Professional Documents
Culture Documents
● What is the difference between repo, reverse repo and MSF rate?
Why has the RBI been reducing the repo rate recently?
● Investment Decision
○ Capital Budgeting
○ NPV, IRR
○ Basic concepts of Accounting
○ Financial Statement Analysis
○ Ratio Analysis
○ Working Capital
○ CAPM
Important Topics
● Financing Decision
○ How to finance? Debt or Equity
○ Definition of Debt and Equity.
○ Understanding trade off between ownership and financial benefit like tax deduction
○ How is Equity raised?
○ Initial Public Offering
○ Secondary issue
○ Book Value and MArket value of Equity
● Dividend Policy
○ Gordon Growth Model
○ Miller Modigliani Theory
Important Concepts: Quick Review
● Capital Budgeting is the process of identifying and evaluating projects where the cash flows will be
received over a period longer than a year is called Capital Budgeting. The following are steps in
Capital budgeting process
1. Idea Creation.
2. Analyzing project proposals.
3. Create the firm-wide capital budget.
4. Monitoring decisions and conducting a post-audit.
● BASIC PRINCIPLES OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
○ Decisions are based on cash flows, not accounting income, incremental cash flows are to be considered.
○ Cash flows are based on opportunity costs. Opportunity costs should be included in project costs
○ The timing of cash flows is important.
○ Cash flows are analyzed on an after-tax basis.
○ Financing costs are reflected in the projects required rate of return.
● Evaluation of projects involve measuring cash flows for which the above principles have to be
considered.
Important Concepts: Quick Review
Project Evaluation Methods:
Important jargons and terms
Some important jargons and terms to know before moving ahead:
● To raise capital, a firm either uses owned sources or borrowed ones. Owned capital can be in the form of
equity, whereas borrowed capital refers to the company’s owed funds or say debt.
● Equity: Equity refers to the stock, indicating the ownership interest in the company.
● Debt: debt is the sum of money borrowed by the company from bank or external parties, that required to
be repaid after certain years, along with interest.
● Trade off between ownership control and tax benefits etc.
● Equity can be raised by Initial Public Offering or secondary issue.
● An initial public offering (IPO) refers to the process of offering shares of a private corporation to the public
in a new stock issuance. Public share issuance allows a company to raise capital from public investors.
● Secondary offering is the sale of new or closely held shares by a company that has already made an
initial public offering (IPO)
● Market value of equity- share price of the firm
● Book Value of equity - Capital raised by IPO + retained earnings
Important jargons and terms
Some important jargons and terms to know before moving ahead:
● Assets: An asset is a resource with economic value that an individual, corporation or country owns or
controls with the expectation that it will provide a future benefit.
● Liabilities: A liability, in general, is an obligation to, or something that you owe somebody else.
Liabilities are defined as a company's legal financial debts or obligations that arise during the course
of business operations.
● Fundamental Accounting Equation: Assets = Liability + Equity
● Balance Sheet: The balance sheet (also called statement of financial position or statement of financial
condition) is a snapshot of the financial status of an organization at a point in time.
● Income Statement: Also known as the profit and loss statement or the statement of revenue and
expense, the income statement primarily focuses on the company’s revenues and expenses during a
particular period.
● Cash flow statement: The statement of cash flows reports the impact of a firm’s operating, investing,
and financing activities on cash flows during the accounting period.
Making sense of the numbers!- Ratio Analysis
● Financial statement analysis is a useful tool for both external and internal users as they make
decisions about a company or for a company.
● Management uses financial statements to access the adequacy of cash flow to pay operating
expenses, the efficient use of company resources, and how to improve the overall performance of the
company.
● Important Categories of Ratios:
○ Liquidity Ratios
○ Profitability Ratios
○ Solvency Ratios
○ Conversion Cycle Ratios
● Example: different Users and ratios used by them
○ Bankers and other lenders: Debt-to-equity
○ Owners and managers: Gross margin
○ Credit managers: Quick ratio of customers
○ Shareholders: P/E or P/EBITDA
Making sense of the numbers!- Ratio Analysis
Quick Review: Du Pont Analysis
The original Du Pont Analysis expression is
ROE = OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN * EFFECT OF NON-OPERATING ITEMS * TAX EFFECT * TOTAL ASSET
TURNOVER * FINANCIAL LEVERAGE
The reason for breaking ROE into its components using the DuPont expression (either one) is to gain insight into
firm characteristics that have led to the pattern of ROE observed over time
Standalone Balance Sheet ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 679.22 679.22 679.22
Total Share Capital 679.22 679.22 679.22
Revaluation Reserves 0 0 0
Reserves and Surplus 21,483.30 19,491.76 20,483.39
Balance Sheets
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Long Term Borrowings 13,919.81 13,155.91 13,686.09
Deferred Tax Liabilities [Net] 205.86 154.61 147.58
Other Long Term Liabilities 399.04 502.37 1,451.47
Long Term Provisions 1,281.59 1,009.48 892.18
Total Non-Current Liabilities 15,806.30 14,822.37 16,177.32
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Short Term Borrowings 3,617.72 3,099.87 5,158.52
Trade Payables 10,408.83 9,411.05 7,082.95
Other Current Liabilities 7,765.57 10,845.11 8,819.71
Short Term Provisions 1,148.69 862.92 477.17
Total Current Liabilities 22,940.81 24,218.95 21,538.35
Total Capital And Liabilities 60,909.63 59,212.30 58,878.28
12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths
Profit/Loss Before Exceptional, ExtraOrdinary Items And Tax 2,602.00 19.74 -2,014.56 427.65 -3,570.97
Profit and Loss Sheets
Exceptional Items -203.07 -966.66 -338.71 -271.84 -403.75
Profit/Loss Before Tax 2,398.93 -946.92 -2,353.27 155.81 -3,974.72
● The CAPM is used to determine expected return given the asset’s beta.
● The required return is determined by plugging values for Risk-free rate, Market required return, Asset's beta
(measure of systematic risk)
● The goal of the CAPM formula is to evaluate whether a stock is fairly valued when its risk and the time value of
money are compared to its expected return.
Important Concepts: CAPM
● Assumptions of CAPM
○ Investors are expected to make decisions based solely on risk-return assessments
○ The purchase and sale transactions can be undertaken in infinitely divisible units.
○ Investors can sell short any number of shares without limit.
○ There is perfect competition and no single investor can influence prices, with no transactions costs,
involved.
○ Personal income taxation is assumed to be zero.
○ Investors can borrow/lend, the desired amount at riskless rates.
● Major Utility of CAPM is to determine how a security is priced.
Important Concepts: Dividend Policy
Gordon Growth Model:
● The Gordon Growth Model is used to determine the intrinsic value of a stock based on a future series of dividends
that grow at a constant rate. It is a popular and straightforward variant of a dividend discount model (DDM).
● Given a dividend per share that is payable in one year and the assumption the dividend grows at a constant rate
in perpetuity, the model solves for the present value of the infinite series of future dividends.
● Frequency distributions
● Measures of Central Tendency
○ Mean, median, mode, A.M, G.M.
● Measure of Deviation
○ Range, Mean Absolute Deviation, Standard Deviation
● Central Moments
● Discrete Distributions - PDF, CDF, Expectation, Variance, MGF
○ Bernoulli, Binomial, Poisson
● Continuous Distributions
○ Uniform, Normal, Gamma, Chi-square, T-distribution and F-distribution
● Bivariate Distributions - Joint Prob, Conditional Prob, Marginal Prob, Independence,
Correlation and Covariance
Important Topics
MARKOWITZ ASSUMPTIONS
● Returns distribution: Each investment opportunity is looked at by investors as a probability distribution of expected
returns over a given horizon.
● Utility maximization: Investors maximize their expected utility over a given investment horizon, and their indifference
curves exhibit diminishing marginal utility of wealth
● Risk is variability: The variance of expected returns is the risk measure for investors.
● Risk/return: Investors make all investment decisions by considering only the risk and return of an investment
opportunity.
● Risk aversion: Given two investments with equal expected returns, investors prefer the one with the lowest risk.
Likewise, given two investments with equal risk, investors prefer the one with the greatest expected return.
Important Concepts: Quick Review
● EFFICIENT FRONTIER AND THE OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO: Portfolio is efficient if-
○ Maximizes return for a given risk level
○ Minimizes risk for a given return target.
● MARKET PORTFOLIO: The market portfolio is the portfolio consisting of every risky asset; the weights on
each asset are equal to the percentage of the market value of the asset to the market value of the entire
market portfolio.
● UNSYSTEMATIC V/S SYSTEMATIC RISK
Unsystematic risk or diversifiable risk or unique risk is the risk that can be diversified away by adding more
securities to a portfolio.
Systematic risk or non-diversifiable risk or market risk is the risk that cannot be diversified away.Since the
market portfolio contains all risky assets, it must represent the ultimate diversification. All the risk that can
be diversified away must be gone.
Important Concepts: Quick Review
● BETA
Beta is a standardized measure of systematic risk. Beta measures the sensitivity of a security's returns to
changes in the market return.
● Law of One Price: The law of one price is the economic theory that states the price of an identical security,
commodity or asset traded anywhere should have the same price regardless of location when currency
exchange rates are taken into consideration, if it is traded in a free market with no trade restrictions. The
law of one price exists because differences between asset prices in different locations should eventually be
eliminated due to the arbitrage opportunity.
Important Concepts: Quick Review
● PORTFOLIO STANDARD DEVIATION
Portfolio standard deviation is not only a function of the variance of the returns of the individual assets in
the portfolio; it is also a function of the correlation (covariance) among the returns of the assets in the
portfolio.
● Credit risk - Risk of a loss resulting from a borrower's failure to repay a loan or meet contractual
obligations
○ Loss given default, Probability of default
○ Merton’s structural model
○ Credit exposure
● Liquidity risk - Risk that a company or bank may be unable to meet short term financial demands.
○ Asset side LR - Inability to successfully liquidate an asset
○ Liability side LR - Inability to fund short-term liabilities
● Operational Risk - Risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed procedures, systems or policies
○ Formal quantification by actuarial approach - freq of loss and loss severity
○ Basel norms - Basic indicator, Standardised and Advanced measurement approach
Important Concepts: Risk Measures
● Variance of returns - Variance measures variability from the average or mean. To investors,
variability is volatility, and volatility is a measure of risk
○ But remember, VOLATILITY = sqrt(Variance)
● Semi-variance of returns - Because we are more concerned about downside (return<average)
● Shortfall probabilities - Probability of return falling below a certain level
● Value at risk (VaR) - Assess potential losses over future time period with a given degree of
confidence.
○ If the 95% one-month VAR is $1 million, there is 95% confidence that over the next month
the portfolio will not lose more than $1 million.
● Conditional Value at risk(CVaR) or Expected Shortfall(ES)
○ Expected Shortfall at q% level is the expected return on the portfolio in the worst q% of
cases
○ More sensitive to shape of the tail in the distribution
Derivatives
Options
● Derive their value from an underlying with a functional form of payoff structure
● Underlying : Stocks, Index, Currency, Commodity Futures
● Call vs Put Option (Payoff Diagrams) ; Call = max(Underlying - Strike,0) ;Put = max(Strik - Und.,0)
● American vs European Options
● Exotics : Barrier and Asian Options
● Option Positions : Long (Pay Premium), Short(Get Premium)
● In the money (Underlying > Strike for Call) sell at a higher price(premium) than Out the money
● Margins : In derivative trading, up-front payments are very small but the Potential for loss is very
high, so brokers keep a margin account so you cannot default
● Volatility of underlying : Biggest factor that drives options prices
● Self Reading : Upper and Lower Bounds for Call & Put European & American Options (Hull Ch10)
Options
● Put Call Parity (V.V Imp) : Consider two portfolios, A: Call + Zero-Coupon Bond, B :Put +
Underlying Asset. c + K*exp(-rT) = p + S for no arbitrage (Verify using Payoff Diagrams)
● Basic Trading Strategies :
○ Covered Call : Long Stock + Short Call (Protects downside of Short Call)
○ Protective Put : Long Stock + Long Put (Protects downside of Short Put)
○ Bull Spread : Buy Call (K1) Sell Call (K2) where K2 > K1. Hoping price will increase
○ Bear Spread : Buy Put (K1) Sell Put(K2) where K1 > K2. Hoping price will fall
○ Butterfly Spread : Buy Call (K1 & K2), Sell 2 Call(K2). Hoping price will remain restricted
○ Straddle : Buy Call and Put of same strike price. Hoping a big movement in underlying
○ Strangle : Buy Put(K1) Call (K2) where K2 > K1; Big Movement;Downside less than straddle
Options Pricing
● Delta : dC/dS : Long position in call must be hedged with delta units of stock (Covered Call)
● Delta : Always between 0 and 1; Maximum for ITM options
● Theta : dC/dt : Theta is negative, as time passes options become less valuable
● Gamma : d^2C/dS^2 : Gamma is always +ve ; read up how to make delta & gamma neutral
● Vega : dc/dsigma : Vega always +ve; underlying has zero vega
● Portfolio Hedging : How to make a portfolio Delta,Gamma,Vega Neutral
● Relationship : Theta + r*S*Delta + sigma^2*S^2*T = r*Portfolio (V Imp, Hull Ch Greeks)
● Interviews : How do the greeks change with time and stock price
Futures
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