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CURRENT FROLBLEMS IN RESEARCH Eastern New Mexico University.

A
mammoth mandible from the original
excavation was made available for
analysis by H. M. Wormington, cura-
tor of archaeology at the Denver Mu-
Fluted Projectile Points: seum of Natural History. The bone,
after being pulverized, was leached
Their Age and Dispersion with alcohol and then with acetone in
order to remove organic preservatives.
The progress of the leaching was mon-
itored through periodic analysis for ni-
Stratigraphicallycontrolled radiocarbondating
trogen and organic carbon. The bone
provides new evidence on peopling of the New World. was then pyrolyzed and leached with
hydrochloric acid to produce a residue
of "bone black" carbon. Bone from
C. Vance Haynes, Jr.
which the preservatives had not been
leached (sample 1-473) was dated
7200 ? 200 years ago, while the
leached sample (1-622) was 11,200 -+
Problems of age, classification, and tions are as great as variations between 500 years ago.
dispersion of fluted projectile points in collections, and most of the individual As a result of intensive archeological
eastern North America have been ex- Clovis points clearly display a multiple- and geological activities during 1962-
tensively discussed in a recent review fluting technique (see cover) similar to 63 at Blackwater No. 1 (Fig. IB),
by Mason (1). The results of geo- that described for fluted points from the Clovis type site, our knowledge of
logical and archeological investigations Michigan (4) and from the Shoop the Llano complex (6, 7) has been
in the High Plains and the Southwest (Pennsylvania) and Bull Brook (Mas- substantially increased (12-14). These
are in accord with most of the inter- sachusetts) sites (5). In the light of activities produced materials suitable
pretations presented in Mason's study. these findings and of results of radio- for radiocarbon dating from both the
With the possible exception of Sandia carbon dating interpreted in terms of Clovis and the Folsom levels (9). Exca-
points, the earliest projectile points in stratigraphy,I examine, in this article, vation of the skeleton of a mammoth
any stratigraphic context are Clovis. the hypothetical possibilities if we con- produced carbonized plant remains in
These are characteristic of the Llano sider Clovis points, and similar points a clay lens deposited in and around
complex-artifacts of a people who found from coast to coast, to be repre- the skull soon after the animal had
specialized in hunting mammoths. sentative of a single people. fallen prey to the Llano hunters. The
Some archeologists interpret variations age of 11,170 - 360 years obtained for
between Clovis fluted points of the sample A-481 dates the filling of the
High Plains and Southwest and fluted Age of Clovis Sites mammoth's brain case with lacustro-
points of the eastern United States as fluvial sediments and provides an early
indication of temporal as well as typo- Of six sites in the High Plains and date for the deposition of sediments
logical differences (2), and argue that Southwest where Clovis artifacts have probably equivalent to the "brown
the eastern specimens are ancestral to been found in situ (6, 7), five have sand wedge" of Evans (see 6, p. 28).
Clovis points, because of the latter's now been dated by the radiocarbon Detailed geological investigations in
late position in an inferred develop- method. From the Lehner site in Ari- Blackwater Draw indicate the underly-
mental sequence. Other archeologists zona (Fig. 1D) improved counting ing "gray sand" unit, in which many
recognize minor differences but do not techniques have clearly shown earlier of the Clovis artifacts and associated
consider Clovis points typologically dates obtained by the solid-carbon mammoths occur, to be considerably
different from eastern fluted points method to be in error (8). Statistical older than the cultural material (15)-
such as Enterline, Bull Brook, and treatment of six dates from the Clovis that is, the artifacts and at least some
some points from the Great Lakes re- level has demonstrated excellent agree- of the animal remains have intruded
gion (1, 3); they argue that, without ment between results for individual the gray sand.
supporting geochronological evidence, samples and among separate labora- A diatomite stratigraphic unit at
temporal differentiation is not justified. tories and provides an average age of Blackwater No. 1 overlies the Clovis
They therefore use the name Clovis 11,260 ? 360 years (9). Overlying and material and contains Folsom artifacts
to include related eastern projectile underlying sediments (samples A-33 and associated bison remains. Carbon-
points (1). Close inspection of Clovis bis and A-478b) have been dated ized plants from this unit have pro-
point collections from the Dent (Col- 10,410 - 190 (10) and 11,600 ? 400 vided dates of 10,490 - 900 (A-386)
orado), Miami (Texas), Blackwater years ago, respectively (11). and 10,250 ? 320 years (average of
No. 1 (New Mexico), Naco (Ari- The Dent site in Colorado (Fig. A-379 and A-380) (9). These are com-
zona), Borax Lake (California), and 1A), where Clovis points were first parable to dates for other Folsom
Williamson (Virginia) sites reveals found in situ and in association with material.
that variations within individual collec- mammoth remains, has been dated At the Naco site in southeastern
by the radiocarbon method mainly Arizona (Fig. 1C) disseminated flecks
The author is a member of the staff of the of charcoal collected from alluvium
Geochronology Laboratories, University of through the efforts of George Agogino,
Arizona, Tucson. director of the Paleo-Indian Institute, containing a mammoth and associated
1408 SCIENCE, VOL. 145
Fig. 1. Map showing (solid circles) radiocarbon-dated Clovis sites; (open circles) possible Clovis sites, radiocarbon-dated;
(squares) Clovis sites not dated; (triangles) sites in the Far North where fluted points have been discovered; and (grid pattern)
distribution of Clovis points found on the surface-all in relation to the approximate ice border during Two Creeks time and the
Bering land bridge when sea level was 55 meters lower than it is now. A, Dent site, Colorado; B, Blackwater No. 1 site, New
Mexico; C, Naco site, Arizona; D, Lehner site, Arizona; E, Bull Brook site, Massachusetts; F, Ventana Cave, Arizona; G, Union
Pacific Mammoth site, Wyoming; H, Domebo site, Oklahoma; I and J, Alaskan surface finds; K, Engigstciak site, Yukon Terri-
tory; L, Iyatayet site, Alaska; M, Shoop site, Pennsylvania; N, Williamson site, Virginia; 0, Quad site, Alabama; P, Miami site,
Texas; Q, Tonopah site, Nevada; R, Borax Lake site, California; S, Simon site, Idaho.
25 SEPTEMBER 1964 1409
Clovis points were dated 9250 ? 300 in Texas (21). Subsequently a date of graphic scrutiny. The Plainview, Texas,
years (A-9 + 10), but both the nature 10,780 ? 135 years was obtained for date of 9800 ? 500 years is for a
of the occurrence and the solid-carbon a sample (I-141) from the Folsom sample (L-303) which was not in
method of dating leave the date open level at the Lindenmeier site in Col- direct association with mammoth, and
to question (16). Geological evidence orado. This date permitted correlation the complex stratigraphy at the site
indicates that it is of the same age asof the geological stratigraphy at the makes the association tenuous at best.
Clovis material from the Lehner site. Lindenmeier site with that of other The Kassler, Colorado, date of 10,200
The Domebo site (Fig. 1H), near important sites of early man in the +- 350 years is for a mammoth tooth
Stecker, Oklahoma, is a recent discov- western United States (22). (W-401), a material which is notorious
ery of mammoth remains with associ- Recent investigations in Wyoming for contamination with more recent
ated fluted points that Anderson (17) have led to the discovery of two new materials. The Naco, Arizona, associa-
Folsom sites. The lowest cultural level
considers to be Clovis, with typological tion has been questioned, as mentioned
variations approaching those observed at the Brewster site in eastern Wyo- earlier. The one exception is Double
on some Plainview points. Wood sam- ming contains Folsom points in associ- Adobe, Arizona; there are now enough
ples (SM-610 and SM-695) from a ation with remains of Bison antiquus dates for that site to confirm the indi-
silt-clay unit containing the association
and is overlain by several horizons cated age of 8000 to 9000 years for
have been dated 1.0,123 ? 280 and containing Agate Basin points (23). A the Sulphur Springs deposits contain-
11,045 -- 647 years, respectively, the date of 10,375 + 700 years has been ing mammoth remains (10).
latter date being considered more per- obtained for the Folsom level (sample Other dates for mammoth remains-
tinent to the mammoth-man associa- 1-472), while two successive Agate dates obtained later than those cited
tion. Basin levels were dated 9900 ? 450 by Hester-are a minimum age of
One other dated site that may con- (M-1131) and 9350 + 450 years 11,900 ? 250 years (sample UCLA-
tain a Clovis occupation is Ventana (0-1252) (24). 637) for Tule Springs, Nevada (28),
Cave, Arizona (Fig. 1F); charcoal At the Hell Gap site near Guernsey, and an age of 11,280 ? 350 years for
(A-203) from the "volcanic debris" Wyoming, Folsom and Hell Gap arti- tusk (1-449) from the Union Pacific
unit (18, 19) at this site was dated facts occur in the same stratigraphic Mammoth site (see Fig. 1G) associ-
11,300 ? 1200 years (10). Dep- unit. While no date has as yet been ated with nondiagnostic artifacts (27).
osition of this unit was followed by a obtained for the Folsom level per se, The absence of mammoths from the
period of erosion, then by deposition a date of 10,850 ? 550 years obtained United States by the time the Folsom
which Bryan (see 18, p. 126) has at- for Hell Gap material (sample 1-167) and Hell Gap artifacts were deposited,
applies equally well to the Folsom
tributed to the Altithermal. It appears, 10,000 to 11,000 years ago, is evident
occupation, as determined from strati-
therefore, that the volcanic debris cov- in the stratigraphy of Paleo-Indian
ers a time span of several thousand graphic investigations (25). A loess sites from Montana to Arizona, with
years. A projectile point from this deposit below the Folsom and Hell the one exception of Double Adobe.
stratigraphic unit shows affinities with
Gap level, but above a clay unit dated Obviously, extinction of the mammoth
both Clovis and Folsom points; how- 13,060 ? 600 years (sample A-431), population did not occur overnight,
ever, Haury (19) points out that the is correlated with a similar deposit and it would not be surprising to find
age obtained by radiocarbon dating, near Rawhide Buttes, 50 kilometers mammoth remains as young as 10,500
the paucity of Folsom points in south- away, that contains mammoth remains years, reliably dated by radioisotope
eastern Arizona, and the small size of (A-366) older than 10,550 ? 350 and geological methods, but whether
some known Clovis points all indicate years (9). At Hartville, 24 kilometers any mammoth remains are as recent
the Ventana specimen to be Clovis. west of Hell Gap, a Clovis point wa- as 8000 to 9000 years ago must be
A Clovis site in the eastern United found in the same loess. considered an open question. It ap-
States, the Bull Brook site (Fig. 1E) From the radiocarbon evidence it pears, therefore, that the change from
in Massachusetts, has provided four appears, if the Naco date is omitted, Clovis points to Folsom points coin-
dates from scattered lumps of charcoal that the Folsom complex, representing cides with the relatively sudden dis-
(20). The dates range from 6940 - bison hunters, has a relatively short appearance of mammoths, and the
800 years (sample M-809) to 9300 ?- time span of 1000 years between concomitant switch to hunting Bison
400 years (M-807), but their applica- 10,000 and 11,000 years ago, and the antiquus in the High Plains suggests
bility to the artifacts has been ques- Llano complex, representing mammoth a change in the specialized hunting
tioned (1). hunters, a span of 500 years between weapon in response to a change in
11,000 and 11,500 years ago. The game.
transition from Clovis points to Fol-
Age of Folsom Sites som points occurred during a very
short period, there being few known Clovis Dispersion and Glaciation
Exclusive of caves, there are eight examples that might be considered
sites where Folsom artifacts have been transitional. The maximum suggested age for
found in situ. For five of these, in- A review of the pertinent dates led Clovis points does not appear to be
cluding Blackwater No. 1, dates have Hester (26) to conclude that mam- the result of premature interpretation
been obtained by the radiocarbon moths existed as late as 8000 years because geological investigation of the
method. ago in the United States, but none of known sites does not permit assump-
The earliest of these dates, 9883 ? the dates earlier than 11,000 years ago tion of a date for the Llano complex
350 years ago, was obtained by the are well established. With one excep- earlier than 12,000 years ago. At sites
solid-carbon method on burned bison tion all appear anomalous in the light where there are deposits immediately
bone (C-588) from the Lubbock site of later radiocarbon dating and strati- antedating the Clovis occupation these
1410 SCIENCE, VOL. 145
deposits indicate ecological conditions Fluted Points in the Far North the Alaskan specimens shows multiple
as favorable to the existence of her- fluting to a more pronounced degree
bivorous megafauna, which man could Three fluted points have been found than any Clovis point does. Three par-
hunt, as conditions during the time of on the surface in northwesternAlaska: allel flutes on each side of the Utukok
the Clovis occupation, yet there is not two in the western part of the Brooks point bear a marked resemblance to
the slightest evidence of man's pres- Range (Fig. 1J) and one, the Utukok the flake scars left on a polyhedral
ence. This is not meant to imply that point, in the northwestern foothills of core by the removal of blades, suggest-
there were no cultures in the New the range (Fig. 11) (34, 35). The asso- ing analogous techniques (5). In this
World earlier than 12,000 years ago, ciations are tenuous, but two poly- case the point is simply a core from
for there are good indications that hedral cores were found in the same which blades are struck in the process
there were (29). It simply means that surface collections as two of the pro- of fluting.
we have no indisputable progenitor for jectile points. All the points show mul- A fluted point was also found at the
the Llano complex. Thus we find Clovis tiple fluting and ground basal edges as Iyatayet site, Alaska (Fig. 1L), but
points distributed over the southern do most Clovis points; however, one of whether or not it is actually a part
half of the continent around 11,300
years ago. Why this apparently sudden
appearance? CLOVIS FOLSOM
If we compare the geochronological -N
data with glacial events in the Lake
Michigan area, as recently reviewed by NORTH
Broecker and Farrand (30), we find a AMER IC AN
striking relationship (Fig. 2). All dates 41-~~~~%
for Clovis artifacts, with the exception GLAC /AT ION 0

of the Naco and Bull Brook dates, fall > o


41 L.
ai> L.
near or soon after the time of maxi- 0 ti a *^ ?
Q. 41 t. -*a
mum advance of ice during the Valders as a
0o
stade, and all the dates for Folsom ri ) -t -0 e
_c
S 0a
0
0C 0 -W 41 -J
artifacts are well within the period of 0
41: .
.-Q
4141 41 0 .^ L. -p
glacial recession. The seemingly abrupt t as 4* -J
>. i t Q) 03 Q ^t -i 03 o -J
appearance of Clovis sites in the High
Plains and the Southwest during the
Valders stade and after a period of
glacial recession suggests that a rela- 9O00 - -r
tionship exists between the appearance
of the Llano complex in the contermi- 0

nous United States and the Two Creeks 41


interstade, as considered by Hopkins u
-.
(31). The distribution of Clovis points 4A

in relation to dates, obtained by the


radiocarbon method, for ice and lake
borders in the Lake Michigan area
also suggests a Valders age, although
a late Mankato age is also a possibility
100o -

0
C.

bI0 t 4
I
(4, 32). The fact that Edmonton, Al- 3
berta, is the most northern locality in
which a Clovis point has been found I
K
(7, p. 42) is also pertinent. 11,000
From the glacial history of Canada I
and the Great Lakes area it now ap-
()
pears that by 12,000 years ago the
eastern foothills of the cordillera and
the western Great Plains of Canada VALDERS
(Fig. 1) were free of ice for the first
time in some 15,000 years (33). 12,o00 TWO
It is possible, therefore, that the
Clovis progenitors entered the United CREEKS
--'--'
States from Canada when an intergla- ?-

cier corridor opened up along the east-


ern foothills of the Canadian Rockies
MANKATO
during Two Creeks time. From the
seemingly rapid and wide dispersal of 13,000 -
Clovis points, or of very similar forms, -a

it appears that these people may have Fig. 2. Duration of Clovis and Folsom cultures, as revealed by radiocarbondating,
brought the technique of fluting with relativeto late periodsof glaciationin North America.[Glaciationdata from Broecker
them. and Farrand(30)]
25 SEPTEMBER 1964 1411
of the Denbigh Flint Complex, dated this occupation and could, therefore, years old. Underlying deposits dating
4500 to 5000 years ago, is open to be ancestral to Clovis points and back 11,600 to 13,000 years are with-
question, as it is not uncommon for an blades. out evidence of human occupation. In
artifact assemblage to contain anoma- Both the Arctic slope and central the High Plains, overlying deposits
lous specimens from an earlier com- Alaska were essentially ice-free during dating back 10,000 to 11,000 years
plex (36). Crude fluted points from the late Wisconsin time and could have contain Folsom and Hell Gap artifacts
Engigstciak site (Fig. 1K) near the been migration routes, but the known and are without mammoth remains.
Yukon arctic coast are believed to have finds of fluted points suggest the The glacial history of Alaska, Can-
been deposited soon after the last gla- northern route for Clovis progenitors. ada, and the Great Lakes region indi-
ciation of the area (37). If this corre- Furthermore, a tundra-covered area cates that, for the first time in at least
sponds to the last glaciation recorded between eastern Siberia and western 15,000 years, an ice-free, trans-Cana-
in the northeastern Mackenzie Delta, Alaska around 13,000 years ago, when dian corridor opened up approximately
which ended before 12,000 years ago sea level was 55 to 60 meters lower 12,000 years ago. Since Clovis points
(38), the artifacts could be 12,000 to than it is today, would have presented are distributed from coast to coast
15,000 years old. no obstacle to people already accli- south of the Valders ice border, the
In considering the origin of fluted- mated to a tundra environment. Such abrupt appearance of Clovis artifacts
point cultures, the material from the an environmentappears to have existed in the stratigraphicrecord of the High
Far North, while scanty and incon- at Nome, across the arctic slope, and Plains some 700 years later suggests
clusive, cannot be ignored. From a in the Canadian Great Plains during that Clovis progenitors passed through
typological point of view the Utukok the recession of Wisconsin ice (35, Canada during Two Creeks time. If
fluted point is more like Clovis than 40). eastern fluted points (for example, En-
like Folsom points; the general shape, The dispersion of Clovis peoples in terline) are older than Clovis points,
the percussion flaking, and the removal response to opening of a glacial bar- the difference may be on the order of
of three blades in fluting are all traits rier might explain the abrupt increase, only a hundred or so years, not
more akin to Clovis than to Folsom at 10,400 years ago, in the number of thousands.
points. If the Utukok point differs dates shown in Libby's histogram of The change from Clovis points to
from Clovis in age, it is probably older, archeological dates obtained by the Folsom points in the High Plains may
as suggested by Witthoft (2), rather radiocarbon method (41). Five Clovis be related to a marked decline in the
than younger; if it is older, the absence dates, extending the point of abrupt mammoth population after 11,000
of fluted points from Siberia would increase back to 11,300 years ago, can years ago, but whether or not man
point to the Bering land bridge, Alaska, now be added. From at least. 25,000 was a prime factor in the extinction
or northern Canada as a possible place to 12,500 years ago, the trans-Canadian of Pleistocene megafauna is a moot
of origin for fluting. migration route was blocked by co- question.
Green (13) has suggested that a re- alescence of the Cordilleran and Laur- On the basis of new data and criti-
cent discovery of blades believed to be entide ice sheets. Therefore, any pre- cal geological evaluation of dates ob-
of Clovis age at Blackwater No. 1, Clovis archeological remains south of tained by the radiocarbon method a
New Mexico, may be the first tangible Canada probably derive from migra- hypothesis has been offered to explain
link in cultural tradition between the tions earlier than "classical"Wisconsin (i) the abrupt appearance of Clovis
New World Paleo-Indian and the Up- time. The paucity of radiocarbon-dated points in the stratigraphic record of
per Paleolithic blade industries of the sites older than 11,500 years suggests a the United States around 11,500 years
Old World. The blades, polyhedral sparse population at best. ago, and (ii) the lack of a cultural
cores, and multifluted points of the According to the schedule proposed continuum in the United States leading
Enterline Chert Industry may be quite here, the dispersal of people ancestral to fluted projectile points. Llano hunt-
as good a link as the Clovis blades to Clovis man from Siberia to the ers, like the game they pursued, may
(2), but, as emphasized by Wilmsen southwestern United States would have have persisted longer in some areas
(39), the Alaskan and Canadian ma- taken 1500 years and would represent of the continent (for example, Bull
terial supports the view that there were a unique "migration,"as suggested by Brook) than in others, but if a Clovis
ties between the New World Paleo- Green (13). Once south of the ice bor- site can be found for which good strati-
Indian and the Siberian Upper Paleo- der, Llano man dispersed from Cali- graphic evidence supports a date ear-
lithic blade industries. fornia to Massachusettsand southward lier than the Two Creeks interstade,
In considering the distribution of into Mexico (6), in less than 1000 then correlation of this event to the
Clovis points and the Alaskan and years. The subsequent spread of early opening of the trans-Canadianice-free
Yukon fluted-point finds in relation to cultures throughout the New World corridor is incorrect (see 41a). Such a
late glacial geochronology we find a between 11,000 and 10,000 years ago misinterpretationof timing would not
logical sequence of events, and the attests to the rapidity with which ab- affect the explanation for the lack of
pieces begin to fall into place. If original bands could disperse in the Clovis progenitors in the United States.
Clovis progenitors traversed a corridor pursuit of big game-first mammoths We must continue to look for an in-
through Canada around 12,000 years and then bison. digenous cultural continuum leading to
ago and dispersedthroughout the Unit- Clovis points, but if such cannot be
ed States south of the Valders ice bor- demonstratedin the conterminousUnit-
der in the ensuing 700 years, then they Summary and Conclusions ed States, then it would appear that
probably were in Alaska some 500 fluted projectile points were developed
years earlier-say, 12,500 years ago. The stratigraphicrecord shows Clo- elsewhere. Clovis progenitors might
The Alaskan fluted points and some vis projectile points to be restricted to best be sought in northern Alaska or
of the polyhedral cores could represent sediments between 11,000 and 11,500 the MackenzieValley.
1412 SCIENCE, VOL. 145
The interpretations offered here are E. N. Wise and D. Shutler, Jr., Science 127, 37. R. S. MacNeish, Univ. Alaska Anthropol.
72 (1958); E. Antevs, Am. Antiquity 25, Papers 4, 91 (1956); J. R. Mackay, W. H.
based on new data and critical geo- 31 (1959). Mathews, R. S. MacNeish, Arctic 14, 25
17. A. D. Anderson, News Bull. Great Plains (1961).
logical evaluation of dates previously Hist. Assn. 2, 4 (1962). More recent data 38. F. Muller, Arctic 15, 279 (1962).
obtained by the radiocarbon method. are included with the kind permission of 39. E. N. Wilmsen, Am. Antiquity 29, 338
Adrian Anderson, Marvin Tong, Frank (1964).
How valid these interpretations are Leonhardy, and Claude Albritton, who are 40. T. N. V. Karlstrom, Ann. N.Y. Acad. Scl.
can be ascertained only through care- preparing a monograph on the interdisci- 95, 290 (1961); D. M. Hopkins, Science 129,
plinary investigations of the Domebo site. 1519 (1959); , F. S. Macneil, E. B.
ful scrutiny of all man-mammoth asso- 18. E. W. Haury, Ventana Cave (Univ. of New Leopold, Intern. Geol. Congr. 21st, Copen-
ciations found in the future, to assure Mexico Press, Albuquerque, 1950). hagen, 1960, Rept. Session, Norden (1960),
19. - , personal communication. pt. 4, p. 46; W. 0. Kupsch, Am. J. Sci.
precise relating of dates, fossils, and 20. D. S. Beyers, Am. Antiquity 24, 427 (1959). 258, 282 (1960); S. C. Porter, Geol. Soc.
artifacts to the stratigraphic frame- 21. W. F. Libby, Radiocarbon Dating (Univ. of Am. Abstr. 1962, 216 (1963).
Chicago Press, Chicago, 1955), p. 107. 41. W. F. Libby, Science 133, 621 (1961).
work. We must pay closer attention 22. V. Haynes and G. A. Agogino, Proc. Den- 41a. My attention has been called to a pertinent
ver Museum Nat. Hist. 9, 23 (1960). paper by 0. H. Prufer and R. S. Baby
to stratigraphic detail if we are to 23. G. A. Agogino and W. D. Frankforter, [Paleo-Indians of Ohio (Ohio Historical
make the fullest use of radiocarbon Master Key 34, 102 (1960); F. H. H. Rob- Society, Columbus, 1963)]. These authors in-
erts, "The Agate Basin Complex," in Home- terpret the distribution of some fluted points
dating. naje a Pablo Martinez del Rio en el xxv in relation to glacial moraines and ancient
aniversario de la edicion de los origenes beach ridges as evidence for occupation of
References and Notes Americanos (Mexico, 1961). Ohio by makers of fluted points before the
24. H. R. Crane and J. B. Griffin, Radiocarbon Two Creeks interstade. The geochronology of
1. R. J. Mason, Current Anthropol. 3, 227 5, 244 (1962). fluted points in the East has been plagued
(1962). 25. H. T. Irwin, G. A. Agogino, C. C. Irwin, by the almost total lack of stratigraphic
2. J. Witthoft, Am. Antiquity 19, 271 (1954); paper presented at the 27th annual meeting of context that would permit definitive estima-
, Current Anthropol. 3, 267 (1962); the Society for American Archaeology, Tuc- tion of age. In the absence of such context,
W. B. Roosa, ibid., p. 263; --- , Mich. son (1962); V. Haynes, "Late Pleistocene much reliance has necessarily been placed
Archaeologist 9, 44 (1963). and Recent Stratigraphy of the Hell Gap upon the surface distribution of fluted points
3. A. D. Krieger, Am. Antiquity 19, 273 (1954). Area," in preparation. in relation to datable geomorphic features,
4. R. J. Mason, Univ. Mich. Anthropol. Papers 26. J. J. Hester, Am. Antiquity 26, 58 (1960). but as Prufer and Baby state (p. 53),
11, 12 (1958). 27. G. J. Fergusson and W. F. Libby, Radio- "mere association with a certain beach sys-
5. J. Witthoft, Proc. Am. Phil. Soc. 96, 464 carbon 6, 321 (1964). tem [or moraine] does not preclude the pos-
(1952). 28. C. Irwin, H. Irwin, G. A. Agogino, Natl. sibility that a specimen so discovered post-
6. E. H. Sellards, Early Man in America (Univ. Geographic Mag. 121, 828 (1962). dates the formation of this particular system;
of Texas Press, Austin, 1952). 29. A. D. Krieger, Am. Antiquity 28, 138 (1962); such association merely implies a maximum
7. H. M. Wormington, "Ancient Man in North H. M. Wormington, Am. Scientist 50, 230 date." It should be added that the temporal
America," Denver Museum Nat. Hist. Publ. (1962). position of the geomorphic features themselves
(1957). 30. W. S. Broecker and W. R. Farrand, Bull. is not adequately known. For the moment
8. E. W. Haury, E. B. Sayles, W. W. Wasley, Geol. Soc. Am. 74, 795 (1963). it appears that fluted points occupy the base
Am. Antiquity 25, 2 (1959). 31. D. M. Hopkins, Current Anthropol. 3, 254 of projectile-point sequences, but the de-
9. P. E. Damon, C. V. Haynes, A. Long, (1962). finitive age of fluted points in the East must
Radiocarbon 6, 100 (1964). 32. G. I. Quimby, Am. Antiquity 28, 558 (1963); await the finding of more sites with strati-
10. P. E. Damon and A. Long, ibid. 4, 239 Current Anthropol. 3, 262 (1962). graphically controlled dates and artifacts.
(1962). 33. R. F. Flint, Geol. Soc. Am. Spec. Paper 60 42. This article is contribution No. 89 of the
11. Unpublished observations. (1945), pt. 1; L. Horberg, Bull. Geol. Soc. University of Arizona's Program in Geochro-
12. J. J. Hester and J. M. Warnica, paper pre- Am. 65, 1093 (1954); B. G. Craig and J. G. nology. The radiocarbon dating and field
sented at the 28th annual meeting of the Fyles, Geol. Survey. Can. Paper 60-10 (1960); investigations were in part supported by the
Society for American Archaeology, Boulder, J. L. Hough, Am. Scientist 51, 84 (1963); National Science Foundation (grant GP
1963. J. A. Elson, Science 126, 999 (1957); B. G. 2330), the Research Corporation (unrestricted
13. F. E. Green, Am. Antiquity 29, 145 (1963). Craig, Geol. Soc. Am. Abstr., in press; venture grant), the American Philosophical
14. Eastern New Mexico University's 1963 ex- , personal communication. Society, and the National Geographic Society.
cavation project was directed by George 34. R. S. Solecki, Am. Antiquity 17, 55 (1950); Much-appreciated comments on the manu-
Agogino. R. M. Thompson, ibid. 14, 62 (1948). script were provided by P. E. Damon, E. W.
15. V. Haynes, "Pleistocene and Recent Stratig- 35. R. S. Solecki, Smithsonian Inst. Ann. Rept. Haury, T. L. Smiley, H. M. Wormington,
raphy of Blackwater Draw, New Mexico and 1950, 469 (1951). D. M. Hopkins, and B. G. Craig. I bear all
Rich Lake, Texas," in press. 36. J. L. Giddings, Am. Antiquity 16, 193 (1951); responsibility for errors, omissions, and mis-
16. E. W. Haury, Am. Antiquity 19, 1 (1953); H. B. Collins, ibid. 18, 199 (1953). interpretations.

attributes of science and of the crack-


pot to help in making this decision.
Let me illustrate what I mean by
the failure of any single test. A scien-
A Measure for Crackpots tist generally strengthens his stand
greatly by his ability to predict. Ein-
stein's early work in the general
How does one distinguish between valid theory of relativity gained credence
scientific work and counterfeit "science"? by accounting in part for a known
error in the perihelion of the planet
Mercury. His theories gained real ac-
Fred J. Gruenberger ceptance, however, many years later
when British astronomers (during
World War I, when Einstein was a
citizen of an enemy country) verified
For every article one sees in a techni- infallibly between crackpot work and by direct observation his statements
cal journal or, for that matter, even good science. For every criterion that about the previously unsuspected bend-
in the public press, a decision has to is advanced one can quickly think of a ing of light in a gravitational field.
be made: Is this worth reading or is counter example. Every idea that is of- Here was the principle of predictability
it something that can safely be fered to us falls somewhere between used to the fullest.
If predictability is to be used as a
skipped? It would seem that there is the two extremes. Since there is no
no acid test or even a small group single test, the best that can be done
The author is affiliated with the Rand Corpora-
of tests which will serve to distinguish is to offer a checklist of some of the tion, Santa Monica, Calif.
25 SEPTEMBER 1964 1413

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