Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(Water Demand)
Q.1 Estimate the water requirement for the following communities
Dsgn.pop Per capita Average Max. daily Peak Chx for fire Fire demand Dsn flow
ulation demand water dema hourly demand (m3/d) (water
(lpcd) demand (m3/d) demand distributi
(m3/d) nd (m3/d) on
system)
Design Per Average Max. Peak Chx for fire Max Max
population capita water daily hourly demand daily+ daily+
demand demand demand demand Fire Fire
(lpcd) (m3/d) (m3/d) (m3/d) demand deman
(m3/d) d
ordinary (m3/d)
wood
Averages -
Problem: Predict the population for the years 1981,
1991, 1994, and 2001 from the following census
figures of a town by different methods.
Year Population: Arithmatic geometric Increment per
(thousands) Increment per year year
1901 60 - -
1911 65 0.5 0.008004
1921 63 -0.2 -0.00313
1931 72 0.9 0.013353
1941 79 0.7 0.009278
1951 89 1 0.011919
1961 97 0.8 0.008607
1971 120 2.3 0.021278
Averages 0.857143 0.009902
-
Solution problem 1
For arithmetic growth method : Pf = PO + K(tf-to)
Average increases per year =K = 0.857
Population for the years,
1981= population 1971 + K(tf-to) = 120 + 8.57 = 128.57
For geometric growth method : Pf = POe Kn; Where n=(tf-to)
Average increases per year =K = 0.0099
Population for the years,
1981= Population 1971 x e Kn = 120 x e Kn =132.5 (n = 10)
Pf
(arithmet Pf
year PO tf-to Kar ic) Kgeo (Geometric)
1981 120 10 0.857 129 0.0099 132.491
1991 120 20 0.857 137 0.0099 146.282
2001 120 30 0.857 146 0.0099 161.508
1994 120 23 0.857 140 0.0099 150.692
Numerical 5
(Population forecasting)
• A city had a population of 210000 in 1991 and
240000 in 2001.If the city is assumed to follow
arithmetic rate of growth find the population
of the city in 2018
• Present (2009) population of city is 1350000
and it is expected to grow at a uniform rate of
3% per annum. Find its population in 2033
Numerical 6
Population Forecasting
A B
Year Populatio Average Geometr Year Population Average Geometr
n Increme ic Increme ic
nt /yr Increme nt /yr Increme
nt /yr nt /yr
1970 30000 1950 8000
1980 40000 1960 8990
1990 62000 1970 11300
2000 67000 1980 14600
Avg 1990 18400
Avg