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CHAPTER 28: BASIC MACROECONOMIC distance of the consumption line

RELATIONSHIPS above the 45˚ line.


 Break-even Point – income level at
INCOME –CONSUMPTION AND INCOME-
which households plan to consume
SAVING RELATIONSHIPS
their entire incomes (C = DI).
 Personal Savings – that part of  Graphically, the consumption
disposable (after tax) income not schedule intersects the 45˚ line and
consumed. the saving schedule intersects the
horizontal axis at the break-even
S = DI – C
income level (saving is 0).
Where S = Savings  Average Propensity to Consume
DI = Disposable Income (APC) – fraction or percentage of
C = Consumption total income that is consumed.

 Many factors determine a nation’s 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛


APC = 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
level of consumption and saving, but
the most significant is disposable  Average Propensity to Save (APS) –
income. fraction of total income that is
 The 45˚ (degree) line is a reference saved.
line. Because it bisects the 90˚ angle 𝑠𝑎𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔
APS = 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
formed by the two axes of the
graph, each point on it is equidistant  Marginal Propensity to Consume
from the two axes. At each point on (MPC) – proportion or fraction of
the 45˚ line, C = DI. any change in income consumed;
 Consumption Schedule – schedule ratio of a change in consumption to
showing the various amounts that a change in income that caused the
households would plan to consume consumption change.
at each of the various levels of DI
𝛥 𝑖𝑛 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
that might prevail at some specific MPC = 𝛥 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
time; reflects the direct
consumption-disposable income  Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS)
relationship. – fraction of any change in income
 There is a direct relationship saved; ratio of a change in saving to
between saving and DI but saving is the change in income that brought it
smaller in a small DI compared to a about.
larger DI. 𝛥 𝑖𝑛 𝑠𝑎𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔
MPS = 𝛥 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
 Dissaving – consuming in excess of
after tax income; more often occurs  MPC is the numerical value of the
in relatively low DI; graphically, slope of the consumption schedule
dissaving is shown as the vertical and MPS is the numerical value of
the slope of the saving schedule.
reduces wealth. Reverse Wealth
Effect is reserved for situations
NON INCOME DETERMINANTS OF
wherein wealth unexpectedly
CONSUMPTION AND SAVING
changes because of unexpected
 Non-income determinants of changes in asset value and not
consumption and saving are wealth, because of intentional reduction of
borrowing, expectations, and wealth through borrowing.
interest rates.  Households consume more or less
 Wealth – dollar amount of all the depending on expectations about
assets that it owns minus the dollar future prices and income.
amount of its liabilities. Households  When real interest rates (adjusted
build wealth by saving money out of for inflation) fall, households tend to
current income. The point of borrow more, consume more and
building wealth is to increase save less. Lower interest rates
consumption possibilities. induces customers to purchase
 Events sometimes suddenly boost goods on credit and diminishes the
the value of existing wealth. When incentive to save due to reduced
this happens, households tend to interest “payment” to the saver. At
increase their spending and reduce best, lower interest rates shift the
their saving. This is called the consumption schedule slightly
Wealth Effect and it shifts the upward and the saving schedule
consumption schedule upward and slightly downward. Higher interest
the saving schedule downward. rates do the opposite.
They move in response to  When developing macroeconomic
households taking advantage of the models, economists change their
increased consumption possibilities focus from the relationship between
afforded by the sudden increase in consumption and DI to the
wealth. relationship between consumption
 Borrowing increases current and real GDP.
consumption beyond what would be  The movement from one point to
possible if its spending were limited another on a consumption schedule
to its DI. By allowing households to is a change in the amount consumed
spend more, borrowing shifts the and is solely caused by a change in
current consumption schedule real GDP. On the other hand, and
upward. While borrowing in the upward or downward shift of the
present allows for higher entire schedule is caused by changes
consumption in the present, it in one or more of the non-income
necessitates lower consumption in determinants.
the future when debts must be  Changes in non-income
repaid. Increased borrowing determinants will shift the
increases debt, which in turn consumption schedule in one
direction and the saving schedule in  If the expected rate of return
the opposite direction. exceeds the interest rate, the
 A change in taxes shifts the investment should be undertaken.
consumption and saving schedules This guideline applies even if a firm
in the same direction. finances the investment internally
 The consumption and saving out of funds saved from past profit.
schedules usually are relatively The role of interest rate in the
stable unless altered by major tax investment decision does not
increases or decreases. Their change. When the firm uses money
stability may be because a.) from savings to invest, it incurs an
consumption-saving decisions are opportunity cost because it forgoes
strongly influenced by long term the interest income it could have
considerations, and b.) changes in earned by lending the funds to
the non-income determinants someone else.
frequently work in opposite  Investment Demand Curve –
directions (with regards to shifts in amount of investment forthcoming
consumption and saving schedules) at each real interest rate. The level
and therefore may be self-canceling. of investment depends on the
expected rate of return and the real
THE INTEREST-RATE – INVESTMENT
interest rate.
RELATIONSHIP
 The non-interest rate determinants
 The investment decision is a of demand are: a.) Acquisition,
marginal-benefit – marginal-cost maintenance, and operating costs;
decision: the marginal benefit from b.) Business taxes; c.) Technological
investment is the expected rate of change; d.) Stock of capital goods on
return and the marginal cost is the hand; e.) Planned inventory
interest rate that must be paid for changes; f.) expectations.
the borrowed funds. Expected  When initial costs of capital goods
returns and the interest rate and the estimated costs of operating
therefore are the two basic and maintaining those goods rise,
determinants of investment the expected rate of return
spending. decreases and the investment
 Expected Rate of Return = demand curve shifts to the left.
𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒−𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 Lower costs shift the investment
𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡
demand curve to the right.
* Note that this is an expected rate
 An increase in business taxes lowers
of return, not a guaranteed rate of
the expected profitability of
return.
investments and shifts the demand
 Interest – financial cost of
curve to the left, a reduction of
borrowing.
business taxes shift it to the right.
 The development of new technology durability, irregularity of innovation,
lowers production costs or improves and variability of profits.
product quality and increases the  Business expectations can change
expected rate of return and thus quickly when some event suggests a
shifts the investment demand curve significant possible change in future
to the right. business conditions.
 When the economy is overstocked  Because of their durability, capital
with production facilities and when goods have indefinite useful
firms have excessive inventories of lifespans. Within limits, purchases of
finished goods, the expected rate of capital goods are discretionary and
return on new investment declines, therefore can be postponed which
thus the investment demand curve will lead to lower level of
shifts to the left. When the economy investment.
is understocked with production  Innovations occur quite irregularly.
facilities and when firms are selling  Current profit affect both the
their outputs as fast as they can, the incentive and ability to invest. But
expected rate of return increases profits are highly variable from year
and the investment demand curve to year.
shifts rightward.  The variability of investment
 Firms make planned changes to spending can contribute to cyclical
their inventory levels mostly instability.
because they are expecting either
MULTIPLIER EFFECT
faster or slower sales. An increase in
inventories is counted as positive  Multiplier Effect – a change in
investment and thus shifts the component of total spending leads
investment demand curve to the to a larger change in GDP. The
right, while a decrease in inventories multiplier determines how much
is counted as negative investment larger that change will be; it is the
and will shift the demand curve to ratio of a change in GDP to the
the left. initial change in spending
 The expected rate of return on ∆ 𝑖𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝐺𝐷𝑃
capital investment depends on the Multiplier = 𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔
firm’s expectations of future sales,
 The “initial change in spending” is
future operating costs, and future
usually associated with investment
probability of the product that the
spending because of investment’s
capital helps produce.
volatility. But changes in
 Investment is unstable; it is the most
consumption, net exports, and
volatile component of total
government purchases may also
spending. It may be due to:
lead to multiplier effect.
variability of expectations,
 The “initial change in spending”
associated with investment
spending results from a change in
real interest rate and/or a shift of
the investment demand curve
 An increase in initial spending will
create a multiple increase in GDP
while a decrease will create a
multiple decrease in GDP.
 The multiplier effect follows from
two facts:
 The economy support
repetitive, continuous flow
of expenditures and income
through which dollars spent
by A are received as income
by B and then spent by B
and received as income by C
and so on.
 Any change in income will
change both the
consumption and saving in
the same direction as, and
by a fraction of, the change
in income.
 The MPC and the multiplier are
directly related and the MPS and the
multiplier are inversely related.
1
Multiplier = 1−𝑀𝑃𝐶
1
Multiplier = 𝑀𝑃𝑆
MPC + MPS = 1
 The larger the MPC (the smaller the
MPS), the greater the size of the
multiplier.
 Estimates of the actual-economy
multipliers are less than the
multiplier as discussed in the book.

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