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5 PG Precipitation Data Measurement
5 PG Precipitation Data Measurement
5 PG Precipitation Data Measurement
Precipitation
The word Precipitation as used in hydrology includes all
forms of water like rain, snow, hail and sleet derived from
atmospheric water.
Continued…
Approximate Size of Types of Precipitation
0.005-0.05 mm
0.5mm – 6.25 mm
Sleet
Sleet is frozen raindrops
which form when rain falls
through air at subfreezing
temperature.
Continued…
Forms of Precipitation
Hail — small lumps of ice (>5 mm in diameter)
formed by alternate freezing and melting, when
they are carried up and down in highly turbulent
air currents.
Fog — a thin cloud of varying size formed at the
surface of the earth by condensation of
atmospheric vapour (interfering with visibility)
Mist — a very thin fog
Continued…
Forms of Precipitation
Snow
Snow is another important form of precipitation. Snow
consists of ice crystals which usually combine to form
flakes.
Snow is precipitation in the form of ice crystals resulting
from sublimation i.e. change of water vapor directly to ice.
On CALTECH (California Institute of
Technology)
Classification of Precipitation based on the
Lifting Mechanism
The precipitation is often classified according to
the factor responsible for lifting of air to higher
altitudes.
Following are the various types of precipitation
based on this classification.
Convectional Precipitation
Orographic Precipitation
Cyclonic Precipitation
Factors Influencing Precipitation Formation
Mechanism of Cooling
When the air ascends from near the surface of the
Earth to upper levels in the atmosphere, pressure
reduction takes place. Due to this pressure reduction
air crosses through the colder layers and this is the
only mechanism capable of producing the degree and
rate of cooling needed to account for heavy rainfall.
Continued…
Convective precipitation
Frontal
Precipitation
Orographic precipitation
Cyclonic precipitation
Here the winds normally blow
spirally inward counter clockwise
in the northern hemisphere and
clockwise in the southern
hemisphere due to pressure
difference created by un equal
heating of earth’s surface.
Discuss in detail the causes of rainfall/precipitation for
both winter and summers seasons in Pakistan
Artificially Induced Precipitation
Attempts to increase the precipitation, suppress the hail &
lighting, mitigate hurricane, dissipate fog, prevent frost, alter
radiation balance is called as , “Weather Modifications”
• 2-Salts in supercooled
clouds,(temp. -4ºC ) can
initiate rainfall immediately.
( Cloud Seeding)
How to measure?
(1) Rain gauges/Ground Measurement
(2) Using Radars
(3) Satellite Estimates
Measurement of Precipitation
Amount of Precipitation
The amount of precipitation means the vertical depth of
water that would accumulate on a level surface, if the
precipitation remains where it falls.
The amount of precipitation is usually measured in
length units (inches, ft, cm, mm)
Continued…
Measurement of Precipitation
Amount of Precipitation
Clue
Make the units consistent
Continued…
Measurement of Precipitation
Duration of Precipitation
Continued…
Measurement of Precipitation
Intensity or Rate of Precipitation
Amount of precipitation per unit time is called
the intensity of precipitation or rate of
precipitation.
Type Intensity
1 Light Rain 2.5 mm/hr
2 Moderate Rain 2.5 mm/hr to 7.5 mm/hr
3 Heavy Rain > 7.5mm/hr
Continued…
Measurement of Precipitation
Areal Extent of Precipitation
The extent or the area over which the rainfall occurs
Continued…
Measurement of Precipitation
Both the amount and rate of precipitation are
important in hydrologic studies.
Continued…
Non‐Recording Rain Gauges
The US Weather Bureau Non‐Recording
Rain Gauge
203mm
NOTE:
600mm
Rain passes from the collector (dia=
20.3cm) into a cylindrical measuring
tube having X‐sectional Area= 1/10th
of the collector so that 0.1 inch rainfall
will fill the tube to a depth of 1inch.
Continued…
Non‐Recording Rain Gauges
The Symon’s Non‐Recording Rain Gauge
Continued…
Recording Rain‐gauges
This is also called self‐
recording, automatic or
integrating rain gauge.
It has an automatic
mechanical arrangement
consisting of a
clockwork, a drum with a
Mass curve of rainfall
graph paper fixed around
it and a pencil point,
which draws the mass
curve of rainfall
There are three types of recording rain gauges
Tipping bucket gauge
Weighing gauge
Float gauge
1662 First Tipping Bucket Raingauge
Float
Chamber
Continued…
Recording Rain Gauges
Weighing Type Rain
Gauge
The records show the
accumulation of
precipitation. Weighing
type gauges operate from 1
to 2 months without
stopping.
Continued…
Snow‐Telemetry (SNOTEL)
Radar
RAdio Detection And Ranging
Receiver
17
158
Weather radar network in China
2
Cv Where
N
N = Optimal number of stations
= Allowable degree of error in the
Cv m 1 X 100
estimation of mean rainfall (%)
P
Cv = coefficient of variation of rainfall
at existing m stations (%)
m
Pi P
2
m 1 1
m = Already rain gauge stns in the
m 1 catchment
m 1 = standard deviation
1m Pi = ppt magnitude in the ith station
P Pi
m 1
Analysis of Precipitation Data
IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS
Continued…
Reasons for Missing Precipitation Record
Malfunctioning of precipitation gage and/or related
equipment
Effect of natural hazards (floods, landslides, hurricanes,
etc.)
Sabotage (terrorism)
Human related problems (temporary absence of people in
charge of reading gages, mistakes in handling data, etc.)
Others
Hence missing data has to be estimated
Continued…
Estimation of missing data
Several methods are available for estimating missing
precipitation data. Some methods are quite simple but
others are more involved requiring some expertise in
statistical analysis, time series analysis, neural
networks, spatial analysis, etc.
The type of methods to apply for a particular case
depend whether the missing data are temporal or
spatial data. The method to apply for temporal data
depends on the temporal resolution (e.g. annual,
monthly, daily, hourly, etc.) and the length (amount)
of missing data.
Estimation of missing data
Also the applicability of certain methods (e.g. methods
based on time series analysis) depends on the available
record length. Some of the methods that can be used
for missing data estimation are as
Arithmetic mean
Normal ratio method
Inverse distance method
Correlation and regression
Others
Estimation of Missing Precipitation Record
The gauging station whose data is missing is
called interpolation station and
The gauging stations whose data are used to
calculate the missing station data are called
index stations.
If the normal annual precipitation of the index
stations lies within 10% of normal annual
precipitation of interpolation station then we
apply arithmetic mean method to determine the
missing precipitation record otherwise the
normal ratio method is used for this purpose.
Continued…
Estimation of Missing Precipitation Record
Consider that record is missing from a station ‘X’.
Now let,
N = Normal annual precipitation. (Mean of 30 years of
annual precipitation data)
P = Storm Precipitation.
Let
Px be the missing precipitation for station ‘X’ and
Nx, the normal annual precipitation of this station
Na, Nb and Nc are normal annual precipitations of nearby
three stations, A, B and C respectively while
Pa, Pb and Pc are the storm precipitation of that period for
these stations.
Continued…
Estimation of Missing Precipitation Record
Continued…
Simple Arithmetic Mean Method
According to the arithmetic mean method the
missing precipitation is given as:
i n
1
Px = n i 1
where n is number of nearby stations.
P i
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
According to the normal ratio method the missing precipitation is
given as:
1 in N x
Px = Pi
n i 1 N i
where Px is the missing precipitation for any storm at the
interpolation station ‘X’.
Pi is the precipitation for the same period of same storm at the
“ith” station of a group of index stations and
Nx and Ni are the normal annual precipitation values for the ‘X’
and ‘ith’ stations e.g. in case of three index stations
1 Nx N N ]
Px = 3 [ P1 P x
P 2
x
3
N1 N N
2 3
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
Example
Find out the missing storm precipitation of station ‘C’
given in the following table: (can we apply Simple
Arithmetic Mean Method to Approach the Solution?)
Station A B C D E
Storm precipitation 9.7 8.3 ---- 11.7 8.0
(cm)
Normal Annual 100.3 109.5 93.5 125.7 117.5
precipitation (cm)
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
Solution
In this example the storm precipitation and normal
annual precipitations at stations A, B, D and E are
given and missing precipitation at station ‘C’ is to
be calculated whose normal annual precipitation is
known. We will determine first that whether
arithmetic mean or normal ratio method is to be
applied.
10% of Nc = 93.5x10/100 = 9.35
After the addition of 10% of Nc in Nc, we get
93.5+9.35=102.85
And by subtracting 10% we get a value of 84.15
So Na, Nb, Nd or Ne values are to be checked for the
range 102.85 to 84.15.
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
If any value of Na, Nb, Nd or Ne lies beyond this range,
then normal ratio method would be used. It is clear
from data in table above that Nb, Nd and Ne values are
out of this range so the normal ratio method is
applicable here, according to which
1 in N x
Px = Pi
n i 1 N i
Pc= (1/4 )(93.5 x 9.7/100.3+ 93.5 x 8.3/109.5+ 93.5 x
11.7/125.7+ 93.5 x 8.0/117.5) = 7.8 cm
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
Example
Precipitation station “X” was inoperative for part
of a month during which a storm occurred. The
storm totals at three surrounding stations A, B
and C were respectively 10.7, 8.9 and 12.2 cm.
The normal annual precipitation amounts at
stations X, A, B and C are respectively 97.8, 112,
93.5 and 119.9 cm. Estimate the storm
precipitation for station ‘X’.
Continued…
Normal Ratio Method
Solution
Pa = 10.7 cm Na = 112 cm
Pb = 8.90 cm Nb = 93.5 cm
Pc = 12.2 cm Nc = 119.9 cm
Px = ? Nx = 97.8 cm
10% of Nx = 97.8 x 10/100 = 9.78 cm.
Nx ‐ Na = 97.8 ‐ 112 = ‐14.2 cm More than + 10% of Nx
(no need of calculating Nx – Nb and Nx ‐ Nc
So we will use Normal Ratio Method.
Px = (1/3) ( 97.8 x 10.7/112+ 97.8 x 8.90 /93.5 + 97.8 x 12.2
/119.9)
Px = 9.5 cm
Inverse Distance Method
Referring to the sketch below
let us define the following
information:
dZ = distance between gage Y
and Z, where Z =A, B, etc.
Pt(Z) = precipitation at gage Z
during time t, where Z =A, B,
etc.
Pt(Y) = missing precipitation
at gage Y
Inverse Distance Method
The estimated missing precipitation at site Y by the
inverse distance method is:
Method based on regression analysis
Assume that two precipitation gages Y and X have long
records of annual precipitation, i.e.
Y1,Y2 ,...,YN and X1, X2 ,..., X N . The precipitation Yt is
missing. We will fill in the missing data
based on a simple linear regression model. The model
can be written as:
Continued…
Consistency of Precipitation Data or Double Mass
Analysis
If the curve has a constant slope, the record of station “X” is
consistent. However, if there is any break in the slope of
the curve, the record of the station is inconsistent and has
to be adjusted by the formula.
Pa = (Sa / So) x Po
Where Pa = Adjusted precipitation.
Po = Observed precipitation.
Sa = Slope prior to the break in the curve
So = Slope after the break in the curve.
Continued…
Consistency of Precipitation Data or
Double Mass Analysis
Therefore part of the record of station in question
must be adjusted. Which part of the record must be
adjusted (before the break point or after). This
depends on the particular case.
For example, if the inconsistency in the station has
occurred because the gage was moved from the
original location to another location (the current
location), then it is logical to adjust the record before
the break point.
Consistency of Precipitation Data or
Double Mass Analysis
It may be shown that the first part of the record may
be adjusted by Pa = (Sa / So) x Po. On the other hand,
if the second part of the record is needed to be
adjusted use instead Pa = (So / Sa) x Po.
So
Sa
Example: Check consistency of the data given in table 3.1 below and adjust it if it is
found to be inconsistent
Year Annual precipitation at x Mean of annual precipitation of 20 Year Annual precipitation at x Mean of annual
(mm) surrounding stations (mm) (mm) precipitation of 20
surrounding stations
(mm)
12000
10000
8000 Sa/S0=0.7
6000
S0=1.176
4000
2000 Sa=0.854
0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
Continued…
Consistency of Precipitation Data or Double Mass
Analysis
The correction for slope is applied to readings beyond
break in slope. The calculations are shown in table,
below.
Slope of 1st line = Sa = 0.854
Slope of deviating line = So = 1.176
Correction to values (multiplying factor) = 0.854/1.176 = 0.70
Now regime changes before 1950. So up to 1950 no
correction is required. After 1950 all readings are
multiplied by slopes ratio of 0.7 to get corrected
precipitation.
Note that data in latter interval (1973‐1950) is considered
more authentic so kept in initial reach of the graph.
Continued…
Table: Adjusted Precipitation
Year Cumulative Annual precipitation at Cummulative precipitation of 20 Corrected Precipitation Remarks
x (mm) surrounding stations (mm)
No correction
1962 2628 3222 224
1961 2831 3468 203
1960 3115 3732 284
1959 3410 4064 295
1958 3616 4295 206
1957 3885 4529 269
1956 4126 4760 241
1955 4410 5072 284
1954 4633 5432 223
1953 4806 5666 173
1952 5088 5999 282
1951 5306 6235 218
1950 5552 6486 246
Continued…
Table: Adjusted Precipitation
Year Cumulative Annual precipitation at x Cumulative precipitation of 20 surrounding Corrected Precipitation Remarks
(mm) stations (mm)