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Kunyu (Quinn) He CAPP’20

Direct Proof and Proof by Contradiction in Probability

TA Kunyu (Quinn) He
Harris School of Public Policy
CAPP’20

Direct proof is a way of showing the truth or falsehood of a given statement by a


straightforward combination of established facts, without making further assumptions.
(Direct proof. In Wikipedia. Retrieved Oct. 4, 2018, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_proof)

Proof by contradiction is a form of proof. It starts by assuming that the opposite


proposition is true, and then shows that such an assumption leads to a contradiction.
(Proof by contradiction. In Wikipedia. Retrieved Oct. 4, 2018, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof_by_contradiction)

To prove P (√2 is irrational):


1. Assume that P is false;

2. Then, ¬P is true (√2 is rational);

3. If we can derive P from ¬P; or…


If ¬P implies two mutually contradictory assertions, Q (greatest common
divisor of a and b is 1) and ¬Q (greatest common divisor of a and b ≥ 2);

𝑏
(√2 = 𝑎, when the greatest common divisor of a and b is 1;

𝑏2
then 𝑎2
= 2, or 𝑏 2 = 2𝑎2 ,

𝑏 2 must be even, and 𝑏 in turn must be even;


let 𝑏 = 2𝑐, then 𝑎2 = 2𝑐 2 ,
𝑎2 must be even, and 𝑎 in turn must be even;
if both a and b are even, there least common divisor is 2, which is not 1)

4. Since P and ¬P (or Q and ¬Q) cannot both be true, the assumption we made
in step 1 that ‘P is false’ is false, which in turn proves that P must be true.

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Kunyu (Quinn) He CAPP’20

Example:

1. To prove P(∅) = 0 with direct proof:


Let S denotes the sample space, S ∪ ∅ = S, then P(S ∪ ∅) = P(S) = 1;
S ∩ ∅ = ∅, for the disjoint sequence of events S and ∅:
P(S ∪ ∅) = P(S) + 𝑃(∅)
which is:
1 = 1 + 𝑃(∅)
then P(∅) = 0.

2. To prove P(∅) = 0 with proof by contradiction:


Assume that P(∅) = 0 is false, then P(∅) ≠ 0 is true;
Let S denotes the sample space, S ∪ ∅ = S, then P(S ∪ ∅) = P(S) = 1;
S ∩ ∅ = ∅, for the disjoint sequence of events S and ∅:
P(S ∪ ∅) = P(S) + 𝑃(∅)
which is:
1 = 1 + 𝑃(∅), where P(∅) ≠ 0
which is false;
then our assumption that ‘P(∅) = 0 is false’ is false, P(∅) = 0 must be true.

3. To prove P(A𝑐 ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) through direct proof:


Let S denotes the sample space, A ∪ A𝑐 = S, then P(A ∪ A𝑐 ) = 𝑃(𝑆) = 1;
on the other hand, we also know that A ∩ A𝑐 = ∅, then P(A ∪ A𝑐 ) = P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 );
which means:
P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1,
which is exactly:
𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1 − P(A)

4. To prove P(A𝑐 ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) through proof by contradiction:


Assume that 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1 − P(A) is false, then P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) ≠ 1 is true;
we know that A ∩ A𝑐 = ∅, then P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = P(A ∪ A𝑐 );
we also know that A ∪ A𝑐 = S, then P(A ∪ A𝑐 ) = 𝑃(𝑆) = 1,
which means:
P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1
we derive P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1 from P(A) + 𝑃(A𝑐 ) ≠ 1 , our assumption that ‘𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1 −
P(A) is false’ is false, 𝑃(A𝑐 ) = 1 − P(A) must be true

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