PAKISTAN’S NATIONAL ELECTION IN 2013

Report # 1
THE NEW TIDE OF VOTER TURN-OUT
Report on Voter Turn-out in
Pakistan’s National Election: 2013

For further details please contact info@gallup.com.pk

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 Contents

Introduction

Part 1 HIGHLIGHTS OF VOTERS TURN-OUT SINCE 1988 Page 4

Part 2 DETAILS ON VOTER TURN-OUT Page 8

Trend Analysis of 7 Elections Since 1988

Note:
Results of NA 250 (Karachi) are not included. This Report is based on results of
261 constituencies.

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 Voter Turn-out at
ALL PAKISTAN LEVEL
53% + ~2% (55%)
(53.11 valid and 1.83% Votes which were not valid, would add up to 55.04%)

Not
Voted
Voted
47%
53%

Voter Turnout
PROVINCIAL PICTURE
Punjab: 57% Sindh: 53%

Not
Voted Not Voted
57% Voted Voted
47%
43% 53%

KPK: 42% Balochistan: 36%

Voted
Not
36%
Voted
Voted
58% Not
42%
Voted
64%

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

Note: The total turn-out as reported by ECP, on May 22, is 55.04%. It includes valid votes, as well as not valid
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votes. The valid votes from 261 constituencies add up to 53.11%; rounded off above as 53%
Part 1

HIGHLIGHTS OF VOTERS TURN-OUT

SINCE 1988

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 Turn-out
TREND DATA

Table 1
Turn-out in Election 2013
GAIN OVER 25 YEARS AVERAGE

Turn-out in 25 year Gain over 25

2013 Average * year average

All Pakistan 53% 41% 12%

Punjab 57% 45% 12%
Sindh 53% 39% 14%
KPK 42% 32% 10%
Balochistan 36% 28% 8%

Note: Average Turn-out in 6 Elections since 1988 (1988-2008)

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Table 4
Turn-out in Election 2013
GAIN OVER 25 YEARS AVERAGE

Turn-out in 25 year Gain over 25

2013 Average year average
By Electoral Territories (11)
Southern Punjab 58% 45% 13%
Central & Northern Punjab 55% 44% 11%
Western Punjab 59% 48% 11%
Interior Sindh 54% 39% 15%
Karachi Region 52% 38% 14%
Malakand Region 35% 29% 6%
South KPK 42% 35% 7%
Peshawar Valley 44% 29% 15%
Hazara Region 50% 35% 15%
Quetta Region 38% 27% 11%
Kalat and Makran Region 34% 28% 6%

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Voter Turn-out:

TREND ANALYSIS

100%
(Turn-out in 2013 compared with 25 year average of 6 elections since 1988)
90%
80%
70%
60% 57%
53% 53%
50% 45%
41% 42%
38% 36%
40% 34%
32%
27% 28%
30%
20%
10%
0%
All Pakistan Punjab Sindh KPK Balochistan-1 Balochistan-2

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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Part 2

DETAILS ON VOTER TURN-OUT

Trend Analysis of
7 Elections Since 1988

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 VOTERS TURN-OUT:
TREND ANALYSIS

1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

ALL PAKISTAN 42% 46% 39% 35% 40% 44% 53%
Province-Wise
Punjab 45% 50% 47% 38% 43% 48% 57%
Sindh 42% 43% 28% 32% 38% 45% 53%
KPK 34% 36% 26% 30% 34% 33% 42%
Balochistan 26% 29% 26% 23% 30% 30% 36%
By Electoral Territories (11)
Southern Punjab 43% 48% 44% 40% 47% 48% 58%
Central & Northern Punjab 47% 51% 49% 34% 39% 48% 55%
Western Punjab 47% 51% 49% 43% 48% 52% 59%
Interior Sindh 40% 43% 32% 33% 39% 43% 54%
Karachi Region 49% 45% 18% 28% 37% 47% 52%
Malakand Region 32% 33% 32% 24% 32% 25% 35%
South KPK 35% 35% 35% 33% 33% 36% 42%
Peshawar Valley 36% 39% 17% 28% 34% 33% 44%
Hazara Region 34% 36% 35% 31% 36% 37% 50%
Quetta Region 26% 28% 26% 23% 28% 27% 38%
Kalat and Makran Region 26% 29% 25% 23% 31% 33% 34%

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Understanding Elections in Pakistan
Election 2013

VOTERN TURN-OUT
Trend Analysis (2008-2013)

All Pakistan
100%

80%

60% 53%
46% 44%
42% 39% 40%
40% 35%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Punjab
100%

80%
57%
60% 50% 48%
45% 47%
43%
38%
40%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Sindh
100%

80%

60% 53%
42% 43% 45%
38%
40% 32%
28%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

KPK
100%

80%

60%
42%
34% 36% 34% 33%
40% 30%
26%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Balochistan
100%

80%

60%
36%
40% 29% 30% 30%
26% 26% 23%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Understanding Elections in Pakistan
Election 2013

VOTERN TURN-OUT
Trend Analysis (2008-2013)

By Election Territories
Southern Punjab
100%

80%
58%
60% 48% 48%
44% 47%
43% 40%
40%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Central & Northern Punjab

100%

80%

60% 55%
51% 49% 48%
47%
39%
40% 34%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Western Punjab
100%

80%
59%
60% 51% 49% 52%
47% 48%
43%
40%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Understanding Elections in Pakistan
Election 2013

VOTER TURN-OUT
Trend Analysis (2008-2013)

By Election Territories
Interior Sindh
100%

80%

60% 54%
40% 43% 43%
39%
40% 32% 33%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Karachi Region
100%

80%

60% 49% 52%

45% 47%
37%
40% 28%
18%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 VOTER TURN-OUT
Trend Analysis (2008-2013)

By Election Territories
Malakand Region
100%

80%

60%

40% 32% 33% 32% 32% 35%

24% 25%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

South KPK
100%

80%

60%
42%
35% 35% 35% 33% 33% 36%
40%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 Peshawar Valley
100%

80%

60%
44%
36% 39%
40% 34% 33%
28%
17%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Hazara Region
100%

80%

60% 50%

34% 36% 35% 36% 37%

40% 31%

20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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 VOTER TURN-OUT
Trend Analysis (2008-2013)

By Election Territories
Quetta Region
100%

80%

60%
38%
40% 28% 28%
26% 26% 27%
23%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Kalat and Makran Region

100%

80%

60%

40% 31% 33% 34%

26% 29%
25% 23%
20%

0%
1988 1990 1993 1997 2002 2008 2013

Source: Gilani’s Index of Electoral Record, based on ECP data

computed by Gallup Pakistan

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Disclaimer: Gallup Pakistan is not related to Gallup Inc. headquartered in Washington D.C. USA. We require that our surveys be
credited fully as Gallup Pakistan (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). We disclaim any responsibility for surveys pertaining to Pakistani public
opinion except those carried out by Gallup Pakistan, the Pakistani affiliate of Gallup International Association. For details on Gallup
International Association see website: www.gallup-international.com

Gallup Pakistan has conducted this poll according to the ESOMAR Code of Ethics and internationally recognized principles of
scientific polling. The results in this Report do not represent views held by the authors or Gallup Pakistan. The results only
represent public opinion, computed on the basis of views expressed by anonymous respondents selected through the procedure
outlined in the Methodology section of this Report.

Gallup Pakistan has provided this data in the public interest and gratis. It cannot be held liable, contractually or otherwise, to the
users of this data.

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