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Romano Tesi PDF
Romano Tesi PDF
XXVII CICLO
Tutor
Chiar.mo Prof. Roberto Pardolesi
Candidato
Avv. Valerio Cosimo Romano
A.A. 2014/2015
A sledgehammer breaks glass but forges steel.
(L. Trotsky)
TABLE OF CONTENTS
AKNOWLEDGMENTS........................................................................................................................................... 6
INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................................... 7
CHAPTER I
CHAPTER II
ON METHODS:
THE EMPIRICAL COMPARATIVE SCHOLAR AS JANUS BIFRONS
CHAPTER III
AT THE CARAVANSERAI:
FRONTIERS AND GOALS OF EMPIRICAL COMPARATIVE LAW
II. FRONTIERS........................................................................................................................................................ 70
CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................................................... 80
REFERENCES....................................................................................................................................................... 83
AKNOWLEDGMENTS
This thesis has been planned and composed in my years as Ph.D. student
at LUISS Guido Carli, as well as in the period spent at Harvard Law
School as Visiting Researcher. Parts of it have been presented at the
VS/VR Colloquium of Harvard Law School in 2013 and at 10th
Conference of Law and Economics held at La Sapienza University in
2014. Prof. Peer Zumbansen, Prof. Massimiliano Vatiero, Netta Barack
Corren and all the participants to the abovementioned seminars provided
extremely useful comments and suggestions.
I am also extremely grateful to Prof. Holger Spamann for his patient and
constant availability during my visiting at Harvard Law School.
Last but not least, I thank my parents for their personal support
throughout the years.
6
INTRODUCTION
Apart from this introduction, the thesis consists of three chapters and a
final closure.
law at the outset of the new millennium, mainly due to the centennial
sciences and of the entry in the game of scholars from other vocational
The main claim of this chapter is that those streams are only fractions of a
full figure: they belong to the same genus, blossomed under the auspices
7
establishment of a unitary methodological framework. This suggests that
Then, it gives account of the fact that the observational attitude embedded
It therefore reviews the features, pitfalls and potentials of the two cultures
8
cherry-picking can play a key role in building an integrated infrastructure
Finally, the chapter ends with the main claim that comparative scholars
roman god which makes of unity within separation its inner strength.
Empirical Comparative Law, revisits our journey and warns the reader
and promoted with attention. Also, it must be not identified as and the
one and only possible epiphany of comparative legal studies. Yet, it may
update their methodological toolkits for dealing with a brand new wide
9
The chapter then discusses some potential new directions: a deeper
jargon.
It claims that the fact that different solutions are used in order to address
functionally equivalent problems reveals that, all in all, there is not a single
best rule which can fit all of the legal systems into which it is imported or
exported.
polarities such as fairness, thus linking the ideal optimum to moral values
to the legal establishment, as with regard to the means and ends they
advocates for, as for their approach to the scholarship. They shall (re)gain
10
a role as social engineers, soaking into the basic tenet of humanist
fields and methods. Such personalities being around, technology will have
11
CHAPTER I
I. A STRUCTURAL STALEMATE
structural stalemate. While some proclaim its triumph1 and others write its
1R. Sacco, One Hundred Years of Comparative Law, 75 Tulane Law Review,
2001, p. 1159; E. Örücü, The Enigma of Comparative Law, Leiden, 2004.
2M. Siems, The End of Comparative Law, J. of Comp. Law, Vol. 2, 2007, pp.
133-150; R. Hyland, Evening in Lisbon, in Festschrift für Claus-Wilhelm Canaris
zum 70 Geburtstag, 2007, p. 1175.
3 This becomes even more remarkable when one takes into consideration
that comparative law itself might be regarded as a method. For a reference
to comparative scholars’ disappointment, see A. Riles, Wigmore’s Treasure
Box: Comparative Law in the Era of Information, 40 Harvard International Law
Journal pp. 221-283, 1999; W. Ewald, Comparative Jurisprudence (I): What
Was It Like to Try a Rat?, 143 U. PA. L. Rev. 1889, 1891, 1995; R. B.
Schlesinger et al., Comparative law, 1988, p. 311; M. Reimann, The End of
Comparative Law as an Autonomous Subject, 11 TIL. EUR. & Civ. L. F. 49,
1996.
12
absence of a scientific approach already at the beginning of the 20th
generation later, the problem was still echoing under the trees of Harvard
Yard5. It was only with the Grands Systèmes projects6 of the second half of
aspects of law which lasted for decades - that the academic focus diverted
13
Yet, the primigenial issue had not been addressed. Notwithstanding the
fact that the usefulness of analytical reasoning and data collection had
been recognized well before9 and exhortations to “look out of the cave”10 did
certainly not lack, comparative law was still missing a solid empirical
14
At the same time, the world turned global. Technology experienced an
empiricism as a unifying theme12, took the lead of the legal debate with the
15
II. A SHIFTING PARADIGM
up with research questions that could not have been addressed with
traditional tools, more and more scholars had gone hunting into germane
and public policy, it took them little time to figure out that legal systems
smooth singing of the early birds, other scholars from different vocational
fields had then joined the hunt, carrying their toolboxes equipped with
16
Now, one might wonder why (with the exception of few isolated cases16)
demand for quantitative work, which has always been alien to legal
enterprise resulted in “a path littered with the carcasses of earlier failed starts”19.
18 H.M. Kritzer, Op. Cit., p. 895. See also W. Landes, The Empirical Side of
Law & Economics, U. Chi. L. Rev., 2003, pp. 167-180.
19The evocative picture belongs to M. Heise, The Past, Present, and Future of
Empirical Legal Scholarship: Judicial Decision Making and the New Empiricism ,
2002 U. Ill. L. Rev, 819, at 820.
17
If we except what can be regarded as a proto-empiricist agenda20, the first
in modern law are to be traced in the realist turn occurred during the
law actually is22. However, despite having realized the value of comparative
18
scholars24, realists failed in providing a sound theoretical framework
The end of the Century saw a new blossoming of modern empirical legal
Studies (ELS) and New Legal Realism (NLR), both aimed towards
19
prescriptive ends, but the first more quantitative oriented and the other
more sociological.
ELS, in contrast with the rejection of doctrine that characterized the first
analysis but formulates its own conjectures from within the realm of law,
scholarships, however, is that both of them rarely derive the ought from the
comparative legal studies, the most structured being Comparative Law &
Economics, the Legal Origins movement and the Doing Business reports.
Economics shows up in the early 1990s29. Its study was then boosted by
20
two academic works: a monograph by Ugo Mattei30 and three volumes
21
and antitrust, up to the point that someone - maybe a little bit too
primis) can be used to build ideal models which can be used as tertia
181, 1996; Adhesively R. Michaels, The Second Wave of Comparative Law and
Economics?, University of Toronto Law Journal , vol. 59, no. 2, 197-213,
2009.
34 U. Mattei, A. Monti, Comparative Law and Economics: Borrowing and
Resistance, Global Jurist Frontiers 01/2001; R. Pardolesi, M. Granieri, The
Future of Law Professors and Comparative Law, in The Digest. National Italian
American Bar Association Law Journal 1-26, 2013.
35U. A. Mattei, L. Antoniolli, A. Rossato, Comparative Law and Economics, in
B. Bouckaert, G. De Geest, (eds), Encyclopedia of Law and Economics, vol. I,
Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 2000.
22
review processes which progressively discard inefficient rules via periodical
reviews36.
solutions for the same legal problem that are equally efficient. This
For sure, a great merit which can be ascribed to this scholarship is that, in
contrast with the Chicago School that has traditionally imposed its
23
validate or falsify the proposed theories39, so it certainly needs further
technical refinement40.
Up to the 1990s, the economic analysis of law had casted its attention on
at a macro level.
LLSV pose that legal rules and regulation differ remarkably among States;
that this difference is due to a great extent to legal origins, the most
important divide being between common law and civil law; that these
supporting. Since law “matters” for economic and social development and
24
common law is believed to be more efficient in doing so, it follows that
Needless to be said, this finding light the fuse for a bone-crushing polemic
with civil law scholars42. But if we leave apart the legitimate parochialisms,
it becomes clear that the value of LLSV’s contribution does not rest in its
eye.
Needless to be reported, Law and Finance has not been exempted from a
25
dualism between civil law and common law47, multicollinearity, reductivity
using LLSV’s approach, the Author examines the relation between legal
protections and soccer success and finds out that French origin was
significant, thus coming to the conclusion that “perhaps teams from countries
with systems based on the French model […] perform well due to the remaining vestiges
of the Napoleonic Code […]. Or maybe – just maybe – some other forces are at
work.”. Another trivial correlation is then found by whom (in a less satirical
fashion) finds out that French civil law countries deforest less than English
common law ones49. Despite the infamous jokes, Law and Finance
46J. Reitz, Legal Origins, Comparative Law, and Political Economy, American
Journal of Comparative Law, Vol. 57, No. 3, 2009; J.B. Fischman, Op. Cit.
47 In this respect, it is symptomatic that one of the most prominent
Authors of grands systèmes classifications, Hein Kötz, acknowledged that
legal families are nothing more than “a didactical tool”. See H. Kötz,
Abschied von der Rechtskreislehre? [Farewell to the Theory of Legal
Families?], 6 Zeitschrift Für Europasches Privatrecht 493, 1998. Yet, the
divide does remain relevant for civil procedure, which is still different
among these legal families. See R. Michaels, Op. Cit.
48M. West, Legal Determinants of World Cup Success. Michigan Law and
Economics Research Paper No. 02-009, 2002.
49S. Marchand, Legal Origin, Colonial Origins and Deforestation, Economics
Bulletin, vol. 32(2), 2002, pp. 1653-1670.
26
remains a fundamental piece of scholarship as it paved the way for the
the Doing Business reports issued by the World Bank since 2004, and their
ease of doing business in more than 130 countries. The project is led by
Simeon Djankov, a frequent coauthor with LLS, and relies strongly on the
Legal Origins thesis stands in the fact that while its conclusions are mostly
The report suffered from critiques as well. A first criticism regards its
27
A second criticism regards the insufficient knowledge of the law, especially
law in action.
Third, the Reports have been also charged of a simplistic use of rankings,
positions53.
Fourth, the use of indicators54 and the fact that they are based on perceived
law more than actual law. The scope of the project is also very narrow,
since it only regards the relationship between law and business (which
Thus, it suffers of the uniqueness of its premises and of its public policy
suggestions.
28
As we will appreciate in a while, when we will reconstruct the current
scenario, all of the empirical streams that have been just described are only
mass which followed these new scholarships, little if no attention has been
One shall not miss the forest for the trees. The abovementioned projects
are only fractions of a full figure: they belong to the same genus of
qualitative declinations.
56M. Siems, Comparative Law - Who is the Elephant in the Room? (Book
Review of 'Comparative Law: A Handbook', Örücü and Nelken, eds.),
Edinburgh Law Review, 12, 2008, pp. 334-336.
57Also referred to as being a category of leximetrics, the quantitative
measurement of law. On the point see M. Siems and S. Deakin, Comparative
Law and Finance: Past, Present and Future Research, in Journal of Institutional and
Theoretical Economics (JITE) 166, 2010; R. D. Cooter and T. Ginsburg,
Leximetrics: Why the Same Laws are Longer in Some Countries Than Others, U. Ill.
Law & Econ. Research Paper LE 03-012, 2003; H. Spamann, Large-Sample,
Quantitative Research Designs for Comparative Law?, Am. J. Comp. L. 57.4, 797-
810, 2009.
29
it was sufficiently open ended to leave all sorts of problem open 58. Third,
Hessel Yntema carves this phenomenon in his brilliant prose: “None are
venture into the lonely and unbeaten paths of science. And criticism is a grateful form of
recognition, for it betrays a degree of apprehension, which promises that even those who
30
come to scoff may perhaps remain to pray” 62. Now, one may wonder about the
existence of a real necessity for new analytical tools. And in fact, a well-
complementariness shall be the polar star, for we should not forget that
31
Indeed, in announcing that the two methodologies should be intended as
the theoretical knowledge of a sensing subject and you have a person who is completely
Let us make the example of a case study. Taken in itself, and because of
the irrelevance of the sample, it would not be sufficient for proving true
we can later test with the collection of the appropriate data. Or, vice versa,
32
we can start from the aggregate analysis of a given feature, elaborate a
theory, and then check the robustness of our conjecture. We can design
gather and process large data sets by quantitative means and to gain in-
different grounds. First of all, it can be argued that legal phenomena are
Actually, this is the reason why legal scholarship needs to build the
33
conceptual framework that can bridge the gap between ‘is’ and ‘ought.’
and not as propositions. Holding data constant, the more credible the
Obviously, “justifying a metric requires two steps. First, one needs a theory of
the good. […] Second, one needs to relate observable phenomena to the measure
the outcomes of a medical trial are “survival” and “death”—the results will be self-
34
Empirical analysis can therefore build a scientific infrastructure of
in order to reveal features of law that are obscure to the common sense77.
legal outcomes have become always more and more predictable, on the
praxis, and on the other side because of the emergence of legal certainty as
investigate her hypotheses via an “endless process of testing and retesting80, rather
than confining it in the hyperuranium of her mind. This implies that she
35
can design legal questions differently, so to obtain different answers, that
would have never been captured otherwise. She can unveil aspects that
towards the use of unconventional tools which are alien to the legal
academia. Bearing well in mind that “technique is noticed most markedly in the
case of those who have not mastered it”82, scholars shall understand that toolkits
belonging to different disciplines are not in contrast with each other but
and proper digestion. Indeed, the very same chisel can make an artist or a
butcher. Given that the scholar learns how to use her knives, the problem
81V. Grosswald Curran, Comparative Law and the Legal Origins Thesis: '[N] On
Scholae Sed Vitae Discimus', American Journal of Comparative Law, Vol. 57,
2009.
82L. Trotsky, Literature and Revolution, 1923, ed. William Keach, Chicago
2005, p. 168.
36
IV. CONCLUSION: PAST IS PROLOGUE
sciences. At the same time, scholars from other vocational fields have
of an unitary methodological framework. In fact, one shall not miss the big
picture: all these of these streams belong to the same genus of empirical
virtuous spiral triggered by such new research streams, and that, even if a
37
produce valuable works are abundant to those who want to refute
38
CHAPTER II
ON METHODS:
THE EMPIRICAL COMPARATIVE
SCHOLAR AS JANUS BIFRONS
define the object of our study, id est what counts as empirical, and how do
39
Cook, Scientific Method and the Law, 13 A.B.A. J. 303, 1927; J. Creswell,
Research design: Qualitative and quantitative research approaches, 1994; Id., Research
design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches, Sage publications,
2013; L. Epstein, G. King, The rules of inference, 69 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1,
2002; Id., Building an Infrastructure for Empirical Research in the Law, 53 J. Legal
Educ. 311, 2003; L. Epstein, A. Martin, An introduction to empirical legal
research, Oxford University Press, 2014; W. Firestone, Meaning in method: The
rhetoric of quantitative and qualitative research, 16.7 Educational researcher 16-
21, 1987; D. Galligan, Legal Theory and Empirical Research in Oxford Handbook
Of Empirical Legal Studies, P. Cane, H. Kritzer (eds.), Oxford University
Press, 2010; B. Geddes, How the Cases You Choose Affect the Answers You Get:
Selection Bias in Comparative Politics, 2 Pol. Analysis 131, 1990; J. Gerring,
How good is good enough? A multidimensional, best-possible standard for research
design, 64.3 Political Research Quarterly 625-636, 2011; J. Getman,
Contributions of Empirical Data to Legal Research, 35 J. Legal Educ. 489, 1985;
G. Goertz, J. Mahoney, A tale of two cultures: Qualitative and quantitative
research in the social sciences, Princeton University Press, 2012; J. Goldsmith,
A. Vermeule, Empirical methodology and legal scholarship, Un. Chic. L. Rev.
153-167, 2002; J. Greene, Engaging critical issues in social inquiry by mixing
methods, 56.6 American Behavioral Scientist 755-773, 2012; R. Hastie, The
Challenge to Produce Useful “Legal Numbers”, 8.1 Journal of Empirical Legal
Studies 6-20, 2011; D. Ho, D. Rubin, Credible causal inference for empirical legal
studies, 7 Annual Review of Law and Social Science 17-40, 2011; K. Howe,
M. Eisenhart, Standards for qualitative (and quantitative) research: a prolegomenon,
19.4 Educational researcher 2-9, 1990; T. Jick, Mixing qualitative and
quantitative methods: Triangulation in action, Administrative Science Quarterly
602-611, 1979; G. King, R. Keohane, S. Verba, Designing social inquiry:
Scientific inference in qualitative research, Princeton University Press, 1994; R.
Lawless, J. Robbennolt, T. Ulen, Empirical methods in law, Aspen Publishers,
2010; S. Mathison, Sandra, Why triangulate?, 17.2 Educational researcher 13-
17, 1988; J. Maxwell, Using numbers in qualitative research, 16.6 Qualitative
Inquiry 475-482, 2010; M. Mcconville, Development of empirical techniques and
theory in research methods for law, in M. McConville, W Chui (eds.), Research
methods for law, Edinburgh University Press, 2010; L. Nielsen, The Need
For Multi-Method Approaches In Empirical Legal Research, in Peter Cane &
Herbert M. Kritzer (eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Empirical Legal Research,
Oxford University Press, 2010; C. Ragin, The comparative method: Moving
beyond qualitative and quantitative strategies, Univ. of California Press, 2014; J.
Robbennolt, Evaluating Empirical Research Methods: Using Empirical Research in
Law and Policy, 81 Neb. L. Rev. 777, 2003; H. Spamann, Large-Sample,
40
We have already briefly touched upon the issue in the previous chapter,
Empirical analysis does not come as a novelty for the legal academia86, nor
an ontological level.
remain confined in an ideal ivory tower, but have instead to go outside and
look at how the law in action performs at a given point in time and space,
venture into the exploration of new lands, languages and times87, with at
least the same strive for curiosity and understanding which characterizes
Quantitative Research Designs for Comparative Law?, 57.4 Am. J. Comp. L. 797-
810, 2009; Id., Empirical comparative law, 11 Annual Review of Law and
Social Science, forthcoming 2015.
86 In two distinguished scholar’s words, “[a]lthough the term “empirical
research” has become commonplace in legal scholarship over the past two decades, law
professors have in fact been conducting research that is empirical—that is, learning
about the world using quantitative data or qualitative information—for almost as long
as they have been conducting research.” L. Epstein, G. King, The rules of inference,
69 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1, 2002.
41
Thus, it is not surprising to recognize that comparative legal scholars are
makes them more prone to empirical analysis than what we had originally
believed.
qualitative properties (which are mainly built upon logic). However, this
42
constitutes the main reason why, despite the quantitative culture being
given event. Therefore, the conclusions built on such tools are nothing
this reason, rather than of “paradigms” one shall investigate the two aspects
claim.
43
Unsurprisingly, recent years have seen a dramatic increase in the attention
renewed interest has been neglected by comparative law, which has rather
44
In effect, pinpointing two interesting quotes can give us some starting
Steve Jobs rebates, “design is not about how things look, but it is about how things
work”93.
convergence between the two designs. We shall now ask ourselves how to
distinguish the two, also in order to highlight and contrast the respective
main features, with a particular eye for what becomes relevant for
92
D. Rubin, For objective causal inference, design trumps analysis, Annals of
Applied Statistics, 808-840, 2008.
93
Watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPfJQmpg5zk.
94
For a discussion of which, see infra.
45
say that no, this would not be a good criterion: empirical comparative
good divide. The answer is already implied in our previous analysis. That
would not be the case. The empirical paradigm, which relies on both the
We can now ask ourselves whether a more factual element like the size of
the sample can be useful in order to discern between the two. That is again
not the case. Indeed, in comparative studies (albeit this may seem
relatively small, and reliable general patterns may not be evident despite
46
reason why, in order to be able to establish robust causal relationships
So, in the end, what is the empirical comparative studies’ main feature?
Copper Beeches: “Data! Data! Data! I can’t make bricks without clay!”.
Data are thus the distinctive feature of empirical comparative law, as well
as the basis upon which the design of a given research is based, both ex
ante (depending on their availability) and ex post (as of their results). Data
indeed represents both the testing tool for theoretical hypotheses and their
final evidence.
of comparative legal studies is that they would require data which are not
available or are qualitatively too weak97. This is another false myth which
Plainly put: the systemic lack of data for comparative analysis is a false
problem. First, all data accumulated in the past with the extensive
researches on grands systèmes are available and can be of great help, also in a
diachronic perspective. Second, we now have all the technical tools and
47
the information flows needed to collect massive quantities of data (the so
called and overhyped “big data”). Third, nowadays data are often available
for free, and even in case they are not, they can be traded, as a robust
available for many units of observation (id est countries, regions or topics)
Indeed, the major danger is that the availability of data “determines what we
Having briefly outlined our general framework, we shall now review the
features, pitfalls and potentials of the two methods for the study of
is the most traditional for legal analysis, and then the quantitative, which is
98
E. Warren, The Market for Data: The Changing Role of Social Sciences in
Shaping the Law, 1 Wisc. Law Rev., 2002, p. 3.
99
H. Spamann, Empirical comparative law, 11 Annual Review of Law and
Social Science, forthcoming 2015, p. 2.
100
P. Lepaulle, The Function of Comparative Law, 35 Harvard Law Review
838, 1921-1922.
101
Also on this topic, see infra.
48
We will then see how triangulation102, methods mixing and
The main claim of this chapter is that comparative scholar will find its long
headed roman god which makes of unity within separation its strength.
comparative law (which as a subject stands apart from the methods that
we use for assessing it) but rather to tackle and strengthen it on a different
methodological premise.
In this view, the use of both methods, in particular the less travelled
49
study of comparative law, but rather as one of its extensions. We are about
As anticipated, this paragraph will briefly review and highlight some of the
The key point and main contention of this paragraph is that the inner
above, especially in recent times, qualitative research design has also been
104
J. Maxwell, op. cit..
50
last Century, supported the idea that the use of quantitative evidence in
comparative works could have been the only way for building an objective,
explanation for every iota of the legal world. Something a little bit too
optimistic, maybe.
105
Nonetheless, this methodological stream has always been considered
(at least) controversial by the mainstream doctrine.
106
On the other side, we shall not forget that “When qualitative researchers do
publish politically uncomfortable results, a common response is to argue that because
these results are not numerical, they are, therefore, “anecdotal,” and can be dismissed”.
J. Maxwell, op. cit., p. 475.
51
scientific by imposing themselves measurements and benchmarks107, thus
likewise shocking that for such a long time it has been believed that a
pattern serve indeed almost to nothing more than filling academic reviews
quantitatively even in a world where the players of the game are a finite
and relatively small number, since data availability might be (and often is) a
52
On the other side, however daunting the task, the existence of a relatively
not attainable. And indeed, we have anticipated that it is not the size of the
limited: the scholar might only conduct few in-depth analyses and might
miss the big picture, thus ending up not being able to provide a sound
general explanation or, worst of the cases, grounding his findings on the
to outlier observations.
This being sad, it appears that the main use of the qualitative tradition in
comparative legal studies is mostly suited for case studies rather than for
53
cross-case analysis, which comes instead of help when analyzing central
tendencies110.
Case studies have indeed advantages that cannot be easily replicated when
large samples are used, since the former allow for a better degree of
(or completely irrelevant) in the latter. Moreover, they are less dependent
have the distinct advantage of accounting for the fact that different legal
systems may address the same problem in different ways: “by simply asking
whether a particular legal provision exists or does not exist in another legal system, large
110 For a general discussion, see once again G. Goertz, J. Mahoney, A tale
of two cultures: Qualitative and quantitative research in the social sciences, Princeton
University Press, 2012.
111
According to H. Chodosh, Comparing Comparisons: In Search of
Methodology, 84 Iowa L. Rev. 1025, 1998-1999, “Many disagreements can
emerge from the choice of comparative variables. Any two or more phenomena may
have a multiplicity of potentially comparable attributes. It may be neither desirable
nor practical to compare all of these attributes simultaneously, if at all. Therefore,
it is reasonable that comparisons are commonly more selective than configurative.
Comparisons tend to focus on a particular subset of variables, while ignoring
others. Notwithstanding their significance, these comparative variable choices are
infrequently explained or justified”.
54
n-studies commits what is regarded as a cardinal error in comparative institutional
parameter, variable or benchmark for all the objects of its study countries
This constitutes also a challenge, since “the findings from qualitative work tend
to be less generalizable because they are context specific”113 and may detect “causal
K. Pistor, Rethinking the Law and Finance Paradigm, BYU L. Rev., 1647,
112
2009, p. 1664.
113 G. Shaffer, T. Ginsburg, The Empirical Turn in International Legal
Scholarship, 106 Am. J. of Int’l Law 1, 2012.
55
The last disadvantage of qualitative studies over quantitative is that they
cannot stand per se, in se and ex se, but must be used as a foundation for
“compare different kinds of data from different sources to see whether they
56
III. QUANTITATIVE METHODS
quantitative analysis. That “legal systems depend heavily on useful numbers and
can more easily discern the normative from the descriptive and yet
57
maintain its neutrality. However, in the own fortunate words of one the
forefathers of Law and Economics , one can “torture the data, and it will
confess to anything”121.
This is true under many aspects. First of all, the aspect of measurement
One first difficulty stems from the fact that we have to learn how to
“everything about the object of study is lost except the dimension or dimensions
being measured”124.
121
Ronald Coase, as cited in G. Tullock, A Comment on Daniel Klein's 'A Plea
to Economists Who Favor Liberty', Eastern Economic Journal, 2001.
122 “Although numerical summaries can be convenient and concise, and are by
definition precise, measurement need not involve numbers- as is often the case in
qualitative research. Categorizations, such as "tall," "medium," and "short," or
"Catholic," "Protestant," and "Jewish," are reasonable measures that can be very
useful, assuming researchers sufficiently define the standard for measurement so
that they (or others) can unambiguously apply it” L. Epstein, G. King, op. cit..
58
Assigning values determines however that we abstract to a certain extent.
becomes “lightly or heavily scented with the values of those whose hands who are on
the switch"125. How can we then be sure that such measure stays reliable and
untraveled venture.
produced numbers.127
Therefore, the problem stands also in bringing the right metrics to the law:
the better the measure, the stronger the conclusions which we can infer.
59
In particular, coding is the process of transforming the attributes and
achieve “a close fit between the facts and the concept (validity) in a reproducible,
sampling and coding data. This gives a hint of the fact that coding law is
This construction not shared by every author. Some argue that another
observations that best fit their theories, thus creating a procrustean bed’s
problem.
Another serious concern relates to weak data, id est data which encourage
extremely limited value and may be therefore misused. And this raises a
second-level question: what if weak data are the only one which can be
60
extrapolated from the available resources? Some argue that such data shall
mandatory rules)131.
collected evidence. This aspect may is certainly critical for drawing the
correct conclusions.
Finally, a last caveat shall be raised against the rhetorical use of numbers,
directed to making a claim appear more rigorous than it actually is. This
may well happen also when we restrict our analysis to a given point in
130 “Sometimes reporting weak or preliminary data can spur further, more solid
research. This may outweigh concerns about potential misunderstandings of the
data. And sometimes weak data is just one data point among many. Then, the risk
that the data will be misused is smaller”, in D. Schwartz, Should Empirical Legal
Scholars Have Special Responsibilities?, http://concurringopinions.com, May 8,
2013.
131On this specific question, one can argue that optional rules shall be
taken into account when analyzing a given system because they are
available to the “consumer”, id est the users.
61
Coming to the advantages of quantitative methods, we can immediately
report that these are able to process large amounts of data, immediately
Analysis at macro or micro level shall not be confused with the analysis
134
62
unavoidable in order to establish robust causal relationships138. All in all,
“numbers provide less shelter than words”139. What is more, differently from
138
M. Siems, Comparative Law, Cambridge University Press, 2014.
139
M. Heise, The Importance of Being Empirical, 26 Pepp. L. Rev. 807, 1998.
63
such as triangulation141, id est the “employment of multiple methods and data
sources in order to enhance the validity of findings”142, methods mixing, id est the
allows the researcher to cross-test its findings and thus cancel out potential
biases and dismiss rival explanations. The result is that the validity of
141
The concept of triangulation was first introduced in a paper published
by Webb et al. in 1966 and then extensively discussed in 1978 by Denzin.
According to Denzin, triangulation comes in four forms: data
triangulation, investigator triangulation, theoretical triangulation and
methodological triangulation.
142
S. Mathison, Why triangulate?, 17.2 Educational researcher 13-17, 1988.
143
With regard to mixing methods, see J. Greene, Engaging critical issues in
social inquiry by mixing methods, 56.6 American Behavioral Scientist 755-773,
2012. K. Howe, M. Eisenhart, Standards for qualitative (and quantitative)
research: a prolegomenon, 19.4 Educational researcher 2-9, 1990; T. Jick,
Mixing qualitative and quantitative methods: Triangulation in action,
Administrative Science Quarterly 602-611, 1979.
64
provide valuable tools for defining the variables needed for testing and
and on the other side assures that the scholar can go fishing into teeming
waters.
the one side having stockpiles of ink without a tool for making use of it,
scholar to selectively borrow useful tools from other fields and readapt
In the end, “[…] it would be unfortunate in this field to reproduce the hierarchies of
methodology that have plagued other disciplines like sociology and political science”145.
144
See H. Brady, D. Collier (eds.), Rethinking social inquiry: diverse tools,
shared standards, 2010; H. Chodosh, Comparing Comparisons: In Search of
Methodology, 84 Iowa L. Rev. 1025, 1998-1999; G. King, R. Keohane, S.
Verba, Designing social inquiry: Scientific inference in qualitative research, Princeton
University Press, 1994.
65
Nonetheless, triangulation, methods mixing and interdisciplinary cherry-
picking have their own problems, the main one being that in order to be
V. JANUS BIFRONS
comparative analysis needs support from both capita of the same coin146,
In recent times H. Brady and D. Collier have depicted the general status of
legal empiricism as follows: “the past decades have seen the emergence of an
66
research”148. The empirical turn of legal analysis thus aligns with a credibility
designs150.
It is therefore expected that now more than ever in the past, there should
social sciences “there is not a set of principles that unifies scientific work”151 and
in the consciousness that not all of the analytical goals of the legal
148 H. Brady, D. Collier (eds.), Rethinking social inquiry: diverse tools, shared
standards, 2010, p. 125. See also G. Shaffer, T. Ginsburg, op. cit.; U. Mattei,
A. Monti, Comparative Law and Economics: Borrowing and Resistance, 1.2
Global Jurist Frontiers, 2001.
149
J. Angrist, J.-S. Pischke, The Credibility Revolution in Empirical Economics:
How Better Research Design Is Taking the Con out of Econometrics, 24 J. Econ.
Persp. 3, 2010.
150
See also J. Gelbach, J. Klick, Empirical Law and Economics, 2014.
151
G. Goertz, J. Mahoney, op. cit., p. 220.
152
H. Brady, D. Collier (eds.), Rethinking social inquiry: diverse tools, shared
standards, 2010, p. 106.
67
special concerns in that area”153. Comparative law makes no exception.
methods which have been used up to now, with the primary end of
theories.
In this way, comparative law will be able to regenerate itself and find
questions that would benefit from empirical analysis already staggers and continues to
grow”154.
We shall now ask ourselves what are our frontiers and our goals, but first
we need to rest from our journey. The caravanserai is finally waiting for us.
H. Kritzer, The (nearly) forgotten early empirical legal research in Peter Cane &
153
M. Heise, The Past, Present, and Future of Empirical Legal Scholarship: Judicial
154
Decision Making and the New Empiricism, U. Ill. L. Rev., 2002, p. 827.
68
CHAPTER III
AT THE CARAVANSERAI:
FRONTIERS AND GOALS OF
EMPIRICAL COMPARATIVE LAW
I. AT THE CARAVANSERAI
starting point from which to resume the analysis. Like the caravans in the
desert we shall now rest a bit from our travel: the caravanserai is waiting
for us.
approach155.
155“Economists, as well as other social scientists, have also tried to measure legal rules
and institutions. Their approach is often a ‘just do it’ one, implicitly assuming that the
complexity of the law does not prevent it from being turned into numbers. Many legal
academics, by contrast, have the attitude of ‘just don’t do it’, for instance,
bluntly saying that ‘law is about things that are not quantifiable’”. M. Siems,
Measuring the Immeasurable: How to Turn Law into Numbers, in M. Faure, J.
Smits (eds.) Does law matter? On law and economic growth, Intersentia,
2011.
69
The scholarship must be handled, safeguarded and promoted with
attention. Also, it must be not identified as and the one and only possible
Many will happily keep running the traditional analysis that they have been
Yet, empirical comparative studies may humbly serve to those who want
employing the new tools which allow us to inject life into what we had
older blunt tools of the past. This is light of enabling the scholars to deal
with a brand new wide array of open questions which can serve as a
unification.
II. FRONTIERS
We have now reached the pillars of Hercules of the scholarship, and shall
now briefly discuss (at least some) potential new directions. A first topic
70
studies. Our claim is that the analysis of comparative law has often missed
as descriptive research necessarily deals with data that have been collected
the contrary, they have often neglected time series, which serve for
contrasting the observed phenomenon over time, in order to find out its
hidden patterns and trends and hence overcome the structural limitations
of static models.
156For a brief discussion of the topic see R. Cooter, T. Ginsburg, Why the
same laws are longer in some countries than others, U. Ill. Law & Econ. Research
Paper LE 03-012, 2003, esp. p. 23 and 24.
157See D. Klerman, Economic Analysis of Legal History, in USC Class
Research Paper No. 14-15, 2014; M. Siems, Statistische Rechtsvergleichung, in
Rabels Zeitschrift für ausländisches und internationales Privatrecht/The
Rabel Journal of Comparative and International Private Law, 354-390,
2008, esp. p. 390.
71
A second topic regards the role of behavioral analysis, intended as the
of behavioral insights.
First of all, behavioral analysis can give us a better idea of the cultural
and hence express measures which are more respondent to the needs of
158
J. DE CONINCK, Reinvigorating Comparative Law through Behavioral
Economics? A Cautiously Optimistic View, 7.3 Review of Law & Economics,
2011, p. 712.
159
See supra, chapter I, para. II.
72
Because of the fact that cultural variables are located outside of legal
systems, they can also be considered more neutral and therefore provide
Tools that - moving from the consciousness that legal systems provide
deconstructs legal notions, assures that all of their founding elements are
K. Pistor, Rethinking the Law and Finance Paradigm, BYU L. Rev., 1647,
161
2009.
162
See J. Vanderlinden, Comparer les droits, Kluwer Belgique 1995.
For a discussion of which see R. Sacco, One Hundred Years of Comparative
163
73
III. AN “IDEAL” LAW?
problems reveals us that, all in all, there is not a single best rule164 which
pounds; meters and yards), and yet manage to trade with each other at a
Indeed, a one-sized model which can be used for each country does not
74
Certainly, a good rule may be identified from the fact that it remains in
rules166.
measured168.
166
F. Parisi, V. Fon, The economics of lawmaking, Oxford University Press,
2009, p. 97.
167
Other Authors such as Chodosh, op. cit., p. 1107, use prototypes of law
as “efficient tertia comparations”.
168
According to K. Pistor, Rethinking the Law and Finance Paradigm, BYU L.
Rev., 1647, 2009, “by simply asking whether a particular legal provision exists or
does not stem, large n-studies commit what is widely regarded as a cardinal error in
comparative institutional analysis: they assume that there is only a single solution to a
problem”. See also N. Jansen, Comparative Law and Comparative Knowledge, in
Mathias Reimann & Reinhard Zimmermann (eds.), The Oxford
Handbook of Comparative Law, 2006, p. 305.
75
Comparative scholarship can also assess the performance of legal rules on
However, the main point of this construction would be to link the ideal
76
a certain degree of political ideology172: indeed, institutions can influence
done […], persuading researchers to undertake only policy relevant research, that is
defining the problem in terms seen as appropriate by the dominant institution; and
The self-reinforcing spiral from institutions to legal rules and from rules to
reforms, which may well end up in neglecting the real needs of a definite
172 “Empirical law and economics can provide a useful guidance for the calibration of
policies and the design of legal institutions”, see B. Luppi, F. Parisi, Quantitative
Methods in Comparative Law, in Minnesota Legal Studies Research Paper,
2012. See also M. Mcconville, Development of empirical techniques and theory in
research methods for law, in M. McConville, W Chui (eds.), Research methods
for law, Edinburgh University Press, 2010, esp. p. 224 and M. Heise, The
Importance of Being Empirical, 26 Pepp. L. Rev. 807, 1998.
77
legal system, as it has been the case for certain aspects of the Doing Business
reports175.
respect to the legal establishment177 both with regard to the means and
ends they advocate for, and both with regard to their approach to the
scholarship.
175 See supra, chapter I, para. II. See also M. Siems, Statistische
Rechtsvergleichung, in Rabels Zeitschrift für ausländisches und internationales
Privatrecht/The Rabel Journal of Comparative and International Private
Law, 354-390, 2008, esp. p. 390.
176Since these three goals are conceptually autonomous, they may also be
pursued independently of each another.
78
They shall (re)gain a role of social engineers178, developing an integrated
species only and if they will be able to better their understanding of the
This is not an easy task: nowadays we live in a world which presents many
Therefore, scholars must soak into themselves the basic tenet which
an homo universalis. One who delves into complex bodies of knowledge with
the polymathic traits which enable him to acquire solid skills in different
fields and methods. Such personalities being around, technology will have
178
R. Pardolesi, M. Granieri, The Future of Law Professors and Comparative
Law, in The Digest. National Italian American Bar Association Law
Journal 1-26, 2013.
79
CONCLUSIONS
Finally, we note down the impressions of our journey. We can start with a
quote which wraps it up pretty well: “The new legal empiricism could yet falter
and fade, as have other legal empiricism before it. The new legal empiricism could also
triumph, emerging as both a dominant force within the legal academy and a valid,
methodologically rigorous, and conceptually rich social science in its own right. Or the
the armchair empiricism fostered by “the new almighty producers of global law,
80
clothing, as data can lie (or be used for lying) and yet keep a glaze of
plausibility.
harmonize their theories with their observations, but must not forget that
Therefore, the leading role in this enterprise does not rest on the
reactionary hegemonies: “educate yourselves because we’ll need all our intelligence.
Agitate because we’ll need all our enthusiasm. Organize yourselves because we’ll need all
our strength.”182.
prescriptions, we are optimist that also for comparative legal studies “legal
81
82
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