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Lecture 4 PDF
Lecture 4 PDF
ENGINEERING ECONOMICS
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering •Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
by
ENCE 202
Economic Analysis of
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Alternatives
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 2
1
ENCE 202
Economic Analysis of
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Alternatives
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
n Present-Worth Amount
– It is the difference between the equivalent
receipts and disbursements at the present.
– Assume Ft is a cash flow at time t, the
present worth (PW) is
n n
PW (i ) = ∑ Ft ( P / F , i, t ) = ∑ Ft (1 + i) −t
t =0 t =0
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 3
ENCE 202
Economic Analysis of
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Alternatives
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
n
i(1 + i) n
AE (i ) = PW (i)( A / P, i, n) = ∑ Ft (1 + i ) − t n
t= 0 (1 + i ) − 1
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 4
2
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 1
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 5
ENCE 202
Discounted Present Worth
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Definition:
The present worth is discounted at a predetermined rate of interest
called the minimum attractive rate of return (MARR or i*).
The MARR is usually equal to the current rate of interest for
borrowed capital plus an additional rate for such factors as risk,
uncertainty, and contingencies.
MARR = i* = i + i(risk)
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 6
3
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 2
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Dr. Assakkaf
Note: All alternatives involve equal lives. Slide No. 7
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 2 (continued)
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
7,200
0 4
B
NPWB = -2,250 - 2,250(P/A),15,3) = -$7,387
4
0
C NPWC = -750 - 2,700(P/A),15,4)+1,200(P/A),15,4) = -$7,772
750
4
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 3
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 3 (continued)
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
(a)
MARR = 12%
NACAT = 378,000 (A/P,12,5) = $104,861 / yr
NACMT = 494,000 (A/P,12,8) = $99,444 / yr
Choose Macho-Turf (Lower cost)
(b)
MARR = 20%
NACAT = 378,000 (A/P,20,5) = $126,396 / yr
NACMT = 494,000 (A/P,20,8) = $128,741 / yr
Choose Astro-Turf (Lower cost)
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 10
5
ENCE 202
What to do When Alternatives
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Involve Different Lives
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Approach 1.
Truncate (cut off) the longer-lived alternative(s) to equal the
shorter lived alternative and assume a salvage value for the
unused portion of the longer lived alternatives. Then make
the comparison on the basis of equal lives.
Approach 2.
Assume equal replacement conditions (costs and incomes)
for each alternative and compute the discounted present
worth on the basis of the least common multiple of lives for
all alternatives.
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 11
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 4
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
6
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Example 4 (continued)
Handout 9
Approach 1. (comparison on the basis of equal lives)
73,750 30,000
12,000 12,000 12,000 26,000 26,000
Old New 26,000
tractor tractor
0 3 0 3
24,680 73,570
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Example 4 (continued)
Handout 9
Approach 2. (comparison on the basis of equal replacement conditions)
73,570
24,680 24,680
7
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Rate of Return (ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Definition:
The rate of return of a proposed investment is that interest
rate which makes the discounted present worth of the
investment equal to zero.
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 15
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 5
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
8
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Example 5 (continued)
Handout 9
Approach 1. (comparison on the basis of equal lives)
P
24,680 NPWold = − 24,680 + 12,000 , i,3 = 0
A
P 24,680 (1 + i ) − 1 3
, i,3 = = 2.05667 =
i(1 + i )
3
A 12,000
iold = 21.5%
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 17
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Example 5 (continued)
Handout 9 Iterative Solution
P
NPW new = − 73,570 + 26,000 , i, 6 = 0
A
P 73,570 (1 + i ) − 1 6
(1 + i )6 − 1
, i ,6 = = 2.82962 = ⇒ inew =
i(1 + i ) 2.82962(1 + i )
6 6
A 26,000
P
NPW new = − 24,680 + 12,000 , i,3 = 0
A
P 24,680 (1 + i ) − 1 3
(1 + i )3 − 1
, i ,6 = = 2.05667 = ⇒ iold =
i (1 + i ) 2.05667(1 + i )
3 3
A 12,000
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 18
9
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Example 5 (continued)
Handout 9 Iterative Solution
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Example 5 (continued)
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
n If MARR is 20%
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 20
10
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Rate of Return (ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
iold = 21.5%
inew = 18.9%
Before the decision can be reached
YOU MUST KNOW YOUR MARR.
• If MARR = 20% and 3 year analysis period, we choose old tractor.
• If MARR = 30%, we choose neither tractor - do nothing alternative.
• If the MARR was 15%, which alternative should we select then?
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 21
ENCE 202
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
Rate of Return (ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Shouldn't the alternative with the higher rate of return would yield
the higher NPW regardless of the assumed interest rate?
NO IT SHOULD NOT!
The initial investments in the tractor examples we used are not theDr. Assakkaf
same. Slide No. 22
11
ENCE 202
Incremental Rate of Return
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
(ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 23
ENCE 202
Incremental Rate of Return
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
(ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
8,000
26,000 26,000 26,000 26,000 26,000
26,000
New
tractor 0
6
73,570
24,680 24,680
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 24
12
ENCE 202
Incremental Rate of Return
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
(ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
i = 30.9%
24,680
8,000
14,000
0 6
48,890
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 25
ENCE 202
Incremental Rate of Return
Eng. Econ
Handout 9
(ROR) Analysis
• A. J. Clark School of Engineering • Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
n While the initial investment of $24,680 for the old tractor will yield a
ROR of 21.5%, the incremental increase in initial investment of
$48,890 (by purchasing the new tractor) will yield an IROR of
30.9%.
n Now that all the rates of return are known, a decision can be
reached which is dependent on the MARR.
– For a MARR of 20% the ROR of the new tractor is too low, and
therefore the old tractor is chosen.
– For a MARR of 15% both alternatives exceed it and we have to examine
the IROR.
– In this case the IROR is higher than the MARR, so we should choose
the new tractor.
Dr. Assakkaf
Slide No. 26
13