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JM2
10,1
ANP based sustainable concept
selection
Jayakrishna K., Vimal K.E.K. and Sekar Vinodh
Department of Production Engineering, National Institute of Technology,
118 Tiruchirappalli, India
Received 7 December 2012
Revised 18 May 2013
Accepted 30 July 2013 Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to report a study in which analytical network process (ANP)
was used for selecting the best concept from sustainability view point.
Design/methodology/approach – The concept selection in the sustainability viewpoint is a typical
multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem involving complex interrelationship among the
decision criteria. The formulated MCDM problem of sustainable concept selection was solved using
ANP. The sensitivity analysis was also being conducted to validate the results.
Findings – The interrelationship among the decision criteria was analyzed using ANP, and the best
alternative was selected based on the computation of Product Sustainability Weighted Index (PSWI).
The selected best alternative was subjected to implementation in the case organization.
Research limitations/implications – The study deals with the formulation of sustainable concept
selection as a typical MCDM problem and providing solutions using ANP. The best alternative “weight
reduction” was subjected to implementation. The developed MCDM problem also could be solved using
hybrid MCDM methods.
Practical implications – The study focuses on selecting the best sustainability concept for an Indian
automotive component manufacturing organization. Hence, the inferences being derived from the study
are practically feasible and contribute toward the improvement of product sustainability.
Originality/value – The formulation of a hierarchical model for sustainable concept selection as
MCDM problem and generating solution using ANP is the contribution of the authors.
Keywords Decision-making, Artificial intelligence
Paper type Case study
Notations
axy ⫽ score assigned to criteria x being compared with criteria y;
W1 ⫽ normalized values of weight;
CI ⫽ consistency index;
CR ⫽ consistency ratio;
RI ⫽ random consistency index;
n ⫽ matrix size;
Dmax ⫽ maximum eigen value;
Pj ⫽ the relative importance weight of criteria j;
ADkj ⫽ relative importance weight for sub-criteria k of criteria j for the dependency;
Journal of Modelling in
Management The authors would like to express our appreciation to Department of Science and Technology,
Vol. 10 No. 1, 2015
pp. 118-136 New Delhi, India, for the financial support for this study, under the project titled “Development of
© Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1746-5664
a model for ensuring sustainable product design in automotive organizations” (Ref No. SR/S3/
DOI 10.1108/JM2-12-2012-0042 MERC-0102/2009). This research study forms a part of this major research project.
Alkj ⫽ stabilized relative importance weight for sub-criteria k of criteria j for the ANP-based
independency; sustainable
S1kj ⫽ relative impact of weight reduction (Alternative 1);
S2kj ⫽ relative impact of parts reduction (Alternative 2); and
concept
S3kj ⫽ relative impact of alternate material change (Alternative 3). selection
1. Introduction
The manufacture and utilization of any engineering product carries with it
119
environmental penalties. There is always a growing recognition that the minimization
of these penalties must become a primary design objective (Sadiq et al., 2010).
Brundtland Commission, 1987, has defined sustainable development as the
development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of
future generations to meet their own needs. Ljungberg (2007) identified four vital
problems like over-consumption, resource utilization, pollution and over-population as
reasons for unsustainability at global level, and while developing any new product, it is
necessary to move between the three E’s (Ecology, Equity and Economy) to obtain a
suitable sustainable development. The principal environmental management issues
accentuate the original equipment manufacturers (OEM) to focus on their product
development process. In general, the environmental practices are reliant on wider
aspects to be integrated to achieve firm’s goal of waste elimination and lower
environmental impact. Therefore, the OEM’s must try to integrate environmental
aspects to ensure corporate survival and sustainable development. There are several
environmental aspects often taken into consideration like recycling, re-manufacturing and
reusing while designing and developing a product to make it eco-friendlier (Matsumoto,
2009). Some of the considerations on achieving product sustainability include reduction in
the weight of product, reduction in number of parts and selection of alternate materials. All
these three alternates often go hand in hand at times in designing and developing a
sustainable product. To quantify the level of impact of these alternatives in achieving
product sustainability, there exists a need to explore the interdependence relations among
the criteria and attributes formulating the triple bottom-line of sustainability. In this study,
attempt has been made in selecting the best alterative concept for achieving product
sustainability using analytical network process (ANP) approach.
2. Literature review
The literature has been reviewed from the perspectives of sustainability concepts and
application of ANP.
3. Methodology
The study begins with the literature review on product sustainability concepts, ANP and its
applications. Based upon the literature review, a theoretical model was developed to best suit
the case study. All necessary data have been gathered from the organization to conduct the
study, ANP was selected as the tool to select the best alternative to attain product
sustainability and all necessary calculations were made to select the consistent alternative
based on the computed PSWI; this was followed by the sensitivity analysis to validate the
results. The results were also practically validated to examine its feasibility in real-time
scenario. The methodology followed during the study is shown in Figure 1.
4. Case study
This section deals with the details about the case company, case problem of the study
and ANP approach for the selection of best alternative to achieve product sustainability.
10,1 development
124
FH AR IHR
TO EP ME WR MS EP Level IV - Interacons
R P
PF LR SH
BR P
Figure 2.
Framework of ANP Weight Reducon (WER) Parts Reducon (PR) Alternate Material Change Level V - Alternaves
relative model (AMG)
best alternative has to be selected for achieving product sustainability in the case
organization. The fifth-level interaction shows how the sub-criteria play a role in
alternative selection. The criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives used in the ANP
framework model of this case study are presented in Table II.
Elements Codes Definition
ANP-based
sustainable
Criteria ECO Economic concept
ENVI Environment
SOC Social selection
Sub-criteria FH Financial health
EP Economic performance
PFB Potential financial benefits
125
TO Trading opportunities
AR Air resources
WR Water resources
LR Land resources
MER Mineral and energy resources
IHR Internal human resources
EP External population
SHP Stakeholder population Table II.
MSP Macro social performance Criteria, sub-criteria
Alternatives WER Weight reduction and alternates used
PR Parts reduction in the ANP
AMG Alternate material change framework model
126
Development of pair wise comparison matrices
Sensitivity analysis
Figure 3.
Steps involved in Computation of PSWI
ANP approach
product, as over consumption of any resource will always lead to drastic impact on
nature with an increasing growth rate of 5 per cent (Meadows et al., 1992). Reducing the
number of parts used in any product both in its assembly or sub-assembly will pave the
way toward less complex assembly and disassembly practice with the reduction in time
and cost spent which will also ensure remanufacturing aspect of the product in the long
run (Gungor, 2006). Moreover, both weight reduction and reduction in the number of
parts create low demand for transportation, thereby saving a lot of energy being spent.
With the development in advanced materials, the time to shift to alternate materials
from the conventional materials becomes the need of the hour.
4.4.2 Formulation of network. The relationships in a network of ANP must have
directions depending on the influence between the clusters (Sarkis et al., 2007). The
interrelation ship between the various criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives are
well-established by the linkage provided by the network formation. The first step in
network development is the process of clustering; in this model, the clusters are
represented as levels across the model, and the criteria forms the nodes of the cluster, as
shown in Figure 2. The second step involves linking the criteria/nodes with each other,
reflecting their interrelationships either internally or externally. An internal linkage is
like a loop on those subsequent levels. External linkages are made between criteria from
the influencing one to the dependent one. The linkage in this ANP model is shown using ANP-based
solid lines. sustainable
4.4.3 Development of pairwise comparison matrices. For determining the relative concept
importance between elements, the expert panel consisting of executives from different
departments of the organization were asked to provide their subjective value judgments
selection
through a series of pairwise comparisons. Each comparison score was collected on the
basis of a 9-point Likert’s scale, where a score of 1-9 are of equal importance and the 127
extreme importance of one factor over another. Pairwise comparison matrices are
formed between each couple of criteria with respect to the influencing criteria.
Influencing criterion is the criterion to which the other criteria are dependent. Similarly, the
pairwise comparison matrices are framed between the control clusters and their dependent
clusters. The comparison of each of the criteria or cluster with the other corresponding,
dependent criteria or cluster results in a matrix with eigen vector presenting the final
priorities concerning the control criterion. If axy is the score assigned to criteria x being
compared with criteria y, the normalization of the comparison matrices is represented as
shown in equation (1). In a similar pattern, all pairwise matrices were developed. As an
example, Table III shows the pairwise comparison between the Cluster II/Level II with
corresponding sub-criteria of environmental sustainability.
W1 ⫽
关兺 兴 axy
axy
(1)
冤 冥
兺 共
兺 兲
n a1y
y⫽1 n
x⫽1 xya
n
兺 共
兺 兲
n a2y
y⫽1 n
x⫽1 xya
W⫽ n
.
.
兺 n
y⫽1
共兺 兲 a3y
n
x⫽1 xya
n
Table III.
ENVI AR WR LR MER Pairwise comparison
between the clusters
AR 1 3 5 7 with corresponding
WR 0.33333 1 3 5 sub-criteria of
LR 0.2 0.33333 1 3 environmental
MER 0.14286 0.2 0.33333 1 sustainability
冤冥
JM2 W1
10,1 W2
W⫽ . (2)
.
Wn
128 The pairwise comparison matrix for relative importance between the sub-criteria FH
and other criteria (EP, PFB and TO) is shown in Table IV.
4.4.4 Improving the inconsistency of the comparison matrices. The consistency ratio
(CR) is defined as the direct measure of the consistency of pairwise comparisons. It is the
ratio between consistency index (CI) and random consistency index (RI) [equation (3)].
CI
CR ⫽ (3)
RI
Dmax ⫺ n
CI ⫽ (4)
n⫺1
For the CI, the deviation from consistency can be computed using the equation (4). Here
Dmax is the highest eigen value of the resultant matrix, and n represents the matrix size.
Normally, the value of RI is taken as 0.58 from RI table. The value of CR should not
exceed 0.100. As an example, the sample calculation of eigen vector for comparison
matrix for various sub-criteria under economic criteria is shown in Table V.
Sample calculation:
Dmax ⫽ 4.155
Table IV.
Pairwise comparison
matrix for relative FH EP PF TO
importance between
the sub-criteria EP 1 1 3
financial health and PF 1 1 5
other criteria TO 0.33333 0.2 1
4.4.5 Construction of un-weighted super matrix. The un-weighted super matrix is the
matrix containing the priorities from the pairwise comparisons. After calculating the
eigen vectors of all the pairwise matrices together, they are substituted in the super
matrix block Vxy framed between dependent elements of cluster x with influencing
elements of cluster y. The constructed un-weighted super matrix is shown in Table VI:
冤 冥
W11 W12 . . W1n
W21 W22 . . W2n
W⫽ . . . . . (5)
. . . . .
Wn1 Wn2 . . Wnn
4.4.6 Construction of weighted super matrix. The major difference between the
un-weighted super matrix and the weighted super matrix is that the former does not
exhibit probabilistic behavior and the summation of the columns will not be one. To
obtain the weighted super matrix, the un-weighted super matrix is multiplied with the
priority weights produced from the clusters/levels attained by comparison matrix. The
constructed weighted super matrix is shown in Table VII.
4.4.7 Formulation of limit super matrix. The weighted super matrix is constructed by
taking into account only indirect dependencies, whereas the limit matrix is computed
using both direct and indirect dependencies. The limit matrix is obtained by raising the
weighted super matrix to powers until it converges to give the stabilized values. The
formulated limit matrix is shown in Table VIII.
4.4.7 Computation of desirability index. The desirability index is calculated using
equation (6) (Ayag and Ozdemir, 2009):
j k
Di ⫽ 兺 兺P A
j⫽1 k⫽⫺1
j
D
kj Akj1 Sikj (6)
where Pj is the relative importance weight of criteria j; ADkj, relative importance weight
for sub-criteria k of criteria j for the dependency; Alkj, stabilized relative importance
weight for sub-criteria k of criteria j for the independency; S1kj, relative impact of weight
reduction (Alternative 1) on sub-criteria k of criteria j of product sustainability selection
network; S2kj, relative impact of parts reduction (Alternative 2) on sub-criteria k of
criteria j of product sustainability selection network; and S3kj is the relative impact of
alternate material change (Alternative 3) on sub-criteria k of criteria j of product
ECO FH 0.637 0.383 0.382 0.731 0.188 0.081 0.068 0.018 0.008
EP 0.637 0.383 0.220 0.481 0.405 0.114 0.026 0.022 0.006
PFB 0.637 0.175 0.307 0.731 0.188 0.081 0.025 0.006 0.003
TO 0.637 0.060 0.091 0.435 0.487 0.078 0.002 0.002 0.000
ENVI AR 0.258 0.565 0.273 0.637 0.258 0.105 0.025 0.010 0.004
WR 0.258 0.262 0.214 0.731 0.188 0.081 0.011 0.003 0.001
LR 0.258 0.118 0.303 0.481 0.405 0.114 0.004 0.004 0.001
MER 0.258 0.055 0.210 0.435 0.487 0.078 0.001 0.001 0.000
SOC IHR 0.105 0.425 0.341 0.637 0.258 0.105 0.010 0.004 0.002
EP 0.105 0.282 0.402 0.435 0.487 0.078 0.005 0.006 0.001
SHP 0.105 0.213 0.175 0.481 0.405 0.114 0.002 0.002 0.000
Table VIII. MSP 0.105 0.080 0.082 0.731 0.188 0.081 0.001 0.000 0.000
Limit super matrix Desirability index 0.179 0.077 0.026
sustainability selection network. Table IX shows the desirability index computed for ANP-based
various sub-criteria based on all the three criteria. sustainable
4.4.7.1 Sample calculation. The desirability index for “weight reduction” (Alternate 1)
considering the sub-criteria “financial health” is shown below:
concept
selection
⫽ 0.637 ⫻ 0.383 ⫻ 0.383 ⫻ 0.731
⫽ 0.068 131
4.4.8 Computation of PSWI. PSWI is the normalized values of the calculated total
desirability index. The final priorities of the alternatives are the PSWI values, based
upon which the final decision is to be made. The computed values of PSWI are shown in
Table IX. From the corresponding ranking of PSWI in Table VIII, it was evident that the
weight reduction is the best alternate for achieving product sustainability.
5. Results
As a standard, results of any research work need to be validated. The following sub-sections
deals with the substantiation of the outcomes of ANP approach carried out in previous
sections to empirically indicate that the use of ANP approach is effective and efficient.
132
Figure 4.
Results of sensitivity
analysis
Test Value = 9
Mean Difference
rationalized by making a valuable decision. This study also made a first of its kind using
ANP for alternate concept selection in making the product sustainable. The study reported
in this article has been validated using two approaches, and its practical feasibility in
implementation is proved by the contemporary mangers in decision-making. Because of
impreciseness and vagueness on the choice of stakeholders and impreciseness to capture the
judgments of stakeholders of conventional ANP, it can be integrated with tools which can
overcome this ambiguity.
The methodology for sustainable concept selection proposed in this study
enables the contemporary managers to scientifically select the best alternative
among the available group of alternatives. Besides the selection of best alternatives,
the approach will enable the managers to understand the various levels of
interactions prevailing in the organization. This helps the practicing managers to
completely understand the prevailing situation in economic, social and
environmental orientations. In this context, modern managers need to be equipped
with these kinds of scientific approaches to clearly understand the position of
organization before taking a decision. The approach has practical feasibility and
enables the formulation of sustainable concept selection as a typical MCDM
problem, studying the hierarchy and the interactions between the sub-criteria and
selecting the best alternative. This will provide an additional skill set to the modern
managers to be responsive to the dynamic market changes.
The current study can also be extended by further breaking down the criteria or
cluster for more precise decision-making and developing the model with additional
sustainable concept alternates for quite a number of products and validating their
results. In future, fuzzy set theory can also be infused to tackle vagueness and
uncertainty. Also, exclusive decision/expert support system can be developed to reduce
time consumption and also to equip with historical data.
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