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TECHNOLOGY
REPORT SUBMITTED TO
PAF-KARACHI INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICS & TECHNOLOGY
In the fulfillment of the degree requirement of
Bachelor of Accounting & Finance
DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCES
THESIS APPROVAL
The board of studies at PAF-KIET has approved this Thesis, submitted in partial fulfillment of the
requirement for the Degree of Bachelors in Sciences of Accounting and Finance.
Approval
____________________ ____________________
Jalal Ahmed Khan Adnan Anwar
(Supervisor and Program Manager) (Director Management Science)
I have chosen to do a comparative study on Ferozsons Labs Limited with the pharmaceutical sector. I
have chosen this topic to study and analyze the financial reports and performance which has been
assessed through studying various sector trends and information available at Pakistan Stock Exchange.
During this research, I have analyzed five public listed companies at Pakistan Stock Exchange from
pharmaceutical sector and attempted to study their business cycle as well as their business trend. All
the companies chosen have reported high turnover and considered leaders within the sector.
I would like to express my gratitude as this research endeavor has been an edifying experience for me.
I appreciate the support you have given throughout my efforts. I have tried my best to provide all the
relevant information, and would be pleased to answer any of your queries.
Regards,
Mr. Jalal Ahmed Khan (Supervisor for Final Year Project), as the requirement of the Final Year Project
authorized this report submission on “Financial Analysis of FEROZSONS LABS LIMITED with
PHARMACEUTICAL SECTOR of Pakistan”
For preparing a detailed report on this topic, I thank all those who have provided me with their
valuable assistance so that I have taken the responsibility to complete the report in the assigned time.
Regards,
Praise be to the almighty who was the only source of strength throughout this endeavor. Also, our
instructor Sir Jalal Ahmed Khan supervision, constant support and professional guidance made this
effort worthwhile and an enlightening experience.
Regards,
Ferozsons Labs Limited has been compared with the pharmaceutical sector of Pakistan.
Financial data of five listed companies has been considered for this project and these
Six-year horizontal analysis has been carried out for the company and industry.
Six-year vertical analysis has been carried out for the company and industry.
Six-year ratio analysis has been carried out for the company and industry.
Comparative ratio analysis has also been carried out between Ferozsons Labs and
pharmaceutical sector.
Porter Analysis and SWOT Analysis have been undertaken to study the underlying factors
Risk factor has been analyzed to arrive at the cost of equity of Ferozsons Labs Limited.
Beta computation for Ferozsons Labs Limited has also been done
Conclusively, suggestions and recommendations have been made for potential investors
Sector: PHARMACEUTICAL
Status: OPERATIONAL
Type: PUBLIC LISTED COMPANY
Product: TABLETS, CAPSULES, SYRUPS, SUSPENSIONS & OINTMENTS
COMPETITORS
This comprehensive financial analysis of the Pakistani pharmaceutical industry contextualizes the
sector wise performance by comparing Ferozsons Laboratories Ltd with certain listed competitors.
These include, Abbott, GSK, Searle, Highnoon and Sanofi – Aventis. Their average has been taken as
a performance measure for the industry at large. The comparison shows that the sector is highly
competitive with strong fundamentals, these companies have established efficient internal controls and
harnessed modern technologies which helped them to make significant strides. The sector distinguishes
itself by lower finance costs which results in profitability. Pakistan serves major share of its
pharmaceutical industry through imports. The recent import data is as follows:
(Source: tradingeconomics.com)
The main focus of this report is the financial performance of Ferozsons relative to the sector. In course
of achieving this task, macroeconomic factors such as GDP, PEST analysis and other relevant financial
data has been presented. To further put things into perspective global and domestic pharmaceutical
sector was examined for the past six years (2012 – 2017).
Various financial metrics have been used to study Ferozsons Labs. The same measurements were used
to ascertain industry performances to make the framework consistent and comparative. All of this
analysis is presented in Pakistan Rupee (PKR). For Ferozsons, company structure and history has also
been illustrated. CAPM was utilized to arrive at Beta, which indicates that the stock of Ferozsons is
stable relative to the market. An attractive investment for the risk averse.
Conclusively, recommendations have been made for the prospective investors about what future holds
for the stock of Ferozsons Labs based on the six-year financial summary.
The Pakistani pharmaceutical industry is dominated by multinational giants. However, apart from
companies like Abbott, GSK, Searle and Sanofi, local pharmaceutical initiatives have made strides with
comparatively limited technological expertise and resources. This has been achieved by strategic
partnerships around the globe and internal expertise. Among the listed companies, Ferozsons’
dominates 1.1% of the market. Given the size of the industry, this seemingly insignificant figure is quite
substantial. A slump in market price could be linked with attrition in profits relative to last year.
Ferozsons, nevertheless, posted strong fundamentals which should keep the investors’ optimistic.
EPS
80.00 69.72
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
24.80
30.00
20.00 13.53 13.54 13.83 13.04
10.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Introduction of new product in the HCV segment caused the rise in the EPS. The erosion in profits in
2017 resulted in the reduction of EPS. For prospective investors, a trend of growth is on the horizon.
Formula:
KE = RF + RM - RF)
Re - arranged formula:
= K E - RF
(RM - RF)
= (17.82 - 10.60)
(21.38 - 10.60)
= 7.22%
10.78%
A GLOBAL
PERSEPECTIVE
The history of pharmaceutical industry, like history of anything else, is closely related to our
own history. There is credible and significant historical evidence which tell us that medicine
making goes as far back as 7000 BC. Every civilization, from ancient Greece to China
developed some sort of medicinal science. Great strides were made in the field in the Islamic
Golden Age, when great Muslim scientists brought their ideas to the fore. With the dawn of the
age of enlightenment in Europe and consequently with the advent of rational and scientific
thought, the field of medicine also developed rapidly. The pharmaceutical giant Merck is
considered to be the first formalized setup to start manufacturing of drugs at an industrial scale.
The next to follow was SmithKline Beecham and Glaxo Wellcome (later merged as
GlaxoSmithKline). In the nascent days of pharmaceutical industry, the demarcation between
chemical and medicine making wasn’t clear, the first dedicated production facility was setup
in the year 1859. Meanwhile, Pfizer took its first steps in the 1849 in the USA. The company
expanded at an exponential rate during the American Civil War. Pfizer is also credited with the
establishment of R&D as a function to support the business. The watershed moment for the
industry arrived with the discoveries of Insulin and Penicillin. Insulin’s explosion in the market
solidified the position of major pharmaceutical companies in the market, as this is the only
remedy to a diabetes which before the discovery of Insulin always resulted in a fatality.
Alexander Fleming’s discovery of Penicillin also ushered in a new era. Almost every major
player in the pharmaceutical industry took part in the industrial development of Penicillin.
Considered by many to be the greatest ever discovery in the field of medicine. By this time,
governments established regulatory authorities to protect the consumer and also to set standards
for the industry. To make the competition beneficial for all, protection through patents also
became an industry wide practice. The drug regulatory authorities also started regulating prices
to ensure that exploitative practices do not occur in the market. As the concept of welfare states
took roots, government bodies like NHS became a conduit between the end-user and the
manufacturer. The system of prescription also became more systematic. On the contrary the
American pharma benefited from a more open market. The leaders of the industry started to
invest heavily in research and development which resulted in the expansion and diversification
of their product portfolios. An idea about the size of current pharmaceutical industry can be
formed by the fact that it led the net profit margins by almost 30% globally. As of 2017, the
It would not be an exaggeration if one claims that the research and development in the field of
pharmacy has impacted the human life in an unparalleled way. Prior to the advent of discovery
and systematic production of medicines the life expectancy of the entire planet on average was
low. In the absence of affordable drugs, even minor ailments like flu proved to be fatal.
Presently, the sector derives its strength by leveraging technology to achieve the organizational
goals and delivery of services. Analysts note that the global pharmaceutical sector will grow
by one and half trillion dollars in three to five years.
Modern Trends
The contemporary pharmaceutical industry is impacted by several factors, some of them are
detailed below:
The population has exploded in recent years putting immense pressures on healthcare
spending
Contraction in recovering economies have stagnated growth in the sector
The demand in underdeveloped economies rather than developed ones resulting in
diminished return on investment
Emergence of generics undercutting profits
Increased oversight from regulators.
Risks
Modern pharmaceutical industry faces the following risks:
The biggest risk in this sector is not getting a desired return after spending heavily on
R&D.
Another significant risk is associated with compliance. Malpractice of one player can
taint the whole industry and dent the investor’s confidence.
Tax regimes in certain regions also have an adverse effect on the performance.
Incidence of counterfeit drugs in the market specifically impact smaller players in the
industry as big pharma has developed strategies to insulate itself.
As mentioned above, the shrinkage in healthcare budgets has significantly damaged
revenues.
The costs associated with the production of medicines are increasing year on year
Some companies have opted for specialization in research hence manufacturing is
usually outsourced to the acquired entity
Expiration of patents and incurrence of other charges often drives mergers and
acquisition within the sector
Prospects
The outlook of the industry looks stable and the margin of growth financially and otherwise
should be encouraging for investors:
SALES REPRESENTATIVES
MARKET THE DRUGS TO
DOCTORS
As evidenced above the entire process takes considerable time and resources. Each phase in
the process incurs as much as a billion dollars. A study estimates that even after this exhaustive
effort, the chances of getting a desired return on investment is one out of three.
To further consolidate the argument, the pharmaceutical sector has registered nearly ten
thousand patents with World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO). No other industry
boasts similar huge figures in terms of R&D and patent registration.
80
60
40
20
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(Source: Evaluate Pharma (2017) World Preview 2017, Outlook to 2022. London: Evaluate Ltd., p 27.
http://info.evaluategroup.com/rs/607-YGS-364/images/wp16.pdf)
Most of the economies worldwide were in a recovery phase post 2008 bust, however, the above
figure illustrates that the pharmaceutical sector was impervious to these economic contractions
and year on year increment in R&D spending continued.
To further elucidate this point and to make a sense of it all, let us see the R&D spending of
pharmaceutical sector relative to other sectors:
General Industries
Chemicals
Tech (Hardware)
As a percentage of sale pharmaceutical industry has the biggest expenditure in the world.
Following are the top ten firms and their R&D expenditure in relation to their sales in 2017.
(Source: EvaluatePharma)
As far as employment is concerned, the sector played central role in under developed and
developed economies alike. There are about 5.5 million people currently employed in the
sector. A number expected to rise in future. A positive aspect of employment in the sector is
that it is limited to developed regions like Europe or US. The jobs are spread throughout the
globe and result in creation of more jobs in economies which are in building phases.
The following statistics refer to the number of people employed in the sector globally.
As evidenced from the above table, the gross value addition has followed an increasing trend
and will continue to rise in future. Taking the sector and the global economy forward.
Current Ratio
The industry current ratio rests an average of 3.61. It signifies that the companies in the sector
can cover their short-term liabilities without constraining the working capital.
CURRENT RATIO
6.00
4.72
5.00
4.00 3.62
3.41 3.31
3.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The industry wide gross profit margins were reported upwards of 70% on average in these five
years, indicating that standardized processes and efficiencies. A healthy gross profit margin
helps in the coverage of ever rising costs of operations.
71.00
70.19 70.26
70.00
69.02
68.81
69.00
68.00
67.00
66.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Although gross profit has been substantially higher. A negative trend in operating profits can
be observed. This is due to rise in operational costs and exchange rate snags that multinationals
often face.
15.00
10.00
5.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
An upward trend in the net profit margin symbolized industry’s tenacity even in most adverse
macroeconomic exertions. The rising costs of operations has undercut the profits but the
companies have been able to post healthy net profit margins. Industry has an average net profit
margin of 20%.
24.10
25.00
21.63
20.42
20.00 17.81 17.65
15.00
10.00
5.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The industry return on assets almost follows a flat trend. Companies in the sector generate
substantial returns for the reasons described previously (efficiency et al). As a sector focused
on manufacturing and with considerable assets, the figures reported signify impressive
performance in these five years. ROA is expected to improve as the revenues are also forecasted
to soar in the near future.
RETURN ON ASSETS
16.00
13.30
14.00 12.70
12.10
12.00 11.20
10.70
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The declining return on equity correlates to the shrinkage in revenues and subsequently, the
net income. Ideally the return on equity should increase year on year, but as noted elsewhere,
major pharmaceutical companies are suffering from factors such as patent cliffs and exchange
rate uncertainties, to name a few. However, it is forecasted that this trend of retardation will
reverse in coming years.
RETURN ON EQUITY
35.00
30.00
25.90
24.10
25.00
18.80
20.00
15.00 13.30
11.02
10.00
5.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Apart from increased cash generation in 2013, the reported cash in successive years remained
relatively stable. The other balance sheet fundamentals also do no manifest abrupt changes in
these five years, except long term debt which jumped to $ 22 billion. Another important thing
to note that is total liabilities have almost achieved parity with shareholders’ equity, indicating
high level of gearing.
Sales on average have remained at $70 billion mark. The cost of goods sold reported is an
evidence of supply chain efficiencies, as year on year no uneven spikes can be seen. Majority
of gross profit is being translated into operating profit, which in turn gives us a bottom line
following an upwards trend.
Founded in 1891, Merck is an American pharmaceutical giant. Similar to J&J, Merck is also a
Fortune 500 company. Merck has been leading the market with its largest diabetes drug
(Januvia). Its assets currently have a valuation of about $82 billion. Following table illustrates
the five-year performance:
MERCK & CO
(USD Billion) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cash 13.45 15.62 7.44 8.52 6.52
Accounts Receivable 7.67 7.18 6.63 6.48 7.02
Inventories 6.54 6.23 5.57 4.70 4.87
Total Current Assets 34.86 35.69 33.17 29.76 30.61
PP&E 16.03 14.97 13.14 12.51 12.03
Other Assets 6.72 9.12 5.13 6.14 5.85
Total Assets 106.13 105.65 98.34 101.78 95.38
Accounts Payable 1.75 2.27 2.63 2.53 2.81
Total Current
18.35 17.87 18.77 19.20 17.20
Liabilities
Long Term Debt 16.25 20.54 18.70 23.93 24.27
Total Liabilities 53.11 55.88 49.69 57.10 55.29
Shareholder Equity 53.02 49.77 48.65 44.68 40.09
Total Liabilities & 106.13 105.65 98.34 101.78 95.38
Shareholders’ Equity
Cash and cash equivalents have diminished year on year, with accounts receivable remaining
relatively consistent. This corresponds with the reduction in the net income. The accounts
payable on average have remained at two and half billion. A significant decrease in total assets
can be observed as well.
MERCK & CO
(USD Billion) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 47.27 44.03 42.24 39.50 39.81
COGS 16.45 16.95 16.77 14.93 13.89
Gross Profit 30.82 27.08 25.47 25.56 25.92
Operating
21.61 21.12 19.80 17.64 20.54
Expenses
Operating Profit 9.21 5.96 5.67 6.93 5.38
Interest Expense 0.48 0.54 0.47 0.38 0.37
Net Income 6.17 4.40 11.92 4.44 3.92
Pfizer
An almost 200-year-old company, Pfizer have made significant inroads in the sector since their
inception. It is listed NYSE and also among the top 100 in Fortune 500. Total assets valuation
is about $160 billion with strategic mergers with companies like GSK and Allergen. Table
shows Pfizer’s performance:
PFIZER
(USD Billion) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cash 10.39 2.18 3.34 3.64 2.60
Accounts Receivable 12.38 9.36 8.67 8.18 8.23
Inventories 7.06 6.17 5.66 7.51 6.78
Total Current Assets 61.42 56.24 57.70 43.80 38.95
PP&E 14.46 12.40 11.76 13.77 13.32
Other Assets 5.09 5.15 5.06 5.29 5.14
Total Assets 185.80 172.10 169.27 167.46 171.62
Accounts Payable 4.26 3.23 3.44 3.62 4.54
Total Current
Liabilities 28.62 23.37 21.63 29.40 31.12
Long Term Debt 31.04 30.46 31.54 28.82 31.40
Total Liabilities 104.54 95.79 97.97 102.74 112.07
Shareholder Equity 81.26 76.31 71.30 64.72 59.54
Total Liabilities & 185.80 172.10 169.27 167.46 171.62
Shareholders’ Equity
Most noticeable aspect of Pfizer’s balance sheet is the high amount of gearing in the capital
structure. The total liabilities amount to almost double of shareholders’ equity. The total assets
have also diminished year on year. It has been reported that Pfizer raised $8 billion through
debt which expires in 2019. The company may return to a more stable position in near future.
On average the revenues have stayed above $50 billion mark. Company reported exchange rate
complications as main reason of income attrition. During these years massive funds were also
tied to the promotion effort of its new Arthritis drug. Market factors have also contributed to
lesser revenues.
Observers have noted that presently the pharmaceutical sector is in its maturity. Globally, and
as also mentioned previously, the sector is a major contributor in the economies. From
introducing new manufacturing techniques to provision of employment, the pharmaceutical
sector has been one of the leaders.
The costs associated with R&D and operations are on the rise. Markets are also being flooded
with generics which ultimately undercut the revenues for major players.
The Catalysts:
Even though the global economies have recently recovered from recessions and phases of
stagnant growth, improvement in living standards have risen sharply in countries such as China
and India. Population is also on a growing trend. These factors are positive for the
pharmaceutical sector as a whole new market is under development.
FEROZSONS LABORATORIES LIMITED 26
If one analyzes the developed economies, the federal subsidies and health insurance are two
chief contributing factors in growth of the factor.
Other than these two factors, there are certain externalities against which it is sometimes
extremely difficult for companies to insulate themselves. These factors will be analyzed
separately.
Political
With wealth disparity on the rise, the populist clamor has forced governments around the globe
to levy heavy taxes on large scale manufacturing. Pharmaceutical sector is expected to take full
brunt of this shifting political landscape. For instance, American politician and former
Democratic Party candidate for presidential nomination, Bernie Sanders has often criticized
the lack of regulation for the pharmaceutical sector. In 2017, the US government imposed $85
billion in taxes which caused reductions in earnings. In countries like Pakistan, government-
imposed pricing undercuts revenues. In Europe too, the sector is under immense pressure to
comply with regulations motivated mostly by political expedience rather than logical market
compulsions. The Brexit has also affected the NHS in England, the healthcare is suffering from
staff shortage, budget cuts and closures. It is also forecasted by industry analysts that if Brexit
happens without a deal, the supply will adversely affect consumers and companies alike. R&D
is another are where Brexit would prove to be a destabilizing factor. The financial analysts also
project that a falling value of sterling post Brexit would bring stagnation within the sector.
However, not all is doom and gloom for the sector as manufacturing efficiencies and
innovations can cancel out the retarding trends the sector is likely to face in the long run.
Economic
Where globalization has opened up avenues of unprecedented growth, it has also been a cause
of cut throat competition between the multinationals. The emerging economies such as Brazil
and India have contributed greatly to this sector in the form of low manufacturing costs,
specifically low labor costs because of their massive populations. These factors will soon break
the hegemony of established pharmaceutical powerhouses based in Europe and the USA. In
developed economies, however, there is an upsurge in aging population.
There is also a specter of another recession on the horizon which would result in loss of buying
power throughout the globe. As mentioned, several times, the growth of big multinational
pharmaceutical companies has been diminished by flooding of generics and myriad other
Sociocultural
Countries like Japan, China, Denmark and USA among others have highest percentages senior
citizens. United Nations project that population is expect to age in other regions as well. This
would result in increased demand. Another challenge that pharmaceutical companies could
face in near future would be the marketing of expensive medicines as more and more
consumers get savvy and aware. A demand for more transparency should also be anticipated.
New campaigns would have to be initiated as the trust in large corporates are at an all-time
low.
The onus will shift to the pharmaceutical companies to gather more market data in order to
identify the market requirements and consumer behavior.
Legal
The sector across the world is under regulatory microscope. Increased regulatory oversight and
inconsistency of legislation impedes the overall functioning of the sector. In the US, the trump
administration has lobbied hard to annul the Affordable Care Act or Obamacare. This would
result in lower revenues as millions would be affected.
Environmental
Biggest players in the sector may suffer from revenue in stagnation in the future. In the past
the big pharmaceutical companies based their business models on the success of blockbuster
drugs. The sector, however, has evolved. Blockbuster drugs come with baggage like patent
cliffs and regulatory difficulties. As noted elsewhere, major companies have employed mergers
and acquisition to assuage this problem. Hence, in order to retain markets and competitive
advantage across continents, pharmaceutical companies will have to diversify and, in most
cases, acquire the generic manufacturer.
This is a framework which examines the nature of competition within a sector. This tool helps
the organization to set targets relative to its competitors and analyze its own position relative
to the competitors.
Rivalry
More than 50% of the market is owned by 5 largest pharmaceutical companies in terms of
revenue. This dominance is mostly due to the prevalent merger and acquisition strategy
employed by the biggest players in the industry. Unlike other industries, the fall in price does
not necessarily result in bigger market shares. A new product in the market would also not
always be the reason of obsolescence of a market leader drug.
There is little wriggle room for the prospective buyer. The seller intends to be compensated for
huge research and development costs hence the pricing. In some cases, regulatory authorities
dictate a price cap to insulate the customer. In developed economies, insurance covers the cost
of expensive medicines.
Expanding from the above scenario, the bargaining power of the buyer is very low. In some
cases, there is none. Consumers have no choice but to buy the drugs at given prices. If the drug
in question is lifesaving, there is no way around the pricing and the buyer has to pay the asked
price.
Barriers to entry
The barrier for entry in the pharmaceutical is high. There is a substantial amount to be tied in
the research and development costs. The new entrant would also have to comply with stringent
regulatory requirements. Sector also has huge intellectual barriers, as any nascent venture
would have to invest substantial amount of capital in personnel with knowledge specific to the
sector.
The largest pharmaceutical sector distinguishes itself by resources invested in research and
development. Patent cliffs often result in revenue attrition and loss of business to the generic
manufacturer. This way generics often substitutes the branded drugs. Hence threat of substitute
is considerable in the competitive environment of the sector.
The Pakistani pharmaceutical sector can be considered one of the most vital components of Pakistan’s
economy. Major share of activity comes from this industry. It is, however, in a phase of development.
The main avenue of opportunity for the sector is the burgeoning population of the country which would
ultimately become its consumer base. Pharmaceutical sector also employs thousands of citizens across
the country.
Some relevant stats and environmental data of the Pakistani pharmaceutical sector:
Unlike the industry elsewhere, the Pakistani pharmaceutical sector has easy entry barriers, although the
regulatory oversight can be considered stringent. The reason for lower entry barriers is that local
manufacturers focus primarily on generics which doesn’t really require similar capital as the companies
involved in R&D. One of the major disadvantages of this approach is the exposure to the risk of currency
depreciation. The devaluation of rupee could impede operations of a generic major as the active
pharmaceutical ingredient (API) is usually imported. More than 90% of API is imported in the sector,
the rest in synthesized locally. Regulatory oversight comes from the Drug Regulatory Authority of
Pakistan (DRAP). The DRAP plays the role of a referee in matters of patents, sets the price ceiling and
quality standards for the protection of competition and consumers alike. To further elucidate the
composition of the sector, the following table exhibits the top 10 companies with highest market share.
The market consists of several other entities as mentioned previously, which shows the lack of
consolidation in the sector. The Pakistani pharmaceutical sector is diametrically opposite to the global
sector given the dearth of mergers of acquisitions.
It has been reported that MNCs have exited the local market because of regulatory hindrances like price
controls. In some cases, the discouraging factor has been the failure to protect the intellectual property.
It can be hypothesized that this might be the reason behind import bill of APIs.
Custom duties, price caps, taxes and transfer pricing are some factors which usually effect the business
operations of the sector at large
Most of the pharmaceutical business is concentrated in private entities. The listed sector of the industry
is dominated by multinationals, with local companies also increasingly going for the IPOs. Top 10 listed
companies by market share are represented in the following table:
Listed companies in the sector report high liquidity, low burden of debt and impressive revenues in a
difficult macroeconomic outlook. Later in this report, it has been highlighted the extent of expansion
in terms of manufacturing capabilities, these companies have planned.
Rupee Devaluation
The larger percentage of the sector deals in products based on imported APIs. Rupee devaluation
increases the cost of doing business, resulting in increasing prices and hence loss of business.
Companies in the sector insulate themselves from such a predicament by having multiple suppliers and
other hedging methods.
Price Caps
Fragile economic condition of the country forces the government into populist policies. Pharmaceutical
sector in particular faces the brunt of such policies. DRAP often imposes price ceilings and freezes.
Regulations
Prolonged periods of delays in getting permits for new drugs undercut the overall growth and stagnates
the revenue projections.
Market Risk
The debt burden on national economy is rising, a major issue which pegs down growth in every sector.
Pharmaceutical companies also get exposed to illegal, counterfeit and substandard medicines due to
weak regulatory controls. The interest rate instabilities for financial instruments held by the companies
also poses a major financial risk.
We will now look at financial performance of each competitor throughout the six years (2012
– 2017). Following are the competitors against whom the financial health and performance of
Ferozsons Laboratories will be benchmarked further in this report:
Return on Asset
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Highnoon labs show a growing trend for the six years in question, but it should be noted that
their total assets carry relatively low value compared to the market leaders like Abbott, GSK
and Sanofi Aventis. Years 2013 and 2014 were recovery periods for national economy hence
lower values of return on assets are natural. Abbott reports a consistent return throughout the
six years underlining their operational stability and maintenance of strong sales despite tough
competition and unfavorable macroeconomic environment. Searle Pakistan recorded
diminishing returns on asset through years 2012 – 2015, but resurgence can be seen in
subsequent years.
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Here too Abbott exhibits a consistent movement from 2012 – 2017 relative to competitors.
GSK’s figures throughout these years are lowest. Balance sheet shows that GSK opted for
substantial debt financing which resulted in the contraction of ROCE. It can be said the Abbott
and Sanofi have contributed to the rising industry average of ROCE. with Highnoon Labs have
also been instrumental in raising industry profile in the eyes of investors. Since, this ratio also
gauges the efficiency of a company with regards to utilizations of capital. It is fair to say that
with exception of some time periods the overall performance of the competitors can be deemed
satisfactory.
Return on Equity
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Global industrial average of return on equity as of January 2018 was 14.49%. Using this as our
benchmark the ratios reported by Pakistani pharmaceutical companies are remarkable. An
inconsistent growth can be seen in early years however the trend reverses and the industry
improve its returns on equity in 2016 and 2017. Highnoon labs return on equity has increased
despite unconducive economic circumstances. Abbott maintains steady growth with minor falls
but recovers in succeeding years.
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The average gross profit margin of Searle and Highnoon have consistently outperformed other
industry players. Searle saw an overall growth of 25.61%, this growth was result of increasing
coverage and maturity of the product range. Highnoon attributed the growth to strengthening
of alimentary and metabolism segment drugs. Abbott follows these two companies but posts a
gross profit margin which is constant throughout these years. Sanofi and GSK had relatively
lower gross profit margins which could have been caused by saturation in the market.
On average the industry revenue grew which translated in the increment of gross profit margins
through 2012 – 17.
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The operating profit margin is indicative of operational efficiency. The steep decline in
Sanofi’s operating profit margin can be linked to their increased cost of distribution and
marketing expenses which soared to almost 19% from the previous years, denting Sanofi’s
operating profits. Abbott, on the contrary maintained their operating margins throughout these
years with effective cost controls and addition of new products to the mix in segments like
nutrition, General Health Care and Diabetes Care. Searle’s rapid growth can be ascribed to
revenues of almost 10 billion PKR, a percentage growth of 25.61%. Highnoon has shown a
trend of steady growth as they reported controls over operational expenses with continuous
improvements in efficiency. Highnoon labs also registered a growth of 18% in net revenues in
the year 2017, leaving behind GSK and Sanofi.
20.00
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
A high net profit margin usually translated into growth in the price of shares, which eventually
results in higher profitability. Sanofi’s decline till 2015 can be result of uncertainty over pricing
policies and macroeconomic factors like inflation and depreciation of Pakistani rupee. Sanofi
also reported logjams in supply of raw materials which could have resulted in lower returns.
Sanofi was also facing significant risk of nonpayment from the customers. However, the
improvement in subsequent years can be seen. This growth was a result in price increase of
some products and more importantly a 3.55% reduction in distribution and marketing expenses.
Abbott has shown notable consistency in net margins. Searle reported 21.94% increase in net
profits in the year 2017 continuing their trend of steady growth.
Current Ratio
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
5.00
4.50
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Abbott stands out compared to the other investors which is a reflection of their effective
liquidity management. A formal cash flow system has been implemented by Abbott for
monitoring of cash inflows and outflows. Abbott also invests in less risky short-term ventures
ensuring availability of liquid assets. Rest of the competitors, albeit do not exhibit figures as
high as Abbott show a consistent current ratio of 1 or more, implying that the competitors have
been current asset and current liabilities ideally.
A lower current ratio is usually caused by slower inflow of cash. This however, is not an
impeding factor. Pharmaceutical industry of Pakistan is highly competitive and this is the
normal course of business in such an industry.
Asset Turnover
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
US pharmaceutical industry has reported an average asset turnover below 0.5. The industry
players in Pakistan have shown an asset turnover of above 1 consistently if benchmarked
against the US industry average. Asset turnover is a measure of effectiveness and efficiency in
utilization of assets, hence higher figures are favorable. Asset turnover ratio is used as a general
efficiency ratio in most sectors.
Highnoon Labs leads the industry in this regard as can been in the above graph. Compared to
other competitors their value of assets is far less which could be the reason behind asset high
asset turnover. Abbott and Sanofi have shown a stable asset turnover over these six years. The
local pharmaceutical industry is a high turnover sector as consumption of medicine has
increased with rise in population. Therefore, companies reporting a higher asset turnover is
only logical.
Inventory Turnover
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Searle stands out by exhibiting highest inventory turnover. This can be a result of sharp growth
in sales revenue as mentioned in previous ratios. It shows that Searle has been managing
inventory better than competitors. GSK, Sanofi and Highnoon show similar trends throughout
the years with inventory turnover of above 2.
Abbott has shown a more consistent trend relative to its competitors. Abbott’s inventory
turnover corresponds to US average of 7.43 as reported in 2017 if this figure is taken as a
benchmark.
Debt to Equity
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The debt to equity ratio of major Pakistani pharmaceutical sector illustrates that the participants
have stable financing structure. Sanofi however is an outlier in this regard. The 2014 and 2015
debt to equity of Sanofi shows a higher degree of gearing hence a riskier venture for any
potential investor. Sanofi financed its operations through debt in those years. This ratio also
corresponds to Sanofi’s diminished gross and net profit margins in the same year. It is to be
noted that Sanofi also spent nearly Rs. 350 million in capital expenditures.
GSK is least geared of the five companies under analysis with an average gearing ratio of 0.1.
showing a more stable capital structure, making it an attractive investment opportunity for a
more risk averse investor. GSK utilizes internal cash generation for capital expenditures as
opposed to external long- or short-term financing.
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
A working capital above 1 shows that a company would be able to meet its short-term
obligations with the liquid assets. Abbott leads the competitors because of their effective
control over cash inflows and outflows by establishing a cash flow system as mentioned
previously.
The remaining competitors also report a favorable working capital ratio indicating that best
practices regarding management of long- and short-term assets and liabilities has been
established throughout the sector, and day to day operations are not constrained because of
liquidity issues. However, a balance is to be struck to achieve a suitable figure as higher
working capital ratio indicates that inventory is not being turned into cash or surplus cash is
uninvested.
P/E Ratio
GSK Sanofi Searle Abbott Highnoon Labs
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
While interpreting P/E ratio, other economic variables should be considered like
macroeconomic environment. Uncertainty has loomed large in recent years due to widespread
entrenchment and political partisanship.
GSK’s lower EPS and increased share price has resulted in growth of P/E ratio through the
years 2012 - 2016. Relative to other competitors Searle trading volume is the highest, which
should have resulted in a lower EPS and subsequently a higher P/E ratio. However, this is not
the case as Searle traded at a lower price compared to Highnoon, GSK, Abbott and Sanofi.
Abbott’s EPS in contrast has been higher than GSK which resulted in lower P/E ratio.
The decline earnings for Highnoon and a higher market price resulted in the sharp rise in their
P/E ratio.
Asset Turnover
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Inventory Turnover
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Debt to Equity
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
P/E Ratio
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Operating Performance
Gross Profit Margin 35.9 36.0 35.0 37.6 35.6 37.5
Efficiency
Current Ratio 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.1
Valuation
P/E Ratio 10.2 14.9 23.4 22.0 21.2 26.7
Return on Asset
25.0
19.4 19.2
20.0
16.6
15.0 13.5
11.3 11.9
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The steady upward trend as represented above is an indication of effective management and utilization
of resources by individual performers within the industry. Higher return on assets have been reported
throughout the past six year by major players like Abbott Pakistan declaring a return on asset of more
than 20%.
Highnoon labs show a growing trend for the six years in question, but it should be noted that their total
assets carry relatively low value compared to the market leaders like Abbott, GSK and Sanofi Aventis.
Years 2013 and 2014 were recovery periods for national economy hence lower values of return on
assets are natural. Abbott reports a consistent return throughout the six years underlining their
operational stability and maintenance of strong sales despite tough competition and unfavorable
macroeconomic environment. Searle Pakistan recorded diminishing returns on asset through years 2012
– 2015, but resurgence can be seen in subsequent years.
Industries which are not capital-intensive yield higher return on assets. Hence, the measure is best suited
to comparisons made between companies or sectors with same levels of capitalization.
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GSK’s figures throughout these years are lowest. Balance sheet shows that GSK opted for substantial
debt financing which resulted in the contraction of ROCE. It can be said the Abbott and Sanofi have
contributed to the rising industry average of ROCE. with Highnoon Labs have also been instrumental
in raising industry profile in the eyes of investors. Since, this ratio also gauges the efficiency of a
company with regards to utilizations of capital. It is fair to say that with exception of some time periods
the overall performance of the competitors can be deemed satisfactory
The slump in the years 2013 and 2014 can be attributed to overall sluggish nature of the national
economy in those years. Investments in large scale manufacturing witnessed a drop of almost 25%.
Pharmaceutical sector posted an uninspiring growth rate of merely 0.49% in the two years where ROCE
recorded a slump. Some companies also manage the capital structure in accordance with the prevalent
economic conditions of the country, which can have a tangential effect on the ROCE.
However, the surge in the ROCE in the years 2016 and 2017 can be credited to the overall growth in
the economy. Pharmaceutical sector appreciated with a growth rate of 8.7% through these years as
reported by the ministry of finance.
Return on Equity
30.0 27.0 26.2
25.0 22.7
20.2
20.0 18.3
16.3
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The gradual upward movement of return on equity indicates the increasing confidence of investor in
the pharmaceutical sector.
Global industrial average of return on equity as of January 2018 was 14.49%. Using this as our
benchmark the ratios reported by Pakistani pharmaceutical companies are remarkable. An inconsistent
growth can be seen in early years however the trend reverses and the industry improve its returns on
equity in 2016 and 2017. Highnoon labs return on equity has increased despite unconducive economic
circumstances. Abbott maintains steady growth with minor falls but recovers in succeeding years.
The figure of 16.3% as reported in the year 2012 is satisfactory compared to the growth of the sector
and macroeconomic adversity country faced at that point of time. The increase in subsequent years can
be credited to the relative recovery in the national economy.
The radical shifts in the gross profit margin is related to the macroeconomic variables of the country.
The large-scale manufacturing was specifically affected by the decelerating growth. The ministry of
finance reported a meager 2.4% growth in large-scale manufacturing, a year on year decrease compared
to 2013. The growth figure stood at a negative 1%.
The average gross profit margin of Searle and Highnoon have consistently outperformed other industry
players. Searle saw an overall growth of 25.61%, this growth was result of increasing coverage and
maturity of the product range. Highnoon attributed the growth to strengthening of alimentary and
metabolism segment drugs. Abbott follows these two companies but posts a gross profit margin which
is constant throughout these years. Sanofi and GSK had relatively lower gross profit margins which
could have been caused by saturation in the market.
The increase in drug prices by 15% in the year 2015 caused an increase of gross profit margins
throughout the sector. Market leaders such as GSK and Abbott Labs reported gross profit margins of
27% and 38% respectively. With Highnoon labs and Searle Pakistan reported gross profit margins in
excess of 40% on average.
25.0
10.0
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The steep decline in Sanofi’s operating profit margin can be linked to their increased cost of distribution
and marketing expenses which soared to almost 19% from the previous years, denting Sanofi’s
operating profits. Abbott, on the contrary maintained their operating margins throughout these years
with effective cost controls and addition of new products to the mix in segments like nutrition, General
Health Care and Diabetes Care. Searle’s rapid growth can be ascribed to revenues of almost 10 billion
PKR, a percentage growth of 25.61%. Highnoon has shown a trend of steady growth as they reported
controls over operational expenses with continuous improvements in efficiency. Highnoon labs also
registered a growth of 18% in net revenues in the year 2017, leaving behind GSK and Sanofi.
Globally, pharmaceutical sector often reports operating profit margins upwards of 20%. As the industry
has become highly automated and labor intensity has diminished in recent years. The other major cost
which sometimes dilute operating income are the costs of raw material.
Comparing with developed economies, the operating margin of Pakistani pharmaceutical industry
should not make any potential investor reticent.
10.0 8.6
7.6 7.6
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
US net profit margin for pharmaceutical sector sits at 14% on average. Assuming this as our benchmark,
domestic pharmaceutical sector is not far off the mark keeping in mind that US is a developed economy.
In the above grid, net profit margins are following an upwards trajectory. The margins in the years from
2012 to 2014 were affected by an economy which was in its recovery phase. Furthermore, major
pharmaceutical companies have been adjusting price since 2012 as the regulatory authorities and yearly
budgets repeatedly imposed price freezes.
However, the improvement in the net profit margins are a result of efficient processes established by
the companies as a recourse to maximize profits after regulations from the government.
The overall sector was facing an erosion Rs. 112 billion annually as of January 2017. The price freeze
policy has also resulted in declining pharmaceutical exports to $103 million from $250 million.
Abbott has shown notable consistency in net margins. Searle reported 21.94% increase in net profits in
the year 2017 continuing their trend of steady growth.
Current Ratio
3.0
2.5
2.5
2.2 2.1
1.8 1.9 1.9
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Abbott stands out compared to the other investors which is a reflection of their effective liquidity
management. A formal cash flow system has been implemented by Abbott for monitoring of cash
inflows and outflows. Abbott also invests in less risky short-term ventures ensuring availability of liquid
assets. Rest of the competitors, albeit do not exhibit figures as high as Abbott show a consistent current
ratio of 1 or more, implying that the competitors have been current asset and current liabilities ideally.
A lower current ratio is usually caused by slower inflow of cash. This however, is not an impeding
factor. Pharmaceutical industry of Pakistan is highly competitive and this is the normal course of
business in such an industry.
The figures above indicate that the current ratio is reasonable and industry is able to maintain its current
asset and the management of current liabilities is also efficient hence denominator is not increasing and
impeding operations.
The slight decline in 2017 shouldn’t be a cause of alarm as previous trends show that these fluctuations
are normal and the industry will reverse this movement.
Asset Turnover
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The industry players in Pakistan have shown an asset turnover of above 1 consistently if benchmarked
against the US industry average which exhibited an asset turnover of below 0.5. Asset turnover is a
measure of effectiveness and efficiency in utilization of assets, hence higher figures are favorable. Asset
turnover ratio is used as a general efficiency ratio in most sectors.
Highnoon Labs leads the industry in this regard as can been in the above graph. Compared to other
competitors their value of assets is far less which could be the reason behind asset high asset turnover.
Abbott and Sanofi have shown a stable asset turnover over these six years. The local pharmaceutical
industry is a high turnover sector as consumption of medicine has increased with rise in population.
Therefore, companies reporting a higher asset turnover is only logical.
A higher than average asset turnover means lower margins. As we have seen above that industry has
reported high gross profit margins and substantial net profit margins. Therefore, it can be concluded
that the asset turnover ratio is reasonable.
Inventory Turnover
7.0 6.4
5.7 5.7 5.7
6.0 5.3
5.0 4.4
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
International pharmaceutical giant Merck has consistently reported an inventory turnover of around 2.5,
it can be ascertained from this fact that the movement of inventory is profitable for the company. Other
global pharmaceutical leaders have reported similar figures as well with Pfizer reporting an inventory
turnover of 1.5 on average. Assuming these figures as benchmarks, the above ratios look remarkable.
Searle stands out by exhibiting highest inventory turnover. This can be a result of sharp growth in sales
revenue as mentioned in previous ratios. It shows that Searle has been managing inventory better than
competitors. GSK, Sanofi and Highnoon show similar trends throughout the years with inventory
turnover of above 2.
Abbott has shown a more consistent trend relative to its competitors. Abbott’s inventory turnover
corresponds to US average of 7.43 as reported in 2017 if this figure is taken as a benchmark.
The inventory turnover ratio has two dimensions, efficiency and profitability. If the efficiency is
undercutting overall returns of the company then this whole metric becomes useless.
2.5 2.3
2.2
2.1
2.0 1.8
1.5
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
A favorable net working capital ratio means that the company has a buffer to meet current financial
obligations and also the ability to make investments. If US pharmaceutical sector is used as a
benchmark, it has an average working capital ratio 2.0.
Market leaders such as Abbott, Sanofi and GSK had an average net working capital ratio of 2.4. This
figure also agrees with the asset side of their respective balance sheets which depicts a trend of financial
health year on year. The numbers stated by these companies can be used to establish that they are
operating at an ideal level of short-term debt management and will be able to remain solvent for
foreseeable future.
Conversely, if the reported ratio is extraordinarily high it means that the entity is not arraying its short-
term assets in an effective way.
Debt to Equity
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.7
0.6 0.6
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Inference can be made from the above debt to equity ratio is that the sector is not highly geared. It can
also be concluded that operations are being carried out in an efficient way and resource utilization is
optimal, since companies with stagnant performance often look for additional debt financing, which
results in high gearing ratios.
The debt to equity ratio of major Pakistani pharmaceutical sector illustrates that the participants have
stable financing structure. Sanofi however is an outlier in this regard. The 2014 and 2015 debt to equity
of Sanofi shows a higher degree of gearing hence a riskier venture for any potential investor. Sanofi
financed its operations through debt in those years. This ratio also corresponds to Sanofi’s diminished
gross and net profit margins in the same year. It is to be noted that Sanofi also spent nearly Rs. 350
million in capital expenditures.
GSK is least geared of the five companies under analysis with an average gearing ratio of 0.1. showing
a more stable capital structure, making it an attractive investment opportunity for a more risk averse
investor. GSK utilizes internal cash generation for capital expenditures as opposed to external long- or
short-term financing.
P/E Ratio
30.0
26.7
25.0 23.4
22.0 21.2
20.0
14.9
15.0
10.2
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Generally, a higher P/E ratio implies that the market is expecting growth in the future. The ascension
in successive years is a demonstration of growth within the sector. As with most performance
measurement ratios, P/E ratio is only useful if it is used in right context. It would be futile to compare
it against other industries.
As far as the P/E ratio of Pakistani pharmaceutical sector is concerned, the six-year average (2012 –
2107) stands at 19.1, which is a satisfactory figure if recent economic environment and other fiscal
variables are considered.
However, P/E ratios should be assessed with a degree of skepticism because unlike market value of a
particular stock which can be established through various sources, earnings can be manipulated by the
management of companies. GSK’s lower EPS and increased share price has resulted in growth of P/E
ratio through the years 2012 - 2016. Relative to other competitors Searle trading volume is the highest,
which should have resulted in a lower EPS and subsequently a higher P/E ratio. However, this is not
the case as Searle traded at a lower price compared to Highnoon, GSK, Abbott and Sanofi. Abbott’s
EPS in contrast has been higher than GSK which resulted in lower P/E ratio.
Even though the domestic business environment ails from afflictions like inflation, stagnant
growth and general uncertainty, the pharmaceutical sector has persevered and repaid investors’
trust by returning averages on par with global pharmaceutical sector (as observed in ratio
analysis earlier).
The general outlook of the industry is that of growth with minor dips in performance. However,
it would be inexpedient to isolate a single cause. The pharmaceutical sector has long been
fettered by absence of a uniform pricing policy from the regulatory authority. Although, there
had been inefficiencies within the sector as seen in the previous comparisons, those retarding
trend were reversed soon.
Trend and common size analysis can be used to further contextualize the performance of our
combined industrial sample.
Year on year growth has been registered by the Pakistani pharmaceutical sector which clearly
corresponds to the investors’ faith in the sector. Surge in sales can be attributed to several
factors from increase in population to improvement in industry wide practices adopted by best
performers. An almost analogous rise can be seen in the cost of sales which shares a correlation
with high rates of inflation since 2012 and haphazard economic outlook. Rigorous internal
controls and manufacturing efficiencies have clearly resulted in contraction of operating
expenses that ultimately lead to high operating profits. Income from other sources (mainly
derived from returns on treasury bills, income on savings and deposits and disposal of assets
among other sources) soared through these six years indicating prudent management of
liquidity. Substantial amount has been incurred through exchange losses and bank charges in
terms of finance costs. Pakistan has one of highest corporate tax rates in the world. The
corporate tax in 2012 was 35%, causing the companies to register a low profit after tax. In the
subsequent years, however, the government relaxed the tax rate by 4% bringing it to 31% for
2017. Improvements in operations, increase in selling price along with business-friendly tax
regime amplified the bottom line increasing the net profit figures threefold.
2013
103.43%
84.89%
137.22%
112.94%
132.11%
86.54%
74.95%
2014
111.12%
102.66%
159.32%
2015
160.83%
111.69%
246.00%
143.69%
156.87%
125.54%
91.72%
2016
197.31%
157.79%
300.23%
164.35%
180.11%
142.64%
107.05%
2017
218.19%
168.60%
335.37%
COMBINED INDUSTRY HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS (Graph)
Sales
Taxation
Gross Profit
Cost Of Sales
71
VERTICAL ANALYSIS
There is a marked rise in the revenues year on year but cost of sales has also gone up in
congruence. The pharmaceutical sector countered this unfavorable trend by controlling costs
on operational level. This can be confirmed by the fact that the costs have not been driven by
operating expenses. With the exception of 2012, operating expenses have been kept under 20%.
A testament to industry wide practices. Abbott consistently posted higher net profit margins
originating from capacity increments through capital expenditure in previous years. Comparing
the bottom line with US pharmaceutical averages, the local industry has yielded a 15.21% profit
after tax against 10.91% of US.
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
67.85%
67.77%
65.40%
63.49%
63.25%
57.94%
42.06%
36.75%
36.51%
34.60%
32.23%
32.15%
28.59%
21.30%
20.56%
19.22%
19.24%
18.97%
18.62%
18.25%
17.34%
15.57%
15.25%
15.21%
14.60%
13.60%
12.67%
10.51%
9.49%
7.45%
5.73%
5.35%
5.22%
4.74%
4.64%
4.11%
As a capital-intensive industry, increases in fixed assets should be a positive sign for any
investor. From the outset one can also ascertain that companies within this sector can cover
short-term dues with ease. The amount of long-term liabilities is also an illustration of the
capital structure of the company. With the exception of Sanofi and Searle, which were
relatively more geared than the rest, other players have opted to finance through equity. Due to
the nature of the sector, customer defaults are very uncommon, hence, the current assets look
FEROZSONS LABORATORIES LIMITED 73
favorable. The efficient management of liquidity has also been a mainstay of Pakistani
pharmaceutical sector with Abbott even deploying a formal system to manage the cash inflows
and outflows.
The year on year increase in the current assets is a manifestation of how quickly short-term
liquidity is being generated through operations and the considerable coverage these companies
have for short-term liabilities. It follows logic that current ratio agrees with the above figures.
It is also vital for large manufacturing sector that there is constant capital expenditure for
acquisition of fixed assets. This growth in capacity is also reflected in rising net income through
these six years.
A balance has been struck between liabilities and total equity to structure the company in such
a way that most operations are financed through equity rather than debt.
Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Liabilities & Equity
190%
171%
170%
170%
158%
158%
151%
144%
144%
142%
134%
132%
129%
129%
129%
127%
111%
111%
111%
108%
100%
100%
100%
100%
VERTICAL ANALYSIS
Current assets form major part of the total assets and this trend has continued for the past six
years. There hasn’t been a significant change in the capital structure of the companies within
the sector. The fixed assets remain in the 40% range with respect to the total assets illustrating
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
68%
66%
65%
65%
64%
64%
62%
62%
61%
61%
61%
61%
39%
39%
38%
38%
38%
37%
36%
36%
35%
35%
33%
32%
32%
32%
31%
31%
29%
27%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
A slight regression in 2013 was overturned in the subsequent years as operating activities
yielded remarkable cash flows up until 2017. The year on year growth in cash and cash
equivalents corresponds to trends seen in liquidity ratios. Market leaders such as Abbott, Searle
and Sanofi posted high revenues which ultimately reflected in abundant liquidity.
Sector Pharmaceutical
Listed PSX
Symbol FEROZ
Farmacia
The company operates in its own niche having agreements with various international
conglomerates like General Electric.
Ferozsons has also partnered exclusively with Gilead Sciences for the distribution of their
products in HCV, HBV and HIV range. The company also has the rights to manufacture
generics for HCV.
Ferozsons also represents the Boston Scientific Corporation for their range of medical devices
in the areas of cardiology, electrophysiology, endoscopy, gastroenterology, pulmonology,
urology and peripheral interventions.
With Bagó Group of Argentina, Ferozsons Labs have set up a world class biotech CGMP
compliant facility through a joint venture, BF Biosciences Limited. Making it the first and only
company in Pakistan currently to have a biotech manufacturing facility in the country.
To eradicate critical ailments, the company made strategic associations with Boston Scientific
and a joint venture with Argentinian Bago group to form BF Biosciences Ltd.
Recently the company partnered with GE healthcare to provide biotech solutions to the local
customer base.
Ferozsons Labs
Income Statement
PKR Million 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue – net 2766.4 2881.7 3831.6 5711.2 11335.2 5002.4
Cost of sales 1457.1 1483.7 2003.5 3114.7 6740.9 3091.0
Gross profit 1309.3 1398.0 1828.1 2596.5 4594.3 1911.5
Administrative expenses 152.8 167.7 196.2 218.2 308.1 335.6
Selling and distribution expenses 658.5 702.5 852.8 971.4 1255.8 1023.2
Other expenses 45.0 43.6 64.1 105.3 280.6 7.3
Other income 52.1 54.3 64.5 74.0 121.3 63.5
Profit from operations 505.1 538.5 779.5 1375.7 2871.1 608.9
Finance cost 12.5 15.5 18.8 16.0 12.6 17.7
Profit before taxation 492.5 523.0 760.7 1359.6 2858.5 591.2
Taxation 16.3 56.6 208.6 415.8 625.4 196.6
Profit after taxation 476.3 466.4 552.2 943.8 2233.1 394.6
There has been a steady generation of revenues for the past six years. An escalation can be seen
2016 resulting from introduction of a new product. In the following year the revenues depleted
as unconducive market factors eroded the projected revenues substantially. Macroeconomic
factors also contributed to the upsurge in cost of sales. The increment in revenues also resulted
in a diminished finance cost and a slight improvement in post-tax profits. These items fell in
2017 as well because of the reasons stated elsewhere.
Benchmarking against 2012, the company has made significant strides in the following years.
a marked increase in administrative expenses can be observed resulting from increased cost of
doing business and a developing market and national economy. Selling and distribution for
2017 shows rise from previous years. This corresponds with the changing market dynamic with
each successive year.
Cost of sales as a percentage of revenues spiked significantly in 2017 relative to past years.
This is a result of strategic decision made by Ferozsons to make a provision of slow-moving
inventory and deprecation related to cost of sales. Incidentally this reduced the gross profit as
well. Profit after taxation also couldn’t match the figures reported in prior years. This trend
however, is expected to reverse as the company is preparing to introduce new products and has
made several strategic partnerships with companies in North and South America.
EQUITY
Share capital and reserves
Issued, subscribed and paid up capital 287.5 301.9 301.9 301.9 301.9 301.9
Capital reserve 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Accumulated profit 1744.2 2061.0 2289.5 2811.3 4279.7 4265.3
Equity attributable to owners of the Company 2032.0 2363.2 2591.7 3113.5 4581.9 4567.5
Non-controlling interests 60.8 72.1 98.8 138.7 168.7 171.5
2092.8 2435.3 2690.4 3252.2 4750.5 4739.1
Non-current liabilities
Deferred taxation 103.3 64.9 121.8 100.6 268.7 246.5
Current liabilities
439.7 386.7 523.7 1456.4 821.3 876.4
Total equity and liability 3020.1 3265.7 3756.6 5225.6 6863.2 6841.1
Increment in sales did not impact cash and bank balances in a significant manner, however
considerable rise in receivables can be seen which corroborates with the increased sales in
2016.
The company is also not facing a debt burden as long-term liability is covered by equity.
Non-current liabilities
Deferred taxation 3.4% 2.0% 3.2% 1.9% 3.9% 3.6%
Total equity and liability 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Liabilities, both current and long – term are but a very small part of companies’ total assets
which should encourage potential investors.
EQUITY
Share capital and reserves
Issued, subscribed and paid up capital 287.5 100% 105% 105% 105% 105% 105%
Capital reserve 0.3 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Accumulated profit 1744.2 100% 118% 131% 161% 245% 245%
Equity attributable to owners of the
Company 2032.0 100% 116% 128% 153% 225% 225%
Non-controlling interests 60.8 100% 119% 162% 228% 278% 282%
2092.8 100% 116% 129% 155% 227% 226%
Non-current liabilities
Deferred taxation 103.3 100% 63% 118% 97% 260% 239%
Current liabilities
439.7 100% 88% 119% 331% 187% 199%
Total equity and liability 3020.1 100% 108% 124% 173% 227% 227%
Major items of current and non – assets also followed an upward trajectory year on year, a
testimony to consistent improvement. The plummeting receivables and rising sales seem
counter intuitive from the get go. This can be seen as tightened controls over debtors.
Efficiency
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio 1.9 1.9 2.3 3.3 3.7 1.6
Liquidity
Operating Cash Flow to Sales Ratio 21.0 14.6 20.2 21.9 6.1 19.8
Solvency
Long Term Debt to Equity Ratio 0.26 0.19 0.24 0.48 0.23 0.24
Earnings per share - basic and diluted 13.5 13.5 13.8 24.8 69.7 13.0
Profitability
Return on Asset
35.0 32.5
30.0
25.0
20.0 18.1
15.6 15.7
15.0 13.2
10.0
5.8
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
For years Ferozsons posted stable returns. Up until 2015, the gap between industry and
Ferozsons was moderate as it posted a higher top line because of operational efficiency and
sales network. As they introduced the new HCV drug, by Gilead Sciences to the market, the
income after tax rose nearly by 200%. The subsequent slump is as abrupt as the augmentation
in the previous year. Ferozsons’ returns fell by 26.77% mainly due to the flooding of markets
by generics and unlicensed drugs in the Hepatitis C segment. The net revenues of 2017 are in
line with the revenues from 2012 to 2105. However there has been an increase in total assets
relative to these years. The bottom line in 2017 couldn’t be proportional to the addition in assets
because of some of the reasons stated above.
37.3
40.0
30.0
23.3
19.1
20.0 17.0
9.3
10.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
As in the case of assets, capital employed also increased in the past six years. The falling net
revenue in 2017 couldn’t match with the addition of asset in the previous two years. Ferozsons’
short lived surge was down to a unique product in the market. As the market gained, albeit
through the exposure of unhealthy competition, the initiative was lost in the year 2017 and the
bottom-line declined hard relative to the market. It is projected that the sales outside Gilead
portfolio will increase in the coming years. Essentially, the company is doing well, and a
projection of recovery wouldn’t be illogical.
Return on Equity
45.0
38.7
40.0
35.0
30.0 25.7
25.0 21.0
20.0 17.6
15.4
15.0
10.0 6.9
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Unlike increments in assets, the change in equity was not exponential. But as the net income
declined the return on equity went down with it. Two reasons can be cited for this. The decrease
in net revenues and an increase in selling and distribution expenses which ultimately resulted
in shrinkages of profit before tax.
Ferozsons Labs has been volatile, which can be attributed to diminishing revenues in some of
the product portfolios. Yet, this slump should not be a cause of alarm as the investors continue
to keep faith in the company’s performance. This is evidenced by the growing sales in other
segments as reported in 2017 financials.
30.0
20.0
10.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons’ gross profit margin remained significantly higher than the industrial averages. In
2014, the company posted revenues of Rs. 3.8 billion, followed by Rs. 5.7 billion in 2015. The
company also kept stringent controls over the costs that ultimately contributed in higher gross
profit margins. The decline in 2016 and 2017 is due to decrease in sales and provisions made
for slow moving stock. The company, however, managed to be competitive and matched
industrial performance. Ferozsons is expected to bounce back in the coming years as sales from
other segments are projected to contribute. If Drug Regulatory Authority cracks down the
unlicensed products in the HCV segment, Ferozsons can recover considerable revenues in the
coming years.
15.0
11.1
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The operating profit margins of Ferozsons soared until 2016, after which a steep decline can
be seen. It corresponds to the fall in gross profit margins. Although, the figure reported in 2017
is not adverse by any metric, the fall in revenues in individual product segment (HCV) is a
contributing factor here too. The operating profit margin however, will cover markups and tax
liabilities, indicating that the numbers are satisfactory. The performance of Ferozsons
pharmaceutical as far as operating profits are concerned matches with the overall industry
average. Like its global counterpart, the Pakistani pharmaceutical has efficient systems in place
to curb costs.
15.0
10.0 7.9
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons showed remarkable margins even when the industry performed lower on average.
The company attributes the decline in net sales to the increasing use of oral medication in the
its key segment as Ferozsons generally focuses on interferons. There are, however, several of
Ferozsons’ products pending approval with the DRA. Margins were higher in 2016 when the
company introduced the breakthrough HCV drug indicating that falling trend in 2017 will soon
reverse in the future as Ferozsons has a lot to offer in other product segments as well. Another
major contributor to net income erosion in 2017 is taxation. Although the taxes paid were lower
than 2015 and 2016 but considerably higher than 2012 and 2013.
PBT
30.0
26.7
24.7
25.0
20.8
19.1
20.0 17.8
15.0
11.1
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The increment in operating, selling and distribution expenses in 2017 compared to that of 2012
– 2014 is relatively higher. This has resulted in a sharply declining profit before tax margin.
One important factor to keep in mind is that the cost of sales of 2017 is also higher than
subsequent years as provision for slow moving inventory of about 300 million were made. The
profit before tax ratio of 2017 is by no means a sign of mediocre performance but a
consequence of adjustments made by the company which would soon bear profits for the
owners in the long run.
Current Ratio
5.0 4.7
4.5
4.5 4.3
4.0
4.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
2.4
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons’ short-term liabilities are not impeding their operations, as they have adequate
current asset reserves to cover these liabilities almost 5 times. In 2015, the fall occurred because
the company was preparing to launch a new product and sales/marketing was largely financed
on the basis of current liabilities. Even then the figure was above 1, which is a sign of financial
health.
The success of HCV drug reflected in cash reserves as well, resulting in resurgence of the
current ratio.
3.5 3.3
3.0
2.3
2.5
1.9 1.9
2.0 1.6
1.5
1.0
0.5
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons show a steady growth until 2015 with an upsurge in 2016 due to expansion in
revenues as evidenced in previous ratio analysis. The abrupt decline in 2017 is due to
unforeseen fall in sales however asset utilization is optimum that is reflected in continued
revenue generation from other product portfolios. Ferozsons’ asset turnover is likely to improve
in the next years.
Moreover, it is to be noted that the company added more assets in 2016 and 2017. The 2016
fixed asset turnover was high because sales were proportional to these additions, this was not
the case in 2017. But the company still managed to post a satisfactory turnover figure which
will likely improve in subsequent years.
Inventory Turnove r
6.0 5.5
5.0 4.7
4.1
3.9
4.0 3.6
2.8
3.0
2.0
1.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
It is to be considered that the above metric reacts to market demand which is an uncontrollable
macroeconomic variable. The important aspect is to maintain margins and keep the movement
of inventory smooth, which the company has managed to achieve amidst the falling trend in
sales for the year 2017. The above ratio also shows that the company is generating sales in
other portfolios as well and not dependent on one product. As noted previously the company
made provisions for slow moving inventory which has also affected adversely the turnover for
2017. The number should not be a cause for alarm.
120.0
90.0
90.0 78.0 82.0
54.0
60.0
30.0 18.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons payables turnover ratio has been upwards of 50 since the past six years. The upsurge
in 2015 was due to the added sales, marketing and distributions expenditures company was
incurring in the preparation of launching a new a product and in order to not put pressure on
current assets, paid off liabilities quickly. The result of all these expenditures can be seen in
2016 where the sales increased sharply. In 2017, as the sales declined and cash flow constraints
grew but the payables turnover went up again to 90, which shows that the company is efficient
in paying off liabilities even in adverse circumstances. If the current ratio is any indication, the
above figure should not cause alarm as the company has shown ability to pay off short term
debts. The year 2015 was also the year when the prices increased on active ingredients of major
drugs which are usually imported.
15.0
10.0
6.8
4.7 4.5 4.1
5.0 2.6
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2016 was a year of remarkable sales. These sales were made possible with various short-term
operating, sales and marketing expenditures. The exponential rise from 2015 is attributable to
the increase in such expenditures. The above graph also signifies that Ferozsons managed its
cash outflow to increase its working capital to meet the extra demand it faced after the
introduction of new product. The lower values in the graph are an indication that Ferozsons
prioritizes that payment of liabilities to alleviate debt burden on the balance sheet.
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The above is largely influenced by the sales policies of a company. From the above graph it
can be ascertained that Ferozsons manages the extension of credit sales efficiently. It is only
logical that the increase in sales in 2015 and 2016 has translated into a slowdown in collection
of cash from the customers. As the net revenues surged, so did the credit sales. Hence a dip in
the years 2015 and 2016.
The company faced decline in sales in 2017 and consequently started quick collection of
receivables in order to avert any more losses of sales.
10.0
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Accounts receivables days increases in the year of surging sales revenues. In order to meet the
added demand Ferozsons extended the collection period which resulted in an upswing in
receivables days in 2016.
As the net sales decreased in the year 2017, the company tightened its controls over credit sales
which is evidenced in the figure posted for the year.
The debt to equity ratio of Ferozsons is within the desired range. There is a spike in 2015 which
was caused by additional expenditures. Even then the debt to equity ratio remained in safe
range. An indication that the company is not highly geared. Ferozsons, like other competitors
has the capital structure which is more inclined towards equity financing. The fluctuation in
the year 2015 was caused by operational activities carried out in launching a new product. The
short-term credit increased by 300%, with Workers’ Profit Participation Funds and Central
Research Funds had expansions of 87% and 83% respectively. However, there are abundant
equity reserves to cover these liabilities as shown in the above trends. Ferozsons’ position
demonstrates financial health and satisfactory financing structure.
Price to Earning
35.0
29.6
30.0
25.8
25.0
20.0 16.7
14.8
15.0
10.0 8.2
6.1
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
It’s hard to ascertain whether a higher P/E ratio is better. A stock’s P/E ratio does not indicate
the current position. It is held that lower P/E ratios indicate a growth in near future. This seems
to be the case of Ferozsons. The stock went a few points up in 2015 as investors were
anticipating expansion in revenues and consequently in the bottom line. The P/E ratio plunged
in 2016 as the company witnessed record revenue figures, but the price could not correspond
to this growth.
In 2017 the resurgence is seen which is due to the decline in net income. Ferozsons posted an
average ratio of 16.9.
14.6
15.0
10.0
6.1
5.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The company has been able to match the cash from operations with its sales with the exception
of year 2016. Ferozsons continues to demonstrate a parallel growth operating cashflows and
sales. Even the year (2017) of stagnant sales, the company demonstrated a healthy trend in this
regard and continued to convert its sales into operating cash flows. This ratio also corresponds
with accounts receivables turnover ratio as the number being reported there were positive as
well, showing major portion of sales turning into cash.
239.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0 78.5
54.9
39.4 34.2 38.0
50.0
-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Like current ratio and debt to equity ratio, Ferozsons here establishes as well that the company can pay
off its liabilities without any serious constraints. This not only suggests that the company’s financial
strength is outstanding, but also goes to show that in an event Ferozsons needs to acquire more debt,
the potential creditor would not raise any serious objections.
INDUSTRY
FEROZ
Return on Asset
35.00 32.54
30.00
25.00
19.38 19.20
20.00 18.06
15.64 15.65 16.58
13.24 INDUSTRY
13.49
15.00 11.32 11.94 FEROZ
10.00
5.77
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons has been a consistent outlier relative to the industry, even though it does not have a
market share near to that of competitors like Abbott and GSK. However, Ferozsons has
strategically formed a niche which allows it to maintain such high numbers. Up until 2015, the
gap between industry and Ferozsons was moderate as it posted a higher top line because of
operational efficiency and sales network. As they introduced the new HCV drug, by Gilead
Sciences to the market, the income after tax rose nearly by 200%. The subsequent slump is as
abrupt as the augmentation in the previous year. While the industry posted a stable return on
asset, Ferozsons’ return fell by 26.77%, mainly because the market became saturated by
generic and unlicensed drugs in the HCV segment.
37.3
40.00
29.18 27.93
30.00 24.77 INDUSTRY
23.95 23.3
21.28 21.62
19.1 FEROZ
20.00 17.0
9.3
10.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The industry and the company are incongruous here as well. GSK’s debt financing diminished
average industrial ROCE in the years 2012 – 14. However, in the following years the ROCE
improved with Highnoon reporting higher ROCE figures than companies with substantially
greater market share. A booming population and increasing consumption are the major causes
of average industrial growth after 2014.
As observed earlier, Ferozsons’ short lived surge was down to a unique product in the market.
As the market gained, albeit through the exposure of unhealthy competition, the initiative was
lost in the year 2017 and the bottom-line declined hard relative to the market. It is projected
that the sales outside Gilead portfolio will increase in the coming years. Essentially, the
company is doing well, and a projection of recovery wouldn’t be illogical.
Return on Equity
45.0
38.7
40.0
35.0
30.0 25.7 27.0 26.2
25.0 22.7
21.0 20.2 INDUSTRY
18.3
17.6
20.0 16.3 15.4 FEROZ
15.0
10.0 6.9
5.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Industry returns have shown steady growth in financial performance ratios throughout the six
years under review. Numbers, if viewed alone indicate a positive outlook of the pharmaceutical
sector. Given the fact that this sector is capital intensive and income proportional to the large
assets is a testament to procedural efficiency and operational control.
Ferozsons Labs, on the contrary has been volatile, which can be attributed to diminishing
revenues in some of the product portfolios. Yet, this slump should not be a cause of alarm as
the investors continue to keep faith in the company’s performance. This is evidenced by the
growing sales in other segments as reported in 2017 financials.
10.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The industry has been visibly outperformed by Ferozsons for the past six years. The
pharmaceutical sector also showed trends of retardation from 2012 – 14 as it shrunk by 1%.
Large scale manufacturing was specially affected in these years. Highnoon, Abbott and Sanofi
posted gross profit margins in excess of 25% in the successive years improving the overall
industrial average.
Ferozsons’ gross profit margin remained significantly higher than the industrial averages. In
2014, the company posted revenues of Rs. 3.8 billion, followed by Rs. 5.7 billion in 2015. The
company also kept rigorous controls over the costs that ultimately contributed in higher gross
profit margins. The decline in 2016 and 2017 is due to decrease in sales and provisions made
for slow moving stock. The company, however, managed to be competitive and matched
industrial performance.
5.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Rigorous controls over processes and operational efficiencies have become synonymous with
the pharmaceutical industry. Year 2012 – 14 show low figures, but they are not adverse. One
must consider the burden of macroeconomic and other regulatory factors on the operations.
The upward shift in trends is down to Highnoon, GSK, Sanofi and Abbott. Each of these
competitors established controls which translated in the average growth. Abbott also added
products to its nutrition portfolio.
The operating profit margins of Ferozsons soared until 2016, after which a steep decline can
be seen. It corresponds to the fall in gross profit margins. Although, the figure reported in 2017
is not adverse by any metric, the fall in revenues in individual product segment (HCV) is a
contributing factor here too. The operating profit margin however, will cover markups and tax
liabilities, indicating that the numbers are satisfactory.
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Pharmaceutical sector is a highly regulated segment in Pakistan. It has been under the dual
pressures of price freezes and inflations. Exports dropped to more than $100 million. Tax rates
were particularly higher in the first three years in question. The economy eased a bit after 2014
which translated into increasing net profit margins in 2015. Another reason of this increase is
governments’ approval of price increase. Drug prices raised by almost 3% in 2015.
Multinational pharmaceutical giants raised the prices by 15%. The maintenance in a steady rise
in margins is a result of control and cost cutting.
Compared to the industry, Ferozsons showed remarkable margins even when the industry
performed lower on average. The 2013 margins were higher than 2016 when the company
introduced the breakthrough HCV drug indicating that falling trend in 2017 will soon reverse
in the future as Ferozsons has a lot to offer in other product segments as well.
Current Ratio
6.0
5.1
4.8 4.7
5.0 4.6
4.3
4.0
1.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The industry follows a high consumption pattern; hence the inflow of cash and other short-term
assets is almost never an issue. On top of this favorable variable, companies like Abbott have
implemented systems to maintain seamless flow of cash. Competitors also manage their short-
term assets by investing in less risky instruments so that liquidity does not become a constraint.
Ferozsons’ short-term liabilities are not impeding their operations, as they have adequate
current asset reserves to cover these liabilities almost 5 times. In 2015, the fall occurred because
the company was preparing to launch a new product and sales/marketing was largely financed
on the basis of current liabilities. Even then the figure was above 1, which is a sign of financial
health.
The success of HCV drug reflected in cash reserves as well, resulting in resurgence of the
current ratio.
Asset Turnover
1.8
1.6 1.7
1.4 1.5
1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.0 1.0
0.9 0.9 INDUSTRY
0.8
0.7 FEROZ
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The companies in the pharmaceutical sectors have different asset basis. Most of these
companies often generate revenues in proportion to the values of their assets and that is
reflected in the above trends. Abbott, Sanofi and GSK have large assets, and they have been
able to generate revenues by resourcefully utilizing the assets. A consistent turnover on average
has been reported. The marginal increase in the year 2017 is down to the performance of
Highnoon Labs, which reported remarkable revenues. However, it is to be considered that the
average asset base of Highnoon is significantly lower than Abbott.
Ferozsons show a steady growth until 2015 with an upsurge in 2016 due to expansion in
revenues as evidenced in previous ratio analysis. The abrupt decline in 2017 is due to
unforeseen fall in sales however asset utilization is optimum that is reflected in continued
revenue generation from other product portfolios. Ferozsons’ asset turnover is likely to improve
in the next years.
Inventory Turnover
7.0 6.4
5.7 5.7 5.7
6.0 5.3 5.5
4.7
5.0 4.4
3.9 4.1
4.0 3.6
INDUSTRY
2.8
3.0 FEROZ
2.0
1.0
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The above ratio is used ascertain how quickly inventory is turned into revenues. The high rates
of industry inventory turnover can be attributed to the Searle reporting highest figures on six-
year average. Abbott’s figures were on parity with global giants like Merck and Pfizer. This
high industry turnovers are characteristic to the industry as inventory moves faster in the market
given the ever-increasing demand of the medicines.
Inventory turnover has been slower for Ferozsons relative to the market but the numbers in
themselves do not indicate a negative trend. The ratio is almost on par, and in some cases,
better than competitors like GSK and Highnoon. It is to be considered that the above metric
also reacts to market demand which is an uncontrollable macroeconomic variable. The
important aspect is to maintain margins and keep the movement of inventory smooth.
Debt to Equity
2.00
1.50
1.00 INDUSTRY
0.70 FEROZ
0.64 0.59
0.48
0.50 0.35 0.33
0.28 0.24 0.23 0.24
0.19
0.26
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The debt to equity ratio of both industry and Ferozsons are within the desired range. The spike
in the 2013 - 2014 are due to the debt financing Sanofi opted for. Sanofi spent Rs. 350 million
on capital expenditures which increased the overall industrial average. The figures, however
did not exceed 1, which would have indicated high gearing. Ferozsons, like other competitors
has the capital structure which is more inclined towards equity financing. The fluctuation in
the year 2015 was caused by operational activities carried out in launching a new product. The
short-term credit increased by 300%, with Workers’ Profit Participation Funds and Central
Research Funds had expansions of 87% and 83% respectively. However, there are abundant
equity reserves to cover these liabilities as shown in the above trends. Ferozsons’ position
demonstrates financial health and satisfactory financing structure.
P/E Ratio
35.0
30.0 29.6
25.8 26.7
25.0
23.4
22.0 21.2
20.0
INDUSTRY
16.7
15.0 14.9 14.8 FEROZ
10.0 10.2
8.2
5.0 6.1
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
It’s hard to ascertain whether a higher P/E ratio is better. A stock’s P/E ratio does not indicate
the current position. It is held that lower P/E ratios indicate a growth in near future. This seems
to be the case of Ferozsons. The ratio was lower compared to the industrial average, but steady
growth can be seen in the subsequent years. The stock went a few points up in 2015 as investors
were anticipating expansion in revenues and consequently in the bottom line. The P/E ratio
plunged in 2016 as the company witnessed record revenue figures, but the price could not
correspond to this growth.
In 2017 the resurgence is seen which is due to the decline in net income. Industry average of
these past six years was 19.7 while Ferozsons followed closely with an average ratio of 16.9.
20.00
18.00 18.12
16.00 15.84
14.00 13.85
12.00 11.88 12.45
11.02 11.34
10.00
8.00
6.00 5.71
5.00
4.00 3.83
2.77 2.88
2.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The blue line stands for average industry sales. Up until 2015, Ferozsons follows the upward
trajectory of the industry. The sharp rise in revenues due to a breakout product in 2016 almost
touched the average industry revenues. In 2017, the industry continued the surge, however,
Ferozsons revenues nosedived as the market got swarmed with HCV generics. With the
introduction of new products in coming years, revenues are likely to recover.
COST OF SALES
FEROZ INDUSTRY
14.00
12.00
11.50
10.00 10.02
9.06
8.00 8.06 8.44
6.39 6.74
6.00
4.00
3.11 3.09
2.00 2.00
1.46 1.48
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Inflation during these six years contributed to the rising costs. Comparing the cost of sales of
Ferozsons of 2017 with the years 2012 – 2015, a slight increment can be seen. This is due to
the parking of depreciation related to manufacturing in the cost of sales. Another reason for
this spike is provision made for the obsolete inventory. Industry average also rose in 2017,
mainly because of macroeconomic burdens of the national economy and large scale
manufacturing industry.
GROSS PROFIT
FEROZ INDUSTRY
7.00
6.61
6.00 5.82
5.00 4.79
4.64 4.59
4.00 3.82 4.01
3.00
2.60
2.00 1.83 1.91
1.31 1.40
1.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
When the average industry gross profit slumped in 2013, due to weak domestic consumption patterns,
Ferozsons can be seen going up. However, in successive years quick improvement in industrial averages
can be seen. Highnoon, Searle and Abbott posted impressive gross profit margins taking the overall
industry average to a higher point. The rapid rise in 2016 for Ferozsons will be seen for all financial
indicators. It is indeed a remarkable feat to be head to head with industrial average. Keeping in mind
that the sample for comparison contains multinational pharmaceutical giants.
OPERATING EXPENSES
FEROZ INDUSTRY
4.00
3.50
3.37
3.15
3.00 2.89
2.50 2.40
2.28 2.36
2.00 1.97
1.50 1.43
1.37
1.18
1.00 0.91 0.97
0.50
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3.50
3.24
3.00 2.93
2.87
2.50
2.39
2.00
1.54 1.65
1.50 1.49 1.38
1.00
0.78
0.50 0.51 0.54 0.61
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
On average the companies report a profit of around one and a half billion up until 2014. The revision in
pricing and currency stabilization in the international market enabled the industry to post average profit
for 2015 and 2016 of 2.39 billion and almost 3 billion respectively. Ferozsons figure in 2016 are an
anomaly for the reasons stated several times in this report. The industry continued to grow in 2017, but
Ferozsons’ unforeseen slump could skew any investor’s opinion. However, any such decision should
be taken after studying other financial indicators as well. It is forecasted that this trend of retardation is
likely to change course for positive in near future.
FINANCE COST
FEROZ INDUSTRY
0.25 0.24
0.20
0.15
0.11 0.11
0.10
0.09
0.06 0.06
0.05
The initial rise in average finance cost of industry can be attributed to Sanofi’s 300 million debt
financing. Stabilization in successive years are an evidence that the big players in the industry tend to
avoid debt financing. This should also be a persuasive factor for any investor as Ferozsons has kept its
gearing to minimum. The debt burden is lowest compared to the industrial average, attesting to the
prudence of the company.
4.00
3.72
3.50
3.37
3.00
2.86
2.66
2.50
2.00 1.90
1.50 1.62
1.40 1.36
1.00
0.76
0.50 0.49 0.52 0.59
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The profit before taxation follows fairly similar trajectory to gross profit. The industry has Ferozsons
has reaped the rewards of operational efficiency and have successfully managed to translate high
percentage of revenues into profit before taxation. Abbott and GSK reported high bottom lines resulting
in a bolstered pre tax profit for the sample on average. Sanofi, Searle and Highnoon are also close
followers. Ferozsons impresses here as well. Being a wholly Pakistan based pharmaceutical it has
maintained its performance amidst fierce competition from international pharmaceutical giants.
TAXATION
FEROZ INDUSTRY
1.20
1.00 0.97
0.91
0.80
0.02 0.06
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Pharmaceutical sector has been one of the highest contributors to the exchequer. Business friendly
governments have progressively diminished the rate of corporate taxation in order to incentivize
investment. The corporate tax stood at 35% in 2012 which was subsequently brought down to 31% in
2017. The tax rates are likely to fall further in future.
3.00
2.76
2.50 2.47
2.23
2.00 2.02
1.50
1.31
1.13
1.00 0.94
0.82
0.50 0.48 0.47 0.55
0.39
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
The after-tax profit of industry on average has been almost 2 billion. A steady upward trend for both
industry and Ferozsons can be observed. The game changing HCV drug Sovaldi took the profits to
unprecedented levels, enabling the company to nearly match the industry average.
Generally, industry taken as an aggregate, performed well given factors such price controls by
regulators, recovering economy, inflation, currency depreciation and shrinkage in exports.
6.00
5.00 4.95
4.50
4.00 4.01
3.70
3.39
3.00 3.09 3.02 3.10
2.00
1.64 1.75
1.49 1.53
1.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CURRENT ASSETS
CURRENT ASSET
FEROZ INDUSTRY
9.00
8.00 8.00
7.69
7.00 7.15
6.00 6.31
5.00 5.28
4.60
4.00 3.84 3.74
3.47
3.00
2.00 2.11
1.53 1.74
1.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
TOTAL ASSET
FEROZ INDUSTRY
14.00
12.95
12.00 12.19
11.16
10.00 10.01
8.67
8.00 7.70
6.86 6.84
6.00
5.23
4.00 3.76
3.02 3.27
2.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EQUITY
EQUITY
FEROZ INDUSTRY
10.00
9.00 8.83
8.00 8.17
7.00 7.26
6.00 6.16
5.53
5.00 4.79 4.75 4.74
4.00
3.00 3.25
2.44 2.69
2.00 2.09
1.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0.70
0.60 0.58
0.50 0.50 0.50
0.48
0.40 0.42
0.37
0.30
0.27 0.25
0.20
CURRENT LIABLITY
CURRENT LIABILITY
FEROZ INDUSTRY
4.00
3.75
3.50 3.40
3.27 3.26
3.00
2.72
2.50 2.43
2.00
1.50 1.46
1.00
0.82 0.88
0.50 0.44 0.52
0.39
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
TOTAL LIABILITY
FEROZ INDUSTRY
4.50
4.00 4.12
3.85 3.90 3.76
3.50
3.00 3.15
2.91
2.50
2.00
1.50 1.56
1.00 1.09 1.12
0.50 0.54 0.65
0.45
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
TOTAL LIABILITY
FEROZ INDUSTRY
14.00
12.95
12.00 12.19
11.16
10.00 10.01
8.67
8.00 7.70
6.86 6.84
6.00
5.23
4.00 3.76
3.02 3.27
2.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2.50
2.12 2.15
2.00
1.82
1.50
1.37
1.19 1.26
1.00
0.87 0.86
0.70 0.74
0.50 0.52
0.33
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
0.00
-0.10 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
-0.20 -0.20
-0.30 -0.32
-0.36 -0.36
-0.40
-0.43 -0.44
-0.50 -0.51 -0.53
-0.60
-0.70
-0.76 -0.74
-0.80
-0.85
-0.90
0.00
-0.15
2012 -0.12
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
-0.20
-0.26 -0.31
-0.32
-0.40 -0.43 -0.40
-0.41 -0.46
-0.60
-0.80 -0.74
-1.00 -0.97
-1.20
-1.40
-1.60
-1.80
-1.88
-2.00
1.20
1.00 1.04
0.80
0.60 0.61
0.40 0.47
0.30
0.20 0.17
0.00 0.05
0.01 0.06
-0.06
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 -0.12
2017
-0.20
-0.40 -0.44 -0.48
-0.60
3.00
2.50 2.50
2.20
2.00
1.50
1.31
1.00
0.84 0.78
0.68
0.50 0.44 0.34
0.16 0.10 0.11 0.17
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3.00
2.50 2.49
2.35
2.00 2.02
1.50
1.31
1.00
0.73 0.78
0.61
0.50
0.34
0.17 0.22
0.00 0.10 0.11
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ferozsons Labs
Sanofi Aventis
Abbott Labs
The Searle
Highnoon Labs
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http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey_1617.html
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