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The Boston Consulting Group is a general management consulting firm The Boston Consulting Group publishes other reports and articles that may be of interest to senior financial executives.
that is a global leader in business strategy. BCG has helped companies Recent examples include:
in every major industry and market achieve a competitive advantage by
developing and implementing winning strategies. Founded in 1963, the
firm now operates 60 offices in 37 countries. For further information, Preparing for the Endgame: Global Payments 2004
please visit our Web site at www.bcg.com. A report by The Boston Consulting Group, October 2004
The Payments Puzzle: Putting the Pieces Together, Global Payments 2003
A report by The Boston Consulting Group, February 2003
G LO B A L W E A LT H 2 0 0 4
ANDREW DYER
CHRISTIAN DE JUNIAC
BRUCE M. HOLLEY
VICTOR AERNI
NOVEMBER 2004
www.bcg.com
© The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2004. All rights reserved.
2 BCG REPORT
Table of Contents
Acknowledgments 5
Preface 6
Confidence Returns 10
A Welcome Recovery 10
Regional Differences 12
Growing Markets 16
Emerging Wealthy Investors 16
Mass Affluent Investors 16
A Management Agenda 22
Methodology 26
Market-Sizing Database 26
BCG Wealth Manager Performance Survey 26
In our report this year, we discuss emerging wealthy and mass affluent investors, as well as the broad cate-
gory of established wealthy investors. We define emerging wealthy investors as those with $1 million to $5 mil-
lion in assets under management (AuM) and mass affluent investors as those with $100,000 to $1 million in
AuM. (In previous Global Wealth reports, we used $250,000 as the minimum threshold for an individual’s
AuM.) We define established wealthy investors as those with more than $5 million in AuM.
This year’s report is based on three main sources of information. First, we built our own global market-siz-
ing estimates for all the major wealth markets by country and by wealth segment. Second, we conducted an
extensive quantitative and qualitative survey of about 100 leading wealth managers worldwide. Third, we
drew insights from our own substantial and growing body of work for wealth managers and private bankers.
In addition, we have significantly improved the quality and reach of our market-sizing data. For example, we
collected data for non-OECD countries and for the offshore market from several sources, including banks
that are active in smaller countries.
We plan to repeat the benchmarking survey in 2005 and invite interested institutions to contact us at
GWR2005@bcg.com.
If you would like to discuss your wealth management business with The Boston Consulting Group, please
contact one of the following leaders of our global Financial Services practice:
4 BCG REPORT
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank all the institutions that participated in this year’s global benchmarking survey and
helped us enrich the insights in this report. We would also like to acknowledge the following people for their
support in the preparation of this report: Gilles Ballot, Robert Borsi, Valeria Bruno, Robin Chiang, Florian-
David Frey, Stephen Hartley-Brewer, Katherine Hayward, Khamphanh Kittikhoun, Jane Loveday, Astrid
Malval-Beharry, Revital Padovitz, David Parnell, Mardian Sugandhi, Andrea Walbaum, Katherine Andrews,
Gary Callahan, Kim Friedman, and Peter Truell.
Several leaders of the Financial Services practice—including Jorge Becerra, Giles Brennand, Andy Maguire,
Francesco Morra, Craig Rice, Janmejaya Sinha, and Gustavo Wurzel—provided analysis, advice, and helpful
insights.
We would also like to give particular thanks to Jeff Whitaker, who recently left BCG’s New York office. Over
the past five years, he has done much to help build BCG’s wealth-management business, insights, and surveys.
The Boston Consulting Group is committed to We are looking more closely at emerging wealthy
enhancing the understanding of the dynamics and and mass affluent investors, recognizing their grow-
economics of wealth management. When run well, ing importance to many large wealth-management
wealth management is one of the more profitable franchises and to tomorrow’s markets. This fresh
and faster-growing financial-services businesses. As look at the emerging wealthy and the mass affluent
financial institutions increasingly move toward rec- markets also dovetails with new BCG research in-
ognizing economic profit as a critical measure, to retail banking.
wealth management businesses within large inte-
grated institutions will grow in stature. We continue to present overall assets under man-
agement (AuM) and revenues in U.S. dollars. In
We began this series of reports four years ago, started addition, we have a new section on promising new
our surveys of leading competitors three years ago, markets, which examines the rapidly growing
and continue to deepen our wealth-management wealth-management markets of Greater China and
practice and expand our coverage of markets. We India, as well as Latin America and the Middle East.
remain committed to creating shared terminology
and understanding of the market and to helping The number of participants in our wealth-manage-
institutions consider and adjust to the substantial ment survey has grown to almost 100 institutions,
demographic shifts occurring as the baby boomers of with many repeat participants. (See Exhibit 1.) We
North America and Europe age and accumulate sub- continue to expand our coverage. This year, we have
stantial wealth, and as an emergent wealthy class particularly strong European participation, includ-
grows in other parts of the world—notably in Greater ing more than 25 Swiss institutions. In our bench-
China, India, and the Middle East. marking analysis, we use client assets and liabilities
(CAL) as a broad measure of client fee-earning assets
Our reports seek to provide insights into the best within an institution. This measure is the sum of a
strategies for private bankers and wealth managers. client’s deposits, brokerage assets, managed funds,
This year, for example, we examine the profound and loans outstanding—but excludes pure custody
changes now occurring in the offshore market— holdings.
that traditional destination for wealthy investors.
Growing regulatory pressure—especially from the Our global wealth-management market sizing has
European Union, which contributes more than half grown, too. It now covers 62 countries—up from
of all offshore funds and 70 percent of funds in 45 countries last year. In addition, we have contin-
Switzerland and Luxemburg—is curbing this mar- ued to build our related research in asset manage-
ket. Over the next ten years, offshore players will ment. In December, we will publish our second
need to fundamentally change their business mod- annual report examining the challenges facing asset
els or face increasing difficulties. managers.
6 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 1
ALMOST 100 LEADING INSTITUTIONS PARTICIPATED IN THE BENCHMARKING SURVEY
Europe
Latin America
5 institutions Asia-Pacific
CAL=$51.7 billion1
9 institutions
CAL=$89.9 billion1
N OTE : Participant data were supplemented with selected public data when comparable and appropriate.
1
Client assets and liabilities of participants in the survey. CAL = wealthy clients’ AuM, brokerage assets, deposits, and outstanding loans.
The importance of wealth management to banks’ • North American fee-based players saw their
economics should not be underestimated. Wealth median pretax margins substantially outpace
management could represent as much as 20 percent those of commission-based players.
of global bank revenues, nearly double the indus-
try’s investment-banking revenues. Meanwhile, we • Asia-Pacific institutions in our survey, strongly
expect growth in wealth management to continue at influenced by healthy investment markets in
4.5 to 5 percent annually in nominal terms because Australia, saw their median pretax margin leap
of long-term demographic trends and recovering from 30 percent in 2002 to 46 percent in 2003.
markets.
Growing confidence has started to have an impact
• Global bank revenues totaled approximately on asset holdings, as investors gradually increase
$1.9 trillion to $2.5 trillion in 2003. Wealth man- their allocations to equities and equity-related
agement revenues from wealthy investors—those investments, although in most geographies these
with $1 million or more in AuM—equaled about allocations have yet to reach late-1990s levels.
$252 billion. If revenues from mass affluent
• Equity and equity-related investments are becom-
investors—those with $100,000 to $1 million in
ing more popular with investors. At the end of
AuM—are added, this pushes the total up
2003, equity-related investments accounted for 36
another $290 billion to about $542 billion.
percent of global investors’ assets, up from 35
• Thanks to the recovery in global markets, there percent at the end of 2002. This reflected a shift
were 7 million households that each held more away from money market and bond funds.
than $1 million in AuM at the end of 2003. Their
• The weakening dollar has inflated views of growing
total wealth had increased by $2.8 trillion at con-
wealth. In local currency terms, global wealth actu-
stant exchange rates. This represents an increase
ally decreased 4 percent between 1999 and 2003.
of 1.24 million millionaire households around
the world, a 23.1 percent increase over 2002. Our survey of wealth management institutions showed
Meanwhile, the world’s mass-affluent households that all the main business models in private banking
increased by 13.1 percent, or 10 million house- can be profitable, but there are very substantial dif-
holds, in 2003. ferences in competitors’ performance, which cannot
be explained by model, scale, or location.
• Strong equity markets and currency move-
ments—notably a weakening dollar—were the
• North American fee-based wealth managers, with
primary drivers of this growth in AuM. Increased
2003 median pretax margins of 26 percent, con-
savings played a minor role.
tinued to outpace commission-based players,
• Wealth remains extremely concentrated. Seven which had margins of 12 percent.
percent of wealthy households, or 93 million of the
• Wealth managers in the Asia-Pacific region, bene-
world’s 1.25 billion households, hold 77 percent,
fiting from the area’s rapid economic growth,
or $55.3 trillion, of $71.6 trillion of global AuM.
showed a 19 percent increase in median pretax
Wealth managers’ profitability improved significantly margins; survey participants there enjoyed me-
in 2003, thanks to the recovery in equity markets and dian pretax margins of 46 percent.
better margins.
Among the world’s wealthy, emerging wealthy investors,
• European onshore wealth managers in our survey with assets of $1 million to $5 million, and mass afflu-
showed a marked improvement, increasing their ent investors, with assets of $100,000 to $1 million, are
median pretax margin to 24 percent in 2003, the dominant segments, accounting for more than
compared with a 9 percent median pretax margin two-thirds of assets and revenues. These investors
in 2002. are the largest groups of wealthy investors across
8 BCG REPORT
most geographies, although their significance is Important new markets are opening up to wealth
greatest in Asia-Pacific, where the number of mass managers with international ambitions.
affluent investors has grown rapidly in recent years.
• Greater China (China, Taiwan, and Hong Kong) is
• Emerging wealthy investors grew at 24 percent in increasingly important to the wealth management
2003 and will grow at close to 5 percent annually industry. If Japan is excluded, greater China
through 2008. These investors will provide one of accounted for $3.29 trillion of Asia’s $6.4 trillion in
the most profitable growth markets for wealth AuM from wealthy investors and just more than
managers provided they tailor their offerings half the $54.3 billion of Asian wealth-management
appropriately. revenues from wealthy investors in 2003. Japan,
however, remains Asia’s largest wealth-manage-
• Mass affluent investors won’t offer such rapid ment market with about $12.4 trillion in AuM.
growth, but some providers will succeed in realiz-
ing the promise of this vast market, whose AuM • Although Indian investors with more than
grew by almost 17 percent in 2003. $100,000 in AuM held $340 billion at the end of
2003—about one-third of what Chinese investors
Overall, onshore competitors are becoming rela- with more than $100,000 in AuM held at that
tively more profitable. Our European onshore sur- date—Indian investors’ wealth grew at a 21.4 per-
vey participants improved their median pretax mar- cent annual clip compared with 8.3 percent
gins by 6 percent between 2001 and 2003, while growth for Chinese investors.
European offshore competitors in our survey regis-
tered a mere 1 percent increase in margins. Wealth managers and private bankers have yet
to fully tap the asset-management and managed-
• The relative rise in onshore profitability threatens funds market—particularly in newer wealth-man-
to overturn conventional wisdom about the supe- agement markets outside of Europe and North
rior profitability of offshore players. Offshore America.
competitors face more volatile and uncertain
markets, and a relentless regulatory squeeze. • Asset management revenues from households
Nevertheless, best-practice players in offshore mar- with more than $100,000 in AuM accounted for
kets continue to earn handsome median pretax 38 percent, or $207 billion, of global wealth-man-
margins that can be as high as 40 percent per year. agement revenues in 2003.
• Onshore wealth managers in Europe narrowed • Wealth managers have yet to satisfy the markets’
the performance gap with offshore providers, our appetite for alternative assets that are not corre-
sur vey showed. Median pretax margins for lated with the stock markets, such as hedge funds,
onshore players measured 24.5 percent in 2003 private equity, and real estate.
compared with margins of 25.5 percent for off-
shore players. Succeeding in wealth management requires a balance
of careful revenue management and growth. Tight
The offshore market is changing as more countries, control of costs is as important as ever, and top per-
notably in Western Europe, consider or embrace tax formers have a good product and client mix, excel-
amnesties to bring offshore funds back to onshore lent relationship-manager productivity, a focused
markets. For their part, European investors seemed and engaged work force, and careful cost manage-
more willing to keep funds onshore. ment in the back office.
• The changes in the offshore market are increas- • Wealth managers’ improved cost discipline has
ing the pressure for consolidation in Swiss private stood them in good stead. The industry looks
banking. However, there were no significant mer- prepared to take full advantage of growth oppor-
ger transactions in the first ten months of 2004. tunities.
• Other offshore centers, notably Singapore and • It is critical to align relationship managers with the
Hong Kong, have benefited from the pressure on right clients and achieve the optimal scale in the
Switzerland and other European offshore centers. back office in order to improve profitability.
The global wealth market recovered in 2003, grow- grow 24 percent by 2008 to $89 trillion. (See Exhibit
ing by 18 percent in U.S. dollar terms and by 8.5 2.) This increase will result from demographic
percent in local currency terms. The rich are get- changes and higher savings rates in Europe and
ting richer, gradually returning to the frequently North America, where aging populations are accu-
higher, but more volatile, returns of equities, hedge mulating assets rapidly, as well as from growing
funds, and private equity. There were about 7 mil- wealth in Asian markets, notably Greater China and
lion households around the world that had more India. For wealth managers, the critical question is
than $1 million in assets under management (AuM) how best to take advantage of such opportunities in
at the beginning of 2004. order to achieve stronger growth.
The improvement in global stock markets over the Our 2004 benchmarking showed that almost all pri-
past 18 months has helped the wealth management vate-banking models can be quite profitable. But
business restore its returns after some lean years huge differences in profitability continue to exist—
and has reduced some of the overcapacity in the differences that cannot be explained by model,
market. Nevertheless, investors remain cautious scale, or region. Leading players show that focusing
and have yet to make a substantial shift from cash on revenues and costs determines success. Product
investments to equities. Investors are gradually and client mix, relationship-manager productivity,
returning to equities and equity-related products, and back-office cost management are especially
signifying growing confidence in the economy. critical to success. Regulatory and government pres-
sure, particularly on offshore investors, will con-
But equity holdings still remain below the levels of tinue to increase, but it can sometimes offer oppor-
the late 1990s, when the market peaked. In 2003, tunities.
for the first time in four years, investor holdings of
equity and equity-related investments actually rose to
36.2 percent of their assets, up from 34.6 percent in A Welcome Recovery
2002. This is still far below the 47.1 percent of these
investors’ holdings invested in equity and equity- Global wealth rebounded substantially in 2003 after
related products at the end of 1999. the lean years of 1999 through 2002. (See Exhibit
3.) In U.S. dollar terms, the increase in asset values
Wealth management is a highly attractive business was particularly dramatic in Europe (25.4 percent)
for those competitors that understand and choose and other markets outside the United States
their markets carefully. In 2003, for example, the because of the depreciation of the U.S. dollar. If
narrowly defined wealth-management industr y, this increase is expressed in local currency terms,
excluding mass affluent investors, generated rev- that average drops to 8.5 percent. In local currency
enues of more than $250 billion, accounting for terms, wealth has yet to regain the heights of the
more than 15 percent of financial-services-industry late 1990s.
revenues. If financial services for wealthy retail cus-
tomers are included in the definition, those rev- Thanks mainly to the recovery of the equity mar-
enue estimates rise substantially. The global rev- kets, there were more than 11 million wealthy
enue pool for wealth managers has increased across households at the end of 2003, and their wealth
the world, growing by more than 20 percent in 2003 grew by $8.7 trillion. (See Exhibit 4.) But, as mar-
from $232.3 billion in 2002 to $281.1 billion. The kets have improved, so have client demands.
United States, the largest single market, accounted Investors are more concerned about capital protec-
for one-third of revenues and 60 percent of world- tion—and capital destruction—after the downturn
wide profits. of recent years. The interest in capital protection has
driven investment in fixed income and real estate.
The long-term prospects for this critical banking And tougher markets have also made investors more
business are good, too. Global wealth is projected to price sensitive and more willing to switch to lower-
10 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 2
GLOBAL WEALTH IS PROJECTED TO GROW 24 PERCENT BY 2008
CAGR CAGR
2003–2004 2003–2008 Growth Drivers
(%) (%)
AuM ($trillions) 89.0 6.4 4.5
• Improving market conditions
76.2 21.7 7.1 5.4
71.6 • Growth across all wealth segments
EXHIBIT 3
THE GLOBAL WEALTH MARKET RECOVERED DRAMATICALLY IN 2003
CAGR CAGR
1999– 2002 2002– 2003
(%) (%)
AuM ($trillions) 71.6 – 2.2 18.1
67.8 2.0
64.0 – 3.2 16.2
The Middle East and Africa 2.0 1.8 – 3.4 14.0
59.4 60.6
Latin America 1.9 1.9
1.9 1.7 1.7
1.6 18.7 – 3.2 16.1
1.8
Asia-Pacific 18.9
17.0
15.2 16.1
priced offers. (See Exhibit 5.) Investors are also In North America, the wealth management market
more focused on absolute returns. They do, however, grew by 13 percent in U.S. dollar terms, thanks
show a greater openness to and appetite for more mainly to the turnaround in the local equity markets.
sophisticated and innovative structured products. Despite this recovery, wealth in North America
Wealth managers have yet to satisfy such investor hasn’t grown much since 1999 because of the burst-
preferences, including greater interest in investment ing of the equity market bubble and the wealth de-
and estate strategies and advice. The tax amnesties of struction of 1999 through 2002. We project, however,
recent years—including those in Italy, Germany, that the North American wealth market will grow
Belgium, Greece, and Ireland—aimed at encourag- 28 percent by 2008 because of improving market
ing investors to repatriate money and pay their taxes conditions. The number of wealthy households
have also helped fuel investors’ search for quality increased by 2 million last year, with strong growth
advice. among affluent investors. Commission-based wealth
managers continued to underperform their fee-
Regional Differences based competitors, according to our survey. Com-
mission-based players reported median pretax mar-
Our survey of wealth managers around the world gins of 11.7 percent; meanwhile, North American
showed marked differences in profitability across fee-based competitors reported margins of 26 per-
major regions. There were particularly high levels cent. Asset management—specifically managed
of profitability—pretax margins of more than 40 funds—accounted for 51 percent of $161 billion in
percent—at leading onshore and offshore competi- regional wealth-management revenues. North
tors in Europe and Asia, and at one or two North American investors continue to hold more equity
American fee-based players. (See Exhibit 6.) All products than investors in other regions, with equity
regions and all business models can be profitable, and equity-linked products accounting for almost
but quite wide variations remain, showing how half their AuM. (See Exhibit 9.)
important good management is to success in the
wealth management business. (See Exhibit 7.) In Europe, the wealth market grew by 4.4 percent in
Providers, our survey found, can thrive or stumble euro terms, driven by stronger equities and by local
at any wealth level. (See Exhibit 8.) currency appreciation against the U.S. dollar. But
12 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 5
CLIENTS BECAME MORE PRICE SENSITIVE AND INCREASED THEIR SERVICE DEMANDS
2000 2004
EXHIBIT 6
PROFITABILITY DIFFERED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS MAJOR REGIONS
Median=48.5
Median=48.4
Median=25.7
Median=25.5
Median=42.4
Median=24.5 Median=11.7
– 30 – 10 10 30 50 70 – 40 – 20 0 20 40 60 80 – 40 – 20 0 20 40 60 80
Pretax margin, 2003 (%) Pretax margin, 2003 (%) Pretax margin, 2003 (%)
EXHIBIT 7
ALL REGIONS AND BUSINESS MODELS CAN BE PROFITABLE
High
Median
% Change in median pretax margins from 2001 to 2003
Low
Pretax 100 6 1 4 3 –3 19
margin
(%)
80
60
52 49 46
40 41
27 30
24 25 22 26 22 26
20 18 21
12
9 9 8
0
– 20
– 40
– 60
– 80
2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003
European onshore European offshore North American North American Latin American Asia-Pacific
players players fee-based players commission-based players players players
14 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 8
INSTITUTIONS CAN SUCCEED OR STUMBLE AT ANY WEALTH LEVEL
Median for client segments European player North American player Asia-Pacific player
Pretax margin, 90
2003 (%)
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
– 10
– 20
– 30
– 40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Average CAL1
($millions)
EXHIBIT 9
NORTH AMERICANS HELD MORE EQUITIES THAN INVESTORS IN OTHER REGIONS
As wealth managers search for growth, they are turn- It is critical, of course, to offer such services in a
ing to the largest groups of wealthy investors across cost-effective way. That means being disciplined in
the globe—emerging wealthy and mass affluent product focus and delivery. The product offering
investors—those with $1 million to $5 million in AuM can be broad, but there should not be unnecessary
and $100,000 to $1 million in AuM, respectively. The and costly product variations. In addition, it is often
emerging wealthy and the mass affluent are the dom- hard to deliver many sophisticated products in a
inant segments. (See Exhibit 10.) This dominance cost-effective way. There should, for example, be
holds true across most regions. (See Exhibit 11.) sufficiently high qualifying AuM hurdles for
investors who want to access hedge funds and struc-
These investors, especially the emerging wealthy, are tured products.
perhaps the least-tapped target markets for wealth
management services. In Europe, for instance, such
Mass Affluent Investors
investors accounted for 33 million households
that collectively had €10 trillion in AuM, creating To serve the mass affluent successfully, wealth man-
€104 billion in revenue for wealth managers. Even in agers need solid products and good service at com-
today’s recovering markets, there are surprisingly petitive prices. The challenge for banks is to
few very wealthy investors—those with more than achieve this in a cost-effective way. That means
$100 million in assets. In North America, for exam- streamlining products in order to tailor them for
ple, we estimate that there are just 1,800 households the mass market.
with more than $100 million in AuM, accounting for
just 6 percent of all the region’s AuM. For the larger wealth managers, building a broad
base by reaching into the mass affluent market can
Emerging Wealthy Investors be helpful—even critical—to building scale and
profitability. The opportunities in this segment are
It is in this segment that tomorrow’s rich are build- especially attractive for sizable and growing wealth-
ing their fortunes and where providers can often management franchises that control costs well and
find it easier to establish lasting and valuable rela- are flexible in accessing, customizing, and offering
tionships. We firmly believe that particularly good carefully chosen products from across the market-
opportunities for wealth managers exist among the place in order to keep costs down.
numerous emerging-wealthy investors with unmet
needs who are looking for guidance, advice, and Wealth managers may be attracted by the higher
better products and services. fees that usually come with smaller accounts. But
good cost management is essential if mass affluent
If wealth managers can correctly define and address and emerging wealthy investors are to be profitable
the needs of the emerging wealthy in a cost-effec- for the provider. Many competitors in these busi-
tive and disciplined way, they should be able to nesses don’t manage costs well. Often, they operate
build large and rapidly growing businesses in this too many different business models and don’t think
segment. The emerging wealthy are invariably through the costs to serve investors. Too much
pressed for time and eager to find good advice. We product variation quickly adds to complexity and
believe this segment is often the biggest missed piles up costs for the provider. That is why central
opportunity for wealth managers. We have encoun- management, such as that afforded by separate
tered private-banking and trust models that work accounts, is often the solution to ensuring good
well with such investors. profitability.
16 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 10
THE EMERGING WEALTHY AND THE MASS AFFLUENT WERE THE DOMINANT SEGMENTS IN 2003
41.5
107.5 AuM $1 million– $5 million Emerging
10.7 wealthy investors
20.7 214.6
Mass affluent
AuM $250,000– $1 million
45.1 investors
EXHIBIT 11
THE EMERGING WEALTHY AND THE MASS AFFLUENT WERE THE LARGEST SEGMENTS ACROSS MOST REGIONS
% of AuM
5.0 4.5 3.1
AuM>$100 million 1.2 1.1 0.7 6.7 9.4
AuM $20 million– $100 million 1.6 2.3
Established 13.3 13.0 13.6
AuM $5 million– $20 million 27.4 14.4
wealthy investors
14.3 17.7
15.5
17.5
Emerging AuM $1 million– $5 million 13.1
wealthy investors 24.3 17.8
34.9 18.3
31.2 10.4
Mass affluent investors AuM $250,000– $1 million 11.5
9.4
13.3
AuM $100,000– $250,000 5.8 34.4
31.0 28.7
Nonwealthy investors AuM <$100,000 16.3 17.3
18 BCG REPORT
Promising New Markets
Those wealth managers with international ambitions levels, and the number of wealthy households in the
cannot afford to ignore the large and fast-growing region increased by 500,000 in 2003. Wealth man-
markets of Asia, particularly Greater China and agers clearly have good scope for expanding their
India. Although Greater China is the larger of these businesses in China and for introducing more prod-
two private-banking markets, India recently showed ucts. Managed-funds fees, for example, accounted
faster growth, with its wealthier investors increasing for only 11 percent of $31 billion in wealth man-
AuM by 21.4 percent in 2003 compared with a agement revenues, leaving room for rapid growth
growth rate of just 8.3 percent for wealthy Chinese of these products. As in so many other markets,
investors’ AuM. (See Exhibit 13.) A recent Forbes list mass affluent investors dominated the investment
of the world’s richest individuals included nine in- scene. (See Exhibit 14.) China, with a projected
vestors from the Indian subcontinent.1 compound annual average growth rate of 6.2 per-
cent, will play an increasing role in the region’s
Greater China wealth market. (See Exhibit 15.)
Overall, the wealth market in Greater China In Hong Kong, there is increasing disillusionment
(China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan) grew by 11.4 per- with the low return potential of guaranteed funds
cent in U.S. dollar terms in 2003, thanks to a par- and the lack of transparency in hedge funds.
ticularly active market for investments in China and Hence, there is substantial growth in derivative
to turnarounds in the Hong Kong and Taiwanese funds, index funds, exchange listed funds, and even
stock markets. AuM have already surpassed 1999 basic savings plans. Across China, only about 1 to 5
percent of people have more than $60,000 in invest-
1. Forbes Special Report, The World’s Richest People, March 15, 2004. ments. In metropolitan areas, this percentage rises
EXHIBIT 13
INDIA’S ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT GREW MUCH FASTER THAN THOSE OF CHINA
Increase of 8.3%
$0.99
$0.92 trillion
trillion
Established wealthy investors 0.20
(AuM >$5 million) 0.19
Increase of 21.4%
$0.34
$0.27 trillion
Mass affluent investors 0.59 0.64 trillion
(AuM $100,000– $1 million) 0.22
0.18
0.01
0.01
0.08 0.11
% of AuM
29.2
1.6
Taiwan 1.5
There are about 200,00 wealthy households in India
with AuM of more than $250,000. If mass affluent
investors are included, this number increases to
1.7 6.2
about 400,000 to 500,000 households. Managed 1.3 1.4
China
assets are growing steadily as a portion of wealthy
investors’ portfolios; nevertheless, real estate, bank
2003 2004 2008
deposits, and gold still dominate.
AuM for asset management companies are about SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database.
$35 billion, growing at about 12 percent annually for
20 BCG REPORT
THE WEALTH MARKET IN THE MIDDLE EAST
the past five years. Of these assets, about $12 billion significant increase in wealthy investors’ holdings of
to $14 billion are held by retail customers. Wealthier mutual funds.
investors account for as much as an estimated 70 to
80 percent of AuM of retail customers’ funds. Other markets are growing rapidly, as well. For
Government-owned companies dominated asset example, consider the wealth market in Latin
management until the mid-1990s; but since then, pri- America. It grew by 14 percent in U.S. dollar terms
vate asset-management companies, which are grow- in 2003, driven by improved local-equity markets
ing at more than 25 percent a year, have become and favorable exchange rates. However, AuM for
much more active. This activity has increased product the region’s investors have yet to recover to 1999
innovation and extended distribution. Many asset levels. Meanwhile, the number of wealthy house-
managers specifically target the wealthy with cus- holds in Latin America increased by 200,000 in
tomized offerings that include investment advisory 2003. (For a perspective on growth in the Middle
services, mutual funds, real-estate advisory services, East, see the insert “The Wealth Market in the
and insurance. This practice is expected to result in a Middle East.”)
It is imperative for players to improve performance the disciplines of superior organization pay off.
in an increasingly competitive and consolidating Managing people well can create a clear edge.
market. Competitors must ensure that their product
offerings become sufficiently broad and really differ- Next, look at costs:
entiate them from their competitors. It is not vital to
• Seek to improve operational efficiency.
be the manufacturer of the product, however.
• Manage costs across the value chain, ensuring
Too often, wealth managers are too focused
tight control of overhead and of sales and service
on scale. In fact, private banks with more than
costs, while keeping processing fund manage-
$10 billion to $15 billion in assets are not demon-
ment and product manufacturing costs low.
strably subscale. Profitability in wealth management
is a matter of creating the right product and client • Maintain effective compensation policies. The
mix, while tightly controlling costs and the margins recovering market has seen compensation costs at
that drive profitability. (See Exhibit 16.) some providers rise again, particularly in North
Relationship manager productivity in turn helps America. (See Exhibit 19.)
drive margins. (See Exhibit 17.)
• Cut the tail. Small accounts tend to stay small.
Here is an agenda that should serve as a checklist Match client revenue potential with costs to serve.
for wealth managers. First, examine revenues:
As the search for higher-yielding assets intensifies,
• Clearly differentiate your offering. many banks and brokerages are now buying into
hedge funds, funds of funds, and private-equity
• Assess product and service offerings. Create clear
management firms. If brokerages and banks can’t
customer segmentation and disciplined market
offer these critical products, they will cede these
positioning to maintain competitive advantage
lucrative asset classes to hedge fund players or to
and grow revenues.
brokers that are successful at buying and integrat-
• Employ effective pricing strategies. It is particu- ing with fund providers.
larly important to adapt pricing for clients who
chop and change often. Competitors also need to look for partners and tar-
gets to grow their businesses. The recovery in
• Improve the product mix to incorporate appro- wealth management underlines the importance of
priate high-margin products, and ensure they are growth. Although organic growth is critical, it can
of high quality and sell easily. be complemented by acquisition growth. There are
now significant pressures for consolidation, but—
• Penetrate the growing market for high-margin for the moment—very few transactions. Wealth
products. Wealth managers have enormous room management remains a sellers’ market but is un-
to grow. High-margin products—such as struc- likely to remain so forever.
tured products, hedge funds, and private equity—
on average accounted for 3 percent or less of AuM Those interested in expanding or divesting through
among our survey participants. (See Exhibit 18.) mergers should consider the following questions:
• Develop tactics to counter most damaging dis- • What is the strategic rationale for the expansion/
counting practices, such as conditional discounts takeover/divestment?
that are tied to volumes and time-limited and
cross-selling discounts. • What are the barriers to such a strategy, and how
can they be negotiated?
• Link sales force productivity to compensation.
Wealth management is a people business where • What should industry leaders be doing?
22 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 16
TIGHT CONTROL OF COSTS AND REVENUES DROVE MARGINS
Costs and Revenues, 2003
Revenue/CAL Cost/CAL
Europe
Basis points
160
120
Median revenues = 90
80 Median costs = 67
40
The Americas
North American fee-based player North American commission-based player Latin American player
120
Median revenues = 82
80 Median costs = 66
40
Asia-Pacific
Basis points
160
120
Median revenues = 77
80
Median costs = 48
40
N OTE : CAL = wealthy clients’ AuM, brokerage assets, deposits, and outstanding loans; selected outliers were not included.
9
60
8
7 40
6
20
5
0
4
2 4 6 8
3 – 20
2
Median = $1.2 million – 40
1
0 – 60
Revenue/relationship manager ($millions)
EXHIBIT 18
HIGH-MARGIN PRODUCTS HAVE ROOM TO GROW
0 10 20 30 0 10 20 30 0 10 20 30
N OTE : Global sample of European, North American, and Asia-Pacific banks; includes institutions that combine private-equity and hedge-fund products and excludes institu-
tions that total structured products within other product groups.
24 BCG REPORT
EXHIBIT 19
COMPENSATION CONTINUED TO ACCOUNT FOR A HIGH PERCENTAGE OF REVENUES
High
Median
Low
80
60 60 61
44 45
42 42
40 38 38
34 36
29 29
20
0
2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003
European onshore European offshore North American North American Latin American Asia-Pacific
players players fee-based players commission-based players players players
In preparing this year’s report, we undertook two regulatory environments would have similar asset
key research initiatives: creating a global market-siz- and liability holding patterns.
ing database and conducting a wealth-manager
benchmarking and interview program. Relying on both publicly available data and BCG
experience, we then estimated the revenues from
the holdings and consumption of the wealthy. Our
Market-Sizing Database calculations take into account the different pricing
among regions and wealth segments.
We define wealth as assets under management
(AuM), which includes the net of listed securities,
held either directly or indirectly through managed BCG Wealth Manager Performance Survey
funds and cash deposits. This is the measure of the
The BCG Wealth Manager Performance Survey
assets of a wealth management client that a typical
aimed to achieve a better understanding of the eco-
provider can most directly monetize.
nomic and operational performance of wealth man-
agement institutions globally throughout 2003.
We calculated 2003 AuM for the larger countries
through a review of national accounts and other
Leading wealth-management institutions in the
public records. For the other countries, we calcu-
Americas, Asia-Pacific, and Europe were invited to
lated AuM as a proportion of GDP adjusted for coun-
participate in the study. We received responses from
try-specific economic factors. We calculated market
almost 100 wealth-management divisions, covering
movements as the weighted-average capital perform-
a variety of wealth-management service models,
ance of asset classes held by households in each
scales of operations, and geographic reach. The
country, factoring in both domestic and overseas
data were supplemented, when appropriate and
equity and bond holdings.
comparable, with publicly available performance
data to ensure there were representative samples in
We then distributed total wealth within each coun-
key geographies and data fields.
try using a combination of wealth distribution sta-
tistics for countries with available data. For coun- Benchmarking participants were asked to complete
tries without such data, we made estimates on the a comprehensive quantitative questionnaire captur-
basis of the wealth distribution patterns of coun- ing data on the economics and operations of their
tries with similar income distributions (Gini coeffi- businesses throughout 2002 and 2003. In addition
cients) compiled by The World Bank. to the survey, we completed interviews with senior
wealth executives at each of the institutions in
Using available national statistics, we computed the order to frame each institution’s short- and long-
full balance sheet and financial services consump- term strategic responses to changes in the competi-
tion for each customer segment and country in our tive landscape and in the behavior of clients.
database. In addition to AuM, we considered the
consumption of privately held debt (such as mort- We then analyzed results of the survey to draw out
gages, personal loans, and margin loans). We used regional differences and insights on wealth man-
available national statistics to identify different ager performance throughout 2002 and 2003, and
holding patterns for different countries and wealth to establish benchmarks for providers’ perform-
segments. When such data could not be obtained, ance on the dimensions of region, scale, target
we assumed that countries with similar cultures and client profile, product set, and business model.
26 BCG REPORT
Appendix I: Wealth Management Data
ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT BY COUNTRY
AuM, 2002 ($millions) AuM, 2003 ($millions) CAGR, 2002– 2003 (%)
Nonwealthy Wealthy Total Nonwealthy Wealthy Total Nonwealthy Wealthy Total
households households households households households households
(AuM<$100,000) (AuM>$100,000) (AuM<$100,000) (AuM>$100,000) (AuM<$100,000) (AuM>$100,000)
North America 3,383,082 17,006,309 20,389,391 3,764,582 19,277,662 23,042,244 11.3 13.4 13.0
United States 2,994,898 16,142,988 19,137,887 3,313,656 18,145,079 21,458,736 10.6 12.4 12.1
Canada 388,184 863,321 1,251,504 450,926 1,132,582 1,583,508 16.2 31.2 26.5
Europe 6,658,236 14,118,883 20,777,119 8,074,758 17,936,726 26,011,484 21.3 27.0 25.2
United Kingdom 1,393,915 3,533,784 4,927,699 1,644,714 4,274,495 5,919,209 18.0 21.0 20.1
Germany 1,792,982 2,239,712 4,032,693 2,294,515 2,883,875 5,178,390 28.0 28.8 28.4
Italy 820,346 1,797,611 2,617,957 981,210 2,365,550 3,346,760 19.6 31.6 27.8
France 799,627 1,756,179 2,555,807 924,485 2,320,288 3,244,773 15.6 32.1 27.0
Netherlands 323,227 907,197 1,230,424 387,625 1,136,724 1,524,348 19.9 25.3 23.9
Spain 405,924 704,424 1,110,348 514,669 918,206 1,432,875 26.8 30.3 29.0
Switzerland 116,566 987,862 1,104,428 136,129 1,188,322 1,324,451 16.8 20.3 19.9
Belgium 199,983 609,556 809,540 242,467 789,759 1,032,226 21.2 29.6 27.5
Sweden 69,220 257,703 326,924 80,269 360,863 441,133 16.0 40.0 34.9
Austria 75,709 251,884 327,593 93,633 318,390 412,023 23.7 26.4 25.8
Denmark 99,580 204,274 303,854 114,501 267,828 382,329 15.0 31.1 25.8
Russia 59,980 245,520 305,500 69,596 291,767 361,363 16.0 18.8 18.3
Greece 88,424 140,065 228,488 102,930 182,271 285,201 16.4 30.1 24.8
Ireland 62,310 130,558 192,868 78,205 170,942 249,146 25.5 30.9 29.2
Portugal 75,745 110,543 186,287 94,088 152,273 246,361 24.2 37.8 32.2
Norway 76,256 109,509 185,765 81,916 137,189 219,104 7.4 25.3 17.9
Finland 64,671 53,471 118,142 74,399 68,120 142,519 15.0 27.4 20.6
Poland 61,691 21,956 83,647 72,397 26,000 98,397 17.4 18.4 17.6
Czech Republic 39,991 29,957 69,948 45,073 47,831 92,904 12.7 59.7 32.8
Hungary 23,173 17,095 40,268 30,091 22,249 52,339 29.9 30.1 30.0
Slovakia 8,917 10,023 18,940 11,846 13,785 25,631 32.8 37.5 35.3
Asia-Pacific 3,002,113 13,126,611 16,128,724 3,239,354 15,491,660 18,731,013 7.9 18.0 16.1
Japan 1,340,569 9,232,738 10,573,306 1,394,957 10,969,848 12,364,804 4.1 18.8 16.9
Taiwan 360,373 977,759 1,338,132 406,555 1,114,798 1,521,352 12.8 14.0 13.7
China 263,497 916,945 1,180,442 274,698 993,416 1,268,113 4.3 8.3 7.4
Australia 235,492 463,174 698,666 294,105 642,619 936,725 24.9 38.7 34.1
South Korea 392,466 411,973 804,439 411,785 437,053 848,839 4.9 6.1 5.5
Hong Kong 82,111 350,261 432,373 86,103 411,780 497,883 4.9 17.6 15.2
India 113,724 276,626 390,351 120,612 335,714 456,326 6.1 21.4 16.9
Singapore 35,832 202,253 238,085 40,006 227,614 267,620 11.6 12.5 12.4
Indonesia 30,875 94,210 125,086 35,482 113,099 148,581 14.9 20.0 18.8
Thailand 47,395 56,000 103,396 61,275 72,537 133,812 29.3 29.5 29.4
Malaysia 31,450 48,560 80,011 34,423 58,374 92,796 9.5 20.2 16.0
New Zealand 38,189 32,149 70,338 45,685 41,877 87,562 19.6 30.3 24.5
Philippines 15,758 31,997 47,756 17,992 36,953 54,944 14.2 15.5 15.1
Pakistan 14,380 31,964 46,345 15,676 35,979 51,655 9.0 12.6 11.5
Latin America 552,881 1,053,746 1,606,627 627,583 1,203,197 1,830,781 13.5 14.2 14.0
Mexico 194,373 440,084 634,457 201,835 459,808 661,643 3.8 4.5 4.3
Brazil 165,731 292,157 457,887 206,901 369,346 576,247 24.8 26.4 25.8
Venezuela 60,262 148,866 209,128 65,710 165,482 231,191 9.0 11.2 10.6
Argentina 76,055 86,074 162,129 89,200 102,918 192,118 17.3 19.6 18.5
Chile 26,848 51,802 78,650 30,624 65,971 96,595 14.1 27.4 22.8
Peru 24,539 29,174 53,713 27,789 33,514 61,303 13.2 14.9 14.1
Uruguay 5,073 5,589 10,663 5,524 6,159 11,683 8.9 10.2 9.6
The Middle East and Africa 489,552 1,196,111 1,685,663 564,811 1,394,004 1,958,815 15.4 16.5 16.2
Saudi Arabia 105,927 389,868 495,794 118,209 443,257 561,466 11.6 13.7 13.2
Israel 56,258 117,428 173,686 68,045 144,749 212,795 21.0 23.3 22.5
United Arab Emirates 23,238 164,445 187,684 26,204 186,124 212,328 12.8 13.2 13.1
Turkey 76,422 98,269 174,692 87,380 114,087 201,467 14.3 16.1 15.3
South Africa 69,327 77,386 146,713 88,490 107,626 196,117 27.6 39.1 33.7
Kuwait 13,152 86,287 99,439 15,167 101,030 116,197 15.3 17.1 16.9
Iran 37,183 42,222 79,404 41,162 47,370 88,532 10.7 12.2 11.5
Egypt 35,171 41,189 76,360 36,544 43,067 79,611 3.9 4.6 4.3
Oman 8,621 42,489 51,110 9,286 48,929 58,214 7.7 15.2 13.9
Qatar 5,652 40,397 46,049 6,415 46,101 52,516 13.5 14.1 14.0
Algeria 17,948 20,253 38,201 21,043 24,157 45,200 17.2 19.3 18.3
Morocco 13,819 15,627 29,446 16,559 19,120 35,679 19.8 22.4 21.2
Lebanon 4,431 20,013 24,444 4,733 22,128 26,861 6.8 10.6 9.9
Bahrain 2,952 17,781 20,734 3,217 19,944 23,161 9.0 12.2 11.7
Tunisia 7,388 8,333 15,721 8,699 9,984 18,682 17.7 19.8 18.8
Syria 4,712 6,656 11,367 5,403 7,839 13,242 14.7 17.8 16.5
Yemen 4,205 3,904 8,109 4,743 4,455 9,198 12.8 14.1 13.4
Jordan 3,146 3,565 6,711 3,513 4,036 7,550 11.7 13.2 12.5
Global 14,047,590 46,539,934 60,587,524 16,271,326 55,303,012 71,574,337 15.8 18.8 18.1
NOTE: Throughout Appendix I, some numbers may not add up to totals shown because of rounding. U.S. dollar figures were calculated using the relevant year’s exchange rates.
28 BCG REPORT
DRIVERS OF INCREASING WEALTH BY REGION FINANCIAL SERVICES REVENUES
% Impact, North Latin The Middle East
FROM WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS
2002–2003 America Europe Asia-Pacific America and Africa Global Revenue 2002 Revenue 2003 CAGR
Wealthy Wealthy 2002– 2003
Market 10.2 3.7 4.8 9.0 9.9 6.5
performance $billions (AuM>$100,000) (AuM>$100,000) (%)
North America 142 161 13.5
Income 1.4 3.3 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 United States 133 150 12.4
saved
Canada 8 11 31.2
Currency 1.2 17.0 8.9 2.7 3.8 8.7 Europe 136 172 26.9
versus US$ United Kingdom 36 43 20.7
Total 13.0 25.2 16.1 14.0 16.2 18.1 Germany 21 27 29.6
Italy 15 20 32.3
SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database. France 17 22 32.1
Netherlands 8 10 24.9
Spain 7 9 31.1
Switzerland 9 11 18.7
PERFORMANCE OF ASSET CLASSES BY REGION Belgium 6 8 30.2
Sweden 3 4 40.0
% Change, North Latin The Middle East Austria 3 3 24.7
2002–2003 America Europe Asia-Pacific America and Africa Global Denmark 2 2 31.5
Russia 3 4 18.6
Equities 24.0 14.3 23.6 37.0 29.6 21.1 Greece 1 2 30.4
Ireland 1 2 31.6
Bonds –1.8 –1.1 –0.7 12.0 8.0 – 0.4 Portugal 1 1 38.2
Norway 1 1 25.7
SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database. Finland 1 1 27.7
N OTE : Includes both domestic and international holdings. Poland 0 0 19.0
Czech Republic 0 1 63.3
Hungary 0 0 25.4
Slovakia 0 0 31.3
ASSET MIX FOR WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS BY REGION
Asia-Pacific 151 177 17.5
Deposits/ Fixed Japan 104 123 18.5
% cash management income Equities Total Taiwan 10 12 14.1
China 14 15 8.4
North 2002 32 25 43 100 Australia 5 6 38.8
America 2003 32 25 43 100 South Korea 5 5 6.1
Hong Kong 3 4 17.7
Europe 2002 38 34 28 100 India 4 4 22.2
2003 38 34 28 100 Singapore 2 3 12.3
Indonesia 1 1 20.5
Asia-Pacific 2002 58 17 26 100 Thailand 1 1 30.4
2003 57 17 26 100 Malaysia 1 1 20.2
New Zealand 0 0 30.6
Latin 2002 56 32 12 100 Philippines 0 0 15.3
America 2003 56 32 12 100 Pakistan 0 0 12.8
Latin America 14 16 14.6
The Middle East 2002 54 14 32 100 Mexico 6 6 4.4
and Africa 2003 53 15 32 100 Brazil 4 5 27.3
Venezuela 2 2 11.1
SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database. Argentina 1 1 20.1
Chile 1 1 27.2
Peru 0 0 15.3
Uruguay 0 0 10.2
SOURCES OF FINANCIAL SERVICES REVENUES The Middle East and Africa 16 18 15.8
FROM WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS BY REGION Saudi Arabia 5 6 12.0
Israel 2 2 22.7
Deposits/ Fixed United Arab Emirates 2 3 12.9
$billions cash management income Equities Total Turkey 1 1 16.0
South Africa 1 1 39.5
North 2002 39 29 74 142 Kuwait 1 1 16.7
America 2003 44 33 84 161 Iran 1 1 12.5
Egypt 1 1 4.6
Europe 2002 58 34 44 136 Oman 1 1 15.0
2003 74 43 55 172 Qatar 1 1 14.0
Algeria 0 0 19.7
Asia-Pacific 2002 96 14 41 151 Morocco 0 0 22.9
2003 112 17 48 177 Lebanon 0 0 10.5
Bahrain 0 0 12.0
Latin 2002 9 3 2 14 Tunisia 0 0 20.3
America 2003 10 4 2 16 Syria 0 0 18.1
Yemen 0 0 14.5
The Middle East 2002 9 2 5 16 Jordan 0 0 13.5
and Africa 2003 10 2 6 18
Global 458 544 18.9
SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database. SOURCE : BCG wealth market-sizing database.
Richer Prospects in Wealth Management: cient scale. For some providers, that number is far
Global Wealth 2001 higher.
• Traditional providers have served clients with • They are controlling costs—and especially rising
more than $5 million in wealth, but private-bank- IT costs—and adapting to the changing invest-
ing services are attractive to many investors with ment markets. They are selecting the customers
far less in investment assets. they wish to serve and deciding where and how
they can create the most advantage.
• Today some financial institutions are focusing
profitably on investors with up to $5 million in • Large institutions are pursuing acquisitions and
financial assets. alliances to build strong positions as powerful
forces consolidate the highly fragmented wealth-
There is a popular belief that wealth management is
management market.
a very attractive business with high returns.
It’s about wealth management, not just asset man-
• It is a large market comprising more than $40 tril-
agement.
lion in wealth and more than $500 billion in
annual revenues for financial institutions.
• Investment products account for just a part of
• With strong growth forecast for all the major financial services revenues from wealthy house-
regions, rich investors will have more than holds. Wealth managers should provide tailored
$65 trillion in wealth by 2005 and generate more insurance and credit products to improve their
than $700 billion in revenues for wealth managers. revenues and to help their clients achieve higher
after-tax returns.
But our experience with clients and our research
suggest that many competitors are not nearly as • Investors often have much of their wealth tied up
profitable as they should be. in private businesses. To offer a satisfactory serv-
ice, wealth managers should address the needs of
• Many competitors let their costs grow rapidly dur- these businesses.
ing the ten-year bull market and don’t have a
clear picture of their own economics and particu- Watch out! Here come the baby boomers.
larly of their costs to serve customers.
• The wealthiest investors are graying rapidly:
• Many wealth managers miss their marketing sweet the fastest-growing age groups are people aged 50
spot by targeting the wrong customers, focusing to 59, which will increase by 47 percent over the
on those with either too much or too little wealth next ten years, and those aged 75 and over,
to match their business models. which will increase by 37 percent during the same
period.
Wealth managers need a certain minimum size to be
profitable. • As they age, investors shift from borrowing to
saving and investing, followed by a period
• For most integrated institutions, $10 billion in of consuming wealth in the latter part of their
assets under management defines minimum effi- lives.
30 BCG REPORT
Driven by the aging boomer population and the pri- annual rate through 2006 compared with the five
vatization of pensions, offshore banking will year annual average growth rate of 9 percent pre-
decline in relative importance as onshore banking dicted just a year ago. The decline in equity mar-
and investing increase in importance. kets has had a severe impact on the profitability
of wealth managers—especially on brokerages
• But offshore banking will continue to be critical that rely on commissions.
for many of the world’s wealthy as they seek out
high returns and try to manage currency and The BCG Wealth Manager Performance Survey
political risks in their home countries. revealed very different declines in profitability
from region to region.
• Institutions are finding that it is cheaper to build
an offshore banking business that serves cus- • In the United States, profitability fell 69 percent,
tomers from many parts of the world than to cre- with commission-based brokerage firms reporting
ate individual national franchises. significant losses while fee-based wealth managers
in the survey recorded a more modest 6 percent
U.S. institutions manage wealth more cheaply than decline in profitability.
their competitors from other countries.
• In Europe, profitability declined by an average of
• There is an approximately 30 percent price dif- 34 percent as private banks in our survey saw
ferential between the cost of U.S. wealth manage- their revenues tumble by 14 percent.
ment services and comparable ones offered by
European providers. • In Asia-Pacific, profitability at the institutions we
examined—which included several top perform-
• European competitors will find it difficult to ers—grew by 15 percent.
break into the U.S. market with its lower prices
for wealth management services. At the same Most wealth managers have so far done surprisingly
time, the European market will be very attractive little to address costs, given their reduced revenues
to U.S. players. in 2001.
Open architecture is becoming more and more • Our survey indicated that, on average, costs have
important. risen. Moreover, cost reductions have usually not
matched revenue declines.
• Investors will increasingly focus on performance,
seeking the best returns, selecting among the • Some institutions that participated in our survey
offerings of many providers. were unable to provide the cost breakdowns
requested. The costs section was invariably the
• They want tailored offerings that fit their needs least complete portion of a participant’s survey.
and will pick and choose to find such offerings.
Nervous investors—particularly those with more mod-
erate holdings—are becoming more conservative.
Prospering in Uncertain Times:
Global Wealth 2002 • They are shifting to cash and money market funds
and increasing their holding times for investments,
There was worldwide destruction of private wealth
while cutting their margin debt substantially.
in 2001 as investors saw the value of their equity
holdings tumble. • U.S. equity-fund holdings dropped $550 billion in
2001 while money market holdings increased
• The declining markets cost all investors an esti- $440 billion.
mated $2.9 trillion, or 4.4 percent of the total
value of global investment assets. More than • Despite this increase in investor conservatism, alter-
2 million households slipped below our wealth native investments are growing and have a long-
threshold of $250,000 in net investment assets. term role in the wealth management industry.
• Global wealth is forecast to grow more slowly than In the United States and to a lesser degree in
previously foreseen—at an average 6.9 percent Europe, increasing regulation has precipitated a
2. We have defined a set of distinct business models that allow us to group institutions into meaningful peer groups. Institutions are classified by business
model on the basis of a combination of factors, including similar target customers, revenue sources, and cost structures.
32 BCG REPORT
declining markets have destroyed almost $5.3 tril- • In North America, wealth managers continue to
lion of these investors’ holdings in local currency cope with the aftermath of the market bubble of
terms.3 the late 1990s and the ensuing increase in regula-
tion. What is far more damaging to wealth man-
• In 2002, European and North American investors agers, however, is investors’ lingering distrust of
with more than $250,000 in liquid assets saw their the markets and of the investment industry that
wealth drop by 7 percent and more than 10 per- has resulted from the sustained fall in the mar-
cent, respectively, in local currency terms. kets. Investors’ concerns continue to keep large
amounts of money on the sidelines.
• Most major markets appear to be in a period of
low or no growth that may persist for several Wealth managers’ economics continued to deterio-
years. This has profound implications for wealth rate in 2002, raising the prospect of more lean years
managers, whose prior strategies relied on annual before the market improves. Wealth managers need
increases in market value of more than 10 percent. to be decisive, ensuring that they understand their
competitive position, business model, and what
In the established wealth markets of Europe and
more still needs to be done.
North America, customers’ preferences have shifted,
requiring wealth managers to revise strategies.
• In the United States, many wealth managers
• Investors now focus more on absolute returns reduced costs, but their cuts did not keep pace
than on relative returns, and investors are much with revenue declines. In Europe, costs rose while
more interested in risk and asset allocation. revenues fell among the institutions in our survey.
There is also distrust of the advice of sell-side ana- New ways to manage costs are required to reduce
lysts, with investors now favoring advisers that are business risk.
as free as possible from conflicts of interest.
• Meanwhile, institutions in Asia and Australia con-
• Investors are leaving large amounts of money in tinued to grow, buoyed by relatively strong finan-
cash or other liquid holdings, making it far easier cial markets and a growing but underserved class
for them to switch wealth managers. Yet there has of wealthy investors. In Latin America, offshore
been surprisingly little product innovation to institutions serving the wealthy continued to ben-
meet investors’ changed needs. Wealth managers efit from economic and political uncertainty,
should seize this opportunity to craft solutions which has driven substantial flows offshore.
that deepen relationships with customers.
In challenging times, strategic management and
European and North American wealth managers competitive advantage are more important than
face very different but equally profound threats on ever. We see wealth managers across geographies
the regulatory front. and business models thriving or failing on the basis
of their ability to respond to the needs of their best
• In Europe, national authorities are using a com- customers. Wealth managers fall into three groups,
bination of tax amnesties, intergovernmental each with a distinct competitive position and set of
agreements that impose withholding tax on strategic imperatives.
investment income of uncertain origin, and
increased transparency to target offshore • The first tier consists of the winners: institutions
accounts. This three-pronged attack threatens that have delivered margins in excess of 30 per-
offshore-banking margins in Europe, requiring cent in this challenging market. They are present
wealth managers to find funds elsewhere and in all geographies. They have carefully managed
leading to additional competition in other geog- their fortunes, acting decisively to improve their
raphies. We estimate that more than 50 percent of economics and business models while maintain-
offshore funds in Switzerland, or some $1 trillion, ing a select portfolio of businesses. These institu-
are of European origin, underscoring the scope tions have a rare opportunity to extend their
of the threat to offshore players. advantages over weaker rivals in today’s market.
3. This total increases to $5.6 trillion if investors with holdings of $250,000 to $1million are included.
34 BCG REPORT
The Rich Return to Richer Returns 35
36 BCG REPORT
The Boston Consulting Group is a general management consulting firm The Boston Consulting Group publishes other reports and articles that may be of interest to senior financial executives.
that is a global leader in business strategy. BCG has helped companies Recent examples include:
in every major industry and market achieve a competitive advantage by
developing and implementing winning strategies. Founded in 1963, the
firm now operates 60 offices in 37 countries. For further information, Preparing for the Endgame: Global Payments 2004
please visit our Web site at www.bcg.com. A report by The Boston Consulting Group, October 2004
The Payments Puzzle: Putting the Pieces Together, Global Payments 2003
A report by The Boston Consulting Group, February 2003
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www.bcg.com BCG REPORT