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concentrated markets
Introduction
Continued
• A few firms hold a large share of industry sales, but no
firm, by itself, dominates the industry - oligopolies
Continued…
• These two market structures, oligopoly and dominant
firm, can be much less competitive than perfectly
competitive markets.
Oligopoly at work
• Think about an industry that only has two firms (a “duopoly”),
each of which has half the market.
• This will cause the profits at the firm that did not increase its
output to fall. The actions of one firm in an oligopoly affect
market out- comes—price and market shares in this case—
and they also affect the profits of its competitors.
Oligopoly at work 2
• A firm anticipating a demand increase may announce a
large addition to its capacity. If its rivals respond by
aggressively adding capacity, the entire industry may
experience excess capacity even if demand increases as
expected. If, however, its rivals respond to this
announcement by curtailing their own capacity expansion
plans, the industry may not experience excess capacity.
In this case, the first mover will have a large increase in
market share, but prices will not be depressed by
competition among firms holding excess capacity.
Oligopoly Strategic
Interaction
Characteristics
• First, to formulate strategy for a firm in an oligopoly a
manager must anticipate how rival firms will respond
Continued…
• Third, a manager must recognize that managers at rival firms are
thinking the same way about her firm.
• If her rivals believe this, they will have good reason to avoid price
cuts that she will match at any cost.
• But if they believe that she has an alternative course of action that
will be more profitable for her firm, they will not take this threat
seriously. They know that, when faced with tremendous losses, she
will withdraw from the market segment that is most costly for her to
serve
Continued…
Competitive environment
and Intensity
• We consider two different examples to drive the point home
• Fishing - In this industry each of the two competing firms owns one
boat.
• Each firm chooses how many pounds of fish to catch, and each
incurs the same cost no matter how many it catches.
• The boats leave from the same dock in the morning, spend all day at
sea working separate fishing grounds, return at the same time to the
same dock, and sell their entire catch to wholesalers on the dock.
• Table shows demand for fish at their dock. Even though catching
more fish does not affect cost, bringing more fish to market reduces
the margin per pound of fish by driving down the market price.
Continued….
• Apple Selling - In this industry, two farmers each own an apple
orchard. Their efforts during the growing season have been
very productive, for their trees are now laden with apples.
Continued
• Together, the firms earn the monopoly profit with these choices.
In assessing this outcome, however, one of the farmers ought to
reason that if he cut his price to $14 when his rival is charging
$15, he would attract all of the buyers and sell 16 pounds of
apples for revenue of $224
Continued
• Each fishing firm has an incentive to deviate from the outcome that maximizes the
combined profits of the two firms. It is willing to do so because each firm cares only
about its own profit.
• In both cases, as one firm “undercuts” the other by shaving the price on apples or
increasing the quantity of fish it brings to market, its gain is smaller than the losses
this action imposes on the other firm.
• When, for example, one boat decides to catch 8.5 rather than 7.5 pounds, the gain
in its profit is $6.50, and the rival firm loses $7.50 in profit.
• Clearly, if the same firm owned both boats, it would take into account the impact of
the increased catch by one boat on total firm revenues and would not expand the
catch above a total of 15 pounds of fish. Competition dissipates PIE because
5
competing firms maximize only their individual profits and do so at the expense of
their rivals.
Continued…
• Suppose that each fishing firm plans to catch 15 pounds of fish, so that
total output will be 30 pounds.
• The market price would be $0 as in the orchard example, and each boat
would then earn a profit of $0.
• But now if one boat unilaterally decides to cut back and catch only 14
pounds of fish, the price for all the fish caught would rise to $1 and that
boat’s profit would increase to $14! Since each firm can do better by
unilaterally changing its output, each firm will catch less than 15 pounds
of fish.
• The fishing firms are going to do better than the perfectly competitive
equilibrium.
• The only difference between them is that the farmers have no capacity constraint when
they sell their apples; each has enough apples to supply total industry demand. As a
result, when one firm has a lower price than the other, it captures the entire market.
• The fishing firms, however, are essentially choosing capacity by choosing what
quantities to bring to market. Once the boat arrives at the dock, it will offer its entire
catch for sale, but the total catch limits the total amount sold. If one firm expands its
output, it thereby reduces the market price but does not capture the entire market. The
rival firm still sells its output.
Continued
• When one of the farmers unilaterally drops his price, two things
happen: The two firms together sell more apples, and the firm that
cuts its price gets all of the market. The incentive to cut price, then, is
large.
• When a fisher unilaterally increases output, the price falls, and the two
firms together sell more fish. But the firm that expands its output
doesn’t capture the entire market because its rival still sells the output
it was selling before. The incentive to “cut price” by expanding output
is therefore smaller.
…..
• On the other hand, the gain from increasing capacity is
small. Increasing capacity does not allow the firm to
“steal” share the way cutting price does.
• The fishers gain much less than the apple farmer who
reduces price by $1 and gains the entire market. And the
cost in lost revenue on current sales is the same
Continued….
• Its more than price and quantities
• Suppose a manager knows she can move first. She also knows that her competitor
will respond to what- ever she does and that this response will affect her profits.
• Any manager who knows that her rivals’ actions will affect her bottom line wants
to anticipate them. To do this, she looks at the problem from her competitor’s
perspective and figures out what its profit-maximizing response would be.
• Her profit calculations will take her action and her rival’s response into account.
She has a first-mover advantage if she can do better by moving first.
Continued.
• If boat 1 moves first and catches 15 pounds, boat 2 will
respond by catching 7 pounds.
• If he posts a price above $0, the second farmer will sim- ply
undercut his price and take the entire market.
• The only price he can post that will not be undercut is $0.
Moving first confers no advantage and has no effect on the
market outcome.
Continued….
• Total industry revenue will be lower (by a dollar), but the low-
price farmer expects to do better by undercutting his rival’s
price and getting all the sales than he would by holding to
the monopoly price and getting only half the sales.
Players
• Oligopolies become more competitive as the number of
incumbent firms increases (holding constant industry
demand). This is primarily because each firm’s incentive
to steal market share is greater when more firms are in the
industry.
……
• As the number of firms in an industry increases (holding
the size of the market constant), there are more firms with
smaller market shares.
Information
• Many types of information can affect competitive
intensity.
……
• A low-cost firm will generally be willing to produce more than
its higher-cost rivals because it has attractive margins even at
lower prices.
• If its competitors know that its costs are lower than theirs,
they will rationally reduce their output to maintain higher
prices.
…..
• Information about action other firms have taken
• Assume that demand for fish could be either high or low when the boats
come in with their catch.
• If both boats know that demand will be high, they will catch more fish.
However, if only one boat knows demand will be high and believes that the
other boat will decide to catch only enough to satisfy average demand, it
might want to catch even more.
• So not only does the state of market demand matter, but the information
that each firm has about demand, about the other’s information about
demand, and so on, all affects competitive intensity.
……
• Firms sometimes try to influence a rival’s actions by
providing information
• Signaling is necessary only if the rival would not normally see the true information. If
the firm can reveal the information directly, it may want to do so.
• For example, if I want to convey that I have a lower cost production process, I can
invite your engineers into my plant and show them exactly why my costs are lower
than yours. Of course, that would also teach your engineers how to lower your
costs. So, I may prefer to find some way to signal that my costs are low without
revealing exactly why they are low. My problem is how to communicate information
in a credible way.
Continued….
• Assuming that the firms can solve the communication problem, they still
have to solve the credibility problem.
• Suppose the firm wants to convey the following to its rivals: “I have lower
production costs than the rest of you. My profit-maximizing price is
therefore lower than yours. So the low price you observe is not a
temporary grab for market share. It is the price I will charge in equilibrium.
You have no reason to respond by cutting your price to punish me. You
should accept that I will be the low- price firm and make your decisions
accordingly.”
• Remember that in this example the signaling firm really has low costs and
is trying to convey information that its rivals want to have. The problem is
that a firm that is not low cost would like to convey the same message.
Continued…
• To summarize, the low-cost firm has information about its cost that its rival
can- not observe.
• The low-cost firm would be better off because its rival would withdraw, and
it could then behave as a monopolist. The rival would be better off because
it would incur losses as long as it remained in the market; it is better off
withdrawing sooner rather than later.
• Unfortunately, a firm that does not have low costs has an incentive to claim
that it does have low costs in order to bluff its rival into withdrawing. As a
result, the simple claim that “I have low costs” is insufficient. Even charging
a low price may not be sufficient. It has to do do something drastic like offer
a deep price cut.
Repitition
• In the drive to increase its profits, each competitor acts to
maximize its profits at the expense of its competitors’
profits.
…..
Continued….
• The problem that firms face in this example is that the value of cheating is
greater than the value of cooperating. To sustain cooperation, they must
somehow reengineer the world to make the value of cooperation greater than
the value of cheating.
Continued…
• The point here is that avoiding competition through more cooperative behavior is
difficult at best.
• The OPEC countries can and do negotiate openly and enter into explicit agreements to
cut back production in order to maintain the targeted price for crude oil.
• They decide who can sell how much, and they have established procedures for
monitoring compliance. The member countries also know that they will be competing
against each other for a long time.
• Their product is fairly homogeneous, and there are many ways to estimate world
demand.
• Even under these unusually favorable conditions, however, member coun- tries have
repeatedly violated the various agreements because it was in their best inter- est to do
so.
Dominant Firms
• Unlike oligopoly markets, which have at least two major
players, the classic dominant firm structure has a single
large firm and a number of much smaller firms.
Continued….
• The dominant firm functions as the industry leader. It sets a
price for its product, for example, knowing the smaller
firms will take that price as the industry standard,
benchmarking their prices to it.
Continued…
• For the dominant firm structure to persist, the dominant firm must
have some advantage over its much smaller competitors.
Continued….
• As long as the dominant firm is setting a price “umbrella” that
allows the fringe firm to make more profit than it would if there
were no dominant firm, the incentive to attack is diminished.
Continued…
• The actions the firms can take, the information they have,
the number and characteristics of the large players, the
timing of moves, and the time horizon over which firms
compete can all affect competitive intensity.
…..
• Some incumbents may lose more share from entry than others, but,
as a group, their share must decline.
Types of incumbency
advantage
• Economies of scale - average costs decline as firm produces more
output. Unit cost declines
Learning Economies as
barrier to entry
• For both the shallow curve
(A) and the steep curve (B),
the incumbent’s aggregate
cost advantage is not great,
although for different reasons
in the two cases.
Continued
Continued
• Incumbency advantage from Loyalty
• Network Effects
• A second firm will enter only when the market conditions are
considerably more favorable than those under which the first firm
would enter, presumably because it expects a competitive response
from the incumbent. These data also imply that the first mover may
gain significant incumbency advantages because there is a range of
market size where incumbency is profitable and yet entry does not
occur.
Incumbency advantage
• The entrant can always choose to stay out, earning whatever profit
it can gain by deploying its resources in the next best alternative.
• Limit Pricing
Creating and Capturing
Value in the Value Chain
Introduction
• How the characteristics of segments in the value chain
and the links among them affect the division of value
(PIE).
• Mass Market
• Minimize Cost
• Value Creation
• It costs each of them $1 per unit to transform its inputs to outputs. Thus each unit delivered to
consumers has used $3 worth of resource
• All the value goes to the final consumers because the firms in the other segments compete
vigorously. At any point in this value chain, the buyers benefit from the com- petition that
occurs in the levels upstream from them.
• A firm in segment 2, for example, gets inputs at their opportunity costs because the firms in
segment 1 are competing intensely with each other, and the outcome of the competition
determines the price to the firms in segment 2.
• In turn, competition in its segment drives the firm in segment 2 to sell its product at a price no
greater than its opportunity cost. The final buyers, however, compete with no one. Consumers,
therefore, buy the product at its market price but consume its full value. They therefore get all
the value the chain creates.
• Example - OPEC
Continued….
Consumers, however, are worse off because both their share of the value created and the total value created have declined. The
monopoly firm has captured value by reducing output from the competitive level (compare these results with those in Table 10-1).
As a result, some consumers who are willing to pay more than the cost of providing the good cannot buy it
When both buyer and
supplier are powerful
• Double Marginalization - suppose segment 1 is competitive and segment
2 is a monopoly, but segment 3 is now a niche market.
• Now, however, each firm in segment 3 will add a markup greater than
$1; its supplier power will allow it to add a positive price–cost margin
on top of the margin our monopolist creates. These two margins are
the source of the name “double maginalization
• Explicit Contracts
• Implicit Contracts