banks such as
Citibank, HDFC Bank, Union Bank, ICICI Bank, ABN Amro Bank, Standard Chartered
Bank and IL&FS.
Brand Values
Indiabulls is amongst the largest non-banking financial services companies in India and
enjoys strong brand recognition and customer acceptance. The company attributes its
dominant position in the brokerage industry to the preferential status it enjoys with
investors Coupled with its forays into various segments; the Group believes that the bulk
of its brand story is yet to be written. Indeed, when a case study on India’s youngest
brands which have had a profound impact on the economy is crafted, Indiabulls will
feature prominently in it
INDIABULLS GROUP
27
Products offeredEquities and Derivatives
Offers purchase and sale of securities (stock, bonds, debentures etc.)
Broker assisted trade execution
Automated online investing
Access to all IPO's
Milestones Achieved
Amongst the first to develop in-house real-time CTCL (computer to computer link)
with NSE
28
STRATEGY AND FOCUS
Consolidation – aim to be among top 3 players in existing businesses within next 3
years
No new products – focus on gaining size and scale in existing core areas
No capital market fund raising – all businesses are well funded to achieve growth
and size
Goal- FY 2015/16 – target of US $ 1.5 billion in cash generation from the 3
companies (Finance, Real Estate and Power)
.MAJOR COMPETITORS
KOTAK SECURITIES
SHAREKHAN
29
SWOT ANALYSIS
India bulls has presence in the Real Estate, Infrastructure, Financial Services,
Securities, Retail, Multiplex and Power sectors
Weaknesses
It should have its own mutual funds as it provides advises on mutual funds
It does not provide indices on major world markets, ADR Prices of Indian Scripts.
Opportunities
High client base will help for cross sales of its products.
Threats
Companies like Share khan, ICICI Direct, Kotak Securities and Private brokers are
major threats.
30
CHAPTER - IV
DATA ANALYSIS
&
INTERPERTATION
31
Performance Evaluation
information needed to structure to solve the problem. Various statistical tools are used for
the study are average, standard deviation, variance, covariance, correlation and beta values
and the study has conducted on companies like HCL TECH, TCS, SATYAM, WIPRO,
SUBEX AND MEGASOFT as they are listed commonly on both stock exchanges.
For evaluation of the study 30 stocks monthly return are taken for a period of 24 months
(i.e. of January 2017 to Sept 2017) where first day trading of a month is consider as
opening price and last day of trading of a month is consider as closing price of stock. After
collecting the all 24 months values monthly returns are calculated by using the standard
formula i.e. (P1-P0/P0)*100, like this for all 30 companies return were calculated from
NSE and BSE. Next step is finding of average return of securities by sum of the monthly
STANDARD DEVATION
(1/n-1∑nt=1rit—‾ri)
32
RETURNS VALUES OF NSE COMPANIES:
Table.1
40.000
GT
35.000
30.000 SS
FT
SC SSY
25.000 S HV RS
M TM G N P OT Me
HT IE
20.000 BS Son U
PC TE CSS
H
T MP Sak
15.000 W Cs
I
10.000
5.000 MP
P
M PC HT IE SS
H W I TM
0.000 T FT SC G N TE
HV BS RS CSS OT
Son U SSY
Sak GT
S Me
-5.000 Cs
Risk Return
-10.000
33
RISK VALUES OF NSE COMPANIES:
Blue
NIIT Hexaware Infotech Tata Hinduja Star
Geometric Mphasis Tech Tech Enter Elxsi Polaris venture Saksoft Info
23.039 15.876 23.230 21.569 21.066 18.789 23.683 24.531 15.962 20.026
10.000
5.000
0.000
Risk(NSE) RISK(BSE)
34
RETURNS VALUES OFBSE COMPANIES:
Blue
NIIT Hexaware Infotech Tata Hinduja Star
Geometric Mphasis Tech Tech Enter Elxsi Polaris venture Saksoft Info
0.140 4.350 1.224 1.981 1.314 0.489 2.737 -1.638 -10.442 -0.042
40.000
GT
30.000
SS
FT SC SSY
HV RS Me
S G N P
M TM
20.000 HT Son OT U
PC IE TE
H T BS CSS
MP
W Cs
Sak
I
10.000
MP
M PC P
W I HT IE SS
H SC TM G N TE
0.000 T
FT BS RS Son U
HV CSS OT GT SSY
S Me
Cs
-10.000 Sak
-20.000
Risk(BSE) Return(BSE)
35
RISK VALUES OF BSE COMPANIES:
Blue
NIIT Hexaware Infotech Tata Hinduja Star
Geometric Mphasis Tech Tech Enter Elxsi Polaris venture Saksoft Info
24.111 16.746 23.711 20.792 19.275 18.944 23.450 25.102 13.715 17.840
40.000
30.000
20.000
Risk
10.000
Return
0.000
Mastek
Tech Mahindra
Infosys
Satyam
Wipro
Geometric
Tata Elxsi
Hinduja venture
Patni Computer
Financial Tech
Softpro system
Onward technology
HCL Tech
TCS
Sasken Comm
NIIT Tech
Ramco System
Subex System
Megasoft
Mphasis
Infotech Enter
Hexaware Tech
Cybertech sys&sof
Polaris
UTV Soft
Cranes Soft
Saksoft
Goldstone Tech
Sonata Software
-10.000
-20.000
36
37
38
39
40
Here in the graphs the symbols are quoted as
H = HCL Tech
T = TCS
S = Satyam
W = Wipro
M = Master
I = Infosys
PC = Patni Computer
FT = Financial Tech
SC = Sasken Communications
TM = Tech Mahindra
G = Geometric
MP = Mastek
N = NIIT Tech
HT = Hexaware Technologies
IE = InfoTech Enter
TE = Tata ELXI
P = Polaris
HV = Hinduja Venture
Sak = Saksoft
RS = Ramco System
SS = Softpro System
CS = Cranes Soft
OT = Onward Technology
GT = Goldstone Tech
U = UTV Soft
Me = Megasoft
41
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
-12.000
-10.000
0.000
2.000
4.000
6.000
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
0.000
2.000
4.000
6.000
-12.000
-10.000
HCL Tech
TCS
H
H
Satyam
T
T
Wipro
S
S
Mastek
Infosys
Patni Computer W
W
M
M
Financial Tech
I
Sasken Comm
PC
PC
Tech Mahindra FT
FT
Geometric
SC
SC
Mphasis
NIIT Tech
TM
TM
Hexaware Tech
G
G
Infotech Enter
MP
MP
Tata Elxsi
N
N
Return(NSE)
Polaris
42
HT
Hinduja venture
IE
HT IE
Saksoft
TE
Ramco System
Softpro system
HV
HV
Return(BSE)
Sonata Software
Sak
Sak
Cranes Soft
BS
BS
Cybertech sys&sof
RS
RS
Onward technology
SS
SS
Goldstone Tech
Son
Son
UTV Soft
Cs
Cs
Subex System
Megasoft
CSS
OT
CSS OT
GT
GT
Return(BSE)
Return(NSE)
U
U
SSY
Me
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
5.000
0.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
0.000
5.000
H
H
HCL Tech
T
T
TCS
SS
Satyam
Wipro
W
Mastek
M
Infosys
I
Patni Computer
Financial Tech PC
Sasken Comm
Tech Mahindra
FT SC
FT SC
Geometric
TM
Mphasis
TM G
G
NIIT Tech
MP
MP
Hexaware Tech
N
N
Risk(NSE)
Infotech Enter
Tata Elxsi
HT
43
Polaris
IE
HT IE
Hinduja venture
TE
Saksoft
P
Ramco System
Softpro system
Sak
Sak
Sonata Software
BS
BS
Cranes Soft
RS
Cybertech sys&sof
SS
SS
Onward technology
Son
Goldstone Tech
Cs
Cs
UTV Soft
Subex System
CSS
CSS
Megasoft
OT
OT
GT
U
SSY
SSY
Risk(BSE)
Me
Me
Risk(NSE)
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
0.000
-20.000
-10.000
HCL Tech
TCS
Satyam
Wipro
Mastek
Infosys
Patni Computer
Financial Tech
Sasken Comm
Tech Mahindra
Geometric
Mphasis
NIIT Tech
Hexaware Tech
Infotech Enter
Tata Elxsi
Polaris
Hinduja venture
44
Saksoft
Blue Star Info
Ramco System
Softpro system
Sonata Software
Cranes Soft
Cybertech sys&sof
Onward technology
Goldstone Tech
UTV Soft
Subex System
Megasoft
COMPARISON OF NSE & BSE RISK AND RETURN VALUES
Risk(BSE)
Risk(NSE)
Return(BSE)
Return(NSE)
Analysis of Returns of the Different Stocks by Using T-Test:
Sample data is consisting of 30 common companies listed on NSE nifty and BSE Sensex.
45
NULL HYPOTHIES: it states that there is no significance difference of return on
H0: μ 1= μ 2
H1: μ 1= μ 2
NSE BSE
Name
VALUE VALUE
Mean 0.223 -0.223
Variance 6.002 8.788
Observations 30 30
Pearson Correlation 0.823312
Hypothesized Mean
Difference 0
Degee of freedom 8
t Stat 19.05
P(T<=t) One-tail
t Critical One-tail 1.645
P(T<=t) two-tail
t Critical two-tail 1.96
INTERPRETATION: The calculated t-test value is 19.05, which is greater than the table
value of 1.960 at 5%level of significance. Since the calculated value is less than the table
value its lie in rejected area it inferred that it accepted null hypothesis by stating that it
46
The above table showing GDP growth also a factor in market rally towards bullish zone,
but it’s not only a cause to growth, there are so many other factors also involved in market
volatility. When GDP numbers increases market participates in bullish, decreases market
participates in bearish.
47
INTERPRETATION:
According to CNBC-TV 18 India's third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) came in at
6.7% as against 7.21% in previous quarter, lowest growth in the last ten quarters. CNBC-
TV18 poll saw it at 6.84%.
The above news are negative to the index on 25th January 2017, because GDP numbers
decreased when compare to January numbers. Sensex dips to 20425.68 from high of
18001.35 and nifty dips to 5352.25 from 5458.8.
48
INFLATION NUMBERS:
January 2016
20,647.30
January 2017
29279.65
IIP DATA
49
When IIP (India’s industrial Production) numbers increases, than previous data it shows
positive impact on index, if it decreases its negative impact
INTERPRETATION : In January 2017 index stands at 2300 levels, where inflation
recorded a high of 22.54. From the above graph one can observe that by end of 2016,
inflation recorded of 8.33. Here index stands at 20500. Inflation data for January 2017 to
December 2016 is stable, no high fluctuations towards positive and negative. For Indian
economy decreased inflation is
positive impact, especially for banking sector.
50
Year wise descriptive statistics for Nifty and Sensex:
TABLE 1
51
Symbol Open High Low LTP Prv close Change % change Volume
ACC 1199 1209.25 1166 1180 1195.05 -15.05 -1.28 478597
AMBUJA 156 157.6 150.6 152.65 155.3 -2.65 -1.74 2411264
52
CEMENTS
AXIS BANK 1150 1156.3 1138 1141.75 1159.35 -17.60 -1.54 672736
BHEL 317.75 321.9 316.05 318.5 317.8 0.70 0.22 1933380
BPCL 620 621.95 614.8 617.9 622.6 -4.70 -0.76 158779
BAJAJ-AUTO 1728.4 1750 1708.15 1712.05 1729.9 -17.85 -1.04 169782
BHARTI AIRTEL 386.8 395.75 386.8 395 391.8 3.20 0.81 879076
CAIRN 297.55 304.9 295 301.85 298.3 3.55 1.18 821534
CIPLA 292.35 295.75 287.3 288.3 295.4 -7.10 -2.46 861078
DLF 238.65 242 237.45 238.7 242.15 -3.45 -1.45 2218602
DRREDDY 1645.1 1657.45 1626.25 1628.65 1670.7 -42.05 -2.58
GAIL 420 427.05 420 424.8 422.9 1.90 0.45 327852
GRASIM IND 2479.7 2514.4 2455 2502 2480.45 21.55 0.86 19184
HCL TECH 437 449 428 429.95 443.75 -13.80 -3.21 443251
HDFC 683 686.7 679.5 684.5 688.85 -4.35 -0.64 968286
HDFC BANK 485.1 493 482.5 483.55 490 -6.45 -1.33 1791545
HERO HONDA #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
HINDALCO 135.35 136.7 134.1 136.35 135.95 0.40 0.29 4771046
HUL 371.4 384.5 371.2 384.2 375.8 8.40 2.19 4264434
ICICI BANK 917.95 923.5 896.8 900.9 931.15 -30.25 -3.36 3181526
ITC 211.5 212.5 209.25 209.55 213.15 -3.60 -1.72 6774574
IDFC 131.2 133 130.15 132.95 132.5 0.45 0.34 2032464
INFOSYS 2840 2874.1 2826.1 2834.5 2877.55 -43.05 -1.52 641052
JINDALSTEL 557.2 564.05 548.35 551.7 562.55 -10.85 -1.97 576150
JPASSOCIAT 76.2 77.55 75.15 75.55 77.45 -1.90 -2.51 5710091
KOTAKBANK 506.65 515.1 505.45 506.45 512.4 -5.95 -1.17 243133
L&T 1395 1396 1378 1387.4 1413.15 -25.75 -1.86 1216829
M&M 859.2 863 842.55 844.85 865.35 -20.50 -2.43 986846
MARUTI 1122 1134.5 1112.65 1124.7 1125.3 -0.60 -0.05 508852
NTPC 179.05 180.9 178.1 179.85 179.25 0.60 0.33 675322
ONGC 275.55 280.9 275.55 277.9 277.65 0.25 0.09 708199
POWER GRID 104.25 105.15 103.5 103.7 104.85 -1.15 -1.11 511148
PNB 976.25 1001 969.05 999 976.25 22.75 2.28 727800
RANBAXY 500 505.6 498.2 503 502.05 0.95 0.19 195440
REL CAPITAL 363.65 373.55 362.55 365.35 370.15 -4.80 -1.31 1180859
RELIANCE 870.5 878.5 864.55 868.1 877.55 -9.45 -1.09 1840235
RELIANCE
INFRA 457 467.8 444.1 447.5 464.3 -16.80 -3.75 816815
RELIANCE
POWER 94.5 96 94 94.65 95.5 -0.85 -0.90 972959
RELIANCE
COMM. 78.55 80.75 78.55 79.35 79.85 -0.50 -0.63 2650604
SBIN 1892.5 1921 1886 1912 1906.3 5.70 0.30 1138014
SIEMENS 855 865 847.15 848.3 854.9 -6.60 -0.78 41462
SAIL 111.65 112.9 110.6 111.1 112.2 -1.10 -0.99 1071122
STER 125 125 121.7 122.75 127.35 -4.60 -3.75 6967339
SESAGOA 204.3 208.75 204.3 207.15 207.35 -0.20 -0.10 1143427
SUNPHARMA 500 515.9 500 513.6 504.45 9.15 1.78 610437
TATA
CONSULTANCY 1108 1123 1098.1 1103.65 1115.8 -12.15 -1.10 412138
TATA MOTORS 195.1 202.45 195 196.35 198.45 -2.10 -1.07 12119574
TATA POWER 100.7 101.85 99.5 101.25 100.45 0.80 0.79 4827406
TATA STEEL 477.45 480.15 472 472 482.95 -10.95 -2.32 385199
WIPRO 367.75 374.75 364.95 372.8 366.6 6.20 1.66 1063721
53
Alysis of risk of the different stocks by using t-test
Company NSE
BSE Values
Name Values
HCL Tech 17.852 17.336
TCS 16.127 17.055
Satyam 23.965 23.224
Wipro 14.316 14.611
Mastek 23.040 23.107
Infosys 11.385 11.507
Patni Computer 18.762 18.697
Financial Tech 28.370 27.420
SaskenComm 26.951 27.752
Tech Mahindra 23.462 23.002
Geometric 23.039 24.111
Mphasis 15.876 16.746
NIIT Tech 23.230 23.711
Hexaware Tech 21.569 20.792
Infotech Enter 21.066 19.275
Tata Elxsi 18.789 18.944
Polaris 23.683 23.450
Hinduja venture 24.531 25.102
Saksoft 15.962 13.715
Blue Star Info 20.026 17.840
Ramco System 24.796 24.992
Softpro system 30.215 28.393
Sonata Software 20.149 20.229
Cranes Soft 13.469 13.857
Cybertechsys&sof 18.354 17.120
Onward
technology 22.865 20.672
Goldstone Tech 35.910 35.856
UTV Soft 20.124 20.275
Subex System 27.405 26.977
Megasoft 23.715 24.275
54
NULL HYPOTHIES: it states that there is no significance difference of risk on securities
H0: μ 1= μ 2
H1: μ 1= μ 2
NSE BSE
Name
Values Values
Mean 21.63327 21.33472
Variance 27.51562 27.4258
Observations
Pearson Correlation 0.982784
Hypothesized Mean
Difference
Degree of freedom 58
t Stat 5.654
P(T<=t) One-tail
t Critical One-tail 1.645
P(T<=t) two-tail
t Critical two-tail 1.96
INTERPRETATION: The calculated t-test value is 5.654, which is greater than the table
value of 1.960 at 5%level of significance. Since the calculated value is greater than the
table value its lie in accepted area it inferred that it accepted null hypothesis by stating that
55
CHAPTER-V
FINDINGS
SUGGESTIONS
CONCLUSION
56
FINDINGS:
57
SUGGESTIONS
58
CONCLUSION:
can earn returns on invest with different types of risk with that investment. But different
avenues has different risk apatite with them, an investor has to choose how much risk he
By Investment in stock securities return and risk cannot be predict that easily as a risk
free feature does not have in equity shares. Risk and return are two sides of one coin
generally it has higher the risk high return and lowers the risk low return.
Some of investor may have a notation that by buying the stock from NSE or BSE it makes
the difference of return in investment and their riskness towards the stock, but with this
comparative study it got conclude that there is no significance difference in risk and return
in India still we don’t have decoupling facility due to which an investor can use the
opportunity of by buying and selling the securities from either of exchanges that is NSE or
BSE.
The conclusion is not just based on t test but this even can be conclude by
comparing the results of stocks return calculated by collecting their closing prices from
59
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS REFERED:
Edition 12th
Investment Management
WEBSITES:
www.nseindia.com
www.nseindia.com
http://www.nseindia.com/histdata/stockprc.asp
http://www.bseindia.com/about/abindices/bse30.asp
www.answers.com
http://www.answers.com/risk
www.investopidia.com
http://www.investopedia.com/dictionary/default.asp
JOURNALS REFERRED:
60