Professional Documents
Culture Documents
إﻋﺪاد:
ﻣﺎﺟﺪ ﻓﻬﺪ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﺮﻱ
اﻟﻨﺎﺷﺮ:
ﻼ"
ﻚ ﹶﺛ َﻮﺍﺑﹰﺎ َﻭ َﺧﲑٌ ﹶﺃ َﻣ ﹰ
ﺕ َﺧﲑٌ ِﻋﻨ َﺪ َﺭﱢﺑ َ
ﺤﺎ ُ
ﺼﺎِﻟ َ
ﺕ ﺍﻟ ﱠ
ﳊَﻴﺎ ِﺓ ﺍﻟ ﱡﺪﻧَﻴﺎ ﻭَﺍﻟﺒَﺎ ِﻗَﻴﺎ ُ
" ﺍ ﹶﳌﺎ ﹸﻝ َﻭﺍﻟَﺒُﻨﻮ ﹶﻥ ِﺯﻳَﻨ ﹸﺔ ﺍ ﹶ
) ﺍﻵﻳﺔ 46ﺳﻮﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻜﻬﻒ (
2
◊ ﻣـــﻘـــﺪﻣـــﺔ:
ﺍﳊﻤﺪ ﷲ ﺭﺏ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﳌﲔ ﻭﺍﻟﺼﻼﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻼﻡ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﺷﺮﻑ ﺍﻷﻧﺒﻴﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﳌﺮﺳﻠﲔ ﺳﻴﺪﻧﺎ ﳏﻤﺪ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺁﻟﻪ ﻭﺻﺤﺒﺔ ﺃﲨﻌﲔ ..ﺃﻣﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ ،،،ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﻣﻮﺿـﻮﻉ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﻭ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻼﺕ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﻌﺒﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻜﺒﲑﺓ ﰲ ﻭﻗﺘﻨﺎ ﺍﳊﺎﺿﺮ ﻛﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻛﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻳﺪﺧﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻋﺎﱂ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻼﺕ ﻳﺘﺤﺘﻢ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ
ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻌﻴﻨﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﲣﺎﺫ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﺋﺒﺔ ﻭﻣﻦ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﻭﺃﻓﻀﻠﻬﺎ ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻓﻬﻲ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺃﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ
ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﻓﺎﻋﻠﻴﺔ ﻧﻈﺮﹰﺍ ﳌﺎ ﺗﺘﻤﺘﻊ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺼﺪﺍﻗﻴﺔ ﻛﺒﲑﺓ ﻭﻗﺪ ﻛﺜﺮﺕ ﺍﻟﻜﺘﺐ ﻭﺍﳌﺆﻟﻔﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﺤﺪﺙ ﻋﻦ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﺎﻧﺐ ﻭﻣﻌﻈﻤﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺍﻻﳒﻠﻴﺰﻳﺔ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻣﺎ ﺟﻌﻞ
ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑﻳﻦ ﳚﻬﻠﻮﻥ ﻛﻴﻔﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻷﺩﺍﺓ ﺍﻟﻔﻌﺎﻟﺔ ﰲ ﻗﺮﺍﺀﺓ ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻼﺕ ﻭﻗﺪ ﺣﺎﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﺎﻫﺪﺍ ﰲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺤﺎﺕ ﺃﻥ ﺃﺿﻊ ﺑﺪﺍﻳـﺔ
ﺃﻭ ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ ﳍﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﺎﻧﺐ ﻟﻌﻠﻪ ﺇﻧﺸﺎﺀ ﺍﷲ ﻳﻠﻘﻰ ﺍﻫﺘﻤﺎﻡ ﺍﻛﱪ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ.
ﺑﺪﺃﺕ ﻓﻜﺮﺕ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﻛﻮﺳﻴﻠﺔ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺔ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﻴﺪ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﱄ ﻭﻗﺪ ﻋﺎﻧﻴﺖ ﻛﺜﲑﹰﺍ ﺑﺴﺒﺐ ﻗﻠﺔ ﺍﳌﺼﺎﺩﺭ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺑﻴﺔ ﺍﻟـﱵ ـﺘﻢ ـﺬﺍ
ﺍﳉﺎﻧﺐ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻭﻓﻘﲏ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺑﺪﺃﺕ ﰲ ﲨﻊ ﻣﺎ ﺍﺳﺘﻄﻌﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻻﺕ ﻭﺩﺭﻭﺱ ﺍﳒﻠﻴﺰﻳﺔ ﻭﺣﺎﻭﻟﺖ ﲢﻮﻳﻠﻬﺎ ﺇﱃ ﻧﺼﻮﺹ ﻋﺮﺑﻴﺔ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﻴﺪ ﻣﻨـﻬﺎ ﰲ ﻗـﺮﺍﺀﺓ
ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﻭﱂ ﻳﻜﻦ ﻟﺪﻱ ﺃﻱ ﻓﻜﺮﺓ ﻟﻨﺸﺮ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﻟﻜﻨﲏ ﺑﺎﻟﻔﻌﻞ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﺃﺗﺬﻛﺮ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﻧﺎﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻭﺍﺟﻬﺘﲏ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﻗﺪ ﻳﻮﺍﺟﻬﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ
ﻣﻦ ﺍﻹﺧﻮﺍﻥ ﻭﺍﻷﺧﻮﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻬﺘﻤﲔ ﺬﺍ ﺍﺎﻝ ﻭﺧﺼﻮﺻﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻘﻒ ﺍﻟﻠﻐﺔ ﺣﺎﺟﺰ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﳍﻢ ﺃﺟﺪ ﺃﻥ ﻟﺪﻱ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﺒﺔ ﻻﻥ ﺃﻗﺪﻡ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺍﺿﻊ
ﻛﻮﺳﻴﻠﺔ ﻣﺴﺎﻋﺪﺓ ﻭﻧﺎﻓﻌﺔ ﺇﻧﺸﺎﺀ ﺍﷲ ﻭﻛﻤﻘﺪﻣﺔ ﻟﻼﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﻣﺎ ﺩﻣﺖ ﺍﻵﻥ ﺗﻘﺮﺃ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﻘﺪﻣﺔ ﻓﺄﻧﺎ ﺃﻛﻮﻥ ﻗﺪ ﺣﻘﻘﺖ ﻣﺎ ﺃﺭﺩﺗـﻪ
ﻭﻗﻤﺖ ﺑﺈﻳﺼﺎﻝ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳉﻬﺪ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺇﻟﻴﻚ ﻭﺇﻧﺸﺎﺀ ﺍﷲ ﺳﻮﻑ ﲡﺪ ﻣﺎ ﻳﻌﻴﻨﻚ ﻭﻣﺎ ﻳﻔﻴﺪﻙ ﰲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺤﺎﺕ ﻛﺨﻄﻮﺓ ﺃﻭﱃ ﻟﻠﺪﺧﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ.
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﻳﻨﻘﺴﻢ ﺇﱃ ﻗﺴﻤﲔ ﺭﺋﻴﺴﻴﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﺮﺍﺽ ﻋﺎﻡ ﻭﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ ﻭﻗﻮﺍﻋﺪ ﺃﺳﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﳉﺰﺀ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻭﻗﺪ ﻗﻤﺖ ﺑﺘﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺣﺴﺐ ﻧﻮﻋﻬﺎ ) ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﺘـﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ (
ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺣﺴﺐ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻷﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ.
ﻛﻞ ﻣﺎ ﺃﲤﻨﺎﻩ ﰲ ﺎﻳﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﻘﺪﻣﺔ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺘﻔﻴﺪ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺤﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺔ ﻟﻚ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﲣﺎﺫ ﻗﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺻﺎﺋﺒﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﺍﻷﻭﻗﺎﺕ ﻭﺃﲤـﲎ
ﻟﻚ ﻛﺴﺒﹰﺎ ﺣﻼ ﹰﻻ ﻭﺭﺯﻗﹰﺎ ﻃﻴﺒﹰﺎ ﻣﺒﺎﺭﻛﹰﺎ ﻓﻴﻪ ﺑﺈﺫﻥ ﺍﷲ ﻭﲟﺎ ُﻳﺮﺿﻲ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ " ﺣﻈﹰﺎ ﺑﺎﲰﹰﺎ " ﺇﻧﺸﺎﺀ ﺍﷲ..
3
ﺻﻔﺤﺔ ◊ اﻟــﻔــﻬــﺮس:
3 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ
4 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﻟﻔﻬﺮﺱ
6 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺒﺪﺀ
7 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ
7 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺗﻜﻮﻳﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ
8 .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺍﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻘﺼﲑﺓ
8 .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﺼﲑﺓ
9 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. Doji ﴰﻌﺔ
10 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﴰﻌﺔ Dojiﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
11 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﴰﻌﺔ Dojiﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﺭﺟﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ
11 .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Dragonfly Doji ﴰﻌﺔ Dojiﺍﳌﻈﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟـ
11 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Gravestone Doji ﴰﻌﺔ Dojiﺍﳌﻈﻠﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟـ
12 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﺿﺪ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ
13 .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﻣﺎ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻻ ﲣﱪﻙ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ
13 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ
14 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ
14 ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺃ -ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﻟﻼﻣﻊ ) ( Star Position
14 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺏ -ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﳊﺎﻣﻞ ) ( Harami Position
14 .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺴﻴﺔ
15 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Hanging Man ﺃ -ﺍﻟﺰﻭﺝ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ Hammerﻭ
16 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. Shooting Star ﺏ -ﺍﻟﺰﻭﺝ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ Inverted Hammerﻭ
17 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺩﻣﺞ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ
18 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ
19 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ
19 .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
19 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺃ -ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ
19 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺏ -ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩ (
20 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺝ -ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ ﻟﻠﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ
20 ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -1ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ
20 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -2ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ (
20 .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -3ﺗﺪﻓﻖ ﺍﳌﺎﻝ
4
ﺻﻔﺤﺔ
20 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
20 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺃ -ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ
21 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺏ -ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩ (
21 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺝ -ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ ﻟﻠﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ
21 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -1ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ
21 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -2ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ (
21 .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... -3ﺗﺪﻓﻖ ﺍﳌﺎﻝ
22 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﻣﻠﺤﻖ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ
23 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﻣﻔﺎﺗﻴﺢ ﻭ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺎﺕ ﻟﺘﺴﻬﻴﻞ ﻓﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ
24 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
24 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺃ -ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
29 ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺏ -ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
37 ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺝ -ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
41 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
41 ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺃ -ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
46 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺏ -ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
54 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺝ_ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ
58 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﻣﻠﺨﺺ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
60 ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. ﻣﻠﺨﺺ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
62 ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺍﳋﺎﲤﺔ
63 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﺟﻊ
64 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺷﺮ
5
◊ ﻗـﺒـﻞ اﻟـﺒـﺪء:
ﻻ ﳜﻔﻰ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻋﺎﻗﻞ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺴﻠﻢ ﺣﻜﻢ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﰲ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ ﻭﳓﻦ ﻧﻼﺣﻆ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻭﺍﺳﻊ ﻭﻻ ﳕﻠﻚ ﺇﻻ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﺎﺀ ﻷﻧﻔﺴﻨﺎ ﻭﳌﻦ ﻭﻗﻊ
ﰲ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﳍﺪﺍﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﺇﱃ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺍﳊﻖ ،ﻓﺎﳌﺴﻠﻢ ﻟﻪ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺘﻪ ﰲ ﻛﻞ ﺷﻲ ﻭﻟﻪ ﻣﻨﻬﺞ ﻳﺴﲑ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻭﻫﻮ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺳﻨﺔ ﻧﺒﻴﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺃﻓـﻀﻞ ﺍﻟـﺼﻼﺓ ﻭﺃﰎ
ﺍﻟﺘﺴﻠﻴﻢ ،ﻭﺧﺸﻴﺔ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻘﻊ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻹﺧﻮﺍﻥ ﻭﺍﻷﺧﻮﺍﺕ ﰲ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻋﻠﻢ ﻣﻨﻬﻢ ﺃﻭﺩ ﺃﻥ ﺍﺣﺬﺭ ﲨﻴﻊ ﻣﻦ ﻳﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻭﺳﻄﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﰲ ﺍﻷﺳـﻬﻢ
ﻓﺎﻟﻐﺎﻟﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻈﻤﻰ ﻣﻨﻬﻢ ﺗﻮﻓﺮ ﻓﺘﺢ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ ﺑﻨﻈﺎﻡ ) Marginﺍﳌﺎﺭﺟﺎﻥ ( ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺏ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻓﻴﻪ ﺑﺪﻓﻊ ﺟﺰﺀ ﻣﻦ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﻘﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﳌﺘـﺪﺍﻭﻝ
ﻭﻳﻘﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ ﺑﺘﻮﻓﲑ ﺑﺎﻗﻲ ﺍﳌﺒﻠﻎ ﻹﲤﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﻘﺔ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻳﻘﻮﻡ ﺻﺎﺣﺐ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺏ ﺑﺘﺴﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﳌﺒﻠﻎ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻭﻓﺮﻩ ﻟﻪ ﺍﻟﻮﺳﻴﻂ ﲟﺒﻠﻎ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺴﺐ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﻳـﺘﻢ
ﺍﻻﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻓﺘﺢ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺏ ﺑﻨﻈﺎﻡ Marginﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺎﻡ ﳏﺮﻡ ﺷﺮﻋﹰﺎ ﻷﻧﻪ ﺭﺑﺎ ﻭﻟﻮ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺎﻡ ﻳﻮﻓﺮ ﻧﺴﺒﺔ ﺃﻋﻠـﻰ ﻣـﻦ ﺍﻷﺭﺑـﺎﺡ ..ﻭﺗـﺬﻛﺮ
ﲔ " ) ﺍﻵﻳﺔ 86ﺳﻮﺭﺓ ﻫﻮﺩ ( ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺁﻳﺎﺕ ﻣﻦ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺍﷲ ﰲ ﲢﺮﱘ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ :
ﷲ َﺧﲑٌ ﱠﻟﻜﹸﻢ ﺇِﻥ ﻛﹸﻨﺘُﻢ ﻣُﺆ ِﻣِﻨ َ
ﻗﻮﻝ ﺍﷲ ﺗﻌﺎﱃ " َﺑ ِﻘﱠﻴﺖُ ﺍ ِ
ﻭﻟﻜﻲ ﻳﺘﺠﻨﺐ ﺍﳌﺴﻠﻢ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﻭﻳﺒﺘﻌﺪ ﻋﻨﻪ ﻓﻌﻠﻴﻪ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻓﺘﺢ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ ﻟﺪﻯ ﻭﺳﻴﻂ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺃﻥ ﳜﺘﺎﺭ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ Cashﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺃﻱ ﻓﻮﺍﺋﺪ ﺭﺑﻮﻳﺔ ﻫـﺬﺍ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻮﺳﻄﺎﺀ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﻭﻗﺪ ﻳﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺑﻮﺍﺏ ﻛﺜﲑﺓ ﻭﻣﺘﻌﺪﺩﺓ ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺮﱘ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻂ ﺑﺎﻟﺮﺑﺎ ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺮ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺴﻤﻰ ﺍﳊﺴﺎﺏ ﺃﻭ ﻧﻮﻉ
ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺃﺳﻬﻢ ﺃﻭ ﻋﻤﻼﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺣﱴ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺃﺧﺬ ﺍﻟﻔﻮﺍﺋﺪ ﺍﻟﺮﺑﻮﻳﺔ ﻛﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳊﺮﺍﻡ ﻻ ﻳﺘﻮﻗﻒ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﻞ ﻳﺘﻌﺪﺍﻩ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻭﺍﻣﺮ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﺧـﺎﺹ
" Buyﻭﻫـﻮ to Cover " Sellﻭﺍﻷﻣﺮ ﺍﳌﻜﻤﻞ ﻟﻪ ﻭﻫﻮ " Short ﰲ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﻭﻫﻮ ﺍﻷﻣﺮ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺒﻴﻊ ﻣﺎ ﻻ ﲤﻠﻚ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﻭﻳﺴﻤﻰ "
ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻟﻠﺘﻐﻄﻴﺔ ﻭﺑﻴﻊ ﻣﺎ ﻻ ﲤﻠﻚ ﳏﺮﻡ ﺷﺮﻋﹰﺎ..
ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺃﺫﻛﺮﻛﻢ ﻭﺍﺫﻛﺮ ﻧﻔﺴﻲ ﺑﺎﻟﺰﻛﺎﺓ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺟﺒﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﺎﻝ ﺍﳌﻌﺪ ﻟﻠﺘﺠﺎﺭﺓ ﺃﻭ ﻟﻼﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻓﻬﺬﺍ ﺣﻖ ﺷﺮﻋﻲ ﻓﺮﺿﻪ ﺍﷲ ﻋﺰ ﻭﺟﻞ ﻋﻠﻴﻨﺎ ﻭﳚﺐ
ﻋﻠﻴﻨﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻧﺘﺬﻛﺮ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺎﻝ ﻣﺎ ﹸﻝ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﻮﻥ ﻛﻠﻪ ﷲ ﺳﺨﺮﻩ ﻟﻨﺎ ﻟﻌﺒﺎﺩﺗﻪ ﻭﻟﻄﺎﻋﺘﻪ ﻋﺰ ﻭﺟﻞ ﻓﺎﻟﻮﺍﺟﺐ ﻋﻠﻴﻨﺎ ﺍﻟﺸﻜﺮ ﻗﺎﻝ ﺗﻌﺎﱃ " ﻭَﺍﺷﻜﹸﺮُﻭﺍ ﷲ ﺇِﻥ ﻛﹸﻨﺘُﻢ ِﺇﻳﱠﺎ ُﻩ
ﺗَﻌُﺒﺪُﻭﻥ " ) ﺍﻵﻳﺔ 172ﺳﻮﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﺒﻘﺮﺓ ( ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺸﻜﺮ ﺗﺪﻭﻡ ﺍﻟﻨﻌﻢ ﻭﰲ ﻛﻞ ﺍﻷﺣﻮﺍﻝ ﺃﻧﺖ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻝ ﺃﻣﺎﻡ ﺍﷲ ﻋﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺎ ﺗﻔﻌﻠﻪ ﻛﻤﺎ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻮﺍﺟـﺐ ﻋﻠﻴـﻚ ﺃﻥ
ﻛﻨُﺘﻢ ﻻ َﺗﻌ ﹶﻠ ُﻤﻮﻥ " ) ﺍﻵﻳﺔ 7ﺳﻮﺭﺓ ﺍﻷﻧﺒﻴﺎﺀ (
ﺗﺴﺄﻝ ﻋﻦ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺎ ﲡﻬﻠﻪ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﹰﺎ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﺓ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻗﺎﻝ ﺗﻌﺎﱃ " ﹶﻓﺴﹶﺌ ﹸﻠﻮﺍ ﹶﺃﻫ ﹶﻞ ﺍﻟ ﱢﺬﻛ ِﺮ ِﺇﻥ ﹸ
6
◊ ﺗﺎرﻳﺦ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ:
ﺑﺪﺃ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﳌﺘﺎﺟﺮﺓ ) ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ( ﺍﻷﺭﺯ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻊ ﻋﺸﺮ ..ﻭﻛﻤﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺨﺔ ﺍﳌﺒﻜﺮﺓ ﻟﻠﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ
ﰲ ﺣﻮﺍﱄ 1900ﻡ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ Charles Dow ﲢﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﺧﺘﻼﻓﺎﺕ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺴﺨﺔ ﺍﻷﻣﺮﻳﻜﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺑﺪﺍﺀ ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ
ﺍﳌﺒﺎﺩﺉ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺍﻋﺪ ( ﺍﻹﺭﺷﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻣﺘﻤﺎﺛﻠﺔ ﺟﺪﹰﺍ:
● ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﳊﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ " ﻣﺎ ﻫﻲ؟" ﺃﻭ "ﺇﱃ ﺃﻳﻦ ؟" ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻌﱪ ﻋﻦ ﺍﳊﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﺴﻌﺮ ﺃﻫﻢ ﺑﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ "ﳌﺎﺫﺍ؟" ﻭﺍﻟﱵ
ﺗﺒﺤﺚ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻷﺳﺒﺎﺏ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﺭﲟﺎ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﺧﺒﺎﺭ ﺃﻭ ﺃﺭﺑﺎﺡ ...ﺍﱁ
● ﻛﻞ ﺍﳌﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻌﺮﻭﻓﺔ ﻣﻨﻌﻜﺴﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ.
● ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﳛﺮﻛﻮﻥ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺍﻕ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺘﻨﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﻗﻌﺎﺕ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﻮﺍﻃﻒ )ﺍﳋﻮﻑ ﻭﺍﻟﻄﻤﻊ(.
● ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﻔﻌﻠﻲ ﻗﺪ ﻻ ﻳﻌﻜﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﻴﻤﺔ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ )ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻟﺔ(.
ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻗﻤﺔ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻭﺃﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻗﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ
ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﺃﻣﺎ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻓﻴﻜﻮﻥ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ..
7
◊ اﻷﺟﺴﺎم اﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ اﻷﺟﺴﺎم اﻟﻘﺼﻴﺮة:
ﻋﺎﺩ ﹰﺓ ﻳﻘﺎﻝ ﺍﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﻌﱪ ﻋﻦ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﻛﺜﻴﻒ ﺃﻭ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻛﺜﻴﻒ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺲ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻸﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻘﺼﲑﺓ ﻓﺈﺎ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﲢﺮﻙ
ﺿﺌﻴﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻭﲤﺜﻞ ﺗﻌﺰﻳﺰ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﺒﲔ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻗﻮﻱ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺫﻭ ﻣﻌﲎ ﻫﺎﻡ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺇﱃ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ
ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻋﺪﻭﺍﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﻗﻮﺓ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺑﺼﻮﺭﺓ ﻋﺎﻣﺔ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺻﻌﻮﺩ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺎ ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ
ﻛﺜﲑﹰﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺎﻟﺘﻬﺎ )ﻣﻮﺿﻌﻬﺎ( ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺼﻮﺭﺓ ﺍﻟﻔﻨﻴﺔ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻋﺎﻡ ﻓﺒﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﻮﺻﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ )ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻉ( ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺼﻨﻊ ﲢﻮﻝ
)ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ( ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺗﺼﻨﻊ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻋﻢ..
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﺒﲔ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﻗﻮﻱ ﻭﻫﻲ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﲢﺖ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺫﻭ ﻣﻌﲎ ﻫﺎﻡ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ
ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﻛﺎﻧﻮﺍ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻗﻮﺓ ﻭﻋﺪﻭﺍﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻨﺬﺭ ﺑﻨﻘﻄﺔ ﲢﻮﻝ ﺃﻭ ﺗﻀﻊ
ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﺃﻣﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺭﻋﺐ ﺃﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﺴﻼﻡ..
ﻣﻦ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻓﺎﻋﻠﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ﺍﻟـ Marubozuﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟـ Marubozuﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻼﻝ ﻋﻠﻮﻳﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺳﻔﻠﻴﺔ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ
ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺃﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ Marubozu ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﳝﺜﻞ ﺑﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻭﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ Marubozu ﻳﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﲢﻜﻤﻮﺍ ﰲ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺎﻳﺘﻪ ﻭﺍﻟـ
ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺃﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﲢﻜﻤﻮﺍ ﰲ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ
ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺎﻳﺘﻪ..
8
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻘﺼﲑ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻭﺭﻓﻌﻮﺍ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ،ﺑﺼﻮﺭﺓ
ﻋﺎﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﺗﺄﺧﺮﻭﺍ ﰲ ﺇﺟﺒﺎﺭ ﺃﻭ ﺩﻓﻊ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﳍﺎ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻀﻌﻴﻒ ﺻﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺲ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺫﺍﺕ
ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻘﺼﲑ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺧﻔﻀﻮﺍ )ﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ( ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ،ﺑﺼﻮﺭﺓ ﻋﺎﻣﺔ
ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺗﺄﺧﺮﻭﺍ ﰲ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﻱ ﺻﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ..
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺗﺴﻤﻰ ،Spinning Topsﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﳝﺜﻞ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ
ﲤﺜﻞ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺣﲑﺓ )ﺗﺮﺩﺩ( ﻭﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ )ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﺃﻭ ﺃﺳﻮﺩ( ﻳﺒﲔ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﲢﺮﻙ ﺑﺴﻴﻄﺔ ﻣﻦ Spinning Tops ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ )ﺃﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ( ﻭ ﺍﻟـ
ﻼ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ )ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ( ﻭﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ )ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ( ﻛﺎﻧﻮﺍ ﻧﺸﻄﲔ ﺃﺗﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ،ﺣﱴ ﻟﻮ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺇﻏﻼﻕ
ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺃﻥ ﻛ ﹰ
ﻼ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﻭﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﱂ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻴﻌﻮﺍ
ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺗﻐﲑ ﺑﺴﻴﻂ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺍﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﳍﺎ ﻣﻌﲎ ﻫﺎﻡ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺮﻙ ،ﻛ ﹰ
ﻛﺴﺐ )ﺭﺑﺢ( ﺍﻟﻴﺪ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﺓ ﻋﻨﻬﻢ..
ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻌﻒ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ )ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ( ﻭﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺗﻐﲑ Spinning Tops ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ
ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺇﻋﺎﻗﺔ )ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺽ( ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻓﺈﻥ ﺍﻟـ Spinning Topsﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻌﻒ
ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ )ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ( ﻭﺍﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺗﻐﲑ ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺇﻋﺎﻗﺔ )ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺽ( ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺷﻤﻌﺔ :Doji
ﴰﻌﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻫﻢ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺒﲔ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎﺕ ﺧﺎﺻﺔ ﺎ ﻭﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﰲ ﻋﺪﺩ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﻬﻤﺔ ،ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ
ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻣﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻭﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻴﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳐﺘﻠﻒ ﻟﻜﻦ ﳏﺼﻠﺔ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ Doji ﻣﻨﻔﺮﺩﺓ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﻋﺎﺩﻱ ﺃﻭ ﳏﺎﻳﺪ ﻭﻛﻠﻤﺔ Doji ﺷﻜﻞ ﺻﻠﻴﺐ ﺃﻭ ﺻﻠﻴﺐ ﻣﻌﻜﻮﺱ ﺃﻭ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﲨﻊ ) ،(+ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﴰﻌﺔ
ﺫﺍﺕ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ Doji ﺍﳌﻔﺮﺩ ﻭﺍﳉﻤﻊ ﻭﻳﻔﻀﻞ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﲔ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻴﺲ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻀﺮﻭﺭﻱ ﻭﺣﱴ ﻟﻮ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﺍﻟـ
ﻭﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻀﺮﻭﺭﻱ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﻴﻼﺀ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺟﻮﻫﺮ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ..
ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻮﺻﻞ )ﺗﻨﻘﻞ( ﻣﻌﲎ ﺍﳊﲑﺓ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﺩﺩ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺼﺮﺍﻉ ﺑﲔ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ،ﻓﺎﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻳﺘﺤﺮﻙ ﻓﻮﻕ ﻭﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ
ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻗﺮﻳﺐ ﺃﻭ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﺒﻘﻰ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﺓ ﻻ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﻭﻻ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﺍﺳﺘﻄﺎﻋﻮﺍ ﻛﺴﺐ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻜﻢ ﻭﻧﻘﻄﺔ
ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻮﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺷﻚ ﺍﻟﻈﻬﻮﺭ..
9
ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺍﳌﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﺗﺄﺧﺬ ﻣﻘﺎﻳﻴﺲ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﻓﺎﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ $20ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ Dojiﺫﺍﺕ 1/8ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﻓﺎﺭﻕ
ﺫﺍﺕ 1 1/4ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﻓﺎﺭﻕ ،ﻭﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ Doji ﺑﲔ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ $200ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠـ Dojiﻳﺘﻮﻗﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﺛﲑ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ،ﻭﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺟﺴﻢ
ﺻﻐﲑ ﺟﺪﹰﺍ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ )ﻳﺒﺪﻭﺍ( ﻛﺨﻂ ﺭﻗﻴﻖ ﺃﻭ ﺭﻓﻴﻊ ﻭﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﲔ ﴰﻮﻉ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻻ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻣﻬﻤﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﲔ ﴰﻮﻉ ﺫﺍﺕ
ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻣﻌﲎ ﺃﻫﻢ..
◊ ﺷﻤﻌﺔ Dojiواﻻﺗﺠﺎﻩ:
ﻭﺛﺎﻗﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺿﻐﻂ
ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﺑﺪﺍﺀ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻀﻌﻒ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺑﺪﺍﺀ ﻳﻨﻘﺺ )ﻳﻘﻞ( ،ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ
ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺽ ﻭﺍﻟﻄﻠﺐ ﺃﺻﺒﺤﺖ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻫﺪﻭﺀ ﻭﺃﻥ ﺗﻐﲑ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺭﲟﺎ ﺃﺻﺒﺢ ﻗﺮﻳﺐ ﺍﳊﺪﻭﺙ ﻭ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻨﻔﺮﺩﺓ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﺎﻓﻴﺔ
ﻟﻜﻲ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻼﻣﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﲢﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺇﺿﺎﰲ ﻟﻠﺘﱪﻳﺮ )ﻟﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﱪﺭﺓ(.
ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﺑﺪﺍﺀ ﻳﺘﻨﺎﻗﺺ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺭﲟﺎ ﺃﺻﺒﺢ
ﻗﺮﻳﺐ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻭﰲ ﺣﲔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻴﻊ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﱰﻭﻝ ﺑﺒﺴﺎﻃﺔ ﻋﻦ ﻧﻘﺺ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻓﺈﻥ ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ
ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺃﳘﻴﺔ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ،ﺣﱴ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﻓﺎﻥ ﺗﻌﺰﻳﺰ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﺘﻄﻠﺐ
)ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ( ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ Gap Down ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟـ
ﻭﺍﻟـ Dojiﻓﺈﻥ ﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﻮﺍ ﰲ ﲢﺬﻳﺮ ﻻﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Evening Doji Star
ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺑﺪﺍﺀ ﻳﺘﻨﺎﻗﺺ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺭﲟﺎ ﺃﺻﺒﺢ
ﻗﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻭﺣﱴ ﻟﻮ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﺑﺪﺀﻭﺍ ﰲ ﻓﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻜﻢ ﰲ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﺰﻳﺰ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﻱ ﻳﺘﻄﻠﺐ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺃﻱ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ
)ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ( ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ Gap Up ﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﺄﰐ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﻮﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺬﺭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Morning Doji Star
10
◊ ﺷﻤﻌﺔ اﻟـ Dojiذات اﻷرﺟﻞ اﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ:
ﺍﻟـ Long-Legged Dojiﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﳘﺎ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺎﻥ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻝ ،ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺗﻌﻜﺲ ﻣﻘﺪﺍﺭ
ﻛﺒﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﻻﻻﺕ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ،ﺍﻟـ Long-Legged Dojiﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﰎ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﺟﻴﺪ ﻓﻮﻕ ﻭﲢﺖ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺃﻏﻠﻖ
ﻓﻌﻠﻴﹰﺎ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻣﻊ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﻧﺼﻴﺐ )ﻗﺪﺭ( ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺼﻴﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻟﺼﺮﺍﺥ ﺍﳌﺘﺒﺎﺩﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺗﺒﲔ ﺗﻐﲑ ﺑﺴﻴﻂ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻷﻭﱄ..
ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻟﻈﻞ )Dragon Fly Doji (UMBRELLA ﺿﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟـ
ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺍﻟﺸﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻋﺪﺩ ﻭﺍﻓﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻻ ﻳﺰﺍﻟﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﺩﻳﻦ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﺎﻥ ،ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﺍﻟـ ) Dragon Fly Doji (UMBRELLAﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻟﻠﻘﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﻻﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ
)ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻼﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ( ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻘﻤﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ
ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ( ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﺳﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺗﻔﺎﺅﻝ )ﺗﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ( ﺃﻭ ﺗﺸﺎﺅﻡ )ﺗﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﰲ ﻛﻼ ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺘﲔ..
ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﻣﺜﻠﻬﺎ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺑﻘﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺿﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﳍﺎ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺇﻻ ﺃﻥ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ
ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﻛﻴﺰ ﻳﺘﺤﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ( ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
11
ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﻛﻴﺰ ﻳﺘﺤﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺴﻘﻮﻁ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻭﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ )ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ(
ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﻭﺳﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺗﻔﺎﺅﻝ ) ﺗﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ( ﺃﻭ ﺗﺸﺎﺅﻡ )ﺗﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﰲ ﻛﻼ ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺘﲔ..
-1ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻜﺮﺓ )ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ( ﻷﻏﻠﺐ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺍﻟﻠﻌﺒﺔ.
-2ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻜﺮﺓ )ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ( ﻷﻏﻠﺐ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺍﻟﻠﻌﺒﺔ.
-3ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑﺓ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻪ ﱂ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻊ ﺍﺣﺪ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﻳﻘﲔ ﲢﺮﻳﻚ ﺍﻟﻜﺮﺓ ﻭﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﻬﺖ ﺣﻮﻝ ﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺪﺍﻳﺔ.
-4ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﲢﻜﻤﻮﺍ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻜﺮﺓ ﳉﺰﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻠﻌﺒﺔ ﻟﻜﻨﻬﻢ ﻓﻘﺪﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻄﺮﺓ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﻗﺎﻣﻮﺍ ﺑﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﺭﺍﺋﻌﺔ.
-5ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﲢﻜﻤﻮﺍ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻜﺮﺓ ﳉﺰﺀ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻠﻌﺒﺔ ﻟﻜﻨﻬﻢ ﻓﻘﺪﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻄﺮﺓ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﻗﺎﻣﻮﺍ ﺑﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﺭﺍﺋﻌﺔ.
-6ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻳﺸﲑﺍﻥ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﻛﻼﳘﺎ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻟﻪ ﳊﻈﺎﺗﻪ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻠﻌﺒﺔ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﱂ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻊ ﺗﻨﺤﻴﺔ ﺍﻵﺧﺮ ﺟﺎﻧﺒﹰﺎ ﳑﺎ
ﺃﺩﻯ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺳﺘﻤﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺟﻬﺔ.
12
◊ ﻣﺎ اﻟﺬي ﻻ ﺗﺨﺒﺮك ﺑﻪ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ:
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻻ ﺗﻌﻜﺲ ﺳﻠﺴﻠﺔ ﺍﻷﺣﺪﺍﺙ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ،ﻓﻘﻂ ﺗﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﻌﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺍﻗﻞ
ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻭﺍﺿﺤﺔ ﻭﻏﲑ ﻗﺎﺑﻠﺔ ﻟﻠﺠﺪﺍﻝ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ )ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺍﻟﺮﺳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﳋﺮﺍﺋﻂ( ﻻ ﺗﺴﺘﻄﻴﻊ ﺇﺧﺒﺎﺭﻧﺎ ﺃﻳﻬﻤﺎ ﺟﺎﺀ ﺃﻭﻻ
ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺃﻡ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ..
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﳌﺪﺓ ﺳﻴﻌﺘﻤﺪﺍﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﻀﻴﻼﺕ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺩﻳﺔ ،ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻻﻥ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﰲ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﺘﻬﺎ ﻗﺼﲑﺓ ﺍﻷﻣﺪ ﻓﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻷﻓﻀﻞ
ﺍﻷﺧﺬ ﰲ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺁﺧﺮ 4 – 1ﺃﺳﺎﺑﻴﻊ ﻣﻦ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ..
13
◊ ﻣﻮاﺿﻊ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ:
أ -اﻟﻤﻮﻗﻊ اﻟﻼﻣﻊ ) :( Star Position
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﳍﺎ ﻳﻘﺎﻝ ﺃﺎ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﰲ ﻣﻮﻗﻊ ﻻﻣﻊ ) ،( Star Positionﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﺓ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳍﺎ
( ﳍﺎ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ،ﻭﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩﹰﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ Star Position ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻛﺒﲑ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻟﻴﺲ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﱵ ﰲ ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﻟﻼﻣﻊ )
( ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻭﺗﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﻌﺰﻭﻟﺔ ﻋﻦ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ Star Position ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﻟﻼﻣﻊ )
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺃﻭ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ،ﻭﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻋﺪﺓ ﴰﻮﻉ ﳍﺎ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﰲ ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ
ﺍﻟﻼﻣﻊ ) ( Star Positionﻣﺜﻞ.. Hammers – Shooting Stars – Spinning Tops – Doji :
14
ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳑﺜﻞ ﺑﺄﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﻇﻼﻝ ﺳﻔﻠﻴﺔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﺍﻟﺰﻭﺝ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ Hanging Man ﻭ Hammer ﺍﻟﺰﻭﺝ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ
ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳑﺜﻞ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﺑﺎﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻟﻪ ﻇﻼﻝ ﻋﻠﻮﻳﺔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﺣﺮﻛﺔ Shooting Star ﻭ Inverted Hammer
ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﻌﺰﻳﺰ ) ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ( ﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﱵ ﲢﺪﺩ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﺔ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺳﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻴﺔ Inverted Hammer ﻭ ﺍﻟـ Hammer ﺃﻭ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ،ﺍﻟـ
ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﺍﻟـShooting Star ﻭ Hanging Man ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺍﻟـ
ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (..
) ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ( ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﺪ Hammer ﺍﻟـ
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻌﻄﻲ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻟﻠﻘﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﳌﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ Hammer ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ )ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ( ،ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﶈﺘﻤﻞ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟـ Hammerﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺇﺣﻴﺎﺀ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ،ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺪﻝ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ
ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﻳﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺣﺎﻟﺘﻬﻢ ﻹﺎﺀ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ،ﻭﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ
ﻳﺒﺪﻭ ﻛﺎﻓﻴﹰﺎ ﻟﻠﺘﺼﺮﻑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟـ Hammerﺗﺘﻄﻠﺐ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ..
ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠـ Hammerﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﺑﺎﻗﻮﻥ )ﻣﺘﻮﺍﺟﺪﻳﻦ( ،ﺗﻌﺰﻳﺰ )ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ( ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻭﺍﻟﺰﻳﺎﺩﺓ ﺍﳌﻔﻀﻠﺔ ﰲ ﺣﺠﻢ
ﺃﻭ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ Gap Up ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺑﺔ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ ﻭﻣﺜﻞ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺄﰐ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﺍﻟـ Hammerﺗﺒﲔ )ﺗﺸﺎﺑﻪ( ﺫﺭﻭﺓ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻭﺣﺠﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﻴﻞ ﳜﺪﻡ ﰲ ﺗﻌﺰﻳﺰ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ..
ﺍﻟـ ) Hanging Manﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ( ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻳﻀﺎ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ
ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﻭﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﺑﺎﺩﺉ ﰲ ﺍﻻﺯﺩﻳﺎﺩ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ Hanging Man ﺍﻟﻘﻤﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ،ﻭﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﺩﻓﻌﻮﺍ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻭﺑﺎﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺣﺎﻟﺘﻬﻢ )ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺃﻗﺪﺍﻣﻬﻢ( ﻭﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ
ﻓﺎﻥ Hammer ﺑﺎﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻈﻬﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺭﻓﻊ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻢ ﺍﻷﺻﻔﺮ ،ﻭﻛﻤﺎ ﻫﻮ ﺍﳊﺎﻝ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟـ
Gap Down ﺗﺘﻄﻠﺐ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ ﻭﻣﺜﻞ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺄﰐ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ Hanging Man ﺍﻟـ
ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺛﻘﻴﻞ..
15
◊ اﻟﺰوج اﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ Inverted Hammerو :Shooting Star
ﺗﺒﺪﻭ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻀﺒﻂ ﻟﻜﻦ ﳍﺎ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﳐﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺘﻨﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ Shooting Star ﻭ Inverted Hammer ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ،ﻛﻼﳘﺎ ﻟﻪ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺻﻐﲑ ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻗﺼﲑ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ،ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺘﲔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﰲ
ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﺘﻄﻠﺐ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ..
ﺍﻟـ ) Shooting Starﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ( ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﻭﰲ
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺃﻭ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ Shooting Star ( ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﲰﻲ ﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺳﻢ ،ﺍﻟـ Star Position ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﻟﻼﻣﻊ )
ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﰲ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺟﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺎ
ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﲡﺔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺟﺴﻢ ﺻﻐﲑ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ..
ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺍﻟﻜﺒﲑ )ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﺭﺓ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﻟﺪﻓﻊ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺗﺮﻓﻊ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻢ
ﺍﻷﺻﻔﺮ ) ﺗﺘﻮﻗﻒ ( ،ﻟﻺﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻋﻜﺲ ﻛﺒﲑﺓ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻧﺴﺒﻴﹰﺎ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻞ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﻣﺮﺗﲔ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ
ﺃﻭ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ Gap Down ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ Shootin Star ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺛﻘﻴﻞ..
) ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ( ﲤﺜﻞ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﺃﻭ ﲤﺜﻞ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ Inverted Hammer ﺍﻟـ
ﺩﻋﻢ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﳔﻔﺎﺽ )ﺍﻻﳓﺪﺍﺭ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﱂ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﻮﺍ
ﻗﺎﺩﺭﻳﻦ ﻋﻠﻰ ﲢﻤﻞ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻫﺬﺍ ﻭﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺃﻏﻠﻘﺖ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺟﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺎ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻫﻮ ﻣﺎ ﻛﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﻭﺑﺴﺒﺐ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻔﺸﻞ
)ﺍﻟﻌﺠﺰ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﺮﻑ ،ﻭﺍﻟـ Inverted Hammerﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻋﺔ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ Gap Upﺃﻭ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ
ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺛﻘﻴﻞ ﻛﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ..
16
◊ دﻣﺞ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ:
ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻦ ﴰﻌﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺪﻣﺞ )ﲤﺰﺝ( ﻣﻊ ﺑﻌﻀﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﻟﺘﻜﻮﻳﻦ ﴰﻌﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺪﻣﺞ
ﻳﺴﺘﺤﻮﺫ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺟﻮﻫﺮ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ:
● ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ.
● ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻷﺧﲑﺓ.
● ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ.
ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻳﻀﺎ ﻣﺰﺝ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﴰﻌﺘﲔ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﻭﻣﺜﺎﻝ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺩﻣﺞ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺟﻨﻮﺩ )ﴰﻮﻉ( ﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻭﺩﻣﺞ
ﺛﻼﺙ ﻏﺮﺑﺎﻥ )ﴰﻮﻉ( ﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ،ﻭﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﻳﻠﻲ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻷﻣﺜﻠﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺩﻣﺞ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﻣﻊ ﺑﻌﻀﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺾ..
17
◊ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ وﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﺪﻋﻢ:
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﻔﺮﺩﺓ ﻭﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺃﻭ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ،ﻭﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻫﺬﺍ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺑﻌﺪ
،Tradingﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺎﻋﺪ ﰲ ﲢﺪﻳﺪ Range ﻫﺒﻮﻁ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ )ﳑﺘﺪ( ﺃﻭ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻋﻢ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﺿﻤﻦ ﳎﺎﻝ )ﻣﺪﻯ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ
)ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ( ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺪﺧﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﳋﺮﻭﺝ ﰲ ﳎﺎﻝ )ﻣﺪﻯ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ Trading Rangeﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻠﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻗﺮﺏ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻗﺮﺏ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ..
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﺗﻮﺣﻲ ﺑﺎﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﻗﺪ ﻫُﺰﻡ )ﺗﻼﺷﻰ( ﻭﺍﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﺑﺎﺩﺉ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻈﻬﻮﺭ ﻭﻣﺜﻞ
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﻔﺎﺅﻝ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻋﻢ..
) ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ :ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺈﻣﻜﺎﻧﻚ ﺍﻹﻃﻼﻉ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ (
18
◊ اﻟﺸﻤﻮع اﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ وﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻣﺔ:
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﻔﺮﺩﺓ ﻭﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﰲ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻭﲢﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ،ﻭﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻫﺬﺍ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺑﻌﺪ
ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ )ﳑﺘﺪ( ﺃﻭ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺿﻤﻦ ﳎﺎﻝ )ﻣﺪﻯ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ،Trading Rangeﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺎﻋﺪ ﰲ
ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻠﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻗﺮﺏ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻭﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ Trading Range ﲢﺪﻳﺪ )ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ( ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺪﺧﻮﻝ ﻭﺍﳋﺮﻭﺝ ﰲ ﳎﺎﻝ )ﻣﺪﻯ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ
ﻗﺮﺏ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ..
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﺗﻮﺣﻲ ﺑﺎﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻗﺪ ﺍﻟﻐﻲ )ﺗﻼﺷﻰ( ﻭﺍﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﺑﺎﺩﺉ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻈﻬﻮﺭ
ﻭﻣﺜﻞ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺸﺎﺅﻡ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ..
) ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ :ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺈﻣﻜﺎﻧﻚ ﺍﻹﻃﻼﻉ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ (
ﻷﻥ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻗﺼﲑﺓ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ ﻭﺗﺄﰐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺃﺳﺒﻮﻉ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﺒﻮﻋﲔ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺄﰐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ
ﺇﱃ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ..
ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺤﺪﺩ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ Moving Averagesﺃﻭ Trendlinesﺃﻭ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﲢﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻘﻤﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺎﻉ ،ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺘﻨﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ:
● ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﲢﺖ )..20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA
● ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﲢﺖ ..Trendline
● ﻛﻞ ﺭﺩﺓ ﻓﻌﻞ ﻟﻘﻤﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻗﺎﻉ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻗﺒﻠﻬﺎ..
19
ﻫﺬﻩ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺃﻣﺜﻠﺔ ﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﶈﺘﻤﻠﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ،ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﻗﺪ ﻳﻔﻀﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻷﻗﺼﺮ ﻭﻳﻌﺘﱪﻭﻥ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﱵ
ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟـ 10-day EMAﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﻳﲑ ﺍﳊﺎﲰﺔ ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﲡﺎﺭﺗﻚ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻔﻀﻴﻼﺗﻚ ﺍﻟﺸﺨﺼﻴﺔ..
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ..
-2اﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) اﻟﻘﻮة اﻟﺪاﻓﻌﺔ (:
ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﺍﻟـ Oscillatorsﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﲢﺴﻦ ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ ( ﻣﻊ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ،ﺍﻻﳓﺮﺍﻓﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ ﰲ – PPO – MACD
ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﲢﺴﻦ ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ ( ﻭﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺧﻠﻒ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ Williams %R – StochRSI – Stochastics – RSI
ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ،ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻮﺭ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻟﻠـ Moving Averageﰲ ﺍﻟـ PPOﻭ ﺍﻟـ MACDﻳﺰﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ
ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻮﺭ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟـ ) triggerﺍﳋﻂ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﻓﻖ ﻟﻠﻤﺆﺷﺮ ( ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟـ ..Stochastic Oscillator
-3ﺗﺪﻓﻖ اﻟﻤﺎل:
ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻗﻮﺍﻋﺪ ﻣﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﳌﻌﺮﻓﺔ ﻧﻮﺑﺔ ) ﻓﻮﺭﺓ ( ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ،ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ )On Balance Volume (OBV
– ) Accumulation/Distribution Line – Chaikin Money Flow (CMFﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ ﻻﻛﺘﺸﺎﻑ ﺍﻻﳓﺮﺍﻓﺎﺕ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﺒﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺿﻐﻂ
ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻣﻔﺮﻁ ﺣﻘﹰﺎ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻻﲢﺎﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﰲ ﺃﻱ ﺃﺩﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺳﻮﻑ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻫﺬﻩ
ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ) ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﺕ ( ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺘﺤﺪ ﻟﺘﻌﻄﻲ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻈﻤﻰ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ..
) ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ :ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺈﻣﻜﺎﻧﻚ ﺍﻹﻃﻼﻉ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ (
20
ﻻﻥ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻗﺼﲑﺓ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ ﻭﺗﺄﰐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺃﺳﺒﻮﻉ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﺒﻮﻋﲔ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺄﰐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺇﱃ
ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ..
ﺃﻭ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﲢﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻘﻤﺔ Trendlines ﺃﻭ Moving Averages ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺤﺪﺩ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ
ﻭﺍﻟﻘﺎﻉ ،ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺻﺎﻋﺪ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺘﻨﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻘﺎﻁ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ:
● ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﻓﻮﻕ )..20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA
● ﺍﻟﺴﻬﻢ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﻓﻮﻕ .. Trendline
● ﻛﻞ ﺭﺩﺓ ﻓﻌﻞ ﻟﻘﻤﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻗﺎﻉ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﱵ ﻗﺒﻠﻬﺎ..
ﻫﺬﻩ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺃﻣﺜﻠﺔ ﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﺍﻟﺘﻌﻠﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﺍﶈﺘﻤﻠﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ،ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﻗﺪ ﻳﻔﻀﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻫﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻷﻗﺼﺮ ﻭﻳﻌﺘﱪﻭﻥ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺍﻟﱵ
ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﳍﺎ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻟـ 10-day EMAﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺻﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﻳﲑ ﺍﳊﺎﲰﺔ ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺳﻠﻮﺏ ﲡﺎﺭﺗﻚ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻔﻀﻴﻼﺗﻚ ﺍﻟﺸﺨﺼﻴﺔ..
ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ ( ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ Williams %R – StochRSI – Stochastics – RSI –
ﻳﺰﻳﺪ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻮﺭ MACD ﻭ ﺍﻟـ PPO ﰲ ﺍﻟـ Moving Average ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺴﻲ ،ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﻌﺒﻮﺭ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ﻟﻠـ
ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ﻟـ ) triggerﺍﳋﻂ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﺮﺍﻓﻖ ﻟﻠﻤﺆﺷﺮ ( ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟـ ..Stochastic Oscillator
-3ﺗﺪﻓﻖ اﻟﻤﺎل:
ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ﻫــﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ، ﺿﻐــﻂ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﳌﻌﺮﻓﺔ ﻧﻮﺑﺔ ) ﻓﻮﺭﺓ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻣﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ﻗﻮﺍﻋﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﻡ
ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪﻡ Accumulation/Distribution Line – )Chaikin Money Flow (CMF – )On Balance Volume (OBV
ﻻﻛﺘﺸﺎﻑ ﺍﻻﳓﺮﺍﻓﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﻟﺒﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺑﻴﻊ ﻣﻔﺮﻁ ﺣﻘﹰﺎ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻻﲢﺎﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﰲ ﺃﻱ ﺃﺩﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺳﻮﻑ ﺗﺰﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ ﻗﻮﺓ
ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ) ﺍﻟﺴﻤﺎﺕ ( ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺘﺤﺪ ﻟﺘﻌﻄﻲ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻈﻤﻰ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ..
) ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ :ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺮﻑ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﺑﺈﻣﻜﺎﻧﻚ ﺍﻹﻃﻼﻉ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ (
21
22
◊ ﻣﻔﺎﺗﻴﺢ و ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺎت ﻟﺘﺴﻬﻴﻞ ﻓﻬﻢ اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ واﻟﻤﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ:
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻪ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ.
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺃﺳﻮﺩ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ.
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﺮﻣﺎﺩﻱ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﺃﻭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﻣﻬﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﴰﻌﺔ ـﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻠـﻮﻥ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜـﻮﻥ
ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ 34ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﻭﻋﻠﻰ 34ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻭﰲ ﻛﻞ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺳﻮﻑ ﻧـﺴﺘﻌﺮﺽ
ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ :ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻧﻌﲏ ﺑﻜﻠﻤﺔ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﻋﺪﺓ ﴰﻮﻉ ﻣﻊ ﺑﻌﻀﻬﺎ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺳﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻋﺪﺩﻫﺎ ﺍﺛﻨﲔ ﺃﻭ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺃﻭ ﺃﺭﺑﻌـﺔ
ﴰﻮﻉ ﺃﻭ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ...
ﰲ ﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳌﻠﺤﻖ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﻣﻠﺨﺺ ﳛﺘﻮﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﲨﻴﻊ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﻟﱵ ﰎ ﺫﻛﺮﻫﺎ ﰲ ﻫـﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻘـﺴﻢ ﺳـﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠـﺔ
ﺃﻭ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﺔ ﺣﺴﺐ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﺃﻗﺴﺎﻡ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺣﱴ ﻳﺴﻬﻞ ﺍﻟﺮﺟﻮﻉ ﺇﻟﻴﻬﺎ...
ﺗﺬﻛﺮ ﰲ ﻛﻞ ﺍﻷﺣﻮﺍﻝ ﺃﻥ ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺃﺩﺍﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﻭﻗﺮﺍﺀﺓ ﺧﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﺍﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻼﺕ ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﳚﺐ ﻋﻠﻴﻚ ﺩﺍﺋﻤـﹰﺎ
ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﻛﱪ ﻗﺪﺭ ﳑﻜﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﻣﻊ ﺑﻌﻀﻬﺎ ﺍﻟﺒﻌﺾ ﺣﱴ ﺗﺼﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻗﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ،ﻭﺗﺬﻛﺮ ﺃﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻣﻚ ﻷﻱ ﻧـﻮﻉ
ﻣﻦ ﺃﻧﻮﺍﻉ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺳﻮﺍ ًﺀ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ) ﻗﺮﺍﺀﺓ ﺍﳋﺮﺍﺋﻂ ﻭﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ( ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﺳﻲ ) ﻗﺮﺍﺀﺓ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺍﺋﻢ ﺍﳌﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﲢﻠﻴﻠﻬﺎ ( ﻻ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺑﺎﻟـﻀﺮﻭﺭﺓ ﺍﻧـﻚ
ﺳﻮﻑ ﺗﺘﺨﺬ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﺋﺐ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻓﻔﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﺑﺎﻟﺬﺍﺕ ﻗﺪ ﺗﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﺳﺘﺨﺪﺍﻡ ﲨﻴﻊ ﺍﻷﺩﻭﺍﺕ ﺍﻟﻼﺯﻣـﺔ ﻟﻜـﻦ ﺍﻟﻘـﺮﺍﺭ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳـﺔ
ﻗﺪ ﻻ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺻﺤﻴﺤﹰﺎ ﻻﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﺷﻲﺀ ) ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻔﺴﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ – ﺍﻷﺧﺒﺎﺭ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﺮﻛﺎﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ
– ﺍﻷﺣﺪﺍﺙ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﻭﲨﻴﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻪ ﻋﻼﻗﺔ ﺑﺎﻷﺳﻬﻢ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻼﺕ ( ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻗﺪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﺒﺒﹰﺎ ﰲ ﺍﲣﺎﺫ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻟﻘﺮﺍﺭﺍﺕ ﺍﳋﺎﻃﺌﺔ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻻ ﻳﻌﲏ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻓﺎﻋﻠﻴﺔ
ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺍﻟﻔﲏ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻷﺳﺎﺳﻲ ﻷﻧﻪ ﺣﺘﻤﹰﺎ ﻋﻠﻢ ﻭﻣﻨﻬﺞ ﰎ ﺗﺄﺳﻴﺴﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼﻝ ﺧﱪﺍﺕ ﻭﺳﻨﻮﺍﺕ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﺗﻌﻠﻢ ﻭﻛﻦ ﻣﺘﻴﻘﻨﹰﺎ ﺑﺄﻥ ﺃﻱ ﺧﻄﺄ ﺗﺮﺗﻜﺒـﻪ ﰲ
ﺍﻟﺘﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻗﺪ ﻳﻮﺛﺮ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻭﺿﻊ ﰲ ﺍﳊﺴﺒﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﺑﺄﻧﻚ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﺘﻌﻠﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺧﻄﺎﺋﻚ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﹰﺎ ﰲ ﺍﻟﺒﺪﺍﻳﺔ...
23
اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮد (:
أ -اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ:
1- Abandoned Baby Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻷﻭﱃ ) ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ( ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﴰﻌﺔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ( ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺗﻔﺘﺢ
ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ) ﺭﺩﺓ ﻓﻌﻞ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ( ﻭﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ( ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ
ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﻛﺲ ) ﻓﻮﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠـ ( Dojiﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻼﻝ ﻣﺘﺪﺍﺧﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻘﻮﻡ ﺑﺘﻌﺰﻳﺰ ﻫﺒﻮﻁ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ) ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ( ﺻﻐﲑ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺫﻟﻚ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﲢﺴﻦ
ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻊ ) ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻗﻊ ( ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻐﲑ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﻌﻄﻰ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻭﺍﺿﺢ
ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﺟﻴﺪ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟـ ..Gap Up
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ Marubozu ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ
ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ Marubozuﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻳﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﻱ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﻟﱰﻭﻝ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ Marubozuﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻷﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ
ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺧﲑ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Marubozuﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﺗﺒﲔ ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺗﻮﻗﻒ ﻭﻛﺄﻧﻪ ﺃﻏﻠﻖ ﰲ ﻗﺎﻉ ) ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ (
ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﺮﻙ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻳﻘﻮﻣﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﻟﺘﻐﻄﻴﺔ ﺃﻭﺿﺎﻋﻬﻢ ﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﺘﻐﻄﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﻭﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻳﻀﺎ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ
ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻨﺸﺄ..
24
3- Kicking Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ Marubozuﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ Marubozu ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻳﻮﻡ
ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ﻭﻳﻮﺟﻪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ) ﺗﻔﺎﺅﻝ ( ،ﺍﳊﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻟﻠﺴﻮﻕ ﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﺃﳘﻴﺔ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻷﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻌﺰﺯ ﺍﻟﱰﻭﻝ ﺑﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺻﻐﲑ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻊ ) ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ( ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻐﲑ ،ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻌﻄﻰ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ Doji Starﳏﻘﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ ..
25
5- Morning Star Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺻﻐﲑ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻷﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ
ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻌﺰﺯ ﺍﻟﱰﻭﻝ ﺑﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺻﻐﲑ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻊ ) ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ( ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻐﲑ ،ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻌﻄﻰ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﳏﻘﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ Bullish Harami ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﻲ ) ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ( ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ Harami ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺇﺿﺎﻓﻴﺔ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ..
26
7- Three Outside Up Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
Hammer -دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ، Bullish Engulfingﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺇﺿﺎﻓﻴﺔ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Engulfingﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﻲ ) ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ( ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ( ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ
ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﴰﻮﻉ ﳍﺎ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﺗﻨﺘﺞ ﻣﻠﺨﺺ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﺒﻘﻰ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ
ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ، Rising Three Methodsﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺜﻼﺙ
ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﺎﻗﻄﺔ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﻗﺼﲑ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻟﻺﻏﻼﻕ ﰲ
ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ )ﻗﻤﺔ( ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺣﺪﻭﺙ ﳏﺎﻭﻻﺕ ﻟﻌﻜﺲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﻓﺸﻠﺖ ﻭﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ ..
27
9- Rising Three Methods Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 5 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﴰﻮﻉ ﳍﺎ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﺗﻨﺘﺞ ﻣﻠﺨﺺ
ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﺒﻘﻰ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
،Matﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺜﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺫﺍﺕ Hold ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﺎﻗﻄﺔ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻧﺎﺯﻝ ﻗﺼﲑ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻟﻺﻏﻼﻕ
ﰲ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ) ﻗﻤﺔ ( ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺑﲔ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﲔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺣﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ ﻭﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ
ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻟﻪ
ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻧﻔﺲ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻣﻊ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺔ ﰲ ﻃﻮﻝ
ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ،ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻵﺧﺮ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﻤﺎﺛﻞ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ) ﻳﺸﲑ ( ﺇﱃ ﺑﻨﺎﺀ ﻣﺆﻛﺪ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ..
28
11- Three White Soldiers Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻟﻪ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﺒﻠﻪ ،ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﺒﻠﻪ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ
ﻣﻦ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ،ﻋﻤﻮﻣﹶﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ) ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ( ﺇﱃ ﺛﺒﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ
ﰲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ ،ﻭﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﰲ ﲢﺴﻦ ﻓﺎﻧﻪ ﻳﺒﲏ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﻄﻮﺍﺕ ﺻﺎﻋﺪﺓ ﻣﻌﺘﺪﻟﺔ ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ
ﺗﻮﺍﺻﻞ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﺾ ﻭﻣﺘﺘﺎﱄ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﲔ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ) ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ (..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﺮﻯ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﻭﺻﻠﺖ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ) ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻉ ( ﻭﺃﺎ ﻏﲑ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺔ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ) ﻏﲑ ﺻﺤﻴﺤﺔ ( ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺑـﻴﺾ
ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻻ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻠﻤﺢ ) ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ( ﺇﱃ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻗﺼﲑ ﺍﳌﺪﻯ..
29
13- Engulfing Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
Hammer -دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻳﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ ﻭﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻻ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ
ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺣﱴ ﻻ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻬﻞ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻼﻉ ،ﻟﻴﺲ ﻣﻬﻢ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ ﺍﳋﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻼﻉ ﻳﺼﻮﺭ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﰲ ﻗﺎﻉ ) ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ ( ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻋﺎﱄ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻼﻉ
ﻳﻈﻬﺮ )ﳛﺪﺙ( ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻓﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ ( ﻭ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﻗﺪ
ﺍﻛﺘﺴﺒﻮﺍ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ،ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻼﻉ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﻣﺆﺷﺮ ﺍﻟـ Engulfing Bullishﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Three Outside
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺼﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ
ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﺒﻪ ﺣﺮﻑ " "Tﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﺍﻷﺣﻴﺎﻥ ﻭﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ
ﳌﺪﻯ )ﳎﺎﻝ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻇﻬﺮ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻭﻥ ﻭﺩﻓﻌﻮﺍ
ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻟﻴﻌﻮﺩ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﺃﻏﻠﻘﺖ ﻋﻦ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻭﺿﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ
ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺍﻟﺸﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻋﺪﺩ ﻭﺍﻓﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻻ ﻳﺰﺍﻟﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﺩﻳﻦ
ﻟﻠﻌﻴﺎﻥ ،ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻟﻠﻘﺎﻉ ﺃﻭ ﻻﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ
ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ( ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﳛﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻭﻳﺄﰐ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻭ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ
ﻋﺎﱄ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺩﻡ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Hammerﻟﻜﻦ ﻟﻪ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ..
30
15- Homing Pigeon Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﺍﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﻳﻮﺍﺻﻠﻮﻥ ﺇﻛﻤﺎﻝ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﻬﻢ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ
ﻭﻳﺸﲑﺍﻥ ) ﻳﻠﻤﺤﺎﻥ ( ﺇﱃ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ) ﺿﻌﻒ ( ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﺘﺒﻌﻪ ﺗﻮﻗﻒ ﻟﻠﺒﻴﻊ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺆﺩﻱ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺼﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﴰﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﺒﻪ ﺣﺮﻑ " "Tﻣﻘﻠﻮﺏ ﻭ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ ﳌﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻇﻬﺮ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ
ﻭﺩﻓﻌﻮﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻟﻴﻌﻮﺩ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﺃﻏﻠﻘﺖ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﻣﺜﻠﻬﺎ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺑﻘﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺿﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ
ﳍﺎ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺇﻻ ﺃﻥ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﻛﻴﺰ ﻳﺘﺤﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﺿﻐﻂ ﺷﺮﺍﺀ ﻭﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ( ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﳛﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻭﻳﺄﰐ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ
ﻟﻜﻦ Inverted Hammer ﺑﺎﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺟﺴﻢ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﻟﻪ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ..
31
17- Ladder Bottom Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 5 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺣﺎﺕ ﻭ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻟﻪ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻳﻘﻮﻣﻮﻥ ﺑﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﳛﺼﻠﻮﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﺮﺻﺔ ﻟﻠﺒﻴﻊ ﻭﺍﺧﺬ ﺍﻷﺭﺑﺎﺡ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻜﺒﲑ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ
ﻳﺆﺩﻱ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ،ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻋﺎﱄ ﻓﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ
ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪﺓ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ( ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﳏﺘﻤﻠﺔ ﺍﳊﺪﻭﺙ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﺍﻥ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ) ﻳﺸﲑ ( ﺇﱃ ﺩﻋﻢ ﻗﺼﲑ ﺍﳌﺪﻯ ﻭﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺒﺐ
ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻟﻠﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
32
19- Meeting Lines Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻪ ﺟﺴﻢ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﲢﺖ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻪ ﺟﺴﻢ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ
ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﲢﺖ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻛﻼ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﳍﻤﺎ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﻤﺎﺛﻞ ) ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻱ (..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﻳﻔﺘﺤﺎﻥ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﹰﺎ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻳﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﻟﻴﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻨﺪ
ﻧﻔﺲ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻼﻣﺔ ﳕﻮﺫﺟﻴﺔ ُﻣﺤﺪﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﻭﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﳏﺘﻤﻠﺔ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﲢﺖ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ
ﺿﻤﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﳌﻨﺘﺼﻒ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻟﻴﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﻣﻨﺘﺼﻒ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻘﺘﺮﺡ
)ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ( ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﻟﻠﺪﺧﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻭﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﻳﻘﺘﺮﺡ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺩﻋﻢ ﻟﻌﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻋﻜﺲ
ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ .. Dark Cloud Cover
33
21- Stick Sandwich Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻊ
ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺩﻻﻟﺔ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻭﺟﺪ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ) ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ( ﻭﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﻡ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﻤﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﳛﺪﺙ ﻟﻪ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻭﻳﻨﺸﺊ ) ﻳﺒﲏ ( ﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﺍﳉﺪﻳﺪ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﺻﻐﺮ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻗﻞ
ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﺗﺘﻤﺪﺩ ﺿﻤﻦ Marubozu ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﻣﺪﻯ )ﳎﺎﻝ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﺿﻌﻒ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﺒﻠﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﻼﺛﺔ
ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ) ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ( ﺇﱃ ﺣﺪﻭﺙ ﺑﻌﺾ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﰲ ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﳝﻨﻊ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻳﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ
ﺍﳌﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻋﺒﻮﺭ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﻛﻞ ﺍﻷﺩﻟﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻳﺪﻭﺭ ﺑﺒﻂﺀ ﳓﻮ ) ﻣﻦ ﺍﺟﻞ ( ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ..
34
23- Tri Star Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺻﻐﲑ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﰲ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻣﺘﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻷﻭﱃ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ُﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻋﻼﻣﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﺘﺤﺴﻦ ،ﻭﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺍﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺗﻨﻤﻮ ﺑﺘﻘﺪﻡ ﺗﺪﺭﳚﻲ ﺍﺻﻐﺮ ) ﺍﻗﻞ ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
ﻳﺘﺘﻮﺝ ﺑﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ،Bullish Tri Starﻭﲤﻴﻴﺰ ) ﺗﻔﺴﲑ ( ﺫﻟﻚ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻊ ) ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻗﻊ ( ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻄﺔ ﻗﺪ ﲢﺪﺙ ﳍﺎ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﳊﺎﻣﻞ ) ( Harami Positionﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻟﻪ ﻇﻞ
ﻳﺼﻨﻊ ) ﳛﺪﺩ ( ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻗﺼﲑ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﲢﺖ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﺍﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ
ﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﺘﻢ ﻋﻜﺴﻪ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺿﹰﺎ ﻭﻳﻌﺰﺯ ﺗﺮﺩﺩ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻭﻳﻨﺘﻬﻲ ﰲ ﲢﺴﻦ ،ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﳚﺐ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ..
35
25- Doji Star Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ Doji ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠـ Dojiﻻ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺪﻋﻢ ) ﻳﻌﺰﺯ ( ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﻣﻊ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻌﻴﺪ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ﺿﻴﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ،ﻋﻤﻮﻣﹰﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﻣﺜﻠﻪ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺿﻊ ) ﺍﳌﻮﺍﻗﻊ ( ﺍﻟﱵ ﺗﺘﻐﲑ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻌﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﲔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻣﻊ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﳝﻠﺊ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﱵ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﲔ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻣﻊ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻴﺎ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﳝﻠﺊ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ
ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺮﻯ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻧﻪ ﺩﻋﻢ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ( ﻭﻗﺪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﺒﺒﻪ ﺍﻷﺧﺬ ﺍﳌﺆﻗﺖ ﻟﻸﺭﺑﺎﺡ..
36
27- Upside Tasuk Gap Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﲔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻡ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻦ ﺍﶈﺘﻤﻞ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻳﻨﺸﺄ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ
ﺍﻷﺧﺬ ﺍﳌﺆﻗﺖ ﻟﻸﺭﺑﺎﺡ ،ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻮﺍﺻﻞ ﺇﺗﺒﺎﻉ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳋﺎﺹ ﺑﺎﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪﺓ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻪ ﺃﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻗﺪ ﻳﺒﲔ ﲢﺴﻦ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ
ﻟﻠﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ (..
37
29- Hammer Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج- - - - - :
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﳌﺪﻯ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻞ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻣﺮﺗﲔ
ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ ﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﺑﻴﻊ ﺣﺎﺩ ﺗﻮﻗﻒ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺎﻳﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺃﻏﻠﻖ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻪ ﺑﻘﻠﻴﻞ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻣﻨﺬ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻉ ﻓﺎﻥ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﺄﻛﺪ
) Dragonfly Doji ( UMBRELLA ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﱄ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻌﺎﱄ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺩﻡ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻨﻪ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﲝﻴﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ُﻣﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ) ﺃﻱ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﰲ ﺍﳌﻮﻗﻊ ﺍﳊﺎﻣﻞ ..( Harami Position
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺑﻌﺪ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳌﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺃﻥ
ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺩﻓﻌﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻻﻥ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻋﻮﺍ ﻣﺴﺒﻘﹰﺎ ﻗﺎﻣﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﻠﺘﻐﻄﻴﺔ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻣﺎ ﺷﺠﻊ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﻘﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ) ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﻢ
ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﲝﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ ﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ
ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Three Inside
38
31- Harami Cross Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺿﻤﻦ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺑﻌﺪ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳌﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻧﻔﺲ
ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺆﺷﺮ ) ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ( ﺍﻟـ Haramiﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ﻭﻳﺒﲔ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ (..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ ﳌﺪﻯ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻻ ﻳﺰﻳﺪ ﻃﻮﻟﻪ ﻋﻦ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻣﺮﺗﲔ
ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﺍﻷﺣﻴﺎﻥ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ﻳﺘﺤﺴﻨﻮﺍ ﺑﺴﺮﻋﺔ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﻟﻴﺲ ﲟﺎ ﻓﻴﻪ ﺍﻟﻜﻔﺎﻳﺔ ﻟﻺﻏﻼﻕ ﻓﻮﻕ
ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﳚﻌﻞ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻗﺎﻣﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﰲ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺧﺎﺳﺮﺓ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﻗﺎﺩﻡ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ
ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﺩﻡ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ Inverted Hammer ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟـ
ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ) Gravestone Doji ( INVERTED UMBRELLAﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻨﻪ..
39
33- Separating Lines Bullish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺋﻞ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮﺩ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻟﻪ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺒﺪﺃ ﻣﻦ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺍﻧﺘﻬﻰ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﻟﻴﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﹰﺎ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ
ﺑﺄﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺒﻘﻰ ﺳﻠﻴﻤﹰﺎ ﻭﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﺮﺗﻔﻌﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﹰﺎ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﹰﺎ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﺪﻓﻊ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﻟﻠﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺑﺪﺃﺕ ﰲ ﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ،ﺇﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻗﻮﻱ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻓﺎﻧﻪ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ
ﻭﻳﻮﺍﺻﻞ ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ..
40
اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮط (:
أ -اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ:
1- Abandoned Baby Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ Doji ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳌﻌﺎﻛﺲ ﻟﻠﺤﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻇﻼﻝ ﻣﺘﺪﺍﺧﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺒﲏ ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ) ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ( ﺿﻴﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ
ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ،ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺇﺿﺎﰲ ﺑﺎﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﳌﻨﺘﺼﻒ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﺘﺮﺍﺟﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻨﺘﺼﻒ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ
ﻳﺸﲑ ) ﻳﻠﻤﺢ ( ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻓﺮﺻﺔ ﻟﻠﺬﻳﻦ ﻳﻘﻮﻣﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﺍﳌﺴﺒﻖ ﻭﺫﻟﻚ ﻟﻼﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻭﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﲢﺬﻳﺮ ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ
ﻳﻀﺎﺭﺑﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ ) ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻳﺘﻮﻗﻌﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ ( ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻜﺲ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ..Piercing Line
41
3- Evening Doji Star Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ
ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺒﲏ ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ) ﻣﺪﻯ ( ﺿﻴﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺣﻪ ،ﻋﻤﻮﻣﹰﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ) ﺿﻌﻒ ( ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ
ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ Doji Starﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﳏﻘﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺻﻐﲑ ) ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﺃﻭ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ( ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺒﲏ ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ
ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ) ﻣﺪﻯ ( ﺿﻴﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺣﻪ ،ﻋﻤﻮﻣﹰﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ) ﺿﻌﻒ ( ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ
ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﳏﻘﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ..
42
5- Identical Three Crows Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ
ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Three Black Crowsﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﳝﺜﻞ ﺧﺴﺎﺭﺓ ﺣﺎﺩﺓ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺋﻴﺔ ،ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ) ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ( ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺆﻛﺪ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ Marubozuﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ Marubozuﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﻗﻮﻳﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺘﺠﻪ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ) ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ( ،ﺍﳊﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻟﻠﺴﻮﻕ ﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﺃﳘﻴﺔ ﻣﻊ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ..
43
7- Three Inside Down Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
Shooting Star -دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
،Bearishﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺃﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﺾ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ Harami ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﻲ ) ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ( ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺴﻲ Harami ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
،Bearishﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ Engulfing ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Engulfingﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﻲ ) ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ( ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻌﻜﺴﻲ
ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (..
44
9- Falling Three Methods Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 5 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳍﺎ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ﻭﺗﻨﺘﺞ ﻣﻠﺨﺺ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ
ﺻﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﺒﻘﻰ ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﺪﻯ ) ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ( ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﲢﺖ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺜﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺫﺍﺕ ﺃﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﲢﺪﺙ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺻﺎﻋﺪ ﻗﺼﲑ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ
ﻳﺪﺧﻞ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻟﻺﻏﻼﻕ ﰲ ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺑﲔ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﻳﻦ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺣﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ
ﻭﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ
ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻪ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ) ﻳﺸﲑ ( ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ
ﻣﻐﺎ ٍﻝ ﻓﻴﻪ ) ﻣﺒﺎﻟﻎ ﻓﻴﻪ ( ﳌﺪﺓ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﺪﺀﻭﺍ ﺗﻌﺪﻳﻞ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﳌﺒﺎﻟﻎ ﻓﻴﻪ..
45
11- Upside Gap Two Crows Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ
ﻭﻳﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻣﺎﺯﺍﻝ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺘﻌﺜﺮ ) ﻳﻀﻌﻒ ( ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻳﺰﺍﻝ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﻳﻀﻌﻒ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﺒﻘﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﱂ ﻳﻌﺪ ﻳﺴﺘﻄﻴﻊ ﺍﻻﺣﺘﻔﺎﻅ ﲟﻮﻗﻌﺔ ) ﲟﻮﺿﻌﻪ ( ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﰲ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ
ﻣﻦ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ،ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺟﺴﻤﻪ ﺍﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﺒﻠﻪ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﻠﺤﻮﻅ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﺮﺗﻔﻌﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ
ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﰲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﻟﺔ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻛﻞ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺿﻌﻒ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﺒﻠﻪ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ Three White Soldiers ﺍﻟـ
ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ) ﻳﺸﲑ ( ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ) ﺍﻻﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ( ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻓﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﻭﻳﺴﺘﻌﺪ ﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ..
46
13- Breakaway Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 5 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ
ﺗﻮﺍﺻﻞ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﺮﺗﻔﻌﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﳋﺎﻣﺲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ
ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺍﻻﻧﺪﻓﺎﻉ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺼﻌﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻀﻌﻒ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻻ ﻳﺴﺪ ) ﻳﻐﻠﻖ (
ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻠﻤﺢ ) ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ( ﺇﱃ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻗﺮﻳﺒﺔ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﺎﻥ ﻃﻮﻳﻼﻥ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ
ﻋﻦ Spinning Topﺃﻭ Dojiﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﺮﺗﻔﻌﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﺍﺷﺘﻘﺎﻕ ﻣﻦ
ﳕﻮﺫﺝ Three White Soldiersﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﺟﺪﹰﺍ ﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ Advance Blockﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺇﻻ ﺃﻥ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﺍﻟﺼﻐﲑ ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ) ﻳﺸﲑ ( ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻓﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﻭﻳﺴﺘﻌﺪ ﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ..
47
15- Engulfing Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
Shooting Star -دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺃﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﺍﻻﺑﺘﻼﻉ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﻳﺼﻮﺭ ) ﻳﺮﺳﻢ ( ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﰲ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﺒﻴﻊ ﺫﻭ ﺣﺠﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻋﺎﱄ ﻟﻴﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﺃﻭ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺃﻥ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻗﺪ ﺃﺻﺒﺢ ﺿﻌﻴﻔﹰﺎ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﻗﺪ ﺣﺼﻠﻮﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ
ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Three Outside
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺼﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ
ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﺒﻪ ﺣﺮﻑ " "Tﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﰲ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﺍﻷﺣﻴﺎﻥ ﻭﺗﻈﻬﺮ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﳌﺪﻯ ) ﳎﺎﻝ (
ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ( ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻇﻬﺮ
ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻭﻥ ) ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ( ﻭﺩﻓﻌﻮﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻟﻴﻌﻮﺩ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﺃﻏﻠﻘﺖ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻭﺿﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ
ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺍﻟﺸﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﻜﻦ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻋﺪﺩ ﻭﺍﻓﺮ ﻣﻦ
ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻻ ﻳﺰﺍﻟﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﺩﻳﻦ ﻟﻠﻌﻴﺎﻥ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﻘﻤﺔ
ﺃﻭ ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ )ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ( ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﳛﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻭ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻳﺄﰐ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ
ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻭ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻋﺎﱄ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Hanging Manﻟﻜﻦ ﻟﻪ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ..
48
17- Harami Cross Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ Dojiﺿﻤﻦ ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ
ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺿﻌﻴﻒ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻳﻨﺘﻬﻲ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ
ﺍﻟـ Haramiﺍﻟﻘﻴﺎﺳﻲ ) ﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻱ ( ﻭﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻳﻔﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻟﻪ ﺟﺴﻢ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻪ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻓﻮﻕ
ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻛﻼ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﳍﻤﺎ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﻤﺎﺛﻞ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﻳﻔﺘﺤﺎﻥ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻋﺎﻟﻴﹰﺎ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻳﻌﻮﺩ ﻟﻴﻐﻠﻖ ﰲ
ﻧﻔﺲ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻼﻣﺔ ﳕﻮﺫﺟﻴﺔ ﻣٌﺤﺪﺩﺓ ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﳌﺘﺪﺍﻭﻟﲔ ﻭﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﳏﺘﻤﻞ ﺍﳊﺪﻭﺙ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ
ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Dark Cloud Coverﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﻣﻨﻪ..
49
19- Gravestone Doji ( INVERTED UMBRELLA ) Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج- - - - - :
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﺍﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﺘﺴﺎﻭﻳﺔ ﻭﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻳﺼﻨﻊ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻨﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﴰﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﺒﻪ ﺣﺮﻑ " "Tﻣﻘﻠﻮﺏ ﻭ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﻟﻴﺲ ﳍﺎ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻭﺗﺘﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ ﳌﺪﻯ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺇﻥ ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ) ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ( ﺳﻴﻄﺮﻭﺍ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻗﺎﺩﻭﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﺛﻨﺎﺀ ﺟﻠﺴﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﻟﻜﻦ ﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﻇﻬﺮ
ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ) ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ( ﻭﺩﻓﻌﻮﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻟﻴﻌﻮﺩ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ﺇﱃ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﺍﳉﻠﺴﺔ ﺃﻏﻠﻘﺖ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﻣﺜﻠﻬﺎ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺑﻘﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻮﻉ ﺿﻤﺎﻥ
ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﳍﺎ ﻳﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻠﻲ ،ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻈﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻮﻱ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺇﻻ ﺃﻥ
ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻳﻌﻄﻲ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺿﻐﻂ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺃﻭ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺃﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﳌﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺘﺮﻛﻴﺰ
ﻳﺘﺤﻮﻝ ﺇﱃ ﺍﻟﺴﻘﻮﻁ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻭﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻻﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ )ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ( ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﺎﺫﺝ ﳛﺘﺎﺝ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻭﻳﺄﰐ ﻫﺬﺍ
ﻟﻜﻦ Shooting Star ﺍﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺎﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺟﺴﻢ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ
ﻟﻪ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﺔ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﰲ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻣﺘﺘﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻭﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻟﺜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻌﻴﺪﹰﺍ ﻋﻦ ﺍﻟـ Dojiﺍﻷﻭﱃ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ُﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻋﻼﻣﺎﺕ ﻟﻠﻀﻌﻒ ،ﻭﺑﻴﻨﻤﺎ ﺍﻷﺟﺴﺎﻡ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﺗﻨﻤﻮ ﺑﺘﻘﺪﻡ ﺗﺪﺭﳚﻲ ﺍﺻﻐﺮ ) ﺍﻗﻞ ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ
ﻳﺘﺘﻮﺝ ﺑﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ ،Bearish Tri Starﻭﲤﻴﻴﺰ ) ﺗﻔﺴﲑ ( ﺫﻟﻚ ﺃﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻗﻮﺓ ﺻﻐﲑﺓ ﻫﺎﺟﺮﺕ ) ﻏﺎﺩﺭﺕ ( ﻭﺗﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻮﺩﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ (..
50
21- Two Crows Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ
ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﹰﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻴﺎ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﺁﺧﺮ ﳝﻠﺊ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ
ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﲑ ﺇﱃ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ) ﺿﻌﻒ ( ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﻳﻨﺬﺭ ﺑﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻋﻜﺲ ﻟﻼﲡﺎﻩ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺣﺮﻛﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﺍﻟﻈﻼﻝ Doji ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ
ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠـ Dojiﻻ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﺒﲏ ﺑﻘﻮﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻟﻪ ﺿﻤﻦ
ﻧﻄﺎﻕ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺿﻴﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻟﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ،ﻋﻤﻮﻣﹰﺎ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ﺍﻟﺜﻘﺔ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻭﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ
ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﺾ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ..
51
23- Downside Gap Three Methods Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﻳﻦ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻣﻊ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﳝﻠﺊ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻟﲔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﻳﻦ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﲔ ﻣﻊ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﺳﻔﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﺴﺪ ) ﳝﻠﺊ ( ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ
ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻨﻈﺮ ﺇﻟﻴﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﺴﺘﻮﻯ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺔ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺳﻮﻑ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺳﻮﺩﻳﻦ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﺑﻴﻨﻬﻤﺎ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﳌﻮﺟﻮﺩﺓ ﺑﲔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ) ﻻ ﻳﺴﺪ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ (..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﻭﻳﺘﺒﻌﻪ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ
ﺃﻥ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﺜﻤﺮﻳﻦ ﻳﺴﺘﻐﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﳔﻔﺎﺽ ﺃﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻣﺆﻗﺘﺎﹰ ،ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﳚﺐ ﺇﻥ ﻳﻮﺍﺻﻞ ﺇﺗﺒﺎﻉ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺴﻔﻠﻰ ﻭﻳﻜﻤﻞ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺍﳍﺒﻮﻁ..
52
25- In Neck Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﲢﺖ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺑﺼﻌﻮﺑﺔ ﻓﻮﻕ
ﺃﻭ ﻣﺴﺎﻭﻱ ﻹﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
،Onﲢﺴﻦ ﺻﻐﲑ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺄﺳﻴﺴﻪ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﻨﺘﻬﻲ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ Neck ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺣﺪﺓ ) ﺷﺪﺓ ( ﻧﺴﺒﻴﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ
ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﻦ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻨﺘﺼﺮ ) ﻳﺴﻮﺩ ( ﺇﱃ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻗﺪ ﻳﺄﺧﺬ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺃﻃﻮﻝ
ﻟﻜﻲ ﻳﻨﺸﺄ ) ﻳﺘﻄﻮﺭ (..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ) ﻟﻴﺲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ( ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﲢﺖ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﰲ ﺍﻗﻞ
ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺜﺎﱄ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳍﺎﺑﻂ ﻭﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻫﻲ ﺃﻥ ﲢﺴﻦ ﺑﺴﻴﻂ ﰎ ﺗﺄﺳﻴﺴﻪ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﻬﻰ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ
ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺑﺒﺔ ) ﺍﻟﺒﺎﺋﻌﲔ ( ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻨﺘﺼﺮﻭﺍ..
53
27- Side By Side White Lines Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 3 :ﴰﻮﻉ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺳﻔﻠﻰ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻟﺚ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻟﻪ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ ﻧﻔﺲ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺟﺴﻢ
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺃﻳﻀﹰﺎ ﰲ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﹰﺎ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﺘﺒﻮﻉ ﺑﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺃﺑﻴﻀﲔ ﻳﻔﺘﺤﺎﻥ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﲢﺖ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﳕﻮﺫﺟﻴﹰﺎ ﻳﻌﲏ ﺑﺎﻥ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻋﻮﺍ ﻣﺴﺒﻘﹰﺎ
ﻗﺪ ﻏﻄﻮﺍ ﺃﻭﺿﺎﻋﻬﻢ ) ﻗﺎﻣﻮﺍ ﺑﺎﻟﺸﺮﺍﺀ ﻟﻠﺘﻐﻄﻴﺔ ( ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﻋﻜﺲ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻭﺷﻚ ﺍﳊﺪﻭﺙ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺒﻘﻰ ﺳﻠﻴﻢ ﰲ ﺍﳌﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ
ﺍﻟﻘﺮﻳﺐ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺓ ﻋﻦ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻟﻪ ﻧﻔﺲ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻳﻮﻡ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﺒﺪﺃ ﻣﻦ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺍﻧﺘﻬﻰ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﹶﺎ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ
ﻳﺸﲑ ) ﻳﻮﺣﻲ ( ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺒﻘﻰ ﺳﻠﻴﻢ ﻭﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ ..
54
29- Three Line Strike Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﻣﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻈﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع 4 :ﴰﻮﻉ
Hammer -دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺛﻼﺙ ﺃﻳﺎﻡ ﺳﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻏﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﻮﺍﱄ ،ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺑﻊ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﹰﺎ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻘﻮﺩ ﺍﻷﺳﻌﺎﺭ ﻟﻠﻌﻮﺩﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺣﻴﺚ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺑﺪﺍﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻓﺈﺫﺍ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳌﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﺍﳌﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻗﻮﻱ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ
ﻓﺎﻧﻪ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﲢﺖ ﺃﺩﱏ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ
ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻨﺘﺼﻔﺔ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
،Inﺍﻟﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﻳﻨﺸﺄ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ Neck ﻭ ﺍﻟـ On Neck ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﺿﻌﻒ ﻧﺴﺒﻴﹰﺎ ﻣﻦ ﳕﺎﺫﺝ ﺍﳌﻮﺍﺻﻠﺔ ﺍﻟـ
ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﳓﻮ ﺟﻴﺪ ﰲ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺳﻮﺩ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻻﻥ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﱂ ﻳﺼﻞ ﺇﱃ ﻣﻨﺘﺼﻒ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻓﺎﻥ
ﺍﻟﺜﲑﺍﻥ ) ﺍﳌﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ( ﺭﲟﺎ ﺳﻮﻑ ﻳﻜﻮﻧﻮﺍ ﻓﺎﻗﺪﻳﻦ ﻟﻠﺜﻘﺔ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﻨﺎﺯﻝ ﺳﻮﻑ ﻳﺴﺘﻤﺮ..
55
31- Belt Hold Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻈﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج- - - - - :
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﰲ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻟﻪ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺭﲟﺎ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺴﺒﺐ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﲑ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ
ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻭﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺗﻌﺘﱪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﺒﻴﻊ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺃﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ..
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﳌﺪﻯ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺇﱃ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻞ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻣﺮﺗﲔ
ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﻫﻨﺎﻙ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﺑﻴﻊ ﺣﺎﺩﺓ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﺃﺗﻨﺎﺀ ﺍﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ،ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻳﺔ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻐﻠﻖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺃﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ
ﺃﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﻌﺮ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﺒﲔ ﺇﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺑﻴﻊ ﺣﺎﺩﺓ ﻣﺮﺓ ﺃﺧﺮﻯ ،ﻭﻻﻥ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ ﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﺆﺷﺮ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﻓﺎﻥ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ
ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺱ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳝﻜﻦ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺍﺳﻄﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﺼﺤﻮﺏ ﺑﺈﻏﻼﻕ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﺾ ﺃﻭ ﻓﺠﻮﺓ ﻛﺒﲑﺓ ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ ﺇﱃ ﺃﺳﻔﻞ ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ
ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ) Dragonfly Doji ( Inverted UMBRELLAﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺛﻘﺔ ﻣﻨﻪ..
56
33- Harami Bearish:
-اﻟـــﻨـــﻤــﻮذج :ﺍﻧﻌﻜﺎﺳﻲ
-اﻟـــﻨـــﺰﻋــــﺔ :ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ (
-اﻟــــﺜـــﻘـــــﺔ :ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻈﺔ
-ﻋﺪد اﻟﺸﻤﻮع :ﴰﻌﺘﲔ
-دﻣﺞ اﻟﻨﻤﻮذج :ﻳﻨﺘﺞ ﻋﻨﻪ ﴰﻌﺔ ﺑﻴﻀﺎﺀ ﺫﺍﺕ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﺑﻴﺾ ﻃﻮﻳﻞ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺃﺳﻮﺩ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺒﺘﻠﻊ ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎﻣﻞ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻟﻠﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﺑﻴﺾ ﺍﻟﻄﻮﻳﻞ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺗﻔﺘﺢ ﺍﻟﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﺍﻟﺴﻮﺩﺍﺀ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﻭﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ
ﺧﻔﻴﻒ ﻭﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﻳﻨﺘﻬﻲ ﻣﻊ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻻﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺿﻤﻦ ) ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ( ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﻫﺬﻩ ﺇﺷﺎﺭﺓ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﳊﺎﱄ ﻓﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ،ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﳌﺆﺷﺮ
ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺘﻢ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﺸﻤﻌﺔ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ﺣﻴﺚ ﺗﺘﺎﺑﻊ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻣﲔ ﺍﻷﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺜﺎﱐ
ﻣﻦ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ..Three Inside
◊ وﺻـﻒ اﻟـﻨـﻤــﻮذج:
ﺟﺴﻢ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﺻﻐﲑ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻴﺎ ﻟﻨﻄﺎﻕ ) ﳎﺎﻝ ( ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺴﻌﺮ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﺍﱃ ﻇﻞ ﻋﻠﻮﻱ ﻭﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻃﻮﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻷﻗﻞ ﺛﻼﺙ
ﻣﺮﺍﺕ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﳉﺴﻢ ﺍﳊﻘﻴﻘﻲ ﻭﻻ ﻳﻮﺟﺪ ﻇﻞ ﺳﻔﻠﻲ ﰲ ﺍﻟﻐﺎﻟﺐ..
◊ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ اﻟـﻨـﻤـﻮذج:
ﺍﻟﺴﻮﻕ ﻳﻔﺘﺢ ﺑﻔﺠﻮﺓ ﻓﻮﻕ ﺇﻏﻼﻕ ﺍﻟﻴﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺴﺎﺑﻖ ﰲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻋﺪ ﻭﻳﺘﺤﺴﻦ ﺇﱃ ﺃﻥ ﻳﺼﻞ ﺇﱃ ﺍﺭﺗﻔﺎﻉ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻭﺑﻌﺪ ﺫﻟﻚ ﻳﻔﻘﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﻭﻳﻐﻠﻖ
ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮﺏ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺳﻌﺮ ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻳﻌﺘﱪ ﺗﻐﲑ ﻣﺘﺸﺎﺋﻢ ) ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻊ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮﻁ ( ﰲ ﺍﻟﺰﺧﻢ ) ﺍﻟﻘﻮﺓ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﻓﻌﺔ ( ،ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﻻﲡﺎﻩ ﳚﺐ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﺑﺎﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ ﲢﺖ
) Gravestone Doji ( Inverted UMBRELLA ﰲ ﻳﻮﻡ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻟﺘﺎﱄ ،ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻨﻤﻮﺫﺝ ﻳﺸﺒﻪ ﳕﻮﺫﺝ ﺍﻟـ Shooting Star ﺟﺴﻢ ﺍﻟـ
ﻟﻜﻨﻪ ﺍﻗﻞ ﺛﻘﺔ ﻣﻨﻪ ..
57
:( ﻣﻠﺨﺺ اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﻔﺎﺋﻠﺔ ) اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﺼﻌﻮد
:أ – اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ
Rising Three Methods Side By Side White Lines Three White Soldiers
Dragonfly Doji
Breakaway Engulfing Homing Pigeon
( UMBRELLA )
Gravestone Doji
Ladder Bottom Matching Low Meeting Lines
( INVERTED UMBRELLA )
58
Piercing Line Stick Sandwich Three Stars In The South Tri Star
Unique Three River Bottom Doji Star Upside Gap Three Methods Upside Tasuk Gap
: اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ-ج
59
:( ﻣﻠﺨﺺ اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج اﻟﻤﺘﺸﺎﺋﻤﺔ ) اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ﻟﻠﻬﺒﻮط
: اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج ﻋﺎﻟﻴﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ-أ
Abandoned Baby Dark Cloud Cover Evening Doji Star Evening Star
Identical Three Crows Kicking Three Inside Down Three Outside Down
Falling Three Methods Three Black Crows Upside Gap Two Crows
: اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ-ب
60
Tri Star Two Crows Doji Star Downside Gap Three Methods
: اﻟﻨﻤﺎذج ﻣﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ اﻟﺜﻘﺔ-ج
61
◊ اﻟـﺨـﺎﺗـﻤـﺔ:
ﺐ ﺣﻼﻝ ﻭﳜﺸﻰ ﺍﷲ ﰲ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻼﺗﻪ ﻭﰲ ﲡﺎﺭﺗﻪ
ﰲ ﺍﳋﺘﺎﻡ ﺃﲤﲎ ﻣﻦ ﺍﷲ ﺍﻟﻌﻠﻲ ﺍﻟﻘﺪﻳﺮ ﺃﻥ ﻳﻨﻔﻊ ﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﻭﺍﻥ ﳚﻌﻠﻪ ﻣﻌﻴﻨﺎ ﻟﻚ ﻣﺴﻠﻢ ﻳﺴﻌﻰ ﺇﱃ ﻛﺴ ٍ
ﻭﻳﺆﺩﻱ ﺣﻖ ﺍﷲ ﰲ ﻣﺎﻟﻪ ﻭﻻ ﻳﺘﺒﻊ ﺳﺒﻴﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺃﺿﻠﻪ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺃﻋﻤﻰ ﻗﻠﺒﻪ..
ﻭ ﺇﻥ ﺃﺻﺒﺖ ﻓﻤﻦ ﺍﷲ ﻭﺣﺪﻩ ﻭﺍﻥ ﺃﺧﻄﺄﺕ ﻓﻤﲏ ﻭﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺸﻴﻄﺎﻥ ﻭﺍﻟﻜﻤﺎﻝ ﷲ ﻭﺣﺪﻩ ﺳﺒﺤﺎﻧﻪ ﻭﺗﻌﺎﱃ ﻭﻣﺎ ﺃﻧﺎ ﺇﻻ ﺑﺸﺮ ﲡﺮﻱ ﻋﻠﻲ ﺃﻗﺪﺍﺭ ﺍﷲ..
ﻭ ﻛﻞ ﻣﺎ ﺃﲤﻨﺎﻩ ﻣﻨﻚ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺃﻥ ﻗﺮﺃﺕ ﻭﺍﻃﻠﻌﺖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺼﻔﺤﺎﺕ ﺃﻥ ﲣﺮﺑﲏ ﻋﻦ ﺃﻱ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺎﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺴﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺃﻭ ﺧﻄﺄ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻫﺬﺍ ﺍﻟﻌﻨﻮﺍﻥ
Last_Steps@Msn.Com
ﻭﺍﱃ ﺍﻟﻠﻘﺎﺀ....
62
◊ اﻟـﻤـﺮاﺟـﻊ:
www.stockcharts.com -
www.litwick.com -
www.candlestickshop.com -
www.candlecharts.com -
63
◊ اﻟــﻨــﺎﺷــﺮ:
ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺇﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺏ ..ﻭﺳﻴﻠﺔ ﺇﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﻫﺪﻓﻬﺎ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﹰﺎ ﺭﺑﻂ ﻛﻞ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺏ ﻋﱪ ﺃﺩﺍﺓ ﺍﺗﺼﺎﻝ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻭﻋﻦ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﺓ ﻭﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ
www.ads4arab.net
ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺇﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺏ ..ﻭﺳﻴﻠﺔ ﺇﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﺗﺘﻔﻖ ﻣﻊ ﻋﺎﺩﺍﺗﻨﺎ ﻭﺗﻘﺎﻟﻴﺪﻧﺎ ﻭﻣﻊ ﺷﺮﻳﻌﺘﻨﺎ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻣﻴﺔ
ﻭﻫﺬﺍ ﻣﺎ ﺗﺘﻤﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺇﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﺮﺏ ﻋﻦ ﻣﻮﺍﻗﻊ ﺍﻹﻋﻼﻧﺎﺕ ﺍﻷﺧﺮﻯ...
64