Professional Documents
Culture Documents
For professional
traders, support and resistance are not just a matter of looking at a point
where the price of an underlying security seems to make a u-turn repeatedly
for a certain period.
Simply put, support levels are usually below the current price while
resistance levels are usually above the price. Nonetheless, sometimes this rule
could be breached shortly in what technical analysts refer to as false breaks.
As illustrated in the figure above, the GBP/USD currency pair, popularly
known as Cable had a false breakout between Feb 28, of 2014, and March 3,
as the price went above 1.67075, the currency pair’s resistance zone.
This brings up another term in support and resistance levels. Now, in most
cases, it is impossible to identify one single point that the price of the
underlying security tends to make a u-turn once reached. In these cases, the
use of support and resistance zones comes to play.
These are the points where the price of the underlying security is expected to
make a u-turn before making a false break, or a significant
breakout/breakdown. The size of this zone in pips ranges depending the
period and time between candlesticks.
When the price of the underlying security breaks the resistance level/zone, it
is called a breakout while when the price falls below the support level/zone
technical analysts call it a breakdown.
Chapter 3 - Trending Support and Resistance Levels
However, other
technical analysts also believe that when the price of a security bounces off
the support several times, this could be signaling a substantial breakdown in
the near-term horizon. The same analogy is applied on the resistance level.
When the price of a security falls off a resistance level on several occasions,
this could be signaling a near-term breakout.
Below is an
illustration, which supports using the support level to determine stop-loss.
The illustration above assumes a trader who uses pips to place a stop loss and
take profit limits. In this case, the trader used 230 pips to identify the
preferred stop loss and take profit points after opening a long trade for
EUR/USD currency pair at 1.3620. The trader then placed a stop loss at
1.3390 and a take profit level at 1.3850.
Now, as illustrated in the chart, the EUR/USD currency exchange rate
activated the trader’s stop loss on Nov. 8, three weeks after opening the long
trade. However, two days later the EUR/USD exchange rate rallied back to
resume the upward trend that the trader may have hoped to capitalize on.
Now, having activated the stop loss limit, the trader lost 230 pips.
Chapter 6 - Using Support and Resistance to Place
Stops and Take Profit Levels
First, the analogy behind using support and resistance level to place stop/take
profit limits dictates that, in most cases, the price of the underlying security
will oscillate between the support and resistance levels. This means that
placing a stop loss above the support level could trigger a pre-mature closure
of an open long position.
Most professional traders consider placing their stop loss limits slightly
below the support level. This ensures that traders do not take up unnecessary
losses due to a premature change in trend.
As noted at an early stage in this guide, when the price of a security
approaches the support level, in most cases a u-turn follows as it bounces off
owing to buying pressure. Buyers become more inclined to buying the
security when its current price approaches the support level while sellers
become less inclined to sell.
This means that placing the stop loss limit around the support level helps a
trader avoid taking several unnecessary losses.
As demonstrated in the chart above, if the trader places the stop loss at
around the support level, his losing open trade is likely to recover in the
coming days and assume an upward trend that could lead to bigger profits.
In this case, the open trade would have closed on Dec 27, after slightly
breaching the prevailing resistance level, thereby giving the trader immense
profits.
The same case applies when applying a take profit limit. Placing the take
profit limit around the resistance level could help a trader garner more profits
as compared to placing it below the resistance level.
When the take profit limit is placed below the resistance level, this could
prematurely activate it, thereby denying the trader the opportunity to rake in
more profits. The loss associated with this activity is referred to as trading
opportunity loss.
The FTSE 100 illustration of the opportunity loss in “take profit limit”
placement
As illustrated in the figure above, the hypothetical trader demonstrated here,
opened a long position on the FTSE 100 at 6,570 points, set a stop, and take
profit limits of 30 pips away from the buying price. The take profit limit
activated on the next candlestick at 6,600 points, thereby bagging the trader
some 30 pips in profits.
However, the figure indicates that the prices continued with the rally for the
following few days until a point where they came within the resistance level,
which consequently triggered a u-turn at 6,640 points. This means that the
trader incurred an opportunity loss of 40 pips because if used the resistance
level to come up with the take profit limit, he would have garnered in 40 pips
more.
Chapter 7 - Warnings
While using support and resistance can help traders take full advantage of the
profit potential, sometimes this strategy can also work against them.
If the price fails to reach the resistance level and falls back to a point such
that it creates a false breakdown, then this could end up triggering a loss,
rather than a small profit that the trader would have gained if he set a take
profit level below the resistance level.
From the support level point of view, a trader can limit the amount of loss by
setting a stop loss above the support level. This means that the stop loss is
triggered at an early stage before the loss becomes too much.
Chapter 8 - Tips
As noted earlier in this write-up, the importance of support and resistance
levels is to identify key buying and selling opportunities. This means that
they provide a useful guidance to traders in making investment decisions,
which include placing stop loss and take profit limits.
Historically, security prices have shown that, support and resistance levels
are key barriers for price movements. Therefore, these two will always be
crucial levels when it comes to determining the maximum loss a trader is
willing to take (by setting stop loss slightly below the support level), and the
optimal profits (by setting take profit slightly above the resistance level).
When a breakout or a breakdown happens, in most cases this is usually
driven by some external factors, other than buying and selling pressure.
These factors include macro-economic events and company events (stocks).
Therefore, it is always advisable to watch out for upcoming events relevant to
your open positions or the position you are about to take in a certain currency
pair, stock or commodity.
Based on a trader’s experience and risk appetite, margin trading is only
advisable for those in a position to risk every penny they put in their trading
account. That is what genuine brokers will tell you. However, if a trader feels
that he seriously needs to do margin trading, then it is advisable to start with
the lowest ratio possible.
Margin trading can easily lead to emotional trading, which is highly
discouraged.
Support and resistance levels can help traders in combating emotional trading
by limiting losses and restricting them to the amount of profits they can make
per trade. If a trader maintains his trading activity within the support and
resistance levels, then emotional trading would be limited as this entails
discipline.
Chapter 9 - Final Notes
Support and resistance levels provide pivotal beginning points for traders in
evaluating a certain security before deciding to take a long or short position.
These two levels provide the basis on determining the optimal stop loss and
take profit levels, by ensuring that the trader takes full advantage of the
profits prior to reaching the resistance level, and at the same time avoiding
unnecessary losses caused by closing positions prematurely.
Support and resistance levels can also be used alongside other indicators like
the Bollinger bands, simple moving averages SMAs and Fractals among
others. Using a combination of two or more of these indicators is useful in
refining the direction of a trade.
Conclusion
Thank you again for downloading this book!
You should now have the knowledge you need to use support and resistance
to identify key breakouts and cut your trading losses.
The next step is to take action!
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and post a review on Amazon. It’d be greatly appreciated!
Thank you and good luck!