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A novel hybrid MCDM approach for offshore wind farm site selection:
A case study of Iran
Abdolvahhab Fetanat a, *, Ehsan Khorasaninejad b
a
Department of Electrical Engineering, Behbahan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Behbahan, Iran
b
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Behbahan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Behbahan, Iran
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: The multi criteria decision making (MCDM) has been applied in Integrated Energy Planning (IEP) and
Received 11 October 2014 Integrated Coastal Management (ICM) frameworks. In this paper, a novel hybrid MCDM approach based
Received in revised form on the fuzzy analytic network process (ANP), fuzzy decision making trail and evaluation laboratory
10 February 2015
(DEMATEL) and fuzzy elimination and choice expressing the reality (ELECTRE) methodologies is applied
Accepted 15 February 2015
Available online 2 March 2015
to assist in the site selection of offshore wind farm (OWF) as the renewable energy in the IEP and the ICM
frameworks. The aim of this study is to find the best site selection of offshore wind farm for four sites
(alternatives) in Bandar Deylam on the Persian Gulf in southwest of Iran. Six criteria (depths and heights,
Keywords:
Fuzzy ANP
environmental issues, proximity to facilities, economic aspects, resource technical levels and culture) and
Fuzzy DEMATEL the related sub-criteria are considered to select proper sites for power station of OWF. The fuzzy ANP
Fuzzy ELECTRE method is employed for standpoints of the site selection (goal) subject to the criteria and is performed
Multi criteria decision making the criteria subject to the sub-criteria. In addition, due to considering the influences of the criterion to
Offshore wind farm another criterion, the fuzzy DEMATEL is employed in criteria and sub-criteria sections. Moreover, the
fuzzy ELECTRE is applied to calculate the decision making matrices of sub-criteria to alternatives. The
results show that the alternative A3 is the best site of OWF for Bandar Deylam. Then A2, A4 are the best
alternatives and finally alternative A1 is the worst site. Also, a sensitivity analysis is performed to
investigate the robustness of the outcomes of decision making by changing the priorities of the criteria.
The results indicate the robustness of this method when the experts’ opinions subject to the criteria
change. The evaluation criteria and this methodology could be applied to other coastal cities for pro-
moting the progress of ICM towards the goal of sustainability.
© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction Despite different definitions, IEP and ICM are often seen as two
parallel, complementary and strongly interlinked processes as both
Off the coast of many countries lies a significant wind resource. of the concepts emphasize the need for integrated approaches in
A number of wind turbines as Offshore Wind Farm (OWF) have decision making and resource management processes. Moreover,
already been installed in offshore locations in order to gain wind IEP and ICM are two suitable frameworks that emphasize the
power as renewable energy. The site location decisions are used in importance of the ecological component and also the social, eco-
any field of the facility establishment and management like the nomic and managerial elements of sustainability as well
Integrated Coastal Management (ICM). The ICM framework has (Wongthong and Harvey, 2014). In the contribution of the IEP and
been increasingly adopted in coastal cities of Iran. The multi criteria the ICM frameworks, the site location of OWF is very important.
decision making (MCDM) has been applied in Integrated Energy There are many applications of MCDM methods in environ-
Planning (IEP) and ICM frameworks. The correlations between ICM mental planning and management (Ryu and et al., 2011; Wang
governance, coastal environmental, socioeconomic sustainability et al., 2010). In addition, some studies have been published on
and IEP are analyzed using MCDM. the use of MCDM techniques in coastal management (Ryu and et al.,
2011). These techniques have been used for various issues in coastal
areas, such as evaluating the potential impacts of climate change on
coastal zones by considering different scenarios, integration of in-
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: av-fetanat@behbahaniau.ac.ir (A. Fetanat). formation and the development of decision support systems for
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.02.005
0964-5691/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
18 A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28
evaluating the current state of coastal areas and predicting future Merete Bruun Christiansen and Charlotte B. Hasager (Christiansen
trends, as well as some new methods such as Analytic Network and Hasager, 2005) demonstrated the effect of large offshore
Process (ANP), fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and VIKOR wind farms on the local wind climate using satellite Synthetic
(VIsekriterijumsko KOmpromisno Rangiranje) and (Pourebrahim Aperture Radar (SAR). The wake effect considering single, partial
et al., 2010, 2014). Due to the environmental benefits, technolog- and multiple wakes inside a wind farm evaluated by Mikel de Prada
ical advance of wind power and government incentives, the Gil et al. (Gil et al., 2012) in different wind farm scenarios,
offshore wind industry has exponentially grown throughout the depending on the incoming wind speed and the wind direction.
world in recent years. Lately, the focus of wind power developers Madariaga et al. (Madariaga et al., 2013) demonstrated the deferent
and energy planners has shifted towards the coastal zone in an topologies in electrical issues of offshore wind power plants. Jacob
increasing number of countries such as Denmark, UK, Germany and Ladenburg (Ladenburg, 2009) estimated the perception of visual
etc (Ladenburg, 2009). Many works performed in the feasibility impact of offshore wind farms across three different samples. The
study of OWF installation in various countries with related their three samples were a national sample (Na-sample) representing
criteria (Pantaleo et al., 2005; Manwell et al., 2007; Schillings et al., the Danish population and two samples, each representing the
2012; O'Keeffe and Haggett, 2012; Wieczorek et al., 2013; Salcedo- population living close to two existing commercial offshore wind
Sanz et al., 2013; Reubens et al., 2014; Martín Mederos et al., 2011; farms at Horns Rev (Hr-sample) and Nysted (Ny-sample). More-
Veigas and Iglesias, 2013; Da et al., 2011; Chen, 2011; Zhixin et al., over, the objective of this study was to test whether the perception
2009; Madariaga et al., 2012; Mostafaeipour, 2010; Oh et al., 2012; of visual impacts vary systematically with regard to differences in
Lee et al., 2013; Islam et al., 2012; Mani and Dhingra, 2013). The prior experience. Jeremy Firestone and Willett Kempton (Firestone
feasibility of wind power development depends on multi criteria and Kempton, 2007) addressed public opinion regarding offshore
like; wind resources and, especially, constructability offshore. wind power based on a survey of residents near a proposed
Therefore, wind resources are the most important criteria (factors) development off Cape Cod, MA, USA. K.C. Tong (Tong, 1998) pre-
as the standard for site selection. The sea environment criteria such sented the technical and economic aspect of installing an offshore
as sea depth and soil condition and the length of the transmission wind farm based on the FLOAT (an offshore floating wind turbine)
line are also important factors (Kim et al., 2013). Jacob Ladenburg concept. Ji-Young Kim et al. (Kim et al., 2013) performed a feasibility
and Bernd Mo €ller (Ladenburg and Mo €ller, 2011) investigated the study to select the optimal site for an offshore wind farm around
effect of travel distance to the nearest offshore wind farm and the the Korean Peninsula. The expected B/C (benefit to cost) ratio, the
wind farms attributes on attitude towards offshore wind farms. possible installation capacity of the wind farm, the convenience of
Trinh Hoang Nguyen et al. (Nguyen et al., 2013) performed the grid connection, and so on, for each candidate site were considered
development of a framework for data integration to optimize the as set rating indices in order to select an optimal site of the
remote operations of offshore wind farms. Moreover, they pre- candidate coasts. Rehana Perveen et al. (Perveen et al., 2014)
sented a proposal for solving the data integration problem in the highlighted the present scenario and challenges in development of
form of a novel data integration framework. The framework con- offshore wind power. The challenges and opportunities that exist in
sists of the semantic model, the data source handling, and the in- the development stages of an offshore wind farm project, from
formation provisioning. J. Serrano Gonz alez et al. (Gonzalez et al., exploration to erection and installation of wind turbines, con-
2013) presented a new methodology for designing the trans- struction of platforms, up to maintenance and de-commissioning,
mission system of large offshore wind farms under the presence of involving important technical aspects are addressed. A number of
risk. The technology High Voltage Ac Current (HVAC) or High investigations conducted by some researchers in the design and
Voltage Dc Current (HVDC) e Voltage Source Converter (VSC), the economic assessment of a wind farm addressed and help improve
voltage level of the system, the number and the size of transformers decision making for planners and investors (Rehman et al., 2011;
(or converter stations), the number and the size of the cables, Hong and Mo € ller, 2012; Ladenburg and Lutzeyer, 2012).
amongst other factors are selected to achieve this aim. Barberis The aim of this research is to find the best site selection of
Negra et al. (Negra et al., 2006) investigated the total transmission offshore wind farm in Bandar Deylam on the Persian Gulf in
losses of three transmission solutions including HVAC, HVDC Line southwest of Iran. To achieve this goal, this study applies a novel
Commutated Converter (LCC) and HVDC- VSC for large offshore hybrid MCDM approach based on the fuzzy ANP, fuzzy decision
wind farms. Vicente Negro et al. (Negro et al., 2014) analyzed some DEMATEL and fuzzy ELECTRE methodologies. In order to select best
current uncertainties consist of the design of the transition piece sites for power station of OWF, six criteria and thirty-one related
and the difficulties for the soil properties characterization in the sub-criteria are considered.
offshore wind market, with the aim of going one step further in the This paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the proposed
development of this sector. These identified uncertainties are methodology is explained. The OWF, the criteria, the sub-criteria
related to the lifetime and return period, loads combination, scour and case study are described in Section 3. In Section 4, results
phenomenon and its protection. The influence of three processes and discussion are demonstrated. The conclusions are summarized
consists of dissipation of wave energy due to drag resistance on the in Section 5. Finally, the details of the proposed model are shown in
offshore wind turbine foundation, the reflection/diffraction of Appendixes A, B and C.
waves, and the effect of reduced wind shear on the wave field in
and around an offshore wind farm investigated by Erik Damgaard 2. Proposed model
Christensen et al. (Christensen et al., 2013). S. Ponce de Leo n et al.
(Leo n et al., 2011) performed a numerical study of irregular waves This study presents a robust Decision Support System (DSS) as a
in the HAVSUL-II (a wind farm located in the Norwegian conti- hybrid analytic approach based on the fuzzy ANP, fuzzy DEMATEL
nental shelf) using 3rd generation spectral wave models. They also and fuzzy ELECTRE methodologies for the site selection of OWF in
investigated the effect of a single windmill monopile in the local the IEP and the ICM frameworks.
incoming wave field using an empirical JONSWAP spectrum, and a A schematic of the novel decision making algorithm is shown in
wave hindcast study in the wind farm area using realistic incoming Fig. 1. The fuzzy ANP method is employed for standpoints of the site
wave spectra obtained from large scale simulations for the selection (goal) subject to the criteria and the criteria subject to the
1991e1992 winter periods. Moreover, the effect of a single sub-criteria. And due to considering the influences of the criterion
monopile on incident waves with realistic spectra was studied. each others, the fuzzy DEMATEL is employed in criteria and sub-
A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28 19
3.2. Criteria and sub-criteria benefit/cost analysis (B/C). This criterion analyzes the total
cost of the energy investment in order to be fully operational.
A clear understanding of the offshore conditions is essential for ➢ Resource technical (C5): a resource, human or otherwise, that is
the design. Apart from the wind characteristics, the important used to facilitate or which enables technical solutions.
criteria and their sub criteria for selecting the best sitting of OWF Wind resource availability (SC51): The criterion measures the
are considered as follows (Mostashari, 2011): availability of the wind resource alternative to decrease
financial assets and reach the high performance.
➢ Depth and height (C1): The condition or quality of being deep Physical feasibility (SC52): This criterion measures the secure
and the distance from the base of water to the top. of the possibility for implementation of the renewable energy.
Shallow water (SC11): Wind turbines installed in shallow Multiple resource use conflict (SC53): This criterion indicates
water offshore. As wave loadings in shallow waters are disagreements between the various resources of OWF.
significantly lower at frequencies below 0.04 Hz and beyond Technical feasibility and adequate wind regime (SC54): This
0.4 Hz, structures with their lowest natural frequency greater criterion includes an evaluation which is based on a qualita-
than 0.45e0.5 Hz are generally adopted for offshore applica- tive comparison between the complexity of the considered
tions. For deep-water applications, structures with natural technology, and the capacity of local actors to ensure an
frequencies in excess of 1 Hz are normally used (Vepa, 2013). appropriate operating support for maintenance and installa-
Wave heights (SC12): The effects of waves (wave heights of tion of technology for OWF alternative.
5e10 m) need to be considered in the OWF design (Sulaiman Alternative sites review (SC55): To complete assessment, the
et al., 2013). various sites are analyzed.
➢ Environmental issues (C2): Sufficient study times (SC56): The number of times tested
Environmental impact (SC21): The criterion evaluates the successfully can be taken into account as a decision parameter.
renewable energy's damage on the quality of the ➢ Culture (C6): culture refers to the cumulative deposit of
environment. knowledge, experience, beliefs, values, attitudes, meanings, hi-
Noise impact (Construction and Operation) (SC22): Noise is not erarchies, religion, notions of time, roles, spatial relations, con-
a direct factor to destroy environment, but it can influence the cepts of the universe, and material objects and possessions
people's work or life. acquired by a group of people in the course of generations
Proximity to migratory paths for birds (SC23): It is defined as through individual and group striving.
the distance between OWF and the paths of the migration for Community acceptance (SC61): The criterion enhances
births. consensus among social partners.
Proximity to migratory paths for marine life (SC24): It is Nearby shoreline sparsely inhabited (SC62): It is defined as the
defined as the distance between OWF and the paths of the distance OWF to the shoreline with high population.
migration for marine life. Adequate consideration of alternative sites (SC63): It takes into
➢ Proximity to facilities (C3): account avoiding the reactions from special interest social
Proximity to area of electric demand (SC31): It is defined as the groups for OWF alternatives.
distance between OWF and the consumption energy in the Aesthetic considerations (SC64): It is defined as the view as-
system. pects of OWF for the people in the shoreline.
Proximity to power transmission grid (SC32): It is defined as Collaborative process (SC65): This criterion evaluates the
the distance between OWF and the power transmission grids combined work for implementation of an OWF.
(lines). Mitigation of adverse local impacts (SC66): It is defined as the
Proximity to facilities for construction (SC33): It is defined as lessening opposed local impacts and the intensities of OWF.
the distance between OWF and the facilities for the Criteria defined by federal, state, local agencies and public
construction. (SC67): The criterion searches whether or not a consensus
Impact of navigation, aviation (SC34): This criterion evaluates among leaders' opinions for proposed renewable energy
adjacent OWF to boat, helicopter paths. alternative exists. It takes into account avoiding the reactions
➢ Economic aspects (C4): economic are important in every aspect of the politicians and satisfying political leaders.
of our life. When trying to make a decision for the best site se- Collaborative sitting (SC68): A binary factor that shows
lection OWF, several costs should be taken into account. meeting of experts for the implementation of the project.
Commercial feasibility (SC41): This criterion measures the Federal and/or state offshore development regulatory pro-
secure of the finance of the possibility for implementation of gram in place (SC69): The criterion analyzes the integration of
the renewable energy. the national energy policy and the suggested renewable en-
Economic externalities (SC42): This means quality or condition ergy alternative. It measures the degree of objectives'
of being external or directed toward outside or exterior, inci- convergence between the government policy and the sug-
dental situation that may affect a course of economic process gested policy. The criterion also takes into account the gov-
and activity. ernment's support, the tendency of institutional actors, and
Local economic benefits (SC43): This criterion evaluates eco- the policy of public information.
nomic benefits for the people of the region.
Ratio of local benefits to impacts (SC44): It is defined as the
ratio of the benefit energy to the impacts of energy in the 3.3. Case study
OWF.
Ratio of power generation to impacts (SC45): It is defined as There are many installed wind turbines in suitable regions like
the ratio of the generated energy to the impacts of energy in Manjil and Binalood, but there has not been any offshore wind
the system. installation yet in Iran (Mostafaeipour, 2010). Four sites in Bandar
Cost-benefit analysis (SC46): This criterion judges the pro- Deylam on the Persian Gulf in the southwest of Iran are considered
posed renewable energy alternative as economically by using as alternatives for the site selection of OWF. These alternatives are
one of the engineering economics techniques which is present Sajafi region (site 1 or Alternative 1 (A1)), Shah Abdollah region (site
A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28 21
Power consumption in this city is 40 MW. Site 4 is located in the Aspects Site 1 Site 2 Site 3 Site 4
south of the city center in 7 km distance and site 3 is located in the Traffic Oil e Vehicle e
north of the city center in 3 km distance. Site 2 is located in the shipment traffic
northwest of the site 3 in 10 km distance and Site 1 is located in the Political culture Oily Religious Academic e
southwest of the site 2 in 40 km distance. Fig. 2 shows the region region region
Forest e e Thorn e
geographical location of the proposed sites.
forest
Some characteristics of these sites are shown in Table 1. Water salinity Equal Equal Equal Equal
According to Table 1, the underwater lives and the marshland in Cove region e e Yes Yes
site 1 is greater than sites 2, 3 and 4 (the underwater lives and the Rank of birds 2 1 4 3 (including
migrations wild geese)
marshland of sites 2, 3 and 4 are same). The Sandy land in sites 2, 3
Rank of under 1 2 2 2
and 4 are greater than site 1. For the migration of birds and the tidal water lives
water, rank 1 is the greatest and rank 4 is the least. Rank of Fertile land e e 2 1
The wind blows from the West to the East and its characteristics Rank of Marsh land 1 2 2 2
for these sites are shown in Table 2. Rank of sandy land 2 1 1 1
Rank of tidal water 1 4 2 3
The wind resource availability (SC51) is a sub-criteria of the
Shallow water at ~20 m ~10 m ~10 m ~22 m
decision making. But according to Table 2, if the potential OWF sites 1 km of onshore
are decided by just taking in to account the monthly average wind Wave height ~0.5e1 m ~0.5 m ~1 m ~1.5e2 m
data, site 1 compared to other sites is the best. Then sites 2 and 3 are Distance from power ~9 km ~4 km ~1e3 km ~4 km
the best alternatives and finally site 4 is the worst site. network
Fig. 2. The geographical location of the proposed site for the offshore wind facility and the proposed alternatives (www.Persiangulfstudies.co).
22 A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28
Table 2
The characteristics of wind in the proposed sites.
Mean Maximum speed Mean Maximum speed Mean Maximum speed Mean Maximum speed
speed (m/s) speed (m/s) speed (m/s) speed (m/s)
(m/s) Angle (degree) (m/s) Angle (degree) (m/s) Angle (degree) (m/s) Angle (degree)
Fig. 3. The criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives network for the case.
A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28 23
CI 0:1139
CR ¼ ¼ ¼ 0:0918
RI 1:24
Since CR is less than 0.1, the experts’ judgments are consistent. If
the consistency test fails, the experts are asked to fill out the spe-
cific part of the questionnaires again. Priority vectors for the
importance of the sub-criteria with respect to the same upper-level
criterion are calculated in a similar way.
According to the Appendix B, the inner dependence matrix of
the Criteria is:
Table 3
The normalized super matrix.
Goal 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C1 0 0 0 0 0 0
C2 0 0 0 0 0 0
C3 0 0 0 0 0 0
C4 w21 W22 0 0 0 0 0 0
C5 0 0 0 0 0 0
C6 0 0 0 0 0 0
SC1 0 w32_1 0 0 0 0 0 W33_1 0 0 0 0 0
SC2 0 0 w32_2 0 0 0 0 0 W33-2 0 0 0 0
SC3 0 0 0 w32_3 0 0 0 0 0 W33-3 0 0 0
SC4 0 0 0 0 w32_4 0 0 0 0 0 W33-4 0 0
SC5 0 0 0 0 0 w32_5 0 0 0 0 0 W33-5 0
SC6 0 0 0 0 0 0 w32_6 0 0 0 0 0 W33-6
24 A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28
wsub ¼ ½ 0:0582 0:0838 0:0331 0:0412 0:0370 0:0372 0:0473 0:0581 0:0581 0:0816 0:0326 0:0397 0:0356 0:0310 0:0251 0:0333 0:0251 0:0270 0:0196 0:0310 0:0292 0:0165 0:0110 0:0112 0:0108 0:0136
Fig. 6. The diagram of overall dominance matrix (E).
2 3
0 0 0
61 0 07
6
E¼4 7
1 1 15
1 0 0
The overall dominance matrix (E) can be indicated by the di-
agram as follows:
Fig. 6 shows that the alternative A3 is the best site of OWF for
Bandar Deylam. Then A2, A4 are the best alternatives and finally
alternative A1 is the worst site (in other words A3 > A2, A4 > A1).
In order to investigate the robustness of the outcomes of de-
cision making, a sensitivity analysis is performed next by changing
the priorities of the criteria. Table 5 indicate the sensitivity anal-
ysis when the priority of depths and heights (C1), environmental
issues (C2), proximity to facilities (C3), economic aspects (C4),
resource technical levels (C5) and culture (C6) changes,
respectively.
Depending on the changes of the priorities of the criteria, the
best site of OWF may change as a result. As shown in Table 5, no
matter how much the priority of C1 to C6 changes, the ranking of
the four alternatives remains the same. Therefore, the current
solution (A3 > A2, A4 > A1) is rather robust.
5. Conclusions
Table 5
The priority changes in C1, C2, C3, C4, C5, C6 and the ranking of alternatives.
Criteria and Changes of Criteria Subject to Priority Vector Priority Vector Changes of Criteria Subject to Priority Vector
Ranking and Ranking and Ranking and Ranking
A systematic Fuzzy ANP model is proposed here and the offered W w ¼ lmax w (A.3)
steps are as follows:
Step 1. Form the super matrix by determining the criteria and where Wis the aggregated comparison matrix, w is the eigenvector
sub-criteria in the whole system. and lmax is the largest eigenvalue of W.
Step 2. Compare the criteria/and sub-criteria with each other by Step 6. Examine the consistency property of the aggregated
a committee of experts with N members. comparison matrices. The consistency index (CI) and consistency
This is done through pairwise comparisons by asking ‘‘How ratio (CR) are defined as follows (Lee et al., 2012):
much importance does a criterion/or sub-criterion have compared
to another criterion/or sub-criterion with respect to our interests or lmax n CI
CI ¼ CR ¼ (A.4)
preferences?” The relative importance value is determined using a n1 RI
Fuzzy number as listed in Table A.1 to represent equal importance
to extreme importance. where n is the number of items being compared in the pairwise
comparison matrix and RI is a random index and its values are given
Table A1 in Table A.2. When the calculated value of CR becomes greater than
The fuzzy linguistic scale for ANP method. the threshold, the committee of experts must revise the part of the
questionnaire and the steps 1e6 are repeated again.
Linguistic term Abbreviation Triangular fuzzy numbers
Step 3. Employ geometric average approach to aggregate ex- Appendix B. Fuzzy DEMATEL
perts’ responses and calculate triangular fuzzy numbers. For
example, the triangular fuzzy number for the relative importance A systematic Fuzzy DEMATEL model is proposed here and the
between criterion i and criterion j is calculated as follows: offered steps are as follows:
Step 1. Compare the influences of criteria/or sub-criteria with
qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
each other by a committee of experts with N members. This is done
li;j ¼ PN ; ¼ P N
; ¼ PN
N N N
B ijk mi;j B ijk ui;j k¼1 Bijk (A.1)
k¼1 k¼1 through pairwise comparisons by asking ‘‘How much influence
does a criterion/or sub-criterion have compared to another crite-
whereBijk is the pairwise comparison value between criterion i and
rion/or sub-criterion with respect to our interests or preferences?”
criterion j determined by expert k.
The relative influence value is determined using a Fuzzy number as
Step 4. Defuzzify each fuzzy number into a crisp number using
listed in Table B.1 to represent no influence to extreme influence.
Yager ranking method as follows (Asgharpour, 2011):
Step 2. Employ arithmetic average approach to aggregate ex-
perts’ responses and calculate triangular fuzzy numbers (is called
Z1 u
1 ~ l
~ li;j þ 2mi;j þ ui;j the fuzzy initial direct relation matrix(Ze)). For example, the trian-
Mi;j ¼ M i;j þ M i;j da ¼ (A.2)
2 a a 4 gular fuzzy number for the relative influences between criterion i
0 and criterion j is calculated as follows:
26 A. Fetanat, E. Khorasaninejad / Ocean & Coastal Management 109 (2015) 17e28
Table B1
The fuzzy linguistic scale for DEMATEL method. X
nC
Di ¼ tij i ¼ 1; 2; :::; nC (B.6)
Linguistic term Abbreviation Triangular fuzzy numbers
j¼1
No influence No (0, 0, 0.25)
Very low influence VL (0, 0.25, 0.5)
Low influence L (0.25, 0.5, 0.75)
X
nC
Rj ¼ tij j ¼ 1; 2; :::; nC (B.7)
High influence H (0.5, 0.75, 1)
Very high influence VH (0.75, 1, 1) i¼1
where Di and Rj denote the sum of rows and the sum of columns,
respectively. Then Di represents total direct and indirect effects that
the factor i has given to other factors and Rj shows the total effects,
1 X
N
1 X
N
1 X
N both direct and indirect received by a factor j given by other factors.
l0 i;j ¼ B0 ijk ; m0 i;j ¼ B0 ijk ; u0 i;j ¼ B0 ijk (B.1) A causal diagram can be acquired by mapping the dataset of
N N N
k¼1 k¼1 k¼1
(Di þ Rj¼i, Di Rj¼i), where the horizontal axis (Di þ Rj¼i) is made by
adding Rj¼i to Di, and the vertical axis (Di- Rj¼i) is made by sub-
where B0 ijk is the relative influence value between criterion i and
tracting Rj¼i from Di. When i ¼ j, then the term (Di þ Rj) represents
criterion j determined by expert k.
the degree of importance of the factor, and the term (Di e Rj) rep-
Step 3. Normalize the fuzzy initial direct relation matrix by the
resents the net effect that the factor contributes to the system in
following equations:
relation to other factors. If the term (Di e Rj) is positive, the factor i
is net causer, and if the previous expression is negative factor i is a
X
nC
net receiver (Tzeng et al., 2007).
s ¼ 1 max1inC ~ ¼sZ
u0 ij Y ~ (B.2)
j¼1
Appendix C. Fuzzy ELECTRE
where nC is the number of the criteria/or sub-criteria in the pairwise
comparison matrix. A systematic Fuzzy ELECTRE model is proposed here and the
Step 4. Determine the fuzzy total-relation matrix by using the offered steps are as follows:
following way: Step 1. Compare the ranking of malt alternatives based on the
characteristic of nsub sub-criteria together to assist in selecting the
1 The elements of Y~ ¼ ðl0 ; m0 ; u0 Þ are extracted to three crisp best alternative by a committee of experts with N members.
ij ij ij ij
matrices as follows: This is done through pairwise comparisons by asking ‘‘How
much is an alternative compared to other alternative more pref-
erable than each sub-criterion?” The relative preference value is
determined using a Fuzzy number as listed in Table C.1 to represent
2 3 none to excellent. The fuzzy decision matrix for malt alternatives
0 l0 12 / l0 1n and nsub sub-criteria is shown in Fig. C. 1.
6 l0 0 / l0 2n 7
6 21 7
Y1 ¼ 6 7;
4 « « 5
l0 n1 l0 n2 / 0
2 3 2 3
0 m0 12 / m0 1n 0 u0 12 / u0 1n
6 m0 0 / m0 2n 7 6 u0 0 / u0 2n 7
6 21 7 6 21 7
Y2 ¼ 6 7; Y3 ¼ 6 7
4 « « 5 4 « « 5
m0 n1 m0 n2 / 0 u0 n1 u0 n2 / 0
(B.3) Fig. C.1. The fuzzy decision matrix for problem.
¼ 1; 2; ::: ; nsub : (C.1) Step 9. Determine the overall dominance matrix by the following
equation:
Step 5. Calculate the weighted normalized decision matrix by
the following equation: Epq ¼ Fpq Gpq (C.11)
The matrix E indicates the relative sequence alternatives. If
nij ¼ normij : wsubj i ¼ 1; 2; :::; malt ; j ¼ 1; 2; :::; nsub (C.2) Epq ¼ 1 then Ap outranks Aq. Therefore, the following values show
that Ap is a the effective alternative.
where nij is the weighted normalized value and wsubj is the weight
of the jth sub-criterion obtained from the first column of super Epq ¼ 1 ; psq; dq ¼ 1; 2; :::; malt
(C.12)
matrix according to Section 2.4 and (.) is matrices dot product. Eip ¼ 0 ; isp; isq; ci ¼ 1; 2; :::; malt
Step 6. Determine the concordance and discordance sets. For
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set of sub-criteria are divided into two distinct subsets. If alterna- alternative.
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