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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

G. V. C. NAIDU*
Abstract Key Words
The global centre of gravity is shifting to India, East Asia, Look East policy, India-
East Asia, due to its remarkable economic U.S., India-China.
dynamism, but the rise of new power centres and
their assertive attitudes also brings huge security
challenges. India is renewing its age-old links
with East Asia; after a long hiatus it is looking
to East Asia once again to engage with it more Introduction
purposely. Compelled by political and economic
imperatives, New Delhi launched the ‘Look Until as recently as a decade ago, most
East’ policy in the early 1990s, which, despite its
slow take-off, has evolved into a comprehensive
assessments of East Asia1 tended to ignore
engagement underpinned by several political- India as a factor in regional economic
institutional mechanisms, strong economic or security affairs, but that has changed
association through a variety of comprehensive
remarkably, and today there is hardly any
cooperation agreements, and robust defence
links and security cooperation. As a result, discourse that fails to make reference to
India has now become an inalienable part of India. This fundamental shift has come
the evolving East Asian economic and security about in part due to the ‘Look East’
order. While India closely collaborates with
the U.S., Japan and a few ASEAN countries policy which New Delhi launched in the
in the management of regional security, India’s early 1990s in the aftermath of the Cold
relations with China are undergoing major War, driven by economic imperatives
changes as they become increasingly complex. 
and political expediency. The success
story of India’s engagement with East
Asia would not have been as dramatic
if it were not for the fact that the East
* G. V. C. Naidu is Professor and Head of Asian region itself has been witnessing
the Centre for South, Central and Southeast unprecedented developments whereby
Asian & Southwest Pacific Studies, School
of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru many countries found it useful to involve
University, New Delhi. India in regional affairs. While the

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PERCEPTIONS, Spring 2013, Volume XVIII, Number 1, pp. 53-74.
G. V. C. Naidu

unparalleled economic dynamism that of around US $28 trillion in PPP terms,


is sweeping the region is its most visible East Asia is already nearly as large as the
feature, serious security problems also United States and the European Union
beset the region, which could undermine combined (and is set to overtake them by
peace and stability and seriously affect 2013). Besides it is being home to nearly
economic vibrancy. Evidently, the rapidly half of the global population, the world’s
increasing economic interdependence, fastest and largest growing markets are
both in terms of intra-regional trade located in this region. Now that talks are
and investments, does not seem to have going to begin in early 2013 for a Regional
translated into the much anticipated Comprehensive Economic Partnership
political dividends. The complexity (RCEP), it will become the single largest
of the regional environment is further free trade area in the world. At the
compounded by the recent resurgence same time, the regional security order is
of new global power centres- most also undergoing tectonic changes. The
prominently China and India. regional great powers, China, India and
Japan, are redefining their roles and are
increasingly becoming more assertive-
While the unparalleled eco- this is likely to become a major enduring
nomic dynamism that is sweep- feature of East Asia in the coming years,
ing the region is its most vis- which will play a key role in any new
ible feature, serious security regional order that may come about. The
problems also beset the region, post-Cold War unipolarity is transiting
which could undermine peace towards an East Asian multipolarity.
and stability and seriously affect This transition is unnerving because one
economic vibrancy. is not sure if it is going to be smooth
and free of conflicts and tensions, so
that regional peace and stability remain
It must be kept in mind that today unaffected- a precondition for continued
East Asia’s ascent is represented not only economic dynamism and development.
by China and India, but by the rise of the In any case, there is no question that the
entire region. Consequently, its overall East Asian region is under global focus.2
weight in global affairs is also increasing Against this backdrop, where India
significantly, and hence developments emerges as a major economic power with
here will have major implications for the a formidable military, many countries,
rest of the world. With a combined GDP especially the Association of Southeast

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

Asian Nations (ASEAN) and Japan, have Backdrop


found it useful to involve India in regional
affairs, not only to take advantage of In order to gain a perspective on the
its economic potential, but also for current rise of East Asia and India’s role in
its potential to contribute to regional it, it must be kept in mind that the global
security. Consequently, today India is an center of gravity has been shifting from
indispensable part of East Asia and its time to time. For nearly two millennia,
role and interests are steadily expanding the Indian and the West Pacific Oceans
within the region. That, in a way, also dominated global politics, with China
and India at one point controlling nearly
signifies the profound and fundamental
two-thirds of the world’s GDP, before
shifts the region is witnessing.
the European industrial revolution and
While the roots of India’s engagement their voyages in search of resources
with East Asia can be traced back to and markets eventually led to the
ancient times (nearly 2500 years ago), colonisation of the majority of today’s
recent relations are a post-Cold War global south. This marked the major rise
phenomenon, what is popularly called of the Atlantic and thus the global focus
the Look East policy. What began as an on that region. The first sign of the re-
attempt to improve bilateral relations, ascent of the Pacific appeared with the
to partake in the regional economic emergence of the U.S. as a formidable
dynamism and carve out political space power in the late nineteenth century,
for itself, over the years has evolved into especially following the defeat of Spain
in the 1898 Spanish-American War.
one of the most successful foreign policy
This was followed on the other side of
initiatives that India has undertaken. It
the Pacific by Japan’s meteoric rise and
now encompasses a range of political,
the defeat of the mighty Czarist Russia
economic, strategic and cultural activities
in 1905, which signaled the first sign of
and interactions. The following article,
Asia’s resurgence. Japan’s phenomenal
in addition to providing a brief backdrop post-war recovery in the aftermath
to East Asia, its growing significance of the Second World War was soon
and principal features, explicates the followed by the emergence of the four
contours of India’s relations with East Asian economic tigers, and then several
Asia, especially the evolution of the Look Southeast Asian countries, such as
East policy, its various phases and the Malaysia and Thailand, joined the ranks
current status. of the tigers. Asia’s rise was complete,

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G. V. C. Naidu

firstly, with the success of China’s famous Japan is saddled with a runaway public
‘four modernisations’ program, launched debt, which by 2012 was nearly two and
in the late 1970s, and then with India’s a half times the economy, as well as an
recent emergence consequent upon ageing and declining population. It is
the liberalisation of its economy in the a laggard compared to the rest of the
early 1990s. With this, the Pacific once region; however, it would be imprudent
again hogged the limelight, and now to underestimate its strengths: aside
the Indian Ocean region’s economic and from huge personal financial assets at
geostrategic significance is increasing around US $17 trillion (as of December
because of its huge resources (notably 2012), it is the third largest economy,
oil and gas), which are fuelling the with a GDP of over US $5 trillion. More
phenomenal growth in East Asia, and the importantly, it is still a leader in several
rising economic opportunities present in niche advanced technologies.
the Indian Ocean rim region.
Today three out of four of the world’s Unlike in the past, when their
largest economies are located in East
fortunes were dependent on
Asia. By several estimates China is likely
the U.S. and Western Europe
to become the largest economy by 2035-
because of heavy reliance on
40, and India is already the third largest
their markets, the East Asian
in PPP terms. By 2008, China had
countries are coming of age
emerged as the largest manufacturing
nation, surpassing the U.S., and is now
economically.
the largest trading nation in the world.
Despite considerable slowdown in the Others, such as South Korea, Singapore,
last couple of decades, Japan continues Hong Kong and Taiwan, have emerged as
to be an economic powerhouse. The major capital surplus countries, and their
Asian economic tigers, followed by economic roles are rapidly expanding.
Southeast Asia and China, were the Of the nearly US $7 trillion total foreign
biggest beneficiaries of Japanese aid, exchange reserves held by the East Asian
investments and technologies. However, countries, the above four countries alone
ever since its asset bubble burst in the have nearly US $1.5 trillion. In addition,
early 1990s, the Japanese economy has virtually the entire ASEAN region is
gone into a tailspin, battered relentlessly faring exceptionally well economically.
by the twin problems of deflation and of Though a latecomer, Vietnam too has
growth at a snail’s pace. On top of this joined the league of high performers,

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

and Myanmar’s story is beginning to Much of the above mentioned


unfold. Added to the above list is India, economic dynamism is market-driven.
a relatively new entrant. With its huge To take advantage of the trend in the
human resources base, a demographic region, which increasingly is interacting
advantage, and a stronghold on certain within itself, and of the continued
niche areas, such as information buoyant economic conditions, earnest
technology, pharmaceuticals, etc., India attempts are being made to provide
is forecast to emerge in the coming years the necessary political momentum.
as a major economic growth driver for These are numerous bilateral and
the region. multilateral free trade agreements and
regional cooperation arrangements.
Unlike in the past, when their fortunes
As of September 2012 ‘there were 103
were dependent on the U.S. and Western
FTAs in effect involving one or more
Europe because of heavy reliance on
countries from the region, most of
their markets, the East Asian countries
them bilateral. There are another 26
are coming of age economically. They
signed FTAs, 64 under negotiation and
have exhibited remarkable resilience in 60 more proposed.’3 These, in fact, are
the wake of the 2008 economic crisis not simply attempts to promote trade,
in the U.S. and more recently in the but are far more wide-reaching and
Eurozone. The intra-Asian trade- at are aimed at regional integration. As a
nearly 59 % in 2011- is growing faster result, every country has entered into
within, rather than outside of, the several of these arrangements. The most
region. Similarly, East Asian investments prominent are those led by ASEAN,
are increasingly bound within the region. such as the Framework Agreements on
These indicate not merely the declining Comprehensive Economic Cooperation
importance of traditional markets, such with China, India, Japan, South Korea,
as the U.S. and Europe, but also the etc. Additionally, there are several
growing opportunities and expanding regional multilateral mechanisms to
markets in East Asia. Under the Chiang promote economic cooperation, such as
Mai Initiative, which came about in the the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation
aftermath of the 1997 financial crisis, a (APEC), ASEAN Dialogue and Summit
reserve pooling of $240bn (by 2012) is Partnership Meetings, ASEAN Plus
in operation, which is meant to ensure Three (APT), East Asia Summit (EAS),
that the region does not suffer a similar etc. Among these, the newly agreed upon
crisis. Regional Comprehensive Economic

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G. V. C. Naidu

Cooperation (RCEP), involving the economic juggernaut. Besides having


ten ASEAN nations, China, Japan, several flashpoints, the region is home
India, South Korea, Australia and New to the worlds largest (and probably the
Zealand, will be a mega FTA. The first most intractable) unsettled territorial and
round of talks is scheduled for February maritime boundary issues. There is not a
2013, with the expectation that it will be single country that is free from one of
operational by 2015. If this is realised, these disputes. Some of them are minor,
it would create the world’s largest free but many are major and politically highly
trading region, consisting of nearly half contested. (For instance, the boundary
of the global population and some of the dispute between India and China
most dynamic and largest economies of involves some 95,000 km2) Most of these
the world. It will catapult the East Asian disputes have remained dormant for a
region into a commanding position in long time, but they have become highly
global economic affairs. Despite some contentious recently for two reasons.
scepticism, especially in view of China’s One is the 1982 UN Convention on the
dominant position in manufacturing, Law of the Sea, which provides extensive
all see major advantages in the creation benefits by way of exclusive economic
of a mammoth market. The first test zones for exploitation of resources, and
of whether such a mega market can the other is the growing realisation that
be achieved would be the successful the seas are going to be major sources for
realisation of the ASEAN Economic food as well as natural resources. Some of
Community by 2015, although the them, such as the Senkakus in the East
EU style of integration, in particular in China Sea and the Spratly and Paracel
the political and defence spheres, is an Islands in the South China Sea, also offer
unlikely eventuality, given the region’s major geostrategic advantages. Unlike
complex security environment and in other regions, some of these in East
persistent historical vestiges. Asia have become highly contentious,
Although the economic scenario such as the dispute over islands in the
presents a bright picture, with a huge South China Sea with claims in part or
reservoir of untapped potential, the full by China, Vietnam, Malaysia, the
region is not without its problems on Philippines, Brunei, and Taiwan, and
the political and security front. In fact, the Senkakus/Daioyu between Japan
at times they appear to be so unnerving and China- so much so that they are
that they might derail the region’s seriously threatening to disrupt bilateral

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

relations. Intensified conflict can also


lead to greater military modernisation, The unexpected closure of U.S.
especially naval. military bases in the Philippines
in 1992, and the contest in the
The other dimension of regional
South China Sea becoming
security is the relations among great
heated with China beginning
powers. As the post-Cold War order led
to assert its claims aggressively,
by the U.S. unipolarity collapses with
prompted ASEAN to revisit the
the rise of new power centres, the current
issue of a regional platform to
order is characterised by fluidity and
uncertainty. A lack of classic balance of
discuss security issues.
power is adding to the anxiety of many The East Asian region, nonetheless,
small and medium countries. If history is witnessing some significant trends.
is any guide, it is unavoidable that
One of them is the steady increase in
rising new powers not only disturb the
defence spending across the region, as
status quo but also constantly strive to
most nations are equipping themselves
expand their strategic space at the cost of
other existing dominant powers, which with advanced weaponry, particularly
inevitably leads to clashes of interest in the naval field. Secondly, both China
and tensions, and quite often to wars. It and India, which had traditionally been
constitutes a major part of the discourse continental powers, are emerging as major
on Asian security whether or not it too maritime powers with the acquisition
will go through the same trajectory of blue-water naval capacities with
as such other regions as Europe. power projection capabilities. Moreover,
Meanwhile, there are others who argue both seem to be looking beyond their
that 19th and early 20th century Europe traditional areas of interests, i.e., their
is not necessarily the best guide to the
immediate vicinities: China in the
future of East Asia, especially because
Pacific and India in the Indian Ocean.
of the massive globalisation process
With its growing interests and stakes,
and the unprecedented economic
India wants to be a significant factor in
interdependence, which will make the
costs of conflicts too much to bear. Japan the Western Pacific region, while China,
and China have been experiencing tense due to the critical dependence for its
relations in the recent past, but to what trade on the sea lanes of communication
extent economic imperatives will restrain in the Indian Ocean, is exploring ways to
them from boiling over needs to be seen. have a military presence in that region.

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G. V. C. Naidu

Another dimension of the East Asian issue (2003), ASEAN Defence Ministers
security is security multilateralism. It was Meeting Plus Eight4 (2010). Even the
originally conceived and proposed by East Asia Summit (2005) purported to
Japan to replicate the European example, deal with security issues. The jury is still
the Conference on Security Cooperation out as to whether these can play a role in
in Europe, to deal with post-Cold War shaping the regional security.
uncertainties in Asia. Whereas Tokyo
had its own vested interest to enhance India and East Asia in the
its political role in East Asia through a
multilateral framework, many countries,
Aftermath of the Cold War
including ASEAN and China, initially
It is against the above backdrop that
had reservations for different reasons.
India’s evolving policies and relations
However, the unexpected closure of
must be assessed. In some aspects, India
U.S. military bases in the Philippines
was eager to renew its relations with East
in 1992, and the contest in the South
Asia in the early 1990s; however, it had
China Sea becoming heated with China
beginning to assert its claims aggressively, always enjoyed vibrant and enduring
prompted ASEAN to revisit the issue of relations for several centuries before the
a regional platform to discuss security onset of colonialism, which not only
issues. It eventually took shape in the disrupted these links but in fact severed
form of ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) them, as they were unsuitable for colonial
launched in 1993. A major objective was masters who wanted to have exclusive
to engage China in the ASEAN strategy monopoly. As is evident from a flood of
of ‘enmeshment’ through multilateral scholarly works that came at the height
institutions. By 1995, ASEAN put of India’s independence movement,
out an ambitious Concept Paper awareness of India’s strong influence was
that laid down a roadmap, beginning acute; there was not a single country in
with confidence-building measures, the entire East Asian region that was
followed by preventive diplomacy not influenced by India in one way or
initiatives, intended finally to emerge another. This played a key role among
as a conflict resolution mechanism. enlightened Indian nationalist leaders,
Despite considerable initial enthusiasm, especially from the early 20th century, in
over the years it has failed to live up to generating interest about developments
its expectations. A few others have also in the region. That could be said to be
been created, such as the Six-Party Talks the beginning of the first phase of India
to address the North Korean nuclear looking east.

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

India’s interest in East Asia was the Bandung Conference) in April 1955.
reflected in a series of events that took As a result, India’s initial foreign policy
place from the late 1940s onwards. The was heavily influenced by developments
most prominent was the convening of in East Asia. This could be considered
the famed Asian Relations Conference another phase of the Look East policy.
in New Delhi in March 1947, before Unfortunately, with the Cold War
India formally gained independence taking deeper roots, engulfing virtually
later in August the same year. It was the entire region, India’s role began to
the first ever attempt to bring together diminish. Compelled by a series of wars
Asian countries on a platform to express from the early 1960s onwards that it had
solidarity with each other and to evolve to fight with China (1962) and Pakistan
a common strategy to fight colonialism (1965 and 1971), India had to abandon
and imperialism. As part of this approach, its earlier activist policy. While India was
India had also organised a special busy strengthening its defence forces,
conference on Indonesia in January 1949 leading eventually to the signing of a
in support of its fight against the Dutch Friendship Treaty with the Soviet Union
colonialists. Prime Minister Nehru in 1971, the pro and anti-communist
also extended strong support to other divide was nearly total in East Asia.
independence movements, especially in But for a short while India came under
Vietnam, and enthusiastically welcomed scrutiny due to its recognition of the
the emergence of the People’s Republic regime that Vietnam propped up after
of China under the communist party its military intervened to remove the
leadership. India also contributed troops dreaded Pol Pot in the 1970s (the only
for UN peacekeeping operations in non-communist country to do so), and
Korea. Because of its neutral position and India’s marginalisation from regional
political standing in the newly unfolding affairs, both politically and economically,
Cold War atmosphere and its active was nearly total. The image persisted
participation in East Asian regional that it belonged to the Soviet camp and
affairs, India was made the Chairman of that its economic policies were inimical
the International Control Commission, to most countries in East Asia, which
which was set up under the 1954 Geneva promoted foreign direct investments,
Accord to ensure the smooth transfer of liberal economic policies, export
power in Vietnam. India’s pro-active promotion, etc., and was fairly deep
policy was most visible in the convening seated, corroborated by the fact that
of the Afro-Asian Conference (also called even China shed its socialist path to join

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G. V. C. Naidu

others, whereas India remained stuck three-year lease) and advanced Kilo-class
with what was called the ‘Hindu rate of submarines, along with a variety of surface
growth’. combatants from the Soviet Union and
through indigenous production. The
expansion of base facilities at Port Blair,
Economic exigencies and called Fortress Andaman (FORTAN),
political compulsions later in the Bay of Bengal close to the crucial
became added incentives to Malacca Strait, lent further credence to
look at East Asia afresh. concerns in Southeast Asia and beyond.
Indonesia even protested against these
plans and criticism of the Indian Navy
India, however, shot into prominence
became increasingly strident towards the
in the 1980s for entirely different reasons
late 1980s.5
due to the rapid expansion of its navy.
Since this took place mostly, although A series of events, such as the end of
not entirely, owing to generous Soviet the Cold War, the establishment of a new
support, many drew two inferences. government under the leadership of P.V.
One was that the Indian Navy was Narasimha Rao, and the opening up of an
being equipped with power projection economy that had been limping, served
capabilities and that Southeast Asia to put in place a new policy framework.
would be a prime target, and secondly, Although Rao has been credited with
that India in concert with the Soviet the Look East policy, one can trace the
Union and Vietnam would try to roots of this policy to the initiatives the
checkmate Chinese and American Indian Navy took in the late 1980s to
re-establish links with its counterparts
influences in Southeast Asia, especially
in Southeast Asia, especially Indonesia
in view of the ongoing Cambodian
and Malaysia. Economic exigencies and
conflict, particularly after the Soviet
political compulsions later became added
Union gained a foothold at the Cam
incentives to look at East Asia afresh.
Ranh Bay naval base in Vietnam.
Concerns remained in respect to India
True, the Indian Navy underwent competing for influence with China and
a major spurt in its capabilities in the Japan, once it became clear that both
1980s, which included the acquisition of superpowers, which had maintained
a second aircraft carrier from the U.K., huge military presences in Southeast Asia,
HDW diesel-electric submarines from were winding down their bases. Under
Germany, a nuclear submarine (on a these circumstances, refurbishing India’s

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

image as a responsible major power, and had begun to digest the implications
in particular convincing ASEAN that it of China’s rise, not just as an economic
had greater stakes in peace and stability power but also as a military power. These
than in extending its influence to fill the developments enabled ASEAN to re-
so-called power vacuum in the region, evaluate their attitude toward India, a
assumed the utmost priority. big country with formidable military
might, but with a benign image of
India was a potential never interfering or intervening in the
countervailing force against region in any way, unlike the other great
a fast-rising China, which powers. For many, India was a potential
could also offer huge economic countervailing force against a fast-rising
opportunities once its market China, which could also offer huge
reforms took roots in the same economic opportunities once its market
way as in China. reforms took roots in the same way as in
China.
A series of developments between 1992
Meanwhile, the Indian Navy took
and 1995 had a dramatic impact on
the lead in assuaging Southeast Asian
India’s relations with East Asia. Among
concerns about its modernisation by
them, three were notable. Firstly, the
initiating a series of measures to build
sudden military withdrawal by the U.S.
confidence- primarily joint exercises
and Soviet Union created considerable
and invitations to senior naval officers
anxiety about the future of regional
to the Andaman facility for first-hand
security at a time when both China and
assessment. This had a major impact on
Japan were looking for ways to enhance
East Asian security perceptions of India.
their roles. Secondly, the dispute over
These simple initial steps later on turned
islands in the South China Sea shot into
out to be a major dimension of foreign
prominence as conflict intensified over
their sovereignty. In particular, Beijing’s policy toward East Asia, as explained
passing of the Law on the Territorial Sea below.
in February 1992, stipulating China’s
absolute sovereignty over both the India and East Asia: The
Paracels and the Spratly islands began to Look East Policy
ring alarm bells that led ASEAN to issue
the Declaration on the South China India’s much celebrated Look East
Sea in 1992. Thirdly, many countries policy was never articulated officially;

63
G. V. C. Naidu

there were no pronouncements nor any for economic and security purposes.
white papers issued. While the Indian Invariably ASEAN played a prominent
Navy was taking its own initiatives, role in all of these. Secondly, concerned
compelled by the 1991 foreign exchange about its future, ASEAN was finding
crisis, the newly established government ways to remain a significant player in
under Prime Minister Rao had little regional political affairs. For India,
option but to resort to drastic measures befriending ASEAN was the best way to
by freeing the economy from the earlier enhance its engagement with East Asia.
socialist shackles. As part of the drive to Thus, for the first time, Prime Minister
attract investments, Japan was one of Rao sketched some details about the
the first countries that India turned to, Look East policy in his famous speech
not only for it to help bail it out of acute India and the Asia-Pacific: Forging a New
shortage of foreign exchange reserves, but Relationship in Singapore, 1994. It was
also to invest liberally in the same way as only in the 1995 Annual Report of the
it did in the rest of East Asia. From New Indian Ministry of External Affairs that
Delhi’s point of view, the expression ‘Look
the Japanese response In the initial phase of India’s East policy’ was used
was disappointing Look East policy, much of the for the first time. It is
as it failed to show emphasis was on establishing thus pretty obvious
much enthusiasm. institutional links with that New Delhi did
New Delhi then ASEAN and other ASEAN-led not have much clue
turned its attention mechanisms. as to what it was
to Southeast Asia, a looking for, except
region with which its for the broad goal of
ties had historically been cordial. It soon increased interactions with East Asia.
became obvious that in order for India to In the initial phase of India’s Look
be involved in regional affairs at a time East policy, much of the emphasis
when profound changes were occurring was on establishing institutional links
in East Asia, it was imperative to evolve with ASEAN and other ASEAN-led
an ASEAN-centric policy. It was aimed mechanisms. Concurrently, taking
at serving two objectives: firstly, India measures to qualitatively improve
could never become a factor in regional bilateral relations with select countries
affairs unless it secured membership in such as Singapore, Malaysia, South
several of the multilateral frameworks Korea and Thailand. These resulted in
which had started sprouting both India becoming a Sectoral Dialogue

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

Partner with ASEAN in 1992 (limited setting off a major spurt in economic
to certain economic sectors), which was relations. India’s trade with East Asia,
later elevated to full Dialogue Partnership which constituted 30.42 % (US $242
in 1995. India was also offered ASEAN billion of total trade volume of US $795
Regional Forum (ARF) membership in billion) in 2011-12,7 has been growing
1996. As relations consolidated, India the fastest compared to any other region,
and ASEAN became summit partners in with major investors from East Asia,
2002. Despite Chinese objections, when especially countries such as Japan, South
the East Asian Summit was launched in Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Taiwan, etc.
2005, India could no longer be ignored.6
A distinct feature of India’s political India has also entered into
engagement with East Asia is that, as Comprehensive Economic
with ASEAN, a variety of institutional Partnership or Comprehensive
arrangements have been created to Economic Cooperation
ensure that interactions constantly take Agreements with Singapore,
place at various levels and relations get South Korea, Malaysia and
strengthened continuously. Thailand and is negotiating
similar agreements with most
Economic Links other countries of East Asia.
On the economic front, India was
no match either for Japan or China, Although a relatively late entrant,
and many countries were disappointed Japan is emerging as India’s crucial
with the pace of economic reforms, economic partner. India has been the
the extensive bureaucratic red tape and largest recipient of Japanese ODA
poor infrastructure. Despite concerted (despite substantial cuts in overseas aid,
efforts, economic interactions remained in the Indian case it has been steadily
sluggish in the initial phase. The 1997- increasing) since 2005. Japan is also
98 financial crisis, which snowballed involved in several mega-projects such as
into a major economic crisis afflicting the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor,
most countries of East Asia, was a the Rail Freight Corridors between
setback for India’s attempts. By the early Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata, and the
2000s, India’s growth story became well Chennai and Bangalore Corridor,
known, and by then East Asian countries entailing hundreds of billions of dollars
also had recovered from the crisis, in investments and technology transfer.

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G. V. C. Naidu

India-Japan bilateral trade is witnessing Comprehensive Economic Cooperation


a major spurt since the signing of the between India and the ASEAN. Proposed
Comprehensive Economic Partnership in 2003, the first part, Trade in Goods,
Agreement that came into effect in became operational in 2010, whereby
August 2011. import tariffs on more than 80 % of traded
products between 2013 and 2016 will be
removed. Already India-ASEAN bilateral
What began in the early 1990s as
trade has touched US $80 billion, and the
an effort to allay a few Southeast
two-way flow of investments reached US
Asian countries’ concerns over
$43 billion by 2012 and is likely to rise
the Indian naval expansion,
to US $100 billion by 2015. The talks
India’s defence interactions on the other segments of the Framework
with East Asian nations Agreement, services and investments,
have witnessed remarkable have also been finalised and will come
transformation over the years. into effect in 2013.8 India will also be part
of the talks slated for February 2013 to
India has also entered into create the world’s largest free trading area,
Comprehensive Economic Partnership or the RCEP.
Comprehensive Economic Cooperation
Agreements with Singapore, South Defence Diplomacy
Korea, Malaysia and Thailand and
Through what began in the early 1990s
is negotiating similar agreements
as an effort to allay a few Southeast Asian
with most other countries of East
countries’ concerns over the Indian naval
Asia. Notwithstanding some nagging
expansion, India’s defence interactions
problems, in particular the unresolved
with East Asian nations have witnessed
border issues, India’s economic relations
remarkable transformation over the
with China are on the upswing, with
years. One can clearly see the beginning
China emerging as the largest trading
of a new activist policy that has never
partner. In view of growing links, these
been seen before. In fact, defence and
two have launched the annual Strategic
strategic links appear to be more robust
Economic Dialogue to further increase
than economic or political aspects of
economic relations.
India’s Look East policy, if one looks at
Among these what has received a lot of the scale and degree of the agreements
attention is the Framework Agreement for and interactions.

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India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

India’s strategic engagement with East in this endeavour, it created a separate


Asia is both multilateral and bilateral. directorate of foreign cooperation at its
At the multilateral level, apart from headquarters in 2004.
being a member of the regional security Under the rubric of defence
mechanism, the ARF, and the Regional cooperation, New Delhi has crafted a
Cooperation Agreement on Combating wide array of activities, such as security
Piracy and Armed Robbery (ReCAAP), dialogues, joint exercises, training,
the Indian Navy undertook the unique and high-level visits. Among these,
initiative in 1995 to host biennial cooperation with two countries stand
gatherings called the Milan, at Port Blair. out, i.e., Singapore and Japan. Beginning
What began as a confidence-building in 1993 with simple passage exercises,
measure comprising just five littoral those with Singapore have become
countries of the Bay of Bengal, now extensive. India for the first time opened
involves most countries of the East Indian its facilities for submarine operations
Ocean and the island states of the Indian early on, and more recently the Singapore
Ocean. It is spread over five days and air force has been using facilities at
involves an assortment of activities, with Indian bases. With Japan the security
the intent to promote inter-operability, cooperation is the most comprehensive.
to build confidence, and to find ways to Starting with the 2008 Joint Declaration
deal with threats to maritime security. on Security Cooperation between India
Furthermore, relations at the bilateral and Japan, which was issued during
level are extensive. In contrast with 1990, Prime Minister Singh’s visit, current
when Vietnam was the only country cooperation encompasses innumerable
with which India had some strategic institutional arrangements and
understanding (sans a formal agreement), agreements, such as: the annual Strategic
a decade and a half later it had forged Dialogue at the foreign minister level;
defence and strategic links of one kind regular consultations between the
or another with countries of the entire National Security Advisor of India
East Asian region, except North Korea. and the Japanese counterpart; the
A measure of its success can be gauged annual Subcabinet/Senior Officials 2+2
from the fact that a section on ‘Defence dialogue (the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Relations with Foreign Countries’ and the Ministry of Defense of Japan/
started to appear in the Annual Reports the Ministry of External Affairs and the
of the Ministry of Defence in 2003-04. Ministry of Defence of India); foreign
Since the Indian navy was the trailblazer secretary/vice minister level dialogues

67
G. V. C. Naidu

(twice a year); the annual Foreign Office disputed border, and a strong conviction
Consultation; the annual Comprehensive that China’s unstinting support has
Security Dialogue at the level of the Joint emboldened Pakistan to wage wars on
Secretary, the Ministry of External Affairs India (not to mention the generous
(MEA) and the Ministry of Defence support to Pakistan’s nuclear weapons
(MoD) of India/the Director General, program) and has supported terrorist
Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) and activities, are serious issues that have
the Ministry of Defense (MoD) of Japan; affected bilateral relations. For China,
the Maritime Security Dialogue; and India has been
the annual Track 1.5 working hand in
Strategic Dialogue. India-China relations are glove with the U.S.,
India has emerged broadening, from the earlier Japan and a few
as the second most limited border problem and other countries bent
important strategic Pakistan to a vast array of issues, on containing China
partner for Japan especially those spanning the and undermining its
after the U.S. New vast Indian Ocean and East interests. Yet, there
Delhi’s intensified Asian regions. is no question that
strategic interaction bilateral relations
with East Asia is are witnessing
an indication of its rising aspirations, an unprecedented transformation:
growing stakes and attempts to play a they are becoming increasingly more
suitable role in the region. complex and multifaceted. Economic
links are booming and there are a
India, China and East Asia number of issues that have emerged as
areas of common interest. Both share
The discourse on India and East Asia is and cooperate on evolving common
incomplete without a reference to China, positions in talks over climate change
the most important power, with which and WTO, as emerging economies both
India has a different kind of relationship seek to promote cooperation as members
than with the other countries in the of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India,
region. Almost as large, and aspiring China and South Africa), and have been
to emerge as strong as China, India strongly supporting regional multilateral
has nearly matching military strength institutions, from the Shanghai
but lags behind in economic strength. Cooperation Organisation to the East
The 1962 war, nearly 95,000 km2 of Asia Summit. Their competition,

68
India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

nonetheless, is also soaring- for vested interests in incorporating India


commodities, for energy sources, and for into its strategy, probably with a view
political influence across Asia. As a result, to counterbalancing China, but there
India-China relations are broadening, is no denying that India’s interests were
from the earlier limited border problem being advanced by its friendship with the
and Pakistan to a vast array of issues, U.S. India’s relations, for instance, would
especially those spanning the vast Indian not otherwise have seen such dramatic
Ocean and East Asian regions. It is improvement with Japan and many of
true that on the face of it their rivalry America’s close political allies. Hence,
is likely to intensify, but also, strongly it makes strategic sense for the U.S. and
underpinned by common interests, both India to join hands, especially because
will ensure that competition/rivalry will there is no clash of interest between
not degenerate into an open showdown. the two once the nuclear issue has been
Nonetheless, India-China relations removed from the equation. As the
will be a major defining feature of the Indian foreign minister stated, the India-
future of the East Asian security, in the U.S. bilateral and trilateral cooperation
same way as India-U.S., India-Japan and will aim at creating a ‘peaceful and stable
India-ASEAN are. Asia, Pacific and Indian Ocean region,
and the evolution of an open, balanced
India, U.S. and East Asia and inclusive architecture in the region.
We will continue to work together, and
The other significant dimension of with other countries, towards this goal
India’s relations with East Asia is the U.S. through various mechanisms, such as our
Driven by commonality of interests and bilateral dialogue, the regional forums
shared concerns, India and the U.S. have and our trilateral dialogue with Japan’.9
begun to cooperate closely in managing The rapidly strengthening India-U.S.
regional security. For the first time, India cooperation in East Asia has to be seen
and the U.S. have become significant in the context of the relative decline of
players in East Asia and, importantly, have the U.S. with the rise of Asian powers,
more commonalities than differences. and recognition that India is a significant
Fascinatingly, well before India realised factor in the emerging regional order. It
its potential, it was the U.S., especially is important to note that Washington
the George W. Bush Administration, has been recasting its overall strategy.
which time and time again referred to The erosion in its predominant
India as an ‘Asian’ (not merely a South position is warranting a major review of
Asian) power. Washington may have American strategy. Instead of exclusive

69
G. V. C. Naidu

dependence on bilateral alliances and current transition in East Asia is peaceful


forward deployment, Washington is so that economic prosperity of the region
increasingly trying to incorporate its is not disrupted; and finally, to achieve
strategic partners, and is also trying to the common objective of creating a
make use of regional multilateralism in genuine regional multipolarity, even if it
the management of regional economic is not to the liking of Beijing. To realise
and security order. Contrary to in the the above objectives, both seem to agree
past, when the U.S. strategy rested on on a two-fold strategy. Firstly, to take
the backbone of bilateral alliances and advantage of regional multilateralism
forward deployments, now the emphasis that meaningfully engages all great
is shifting from simple ‘allies’ to ‘allies powers of the region, especially China,
and friends’, whereby India figures and secondly, to adopt the well-known
prominently in the new strategy (along ‘hedging strategy’ for unforeseen
with other countries such as Vietnam, contingencies by constructing a viable
Indonesia, etc.). regional balance of power. To what
extent New Delhi will do Washington’s
bidding at the cost of its relations with
It makes strategic sense for the
Beijing is yet to be seen. New Delhi’s
U.S. and India to join hands, consternation, for instance, was obvious
especially because there is no when American Defense Secretary Leon
clash of interest between the two Panetta claimed during a visit to Delhi
once the nuclear issue has been that India was the linchpin of America’s
removed from the equation. ‘rebalancing strategy’ in East Asia, for
it might result in compromising the
‘strategic autonomy’ that it always
The cooperation spans both traditional
and non-traditional sectors- such as a cherished.
number of issues in maritime security, Consequently, the larger Indo-
terrorism, transnational crime and Pacific has emerged as the new strategic
natural disasters- emerging regional template,10 as has the American
balance of powers wherein three issues recognition of India’s key role in it.
are of mutual interest to India and the These two have launched two important
U.S. Firstly, to ensure that a rapidly initiatives aimed at East Asia: the India-
rising China will not get aggressively U.S. Dialogue on Asia-Pacific and
assertive either in settling the disputes, the U.S.-India-Japan Trilateral.11 By
or in adversely impacting on the interests all indications, India and the U.S. are
of others; secondly, to ensure that the likely to forge closer relations, develop

70
India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

common understanding and undertake major task, especially for large countries
some common initiatives in the coming requiring close cooperation.
years in close concert with Japan and a
few other Southeast Asian nations.
Despite growing economic in-
terdependence, security chal-
India and Emerging East
lenges are mounting, as recent
Asian Security Architecture events suggest.
The above discussion clearly
demonstrates the profound changes At the same time, much current
occurring in East Asia, in particular anxiety about regional security is born of
that its security is now in the midst of the fact that there is no classic balance
a fundamental shift. Despite growing of power. China continues to harbour
economic interdependence, security ambitions to emerge as a predominant
challenges are mounting, as recent events power in East Asia, whereas others want
suggest. China’s belligerent attitude and
a regional multipolarity. That is also
growing assertive actions with respect to
what India wants so that it can remain as
those of its territorial claims which are
one of the major players in the region in
disputed by others, predominantly in the
shaping its future economic and security
East and South China Seas, seem to have
triggered newer attempts to find ways order, where its stakes will continue to
to deal with China. The paranoid and grow enormously. Now that Washington
isolated North Korean regime continues has announced its ‘return to Asia’ policy
to be a security nightmare with its and a military ‘rebalancing’ strategy,
perseverance in stockpiling weapons of one can expect a realignment of forces.
mass destruction and ballistic missiles. China has interpreted them as attempts
The dangers posed by innumerable to contain it, and thus relations among
threats in the non-traditional security great powers will be a critical element in
domain in East Asia are clear and present. evolving regional security.
Southeast Asia is seen as the second front
in the fight against terrorism. East Asia Whither the role of regional
is most prone to natural disasters- the multilateralism is a pending question.
2004 tsunami and the 2011 Fukushima Can mechanisms meant to promote
earthquake, followed by a tsunami and economic cooperation become so vital
a nuclear accident, are best known- that countries will be forced not to
and hence, disaster management is a become aggressive and find peaceful

71
G. V. C. Naidu

ways to resolve disputes, moderate great their rapidly rising interests and stakes,
power rivalry, and ensure that clashes of the contest will intensify in the maritime
interests will not result in conflicts? In sphere. Russia is the other major power,
any case, the security related multilateral despite its drastically diminished role,
frameworks, such as the ARF and Six- that is striving to carve a niche role
Party Talks, have failed to make much through increased defence and energy
headway so far, as they are beset with links. Hence, the relations that govern
many problems. Hence, whether there them will be a principal determinant of
is a need to create a more credible regional economic and security order.
security framework is another issue to be
debated. As a result, India’s role in the
emerging balance of power in East Asia Given the slowdown in the
has become very significant. U.S. and the problems the EU
countries are facing, New Delhi
Conclusion has no option but to hitch its
economic wagon to the dynamic
Until the late 1990s, India was out of East Asian region.
East Asia’s radar; however, it is now an
indispensable part of it. Moreover, it is However, for the foreseeable future
increasingly seen to be a key player in the the spotlight will be firmly on China,
emerging regional security architecture. whose inexorable rise both as economic
For the first time in history, three and military power is unparalleled, and
regional powers- China, Japan and India- its assertive actions will be aimed at
are emerging almost simultaneously as continuously enlarging its strategic space.
major actors. Undoubtedly the U.S. is (In the coming years the same could
the dominant and influential power, become true of India.) The ramifications
but there are uncertainties over its status of this are visible in growing tensions
and ability to influence developments between China and Japan on the one
in a significant way. The recent ‘pivot to hand, and between China and the U.S.
Asia’ and reordering of its overseas force on the other. It will be a challenge for
deployments signify its vital interests, the rest of the region to ensure that
but it will have to take into account the current transition is peaceful and
the rise of China and the growing that China does not precipitate things.
aspirations of other major actors. Even Added to the above are Japan’s quest for
as China and India begin to exercise a greater security role, and India’s strong
their sea power commensurately with forays into East Asia. Consequently, a

72
India and East Asia: The Look East Policy

new security and economic architecture of the Look East policy. India is learning
is in the making. the art of applying military strength to
advance diplomatic goals in the region.
India has taken full advantage It has taken full advantage of the current
of the current political flux and political flux and security fluidity and its
security fluidity and its record record of non-intervention as a benign
of non-intervention as a benign power to position itself as a key player.
power to position itself as a key In fact, most of New Delhi’s Strategic
player. Partnership agreements are with East
Asian countries; in particular, the one
India has evolved a multi-pronged
with Japan is emerging as a key facet.
strategy under the rubric of the Look
Similarly, India’s security cooperation
East policy. It has created a variety of
institutional mechanisms both at the with Indonesia and Vietnam is also
multilateral and bilateral levels with strengthening. Rapidly increasingly
select countries to ensure that relations cooperation between India and the U.S.
remain strong. Although not comparable along with Japan in the management of
to China or Japan, its economic links are regional security is a crucial development
growing, with East Asia a critical region.
for the regional balance of power. As
Given the slowdown in the U.S. and the
far as China is concerned, one can
problems the EU countries are facing,
New Delhi has no option but to hitch see the presence of both competitive
its economic wagon to the dynamic and cooperative elements India-
East Asian region. That is reflected China relations; however, the bilateral
in the large number of free trade and relationship is more mature now and
comprehensive economic cooperation both seem to be conscious of the danger
agreements that it has entered into, and
of crossing the red lines. In the final
its enthusiastic support for the proposed
RCEP proposal, despite concerns about analysis, even as global affairs in the
its implications for its manufacturing coming years are going to be dominated
industry. by developments in East Asia, India’s
Perhaps India’s defense diplomacy relations with the region are poised
towards East Asia is a major, but less to progress rapidly as it becomes an
known, dimension of the successful story undeniable part of the region’s destiny.

73
G. V. C. Naidu

Endnotes
1 East Asia here includes India, Southeast Asia and Northeast Asia.
2 According to Kissinger, one of the three revolutions the world is witnessing is the “… shift
in the centre of gravity of international affairs from Atlantic to Pacific and Indian Oceans”,
see, Henry A. Kissinger, “The Three Revolutions”, Washington Post, 27 April 2008.
3 Jayant Menon, “How to Multilateralise Asian Regionalism”, East Asia Forum, at http://www.
eastasiaforum.org/2013/01/06/how-to-multilateralise-asian-regionalism/, [last visited 20
January 2013].
4 The eight being Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, South Korea and the
United States.
5 For details, see, G.V.C. Naidu, Indian Navy and Southeast Asia, New Delhi, IDSA and
Knowledge World, 2000.
6 India commemorated two decades of its dialogue partnership and a decade of summit
partnership with ASEAN by convening a summit meeting with the Association’s heads of
state in Delhi in December 2012.
7 Computed from Trade Data Bank of Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of
India.
8 “India-ASEAN Conclude Free Trade Agreement in Services, Investments”, Economic
Times, at http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-12-20/news/35933727_1_
commemorative-summit-services-and-investments-asean-today [last visited 22 December
2012].
9 http://www.mea.gov.in/mystart.php?id=100517854 [last visited 19 July 2011].
10 It was Prime Minister Shinzo Abe who, for the first time, talked about the growing interface
and interdependence of the Indian and Pacific Oceans: ‘We are now at a point at which the
Confluence of the Two Seas is coming into being. The Pacific and the Indian Oceans are now
bringing about a dynamic coupling as seas of freedom and of prosperity.’ PM Shinzo Abe’s
Address to the Indian Parliament, 22 August 2007.
11 The Trilateral was re-launched in 2011.

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