(untitled)

Forecasting Exponential smoothing

This
This spreadsheet
spreadsheet was
was created
created by
by either
either POM,
POM, QM
QM or
or POM-QM
POM-QM for Forecasting
for Windows,
Windows, V4.
V4.
2500
2000
Alpha 0.40799999 1500
1000 Demand
Data Error Analysis

Value
500 Forecast
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared |% Error|
October 1910 1910 0
1 4 7 10
November 2010 1910 100 100 10000 0.049751
December 1710 1950.8 -240.8 240.8 57984.64
Time 0.140819
January 1810 1852.554 -42.5536 42.5536 1810.809 0.02351
February 1610 1835.192 -225.192 225.1917 50711.32 0.139871
March 1860 1743.314 116.6865 116.6865 13615.74 0.062735
April 1960 1790.922 169.0784 169.0784 28587.51 0.086264
May 1660 1859.906 -199.906 199.9056 39962.24 0.120425
June 1710 1778.344 -68.3441 68.34411 4670.917 0.039967
July 1610 1750.46 -140.46 140.4597 19728.93 0.087242
August 1820 1693.152 126.8478 126.8478 16090.38 0.069697
September 1760 1744.906 15.09393 15.09393 227.8267 0.008576
Total -389.548 1444.961 243390.3 0.828857
Average -35.4135 131.3601 22126.39 0.075351
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 164.4487
Next period 1751.06439